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2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
 
Jim Justice 2017 InaugurationHighlights PB-63 (32366955776) (cropped).jpg
Ben Salango.png
Nominee Jim Justice Ben Salango
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 497,944 237,024
Percentage 64.8% 30.8%

2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Justice:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Jim Justice
Republican

Elected Governor

Jim Justice
Republican

The 2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Jim Justice announced his 2020 re-election campaign on January 7, 2019.[1] Justice was elected in 2016 as a Democrat, but later switched back to the Republican Party.[2] Justice won re-election to a second term, defeating the Democratic nominee, Kanawha County commissioner Ben Salango. Justice's re-election made him the first Republican to be elected governor of West Virginia since Cecil Underwood in 1996. Additionally, Justice became the first incumbent Republican governor to win re-election since Arch A. Moore Jr. in 1972, and the first Republican to carry all counties in West Virginia.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Shelly Jean Fitzhugh, retiree[4]
  • Michael Folk, former state delegate[5]
  • Brooke Lunsford, insurance agent[6]
  • Chuck Sheedy, U.S. Army veteran[7]
  • Doug Six, surveyor[6]
  • Woody Thrasher, former West Virginia Secretary of Commerce (2017–2018)[8]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Justice
Mike
Folk
Woody
Thrasher
Other /
Undecided
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV May 18–26, 2020 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 53% 15% 14% 18%[b]
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] December 16–18, 2019 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 6% 30% 26%'
Research America Inc. December 4–9, 2019 229 (LV) 56% 11% 21% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) August 24–25, 2019 [c] 56% 26% 18%
Research America Inc. August 14–22, 2019 216 (LV) 53% 12% 19% 17%'
WPA Intelligence[B] August 13–14, 2019 509 (V) 38% 11% 23% 28%
WPA Intelligence[C] March 7–10, 2019 509 (V) 58% 5% 5% 32%

Results

Results by county:  Justice .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Justice—80–90%   Justice—70–80%   Justice—60–70%   Justice—50–60%   Justice—40–50%    Folk   Folk—40–50%
Results by county:
Justice
  •   Justice—80–90%
  •   Justice—70–80%
  •   Justice—60–70%
  •   Justice—50–60%
  •   Justice—40–50%
Folk
  •   Folk—40–50%
Republican primary results [11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Justice (incumbent) 133,258 62.70%
Republican Woody Thrasher 38,898 18.30%
Republican Michael Folk 26,735 12.58%
Republican Doug Six 4,429 2.08%
Republican Brooke Lunsford 3,849 1.81%
Republican Shelly Jean Fitzhugh 2,799 1.32%
Republican Chuck Sheedy 2,552 1.20%
Total votes 212,520 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ben Salango
Federal politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Stephen Smith
Federal politicians
Organizations
Ron Stollings
State legislators

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ben
Salango
Stephen
Smith
Ron
Stollings
Other /
Undecided
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV May 18–26, 2020 231 (LV) ± 6.4% 30% 27% 10% 33%[d]
Research America/MetroNews December 4–10, 2019 220 (LV) ± 4.4% 18% 21% 19% 46%[e]

Results

Results by county:  Salango   Salango—60–70%   Salango—50–60%   Salango—40–50%   Salango—30–40%    Smith   Smith—30–40%   Smith—40–50%   Smith—50–60%    Stollings   Stollings—50–60%   Stollings—70–80%    Murphy   Murphy—30–40%   Murphy—40–50%
Results by county:
Salango
  •   Salango—60–70%
  •   Salango—50–60%
  •   Salango—40–50%
  •   Salango—30–40%
Smith
  •   Smith—30–40%
  •   Smith—40–50%
  •   Smith—50–60%
Stollings
  •   Stollings—50–60%
  •   Stollings—70–80%
Murphy
  •   Murphy—30–40%
  •   Murphy—40–50%
Democratic primary results[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Salango 74,805 38.68%
Democratic Stephen Smith 65,544 33.89%
Democratic Ron Stollings 25,782 13.33%
Democratic Jody Murphy 18,039 9.33%
Democratic Douglas Hughes 9,231 4.77%
Total votes 193,401 100.0%

