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2020 United States presidential election in Illinois

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in Illinois

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout72.14% Increase
 
Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 20 0
Popular vote 3,471,915 2,446,891
Percentage 57.54% 40.55%

Illinois Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Illinois was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Illinois voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Illinois has 20 votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Biden defeated Trump, winning 57.54% of the vote to Trump's 40.55%, winning by nearly the same 17-point margin Hillary Clinton carried the state by in 2016. The small shift of 0.08 percentage points towards the Republicans made Illinois one of just seven states and the District of Columbia to move to the right in 2020. Libertarian nominee Jo Jorgensen, a native of Grayslake, won 1.1% of the state's vote, with other minor candidates winning less than 1%. Biden's win in Illinois was largely the result of a lopsided 74.3% victory in Cook County, the state's most populous county and home of Chicago. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength came from a coalition of key Democratic constituencies, garnering 92% with Blacks; 68% with Latinos, including 67% of Latinos of Mexican heritage; and 53% with union households.[3] Biden flipped McLean County (Bloomington-Normal) and Kendall County (suburban county of Chicago), both of which had voted for Obama in 2008 but then for Romney in 2012 and Trump in 2016.[4][5] Biden became the first Democrat since FDR in the 1944 to be elected president without winning formerly Democratic leaning Alexander County, solidifying the rural shift towards Republicans in elections.

Illinois weighed in for this election as 12.54% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

Illinois held its primary elections as scheduled, despite concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.[6] Election officials in Illinois acknowledged that they believed turnout was unusually low.[6]

In the state-run primaries (Democratic and Republican), turnout was 28.36%, with 2,279,439 votes cast.[7][8] The 28.36% turnout marked an 18.2 percentage point decrease from the turnout in the 2016 state-run presidential primaries, but a similar turnout to the 2000, 2004, and 2012 presidential primaries.[7][8]

The state-run primary elections for the Democratic and Republican parties were held on March 17, 2020. The Green Party had organized its own primary on March 14, 2020.

Democratic primary

2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

← 2016 March 17, 2020 2024 →

184 Democratic National Convention delegates (155 pledged, 29 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg
Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count 95 60
Popular vote 986,661 605,701
Percentage 58.94% 36.18%

Illinois Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Election results by county
  Joe Biden
  Bernie Sanders

The 2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary was held on March 17, 2020, as one of the Democratic Party's state primaries ahead of the 2020 presidential election. Major candidates included Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders.

2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary[9][10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Joe Biden 986,661 58.94 95
Bernie Sanders 605,701 36.18 60
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 25,500 1.52 0
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 24,413 1.46 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 9,729 0.58 0
Tulsi Gabbard 9,642 0.57 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 4,021 0.24 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 2,684 0.16 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,684 0.10 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,567 0.01 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,346 0.01 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,185 0.01 0
Total 1,674,133 100% 155

Republican primary

2020 Illinois Republican presidential primary

← 2016 March 17, 2020 2024 →
 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump
Home state Florida[12]
Delegate count 67
Popular vote 520,956
Percentage 95.98%

The 2020 Illinois Republican presidential primary was held on March 17, 2020, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Republican Party's state primaries ahead of the 2020 presidential election.

Incumbent president Donald Trump won the primary with over 96 percent of the vote.[13] Joe Walsh, a former member of the House of Representatives from Illinois, announced the launch of his campaign in August 2019 and dropped out in February 2020. Trump was also challenged by Rocky De La Fuente, a businessman of California, who achieved 4% of the vote. Richard Mayers, a 2016 Green Party candidate, was a write in candidate here.

2020 Illinois Republican Party presidential primary[14][15]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Donald Trump (incumbent) 520,956 95.98% 67
Rocky De La Fuente 21,833 4.02% 0
Richard Mayers write-in 11 0.00% 0
Total: 542,800 100% 67

Green

2020 Illinois Green Party presidential primary

← 2016 March 14, 2020

27 Green National Convention delegates
 
Hawkins 2010 (1).jpg
Dario Hunter headshot.jpg
Candidate Howie Hawkins Dario Hunter
Party Green Green
Home state New York California
Delegate count 20 7
Popular vote unknown unknown
Percentage 73% 27%

The 2020 Illinois Green Party presidential primary was held from March 14, 2020, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Green Party's state primaries ahead of the 2020 presidential election. It was run by the Green Party of Illinois.

