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2020 United States Senate elections

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate elections

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Mitch McConnell 2016 official photo (cropped).jpg
Chuck Schumer official photo (cropped).jpg
Leader Mitch McConnell Chuck Schumer
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 3, 2007 January 3, 2017
Leader's seat Kentucky New York
Current seats 53 45
Seats needed Steady Increase 3–4[a]
Seats up 23 12

 
Party Independent
Current seats 2[b]
Seats up 0

United States Senate elections, 2020.svg
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     Retiring Democrat      Retiring Republican
     Undetermined incumbent      No election
Rectangular inset (Georgia): both seats contested

Incumbent Majority Leader

Mitch McConnell
Republican



Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 Class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, until January 3, 2027. Additionally, there will also be two special elections: one special election in Arizona to fill the vacancy created by the death of John McCain in 2018 and one in Georgia following the resignation of Johnny Isakson at the end of 2019.

In 2014, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 2 Senate seats, the Republicans won a net gain of nine seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate. Republicans defended that majority in 2016 and 2018, and held 53 Senate seats following the 2018 elections. Democrats held 45 seats after the 2018 elections, while independents caucusing with the Democratic Party held two seats.

Including the special elections in Arizona and Georgia, Republicans will be defending 23 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party will be defending 12 seats. Depending on the results of the 2020 presidential election, Democrats will need to pick up either three or four seats to gain a majority in the Senate.[a]

Partisan composition

As of August 2019 (and including the 2020 special elections in Arizona and Georgia), Republicans are expected to defend 23 seats in 2020, while the Democratic Party is expected to defend only 12 seats. These figures could change if vacancies or party switches occur. Additional special elections may also be held in 2020 if vacancies arise in Class 1 or Class 3 Senate seats.

Results summary

Parties Total
Democratic Independent Republican
Last election (2018) 45 2 53 100
Before this election 45 2 53 100
Not up 33 2 30 65
Class 1 (20182024) 21 2 10 33
Class 3 (2016→2022) 12 0 20 32
Up 12 0 23 35
Class 2 (2014→2020) 12 0 21 33
Special: Class 3 0 0 2 2
General elections
Incumbent retiring 1 3 4
Incumbent running 9 17 26
Intent unknown 2 3 5

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
N.H.
Running
D39
Minn.
Running
D38
Mich.
Running
D37
Mass.
Running
D36
Ill.
Running
D35
Del.
Running
D34
Ala.
Running
D33 D32 D31
D41
Ore.
Running
D42
R.I.
Running
D43
Va.
Running
D44
N.J.
Unknown
D45
N.M.
Retiring
I1 I2 R53
Ga. (sp)
TBD
R52
Wyo.
Retiring
R51
Tenn.
Retiring
Majority →
R41
Miss.
Running
R42
Mont.
Running
R43
Neb.
Running
R44
N.C.
Running
R45
Okla.
Unknown
R46
S.C.
Running
R47
S.D.
Running
R48
Texas
Running
R49
W.Va.
Running
R50
Kan.
Retiring
R40
Me.
Unknown
R39
La.
Running
R38
Ky.
Running
R37
Iowa
Running
R36
Idaho
Running
R35
Ga.
Running
R34
Colo.
Running
R33
Ark.
Running
R32
Ariz.
Running
R31
Alaska
Running
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD I2 I1 D33 D32 D31
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Majority →
TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Pre-election predictions

