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2020 United States Senate election in Texas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate election in Texas

← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
John Cornyn (cropped).jpg
MJHegar (cropped).jpg
Nominee John Cornyn MJ Hegar
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 5,962,983 4,868,764
Percentage 53.5% 43.9%

Texas Senate Election Results by County, 2020.svg
County Results


Cornyn:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%      90-100%
Hegar:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%



U.S. senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

The general election for the 2020 United States Senate in Texas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the State of Texas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn won reelection to a fourth term against Democratic nominee MJ Hegar by 9.6%.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

  • Virgil Bierschwale, U.S. Navy veteran, software developer, realtor[2]
  • John Anthony Castro, attorney, author, businessman, entrepreneur[3][4][5][6][7]
  • Dwayne Stovall, bridge construction contractor, businessman[8]
  • Mark Yancey, businessman, Attacca International Executive, former owner of the Dallas Wings basketball team[9][10]

Declined

Endorsements

John Cornyn
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Virgil
Bierschwale
John
Anthony
Castro
John
Cornyn
Dwayne
Stovall
Mark
Yancey
Undecided
University of Texas at St Tyler/Dallas News January 21–30, 2020 445 (LV) ± 4.65% <1% 5% 62% 3% 1% 30%
Data for Progress[A] January 16–21, 2020 687 (LV) 1% 0% 75% 2% 1% 22%

Results

Results by county:  Cornyn .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Cornyn—80–90%   Cornyn—70–80%   Cornyn—60–70%   Cornyn—50–60%
Results by county:
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 1,470,669 76.04%
Republican Dwayne Stovall 231,104 11.95%
Republican Mark Yancey 124,864 6.46%
Republican John Anthony Castro 86,916 4.49%
Republican Virgil Bierschwale 20,494 1.06%
Total votes 1,934,047 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the runoff

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

MJ Hegar
Federal officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez (eliminated)
Federal officials
Labor unions
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals
Royce West (eliminated)
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals
Amanda Edwards (eliminated)
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals

First round

Debates

Host
network
Date Link(s) Participants
MJ
Hegar
Royce
West
Cristina
Tzintzún
Ramirez
Annie
Garcia
Amanda Edwards Chris Bell Sema
Hernandez
Michael
Cooper
Victor Hugo
Harris
Adrian
Ocegueda
Jack Daniel
Foster Jr.
D. R.
Hunter
KHOU-11 February 18, 2020 [73] Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Present Absent

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Colin
Allred
Chris
Bell
Joaquín
Castro
Wendy
Davis
Amanda
Edwards
Annie
Garcia
MJ
Hegar
Sema
Hernandez
Beto
O'Rourke
Cristina
Ramirez
Royce
West
Other Undecided
NBC News/Marist February 23–27, 2020 556 (LV) ± 5.3% 5% 7% 16% 5% 9% 8% 5%[b] 34%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune January 31 – February 9, 2020 575 (LV)[c] ± 4.09% 7% 6% 5% 22% 5% 9% 6% 40%[d]
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News January 21–30, 2020 414 (LV) ± 4.8% 5% 4% 6% 9% 4% 4% 6% 12%[e] 52%
Data for Progress[1][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 8% 3% 4% 18% 3% 13% 12% 4%[f] 34%[g]
Texas Lyceum January 10–19, 2020 401 (LV) ± 4.89% 5% 6% 4% 11% 5% 7% 8% 35%[h] 19%
December 9, 2019 Filing deadline, by which Allred had not declared his candidacy
December 6, 2019 Annie Garcia announces her candidacy
December 5, 2019 O'Rourke announces he will not run after end of presidential campaign[74]
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 408 (LV) 4% 6% 6% 58% 13%
University of Texas at Tyler November 5–14, 2019 427 (RV) ± 4.7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8% 7% 52%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune October 18–29, 2019 541 (RV) ± 4.21% 3% 0% 12% 6% 4% 5% 13%[i] 57%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune August 29 – September 8, 2019 550 (RV) ± 4.17% 2% 2% 11% 3% 3% 5% 2%[j] 66%
Ragnar Research September 3–5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 9% 10% 12% 10% 10% 49%
August 12, 2019 Ramirez announces her candidacy
Emerson College/Dallas Morning News August 1–3, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 6.6% 5.2% 9.9% 7.9% 19.1%[k] 51.1%
July 22, 2019 West announces his candidacy and Davis announces a 2020 House bid, confirming she will not run for US Senate
July 18, 2019 Edwards announces her candidacy
July 3, 2019 Bell announces his candidacy
May 1, 2019 Joaquín Castro announces he will not run
April 23, 2019 Hegar announces her candidacy
Change Research April 18–22, 2019 1,578 (LV) ± 2.5% 6%[l] 56% 1% 4% 3% 31%[m]
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] March 5–7, 2019 608 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 19% 4% 2% 4%[n] 29%

