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2020 Utah gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 Utah gubernatorial election

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
 
Spencer Cox in 2017.jpg
No image.svg
Nominee Spencer Cox Christopher Peterson
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Deidre Henderson Karina Brown
Popular vote 918,754 442,754
Percentage 64.3% 31.0%

2020 Utah gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Cox:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Peterson:      40-50%      50-60%

Governor before election

Gary Herbert
Republican

Elected Governor

Spencer Cox
Republican

The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Although incumbent Republican Governor Gary Herbert was eligible to run for re-election to a third full term, he initially announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he would not run again, but indicated in January 2019 that he was open to the possibility of running again before ultimately deciding to retire and endorse his Lieutenant Governor, Spencer Cox.[1][2][3] Utah has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office in January 1985. This is the second longest active streak of one-party leadership, trailing only South Dakota, which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979.[4][5]

The winner of the election was the first non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate to be elected since Jon Huntsman Jr. in 2004, who ran in this election before he was eliminated in the primaries. The primaries took place on June 30, 2020. The filing deadline was on June 19, 2020.

Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox won the general election, defeating Democratic nominee, University of Utah law professor and former CFPB official Christopher Peterson.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Eliminated at the convention

Declined

Endorsements

Spencer Cox
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Jon Huntsman, Jr.
Federal officials
Organizations
Individuals
Thomas Wright
Federal officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Rob
Bishop
Jeff
Burningham
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Jan
Garbett
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Greg
Miller
Aimee
Winder Newton
Sean
Reyes
Thomas
Wright
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[1] June 17–24, 2020 1,247 (LV) ± 2.77% 30% 15% 29% 6% 19%[a]
Y2 Analytics UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News June 9–17, 2020 797 (LV)[b] 32% 23% 36% 9%
Y2 Analytics/Cox for Governor[A] June 13–16, 2020 691 (LV) ± 3.72% 34% 20% 28% 9% 9%[c]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce June 1–10, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.77% 32%[d] 10% 37% 5% 4%[e]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune June 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 10% 30% 8% 17%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute May 25–31, 2020 643 (LV) 28% 18% 24% 4% 26%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[2] May 9–15, 2020 610 (LV)[f] 40% 18% 34% 8%
April 25, 2020 All remaining candidates except Cox, Hughes, Huntsman Jr. and Wright eliminated at convention
Y2 Analytics[3] March 21–30, 2020 738 (LV)[g] 5% 39% < 1% 17% 33% 4% 1% < 1%[h]
Hinckley Institute March 23–28, 2020 326 (LV) ± 5.4% 7% 24% 1% 7% 26% 2% 2% 32%
Dan Jones & Associates February 28 – March 11, 2020 338 (V) ± 5.3% 6% 30% 2% 12% 27% 4% 6% 15%
Hinckley Institute February 24 – March 1, 2020 312 (LV) ± 5.5% 7% 20% 1% 7% 32% 2% 1% 30%
February 21, 2020 Garbett announces her candidacy[45]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune January 18–22, 2020 246 (LV) ± 6.3% 1% 18% 7% 26% 1% 1% 46%
Hinckley Institute/Deseret News January 15–22, 2020 424 (LV) ± 4.8% 6% 25% 3% 35% 3% 3% 25%
January 17, 2020 Reyes announces he will not run
January 13, 2020 Bishop announces he will not run
January 8, 2020 Hughes announces his candidacy[46]
January 2, 2020 Wright announces his candidacy[47]
Y2 Analytics November 19 – December 7, 2019 457 (V) ± 4.6% 9% 5% 41% 5% 29% 5% 5% 1%
November 14, 2019 Huntsman Jr. announces his candidacy[48]
October 23, 2019 Newton announces her candidacy[49]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
October 3–10, 2019 271 (V) 2% 34% 2% 30% 7% 25%
October 2, 2019 Miller announces he will not run[50]
September 10, 2019 Burningham announces his candidacy[51]
June 3, 2019 Chaffetz announces he will not run
May 14, 2019 Cox announces his candidacy[52]
University of Utah January 15–24, 2019 311 (RV) ± 5.6% 10% 27% 28% 4% 2% 4% 24%
University of Utah October 3–9, 2018 291 (RV) ± 6.0% 11% 25% 16% 3% 2% 7% 36%
Hinckley Institute/Salt Lake Tribune June 11–18, 2018 510 (V) ± 4.3% 9% 25% 16% 3% 9% 37%