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used sometimes): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely" or "favored": significant, but surmountable, advantage (*highest rating given by Fox News)
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency Incumbent 2020 election ratings
State PVI[1] Senator Last
election[c]
Cook
Aug 28,
2019
[2]
IE
Aug 28,
2019
[3]
Sabato
Aug 28,
2019
[4]
Alabama R+14 Doug Jones 50.0% D
(2017 special)
Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup
Alaska R+9 Dan Sullivan 48.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona
(special)
R+5 Martha McSally Appointed
(2019)
Tossup Tossup Tossup
Arkansas R+15 Tom Cotton 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Colorado D+1 Cory Gardner 48.2% R Tossup Tossup Tossup
Delaware D+6 Chris Coons 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Georgia R+5 David Perdue 52.9% R Likely R Lean R Lean R
Georgia
(special)
R+5 TBD Appointed
(2019)
Likely R Lean R Lean R
Idaho R+19 Jim Risch 65.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Illinois D+7 Dick Durbin 53.5% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Iowa R+3 Joni Ernst 52.1% R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Kansas R+13 Pat Roberts
(retiring)
53.1% R Likely R Safe R Likely R
Kentucky R+15 Mitch McConnell 56.2% R Likely R Safe R Likely R
Louisiana R+11 Bill Cassidy 55.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Maine D+3 Susan Collins 68.5% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R
Massachusetts D+12 Ed Markey 61.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan D+1 Gary Peters 54.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D
Minnesota D+1 Tina Smith 53.0% D
(2018 special)
Likely D Safe D Likely D
Mississippi R+9 Cindy Hyde-Smith 53.6% R
(2018 special)
Likely R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+11 Steve Daines 57.9% R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Nebraska R+14 Ben Sasse 64.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
New Hampshire EVEN Jeanne Shaheen 51.5% D Safe D Likely D Lean D
New Jersey D+7 Cory Booker 55.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico D+3 Tom Udall
(retiring)
55.6% D Likely D Safe D Likely D
North Carolina R+3 Thom Tillis 48.8% R Likely R Tilt R Lean R
Oklahoma R+20 Jim Inhofe 68.0% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Oregon D+5 Jeff Merkley 55.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Rhode Island D+10 Jack Reed 70.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
South Carolina R+8 Lindsey Graham 55.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
South Dakota R+14 Mike Rounds 50.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Tennessee R+14 Lamar Alexander
(retiring)
61.9% R Likely R Safe R Safe R
Texas R+8 John Cornyn 61.6% R Safe R Likely R Likely R
Virginia D+1 Mark Warner 49.1% D Safe D Safe D Likely D
West Virginia R+19 Shelley Moore Capito 62.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Wyoming R+25 Mike Enzi
(retiring)
72.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R

Election dates

These are the election dates for the regularly scheduled general elections.

State Filing
deadline[5]
Primary
election[5]
Primary
run-off
(if necessary)[5]
General
election
Poll closing
(Eastern Time)[6]
Alabama November 8, 2019 March 3, 2020 March 31, 2020 November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Alaska June 2, 2020 August 18, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 01:00am
Arizona April 6, 2020 August 4, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm
Arkansas November 11, 2019 March 3, 2020 March 31, 2020 November 3, 2020 08:30pm
Colorado March 17, 2020 June 30, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm
Delaware July 14, 2020 September 15, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Georgia March 6, 2020 May 19, 2020 July 21, 2020 November 3, 2020 07:00pm
Georgia (Special) March 6, 2020 November 3, 2020 N/A January 5, 2021[d] 09:00pm
Idaho March 13, 2020 May 19, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 10:00pm
Illinois December 2, 2019 March 17, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Iowa March 13, 2020 June 2, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 10:00pm
Kansas June 1, 2020 August 4, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm
Kentucky January 28, 2020 May 19, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 07:00pm
Louisiana July 17, 2020 November 3, 2020 N/A December 5, 2020[d] 09:00pm
Maine March 16, 2020 June 9, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Massachusetts May 5, 2020 September 15, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Michigan April 21, 2020 August 4, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Minnesota June 2, 2020 August 11, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm
Mississippi January 10, 2020 March 10, 2020 March 31, 2020 November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Montana March 9, 2020 June 2, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 10:00pm
Nebraska March 1, 2020 May 12, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm
New Hampshire June 12, 2020 September 8, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
New Jersey March 30, 2020 June 2, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
New Mexico March 10, 2020 June 2, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm
North Carolina December 20, 2019 March 3, 2020 May 12, 2020 November 3, 2020 07:30pm
Oklahoma April 10, 2020 June 30, 2020 August 25, 2020 November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Oregon April 10, 2020 May 19, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 10:00pm
Rhode Island June 24, 2020 September 15, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
South Carolina March 30, 2020 June 9, 2020 June 23, 2020 November 3, 2020 07:00pm
South Dakota March 31, 2020 June 2, 2020 August 11, 2020 November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Tennessee April 2, 2020 August 6, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Texas December 9, 2019 March 3, 2020 May 26, 2020 November 3, 2020 08:00pm
Virginia March 26, 2020 June 9, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 07:00pm
West Virginia January 25, 2020 May 12, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 07:30pm
Wyoming May 29, 2020 August 18, 2020 N/A November 3, 2020 09:00pm