Results

Initial round results by county:  Hegar   Hegar—60–70%   Hegar—50–60%   Hegar—40–50%   Hegar—30–40%   Hegar—20–30%   Hegar—<20%    Tie   Tie    West   West—<20%   West—20–30%   West—30–40%   West—40–50%    Ramirez   Ramirez—<20%   Ramirez—20–30%   Ramirez—30–40%   Ramirez—40–50%   Ramirez—50–60%    Garcia   Garcia—<20%   Garcia—20–30%   Garcia—30–40%   Garcia—100%    Edwards   Edwards—<20%   Edwards—20–30%   Edwards—30–40%    Bell   Bell—<20%   Bell—20–30%   Bell—30–40%   Bell—40–50%    Hernandez   Hernandez—<20%   Hernandez—20–30%   Hernandez—30–40%    Cooper   Cooper—<20%   Cooper—20–30%
Initial round results by county:
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic MJ Hegar 417,160 22.31%
Democratic Royce West 274,074 14.66%
Democratic Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez 246,659 13.19%
Democratic Annie "Mamá" Garcia 191,900 10.27%
Democratic Amanda Edwards 189,624 10.14%
Democratic Chris Bell 159,751 8.55%
Democratic Sema Hernandez 137,892 7.38%
Democratic Michael Cooper 92,463 4.95%
Democratic Victor Hugo Harris 59,710 3.19%
Democratic Adrian Ocegueda 41,566 2.22%
Democratic Jack Daniel Foster Jr. 31,718 1.70%
Democratic D. R. Hunter 26,902 1.44%
Total votes 1,869,419 100.0%

Runoff

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
MJ
Hegar
Royce
West
Other Undecided
TargetPoint[D] July 8, 2020 830 (LV) ± 3.2% 39% 35% 26%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler June 29 – July 7, 2020 829 (LV) ± 3.4% 35% 22% 11% 32%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler April 18–27, 2020 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 32% 16% 7% 44%
Data for Progress[2][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 48% 19% 33%
Ragnar Research September 3–5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 26% 24% 50%

Debates

Host
network
Date Link(s) Participants
MJ
Hegar
Royce
West
KXAN-TV June 6, 2020 [75] Present Present
KVUE June 29, 2020 [76] Present Present
Hypothetical polling
with MJ Hegar and Chris Bell
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
MJ
Hegar
Chris
Bell
Undecided
Ragnar Research September 3–5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 28% 21% 50%
with MJ Hegar and Amanda Edwards
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
MJ
Hegar
Amanda
Edwards
Undecided
Data for Progress[3][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 42% 16% 42%
with MJ Hegar and Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
MJ
Hegar
Cristina
Ramirez
Undecided
Data for Progress[4][B] January 16–21, 2020 684 (LV) ± 6.5% 32% 33% 35%

