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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 14 13

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 3, 2020 to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

District 1

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent) 87,457 80.9
Republican John Mills 10,383 9.6
Republican Greg Merk 10,227 9.5
Total votes 108,067 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Albert Oram, lawyer

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[6] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent)
Democratic Phil Ehr
Independent Albert Oram
Total votes 100.0

District 2

The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Withdrawn
  • Willie Anderson, priest[13]
  • Connor Oswald, teacher[14]
  • Kristy Thripp, activist[15]

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[17] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent)
Independent Kim O'Connor (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 3

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who has represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[1] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve 4 terms.[18]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Ryan Chamberlin, author[20]
  • Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[21]
  • Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive[22]
  • Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide[23]
  • Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[24]
  • Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman[25]
  • James St. George, physician[26]
  • David Theus, business consultant[22]
  • Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[27]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Kat Cammack
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Todd Chase
State officials
Gavin Rollins
State officials
Judson Sapp
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals
James St. George
Federal officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kat
Cammack
Ryan
Chamberlin
Todd
Chase
James St.
George
Keith
Perry
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy Pope
Wells
Other Undecided
Meer Research August 6–8, 2020 317 (RV) ± 5.75% 25% 3% 6% 13% 11% 15% 3% 4%[b] 20%
WPA Intelligence[A] June 16–17, 2020 405 (RV) ± 4.9% 10% 1% 5% 4% 1% 12% 1% 5%[c] 60%
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp[B] Released April 20, 2020 400 (V) ± 5% 3% 4% 16% [d] >70%
Clearview Research December 16–17, 2019 401 (LV) 35% 9% 2% 6%[e] 48%
Hypothetical polling
with Ted Yoho
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy
Pope Wells
Ted
Yoho
Undecided
Meer Research November 20, 2019 533 (RV) ± 4.24% 8% 2% 3% 71% 16%

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack 21,679 25.2
Republican Judson Sapp 17,180 20.0
Republican Gavin Rollins 13,118 15.3
Republican James St. George 12,125 14.1
Republican Todd Chase 8,165 9.5
Republican Ryan Chamberlin 5,067 5.9
Republican Amy Pope Wells 3,564 4.1
Republican Bill Engelbrecht 2,001 2.3
Republican David Theus 1,874 2.2
Republican Joe Millado 1,168 1.4
Total votes 85,941 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Adam Christensen, businessman[49]
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Adam Christensen
Individuals
Tom Wells

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Christensen 21,073 34.5
Democratic Tom Wells 20,290 33.2
Democratic Philip Dodds 19,730 32.3
Total votes 61,093 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[52] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack
Democratic Adam Christensen
Total votes 100.0

District 4

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent) 80,101 80.2
Republican Erick Aguilar 19,798 19.8
Total votes 99,899 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Donna Deegan
Unions
Organizations

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[61] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Rutherford (R)
Donna
Deegan (D)
Other Undecided
University of North Florida October 1–4, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 57% 38% 5%[f] 0%
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics September 2, 2020 1,037 (LV) 62% 35% 3%

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent)
Democratic Donna Deegan
Independent Gary Koniz (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 5

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee andJacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Albert Chester, pharmacist[62]
  • LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide[63]

Endorsements

Al Lawson
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent) 52,823 55.7
Democratic Albert Chester 24,579 25.9
Democratic LaShonda "LJ" Holloway 17,378 18.3
Total votes 94,780 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gary Adler, community activist[66]
Eliminated in primary
  • Roger Wagoner, businessman[63]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gary Adler 17,433 52.1
Republican Roger Wagoner 16,012 47.9
Total votes 33,445 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[67] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent)
Republican Gary Adler
Total votes 100.0

District 6

The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Richard Thripp, professor[68]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Clint Curtis 30,449 51.5
Democratic Richard Thripp 28,661 48.5
Total votes 59,110 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman[60]

Independent Democrats

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[70] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent)
Democratic Clint Curtis
Ind. Democratic Alan Grayson (write-in)
Independent Gerry Nolan (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 7

The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[1]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[71]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Leo Valentín, radiologist[73]
Eliminated in primary
  • Richard Goble, businessman[74]
  • Yukong Zhao, real estate investor[74]
Withdrawn
  • Jan Edwards, businesswoman[75]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Leo Valentín 19,841 38.6
Republican Richard Goble 19,187 37.4
Republican Yukong Zhao 12,330 24.0
Total votes 51,358 100.0

Independents and third party candidates

Independents
Declared
  • William Garlington, businessman and former actor[60]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[76] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Richard
Goble (R)
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Leo
Valentín (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2–3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 4%[g] 20% 43% 4% 29%
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics Jan 2–3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 42%[h] 43% 15%

