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2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
 
Governor Roy Cooper with NC Transportation (cropped).jpg
Dan Forest - Flag (cropped).jpg
Nominee Roy Cooper Dan Forest
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,834,790 2,586,605
Percentage 51.5% 47.0%

2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Cooper:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80–90%
Forest:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%

Governor before election

Roy Cooper
Democratic

Elected Governor

Roy Cooper
Democratic

The 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to one-third of the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Governor Roy Cooper was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on December 5, 2019.[1]

Under a 2018 state law, party primary elections were held on March 3, 2020.[2]

Cooper was re-elected to a second term, defeating Republican nominee, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest. Cooper's re-election win makes him the first Governor of North Carolina to win re-election since Mike Easley, who was re-elected in 2004. Once again, Cooper outperformed other Democrats on the ballot. With a margin of 4.51%, this election was one of the two closest races of the 2020 gubernatorial election cycle, the other being the election in Puerto Rico.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Ernest
Reeves
Undecided
High Point University February 21–28, 2020 269 (LV) 74% 13% 13%
468 (RV) 68% 14% 18%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV February 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 4.9% 73% 9% 18%
High Point University January 31 – February 6, 2020 198 (LV) 80% 8% 12%
400 (RV) 69% 10% 21%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Cooper—>90%   Cooper—80-90%   Cooper—70-80%
Results by county:
  Cooper—>90%
  Cooper—80-90%
  Cooper—70-80%
Democratic primary results [4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Roy Cooper (incumbent) 1,128,829 87.19%
Democratic Ernest T. Reeves 165,804 12.81%
Total votes 1,294,633 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Dan Forest
U.S. Representatives
State and local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dan
Forest
Holly
Grange
Pat
McCrory
Undecided
High Point University February 21–28, 2020 246 (LV) 74% 13% 13%
443 (RV) 64% 12% 24%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV February 13–16, 2020 698 (LV) ± 5.0% 60% 8% 32%
High Point University January 31 – February 6, 2020 198 (LV) 67% 8% 25%
400 (RV) 54% 10% 36%
December 19, 2019 McCrory announces he will not run
Harper Polling (R) December 2–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 31% 3% 42% 25%

Results

Results by county:   Forest—>90%   Forest—80–90%   Forest—70–80%
Results by county:
  Forest—>90%
  Forest—80–90%
  Forest—70–80%
Republican primary results [4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Forest 698,077 88.95%
Republican Holly Grange 86,714 11.05%
Total votes 784,791 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Constitution Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely D October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[14] Lean D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely D November 2, 2020
Politico[16] Lean D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[17] Likely D October 28, 2020
RCP[18] Lean D November 2, 2020
270towin[19] Likely D November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Roy Cooper (D)
U.S. Presidents
State and local officials
Organizations
Dan Forest (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
  • Mark Meadows, White House Chief of Staff and former U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 11th Congressional District[9]
Organizations