Results

Runoff results by county  Hegar   Hegar—>90%   Hegar—80–90%   Hegar—70–80%   Hegar—60–70%   Hegar—50–60%    Tie   Tie    West   West—50–60%   West—60–70%   West—70–80%   West—>90%    No vote   No vote
Runoff results by county
Democratic primary runoff results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic MJ Hegar 502,516 52.24%
Democratic Royce West 459,457 47.76%
Total votes 961,973 100.0%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Wes Benedict, former national Executive Director of the Libertarian Party[79]
  • Rhett Rosenquest Smith, Libertarian nominee for the Precinct 2 Bexar County Justice of the Peace in 2020 and Libertarian nominee for Texas's 11th congressional district in 2018[80]

Green Party

Nominee

  • David B. Collins, info tech trainer and Green nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[81][82]

People Over Politics Party

Withdrawn

Human Rights Party

Withdrawn

Independents

Declared

  • Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla, retired teacher and candidate for Austin city council in 2014 (as a write-in candidate)[83][82]

Withdrawn

General election

Debate

Host Date & time Link(s) Participants
John Cornyn (R) MJ Hegar (D)
Texas State History Museum October 9, 2020
6:55pm MDT
[85] Present Present

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Daily Kos[86] Lean R October 19, 2020
The Cook Political Report[87] Lean R October 13, 2020
Inside Elections[88] Lean R September 18, 2020
538[89] Likely R September 18, 2020
RCP[90] Lean R September 17, 2020
DDHQ[91] Likely R September 16, 2020
Niskanen[92] Likely R September 15, 2020
Politico[93] Lean R September 9, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[94] Lean R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

John Cornyn (R)
U.S. Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State & Local Officials
Newspapers
Organizations
MJ Hegar (D)
U.S. Presidents
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals
Unions


Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

John Cornyn vs. MJ Hegar
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated John Cornyn MJ Hegar Other/Undecided[o] Margin
270 To Win October 22, 2020 October 29, 2020 46.8% 39.8% 13.4% Cornyn +7.0
Real Clear Politics October 20, 2020 October 26, 2020 47.5% 40.0% 12.5% Cornyn +7.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
MJ
Hegar (D)
Other Undecided
Swayable October 27 – November 1, 2020 1,042 (LV) ± 4% 57% 44%
Data For Progress October 27 – November 1, 2020 926 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 47% 3%[p]
Emerson College October 29–31, 2020 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 51%[q] 47% 2%[r]
Morning Consult October 22–31, 2020 3,267 (LV) ± 2% 47% 43%
Gravis Marketing October 27–28, 2020 670 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 43% 8%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ October 27–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48%[s] 42% 2% 8%
46%[t] 44% 2% 8%
49%[u] 41% 2% 8%
Swayable October 23–26, 2020 492 (LV) ± 6% 52% 48%
YouGov/UMass Lowell October 20–26, 2020 873 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 44% 2%[v] 5%
Data for Progress (D) October 22–25, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 2%[w] 3%
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 20–25, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 38% 6%[x] 8%[y]
Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
October 17–25, 2020 758 (RV) ± 3.56% 45% 40% 7%[z] 8%
Citizen Data October 17–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 41% 41% 4% 15%
YouGov/University of Houston October 13–20, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 42% 4%[aa] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News October 13–20, 2020 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 42% 34% 5%[ab] 18%
Morning Consult October 11–20, 2020 3,347 (LV) ± 1.7% 46% 41%
Cygnal October 18–19, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 49% 41% 4%[ac] 7%
Quinnipiac University October 16–19, 2020 1,145 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 43% 1%[ad] 7%
Data for Progress (D) October 15–18, 2020 933 (LV) ± 3.2% 44%[ae] 41% 3%[af] 12%
Public Policy Polling October 14–15, 2020 712 (V) 49% 46% 5%
Morning Consult[5] October 2–11, 2020 3,455 (LV) ± 1.7% 47%[ag] 38% 12%
Morning Consult September 29 – October 8, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 47%[ah] 38%
Morning Consult September 21–30, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 39%
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 3–6, 2020 895 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 3%[ai] 4%
Data For Progress (D) September 30 – October 5, 2020 1,949 (LV) ± 2.2% 45% 42% 3%[aj] 11%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune September 25 – October 4, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.25% 50% 42% 5%[ak]
YouGov/UMass Lowell September 18–25, 2020 882 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 40% 1%[al] 9%
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 16–22, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 37% 6%[am] 14%[an]
Data For Progress[E] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 38% 22%
Quinnipiac University September 17–21, 2020 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% 7%
Morning Consult September 11–20, 2020 2,616 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 45%[ao] 39%
YouGov/CBS September 15–18, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 41% 3%[ap] 10%
Morning Consult September 8–17, 2020 2,555 (LV)[aq] ± (2% – 4%) 45%[ar] 38%
Morning Consult September 2–11, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 38%
Public Policy Polling (D)[F] September 1–2, 2020 743 (V) 44% 40% 15%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News August 28 – September 2, 2020 897 (LV) ± 3.3% 39% 28% 5%[as] 28%
1,141 (RV) ± 2.9% 34% 24% 6%[at] 36%
Morning Consult August 23 – September 1, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 37%
Tyson Group[G] August 20–25, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3% 44% 42% 11%
Data for Progress (D)[H] August 20–25, 2020 2,295 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 40% 15%
Morning Consult August 13–22, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 39%
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University’s Baker Institute August 4–13, 2020 892 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 37% 5%[au] 8%
Morning Consult August 3–12, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 38%
Morning Consult July 24 – August 2, 2020 2,576 (LV) ± 2.0% 44%[av] 38% 4%[aw] 14%
Morning Consult July 23 – August 1, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 44% 38%
Global Strategy Group (D)[I] July 25–29, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 43% 13%
Quinnipiac University July 16–20, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 38% 3%[ax] 13%
Morning Consult July 13–22, 2020 ~2,700 (LV) ± 2.0% 40% 40%
Spry Strategies (R)[J] July 16–20, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 37% 14%[ay] 2%
YouGov/CBS July 7–10, 2020 1,179 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 36% 5%[az] 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler June 29 – July 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 42% 29% 5% 22%
Public Policy Polling June 24–25, 2020 729 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 35% 23%
FOX News June 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 6%[ba] 12%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler April 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.9% 37% 24% 6% 34%
NBC News/Marist February 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 41% 1% 10%
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) 44% 30% 26%
Emerson College April 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 12% 16%[bb] 44%
Hypothetical polling
with Royce West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
Royce
West (D)
Other Undecided
CBS News/YouGov July 7–10, 2020 1,182 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 37% 4%[bc] 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler June 29 – July 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 43% 28% 6% 23%
FOX News June 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 37% 6%[bd] 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler April 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.85% 35% 24% 7% 34%
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) 45% 33% 22%
with Chris Bell
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
Chris
Bell (D)
Other Undecided
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) 45% 30% 25%
with Sema Hernandez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
Sema
Hernandez (D)
Other Undecided
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) 45% 29% 26%
with Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Other Undecided
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) 46% 42% 12%
Quinnipiac University February 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 46% 1% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] February 13–14, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 45% 8%
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[K] January 5–11, 2019 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 37%
with generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Other Undecided
Univision/UH February 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 41% 16%
Data for Progress January 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) 50% 42% 2%[be] 7%
Beacon Research (D) November 9–21, 2019 601 (RV) 46% 44% 10%
Univision/UH August 1 – September 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 40% 19%
with generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac September 4–9, 2019 1,410 (RV) ± 3.1% 23% 35%[bf] 43%[bg]
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Cygnal October 18–19, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 50% 43% 7%
Data For Progress[L] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 41% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 18–19, 2020 907 (V) ± 3% 47% 45% 8%

