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2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout59.87% Increase
 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,326,646 772,474
Percentage 62.09% 36.15%

Kentucky Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Kentucky voters chose electors supporting Donald Trump to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Trump won Kentucky by a 25.9% margin in this election. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. The Bluegrass State has not supported a Democratic nominee since 1996. Trump's overhaul of Obama-era coal emissions standards helped him win coal-industry households,[4] once again sweeping the historically-Democratic Eastern Kentucky counties. Trump also carried 83% of Caucasian evangelical/born-again Christians, per exit polls by the Associated Press.[5] In addition to Trump's victory in the Commonwealth, Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without winning Elliott County since the county was founded in 1869.[6] This also marks the second consecutive election in which no county in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield voted Democratic, albeit the first time since 2008 that any of said counties experienced a Democratic swing.

Kentucky was one of sixteen states where Trump received a smaller percentage of the vote than he did in the 2016 election.[a]

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[7]

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[8]

Democratic primary

2020 Kentucky Democratic presidential primary[9]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[10]
Joe Biden 365,284 67.91% 52
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 65,055 12.09%
Uncommitted 58,364 10.85% 2
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 15,300 2.84%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 9,127 1.70%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 7,267 1.35%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 5,859 1.09%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 5,296 0.98%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 2,656 0.49%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,514 0.47%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,183 0.22%
Total 537,905 100% 54

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[14] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[15] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[17] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[18] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[19] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[20] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[21] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[22] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[23] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[24] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
270 to Win October 17–20 2020 November 3, 2020 40.0% 57.0% 3.0% Trump +17.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 39.9% 55.6% 4.5% Trump +15.7
Average 40.0% 56.3% 3.7% Trump +16.4

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,009 (LV) ± 3% 59%[d] 40% -
Swayable Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 383 (LV) ± 7.4% 55% 42% 4%
Bluegrass Community & Technical College Oct 12–28, 2020 250 (RV) 52% 39% 9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 3,621 (LV) 56% 42%
Mason-Dixon Oct 12–15, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4% 56% 39% - 1% 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 1,479 (LV) 59% 39% - 1%
Data for Progress (D) Sep 14–19, 2020 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 55%[e] 35% 1% 1%[f] 8%
56%[g] 38% - 6%
Quinnipiac University Sep 10–14, 2020 1,164 (LV) ± 2.9% 58% 38% - 1%[h] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,231 (LV) 60% 38% - 2%
Quinnipiac University Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 909 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 41% - 4%[i] 5%
Morning Consult Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 793 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 35% - 2%[j] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 1,709 (LV) 62% 37% - 1%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[A] Jul 25–29, 2020 3,020 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 45% -
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[B] Jul 11–16, 2020 600 (LV) ± 3.7% 60% 34% - 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[C] Jul 7–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 596 (LV) 60% 38% - 2%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[C] Jun 2020 – (V)[k] 54% 39% -
Civiqs/Data for Progress Jun 13–15, 2020 898 (RV) ± 3.8% 57% 37% - 5%[l] 1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[C] May 2020 – (V)[m] 57% 36% -
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[D] May 21–24, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 53% 36% - 6%[n] 5%
Public Policy Polling May 14–15, 2020 1,104 (V) 55% 39% - 5%[o] 2%
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[E] Apr 7–12, 2020[p] 4,000 (RV) 55% 34% -
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% - 4%
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 37% - 6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 35% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

Results

Statewide results

2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky[25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,326,646 62.09% -0.43%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
772,474 36.15% +3.47%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
26,234 1.23% -1.56%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
6,483 0.30% N/A
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
3,599 0.17% N/A
Green Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in)
716 0.03% N/A
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in)
408 0.02% N/A
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva (write-in)
Sunil Freeman (write-in)
98 <0.01% N/A
Independent Mark Charles (write-in)
Adriane Wallace (write-in)
43 <0.01% N/A
Independent Jade Simmons (write-in)
Claudeliah Roze (write-in)
29 <0.01% N/A
Independent Tom Hoefling (write-in)
Andy Prior (write-in)
20 <0.01% N/A
Independent Shawn Howard (write-in)
Alyssa Howard (write-in)
9 <0.01% N/A
Independent President Boddie (write-in)
Eric Stoneham (write-in)
7 <0.01% N/A
Independent Kasey Wells (write-in)
Rachel Wells (write-in)
1 <0.01% N/A
Independent Timothy Stevens (write-in)
Susan Fletcher (write-in)
1 <0.01% N/A
Independent Mary Simmons (write-in)
Sherri Dow (write-in)
0 0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,136,768 100%