Race summary

Special elections during the preceding Congress

In these special elections, the winners will serve when they are elected and qualified.

Elections are sorted by date then state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Arizona
(Class 3)
Martha McSally Republican 2019 (Appointed) Incumbent running.
Special election to be held November 3, 2020.
Georgia
(Class 3)
TBD TBD TBD Incumbent unknown.
Special election to be held November 3, 2020.
  • None yet

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2021. All of the elections involve the Class 2 seats; ordered by state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama Doug Jones Democratic 2017 (Special) Incumbent running.
Alaska Dan Sullivan Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Arkansas Tom Cotton Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Colorado Cory Gardner Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Delaware Chris Coons Democratic 2010 (Special)
2014
Incumbent running.
Georgia David Perdue Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Idaho Jim Risch Republican 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Illinois Dick Durbin Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Iowa Joni Ernst Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
  • Joni Ernst (Republican)[56]
  • Michael Franken (Democratic) [57]
  • Kimberly Graham (Democratic)[58]
  • Theresa Greenfield (Democratic)[59]
  • Eddie Mauro (Democratic)[60]
Kansas Pat Roberts Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
Kentucky Mitch McConnell Republican 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Louisiana Bill Cassidy Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Maine Susan Collins Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
Massachusetts Ed Markey Democratic 2013 (Special)
2014
Incumbent running.
Michigan Gary Peters Democratic 2014 Incumbent running.
Minnesota Tina Smith Democratic 2018 (Appointed)
2018 (Special)
Incumbent running.
Mississippi Cindy Hyde-Smith Republican 2018 (Appointed)
2018 (Special)
Incumbent running.
Montana Steve Daines Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Nebraska Ben Sasse Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
New Jersey Cory Booker Democratic 2013 (Special)
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Daniel Burke (Independent)[107]
  • Tricia Flanagan (Republican)[108]
  • Harsh Naik (Democratic)[109]
  • Hirsh Singh (Republican)[110]
New Mexico Tom Udall Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
North Carolina Thom Tillis Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe Republican 1994 (Special)
1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Mike Workman (Democratic)[122]
Oregon Jeff Merkley Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Rhode Island Jack Reed Democratic 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
South Carolina Lindsey Graham Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
South Dakota Mike Rounds Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Tennessee Lamar Alexander Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.
Texas John Cornyn Republican 2002
2008
2014
Incumbent running.
Virginia Mark Warner Democratic 2008
2014
Incumbent running.
West Virginia Shelley Moore Capito Republican 2014 Incumbent running.
Wyoming Mike Enzi Republican 1996
2002
2008
2014
Incumbent retiring.

Alabama

Incumbent Democrat Doug Jones was elected in a special election in 2017, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Roy Moore. Jones is running for his first full term as a senator.[155]

2017 Republican special election nominee Roy Moore will seek a rematch with Jones.[156] Secretary of State John Merrill,[157] Congressman Bradley Byrne, former Auburn University football head coach Tommy Tuberville, and state representative Arnold Mooney[158] are seeking the Republican nomination.[159][160] Other potential Republican candidates include state auditor Jim Zeigler, and Congressman Gary Palmer.[159]

Alaska

One-term incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan was elected to a first term in 2014, defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Begich. He is running for a second term.[21]

Potential Democratic candidates include Begich and Anchorage mayor Ethan Berkowitz.

