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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 9 9
Seats won 9 9
Seat change Steady Steady

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 18 U.S. Representatives from the state of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts. The state's primary election occurred on June 2, 2020. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

District 1

The 1st district consists of all of Bucks County and a sliver of Montgomery County. The incumbent is Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Andy Meehan, president of investment advisory firm[2]

Endorsements

Brian Fitzpatrick
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State executives
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers and other media

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 48,017 63.2
Republican Andy Meehan 27,895 36.8
Total votes 75,912 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Skylar Hurwitz, owner of Demetrius Consulting, a technology consulting firm[13]
Withdrew
Declined

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Christina Finello
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Vice Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
Skylar Hurwitz
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christina Finello 71,571 77.5
Democratic Skylar Hurwitz 20,737 22.5
Total votes 92,308 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Lean R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Lean R October 1, 2020
Politico[26] Tossup November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Tossup October 26, 2020
RCP[28] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Lean R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Lean R August 21, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Lean R September 3, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Christina
Finello (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] October 6–7, 2020 569 (LV) 46% 47% 7%
Global Strategy Group (D)[B] October 1–4, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 45%
American Viewpoint (R)[C] September 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 36%
DFM Research August 16–18, 2020 384 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 35% 4%[b] 14%
American Viewpoint (R)[C] July 13–15, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 35% 5%[c] 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[D] July 11–14, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 39%
Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[A] June 7–14, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 46% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[1][B] June 10–11, 2020 753 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 38% 21%
Hypothetical polling
with Debbie Waschspress
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Debbie
Waschspress (D)
Undecided
Remington Research (R)[C] November 6–7, 2019 803 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 36% 14%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) October 6–7, 2020 569 (LV) 44% 50% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[2][B] June 10–11, 2020 753 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 49% 11%
Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[A] June 7–14, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 40%[d] 52% 2%[e] 8%

Results

Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 249,804 56.6
Democratic Christina Finello 191,875 43.4
Total votes 441,679 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district consists of the Northeast Philadelphia and parts of North Philadelphia. The incumbent is Brendan Boyle who was re-elected with 79.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Brendan Boyle
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local Officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 73,980 100.0
Total votes 73,980 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • David Torres, community activist[37]

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Torres 14,010 100.0
Total votes 14,010 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 198,140 72.5
Republican David Torres 75,022 27.5
Total votes 273,162 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

The 3rd district is anchored by Philadelphia, taking in the northwest, west, and Center City sections of the city. The incumbent is Democrat Dwight Evans, who was re-elected with 93.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Dwight Evans
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 164,871 100.0
Total votes 164,871 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Michael Harvey, Philadelphia's 60th Ward Chairperson and military veteran[39]

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Harvey 5,020 100.0
Total votes 5,020 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 341,708 91.0
Republican Michael Harvey 33,671 9.0
Total votes 375,379 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

The 4th district takes in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, centering on Montgomery County. The incumbent is Democrat Madeleine Dean, who was elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Madeleine Dean
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 122,657 100.0
Total votes 122,657 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kathy Barnette, military veteran and political commentator[46]
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Kathy Barnette
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Individuals

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kathy Barnette 58,571 100.0
Total votes 58,571 100.0

Independent Candidates

  • Joe Tarshish, auditor (write-in)

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 264,637 59.5
Republican Kathy Barnette 179,926 40.5
Total votes 444,563 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

The 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of South Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The incumbent is Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon who flipped the district with 65.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Mary Gay Scanlon
Organizations
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 103,194 100.0
Total votes 103,194 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dasha Pruett, photographer[50]
Eliminated in primary
  • Rob Jordan, activist[39]

Endorsements

Dasha Pruett
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dasha Pruett 31,734 61.5
Republican Rob Jordan 19,890 38.5
Total votes 51,624 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 255,743 64.7
Republican Dasha Pruett 139,552 35.3
Total votes 395,295 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