Results by county

Vote breakdown by county[25]
Trump/Pence
Republican
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
West/Tidball
Independent
Pierce/Ballard
Independent
Write-ins Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Adair 7,276 82.98% 1,392 15.88% 60 0.68% 25 0.29% 10 0.11% 5 0.06% 8,768
Allen 7,587 81.02% 1,642 17.54% 99 1.06% 22 0.23% 14 0.15% 0 0.00% 9,364
Anderson 9,661 72.89% 3,348 25.26% 184 1.39% 34 0.26% 19 0.14% 8 0.06% 13,254
Ballard 3,356 79.43% 825 19.53% 32 0.76% 10 0.24% 2 0.05% 0 0.00% 4,225
Barren 14,654 73.04% 5,127 25.55% 201 1.00% 52 0.26% 21 0.10% 9 0.04% 20,064
Bath 3,986 70.84% 1,573 27.95% 44 0.78% 12 0.21% 12 0.21% 0 0.00% 5,627
Bell 8,140 81.04% 1,789 17.81% 78 0.78% 30 0.30% 7 0.07% 0 0.00% 10,044
Boone 44,814 66.89% 20,901 31.20% 981 1.46% 171 0.26% 93 0.14% 38 0.06% 66,998
Bourbon 6,190 64.16% 3,296 34.16% 106 1.10% 31 0.32% 20 0.21% 5 0.05% 9,648
Boyd 14,295 65.72% 7,083 32.56% 287 1.32% 55 0.25% 21 0.10% 10 0.05% 21,751
Boyle 8,872 61.28% 5,298 36.59% 210 1.45% 63 0.44% 24 0.17% 11 0.08% 14,478
Bracken 3,398 80.03% 800 18.84% 27 0.64% 11 0.26% 8 0.19% 2 0.05% 4,246
Breathitt 4,265 75.34% 1,301 22.98% 52 0.92% 31 0.55% 12 0.21% 0 0.00% 5,661
Breckinridge 7,701 75.49% 2,350 23.04% 103 1.01% 24 0.24% 19 0.19% 4 0.04% 10,201
Bullitt 30,708 73.12% 10,552 25.13% 563 1.34% 87 0.21% 55 0.13% 33 0.08% 41,998
Butler 4,960 80.98% 1,079 17.62% 63 1.03% 8 0.13% 12 0.20% 3 0.05% 6,125
Caldwell 4,906 76.25% 1,433 22.27% 58 0.90% 22 0.34% 9 0.14% 6 0.09% 6,434
Calloway 11,352 65.03% 5,797 33.21% 227 1.30% 44 0.25% 27 0.15% 10 0.06% 17,457
Campbell 28,482 58.27% 19,374 39.64% 763 1.56% 133 0.27% 82 0.17% 44 0.09% 48,878
Carlisle 2,159 81.84% 463 17.55% 15 0.57% 1 0.04% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 2,638
Carroll 2,954 71.42% 1,116 26.98% 44 1.06% 13 0.31% 8 0.19% 1 0.02% 4,136
Carter 8,775 75.74% 2,642 22.80% 107 0.92% 45 0.39% 16 0.14% 1 0.01% 11,586
Casey 6,179 86.17% 918 12.80% 53 0.74% 12 0.17% 9 0.13% 0 0.00% 7,171
Christian 15,080 63.19% 8,296 34.77% 348 1.46% 95 0.40% 44 0.18% 0 0.00% 23,863
Clark 11,811 65.11% 6,004 33.10% 226 1.25% 53 0.29% 34 0.19% 11 0.06% 18,139
Clay 6,677 87.96% 831 10.95% 40 0.01% 23 0.01% 9 0.01% 1 0.01% 7,591
Clinton 4,280 86.78% 603 12.23% 30 0.61% 10 0.20% 9 0.18% 0 0.00% 4,932
Crittenden 3,451 81.35% 731 17.23% 47 1.11% 7 0.17% 6 0.14% 0 0.00% 4,242
Cumberland 2,769 83.68% 508 15.35% 21 0.63% 7 0.21% 4 0.12% 0 0.00% 3,309
Daviess 31,025 62.95% 17,286 35.07% 670 1.36% 168 0.34% 96 0.19% 42 0.09% 49,287
Edmonson 4,828 78.73% 1,227 20.01% 60 0.98% 10 0.16% 6 0.10% 1 0.02% 6,132
Elliott 2,246 74.99% 712 23.77% 18 0.60% 9 0.30% 10 0.33% 0 0.00% 2,995
Estill 5,100 77.98% 1,355 20.72% 64 0.98% 16 0.24% 3 0.05% 2 0.03% 6,540
Fayette 58,860 38.50% 90,600 59.25% 2,383 1.56% 562 0.37% 309 0.20% 188 0.12% 152,902
Fleming 5,534 78.30% 1,474 20.85% 37 0.52% 16 0.23% 5 0.07% 2 0.03% 7,068