Other candidates

Mountain Party

The Mountain Party received over 5% of the vote in 2016 with former State Senator and Delegate Charlotte Pritt as the party's gubernatorial nominee. The party nominates its candidate for governor by convention per its bylaws.[29]

Nominee

  • Daniel Lutz, Eastern Panhandle Conservation District Supervisor representing Jefferson County, and Commissioned U.S. Air Force Veteran[30]

Endorsements

Daniel Lutz

Organizations

  • Eastern Panhandle Green Coalition, environmental organization[31]
  • Jefferson County Vision, sustainability organization[31]

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Erika Kolenich, trial attorney[7]

Write-ins

The following candidates are certified write-in candidates.[32]

Declared

  • Quintin Gerard Caldwell
  • Michael Folk, former State Delegate (sought the nomination of the Republican Party)
  • Kimberly Gross
  • Mitch Roberts
  • Marshall Wilson, State Delegate (Independent)[33]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Safe R September 15, 2020
Inside Elections[35] Safe R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Likely R October 8, 2020
Politico[37] Likely R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[38] Safe R October 29, 2020
RCP[39] Safe R July 29, 2020
270towin[40] Likely R October 16, 2020

Endorsements

Ben Salango (D)
Federal politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Justice (R)
Ben
Salango (D)
Daniel
Lutz (M)
Erika
Kolenich (L)
Undecided
Triton Polling and Research October 19–21, 2020 544 (LV) ± 4.2% 53% 35% 3% 3% 5%
Research America Inc. October 1–6, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 53% 34% 2% 5% 6%
Triton Polling & Research September 29–30, 2020[f] 525 (RV) ± 4.3% 48% 38% 4% 4% 6%
Strategies Unlimited[D] September 26–30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 46% 40% 5% 8%
Mark Blankenship Enterprises (R)[g] September 10–14, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 27% 9%[h] 10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Justice (R)
Joe
Manchin (D)
Other /
Undecided
Research America/MetroNews August 14–22, 2019 501 (RV) ± 4.4% 39% 49% 12%

Results

West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2020[43][44]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim Justice (incumbent) 497,944 64.77% +22.47%
Democratic Ben Salango 237,024 30.83% -18.26%
Libertarian Erika Kolenich 22,527 2.93% +0.78%
Mountain Daniel Lutz 11,309 1.47% -4.42%
Total votes 768,804 100.00%
Turnout 802,726 63.25%
Registered electors 1,269,219
Republican hold

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Undecided with 12%, Doug Six with 2.0%; Shelby Fitzhugh with 1.8%; Brooke Lunsford with 1.2%; Chuck Sheedy with 0.6%
  3. ^ Not available
  4. ^ Undecided with 29%, Jody Murphy with 2.9%; Douglas Hughes with 1.3%
  5. ^ Undecided with 42%, Cecil Silva with 1.8%; Jody Murphy with 1.4%; Edwin Vanover with 0.5%
  6. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Justice's campaign.
  8. ^ Split between Danny Lutz (M) and Erika Kolenich (L)
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll conducted for Woody Thrasher
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Woody Thrasher's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Woody Thrasher's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by West Virginia First, which opposed Jim Justice's reelection bid prior to this poll's sampling period.