The 6th district encompasses all of Chester County and the part of southern Berks County including Reading. The incumbent is Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who flipped the district and was elected with 58.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Chrissy Houlahan
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 89,411 100.0
Total votes 89,411 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John Emmons, chemical engineer[60]
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Emmons 56,928 100.0
Total votes 56,928 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • John McHugh, Honey Brook Township Chairman and Marine veteran (write-in)[62]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 226,440 56.1
Republican John Emmons 177,526 43.9
Total votes 403,966 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, and consists of Lehigh and Northampton counties as well as parts of Monroe County, including the cities of Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton. The incumbent is Democrat Susan Wild, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Endorsements

Susan Wild
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Vice Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
  • Gabrielle Giffords, former U.S. Representative from AZ-08 (2007–2012), Member of the Arizona Senate from the 28th district (2005-2007), Member of the Arizona House of Representatives from the 13th district (2003-2005) and founder of Giffords[63]
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 76,878 100.0
Total votes 76,878 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not qualify for ballot access
  • Matthew D. Connolly, Republican nominee for PA-17 in 2018[76]

Endorsements

Lisa Scheller
U.S. Presidents
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
State executives
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Individuals
  • Jeff Bartos, 2018 Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania[77]

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lisa Scheller 29,673 52.1
Republican Dean Browning 27,260 47.9
Total votes 56,933 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Likely D October 8, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Likely D October 8, 2020
Politico[26] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D October 29, 2020
RCP[28] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Likely D August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wild (D)
Lisa
Scheller (R)
Other Undecided
DeSales University October 11–24, 2020[f] 448 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 36%
Franklin & Marshall College October 12–18, 2020 447 (V) ± 5.8% 44% 36% 20%
DeSales University October 3–10, 2020 466 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 36%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 21–24, 2020 414 (LV) ± 5.5% 52% 39% 2%[g] 8%

Results

Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 195,713 51.9
Republican Lisa Scheller 181,569 48.1
Total votes 377,282 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

The 8th district, based in the northeastern part of the state, is home to the cities of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. The incumbent is Democrat Matt Cartwright, who was re-elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Matt Cartwright
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 75,101 100.0
Total votes 75,101 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Jim Bognet
U.S. Representatives

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Bognet 16,281 28.4
Republican Teddy Daniels 13,560 23.7
Republican Earl Granville 13,283 23.2
Republican Mike Marsciano 7,404 12.9
Republican Harry Haas 5,369 9.4
Republican Mike Cammisa 1,367 2.4
Total votes 57,264 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Lean D July 17, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Likely D October 8, 2020
Politico[26] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Likely D October 26, 2020
RCP[28] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Lean D August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Jim
Bognet (R)
Undecided
co/efficient (R)[E] October 13–14, 2020 615 (LV) 48% 43%

Results

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 178,407 51.8
Republican Jim Bognet 166,201 48.2
Total votes 344,608 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

The 9th district encompasses the Coal Region of Northeastern Pennsylvania. The incumbent is Republican Dan Meuser, who was elected with 59.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Dan Meuser
U.S. Presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 77,350 100.0
Total votes 77,350 100.0

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Gary Wegman, dentist[93]

Eliminated in primary

  • Laura Quick, delivery driver[93]

Endorsements

Laura Quick
Organizations
Gary Wegman
U.S. Senators
  • Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present), Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005-2007), Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997-2005)[95]
Labor unions
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Wegman 27,451 51.0
Democratic Laura Quick 26,385 49.0
Total votes 53,836 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 232,988 66.3
Democratic Gary Wegman 118,266 33.7
Total votes 351,254 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

The 10th district covers all of Dauphin County and parts of Cumberland and York counties, including the cities of Harrisburg and York. The incumbent is Republican Scott Perry, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrew
  • Bobby Jeffries, logistics director[96]

