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2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout73.5 [1]
 
Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 424,921 365,654
Percentage 52.71% 45.36%

New Hampshire Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County Results

New Hampshire Presidential Results 2020 by Municipality.svg
Municipality Results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated.[2] New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominees, incumbent President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party’s nominees, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris. New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

New Hampshire is by far the most fiscally conservative state in New England, and its population has a strong disdain for taxes, historically giving Republicans an edge in its elections. However, like the rest of the region, it is very liberal on social issues like abortion and gay rights, and thus the Democratic Party has dominated in its elections in recent years. Polls throughout the 2020 campaign showed a clear Biden lead, and prior to election day, all 14 news organizations considered New Hampshire a state that Biden was heavily favored to win, or otherwise a likely blue state.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden prevailed in the state by garnering 58% of Caucasian women, and 69% of unmarried women.[4] Biden carried voters prioritizing healthcare policy with 73% campaigning on protecting coverage for pre-existing conditions,[4] a resonant issue in a state plagued by the opioid crisis.

Biden flipped the counties of Carroll, Hillsborough, Rockingham, and Sullivan, of which Hillsborough (which houses the state's largest city of Manchester) and Sullivan had voted for Barack Obama twice before switching to Trump in 2016, into the Democratic column. Biden also significantly expanded Hillary Clinton's 2016 lead of 2,736 votes (0.37%) to 59,267 votes (7.35%). Corresponding Democratic victories in the Senate election and both House elections reaffirmed the Democrats' strength in what used to be a heavily contested battleground. Biden's best margin was in the socially liberal Connecticut River Valley, which had overwhelmingly favored Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary, while Trump's strength came in the rural Great North Woods Region. Biden was the first Democrat to ever win the White House without Coös County.

Donald Trump's comment in 2017 about New Hampshire being a "drug-infested den" hurt his image in the state and may have contributed to Biden's significantly wide margin of victory.[5]

New Hampshire was one of sixteen states where President Trump received less percentage of the vote than he did in the 2016 election.[a]

Primary elections

The New Hampshire primary, traditionally the first, was held on February 11, 2020, roughly a week after the Iowa caucuses.[6]

Republican primary

The New Hampshire Republican primary took place on February 11, 2020. Incumbent president Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 85.6 percent of the vote, clinching all of the state's 22 pledged delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7] Typically, the top candidates of the other major party receive a large number of write-in votes.

County won by these popular vote results:
  Trump—85–90%
  Trump—80–85%
Congressional district won by these popular vote results:
  Trump—80–85%
2020 New Hampshire Republican primary[8][9]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 129,734 84.4 22
Bill Weld 13,844 9.0 0
Pete Buttigieg (write-in Democratic) 1,116 0.7 0
Amy Klobuchar (write-in Democratic) 1,076 0.7 0
Mary Maxwell 929 0.6 0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 838 0.5 0
Mike Bloomberg (write-in Democratic) 801 0.5 0
Bernie Sanders (write-in Democratic) 753 0.5 0
Mitt Romney (write-in) 632 0.4 0
Scattered write-ins 537 0.3 0
Eric Merrill 524 0.3 0
William N. Murphy 447 0.3 0
Tulsi Gabbard (write-in Democratic) 369 0.2 0
Joe Biden (write-in Democratic) 330 0.2 0
Matthew John Matern 268 0.2 0
Stephen B. Comley 202 0.1 0
Tom Steyer (write-in Democratic) 191 0.1 0
Andrew Yang (write-in Democratic) 162 0.1 0
Elizabeth Warren (write-in Democratic) 157 0.1 0
Rocky De La Fuente 148 0.1 0
Rick Kraft 117 0.1 0
Juan Payne 83 0.1 0
President R. Boddie 72 0.1 0
Robert Ardini 77 0.1 0
Bob Ely 68 0.0 0
Larry Horn 65 0.0 0
Star Locke 66 0.0 0
Zoltan Istvan 56 0.0 0
Total 153,654 100% 22