Results

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)
Republican Leo Valentín
Independent William Garlington
Total votes 100.0

District 8

The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who has represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 54,861 62.5
Republican Scott Caine 32,952 37.5
Total votes 87,813 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[77]
Withdrawn
  • Tiffany Patti, activist[78]
Disqualified
  • Hicham Ammi, customer service manager[78]
  • Jason Williams, engineer[78]

Endorsements

Jim Kennedy
Organizations

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn
  • Russell Cyphers, former federal investigator for the departments of Treasury and Labor[78]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[79] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent)
Democratic Jim Kennedy
Total votes 100.0

District 9

The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Hendrith Vanlon Smith Jr., financial advisor[81][82]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Jose Castillo, hospitality manager[84]
  • Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker[85]
  • Christopher Wright, attorney[84]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Olson 20,751 48.6
Republican Christopher Wright 9,677 22.7
Republican Jose Castillo 8,595 20.1
Republican Sergio E. Ortiz 3,680 8.6
Total votes 42,703 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared
Withdrawn
  • John Rallison, teacher and pastor[86]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[87] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent)
Republican Bill Olson
Independent Clay Hill (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 10

The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Willie Montague, pastor[89]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vennia Francois 21,485 65.1
Republican Willie Montague 11,498 34.9
Total votes 32,983 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Candidates
  • Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist[60]
Withdrawn
  • Kristofer Lawson, writer[60]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[90] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 10th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent)
Republican Vennia Francois
Independent Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 11

The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who has represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dana Cottrell, teacher and nominee for Florida's 11th congressional district in 2018[91]
Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[94] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent)
Democratic Dana Cottrell
Total votes 100.0

District 12

The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who has represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Kimberly Walker
Organizations

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[98] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent)
Democratic Kimberly Walker
Total votes 100.0

District 13

The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[1]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[71]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
Organizations

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Anna Paulina Luna
Federal officials
Local officials
Amanda Makki
Federal officials
State officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George
Buck
Sheila
Griffin
Anna Paulina
Luna
Amanda
Makki
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls August 15, 2020 626 (LV) ± 3.9% 26% 6% 29% 20% 1%[i]
St. Pete Polls July 9, 2020 558 (LV) ± 4.1% 21% 4% 13% 29% 1%[j] 32%

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Anna Paulina Luna 22,941 36.1
Republican Amanda Makki 17,967 28.3
Republican George Buck 16,371 25.8
Republican Sheila Griffin 4,329 6.8
Republican Sharon Newby (withdrawn) 1,866 2.9
Total votes 63,474 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[128] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D October 1, 2020
Politico[9] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Likely D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Anna Paulina
Luna (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls October 28, 2020 1,280 (LV) ± 2.7% 55% 39% 7%
St. Pete Polls August 29–30, 2020 2,160 (LV) ± 2.1% 55% 39% 7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Rick
Baker (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics Sep 25, 2019 1,254 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 35% 23%

Results

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent)
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Independent Republican Jacob Curnow (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 14

The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Christine Quinn, businesswoman and nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district in 2016[130]
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Quinn 24,077 64.5
Republican Paul Elliott 13,257 35.5
Total votes 37,334 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[132] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 14th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent)
Republican Christine Quinn
Total votes 100.0

District 15

The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.[1]

This district is included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting in 2020.[133]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Scott Franklin
Federal officials
Local officials
Ross Spano
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin
Ross
Spano
Other
St. Pete Polls August 12, 2020 594 (LV) ± 4% 41% 42% 18%[k]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Franklin 30,736 51.2
Republican Ross Spano (incumbent) 29,265 48.8
Total votes 60,001 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Alan Cohn
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Executives
Municipal officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Adam Hattersley
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alan Cohn 21,079 41.0
Democratic Adam Hattersley 16,978 33.0
Democratic Jesse Philippe 13,384 26.0
Total votes 51,441 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Lean R July 16, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[165] Likely R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Lean R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Lean R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Lean R July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Likely R April 30, 2020
RCP[11] Tossup October 15, 2020
Niskanen[12] Lean R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin (R)
Alan
Cohn (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D)[C] October 22–24, 2020 530 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 44%
St. Pete Polls October 15, 2020 943 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 41% 11%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[D] September 30 – October 4, 2020 390 (LV) ± 5% 42% 39% 19%
GQR Research (D)[E] September 4–6, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 42%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of Error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[D] September 30 – October 4, 2020 390 (LV) ± 5% 49% 44%

Results

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Franklin
Democratic Alan Cohn
Total votes 100.0

District 16

The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[1]