On July 2, 2019, Al Gross, an orthopedic surgeon and fisherman, declared his candidacy as an Independent.[161]

Arizona (Special)

Republican senator John McCain was elected to a sixth term in 2016, but died in office in August 2018.[162] Republican governor Doug Ducey appointed former senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat for the remainder of the 115th United States Congress.[163] After the end of the 115th Congress, Governor Ducey appointed outgoing congresswoman and 2018 Republican Senate nominee Martha McSally as Kyl's successor for the 116th Congress.[164] McSally is running in the 2020 special election to fill the remainder of the term, which expires in 2022.[165]

Retired astronaut Mark Kelly is running for the Democratic nomination.[9] Other potential Democratic candidates include Congressman Greg Stanton, the former mayor of Phoenix.[166]

Arkansas

One-term incumbent Republican Tom Cotton was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Pryor by a comfortable margin. Cotton is seeking a second term in 2020.[22]

Joshua Mahony, a non-profit executive and 2018 Democratic nominee for Congress in Arkansas's 3rd congressional district has filed to run for the Democratic nomination.[167] Other potential Democratic candidates include former mayor of North Little Rock Pat Hayes.[168]

Colorado

One-term incumbent Republican Cory Gardner was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving four years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating one-term incumbent Mark Udall. Gardner is seeking re-election in 2020.[169]

Announced Democratic candidates include former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper, former state House speaker Andrew Romanoff,[169] former state House minority leader Alice Madden,[170] community organizer Lorena Garcia,[171] state senator Angela Williams,[172] pharmacist Dustin Leitzel,[29] and Derrick Blanton.[173]

Delaware

One-term Democrat Chris Coons was re-elected in 2014; Coons first took office after winning a 2010 special election, which occurred after long-time senator Joe Biden resigned his seat to become vice president of the United States.

Georgia

One-term incumbent Republican David Perdue was elected to a first term in 2014. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[174]

Former Columbus mayor Teresa Tomlinson,[175] Clarkston mayor Ted Terry,[176] and former congressional candidate Jon Ossoff[177] are running for the Democratic nomination. Potential Democratic candidates include pastor Raphael Warnock, former state senator Jason Carter, 2018 lieutenant governor nominee Sarah Riggs Amico, and state representative Scott Holcomb.[174]

Georgia (Special)

Three-term senator Johnny Isakson has announced that he will resign from the Senate at the end of 2019, citing health concerns. Republican governor Brian Kemp will appoint Isakson's successor, who will serve until a special election is held in 2020.[178] A jungle primary will be held on November 3, 2020; if no one candidate wins a majority of the vote in the jungle primary, then a run-off election will be held.[179] The winner of the special election will serve until the expiration of Isakson's Senate term in 2022.[178]

Potential Republican candidates include U.S. secretary of agriculture Sonny Perdue, state attorney general Chris Carr, Lieutenant Governor Geoff Duncan, and congressmen Doug Collins and Drew Ferguson. Potential Democratic candidates include former congressman John Barrow, former state senator Jason Carter, Congresswoman Lucy McBath, nonprofit executive Michelle Nunn, and former acting U.S. attorney general Sally Yates.[180] 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Stacey Abrams declined to run in either Senate election held in Georgia in 2020.[180][181]

Idaho

Two-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was easily re-elected in 2014. On August 13, 2019, Risch announced that he would seek a third term.[182] Businesswoman Nancy Harris has announced that she would run as a Democrat.[45]

Illinois

Four-term incumbent and Senate minority whip Dick Durbin, a Democrat, was re-elected in 2014. Durbin is running for reelection.[49] State representative Anne Stava-Murray was going to challenge Durbin in the primary but has withdrawn.[183][184]

Republicans who have announced they are running include former Lake County Sheriff Mark Curran,[185] U.S. Navy veteran and former police officer Peggy Hubbard,[186] Vietnam War veteran, physician, and 2018 Democratic primary candidate for Governor of Illinois Robert Marshall,[187][188] Omeed Memar,[189] a dermatologist convicted of health care fraud in 2018,[190] and Dean Seppelfrick.[191] Other potential Republican candidates include former governor Bruce Rauner, U.S. representatives Rodney Davis and Darin LaHood, and 2018 Republican nominee for state attorney general Erika Harold.

