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2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout79.96% (of eligible voters) [1] Increase
 
Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,717,077 1,484,065
Percentage 52.40% 45.28%

Minnesota Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County Results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]

Polls of Minnesota voters throughout the campaign showed a clear Biden lead. Prior to the election, 15 out of 16 news organizations projected Minnesota as leaning towards Biden, or a lean blue state. Minnesota was ultimately carried by Biden by a 7.12% margin, significantly improving over Hillary Clinton's narrow 1.52% margin in 2016. Biden's win marked the twelfth consecutive Democratic presidential win in the state, which has not voted for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972. Biden's comfortable margin notwithstanding, Minnesota was the state that came second-closest to flipping from blue to red in 2020, with only Nevada coming closer.

Biden flipped four counties Trump carried in 2016: Clay, Nicollet, Blue Earth, and Winona, all of which were won by Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. Key to Biden's success was his performance in the Twin Cities metro area;[5] he outperformed both Clinton and Obama (in either 2008 or 2012) there. His vote share in Hennepin was the highest of any nominee's since Theodore Roosevelt's in 1904. He also improved on Clinton's performance in the Iron Range,[6] although his performance in St Louis, Lake, and Carlton Counties was still well below what Democrats had historically been getting since the New Deal realignment up through 2012. In fact, this was the first time a Republican received greater than 70% of the vote in a Northern Minnesota county since Herbert Hoover in 1928.[citation needed]

In addition, Biden managed to flip Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, which houses some of the Twin Cities' southern suburbs, by 6.8 points, after Trump narrowly won it by 1.2 points in the last election.

Throughout the summer leading up to the election, the Twin Cities metro was at the center of the George Floyd protests, given that the Killing of George Floyd had taken place in Minneapolis. Trump attempted to court suburban voters by using images of rioting and looting and claimed Biden would "destroy suburbia". These efforts failed, as Biden massively improved in the Twin Cities suburbs, leading to his solid statewide margin of victory.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden carried 51% of Whites, 58% of college educated voters, and 55% of union households.[7] Trump's areas of strength were in the more rural areas, while Biden performed better in urban and suburban areas.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

2020 Minnesota Republican primary[8][9]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Donald Trump 137,275 97.7 39
Bill Weld (write-in) 443 0.3 0
Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) 16 0.0 0
Other write-ins 2,821 2.3 0
Total 140,555 100.0 39 (of 39)

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[10] Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota since 2007, expressed interest in running, and formally declared her candidacy in February 2019,[11][12][13] but then withdrew prior to Minnesota's race.

Biden won the most delegates.[14]

Popular vote share by county
Map legend
  •   Biden—60–70%
  •   Biden—50–60%
  •   Biden—40–50%
  •   Biden—30–40%
  •   Sanders—<30%
  •   Sanders—30–40%
  •   Klobuchar—<30%
  •   Klobuchar—30–40%
  •   Klobuchar—40–50%
Popular vote share by congressional district
Map legend
  •   Biden—40–50%
  •   Biden—30–40%
  •   Sanders—30–40%

15 candidates and an uncommitted option were on the ballot.[15] Candidates' names remain on the ballot even if the candidate has suspended/ended his/her campaign before the primary.

2020 Minnesota Democratic presidential primary[16]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[17]
Joe Biden 287,553 38.64 38
Bernie Sanders 222,431 29.89 27
Elizabeth Warren 114,674 15.41 10
Michael Bloomberg 61,882 8.32 0
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 41,530 5.58 0
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 7,616 1.02 0
Tulsi Gabbard 2,504 0.34 0
Andrew Yang (withdrawn†) 1,749 0.24 0
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 551 0.07 0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn†) 315 0.04 0
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 226 0.03 0
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 197 0.03 0
John Delaney (withdrawn†) 172 0.02 0
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 114 0.02 0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn†) 72 0.01 0
Uncommitted 2,612 0.35 0
Total 744,198 100% 75
†Candidate withdrew after no-excuse, in-person absentee voting started on January 17, 2020.

