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2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee

← 2014 November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03) 2026 →
 
Sen. Bill Hagerty official Senate portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg
Marquita Bradshaw at Morristown (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bill Hagerty Marquita Bradshaw
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,840,926 1,040,691
Percentage 62.2% 35.2%

2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee results map by county.svg
County results
Hagerty:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Bradshaw:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Lamar Alexander
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Hagerty
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Tennessee, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Lamar Alexander announced that he would not run for reelection on December 17, 2018.[1] The former United States Ambassador to Japan Bill Hagerty won the open seat by a large margin against his Democratic opponent Marquita Bradshaw.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

  • Cliff Adkins[4]
  • Natisha Brooks[4]
  • Byron Bush, dentist[5]
  • Roy Dale Cope, small business owner and pharmacist[6][7]
  • Terry Dicus, attorney[7]
  • Tom Emerson, Jr., Tea Party candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[8]
  • George Flinn, Jr., former Shelby County commissioner, Nixon Admin. Official, physician, engineer, businessman, and republican candidate in Tennessee's 8th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[9]
  • Jon Henry, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[9]
  • Kent Morrell, business owner[9]
  • Glen Neal, Jr., retired public servant[9]
  • John Osborne, real estate agent and business owner[9]
  • Aaron Pettigrew, truck driver[10]
  • David Schuster, U.S. Navy veteran[8]
  • Manny Sethi, orthopedic surgeon, director of the Vanderbilt Orthopedic Institute Center for Health Policy, and founder and President of the non-profit Healthy Tennessee[11]

Disqualified from the primary ballot

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Bill Hagerty
Federal Officials
Governors
State Officials
Individuals
Organizations
Manny Sethi
Federal Officials
Governors
State Officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George Flinn Mark Green Bill Hagerty Bill Haslam Manny Sethi Other Undecided
JMC Analytics and Polling July 18–19, 2020 600 (LV) ±  4.0% 5% 36% 32% 9% 20%
The Trafalgar Group July 6–8, 2020 1,062 (LV) ±  2.92% 4% 42% 39% 2% 13%
Victory Phones[A] June 30 – July 1, 2020 800 (LV) ±  3.46% 6% 33% 31% 30%
The Tarrance Group[B] June 28–30, 2020 651 (LV) ±  4.0% 5% 46% 29% 2%[b] 18%
Victory Phones[A] June 2, 2020 [c] 27% 11%
July 11, 2019 Green and Haslam announce they will not run
Triton/Tennessee Star April 13–16, 2019 1,003 (LV) ± 3.1% 30% 39% ~30%

Results

Results by county:  Hagerty .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Hagerty—70–80%   Hagerty—60–70%   Hagerty—50–60%   Hagerty—40–50%   Hagerty—<40%    Sethi   Sethi—40–50%   Sethi—50–60%
Results by county:
Hagerty
  •   Hagerty—70–80%
  •   Hagerty—60–70%
  •   Hagerty—50–60%
  •   Hagerty—40–50%
  •   Hagerty—<40%
Sethi
  •   Sethi—40–50%
  •   Sethi—50–60%
Republican primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Hagerty 331,267 50.75%
Republican Manny Sethi 257,223 39.41%
Republican George Flinn, Jr. 22,454 3.44%
Republican Jon Henry 8,104 1.24%
Republican Natisha Brooks 8,072 1.24%
Republican Byron Bush 5,420 0.83%
Republican Clifford Adkins 5,316 0.81%
Republican Terry Dicus 2,279 0.35%
Republican Tom Emerson, Jr. 2,252 0.35%
Republican David Schuster 2,045 0.31%
Republican John Osborne 1,877 0.29%
Republican Roy Dale Cope 1,791 0.27%
Republican Kent Morrell 1,769 0.27%
Republican Aaron Pettigrew 1,622 0.25%
Republican Glen Neal, Jr. 1,233 0.19%
Total votes 652,724 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

  • Gary G. Davis, small business owner, baker, pilot, and perennial candidate[51]
  • Robin Kimbrough Hayes, attorney and clergywoman[52]
  • James Mackler, attorney, U.S. Army veteran and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018[2][53]
  • Mark Pickrell, entrepreneur, attorney and Baptist deacon[54]

Disqualified from the primary ballot

  • Tharon Chandler, journalist, economist, and conservationist[55]

Withdrawn

  • Diana C. Onyejiaka, college professor and consultant[56]

Declined

Endorsements

James Mackler

Results

Results by county:  Bradshaw   Bradshaw—60-70%   Bradshaw—50-60%   Bradshaw—40-50%   Bradshaw—<40%    Mackler/Davis tie   Mackler/Davis tie—<40%    Kimbrough   Kimbrough—<40%    Mackler   Mackler—<40%   Mackler—<40–50%    Davis   Davis—<40%
Results by county:
Bradshaw
  •   Bradshaw—60-70%
  •   Bradshaw—50-60%
  •   Bradshaw—40-50%
  •   Bradshaw—<40%
Mackler/Davis tie
  •   Mackler/Davis tie—<40%
Kimbrough
  •   Kimbrough—<40%
Mackler
  •   Mackler—<40%
  •   Mackler—<40–50%
Davis
  •   Davis—<40%
Democratic primary results[59]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marquita Bradshaw 117,962 35.51%
Democratic Robin Kimbrough Hayes 88,492 26.64%
Democratic James Mackler 78,966 23.77%
Democratic Gary G. Davis 30,758 9.26%
Democratic Mark Pickrell 16,045 4.83%
Total votes 332,223 100.00%