Iowa

One-term incumbent Republican Joni Ernst was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving four years in the state Senate. She is seeking a second term in 2020.[192]

Among Democrats, wealthy real estate broker Theresa Greenfield has announced her candidacy and divorce attorney of Indianola, Kimberly Graham, has also announced.[193] Other potential Democratic candidates include state auditor Rob Sand, former governor Chet Culver, and congresswoman Abby Finkenauer,[194]

Kansas

Four-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts is retiring. Former secretary of state Kris Kobach,[195] and state Turnpike Authority chairman (a former Kansas City Chief) Dave Lindstrom[196] are seeking the Republican nomination. Potential Republican candidates include Congressman Roger Marshall,[197] state senate president Susan Wagle,[198] former governor Jeff Colyer,[199] state attorney general Derek Schmidt, and wealthy businessman and former 2018 lieutenant governor nominee Wink Hartman. Kansas state treasurer Jake LaTurner[197] previously sought the nomination, but on September 3, 2019 announced that he was dropping out of the Senate race to run for the U.S. House of Representatives.[200] On August 26, 2019, Colyer announced that he would not be a candidate.[citation needed]

Among Democrats, former U.S. attorney Barry Grissom[201] and former congresswoman Nancy Boyda[202] are running. Potential Democratic candidates include state senator Barbara Bollier,[203] and former congressional candidate Brent Welder.[204] Former governor Kathleen Sebelius has declined to run.

Kentucky

Six-term incumbent and Senate majority leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014.

Amy McGrath announced her candidacy on July 9, 2019, running as a Democrat. She is a former Marine and Navy fighter pilot who ran unsuccessfully for Congress in 2018.[205] Health care professional Steven Cox and farmer Mike Broihier are also running for the Democratic nomination.[69][206] Other potential Democratic candidates include state attorney general Andy Beshear, sports radio show host Matt Jones,[207] and state representative Rocky Adkins.[208]

Louisiana

One-term incumbent Bill Cassidy was first elected in 2014 after serving six years in the United States House of Representatives, defeating three-term incumbent Mary Landrieu.

Maine

Four-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected by a wide margin in 2014. She has filed paperwork for a run in 2020,[209] but has told reporters that she won't make a decision on whether to run again until late 2019.[210]

Perennial candidate Max Linn[211] is running for the Republican nomination. Democrats running are state House speaker Sara Gideon;[212] Michael Bunker,[75] a travel agent; Bre Kidman,[78] an attorney; and Betsy Sweet, an activist and 2018 gubernatorial candidate.[80] Potential Democratic candidates include Congresswoman Chellie Pingree and former Lewiston mayor James Howaniec.[213]

Massachusetts

One-term incumbent Democrat Ed Markey was re-elected in 2014; first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, Markey later won a 2013 special election to replace longtime incumbent John Kerry, who resigned from the Senate to become U.S. secretary of state. He is running for re-election.[214] Other Democrats who are running include labor attorney Shannon Liss-Riordan,[215] chief human resources officer for Workhuman Steve Pemberton,[216] and Allen Waters.[217] Representative Joe Kennedy III has expressed interest in running.[218]

Shiva Ayyadurai, scientist and Independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[219] is seeking the Republican nomination.