Illinois Green Party presidential primary, March 14, 2020[16]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Howie Hawkins 73% 20
Dario Hunter 27% 7
Total 100.00% 27

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Safe D November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Safe D November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe D November 3, 2020
Politico[20] Safe D November 3, 2020
RCP[21] Likely D November 3, 2020
Niskanen[22] Safe D November 3, 2020
CNN[23] Safe D November 3, 2020
The Economist[24] Safe D November 3, 2020
CBS News[25] Likely D November 3, 2020
270towin[26] Safe D November 3, 2020
ABC News[27] Solid D November 3, 2020
NPR[28] Safe D November 3, 2020
NBC News[29] Likely D November 3, 2020
538[30] Safe D November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win September 23 – October 17, 2020 October 27, 2020 56.5% 38.5% 5.0% Biden +18.0
FiveThirtyEight until October 25, 2020 October 27, 2020 55.2% 39.4% 5.4% Biden +15.8
Average 55.9% 39.0% 5.1% Biden +16.9

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 5,643 (LV) ± 2% 40%[c] 58% - -
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 38% 55% - - 1%[d] 6%
Victory Research Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 1,208 (LV) ± 2.82% 38% 54% - - 4% 4%
Swayable Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 485 (LV) ± 6% 44% 55% 1% 0%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 8,056 (LV) 41% 57% - -
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 424 (LV) ± 6.2% 43% 54% 2% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 8,392 (LV) 36% 61% - - 3%
Victory Research Sep 23–26, 2020 1,208 (LV) ± 2.82% 40% 53% - - 4% 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 6,773 (LV) 38% 60% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 7,565 (LV) 38% 59% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 3,000 (LV) 39% 59% - - 2%

Results

The election was not close with Biden winning by a near-17 point margin. Biden only won 14 of the state's 102 counties. However, those 14 counties account for more than half the state's total electorate. Key to Biden's landslide victory was heavily populated Cook County, home of Chicago, which he won with over 74% of the vote. Biden also did well in the suburban (collar) counties of Chicago, winning all of them easily except for McHenry County. Biden also did well in St. Clair County, home of East St. Louis. Biden also managed to flip two counties, Kendall County and McLean County. Biden also made history by earning the most votes ever cast in an Illinois presidential election. Biden received 3,471,915 votes. This is more than then Senator Obama in 2008 when he received 3,419,348, but less than Senator Dick Durbin's 3,615,844 votes in the 2008 senate race.

On December 14, Illinois's 20 electors met in the Illinois State Capitol to formally cast their votes for Biden and Harris.[31]

2020 United States presidential election in Illinois[32]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joseph R. Biden Jr. 
Kamala D. Harris
3,471,915 57.54% +1.71%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
2,446,891 40.55% +1.79%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
66,544 1.10% -2.69%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
30,494 0.51% -0.88%
American Solidarity Brian Carroll
Amar Patel
9,548 0.16% N/A
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Leonard Peltier[e]
8,046 0.13% N/A
Write-in 306 0.01% -0.23%
Total votes 6,033,744 100.00%

