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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 1

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. Representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

District 1

The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • James Rhodes[2]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[6] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[7] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[8] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[9] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Democratic James Rhodes
Total votes 100.0

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent) 65,313 88.6
Republican Kathleen Free 8,380 11.4
Total votes 73,693 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2018[10]

Third parties

Libertarian Party

Populist Party

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[13] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[15] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[16] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[17] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[18] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Democratic Hank Linderman
Libertarian Robert Lee Perry
Populist Lewis Carter
Total votes 100.0

District 3

The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[20]
  • Waymen Eddings, businessman[20]
  • Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[20]

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rhonda Palazzo 19,806 42.4
Republican Mike Craven 19,676 42.1
Republican Waymen Eddings 7,275 15.5
Total votes 46,757 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[22] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[24] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[25] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Yarmuth (incumbent)
Republican Rhonda Palazzo
Total votes 100.0

District 4

The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined
  • Kim Moser, state representative[30]

Endorsements

Thomas Massie (R)
US Senators

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Todd
McMurty
Kim
Moser
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[A] June 10–11, 2020 411 (LV) ± 4.9% 77% 11% 12%
WPA Intelligence[B] April 27–28, 2020 407 (LV) ± 4.9% 70% 13% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[C] February 4–6, 2020 300 (V) ± 5.66% 71% 3%
WPA Intelligence[D] July 8–9, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 64% 10% 26%
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Thomas
Massie
Generic
Republican
Undecided
WPA Intelligence[b] July 8–9, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 8% 43%[c]

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent) 68,591 81.0
Republican Todd McMurtry 16,092 19.0
Total votes 84,683 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Shannon Fabert, business consultant[32]
  • Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner[32]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alexandra Owensby 41,531 58.4
Democratic Shannon Fabert 29,557 41.6
Total votes 71,088 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[34] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[36] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[37] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[38] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[39] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Democratic Alexandra Owensby
Total votes 100.0

District 5

The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. Representative[40]
  • Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018[40]

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent) 76,575 91.1
Republican Gerardo Serrano 7,436 8.9
Total votes 84,011 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[42] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[43] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[45] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[46] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[47] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[48] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Democratic Matthew Best
Total votes 100.0

District 6

The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent) 62,706 90.7
Republican Chuck Eddy 3,636 5.3
Republican Geoff Young 2,765 4.0
Total votes 69,107 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[51]
  • Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018[50]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Hicks 81,305 72.4
Democratic Daniel Kemph 31,064 27.6
Total votes 112,369 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[52] Likely R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[53] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[54] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[55] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[56] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[57] Likely R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[58] Lean R June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Andy
Barr (R)
Josh
Hicks (D)
Frank
Harris (L)
Undecided
Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)[E] July 13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% 50% 2% 11%

Results

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Democratic Josh Hicks
Total votes 100.0

Notes

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  3. ^ "Would consider another candidate besides Massie" with 36%; "don't know" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
  2. ^ By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Massie
  4. ^ The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
  5. ^ This pollster supports candidates it considers politically progressive

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 8, 2019.
  2. ^ a b Overstreet, Melinda J. (January 10, 2020). "Candidates seek to unseat Riley, Rowland and Givens; 17 file for nine Glasgow council seats". Glasgow Daily Times. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  3. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  4. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  5. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  6. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  7. ^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  8. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  9. ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  10. ^ a b c Swietek, Wes (January 10, 2020). "Minter, Sheldon unopposed in 2020". Bowling Green Daily News. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  11. ^ a b c d e f g "2020 Primary Election - Certified Election Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky - State Board of Elections. Retrieved September 5, 2020.
  12. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  13. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  14. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  15. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  16. ^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  17. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  18. ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  19. ^ Munson, Emilie (January 6, 2020). "Exclusive: Another Republican joins 5th District race". Retrieved January 9, 2020.
  20. ^ a b c "KENTUCKY". Politics 1. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  22. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  23. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  24. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  25. ^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  26. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  27. ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  28. ^ "Thomas Massie". www.facebook.com.
  29. ^ Bailey, Phillip M.; Sonka, Joe (January 10, 2020). "Attorney in Covington Catholic case challenges Rep. Thomas Massie in GOP primary". Louisville Courier Journal. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  30. ^ Bailey, Phillip M. (July 3, 2019). "National Republicans may be maneuvering to unseat Kentucky's conservative darling, Massie". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
  31. ^ Bailey, Phillip M. (July 4, 2019). "Rand Paul: Thomas Massie has 'my full support' against GOP primary threat". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  32. ^ a b Fair, Julia (January 7, 2020). "This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020". Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  33. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  34. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  35. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  36. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  37. ^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  38. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  39. ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  40. ^ a b c Mills, Jarrod (January 11, 2020). "Several races set as election filing deadline passes". Times-Tribune. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  41. ^ Desrochers, Daniel (December 2, 2019). "Rocky Adkins passes on U.S. Senate bid and takes job in Andy Beshear's administration". Lexington Herald Leader.
  42. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  43. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  44. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  45. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  46. ^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  47. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  48. ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  49. ^ "Andy Barr". Facebook. December 16, 2019. Retrieved December 25, 2019.
  50. ^ a b c Greene, Jonathan (January 14, 2020). "ELECTION 2020: Seven running for city commission". Richmond Register. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  51. ^ Schreiner, Bruce (August 1, 2019). "Marine veteran enters race for 6th District seat in Kentucky". Associated Press News. Retrieved August 1, 2019.
  52. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  53. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  54. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  55. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  56. ^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  57. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  58. ^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
This page was last edited on 24 September 2020, at 08:27
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