Michigan

One-term incumbent Democrat Gary Peters was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving six years in the U.S. House of Representatives. He is seeking a second term in 2020.[220]

2018 Senate nominee John James has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination.[221] Other potential Republican candidates include former congresswoman Candice Miller,[222] former state House speaker Tom Leonard, and businessman Sandy Pensler.[223] On August 14, 2019, it was announced that Leonard had been nominated for United States Attorney for Western Michigan, making a Senate campaign highly unlikely.[224]

Minnesota

Incumbent Democrat Tina Smith was appointed to the U.S. Senate to replace Al Franken in 2018 after serving as lieutenant governor, and she won a special election later in 2018 to serve the remainder of Franken's term. She is seeking a full term in 2020.[225]

Former congressman Jason Lewis is running for the Republican nomination.[90] Potential Republican candidates include 2018 lieutenant governor candidate Donna Bergstrom,[226] and former state representative Doug Wardlow.[227] On July 2, 2019, 2018 Republican nominee Karin Housley announced that she would not be a candidate for the U.S. Senate again, instead seeking re-election to the Minnesota State Senate.[228]

Mississippi

After seven-term incumbent Republican senator Thad Cochran resigned in April 2018, Republican governor Phil Bryant appointed state agriculture commissioner Cindy Hyde-Smith to succeed Cochran until a special election could be held later in the year. Hyde-Smith won the November 2018 special election to fill the remainder of Cochran's term, which ends in January 2021. Hyde-Smith is running for a full term for the seat.[94] Other potential Republican candidates include state senator Chris McDaniel, who also sought the seat in 2014 and 2018.[229]

Democratic candidates include former U.S secretary of agriculture and 2018 Senate candidate Mike Espy.[230][231]

Montana

One-term incumbent Republican Steve Daines was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two years in the United States House of Representatives. He is running for reelection.[96]

Among Democrats, Helena mayor Wilmot Collins[232] and nuclear engineer and U.S. Navy veteran John Mues[233] have announced their candidacies. Governor Steve Bullock has indicated that he will not enter the race.[234]

Nebraska

One-term incumbent Republican Ben Sasse was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving as the president of Midland University. He is running for a second term in 2020.[235] He is being challenged in the Republican primary by Matt Innis, businessman and former chair of Lancaster County Republican Party.[236][237]

Democrats who have declared include Chris Janicek, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[238] and Angie Philips, mental health advocate.[238]

New Hampshire

Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was narrowly re-elected in 2014. Shaheen is seeking a third term in 2020.[239]

Former U.S. Army brigadier general Donald Bolduc has announced his candidacy.[240] Other potential Republican challengers include former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte,[241] Ambassador to New Zealand Scott Brown, state House minority leader William L. O'Brien, former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski and businessman Jay Lucas. Governor Chris Sununu has indicated that he will not run for the Senate.[242]

New Jersey

One-term incumbent Democrat Cory Booker was re-elected in 2014; Booker first took office by winning a 2013 special election after serving seven years as mayor of Newark. Booker is running for president in 2020, but the state allows him to simultaneously run for both president and for the U.S. Senate.[243] Other potential Democratic candidates include Governor Phil Murphy, Congressman Donald Norcross, and Congressman Josh Gottheimer.[244] Among Republicans, attorney and political commentator Matt Rooney is a potential candidate.[245]

New Mexico

Two-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall is retiring in 2020.[246] U.S. representative Ben Ray Luján[247] and Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver[248] have announced candidacies for the Democratic nomination. On April 10, 2019, U.S. representative Deb Haaland said that she would not be a candidate, but instead seek reelection.[249]

Among Republicans, former U.S. Interior Department official Gavin Clarkson has announced his candidacy.[250] Potential Republican candidates include former governor Susana Martinez, former Albuquerque mayor Richard J. Berry,[251] former U.S. representative and former secretary of the air force Heather Wilson, former U.S. representative Steve Pearce and former state representative Yvette Herrell.[252]

North Carolina

One-term incumbent Republican Thom Tillis was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving eight years in the state House of Representatives, narrowly defeating one-term incumbent Kay Hagan. He faces a primary challenge from wealthy investment broker Garland Tucker.[253] Tillis could also potentially run for governor.[254][255]