Results

2020 United States Senate election in Texas[116]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 5,962,983 53.51% -8.05%
Democratic MJ Hegar 4,888,764 43.87% +9.51%
Libertarian Kerry McKennon 209,722 1.88% -1.00%
Green David Collins 81,893 0.73% -0.45%
Independent Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (write-in) 678 0.01% N/A
Total votes 11,144,040 100.0%
Republican hold

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign prior to the sampling period
  2. ^ a b c d Data for Progress has endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  4. ^ Poll conducted for John Cornyn.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
  6. ^ Giffords endorsed Hegar to this poll's sampling period
  7. ^ Poll sponsored for The Consumer Energy Alliance which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
  8. ^ Poll conducted for the Texas Youth Power Alliance.
  9. ^ Poll conducted for Latino Decisions.
  10. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  11. ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund.
Additional candidates and voter samples
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Michael Cooper with 4%, other with 1%
  3. ^ Additional data sourced by FiveThirtyEight
  4. ^ The five remaining candidates or "someone else" with 34%; refused with 6%
  5. ^ Michael Cooper, Jack Daniel Foster Jr. and Victor Hugo Harris with 3%; D. R. Hunter with 2%; Adrian Ocegueda with 1%
  6. ^ Michael Cooper with 2%; Victor Hugo Harris and Adrian Ocegueda with 1%; Jack Daniel Foster Jr., D. R. Hunter, and "not voting" with 0%
  7. ^ Leaning towards no one candidate, but not leaning towards not voting
  8. ^ Michael Cooper and Victor Hugo Harris with 5%; Adrian Ocegueda with 2%; Jack Daniel Foster Jr. and D. R. Hunter with 0%; other with 6%; none of the above with 17%
  9. ^ Michael Cooper with 4%; Jack Daniel Foster Jr. with 2%; Adrian Ocegueda with 1%; someone else with 6%
  10. ^ Michael Cooper with 2%
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 19.1%
  12. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  13. ^ Veronica Escobar with 5%; Sylvia Garcia, Clay Jenkins, Sri Preston Kulkarni and Kim Olson with 3%; Rafael Anchia and Lizzie Pannell Fletcher with 1%; Mark Strama with 0%; would not vote with 12%
  14. ^ Michael Cooper with 4%
  15. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  16. ^ Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 2%; McKennon (L) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  17. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  19. ^ Standard VI response
  20. ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  21. ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  22. ^ Did not vote with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
  23. ^ McKennon (L) and Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  24. ^ McKennon (L) with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  25. ^ Includes "Refused"
  26. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  27. ^ McKennon (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 1%
  28. ^ McKennon (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 2%
  29. ^ McKennon (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 1%
  30. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  31. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  32. ^ McKennon (L) with 2%; Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 1%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  33. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  34. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sampling period
  35. ^ McKennon (L) with 2%; Collins (G) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  36. ^ McKennon (L) with 2%; Turullols-Bonilla (I) with 1%
  37. ^ McKennon (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 2%
  38. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
  39. ^ McKennon (L) with 4%; would not vote with 2%; "someone else" with 0%
  40. ^ Includes "Refused"
  41. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  42. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  43. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  44. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  45. ^ McDermott (L) with 3%; Collins (G) with 2%
  46. ^ Collins (G) and McDermott (L) with 3%
  47. ^ McDermont (L) with 4%; Collins (G) with 1%
  48. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  49. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  50. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 2%
  51. ^ "Another candidate" with 14%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  53. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 3%
  54. ^ "Someone else" with 16%
  55. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  56. ^ "Other" and would not vote with 3%
  57. ^ Would not vote with 2%
  58. ^ "Would definitely not vote for Cornyn" with 35%
  59. ^ "Would consider voting for Cornyn" with 30%; "Don't know/no answer" with 13%

References

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Further reading

External links

Official campaign websites
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