This district is included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting in 2020.[133]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Margaret Good
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Likely R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[172] Likely R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Likely R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Lean R October 15, 2020
Niskanen[12] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan (R)
Margaret
Good (D)
Other Undecided
Data Targeting (R)[F] October 19–21, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 38%
Data Targeting (R)[F] October 6–8, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 37% 1%[l] 9%
Change Research (D)[G] October 5–8, 2020 527 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 45% 7%
Data Targeting (R)[F] September 29 – October 1, 2020 400 (LV) 53% 37%
Global Strategy Group (D) September 24–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 43%
Data Targeting (R)[F] August 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 35%
Global Strategy Group (D) July 7–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 41%
Data Targeting (R)[F] January 14–16, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 53% 33% 14%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Global Strategy Group (D) September 24–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 42%
Data Targeting (R) August 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 39%

Results

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent)
Democratic Margaret Good
Total votes 100.0

District 17

The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Allen Ellison, nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018[173]

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Theodore Murray, former high school football coach[60][174]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[175] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent)
Democratic Allen Ellison
Independent Theodore Murray
Total votes 100.0

District 18

The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[1]

This district is included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting in 2020.[133]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant[177]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent) 62,121 86.0
Republican Nick Vessio 10,081 14.0
Total votes 72,202 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016[178]
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Pam Keith
Individuals
Organizations
Oz Vazquez
State officials
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pam Keith 52,921 79.8
Democratic Oz Vazquez 13,385 20.2
Total votes 66,306 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive[185]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Likely R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[186] Likely R October 19, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Likely R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Likely R October 20, 2020
Politico[9] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Likely R October 19, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Tossup July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brian
Mast (R)
Pam
Keith (D)
K. W.
Miller (I)
Undecided
Clearview Research (D)[H] October 7–9, 2020 301 (LV) 43% 45% 4%
St. Pete Polls September 18, 2020 1,149 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 2% 5%

Results

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent)
Democratic Pam Keith
Independent K. W. Miller
Total votes 100.0

District 19

The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who has represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[1] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[187]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Byron Donalds
Federal officials
Organizations
Dane Eagle
Federal officials
State officials
Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)
Organizations
Dan Severson
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Casey
Askar
Byron
Donalds
Dane
Eagle
William
Figlesthaler
Randy
Henderson
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls August 16, 2020 439 (LV) ± 4.7% 22% 23% 16% 16% 11% 8%[m] 4%
St. Pete Polls August 3, 2020 525 (LV) ± 4.3% 16% 22% 20% 21% 8% 6%[n] 14%
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle[I] July 23, 2020 282 (LV) ± 5.7% 15% 21% 23% 19% 6% 3%[o] 8%
St. Pete Polls July 6, 2020 503 (LV) ± 4.3% 30% 26% 7% 16% 5% 4%[p] 12%

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Byron Donalds 23,492 22.6
Republican Dane Eagle 22,715 21.9
Republican Casey Askar 20,774 20.0
Republican William Figlesthaler 19,075 18.3
Republican Randy Henderson 7,858 7.6
Republican Christy McLaughlin 4,245 4.1
Republican Dan Severson 3,197 3.1
Republican Darren Aquino 1,466 1.4
Republican Daniel Kowal 1,135 1.1
Total votes 103,957 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • David Holden, financial advisor and nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2018[213]

Endorsements

Cindy Banyai

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Banyai 28,765 57.6
Democratic David Holden 21,212 42.4
Total votes 49,977 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared
  • Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA[214]
Withdrawn
  • Antonio Dumornay, housing activist[215]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[216] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Byron Donalds
Democratic Cindy Banyai
Independent Patrick Post (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 20

The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who has represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018[218]
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent) 62,759 69.3
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 27,831 30.7
Total votes 90,590 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Vic DeGrammont, realtor[222]
  • Greg Musselwhite, welding inspector[223]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Musselwhite 5,394 52.0
Republican Vic DeGrammont 4,975 48.0
Total votes 10,369 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[224] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent)
Republican Greg Musselwhite
Total votes 100.0

District 21

The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who has represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Adam Aarons, film producer and actor[226]

Endorsements

Lois Frankel
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent) 75,504 86.0
Democratic Guido Weiss 12,308 14.0
Total votes 87,812 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified

Endorsements

Laura Loomer
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Representatives
Local Officials
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Laura
Loomer
Other
The Washington Sentinel[J] Released June 20, 2020 [q] 51% >=4%[r]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Laura Loomer 14,526 42.5
Republican Christian Acosta 8,724 25.5
Republican Michael Vilardi 4,194 12.3
Republican Aaron Scanlan 3,221 9.4
Republican Elizabeth Felton 2,421 7.1
Republican Reba Sherrill 1,070 3.1
Total votes 34,156 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independents

