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2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Martha McSally
Republican



The 2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona will be held on November 3, 2020. Following the death in office of incumbent Republican U.S. senator John McCain on August 25, 2018, Governor Doug Ducey was required by Arizona law to appoint a Republican[1] to fill the vacant seat.[2] In September 2018, Ducey appointed former U.S. senator Jon Kyl to fill McCain's seat until after the special election, which will determine who will serve the remainder of the term until January 2023. Kyl did not complete his interim appointment, and resigned on December 31, 2018.[3] On December 18, 2018, Ducey announced that outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally would be appointed to fill the seat following Kyl's resignation.[4] McSally was sworn in as Arizona's junior senator on January 3, 2019. She had been the Republican nominee for Arizona’s Class I U.S. Senate seat in 2018, but lost that race to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema. The primary is scheduled for August 4.[5]

Interim appointments

Appointees

Potential candidates not appointed

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Edward Davida
Republican Ann Griffin
Republican Daniel McCarthy
Republican Martha McSally (incumbent)
Total votes 100.00%

Endorsements

Martha McSally
U.S. Presidents
Organizations

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Mark Kelly
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State representatives
County officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mohammad Arif
Democratic Mark Kelly
Total votes 100.00%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Tossup February 5, 2020
Inside Elections[57] Tossup January 10, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Tossup February 20, 2020
Politico[59] Tossup November 19, 2019

Polling

with Mark Kelly
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Martha
McSally (R)
Mark
Kelly (D)
Other Undecided
HighGround Public Affairs February 7–9, 2020 400 ± 4.9% 39% 46% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling January 2–4, 2020 760 ± 3.6% 42% 46% 12%
OH Predictive Insights (R) December 3–4, 2019 628 ± 3.9% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2019 904 ± 3.2% 45% 46% 9%
Change Research (D) September 27–28, 2019 396 ± 3.3% 45% 47% 8%
Bendixen & Amandi International September 9–12, 2019 520 ± 4.3% 42% 42% 12% 4%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP July 29–31, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 45% 44% 9%
OH Predictive Insights (R) May 1–2, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 45% 44% 10%
OH Predictive Insights (R) February 12–13, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 46% 44% 10%
Hypothetical polling
with Ruben Gallego
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Martha
McSally (R)
Ruben
Gallego (D)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights (R) February 12–13, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 49% 41% 10%