Libertarian caucuses

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Princeton Electoral Consortium[22] Safe D September 17, 2020
The Cook Political Report[23] Lean D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[24] Likely D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Likely D October 1, 2020
Politico[26] Lean D September 8, 2020
RCP[27] Tossup October 25, 2020
Niskanen[28] Likely D July 26, 2020
CNN[29] Lean D August 3, 2020
The Economist[30] Likely D September 2, 2020
CBS News[31] Lean D August 16, 2020
270towin[32] Lean D August 2, 2020
ABC News[33] Lean D July 31, 2020
NPR[34] Lean D August 3, 2020
NBC News[35] Lean D August 6, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[36] Safe D November 1, 2020
JHK Forecasts[37] Safe D November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win October 27 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 51.6% 41.8% 6.6% Biden +9.8
Real Clear Politics October 12–27, 2020 November 3, 2020 48.0% 43.7% 8.3% Biden +4.3
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 51.8% 42.7% 5.5% Biden +9.2
Average 50.5% 42.7% 6.8% Biden +7.8
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,031 (LV) ± 2.5% 41%[c] 56% - -
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 54% - - 1%[d] 4%
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,259 (LV) ± 2.8% 43% 51% 4% 2% 1%[e]
Swayable Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 466 (LV) ± 5.9% 43% 53% 4% 0%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 883 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 52% - -
Public Policy Polling Oct 29–30, 2020 770 (V) 43% 54% - - 2%[f] 1%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Oct 25–30, 2020 1,138 (LV) 44% 53% - - 3%[g]
St. Cloud State University Oct 10–29, 2020 372 (A) ± 6.7% 39% 54% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,498 (LV) 42% 55% - -
SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News Oct 23–27, 2020 649 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 47% - - 5%[h] 6%
Gravis Marketing Oct 24–26, 2020 657 (LV) ± 3.8% 39% 53% - - 8%
Trafalgar Group Oct 24–25, 2020 1,065 (LV) ± 2.92% 45% 48% 2% - 4%[i] 1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 17–20, 2020 840 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 53% - - 3%[j] 1%
SurveyUSA/KSTP Oct 16–20, 2020 625 (LV) ± 5% 42% 48% - -
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 864 (LV) ± 3.3% 42% 51% - -
Change Research/MinnPost Oct 12–15, 2020[k] 1,021 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 49% 2% 0% 2%[l] 2%
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America Oct 10–13, 2020 200 (LV) 41% 52% - -
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 898 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 50% - -
SurveyUSA/ABC6 News Oct 1–6, 2020 929 (LV) ± 3.9% 40% 47% - - 3%[m] 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,808 (LV) 43% 55% - - 2%
Suffolk University Sep 20–24, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 47% 2% 0% 4%[n] 6%
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune
/MPR News/KARE 11
Sep 21–23, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% - - 2% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 12–17, 2020 718 (LV) ± 3.66% 42% 51% 0% 0% 1%[o] 5%
ABC/Washington Post Sep 8–13, 2020 615 (LV) ± 4.5% 41% 57% - - 1%[p] 1%
Morning Consult Sep 4–13, 2020 643 (LV) ± 4% 44%[q] 48% - - 2%[r] 6%
YouGov/CBS Sep 9–11, 2020 1,087 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% 50% - - 2%[s] 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 8–10, 2020 814 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% 50% 2% 1% 0%[t] 5%[u]
SurveyUSA Sep 4–7, 2020 553 (LV) ± 5.2% 40% 49% - - 4%[v] 7%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 649 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 44%[w] 49% - -
PPP Sep 3–4, 2020 877 (V) ± 3.3% 44% 52% - - 3%[x] 1%
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[A] Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 501 (LV) ± 4.38% 45% 48% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,939 (LV) 43% 56% - - 1%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 647 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 43% 50% - -
Trafalgar Group Aug 15–18, 2020 1,141 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 4% - 1%[y] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 615 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 42% 50% - -
Emerson College Aug 8–10, 2020 733 (LV) ± 3.6% 49%[z] 51% - -
David Binder Research Jul 30–31, 2020 200 (LV) 36% 54% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,288 (LV) 47% 51% - - 2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 662 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 47% - -
Trafalgar Group Jul 23–25, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 2.8% 44% 49% 2% - 3%[aa] 2%
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[B] Jul 22–23, 2020 1,218 (V) ± 3.2% 42% 52% - - 6%
FOX News Jul 18–20, 2020 776 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 51% - - 6%[ab] 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 860 (LV) 42% 57% - - 1%
Gravis Marketing Jun 19, 2020 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42%[ac] 58%[ad] - -
Morning Consult May 27– Jun 5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 45% 48% - -
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[A] May 26–28, 2020 510 (LV) 42% 50% 8%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 647 (LV) 42% 49% - -
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune
/MPR News/KARE 11
May 18–20, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 49% - - 7%
Morning Consult May 7–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 55% - -
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 50% - - 12%
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc./StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 55% 7%
DFM Research Feb 26 – Mar 3, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 35% 52% 7%[ae] 6%[af]
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 49% 11%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc./StarTribune Oct 14–16, 2019 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 51% 11%
Hypothetical polling
with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
KFF/Cook Political Report Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 958 (RV) ± 4% 28% 41% 21%
Public Policy Polling[ag] Oct 4–6, 2019 1,175 (V) 42% 52% 6%
Public Policy Polling[ag] Jun 15–16, 2018 717 (V) 41% 51% 8%
with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and Howard Schultz
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
DFM Research Feb 26 – Mar 3, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 35% 45% 6% 15%[ah]