By county

County[33] Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 8,633 25.75% 24,220 72.24% 674 2.01% -15,587 -46.49% 33,527
Alexander 1,114 42.55% 1,486 56.76% 18 0.69% -372 -14.21% 2,618
Bond 2,288 28.09% 5,625 69.07% 231 2.84% -3,337 -40.97% 8,144
Boone 10,542 42.20% 13,883 55.58% 554 2.22% -3,341 -13.38% 24,979
Brown 486 19.28% 1,931 76.60% 104 4.13% -1,445 -57.32% 2,521
Bureau 6,669 38.25% 10,411 59.72% 354 2.03% -3,742 -21.46% 17,434
Calhoun 677 24.42% 2,046 73.81% 49 1.77% -1,369 -49.39% 2,772
Carroll 2,748 34.25% 5,105 63.62% 171 2.13% -2,357 -29.37% 8,024
Cass 1,615 30.37% 3,625 68.18% 77 1.45% -2,010 -37.80% 5,317
Champaign 57,067 60.04% 35,285 37.12% 2,700 2.84% 21,782 22.92% 95,052
Christian 4,335 26.75% 11,563 71.36% 306 1.89% -7,228 -44.61% 16,204
Clark 1,993 23.85% 6,226 74.52% 136 1.63% -4,233 -50.66% 8,355
Clay 1,129 16.40% 5,629 81.75% 128 1.86% -4,500 -65.35% 6,886
Clinton 4,493 23.44% 14,304 74.62% 373 1.95% -9,811 -51.18% 19,170
Coles 8,067 35.69% 14,037 62.09% 502 2.22% -5,970 -26.41% 22,606
Cook 1,725,973 74.35% 558,269 24.05% 37,157 1.60% 1,167,704 50.30% 2,321,399
Crawford 2,202 23.36% 7,043 74.73% 180 1.91% -4,841 -51.36% 9,425
Cumberland 1,142 19.58% 4,601 78.91% 88 1.51% -3,459 -59.32% 5,831
DeKalb 24,643 51.53% 21,905 45.81% 1,271 2.66% 2,738 5.73% 47,819
DeWitt 2,191 27.31% 5,632 70.19% 201 2.50% -3,441 -42.88% 8,024
Douglas 2,335 26.72% 6,227 71.26% 176 2.01% -3,892 -44.54% 8,738
DuPage 281,222 57.98% 193,611 39.91% 10,231 2.11% 87,611 18.06% 485,064
Edgar 1,887 23.02% 6,193 75.56% 116 1.42% -4,306 -52.54% 8,196
Edwards 488 14.50% 2,833 84.17% 45 1.34% -2,345 -69.67% 3,366
Effingham 3,716 19.51% 15,006 78.78% 327 1.72% -11,290 -59.27% 19,049
Fayette 1,826 18.16% 8,055 80.13% 172 1.71% -6,229 -61.96% 10,053
Ford 1,754 25.23% 5,048 72.60% 151 2.17% -3,294 -47.38% 6,953
Franklin 4,760 25.56% 13,622 73.13% 244 1.31% -8,862 -47.58% 18,626
Fulton 6,503 38.99% 9,867 59.16% 308 1.85% -3,364 -20.17% 16,678
Gallatin 622 23.26% 2,019 75.50% 33 1.23% -1,397 -52.24% 2,674
Greene 1,349 21.66% 4,770 76.60% 108 1.73% -3,421 -54.94% 6,227
Grundy 9,626 36.07% 16,523 61.91% 541 2.03% -6,897 -25.84% 26,690
Hamilton 824 19.10% 3,432 79.54% 59 1.37% -2,608 -60.44% 4,315
Hancock 2,315 24.67% 6,906 73.60% 162 1.73% -4,591 -48.93% 9,383
Hardin 449 20.77% 1,691 78.21% 22 1.02% -1,242 -57.45% 2,162
Henderson 1,187 32.55% 2,394 65.64% 66 1.81% -1,207 -33.10% 3,647
Henry 9,797 38.22% 15,300 59.68% 538 2.10% -5,503 -21.47% 25,635
Iroquois 2,908 20.74% 10,877 77.56% 239 1.70% -7,969 -56.82% 14,024
Jackson 11,181 49.38% 10,890 48.09% 572 2.53% 291 1.29% 22,643
Jasper 1,007 18.06% 4,494 80.60% 75 1.35% -3,487 -62.54% 5,576
Jefferson 4,608 26.48% 12,476 71.68% 320 1.84% -7,868 -45.21% 17,404
Jersey 2,961 24.81% 8,712 72.98% 264 2.21% -5,751 -48.18% 11,937
Jo Daviess 5,109 40.89% 7,166 57.35% 220 1.76% -2,057 -16.46% 12,495
Johnson 1,281 19.90% 5,059 78.59% 97 1.51% -3,778 -58.69% 6,437
Kane 130,166 56.14% 96,775 41.74% 4,922 2.12% 33,391 14.40% 231,863
Kankakee 20,271 40.62% 28,532 57.18% 1,099 2.20% -8,261 -16.55% 49,902
Kendall 33,168 51.85% 29,492 46.10% 1,311 2.05% 3,676 5.75% 63,971
Knox 10,703 46.25% 12,009 51.89% 431 1.86% -1,306 -5.64% 23,143
Lake 204,032 61.06% 123,594 36.99% 6,530 1.95% 80,438 24.07% 334,156
LaSalle 22,442 41.88% 30,113 56.19% 1,035 1.93% -7,671 -14.31% 53,590
Lawrence 1,419 22.13% 4,886 76.21% 106 1.65% -3,467 -54.08% 6,411