Floyd 12,250 74.91% 3,884 23.75% 111 0.68% 69 0.42% 37 0.23% 2 0.01% 16,353
Franklin 12,900 49.48% 12,652 48.53% 365 1.40% 89 0.34% 55 0.21% 11 0.04% 26,072
Fulton 1,606 66.20% 794 32.73% 18 0.74% 2 0.08% 5 0.21% 1 0.04% 2,426
Gallatin 2,955 76.77% 822 21.36% 58 1.51% 3 0.08% 11 0.29% 0 0.00% 3,849
Garrard 6,754 77.58% 1,830 21.02% 86 0.99% 25 0.29% 8 0.09% 3 0.03% 8,706
Grant 8,725 78.55% 2,205 19.85% 139 1.25% 20 0.18% 17 0.15% 2 0.02% 11,108
Graves 13,206 77.60% 3,560 20.92% 187 1.10% 36 0.21% 30 0.18% 0 0.00% 17,019
Grayson 9,453 78.87% 2,400 20.03% 85 0.71% 33 0.28% 12 0.10% 2 0.02% 11,985
Green 4,838 83.24% 920 15.83% 29 0.50% 18 0.31% 7 0.12% 0 0.00% 5,812
Greenup 13,064 71.88% 4,873 26.81% 178 0.98% 28 0.15% 33 0.18% 0 0.00% 18,176
Hancock 3,145 68.56% 1,351 29.45% 67 1.46% 14 0.31% 10 0.22% 0 0.00% 4,587
Hardin 29,832 60.96% 18,101 36.99% 753 1.54% 151 0.31% 104 0.21% 0 0.00% 48,941
Harlan 9,367 85.38% 1,494 13.62% 81 0.74% 16 0.15% 13 0.12% 0 0.00% 10,971
Harrison 6,334 71.50% 2,400 27.09% 85 0.96% 14 0.16% 20 0.23% 6 0.07% 8,859
Hart 6,345 75.82% 1,908 22.80% 76 0.91% 22 0.26% 18 0.22% 0 0.00% 8,369
Henderson 12,730 61.51% 7,639 36.91% 244 1.18% 50 0.24% 25 0.12% 9 0.04% 20,697
Henry 5,843 72.05% 2,142 26.41% 86 1.06% 19 0.23% 17 0.21% 3 0.04% 8,110
Hickman 1,714 77.94% 458 20.83% 21 0.95% 2 0.09% 4 0.18% 0 0.00% 2,199
Hopkins 15,757 73.25% 5,439 25.28% 226 1.05% 63 0.29% 24 0.11% 3 0.01% 21,512
Jackson 5,453 89.20% 605 9.90% 33 0.54% 15 0.25% 7 0.11% 0 0.00% 6,113
Jefferson 150,646 38.96% 228,358 59.06% 4,782 1.24% 1,660 0.43% 749 0.19% 434 0.11% 386,629
Jessamine 17,096 65.05% 8,567 32.60% 447 1.70% 92 0.35% 49 0.19% 29 0.11% 26,280
Johnson 8,450 82.91% 1,608 15.78% 77 0.76% 31 0.30% 26 0.26% 0 0.00% 10,192
Kenton 48,129 58.55% 32,271 39.26% 1,360 1.65% 225 0.27% 135 0.16% 78 0.09% 82,198
Knott 4,780 76.46% 1,412 22.58% 28 0.45% 15 0.24% 17 0.27% 0 0.00% 6,252
Knox 11,012 82.97% 2,114 15.93% 109 0.82% 32 0.24% 6 0.05% 0 0.00% 13,273
Larue 5,685 77.87% 1,504 20.60% 86 1.18% 19 0.26% 7 0.10% 0 0.00% 7,301
Laurel 23,237 82.66% 4,475 15.92% 282 1.00% 55 0.20% 52 0.18% 10 0.04% 28,111
Lawrence 5,633 80.99% 1,238 17.80% 50 0.72% 20 0.29% 14 0.20% 0 0.00% 6,955
Lee 2,273 81.15% 481 17.17% 28 1.00% 7 0.25% 12 0.43% 0 0.00% 2,801
Leslie 4,321 89.78% 446 9.27% 23 0.48% 12 0.25% 9 0.19% 2 0.04% 4,813
Letcher 7,226 79.10% 1,799 19.69% 69 0.76% 28 0.31% 13 0.14% 0 0.00% 9,135
Lewis 4,986 84.75% 823 13.99% 61 1.04% 6 0.10% 7 0.12% 0 0.00% 5,883
Lincoln 8,489 77.78% 2,254 20.65% 129 1.18% 23 0.21% 18 0.16% 1 0.01% 10,914
Livingston 4,010 80.14% 939 18.76% 44 0.88% 6 0.12% 4 0.08% 1 0.02% 5,004
Logan 9,067 73.42% 3,094 25.05% 145 1.17% 22 0.18% 18 0.15% 4 0.03% 12,350
Lyon 3,100 73.32% 1,092 25.83% 25 0.59% 7 0.17% 4 0.09% 0 0.00% 4,228
Madison 27,356 62.23% 15,581 35.45% 730 1.66% 140 0.32% 104 0.24% 45 0.10% 43,956
Magoffin 4,174 76.63% 1,214 22.29% 40 0.73% 10 0.18% 9 0.17% 0 0.00% 5,447