Debate

A debate between Cooper and Forest occurred 7:00 pm EDT, October 14, 2020.[23]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Dan
Forest (R)
Other /
Undecided
Swayable October 27 – November 1, 2020 655 (LV) ± 5.5% 55% 43% 2%[b]
Frederick Polls (D)[A] October 30–31, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 45% 3%[c]
Emerson College October 29–31, 2020 855 (LV) ± 3.3% 55%[d] 45% 1%[e]
CNN/SSRS October 23–30, 2020 901 (LV) ± 4% 52% 42% 5%[f]
East Carolina University October 27–28, 2020 1,103 (LV) ± 3.4% 54%[g] 43% 2%[h]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) October 27–28, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 45% 8%[i]
Marist College/NBC October 25–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.7% 59% 40% 1%[j]
Gravis Marketing October 26–27, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 51% 43% 6%[k]
Meeting Street Insights (R) October 24–27, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 51% 43%
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 23–27, 2020 1,034 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 42% 7%[l]
RMG Research October 24–26, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% 6%[m]
Swayable October 23–26, 2020 386 (LV) ± 6.9% 53% 44% 3%[n]
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV October 23–26, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 42% 6%[o]
YouGov/UMass Amherst October 20–26, 2020 911 (LV) ± 4.2% 54% 42% 3%[p]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) October 22–25, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 42% 5%[q]
Meredith College October 16–19, 2020 732 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 34% 16%[r]
East Carolina University October 15–18, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 3.4% 53% 44% 2%[s]
Emerson College October 13–14, 2020 721 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 46% 4%[t]
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 11–14, 2020 1,211 (LV) ± 3.3% 53% 46% 1%[u]
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 9–13, 2020 627 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 37% 12%[v]
Monmouth University October 8–11, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 51% 44% 5%[w]
500 (LV)[x] 52% 44% 3%[y]
500 (LV)[z] 51% 46% 3%[aa]
SurveyUSA October 8–11, 2020 669 (LV) ± 4.8% 52% 39% 10%[ab]
RMG Research October 7–11, 2020 800 (LV) 51% 37% 12%[ac]
Public Policy Polling October 4–5, 2020 911 (V) ± 3.3% 52% 40% 8%[ad]
East Carolina University October 2–4, 2020 1,232 (LV) ± 3.2% 53% 40% 7%[ae]
ALG Research (D)[B] September 22–28, 2020 822 (V) 53% 43%
YouGov/UMass Lowell September 18–25, 2020 921 (LV) ± 4.1% 54% 41% 4%[af]
Meredith College September 18–22, 2020 705 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 39% 11%[ag]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) September 17–20, 2020 612 (LV) ± 3.96% 46% 39% 14%[ah]
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 11–16, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 42% 10%[ai]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies September 12–15, 2020 1,092 (LV) ± 2.97% 55% 36% 9%[aj]
Suffolk University September 10–14, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 38% 12%[ak]
SurveyUSA September 10–13, 2020 596 (LV) ± 5.6% 49% 42% 10%[al]
CNN/SSRS September 9–13, 2020 787 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 44% 2%[am]
893 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 42% 5%[an]
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report August 29 – September 13, 2020 1,116 (RV) 48% 38% 14%[ao]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 30 – September 3, 2020 951 (LV) ± 3.18% 54% 35% 11%[ap]
Monmouth University August 29 – September 1, 2020 401 (RV) ± 4.9% 51% 40% 8%[aq]
401 (LV)[ar] 51% 42% 7%[as]
401 (LV)[at] 51% 42% 7%[au]
East Carolina University August 29–30, 2020 1,101 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 40% 10%[av]
Redfield and Wilton Strategies August 16–19, 2020 967 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 38% 11%[aw]
East Carolina University August 12–13, 2020 1,255 (RV) ± 3.2% 52% 38% 11%[ax]
Emerson College August 8–10, 2020 673 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 44% 7%[ay]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 6–10, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 13%[az]
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 23–24, 2020 884 (V) ± 3.4% 53% 42% 5%[ba]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 22–24, 2020 735 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 46% 8%[bb]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 19–23, 2020 919 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 37% 12%[bc]
Marist College/NBC News July 14–22, 2020 882 (RV) ± 4.0% 58% 38% 4%[bd]
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) July 13–15, 2020 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 46% 5%[be]
East Carolina University June 22–25, 2020 1,149 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 38% 13%[bf]
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2020 1,157 (V) ± 2.9% 50% 41% 10%[bg]
NYT Upshot/Siena College June 8–18, 2020 653 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 39% 11%[bh]
Gravis Marketing (R) June 17, 2020 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 46% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies June 14–17, 2020 902 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 31% 17%[bi]
Public Policy Polling June 2–3, 2020 913 ± 3.2% 50% 39% 11%[bj]
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) May 26–28, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 37% 14%[bk]
Neighbourhood Research & Media May 12–21, 2020 391 (LV) 47% 35% 18%
Meeting Street Insights (R) May 9–13, 2020 500 (RV) 55% 37% 8%
East Carolina University May 7–9, 2020 1,111 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 36% 13%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–4, 2020 1,362 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% 3%
Meredith College April 27–28, 2020 604 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 32% 16%
SurveyUSA April 23–26, 2020 580 (LV) ± 5.4% 57% 30% 13%[bl]
Public Policy Polling April 20–21, 2020 1,275 (V) ± 3.2% 53% 40% 7%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) April 13–18, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 36% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 14–15, 2020 1,318 (V) ± 3.4% 50% 36% 13%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) April 5–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 33% 17%
East Carolina University February 27–28, 2020 1,288 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 41% 10%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) October 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 36% 18%
Meredith College September 29 – October 7, 2019 996 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 33% 21%
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) August 1–4, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 36% 16%
Public Policy Polling June 17–18, 2019 610 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 41% 14%
Harper Polling (R) June 8–10, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 37% 16%
Emerson College May 31 – June 3, 2019 932 (RV) ± 3.1% 52% 38% 10%
Spry Strategies (R)[D] May 25 – June 1, 2019 730 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 44% 16%
Public Policy Polling January 4–7, 2019 750 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 35% 18%