Endorsements

Scott Perry
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 79,365 100.0
Total votes 79,365 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Tom Brier
State executives
Unions
  • American Postal Workers Union-Keystone Area Local #1566[106]
Organizations
Eugene DePasquale
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Vice Presidents
U.S. Senators
  • Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present), Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005-2007), Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997-2005)[108]
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-present), Democratic Party's nominee for Vice President in the 2020 election, Attorney General of California (2011-2017) and Attorney General of San Francisco (2004-2011)[109]
U.S. Representatives
State executives
State legislators
Local Officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tom
Brier
Eugene De
Pasquale
GBAO Strategies[F] February 5–9, 2020 – (V)[h] 16% 68%

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Eugene DePasquale 45,453 57.4
Democratic Tom Brier 33,661 42.6
Total votes 79,114 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Tossup July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Tossup October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
Politico[26] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Lean R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Tossup August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Scott
Perry (R)
Eugene
DePasquale (D)
Other/
Undecided
Tarrance Group (R)[G] October 13–15, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 44% 8%[i]
GBAO Strategies (D)[H] September 29 – October 2, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 51%
Victoria Research (D)[3][A] September 22–24, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 50% 7%[j]
Pulse Research August 18 – September 3, 2020 1,100 (LV) ±  2.9% 45%[k] 44%
GBAO Strategies (D)[H] August 30 – September 1, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 46% 50%
DFM Research August 6–9, 2020 384 (LV) ±  5.0% 44% 46% 10%[l]
Victoria Research (D)[A] June, 2020 – (V)[m] 50% 44%
GBAO Strategies (D)[H] May 28–31, 2020 600 (LV) ±  4.0% 50% 47%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Pennsylvania Survey Research (D)[A] September 22–24, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 47% 2%[n] 7%[o]
GBAO Strategies (D)[H] August 30 – September 1, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 45% 46%
Pennsylvania Survey Research (D)[A] June, 2020 – (V)[p] 47% 43%

Results

Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 208,896 53.3
Democratic Eugene DePasquale 182,938 46.6
Total votes 391,834 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

The 11th district is located in South Central Pennsylvania, centering on Lancaster County and southern York County. The incumbent is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who was re-elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 78,842 100.0
Total votes 78,842 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Sarah Hammond, high school field hockey coach[114]
Eliminated in primary
  • Paul Daigle, university student employment manager[115]

Endorsements

Sarah Hammond
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sarah Hammond 39,038 72.3
Democratic Paul Daigle 14,936 27.7
Total votes 53,974 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 241,915 63.1
Democratic Sarah Hammond 141,325 36.9
Total votes 383,240 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

The 12th district encompasses rural North Central Pennsylvania, including Williamsport. The incumbent is Republican Fred Keller, who was elected in a 2019 special election with 68.1% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Fred Keller
U.S. Presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fred Keller (incumbent) 87,886 100.0
Total votes 87,886 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lee Griffin, businessman[116]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lee Griffin 41,313 100.0
Total votes 41,313 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Elizabeth Terwilliger, speech-language pathologist

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fred Keller (incumbent) 240,717 70.9
Democratic Lee Griffin 99,052 29.1
Total votes 339,504 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

The 13th district encompasses rural southwestern Pennsylvania, including Altoona. The incumbent is Republican John Joyce, who was elected with 70.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

John Joyce
U.S. Presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 94,171 100.0
Total votes 94,171 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Todd Rowley, former FBI Agent, park ranger[117]

Endorsements

Todd Rowley
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Todd Rowley 41,988 100.0
Total votes 41,988 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 267,789 73.5
Democratic Todd Rowley 96,612 26.5
Total votes 364,401 100.0
Republican hold

District 14

The 14th district encompasses the southern exurbs of Pittsburgh. The incumbent is Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who was elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Endorsements
Guy Reschenthaler
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 66,671 100.0
Total votes 66,671 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bill Marx, high school teacher and U.S. Army veteran[119]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill Marx 70,468 100.0
Total votes 70,468 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 241,668 64.7
Democratic Bill Marx 131,862 35.3
Total votes 373,530 100.0
Republican hold