State senator Erica D. Smith, Mecklenburg County commissioner Trevor Fuller, and former state senator Cal Cunningham are running for the Democratic nomination. Other potential Democratic candidates include state senator Jeff Jackson[166] and former state Treasurer Janet Cowell.[256]

Oklahoma

Four-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was easily re-elected in 2014. Former EPA administrator Scott Pruitt is considered a possible candidate if Inhofe chooses to retire.[257]

Oregon

Two-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2014. Merkley, who was considered to be a possible 2020 presidential candidate, opted to forgo the crowded contest and is running for re-election to his seat.[258]

Rhode Island

Four-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was easily re-elected in 2014. Reed is seeking a fifth term.[124]

South Carolina

Three-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected in 2014. Former South Carolina Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison and economist Dr. Gloria Bromell-Tinubu are running for the Democratic nomination.

South Dakota

One-term incumbent Republican Mike Rounds was elected to a first term in 2014 after serving two terms as the governor of South Dakota. He faces a primary challenge from state representative Scyller Borglum.[259] Potential Democratic candidates may include state Senate minority leader Billie Sutton, the 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee.[260]

Tennessee

Three-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected in 2014. He announced in December 2018 that he would not seek re-election.[261] Among Republicans, orthopedic surgeon Manny Sethi has announced his candidacy,[262] as well as William F. Hagerty.[263] James Mackler, an Iraq War veteran and Nashville attorney, has announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination. Among Democrats, state senator Jeff Yarbro is a possible candidate.[264]

Texas

Three-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected in 2014 by a wide margin. He is running for re-election.[140] Cornyn is facing former Cleveland school board member Dwayne Stovall in the Republican primary.[265][266]

MJ Hegar, an Air Force combat veteran who served as the 2018 Democratic nominee for Texas's 31st congressional district, is running.[267] Sema Hernandez, a former candidate for U.S Senate in 2018, is also seeking the Democratic nomination.[268] state Senator Royce West is also seeking the Democratic nomination.[269] Other potential Democratic candidates include former state senator Wendy Davis, Congressman Colin Allred, Congresswoman Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, Congresswoman Veronica Escobar, Congresswoman Sylvia Garcia, San Antonio mayor Ron Nirenberg, Houston city councilwoman Amanda Edwards, and state representative Rafael Anchia.[270] On July 22, 2019, Wendy Davis announced that she would not be a candidate for the U.S. Senate, running for the House of Representatives instead.[271]

Virginia

Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was re-elected by a very narrow margin in 2014 after winning easily in 2008. Former Republican congressman Scott Taylor has announced his candidacy.[272] University of Maryland law professor Victor Williams announced his candidacy on July 4, 2019.[273]

West Virginia

One-term incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito was easily elected over a credible opponent after serving 14 years in the U.S. House of Representatives. Social justice activist Paula Jean Swearengin, a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[274] has declared. Potential Democratic candidates may include former state senator Richard Ojeda, a nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in West Virginia's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and briefly a candidate for president in 2020.

Wyoming

Four-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected in 2014. Enzi announced in May 2019 that he will retire. On July 11, 2019, former congresswoman Cynthia Lummis announced her candidacy.[275] Congresswoman Liz Cheney and former two-term governor Matt Mead[276] are potential Republican candidates.[277]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Because the vice president of the United States has the power to break ties in the Senate, a Senate majority requires either 51 Senate seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency. Thus, assuming that the two independents continue to caucus with the Senate Democratic Caucus, the Democrats will have to pick up at least three Senate seats to win a majority. If a Republican is elected as vice president in the 2020 election, then Democrats will have to pick up at least four Senate seats to win a majority.
  2. ^ The two independents, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have both caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate.
  3. ^ Incumbent in 2014, except where noted
  4. ^ a b If no candidate win a majority of the vote in the November 3, 2020 jungle primary, the top two candidates will go to run-off.

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