Independents

Declared

  • Yomi Faparusi, physician, attorney, researcher, and former Republican candidate for Tennessee's 4th congressional district in 2014 and 2016[8]
  • Jeffrey Grunau, activist[8]
  • Ronnie Henley,[8]
  • Dean Hill, US veteran, former federal employee, and activist[8]
  • Steven Hooper[8]
  • Aaron James[8]
  • Elizabeth McLeod, conservative activist[8]
  • Eric William Stansberry[8]

Withdrawn

  • Tom Kovach, attorney[71][8]
  • Kacey Morgan, freelancer and operations director (endorsed Marquita Bradshaw) (remained on ballot)[72]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[73] Safe R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[74] October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[75] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[76] Safe R November 30, 2020
Politico[77] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[78] Likely R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[79] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[80] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[81] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Bill Hagerty (R)
Federal Officials
Governors
State Officials
Local Officials
  • Roane County Commissioner Randy Ellis[86]
  • Sandy Still[86]
  • Cary Vaughn[86]
Individuals
Organizations
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
Federal Officials
Notable Individuals
Organizations
Unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Bill
Hagerty (R)
Marquita
Bradshaw (D)
Other Undecided
Swayable October 23 – November 1, 2020 431 (LV) ± 6.2% 61% 39%
Cygnal October 20–22, 2020 610 (LV) ± 3.97% 56% 36% 1%[d] 7%

Results

2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee[102]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Bill Hagerty 1,840,926 62.20% +0.33%
Democratic Marquita Bradshaw 1,040,691 35.16% +3.29%
Independent Elizabeth McLeod 16,652 0.56% N/A
Independent Yomi Faparusi 10,727 0.36% N/A
Independent Stephen Hooper 9,609 0.32% N/A
Independent Kacey Morgan (withdrawn) 9,598 0.32% N/A
Independent Ronnie Henley 8,478 0.30% N/A
Independent Aaron James 7,203 0.29% N/A
Independent Eric William Stansberry 6,781 0.23% N/A
Independent Dean Hill 4,872 0.16% N/A
Independent Jeffrey Grunau 4,160 0.14% N/A
Write-in 64 0.00% ±0.00%
Total votes 2,959,761 100.0%
Republican hold

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "One of the other candidates" with 2%
  3. ^ Not yet released
  4. ^ "Third-party candidate" with 1%
  5. ^ "Does not matter" with 26%; unsure with 5%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll conducted for the Sethi campaign.
  2. ^ Poll conducted for the Hagerty campaign.

References

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  42. ^ Butler, Chris (July 8, 2020). "Former Congressman John J. Duncan Endorses Manny Sethi". The Tennessee Star.[better source needed]
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  45. ^ Sethi, Manny (November 8, 2019). "Dr. Manny for Senate Announces "Veterans for Dr. Manny" Coalition". Dr. Manny Sethi for Senate.
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  87. ^ Teague, Sleater (October 26, 2020). "Biden endorses Marquita Bradshaw in Tennessee's U.S. Senate race". WJHL.
  88. ^ Ed Markey [@EdMarkey] (October 11, 2020). ".@Bradshaw2020 is a working class, single mom and the first Black woman to run for Senate in Tennessee. She has spent her life fighting for her community and working to bring social, racial, economic, and environmental justice to all. Now, she's taking that fight to Washington" (Tweet). Retrieved October 11, 2020 – via Twitter.
  89. ^ Bradshaw, Marquita [@Bradshaw2020] (September 28, 2020). "#As my sister in service and fellow history-maker, I am so proud to have the support of Rep. @AyannaPressley. It couldn't be more clear– Tennesseans deserve a fearless leader. Let's shock the world, y'all! Join #TeamBradshaw Rightwards arrow Chip in $20.20 today:" (Tweet). Retrieved September 29, 2020 – via Twitter.
  90. ^ Bernie Sanders [@BernieSanders] (September 21, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse @Bradshaw2020's grassroots campaign. Marquita is building a strong grassroots movement by standing up to big-money politics and challenging the status quo. I believe her bold, progressive movement, powered by the people, can make history in Tennessee" (Tweet). Retrieved September 21, 2020 – via Twitter.
  91. ^ "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". Elizabeth Warren. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
  92. ^ Bush, Cori [@CoriBush] (August 21, 2020). "#BREAKING: I'm proud to announce my official endorsements of @AdrBell, @PamKeithFL, @paulajean2020, @Bradshaw2020, and Sen. @EdMarkey!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  93. ^ Schelzig, Erik (September 17, 2020). "Buttigeig endorses Bradshaw, Harris". The Tennessee Journal. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  94. ^ "2020 Endorsements".
  95. ^ "DSA 🌹 (@DemSocialists): DSA is proud to endorse Marquita Bradshaw for U.S. Senate".
  96. ^ "Candidate Endorsements • Friends of the Earth Action". Friends of the Earth Action.
  97. ^ https://twitter.com/NWPCNational/status/1299025714226892800
  98. ^ "TN-Sen: Sierra Club Endorses Environmental Justice Champion Marquita Bradshaw". Sierra Club. September 8, 2020.
  99. ^ Golshan, Tara (September 10, 2020). "Sunrise Movement Unveils 2020 Endorsements To Defeat Climate Change Deniers". HuffPost. Retrieved September 10, 2020.
  100. ^ "Working Families Party (@WorkingFamilies): In a year of crisis, @Bradshaw2020 is a visionary leader fighting for a nation that cares all our people, and solutions big enough to meet the moment".
  101. ^ "November 3rd General Election Endorsements". Tennessee AFL-CIO Labor Council. August 13, 2020.
  102. ^ State of Tennessee General Election Results, November 3, 2020, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. December 2, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2020.

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 5 April 2021, at 02:04
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