Declared

Independent Republicans

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[245] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Lois
Frankel (D)
Laura
Loomer (R)
Charleston
Malkemus (I)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics October 2, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 3.1% 61% 33% 2% 5%

Results

Florida’s 21st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent)
Republican Laura Loomer
Independent Republican Piotr Blass (write-in)
Independent Sylvia Caravetta (write-in)
Independent Charleston Malkemus
Total votes 100.0

District 22

The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who has represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • James Pruden, attorney[246]
Eliminated in primary
  • Fran Flynn, businesswoman[247]
  • Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group[246]
  • Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent[248]

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Pruden 11,840 35.6
Republican Jessica Melton 9,969 30.0
Republican Fran Flynn 8,667 26.1
Republican Darlene Swaffar 2,763 8.3
Total votes 33,239 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[249] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent)
Republican James Pruden
Total votes 100.0

District 23

The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who has represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Jen Perelman, attorney[251]

Endorsements

Jen Perelman
Individuals
Organizations
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Organizations
Newspapers

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) 55,729 72.0
Democratic Jen Perelman 21,631 28.0
Total votes 77,360 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Michael Kroske, businessman[259]
Withdrew

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Carla Spalding 12,751 51.3
Republican Michael Kroske 12,116 48.7
Total votes 24,867 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared
  • D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran[60]
  • Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent[60]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[261] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020

Results

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)
Republican Carla Spalding
Independent Republican D. B. Fugate (write-in)
Independent Republican Jeff Olson (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 24

The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who has represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Frederica Wilson
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) 68,505 84.7
Democratic Sakinah Lehtola 6,267 7.7
Democratic Ricardo de La Fuente 6,134 7.6
Total votes 80,906 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[265]

Independent and third party candidates

Libertarians

Nominee

Independent Republicans

Declared
  • Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018[60][267]

Independents

Declared
  • Hector Rivera (write-in), real estate broker[60]
  • Christine Alexandria Olivo, activist[268]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[269] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent)
Republican Lavern Spicer
Libertarian Courtney Omega-Turner
Independent Republican Howard Knepper (write-in)
Independent Christine Alexandria Olivo
Independent Hector Rivera (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

District 25

The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who has represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[272] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Safe R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R October 15, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0
Republican hold

District 26

The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who has represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.[1]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[71]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
  • José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016[276]
  • Irina Vilariño, restaurateur[277][278]
Declined

Endorsements

Carlos A. Giménez
Federal officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Omar
Blanco
Carlos
Giménez
Other Undecided
Unspecified national Republican organisation October 13–15, 2019 ~ 136 (LV)[s] 6% 51% 2%[t] 39%

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Carlos A. Giménez 29,480 59.9
Republican Omar Blanco 19,721 40.1
Total votes 49,201 100.0

Endorsements

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Lean D October 21, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[289] Likely D October 19, 2020
Inside Elections[290] Tilt D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Tossup September 2, 2020
Politico[9] Tossup September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Tossup October 15, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Debbie
Murcasel-Powell (D)
Carlos
Giménez (R)
Other/
Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R)[K] July 14–18, 2020 400 (RV) ±  4.9% 42% 47% 11%
Unspecified national Republican organisation October 13–15, 2019 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 42% 45%

Results

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent)
Republican Carlos A. Giménez
Total votes 100.0

District 27

The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who has represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 51% of the vote in 2018.[1]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[71]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Donna Shalala
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Maria Elvira Salazar
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar 39,687 79.1
Republican Raymond Molina 5,497 10.9
Republican Juan Fiol 5,018 10.0
Total votes 50,202 100.0

Independent and third party candidates

Independent Republicans

Declared
  • Frank Polo (write-in), businessman

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Likely D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[301] Likely D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[7] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[9] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Lean D June 3, 2020
RCP[11] Likely D October 15, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donna
Shalala (D)
Maria
Salazar (R)
Other/
Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D)[L] October 9–13, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 50% 43% 7%
1892 Polling (R)[M] September 2–6, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 43% 46%

Results

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donna Shalala (incumbent)
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar
Independent Republican Frank Polo (write-in)
Total votes 100.0

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
  3. ^ "someone else" with 5%
  4. ^ No other candidate exceeds 1%
  5. ^ Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  7. ^ Standard VI response
  8. ^ Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
  9. ^ Sharon Newby with 1%
  10. ^ Newby with 1%
  11. ^ "Undecided/won't say" with 18%
  12. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  13. ^ Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
  14. ^ Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
  15. ^ Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
  16. ^ Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
  17. ^ Not yet released
  18. ^ "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
  19. ^ 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
  20. ^ Irina Vilariño with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
  4. ^ a b Poll conducted by the DCCC.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
  6. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
  7. ^ Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
  9. ^ Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
  10. ^ Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
  11. ^ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign

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