Marion 6,113 68.47% 2,722 30.49% 55 0.62% 24 0.27% 14 0.16% 0 0.00% 8,928
Marshall 13,297 75.54% 4,071 23.13% 165 0.94% 44 0.25% 24 0.14% 2 0.01% 17,603
Martin 3,496 88.96% 403 10.25% 17 0.43% 8 0.20% 6 0.15% 0 0.00% 3,930
Mason 5,477 68.82% 2,362 29.68% 85 1.07% 19 0.24% 15 0.19% 0 0.00% 7,958
McCracken 21,820 65.04% 11,195 33.37% 376 1.12% 92 0.27% 43 0.13% 23 0.07% 33,549
McCreary 5,664 87.98% 725 11.26% 34 0.53% 8 0.12% 4 0.06% 3 0.05% 6,438
McLean 3,633 75.97% 1,074 22.46% 56 1.17% 11 0.23% 8 0.17% 0 0.00% 4,782
Meade 10,185 72.17% 3,632 25.74% 235 1.67% 33 0.23% 26 0.18% 2 0.01% 14,113
Menifee 2,311 74.50% 750 24.18% 24 0.77% 12 0.39% 5 0.16% 0 0.00% 3,102
Mercer 8,506 72.48% 3,033 25.85% 140 1.19% 40 0.34% 16 0.14% 0 0.00% 11,735
Metcalfe 3,959 78.99% 975 19.45% 56 1.12% 12 0.24% 10 0.20% 0 0.00% 5,012
Monroe 4,628 86.83% 657 12.33% 30 0.56% 10 0.19% 5 0.09% 0 0.00% 5,330
Montgomery 8,993 70.03% 3,630 28.27% 154 1.20% 41 0.32% 19 0.15% 5 0.04% 12,842
Morgan 4,301 77.58% 1,175 21.19% 27 0.49% 21 0.38% 18 0.32% 2 0.04% 5,544
Muhlenberg 10,497 73.76% 3,545 24.91% 134 0.94% 34 0.24% 17 0.12% 4 0.03% 14,231
Nelson 15,703 67.52% 7,188 30.91% 268 1.15% 45 0.19% 41 0.18% 11 0.05% 23,256
Nicholas 2,408 70.91% 955 28.12% 27 0.80% 3 0.09% 3 0.09% 0 0.00% 3,396
Ohio 8,582 77.11% 2,404 21.60% 99 0.89% 29 0.26% 13 0.12% 2 0.02% 11,129
Oldham 22,654 59.65% 14,505 38.20% 601 1.58% 113 0.30% 67 0.18% 36 0.09% 37,976
Owen 4,292 78.64% 1,098 20.12% 46 0.84% 10 0.18% 10 0.18% 2 0.04% 5,458
Owsley 1,671 88.13% 216 11.39% 6 0.32% 3 0.16% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 1,896
Pendleton 5,515 79.64% 1,322 19.09% 56 0.81% 18 0.26% 14 0.20% 0 0.00% 6,925
Perry 8,129 76.50% 2,356 22.17% 100 0.94% 29 0.27% 12 0.11% 0 0.00% 10,626
Pike 20,284 79.87% 4,866 19.16% 154 0.61% 47 0.19% 26 0.10% 18 0.07% 25,395
Powell 4,041 73.41% 1,367 24.83% 67 1.22% 16 0.29% 14 0.25% 0 0.00% 5,505
Pulaski 25,442 80.62% 5,666 17.95% 323 1.02% 78 0.25% 31 0.10% 17 0.05% 31,557
Robertson 884 77.14% 253 22.08% 6 0.52% 2 0.17% 1 0.09% 0 0.00% 1,146
Rockcastle 6,577 84.49% 1,134 14.57% 56 0.72% 13 0.17% 3 0.04% 1 0.01% 7,784
Rowan 5,994 59.55% 3,880 38.55% 137 1.36% 31 0.31% 16 0.16% 7 0.07% 10,065
Russell 7,519 83.96% 1,331 14.86% 84 0.94% 11 0.12% 9 0.10% 1 0.01% 8,955
Scott 17,767 61.33% 10,567 36.48% 480 1.66% 90 0.31% 52 0.18% 13 0.04% 28,969
Shelby 15,055 63.93% 8,077 34.30% 302 1.28% 73 0.31% 38 0.16% 5 0.02% 23,550
Simpson 5,888 67.43% 2,681 30.70% 128 1.47% 17 0.19% 18 0.21% 0 0.00% 8,732
Spencer 8,737 76.42% 2,530 22.13% 124 1.08% 21 0.18% 17 0.15% 4 0.03% 11,433
Taylor 9,376 74.91% 2,963 23.67% 119 0.95% 35 0.28% 19 0.15% 5 0.04% 12,517
Todd 4,062 75.74% 1,205 22.47% 60 1.12% 19 0.35% 12 0.22% 5 0.09% 5,363
Trigg 5,487 74.39% 1,791 24.28% 75 1.02% 8 0.11% 14 0.19% 1 0.01% 7,376
Trimble 3,227 74.70% 1,012 23.43% 60 1.39% 10 0.23% 10 0.23% 1 0.02% 4,320
Union 4,965 75.49% 1,529 23.25% 67 1.02% 9 0.14% 6 0.09% 1 0.02% 6,577