Results

Results by precinct
Map legend
  •   Biden—40–50%
  •   Biden—50–60%
  •   Biden—60–70%
  •   Biden—70–80%
  •   Biden—80–90%
  •   Biden—90–100%
  •   Trump–40–50%
  •   Trump–50–60%
  •   Trump–60–70%
  •   Trump–70–80%
  •   Trump–80–90%
  •   Trump–90–100%
  •   Tie
  •   No Vote
2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota[38][39]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,717,077 52.40% +5.96%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,484,065 45.28% +0.35%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
34,976 1.07% -2.77%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
10,033 0.31% -0.95%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
7,940 0.24% -
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
5,651 0.17% -
Alliance Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
5,611 0.17% -
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
1,210 0.04% -
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
643 0.02% -0.04%
Write-in 9,965 0.3% -0.6%
Total votes 3,277,171 100%

Results by county

County Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Other votes Total
votes
% # % # % # % #
Aitkin 35.98% 3,607 62.42% 6,258 0.55% 55 1.05% 105 10,025
Anoka 47.79% 100,893 49.69% 104,902 1.17% 2,475 1.35% 2,862 211,132
Becker 33.96% 6,589 64.11% 12,438 0.87% 168 1.06% 206 19,401
Beltrami 47.24% 11,426 50.39% 12,188 1.06% 256 1.32% 319 24,189
Benton 32.70% 7,280 64.61% 14,382 1.58% 351 1.11% 247 22,260
Big Stone 35.41% 1,053 62.64% 1,863 0.47% 14 1.48% 44 2,974
Blue Earth 50.84% 18,330 46.41% 16,731 1.32% 477 1.42% 513 36,051
Brown 32.48% 4,753 65.27% 9,552 0.93% 136 1.33% 194 14,635
Carlton 49.58% 10,098 48.07% 9,791 1.13% 231 1.22% 249 20,369
Carver 46.37% 30,774 51.25% 34,009 1.24% 822 1.14% 756 66,361
Cass 34.68% 6,342 63.54% 11,620 0.61% 111 1.18% 216 18,289
Chippewa 33.67% 2,226 64.29% 4,250 0.88% 58 1.16% 77 6,611
Chisago 34.15% 11,806 63.40% 21,916 1.34% 464 1.11% 384 34,570
Clay 50.74% 16,357 46.66% 15,043 1.27% 410 1.33% 429 32,239
Clearwater 26.76% 1,260 71.62% 3,372 0.59% 28 1.02% 48 4,708
Cook 65.58% 2,496 31.61% 1,203 0.95% 36 1.86% 71 3,806