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders won the Democratic primary with 25.6 percent of the vote, ahead of second-place Pete Buttigieg, who received 24.3 percent of the vote. Both Sanders and Buttigieg received nine delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention. Amy Klobuchar finished in third place with 19.7 percent of the vote and earned six delegates. Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden finished in fourth and fifth place, respectively, and each received zero delegates.[10]

2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary[11][12]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[b]
Bernie Sanders 76,384 25.6 9
Pete Buttigieg 72,454 24.3 9
Amy Klobuchar 58,714 19.7 6
Elizabeth Warren 27,429 9.2 0
Joe Biden 24,944 8.3 0
Tom Steyer 10,732 3.6 0
Tulsi Gabbard 9,755 3.3 0
Andrew Yang 8,312 2.8 0
Michael Bloomberg (write-in)[15][12] 4,675 1.6 0
Deval Patrick 1,271 0.4 0
Donald Trump (write-in Republican)[12] 1,217 0.4 0
Michael Bennet 952 0.3 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 157 0.1 0
Scatter 157 0.1 0
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 152 0.1 0
Kamala Harris (withdrawn) 129 0.0 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 99 0.0 0
Steve Burke 86 0.0 0
Julián Castro (withdrawn) 83 0.0 0
John Delaney (withdrawn) 83 0.0 0
Tom Koos 72 0.0 0
Steve Bullock (withdrawn) 64 0.0 0
David John Thistle 53 0.0 0
Lorenz Kraus 52 0.0 0
Robby Wells 45 0.0 0
Henry Hewes 43 0.0 0
Sam Sloan 34 0.0 0
Mosie Boyd 32 0.0 0
Ben Gleiberman (withdrawn) 31 0.0 0
Mark Stewart Greenstein 31 0.0 0
Thomas James Torgesen 30 0.0 0
Rita Krichevsky 23 0.0 0
Michael A. Ellinger 19 0.0 0
Bill Weld (write-in Republican)[12] 17 0.0 0
Jason Evritte Dunlap 12 0.0 0
Roque De La Fuente III 11 0.0 0
Mitt Romney (write-in Republican)[12] 10 0.0 0
Raymond Michael Moroz 8 0.0 0
Rick Kraft 2 0.0 0
Matthew Matern 2 0.0 0
Eric Merrill 1 0.0 0
Total 298,377 100% 24

Libertarian primary

Mail-in ballots were due by January 11, at the state convention. The primary was tabulated using Bucklin voting. Percentages shown are percentage of ballots cast.[16][17]

2020 New Hampshire Libertarian presidential primary[18][19]
Candidate 1st 2nd 3rd Total Percentage
Vermin Supreme 10 3 13 26 17.3%
Kim Ruff 6 9 7 22 14.7%
Jo Jorgensen 5 8 4 17 11.3%
None of the Above (NOTA) 4 6 3 13 8.7%
Dan "Taxation Is Theft" Behrman 0 6 7 13 8.7%
Jacob Hornberger (write-in) 9 0 0 9 6.0%
Sam Robb 1 2 5 8 5.3%
Mark Whitney (write-in) 4 0 2 6 4.0%
Arvin Vohra 1 0 5 6 4.0%
Ken Armstrong 0 2 3 5 3.3%
Lincoln Chafee (write-in) 1 2 1 4 2.7%
Justin Amash (write-in) 1 1 1 3 2.0%
Keenan Wallace Dunham 0 0 2 2 1.3%
Max Abramson 1 0 0 1 0.7%
Straw Poll (write-in) 1 0 0 1 0.7%
Joe Bishop-Henchman (write-in) 0 0 1 1 0.7%
Thomas Knapp (write-in) 0 0 1 1 0.7%
Adam Kokesh (write-in) 0 0 1 1 0.7%
Nicholas Sarwark (write-in) 0 0 1 1 0.7%
Exhausted Ballots/Undervotes 0 5 5 10
Total 44 44 62 150
2020 New Hampshire Libertarian vice presidential primary[18][20]
Candidate 1st 2nd Total Percentage
John Phillips 15 6 21 63.6%
None of the Above 9 6 15 45.5%
Spike Cohen (write-in) 2 0 2 6.1%
Larry Sharpe (write-in) 2 0 2 6.1%
Ron Paul (write-in) 1 1 2 6.1%
Darryl W Perry (write-in) 1 0 1 3.0%
Straw Poll (write-in) 1 0 1 3.0%
Nicolas Sarwark (write-in) 1 0 1 3.0%
Mark Whitney (write-in) 1 0 1 3.0%
Exhausted Ballots/Undervotes 11 20 31
Total 44 33 77