Lee 6,407 39.07% 9,630 58.73% 360 2.20% -3,223 -19.66% 16,397
Livingston 4,615 26.87% 12,208 71.08% 351 2.04% -7,593 -44.21% 17,174
Logan 3,840 28.89% 9,136 68.72% 318 2.39% -5,296 -39.84% 13,294
Macon 19,847 40.19% 28,589 57.89% 951 1.93% -8,742 -17.70% 49,387
Macoupin 7,365 30.66% 16,153 67.24% 504 2.10% -8,788 -36.58% 24,022
Madison 57,836 42.17% 76,031 55.44% 3,268 2.38% -18,195 -13.27% 137,135
Marion 4,524 25.91% 12,678 72.62% 256 1.47% -8,154 -46.71% 17,458
Marshall 2,005 31.65% 4,197 66.26% 132 2.08% -2,192 -34.61% 6,334
Mason 1,985 29.34% 4,654 68.79% 127 1.88% -2,669 -39.45% 6,766
Massac 1,725 25.32% 4,997 73.35% 91 1.34% -3,272 -48.03% 6,813
McDonough 4,992 40.63% 7,027 57.20% 266 2.17% -2,035 -16.56% 12,285
McHenry 78,154 47.69% 82,260 50.20% 3,460 2.11% -4,106 -2.51% 163,874
McLean 43,933 50.50% 40,502 46.55% 2,565 2.95% 3,431 3.94% 87,000
Menard 2,022 29.19% 4,764 68.76% 142 2.05% -2,742 -39.58% 6,928
Mercer 3,280 36.88% 5,418 60.92% 195 2.19% -2,138 -24.04% 8,893
Monroe 6,569 31.06% 14,142 66.87% 437 2.07% -7,573 -35.81% 21,148
Montgomery 3,905 28.45% 9,544 69.53% 278 2.03% -5,639 -41.08% 13,727
Morgan 5,076 33.16% 9,950 64.99% 283 1.85% -4,874 -31.84% 15,309
Moultrie 1,662 24.64% 4,964 73.61% 118 1.75% -3,302 -48.96% 6,744
Ogle 9,428 35.89% 16,248 61.85% 596 2.27% -6,820 -25.96% 26,272
Peoria 43,578 51.90% 38,252 45.56% 2,137 2.55% 5,326 6.34% 83,967
Perry 2,612 25.98% 7,313 72.74% 128 1.27% -4,701 -46.76% 10,053
Piatt 3,329 33.89% 6,248 63.61% 245 2.49% -2,919 -29.72% 9,822
Pike 1,484 18.67% 6,332 79.66% 133 1.67% -4,848 -60.99% 7,949
Pope 433 19.91% 1,722 79.17% 20 0.92% -1,289 -59.26% 2,175
Pulaski 891 33.96% 1,699 64.75% 34 1.30% -808 -30.79% 2,624
Putnam 1,338 39.47% 1,993 58.79% 59 1.74% -655 -19.32% 3,390
Randolph 3,592 24.12% 11,076 74.38% 223 1.50% -7,484 -50.26% 14,891
Richland 1,830 22.70% 6,089 75.52% 144 1.79% -4,259 -52.82% 8,063
Rock Island 36,691 54.96% 28,603 42.85% 1,464 2.19% 8,088 12.12% 66,758
Saline 2,789 25.20% 8,103 73.22% 174 1.57% -5,314 -48.02% 11,066
Sangamon 48,917 46.70% 53,485 51.06% 2,349 2.24% -4,568 -4.36% 104,751
Schuyler 1,068 27.34% 2,773 70.99% 65 1.66% -1,705 -43.65% 3,906
Scott 572 20.90% 2,114 77.24% 51 1.86% -1,542 -56.34% 2,737
Shelby 2,504 20.70% 9,426 77.93% 166 1.37% -6,922 -57.23% 12,096
St. Clair 68,325 53.34% 57,150 44.62% 2,615 2.04% 11,175 8.72% 128,090
Stark 815 28.27% 2,004 69.51% 64 2.22% -1,189 -41.24% 2,883
Stephenson 9,055 41.07% 12,521 56.79% 471 2.14% -3,466 -15.72% 22,047
Tazewell 24,819 35.94% 42,513 61.57% 1,719 2.49% -17,694 -25.62% 69,051
Union 2,579 29.02% 6,161 69.33% 146 1.64% -3,582 -40.31% 8,886
Vermilion 10,323 32.68% 20,725 65.62% 536 1.70% -10,402 -32.93% 31,584
Wabash 1,253 22.40% 4,237 75.76% 103 1.84% -2,984 -53.35% 5,593
Warren 3,090 39.07% 4,676 59.12% 143 1.81% -1,586 -20.05% 7,909
Washington 1,641 20.77% 6,115 77.39% 146 1.85% -4,474 -56.62% 7,902
Wayne 1,187 13.99% 7,176 84.56% 123 1.45% -5,989 -70.58% 8,486
White 1,517 20.44% 5,791 78.04% 113 1.52% -4,274 -57.59% 7,421
Whiteside 12,253 44.76% 14,527 53.07% 595 2.17% -2,274 -8.31% 27,375
Will 183,915 53.29% 155,116 44.95% 6,064 1.76% 28,799 8.35% 345,095
Williamson 10,206 30.33% 22,801 67.76% 645 1.92% -12,595 -37.43% 33,652
Winnebago 64,056 50.16% 60,861 47.66% 2,792 2.19% 3,195 2.50% 127,709
Woodford 6,160 28.74% 14,799 69.05% 473 2.21% -8,639 -40.31% 21,432
Totals 3,471,915 57.54% 2,446,891 40.55% 114,632 1.90% 1,025,024 16.99% 6,033,744