District 15

The 15th district is located in rural North Central Pennsylvania. The incumbent is Republican Glenn Thompson, who was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Glenn Thompson
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 88,364 100.0
Total votes 88,364 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Robert Williams, minister[39]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert Williams 48,714 100.0
Total votes 48,714 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 255,051 73.5
Democratic Robert Williams 92,143 26.5
Total votes 347,194 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

The 16th district is located in the northwestern portion of the state, and covers all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, and Lawrence counties, as well as much of Butler County. The incumbent is Republican Mike Kelly, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Mike Kelly
U.S. Presidents

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 68,199 100.0
Total votes 68,199 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kristy Gnibus, teacher[121]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Kristy Gnibus
U.S. Senators
  • Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present), Treasurer of Pennsylvania (2005-2007), Auditor General of Pennsylvania (1997-2005)[124]
U.S. Representatives
State executives
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kristy Gnibus 63,640 100.0
Total votes 63,640 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Likely R October 8, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Lean R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe R August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Kelly (R)
Kristy
Gnibus (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] June 22–23, 2020 726 (V) ± 3.6% 48% 40% 12%

Results

Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 210,008 59.3
Democratic Kristy Gnibus 143,865 40.7
Total votes 353,873 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

The 17th district encompasses the northwestern Pittsburgh suburbs, including Beaver County, the southwestern corner of Butler County, and northern Allegheny County. The incumbent is Democrat Conor Lamb, who was re-elected with 56.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Endorsements
Conor Lamb
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Conor Lamb (incumbent) 111,828 100.0
Total votes 111,828 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee

  • Sean Parnell, U.S. Army veteran[128]

Endorsements

Sean Parnell
U.S. Presidents
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Parnell 60,253 100.0
Total votes 60,253 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Likely D November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Likely D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Lean D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Likely D August 21, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Conor
Lamb (D)
Sean
Parnell (R)
Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)[J] September 2–3, 2020 400 (LV) 45% 44% 11%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[J] July 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) 50% 41% 9%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[J] March 9–11, 2020 400 (LV) 54% 36% 10%

Results

Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Conor Lamb (incumbent) 222,242 51.1
Republican Sean Parnell 212,279 48.9
Total votes 434,521 100.0
Democratic hold

District 18

The 18th district includes the entire city of Pittsburgh and parts of surrounding suburbs. The incumbent is Democrat Mike Doyle, who was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jerry Dickinson, law professor[132]

Disqualified

  • Janis Brooks, former pastor and nonprofit founder[133]

Endorsements

Mike Doyle
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 90,353 67.2
Democratic Jerry Dickinson 44,170 32.8
Total votes 134,523 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Luke Negron 30,497 100.0
Total votes 30,497 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared
  • Donald Nevills, Navy veteran and business owner (write-in)
  • Daniel Vayda (write-in)

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D June 26, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[26] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[28] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe D June 7, 2020
270toWin[30] Safe D August 21, 2020

Results

Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, 2020[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Doyle (incumbent) 266,084 69.3
Republican Luke Negron 118,163 30.7
Total votes 384,247 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Other candidate" with 4%
  3. ^ Steve Scheetz (L) with 5%
  4. ^ Including voters who lean towards a particular candidate
  5. ^ "Other/neither" with 2%
  6. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  7. ^ "Neither/other" with 2%
  8. ^ Data not yet released
  9. ^ Undecided with 8%
  10. ^ "Other/neither" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
  11. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  12. ^ Other with 1% and Undecided with 9%
  13. ^ Not yet released
  14. ^ "Other/neither" with 2%
  15. ^ Includes "Refused"
  16. ^ Not yet released
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC, an organization promoting the election of Democratic Congressional candidates.
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Finello's campaign.
  3. ^ a b c Poll commissioned by the Congressional Leadership Fund
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Fitzpatrick's campaign
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Bognet's campaign.
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by De Pasquale's campaign
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Perry's campaign and the NRCC.
  8. ^ a b c d Poll conducted by DePasquale's campaign
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Gnibus' campaign
  10. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Sean Parnell's campaign

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External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 15th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 16th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 17th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 18th district candidates
This page was last edited on 25 November 2020, at 23:22
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