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ "What happens next to John McCain's Senate seat". Politico. August 25, 2018. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  2. ^ "Who could be appointed to replace John McCain in the Senate, and the process behind it, explained". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  3. ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (December 14, 2018). "Jon Kyl will resign from the U.S. Senate on Dec. 31, setting up another appointment by Ducey to John McCain's seat". Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
  4. ^ a b Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett; Hansen, Ronald J. (December 18, 2018). "Martha McSally will be appointed to John McCain's Senate seat". Arizona Republic. Retrieved December 18, 2018.
  5. ^ "United States Senate special election in Arizona, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
  6. ^ a b Fedschun, Travis (September 4, 2018). "Jon Kyl named to succeed John McCain in the Senate". Fox News. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
  7. ^ Isenstadt, Alex. "Arizona Governor to Appoint Martha McSally to Senate". Politico. Retrieved November 18, 2018.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g "Who could be appointed to John McCain's Senate seat?". azcentral. August 24, 2018. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
  9. ^ Ethan Epstein (August 30, 2018). "She's Mavericky! What If Jan Brewer Took Over McCain's Senate Seat?". Weekly Standard.
  10. ^ a b c d Conradis, Brandon (August 26, 2018). "Arizona governor faces pressure over McCain replacement". The Hill. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  11. ^ "Meghan McCain would be a great Senate replacement for her father". Washington Examiner. August 27, 2018. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  12. ^ Katie Reilly; Philip Elliott (August 26, 2018). "Here's What Happens to John McCain's Senate Seat". Time. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  13. ^ Bacon, Jake (July 9, 2019). "Former Flagstaff teacher Ann Griffin challenges Sen. McSally in Republican primary". Arizona Daily Sun. Retrieved July 12, 2019.
  14. ^ Archer, Garrett (August 28, 2019). "Martha McSally picks up primary challenge from Daniel McCarthy". ABC 15. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  15. ^ Schor, Elana (November 13, 2018). "Kyl: No decision on how long to serve in Senate". Politico. Retrieved November 14, 2018.
  16. ^ KTAR.com, KTAR.com (March 26, 2019). "Martha McSally confirms 2020 Senate run, likely to face Democrat Mark Kelly". KTAR. Retrieved May 8, 2019.
  17. ^ Sullivan, Sean (December 13, 2018). "For Arizona governor, McSally's star dims as possible choice for Senate seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
  18. ^ Forman, Carmen (October 3, 2018). "Fife Symington considering 2020 Senate run". The Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  19. ^ "Former Arizona Gov. Symington Considering 2020 Senate Run". Associated Press. Arizona Public Media. October 5, 2018. Retrieved October 6, 2018.
  20. ^ Dani Coble; Robert Angelen (October 17, 2018). "Arpaio sues New York Times, claims column damages 2020 Senate chances". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  21. ^ Duerig, Molly. "Joe Arpaio running for Maricopa County sheriff in 2020". azcentral. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
  22. ^ "Arizona Gov. Ducey promises to finish term, won't run for Senate in 2020". KTAR. December 3, 2018. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
  23. ^ Hansen, Richard J. (February 12, 2019). "With Mark Kelly in the Senate race, will other candidates jump in?". azcentral.com. Retrieved February 13, 2019.
  24. ^ "Jon Kyl appointed to take John McCain's Senate seat". CBS News.
  25. ^ Cleary, Tom (September 4, 2018). "How Long Will Jon Kyl Serve in the Senate in John McCain's Seat?". Heavy.com.
  26. ^ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne (October 2, 2019). "Sen. Martha McSally may get another Republican primary challenger". Arizona Republic. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  27. ^ https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/01/02/martha-mcsally-loses-potential-challenger-ties-peter-thiel-blake-masters/2799870001/
  28. ^ Molina, Daniel (August 13, 2019). "Curt Schilling flirts with 2020 congressional run in AZ". HardballTalk. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  29. ^ Tal Axelrod (June 25, 2019). "Trump endorses McSally in Arizona Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved June 25, 2019.
  30. ^ http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2020-candidates
  31. ^ Albanese Jr., Giovanni (July 15, 2019). "Mohammad Arif Running for U.S. Senate Seat from Arizona, Hopes to 'Make a Difference'". indiawest.com. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
  32. ^ "Mark Kelly Announcement Video". Mark Kelly. February 12, 2019.
  33. ^ Stracqualursi, Veronica (February 12, 2019). "NASA astronaut Mark Kelly launches Senate campaign". CNN. Retrieved February 12, 2019.
  34. ^ Resnik, Brahm [@brahmresnik] (March 26, 2019). "JUST IN Chris Deschene is a Naval Academy grad, Marine veteran, former AZ lawmaker & SoS candidate & member of Navajo Nation. He could be a compelling U.S. Senate candidate for progressive Dems in 2020. #AZSEN" (Tweet). Retrieved March 28, 2019 – via Twitter.
  35. ^ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  36. ^ "Rep. Ruben Gallego, averting primary bloodbath, won't run for the Senate". azcentral. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
  37. ^ Squires, Michael (February 8, 2019). "Grant Woods says he won't run for U.S. Senate in 2020". Arizona Republic. Retrieved February 8, 2019.
  38. ^ Kirsten, Gillibrand [@SenGillibrand] (January 16, 2020). "I'm so proud to endorse @ShuttleCDRKelly for Senate in AZ. I've known Mark—and his wife @GabbyGiffords—for well over a decade. And I've watched him fight hard with Gabby for commonsense gun reform. We need his leadership in the Senate. Help him get there!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  39. ^ Schatz, Brian [@brianschatz] (May 2, 2019). "I'm sending Mark 1k tomorrow. Can anyone else help? Let me know" (Tweet). Retrieved May 2, 2019 – via Twitter.
  40. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag Kelly, Mark [@ShuttleCDRKelly] (March 18, 2019). "These Arizona leaders have said that they are #FullSpeedAhead on our Mission for Arizona. Retweet to thank them for their support!" (Tweet). Retrieved March 19, 2019 – via Twitter.
  41. ^ Regina, Romero [@TucsonRomero] (February 22, 2020). "#Arizona is ready to elect our second Democratic Senator! Can't wait to start knocking doors for @CaptMarkKelly #FullSpeedAhead" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  42. ^ Hale, Jennifer [@jhaletweets] (September 6, 2019). "anyone in Arizona REGISTER TO #VOTE people like this aren't leaders, they're bullies and tyrants who deserve to be #Voted out. support @ShuttleCDRKelly" (Tweet). Retrieved September 7, 2019 – via Twitter.
  43. ^ DeLisle-Griffin, Grey [@@GreyDeLisle] (January 16, 2020). "Here's how you can donate to the cowardly, unelected, Trump shill @MarthaMcSally 's OPPONENT! #MarkKellyforSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved January 16, 2020 – via Twitter.
  44. ^ Scovell, Nell [@@NellSco] (January 16, 2020). "I gave to Mark Kelly's campaign BEFORE Martha McSally denigrated and dismissed a member of the free press. American democracy is crumbling because the @GOP has eliminated a cornerstone. Don't let them get away without consequences for their actions" (Tweet). Retrieved January 17, 2020 – via Twitter.
  45. ^ "Endorsed Candidates — 314actionfund". 314 Action. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
  46. ^ "BOLD PAC". Bold Pac.
  47. ^ Heyne, Christian (August 20, 2019). "Brady Endorses Mark Kelly for U.S. Senate". Brady.
  48. ^ "DSCC Endorses Mark Kelly in Arizona Senate Campaign". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. April 8, 2019. Retrieved October 16, 2019.
  49. ^ "End Citizens United Endorses Mark Kelly for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United. April 15, 2019. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
  50. ^ Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
  51. ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Mark Kelly for Senate". League of Conservation Voters. June 6, 2019. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
  52. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Mark Kelly for U.S. Senate - NARAL Pro-Choice America". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 15, 2019.
  53. ^ Axelrod, Tal (October 10, 2019). "Planned Parenthood issues first wave of 2020 House, Senate endorsements". TheHill. The endorsees include Senate hopeful Mark Kelly, a Democrat running to unseat Sen. Martha McSally (R) in Arizona,
  54. ^ "Candidates". VoteVets.org.
  55. ^ "Endorsements - Voter Protection Project". Voter Protection Project.
  56. ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  57. ^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  58. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  59. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 22 February 2020, at 21:10
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