References

  1. ^ Brown, Haley (January 7, 2019). "Governor Justice announces 2020 campaign". WVVA. Retrieved January 7, 2019.
  2. ^ "West Virginia Undergoing Political, Generational Change". New York Times. August 3, 2017. Retrieved August 3, 2017.
  3. ^ Zuckerman, Jake (January 7, 2019). "Gov. Jim Justice announces re-election bid". Charleston Gazette-Mail. Retrieved January 7, 2019.
  4. ^ "Campaign Update: Shelby Jean Fitzhugh on West Virginia's needs". West Virginia Press. February 14, 2020.
  5. ^ "Former Delegate Mike Folk announces run for W.Va. governor". Associated Press. February 5, 2019. Retrieved February 5, 2019.
  6. ^ a b Thomas, Alex (January 29, 2020). "Governor, US Senate seats up in this year's election".
  7. ^ a b c "Financial Disclosure - Governor 2020 Election". West Virginia Secretary of State.
  8. ^ Young, Charles (April 16, 2019). "Woody Thrasher to run for governor, hopes to unseat Justice in WV's 2020 election". WV News. Retrieved April 16, 2019.
  9. ^ Kabler, Phil (October 4, 2018). "BRIM adopts statement of support for pending settlements of Mac Warner lawsuits". Charleston Gazette-Mail.
  10. ^ a b Adams, Steven Allen (December 3, 2018). "Tis the election season again". The Journal. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
  11. ^ "GOVERNOR - REP". Secretary of State of West Virginia. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  12. ^ Morris, Jeff (October 4, 2019). "Kanawha Commissioner Ben Salango to run for governor". WCHS.
  13. ^ Mistich, David (November 27, 2018). "West Virginia Community Organizer Jumps in 2020 Gubernatorial Race". WV Public Broadcasting. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
  14. ^ Jenkins, Jeff. "Stollings to run for governor". WV MetroNews. WV MetroNews. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  15. ^ "Douglas Hughes, Democratic candidate for W.Va. governor". WCHS - ABC 8. April 3, 2020.
  16. ^ Levine, Marianne (September 3, 2019). "Joe Manchin won't run for governor of West Virginia". Politico. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
  17. ^ a b WVMetroNews (2020-03-18). "Manchin endorses Salango in gubernatorial contest". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2020-05-21.
  18. ^ a b "Endorsements | Ben Salango for Governor". Ben Salango.
  19. ^ a b "2020 Primary Election Cope Endorsements". West Virginia AFL-CIO.
  20. ^ a b "Ben Salango for Governor | West Virginia". Ben Salango.
  21. ^ McElhinny, Brad (September 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren pitches an early endorsement for Stephen Smith's campaign for governor". WV MetroNews. “I'm proud to endorse Stephen's bid for governor, and his team's efforts to run candidates up and down the ballot,” Warren stated.
  22. ^ "Next Up Endorses Young Progressive Candidates". People for the American Way. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  23. ^ "Join the Bold Progressive Movement!". Progressive Change Campaign Committee (BoldProgressives.org).
  24. ^ "2020 Endorsements". Rise Up West Virginia. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  25. ^ "Join us Sunday for the next WFP Assembly". Working Families Party. January 24, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  26. ^ "Planned Parenthood Votes! South Atlantic Announces Election Endorsements, including Stephen Smith for Governor". Planned Parenthood Action Fund (PlannedParenthoodAction.org).
  27. ^ Pace, Bailey (March 18, 2020). "Democratic gubernatorial candidate, Dr. Stollings, criticizes Manchin for endorsement of opponent during COVID-19 crisis". WVVA.
  28. ^ "GOVERNOR - DEM". Secretary of State of West Virginia. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  29. ^ "Constitution and Bylaws of the West Virginia Mountain Party". Mountain Party. Retrieved June 20, 2020.
  30. ^ "Mountain Party Nominates Danny Lutz For Governor". Mountain Party. June 20, 2020. Retrieved June 20, 2020.
  31. ^ a b "2020 General Election Guide" (PDF). Retrieved October 22, 2020.
  32. ^ "List Of Candidates For 11/03/2020 -- GENERAL 2020" (PDF). West Virginia Secretary of State. Retrieved October 12, 2020.
  33. ^ "Delegate Marshall Wilson running for Governor of West Virginia". WDVM-TV. June 12, 2020. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
  34. ^ "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  35. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
  36. ^ "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
  37. ^ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  38. ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  39. ^ "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  40. ^ "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  41. ^ "Ben Salango hosts Facebook Live with Jennifer Garner to discuss issues in W.Va". WSAZ News. September 17, 2020.
  42. ^ "Ben Salango on Twitter: I am honored to have the endorsement of Cecil Roberts and the @MineWorkers". Twitter.
  43. ^ "November 3, 2020 General Election - Official Results". West Virginia State - Clarity Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
  44. ^ "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Retrieved 13 December 2020..

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 10 February 2021, at 22:19
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