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  5. ^ Peltier was replaced in August 2020 by Sunil Freeman as the Party for Socialism and Liberation's nominee for Vice President. However, his name remains on the ballot in Illinois.

See also

References

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Illinois Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  4. ^ "The Political Graveyard: Kendall County, Ill". politicalgraveyard.com. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  5. ^ "The Political Graveyard: McLean County, Ill". politicalgraveyard.com. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  6. ^ a b Corasaniti, Nick; Saul, Stephanie; Stevens, Matt; Epstein, Reid J. (March 17, 2020). "Illinois Stumbles as States See Light Voter Turnout, With Many Ballots in the Mail". The New York Times. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  7. ^ a b "Voter Turnout". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved April 18, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  8. ^ a b "Election Results". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved April 18, 2020.
  9. ^ "Election Results 2020 GENERAL PRIMARY". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved April 18, 2020.
  10. ^ "Illinois Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  11. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Illinois Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 2, 2020.
  12. ^ Matthew Choi (October 31, 2019). "Trump, a symbol of New York, is officially a Floridian now". Politico. Retrieved February 3, 2020.
  13. ^ "Illinois Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  14. ^ "Election Results 2020 GENERAL PRIMARY". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved April 18, 2020.
  15. ^ "Donald Trump wins Republican primary in Illinois, clinches party nomination". ABC Chicago. March 17, 2020. Retrieved March 18, 2020.
  16. ^ "Howie Hawkins Wins Illinois Green Party Presidential Selection Vote". Illinois Green Party. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
  17. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved August 30, 2020.
  18. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  21. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  22. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, September 15, 2020, retrieved: October 30, 2020
  23. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "ROAD TO 270". CNN. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  24. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
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Further reading

External links

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