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[21] Safe D September 27, 2020
The Cook Political Report[22] Lean D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Likely D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Likely D October 8, 2020
Politico[25] Lean D September 8, 2020
RCP[26] Lean D September 29, 2020
Niskanen[27] Likely D July 26, 2020
CNN[28] Lean D August 3, 2020
The Economist[29] Likely D September 2, 2020
CBS News[30] Lean D August 16, 2020
270towin[31] Lean D August 2, 2020
ABC News[32] Lean D July 31, 2020
NPR[33] Lean D August 3, 2020
NBC News[34] Lean D August 6, 2020
538[35] Likely D November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[c]
Margin
270 to Win October 14–29, 2020 November 3, 2020 53.4% 42.4% 4.2% Biden +11.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 53.9% 42.8% 3.3% Biden +11.1
Average 53.7% 42.6% 3.8% Biden +11.1

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 1,013 (LV) ± 4.5% 45%[e] 54% -
American Research Group Oct 26–28, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 39% 58% 1% 2%
University of New Hampshire Oct 24–28, 2020 864 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 53% 1% 1% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 1,791 (LV) 44% 55% -
Saint Anselm College Oct 23–26, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 52% 2% 2%
YouGov/UMass Amherst Oct 16–26, 2020 757 (LV) ± 4.5% 43% 53% 2% 1%[f] 2%
University of New Hampshire Oct 9–12, 2020 899 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 55% 0% 0%[g] 2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe Oct 8–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 51% 2% 3%[h] 5%
Saint Anselm College Oct 1–4, 2020 1,147 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 53% - 4%[i] 2%
Emerson College Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.6% 45%[j] 53% - 2%[k]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 637 (LV) 43% 55% - 2%
American Research Group Sep 25–28, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 44% 53% 1% 2%
University of New Hampshire Sep 24–28, 2020 972 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 53% 1% 0%[l] 3%
Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness[A] Sep 23–25, 2020 850 (LV) ± 4% 42%[m] 56% - 1%[n] 1%
YouGov/UMass Lowell Sep 17–25, 2020 657 (LV) ± 4.6% 44%[o] 52% 1% 2%[p] 1%
44%[q] 53% - 0%[r] 1%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 8–11, 2020 445 (LV) ± 5.5% 42% 45% 4% 2%[s] 7%[t]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 444 (LV) 39% 60% - 1%
Saint Anselm College Aug 15–17, 2020 1,042 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 51% - 4%[u] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 574 (LV) 39% 60% - 2%
University of New Hampshire Jul 16–28, 2020 1,893 (LV) ± 2.3% 40% 53% - 4%[v] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 191 (LV) 39% 61% - 1%
University of New Hampshire Jun 18–22, 2020 936 (LV) 39% 52% - 6%[w] 3%
Saint Anselm College Jun 13–16, 2020 1,072 (RV) ± 3% 42% 49% - 5% 3%
University of New Hampshire May 14–18, 2020 790 (LV) 46% 44% - 5%[x] 5%
Saint Anselm College Apr 23–27, 2020 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 50% - 2% 7%
University of New Hampshire Feb 19–25, 2020 569 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 44% - 8%[y] 2%
AtlasIntel Feb 8–10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 46% 44% - 11%
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal[1] Feb 4–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49%[z] 45% - [aa] [ab]
Marist College/NBC News Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 43% 51% - 2% 5%
Emerson College Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 52% -
547 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 46% - 13%
Saint Anselm College Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 43% 51% - 6%
Emerson College Sep 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55% -
Gravis Marketing Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 53% - 7%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 55% -