Convention results

Republican convention results[53]
Candidate/Running mate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Spencer Cox/Deidre Henderson 1081 30.2% 1082 30.2% 1223 34.3% 1287 36.3% 1488 42.4% 1884 55.0%
Greg Hughes/Victor Iverson 663 18.5% 674 18.8% 719 20.2% 901 25.4% 1107 31.5% 1544 45.0%
Aimee Winder Newton/John 'Frugal' Dougall 500 14.0% 508 14.2% 540 15.1% 703 19.8% 918 26.1% Eliminated
Thomas Wright/Rob Bishop 489 13.7% 494 13.8% 553 15.5% 658 18.5% Eliminated
Jeff Burningham/Dan McCay 487 13.6% 504 14.1% 530 14.9% Eliminated
Jon Huntsman Jr./Michelle Kaufusi 315 8.8% 315 8.8% Eliminated
Jason Christensen/Drew Chamberlain 44 1.2% Eliminated
Inactive Ballots 0 ballots 2 ballots 14 ballots 30 ballots 66 ballots 151 ballots

Primary results

Results by county:  Cox .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Cox—60–70%   Cox—50–60%   Cox—40–50%   Cox—30–40%    Huntsman   Huntsman—30–40%   Huntsman—40–50%   Huntsman—50–60%    Hughes   Hughes—30–40%   Hughes—40–50%
Results by county:
Cox
  •   Cox—60–70%
  •   Cox—50–60%
  •   Cox—40–50%
  •   Cox—30–40%
Huntsman
  •   Huntsman—30–40%
  •   Huntsman—40–50%
  •   Huntsman—50–60%
Hughes
  •   Hughes—30–40%
  •   Hughes—40–50%
Republican primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Spencer Cox 190,565 36.15%
Republican Jon Huntsman Jr. 184,246 34.95%
Republican Greg Hughes 110,835 21.02%
Republican Thomas Wright 41,532 7.88%
Total votes 527,178 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at the convention

  • Neil Hansen, former state representative[20]
    • Running mate: Brandy Farmer, candidate for Utah House of Representatives
  • Ryan Jackson[20]
  • Zachary Moses, CEO of HeTravel.com[58]
    • Running mate: Nate Kizerian, community activist[59]
  • Nikki Pino Jr., youth counselor[60]
    • Running mate: Nikki Pino Sr., retired Army lieutenant colonel and father to Nikki Pino Jr.[59]
  • Archie A Williams, 2014 Democratic candidate for District 60 of the Utah House of Representatives III[61]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Neil
Hansen
Ryan
Jackson
Zachary
Moses
Christopher
Peterson
Nikki
Pino
Archie
Williams III
Other /
Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News March 21–30, 2020 167 (LV) ± 7.6% 11% 11% 7% 38% 28% 5% 10%

Convention results

Democratic convention results[65]
Candidate Pct.
Christopher Peterson 88.4%
Zachary Moses 4.7%
Neil Hansen 4.0%
Nikki Ray Pino 1.4%
Ryan Jackson 1.4%
Archie Williams III 0.1%

Other candidates

Independent American Party

Nominee

  • Gregory Duerden,[66]
    • Wayne Hill, Vice Chair of the Utah Independent American Party[67]

Libertarian Party

Nominee

General election

Campaign

An advertisement that featured both major-party candidates, calling for civility in politics, drew significant media coverage and praise.[70][71]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Safe R September 15, 2020
Inside Elections[73] Safe R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74] Safe R October 8, 2020
Politico[75] Safe R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[76] Safe R July 22, 2020
RCP[77] Safe R July 29, 2020
270towin[78] Safe R October 16, 2020

Endorsements

Spencer Cox (R)
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox (R)
Christopher
Peterson (D)
Daniel
Cottam (L)
Gregory
Duerden (IAP)
Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune October 15–24, 2020 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 58% 33%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics October 12–17, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 26% 6% 3% 16%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune September 26 – October 4, 2020 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 57% 29% 14%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics September 7–12, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 19% 4% 3% 22%
Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune[4] August 31 – September 12, 2020 2,000 (RV) ± 4.38% 55% 20% 5% 3% 3% 15%
RMG Research July 27 – August 1, 2020 1000 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 17% 3% 3% 29%

Results

2020 Utah gubernatorial election[79]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Spencer Cox 918,754 62.98% -3.76%
Democratic Christopher Peterson 442,754 30.35% +1.61%
Libertarian Daniel Cottam 51,393 3.52% +0.42%
<span class="nowrap">Independent American</span> Gregory Duerden 25,810 1.77% +0.36%
Write-in 20,167 1.38% +1.37%
Total votes 1,458,878 100.00%
Turnout 1,515,845 90.09%
Registered electors 1,682,512
Republican hold

Notes

Additional candidates
  1. ^ "Prefer not to answer" with 19%
  2. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  3. ^ "Don't know/refused" with 9%
  4. ^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ Undecided with 4%
  6. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  7. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  8. ^ Christensen with <1%
  9. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  10. ^ Undecided with 26%, Reyes with 5%; "Other" with 3%; Miller and Winder-Newton with 2%; Hughes with 1%; Dougall with 0%
  11. ^ Eccles, Hughes and "Other" with 3%; Miller with 2%
General
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Cox' campaign

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 6 March 2021, at 06:21
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