Warren 31,791 57.38% 22,479 40.58% 823 1.49% 184 0.33% 77 0.14% 47 0.08% 55,401
Washington 4,482 72.00% 1,644 26.41% 72 1.16% 11 0.18% 14 0.22% 2 0.03% 6,225
Wayne 7,430 80.41% 1,700 18.40% 69 0.75% 29 0.31% 12 0.13% 0 0.00% 9,240
Webster 4,506 75.19% 1,412 23.56% 54 0.90% 16 0.27% 3 0.05% 2 0.03% 5,993
Whitley 12,567 81.84% 2,552 16.62% 177 1.15% 34 0.22% 17 0.11% 9 0.06% 15,356
Wolfe 2,097 70.39% 839 28.16% 21 0.70% 9 0.30% 13 0.44% 0 0.00% 2,979
Woodford 8,362 54.97% 6,530 42.93% 237 1.56% 50 0.33% 32 0.21% 0 0.00% 15,211

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[26]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 73.1% 25.5% James Comer
2nd 67.6% 30.6% Brett Guthrie
3rd 38.1% 60.0% John Yarmuth
4th 64.8% 33.4% Thomas Massie
5th 80.2% 18.6% Hal Rogers
6th 53.6% 44.5% Andy Barr

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The other fifteen states were Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ Standard VI response
  6. ^ Hawkins (G) with 1%
  7. ^ If only Trump and Biden were candidates
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  11. ^ Not yet released
  12. ^ "someone else" with 5%
  13. ^ Not yet released
  14. ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  16. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
  2. ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
  4. ^ U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
  5. ^ This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period

References

  1. ^ "Kentucky Election Results 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ Dennis, Brady; Eilperin, Juliet. "Trump administration rolls back Obama-era rule aimed at limiting toxic wastewater from coal plants". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. ^ "Kentucky Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  6. ^ "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 27, 2020.
  7. ^ "Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed". CNN. March 16, 2020.
  8. ^ "Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  9. ^ "Official 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved October 13, 2020.
  10. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  11. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  15. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  16. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  17. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  18. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  21. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  23. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  25. ^ a b "November 3, 2020 Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). p. 6. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  26. ^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

Further reading

External links

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