Cottonwood 30.03% 1,834 68.20% 4,165 0.90% 55 0.87% 53 6,107
Crow Wing 34.17% 13,726 63.91% 25,676 0.89% 357 1.03% 414 40,173
Dakota 55.73% 146,155 41.81% 109,638 1.13% 2,957 1.35% 3,509 262,259
Dodge 33.47% 4,079 63.86% 7,783 1.37% 167 1.30% 158 12,187
Douglas 32.56% 7,868 65.38% 15,799 0.98% 238 1.08% 260 24,165
Faribault 31.98% 2,531 65.59% 5,191 0.91% 72 1.52% 120 7,914
Fillmore 37.48% 4,551 60.14% 7,301 1.11% 135 1.27% 154 12,141
Freeborn 40.96% 6,889 56.95% 9,578 0.87% 146 1.21% 205 16,818
Goodhue 41.23% 11,806 56.06% 16,052 1.39% 397 1.33% 381 28,636
Grant 35.58% 1,300 62.10% 2,269 1.18% 43 1.14% 42 3,654
Hennepin 70.46% 532,623 27.25% 205,973 1.00% 7,526 1.30% 9,847 755,969
Houston 42.42% 4,853 55.37% 6,334 1.00% 114 1.21% 139 11,440
Hubbard 34.42% 4,462 63.26% 8,202 1.03% 134 1.29% 167 12,965
Isanti 29.45% 7,138 68.05% 16,491 1.25% 304 1.25% 302 24,235
Itasca 40.61% 10,786 57.37% 15,239 0.93% 247 1.09% 289 26,561
Jackson 29.99% 1,745 67.85% 3,948 0.91% 53 1.26% 73 5,819
Kanabec 30.02% 2,774 67.93% 6,278 1.01% 93 1.05% 97 9,242
Kandiyohi 36.12% 8,440 61.78% 14,437 0.90% 211 1.19% 279 23,367
Kittson 38.12% 1,006 58.58% 1,546 1.67% 44 1.63% 43 2,639
Koochiching 38.41% 2,659 59.68% 4,131 0.87% 60 1.04% 72 6,922
Lac qui Parle 35.79% 1,446 62.57% 2,528 0.50% 20 1.14% 46 4,040
Lake 50.64% 3,647 47.11% 3,393 1.08% 78 1.17% 84 7,202
Lake of the Woods 27.87% 671 70.76% 1,704 0.91% 22 0.46% 11 2,408
Le Sueur 33.73% 5,672 64.07% 10,775 1.00% 169 1.20% 202 16,818
Lincoln 30.08% 937 68.09% 2,121 0.74% 23 1.10% 34 3,115
Lyon 35.94% 4,634 61.89% 7,979 1.09% 140 1.09% 140 12,893
Mahnomen 48.26% 1,112 49.57% 1,142 0.39% 9 1.77% 41 2,304
Marshall 25.33% 1,295 72.78% 3,721 0.72% 37 1.17% 60 5,113
Martin 30.22% 3,305 67.94% 7,480 0.89% 98 1.14% 126 11,009
McLeod 30.64% 6,413 66.81% 13,986 1.39% 292 1.16% 242 20,933
Meeker 28.58% 3,867 69.18% 9,359 0.90% 122 1.33% 181 13,529
Mille Lacs 29.98% 4,404 67.75% 9,952 1.23% 181 1.03% 152 14,689
Morrison 22.33% 4,367 75.78% 14,821 0.88% 173 1.01% 197 19,558
Mower 46.00% 8,899 51.82% 10,025 0.91% 177 1.26% 244 19,345
Murray 29.60% 1,449 68.69% 3,363 0.65% 32 1.06% 52 4,896