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 53% - 8%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire Feb 19–25, 2020 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 46% 6% 1%
AtlasIntel Feb 8–10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 47% 44% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal[2] Feb 4–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48%[ac] 45% [ad] [ae]
Marist College/NBC News Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 43% 51% 2% 4%
Emerson College Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 52%
547 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 49% 9%
Saint Anselm College Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 46% 49% 6%
Emerson College Sep 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 53%
Gravis Marketing Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 51% 8%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 55%
Praecones Analytica Jan 16–21, 2019 593 (RV) ± 5.3% 41% 54% 5%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 5%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 8-10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 46.8% 40.5% 12.7%
Marist College/NBC News Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 44% 48% 2% 5%
Inside Sources Jan 16–21, 2020 593 (RV) 41% 54% 5%
Emerson College Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 49%
Emerson College Nov 23–26, 2019 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 43% 47% 10%
Saint Anselm College Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 46% 47% 7%
Emerson College Sep 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 49%
Gravis Marketing Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% 7%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 52%
Praecones Analytica Jan 16–21, 2019 593 (RV) ± 5.3% 41% 54% 5%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire Feb 19–25, 2020 561 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 33% 16% 5%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttegieg (D)
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire Feb 19–25, 2020 569 (LV) ± 4.1% 42% 48% 7% 3%
AtlasIntel Feb 8–10, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3% 45.3% 46.1% 8.6%
Marist College/NBC News Jan 20–23, 2020 2,223 (RV) ± 2.6% 41% 51% 1% 6%
Emerson College Nov 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 41% 48%
Emerson College Nov 23–26, 2019 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 41% 48% 11%
Saint Anselm College Nov 13–18, 2019 512 (RV) ± 4.3% 42% 49% 9%
Gravis Marketing Aug 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 49% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
Undecided
Emerson College November 23–26, 2019 637 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 49%
Emerson College November 23–26, 2019 547 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 46% 12%
Emerson College September 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 54%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 ± 3.2% 49% 51%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Emerson College September 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51%
Gravis Marketing August 2–6, 2019 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 52%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
Praecones Analytica Jan 16–21, 2019 593 (RV) ± 5.3% 41% 48% 12%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 48% 10%

with Donald Trump, Elizabeth Warren, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 910 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 44% 12%

with John Kasich and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
John
Kasich (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 8%

with John Kasich and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
John
Kasich (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 1,365 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 37% 11%

with Donald Trump and generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
RKM Research and Communications Inc./Boston Herald/FPU/NBC10[3] Jan 29-Feb 1, 2020 892 (V) 36% 49% 9%[af] 7%
Praecones Analytica Aug 13–15, 2018 626 (RV) ± 5.4% 38% 49% 13%