Results

2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election[24][25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Roy Cooper (incumbent) 2,834,790 51.52% +2.50%
Republican Dan Forest 2,586,605 47.01% -1.79%
Libertarian Steven J. DiFiore 60,449 1.10% -1.09%
Constitution Al Pisano 20,934 0.38% N/A
Total votes 5,502,778 100.00% N/A
Turnout 5,545,847 75.35%
Registered electors 7,359,798
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Piedmont Rising, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  3. ^ This poll's sponsor, AFSCME, had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the North Carolina Republican Party
General
  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; Pisano (C) with 0%
  3. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; Pisano (C) with 1%
  4. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ^ DiFiore (L) with 3%; Pisano (C) with 1%; "Other" with 0%; "None of these" with no voters; Undecided with 1%
  7. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. ^ "Refused" and "Some other candidate" with 1%; Did/would not vote with 0%; Undecided with no voters
  9. ^ DiFiore (L) with 3%; Pisano (C) with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  10. ^ "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 1%
  11. ^ Undecided with 6%
  12. ^ DiFiore (L), Pisano (C) and would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 4%
  13. ^ "Someone else" and Undecided with 3%
  14. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; Pisano (C) with 1%
  15. ^ "Other" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
  16. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%; Did not vote with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  17. ^ DiFiore (L) with 1%; Pisano (C) with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  18. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; Pisano (C) with 1%; Undecided with 13%
  19. ^ "Some other candidate" and would/did not vote with 1%; "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 1%
  20. ^ Undecided with 4%
  21. ^ DiFiore (L) with 1%; Pisano (C), "Someone else" and Undecided with 0%
  22. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; Pisano (C) with 1%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 9%
  23. ^ DiFiore (L) and "No one" with 1%; Pisano (C) with 0%; "Other candidate" with no voters; Undecided with 3%
  24. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout
  25. ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  26. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout
  27. ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  28. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  29. ^ DiFiore (L) with 3%; Undecided with 9%
  30. ^ Undecided with 8%
  31. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  32. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  33. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; Pisano (C) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  34. ^ DiFiore (L) and Pisano (C) with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  35. ^ Pisano (C) with 2%; DiFiore (L) with 1%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 7%
  36. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 7%
  37. ^ DiFiore (L) with 5%; Pisano (C) with 1%; "Other" and "Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
  38. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
  39. ^ DiFiore (L) with 1%; "None of these" and Pisano (C) with 0%; "Other" with no voters; Undecided with 1%
  40. ^ DiFiore (L) with 2%; "None of these" with 1%; "Other" and Pisano (C) with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  41. ^ "Neither/Another Party" with 1% "Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 12%
  42. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 9%
  43. ^ DiFiore (L) with 3%; "No one" and Pisano (C) with 1%; "Other candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  44. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  45. ^ "Other" with 5%; Undecided with 2%
  46. ^ With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  47. ^ "Other" with 5%; Undecided with 2%
  48. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; Would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 8%
  49. ^ "Third party/write-in" with 2%; Undecided with 9%
  50. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  51. ^ Undecided with 7%
  52. ^ DiFiore (L) and Pisano (C) with 1%; Undecided with 11%
  53. ^ Undecided with 5%
  54. ^ Pisano (C) with 0.9%, DiFiore (L) with 0.7%; Undecided with 5.9%
  55. ^ "Third party/write-in" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
  56. ^ "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
  57. ^ Undecided with 3.7%; DiFore with 0.5%; Pisano with 0.4%
  58. ^ Undecided with 8%; "Some other candidate" with 5%
  59. ^ Undecided with 10%
  60. ^ Undecided with 10%; "Another candidate" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  61. ^ Undecided with 14%; "Third party/write-in" with 3%
  62. ^ Undecided with 11%
  63. ^ Undecided with 13%; Pisano (C) with 1%; DiFiore (L) with 0%
  64. ^ Undecided with 13%

References

  1. ^ a b @RoyCooperNC (December 5, 2019). "I've officially filed for re-election! Together, we've made real progress, but there is more work to be done. If you're with me, sign up to join our team → act.roycooper.com/join-our-team" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  2. ^ North Carolina General Assembly
  3. ^ Robertson, Gary D. (December 20, 2019). "N Carolina candidates rush for legislature, Meadows' seat". Raleigh News & Observer. Retrieved December 20, 2019.
  4. ^ a b "North Carolina State Primary Election Results 2020". North Carolina Board of Elections. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  5. ^ "Dan Forest will hold campaign kick off rally in August". North State Journal. July 10, 2019. Retrieved July 10, 2019.
  6. ^ Murphy, Brian; Specht, Paul (July 18, 2019). "State lawmaker, Army veteran Grange joins Republican race for governor". www.newsobserver.com. The News & Observer.
  7. ^ Fain, Travis (December 19, 2019). "No gubernatorial run for McCrory, but he's eyeing US Senate in 2022". WRAL. Retrieved December 19, 2019.
  8. ^ Murphy, Brian (October 4, 2017). "Forest isn't officially running yet, but he's earned a big endorsement for governor". The News & Observer. Retrieved November 14, 2018.
  9. ^ a b Murphy, Brian (October 4, 2017). "Forest isn't officially running yet, but he's earned a big endorsement for governor". The News & Observer.
  10. ^ a b "Dan Forest".
  11. ^ a b "State Board of Elections: Candidate list by contest" (PDF).
  12. ^ Batten, Taylor. "For bedrock conservatives, an alternative to the Republican Party". Charlotte Observer.
  13. ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  14. ^ "2020 Gubernatorial Ratings". insideelections.com. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  15. ^ "2020 Gubernatorial race ratings". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  16. ^ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  17. ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  18. ^ "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  20. ^ Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  21. ^ Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
  22. ^ "Equality North Carolina Releases Final Round Of 2020 Electoral Endorsements". Equality NC. April 23, 2020.
  23. ^ Associated Press, Roy Cooper, Dan Forest Agree to Oct. 14 Debate, Spectrum News (August 27, 2020).
  24. ^ "State Composite Abstract Report - Contest.pdf" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved November 24, 2020.
  25. ^ "NC SBE Contest Results". er.ncsbe.gov. Retrieved 18 December 2020..

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 14 April 2021, at 21:20
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