Nicollet 50.31% 9,622 47.15% 9,018 1.16% 222 1.38% 263 19,125
Nobles 33.65% 2,933 64.26% 5,600 0.68% 59 1.41% 123 8,715
Norman 40.80% 1,404 56.76% 1,953 0.90% 31 1.54% 53 3,441
Olmsted 54.16% 49,491 43.43% 39,692 1.18% 1,078 1.23% 1,124 91,385
Otter Tail 32.85% 11,958 65.39% 23,800 0.71% 257 1.05% 384 36,399
Pennington 35.29% 2,568 62.28% 4,532 1.42% 103 1.02% 74 7,277
Pine 33.87% 5,419 64.10% 10,256 1.05% 168 0.99% 158 16,001
Pipestone 26.44% 1,306 71.92% 3,553 0.51% 25 1.13% 56 4,940
Polk 34.88% 5,439 63.26% 9,865 0.79% 123 1.07% 167 15,594
Pope 35.27% 2,477 62.90% 4,417 0.80% 56 1.03% 72 7,022
Ramsey 71.50% 211,620 26.14% 77,376 0.97% 2,865 1.39% 4,116 295,977
Red Lake 31.47% 691 66.21% 1,454 0.82% 18 1.50% 33 2,196
Redwood 28.43% 2,355 69.66% 5,771 0.92% 76 0.99% 82 8,284
Renville 30.71% 2,496 67.26% 5,467 0.84% 68 1.19% 97 8,128
Rice 48.76% 17,402 48.94% 17,464 1.04% 372 1.25% 448 35,686
Rock 29.69% 1,556 68.38% 3,583 0.67% 35 1.26% 66 5,240
Roseau 25.98% 2,188 72.02% 6,065 0.96% 81 1.03% 87 8,421
Scott 45.52% 40,040 52.15% 45,872 1.19% 1,048 1.14% 1,005 87,965
Sherburne 32.48% 18,065 65.13% 36,222 1.32% 734 1.07% 591 55,612
Sibley 28.60% 2,417 69.38% 5,864 0.84% 71 1.18% 100 8,452
St. Louis 56.64% 67,704 41.01% 49,017 1.16% 1,388 1.19% 1,422 119,531
Stearns 37.58% 31,879 60.07% 50,959 1.22% 1,036 1.13% 961 84,835
Steele 37.47% 7,917 59.90% 12,656 1.32% 278 1.32% 277 21,128
Stevens 37.80% 1,922 59.86% 3,044 0.87% 44 1.46% 75 5,085
Swift 34.35% 1,784 63.86% 3,316 0.81% 42 0.98% 51 5,193
Todd 24.79% 3,286 73.57% 9,753 0.64% 85 1.00% 133 13,257
Traverse 35.46% 661 62.88% 1,172 0.64% 12 1.02% 19 1,864
Wabasha 35.78% 4,696 62.13% 8,153 1.01% 133 1.07% 141 13,123
Wadena 26.35% 2,023 71.90% 5,520 0.70% 54 1.04% 80 7,677
Waseca 33.65% 3,496 63.76% 6,624 1.18% 123 1.40% 146 10,389
Washington 53.46% 89,165 44.23% 73,764 1.14% 1,895 1.18% 1,962 166,786
Watonwan 38.20% 1,987 59.66% 3,103 0.54% 28 1.60% 83 5,201
Wilkin 29.91% 1,026 67.87% 2,328 1.20% 41 1.02% 35 3,430
Winona 49.07% 13,333 48.68% 13,227 1.00% 272 1.25% 341 27,173
Wright 34.49% 28,430 63.05% 51,973 1.20% 992 1.25% 1,031 82,426
Yellow Medicine 30.54% 1,688 67.55% 3,734 0.81% 45 1.10% 61 5,528