with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and generic third party

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Generic
third party
Undecided
Suffolk University Apr 25–28, 2019 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 43% 6% 11%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN Jan 15–23, 2020 1,169 (A) ± 2.9% 46% 49%[ag] 2%[ah] 2%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire[36][37]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
424,921 52.78%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
365,654 45.42%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
13,235 1.64%
Green Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in)
217 0.03%
Independent Bernie Sanders (write-in) 192 0.02%
Republican Mitt Romney (write-in) 170 0.02%
Democratic Tulsi Gabbard (write-in) 142 0.02%
Independent Kanye West (write-in) 82 0.01%
Republican John Kasich (write-in) 67 0.01%
Democratic Andrew Yang (write-in) 58 0.01%
Republican Mike Pence (write-in) 56 0.01%
Democratic Pete Buttigieg (write-in) 47 0.01%
Republican Chris Sununu (write-in) 46 0.01%
Republican Bill Weld (write-in) 23 0.00%
Libertarian Vermin Supreme (write-in) 22 0.00%
Democratic Amy Klobuchar (write-in) 19 0.00%
Democratic Andrew Cuomo (write-in) 14 0.00%
Democratic Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) 14 0.00%
Libertarian Ron Paul (write-in) 13 0.00%
Republican Condoleezza Rice (write-in) 12 0.00%
Republican Mike Huckabee (write-in) 10 0.00%
Democratic Michelle Obama (write-in) 10 0.00%
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in) <10 0.00%
Independent Brock Pierce (write-in) <10 0.00%
Independent Albert Raley (write-in) <10 0.00%
Independent Jade Simmons (write-in) <10 0.00%
Constitution Sheila Tittle (write-in) <10 0.00%
Total votes 805,058 100.00%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

District Biden Trump Representative
1st 52% 46% Chris Pappas
2nd 54% 45% Ann McLane Kuster

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The other fifteen states were Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
  2. ^ Number of pledged delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention.[13][14]
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  7. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  8. ^ "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  10. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  12. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  13. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  15. ^ Standard VI response
  16. ^ Hawkins (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
  17. ^ With only Biden, Trump and "Another candidate" as options
  18. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  19. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  20. ^ Includes "Refused"
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  22. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  23. ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
  24. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
  25. ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
  26. ^ Data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  27. ^ Data not yet released
  28. ^ Data not yet released
  29. ^ Data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  30. ^ Data not yet released
  31. ^ Data not yet released
  32. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  33. ^ Would vote for a candidate other than Trump
  34. ^ Would not vote with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization

References

  1. ^ DiStaso, John (November 6, 2020). "More than 73 percent of NH's voting age population cast ballots, resulting in record turnout". WMUR. Retrieved February 16, 2021.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ a b "New Hampshire Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. ^ Stack, Liam (August 3, 2017). "Trump Called New Hampshire a 'Drug-Infested Den,' Drawing the Ire of Its Politicians". The New York Times. Retrieved February 1, 2021.
  6. ^ Alex Seitz-Wald (December 9, 2018). "2020 Democratic primary: California and Texas look to become the new Iowa and New Hampshire". NBC News. Retrieved December 10, 2018.
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  13. ^ "Live Results: New Hampshire Primary". The New York Times. February 11, 2020. Archived from the original on February 14, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  14. ^ "New Hampshire Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. March 31, 2019. Archived from the original on April 12, 2019. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
  15. ^ Marc Fortier (February 13, 2020). "Bloomberg Beat 2 Well-Known Democrats in the NH Primary. He Wasn't Even on the Ballot". NBC Boston (WBTS-CD). Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  16. ^ "Results – 2020 Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire. January 14, 2020. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
  17. ^ Dance, George J. (January 14, 2020). "Strange doings in New Hampshire". The Nolan Chart. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
  18. ^ a b "Congrats to Vermin Supreme for winning the LPNH Presidential Preference Primary!". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire. January 11, 2020. Retrieved January 11, 2020 – via Facebook.com.
  19. ^ "Results – 2020 Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire. January 14, 2020. Retrieved January 15, 2020.
  20. ^ "Results – 2020 Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary". Libertarian Party of New Hampshire. January 14, 2020. Retrieved January 15, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Electoral Maps from Princeton Election Consortium". Princeton University. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  23. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  24. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  26. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  27. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  28. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  29. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  30. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  31. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  32. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  33. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  34. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  35. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
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  37. ^ "President Write-ins - pdf". sos.nh.gov/. Retrieved November 24, 2020.

Further reading

External links

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