Results by congressional district

District Biden Trump Representative
1st 43% 53% Jim Hagedorn
2nd 52% 45% Angie Craig
3rd 58% 39% Dean Phillips
4th 67% 30% Betty McCollum
5th 80% 17% Ilhan Omar
6th 38% 58% Tom Emmer
7th 34% 63% Collin Peterson
Michelle Fischbach
8th 41% 56% Pete Stauber

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Lewis' campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Giffords, whose founder, Gabby Giffords, had endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  5. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^ "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 3%
  8. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  9. ^ West (B) with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  11. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  12. ^ "Another Third Party Candidate" and West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  13. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  14. ^ "Refused" with 2%; Fuente (A), "Other" and West (B) with 1%; Pierce (I) with 0%; Kennedy (SWP) and La Riva (PSOL) with no voters
  15. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  16. ^ "Neither" with 1%; "Other" and would not vote with 0%
  17. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  19. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  20. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  21. ^ Includes "Refused"
  22. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  23. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  25. ^ "Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  26. ^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  27. ^ "Another Party Candidate"
  28. ^ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
  29. ^ Including undecided voters who lean towards Trump
  30. ^ Including undecided voters who lean towards Biden
  31. ^ For Howard Schultz as independent
  32. ^ Listed as "unsure/other/refused"
  33. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Alliance for a Better Minnesota
  34. ^ Listed as "unsure/other/refused"

References

  1. ^ State Canvassing Board Certifies Results of 2020 General Election The total number of voters was 3,292,997. That means 79.96 percent of eligible Minnesotans participated in the 2020 General Election. That is the highest percentage turnout since 1956, and the highest total number of voters ever.
  2. ^ "Minnesota Election Results 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  3. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  5. ^ "Trump got more votes in Minnesota in 2020 than he did in 2016. But Biden got way more than Clinton did". MinnPost. November 4, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  6. ^ "Despite attention, Trump gained little ground on Iron Range". The Star Tribune. November 4, 2020. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  7. ^ "Minnesota Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  8. ^ "State Canvassing Board Certificate - 2020 Presidential Nomination Primary". Minnesota State Canvassing Board. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
  9. ^ "Minnesota Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
  10. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  11. ^ Cillizza, Chris; Enten, Harry (September 13, 2018). "There's a new No. 1 among 2020 Democrats". CNN.
  12. ^ Burke, Michael (November 25, 2018). "Klobuchar says she is still considering 2020 run". The Hill.
  13. ^ Smith, Mitch; Lerer, Lisa (February 10, 2019). "Amy Klobuchar Enters 2020 Presidential Race". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  14. ^ Kiersz, Andy; Hickey, Walt (March 4, 2020). "Joe Biden wins Minnesota primary". Business Insider.
  15. ^ "DFL Announces 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Ballot". dfl.org. Democratic Farmers-Labors Union. December 17, 2019. Retrieved December 27, 2019.
  16. ^ "State Canvassing Board Certificate 2020 Presidential Nomination Primary". Minnesota. Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. March 10, 2020. Archived from the original on March 29, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
  17. ^ "Live Super Tuesday primary election results from 14 state primaries". USA TODAY.
  18. ^ "We had ranked choice voting for our caucus, but a lot of people are interested in our first choice vote totals. This is how it broke down statewide". Facebook. Libertarian Party of Minnesota. February 26, 2020.
  19. ^ a b Galvan, Jill (February 26, 2020). "Libertarian 2020 Caucus Full Results by Jill Galvan". Libertarian Party of Minnesota. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  20. ^ "We had ranked choice voting for our caucus, but a lot of people are interested in our first choice vote totals. This is how it broke down statewide". February 26, 2020 – via Facebook.com.
  21. ^ "Libertarian Party Results for Caucus Night 2020". Libertarian Party of Minnesota. February 25, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 Electoral Maps from Princeton Election Consortium". 270 to Win. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  24. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  25. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  26. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  27. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  28. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  29. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  30. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  31. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  32. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  33. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  34. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  35. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  36. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  37. ^ "JHK Forecasts Presidential Election Forecast". JHKForecasts. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  38. ^ "State of Minnesota Canvassing Report" (PDF). Office of the Minnesota Secretary of State. November 25, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 25, 2020. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  39. ^ "Official List of Candidates". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.

Further reading

External links

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