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2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout76%[1] Increase
 
Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 2,382,202 1,167,202
Percentage 65.60% 32.14%

Massachusetts Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County results
Biden
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%


MA 2020 Presidential Election, by Town.svg
Municipal results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]

Biden carried Massachusetts with a 33-point margin, the largest margin whereby any nominee had carried the state since 1964. Massachusetts was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Rhode Island and Hawaii. It was the eighth election in a row that the Democratic candidate carried every single county in the state. It is also the highest percentage of the popular vote that a winning presidential candidate has received in the state since Lyndon B. Johnson won the state with over 70% of the vote back in 1964. It is also the second time that a presidential candidate has won Suffolk County with over 80% of the vote in presidential history after Lyndon B. Johnson won the county with over 80% of the vote back in 1964.[5] In addition, Biden won the following counties with the highest percentage of the popular vote that was seen for a Democratic presidential candidate in history: Barnstable County, Dukes County, and Nantucket County. Biden won nearly 2.4 million votes, the most received by a Democrat in a presidential election in the state's history.

Massachusetts has consistently been amongst the bluest states in the nation since 1960, and this remained true in 2020, with Massachusetts being one of six states (along with Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, California, and New York) that gave Biden over 60% of the vote. Massachusetts is ethnically diverse, highly urbanized, highly educated, and less religious. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Massachusetts came from college-educated voters, which he won with 74% of the vote, which carries particular weight in Massachusetts, as the state contains the highest proportion of graduates in the country.[6] Trump's slip among suburban voters led Biden to carry almost every municipality in the Greater Boston area by at least 60% or more, while Trump carried only several towns on the South Shore and in Central Massachusetts. Biden won 301 of the 351 municipalities.[7] Biden swept all demographic groups, garnering 61% with whites, 84% with Latinos, 58% with Catholics, and 86% with Jewish voters.[6] Trump had the worst vote share in Massachusetts of any Republican nominee since 1996, and slightly underperformed George W. Bush's 32.5% vote share in 2000.

Massachusetts was one of sixteen states where President Trump received less percentage of the vote than he did in the 2016 election.[a]

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.[8][9]

2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Joe Biden 473,861 33.41 45
Bernie Sanders 376,990 26.58 30
Elizabeth Warren 303,864 21.43 16
Michael Bloomberg 166,200 11.72
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 38,400 2.71
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 17,297 1.22
Tulsi Gabbard 10,548 0.74
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 6,923 0.49
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 6,762 0.48
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 2,708 0.19
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,257 0.09
John Delaney (withdrawn) 675 0.05
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 617 0.04
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 426 0.03
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 305 0.02
No Preference 5,345 0.38
Blank ballots 4,061 0.29
All Others 1,941 0.14
Total 1,418,180 100% 91
†Candidate withdrew after early voting started.

Republican primary

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did former Massachusetts governor and Utah senator Mitt Romney.[12][13][14][15]

2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary[16]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
America Symbol.svg
Donald Trump
239,115 86.32 41
Bill Weld 25,425 9.18 0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 3,008 1.09 0
Rocky De La Fuente 675 0.24 0
No Preference 4,385 1.58 0
Blank ballots 2,242 0.81 0
All Others 2,152 0.78 0
Total 277,002 100% 41

Libertarian primary

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.[17][18][19]

County results of the Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.   No preference   Jacob Hornberger
County results of the Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, 2020.
  No preference
  Jacob Hornberger
Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020 [20]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Vermin Supreme 398 10.4%
Jacob Hornberger 369 9.6%
Blank 324 7.8%
Dan Behrman 294 7.7%
Kim Ruff (withdrawn) 224 5.8%
Arvin Vohra 151 3.9%
Ken Armstrong 145 3.8%
Jo Jorgensen 141 3.4%
Sam Robb 127 3.1%
Adam Kokesh 125 3%
Max Abramson 98 2.4%
All others 958 23%
No Preference 804 21%
Total 4,158 100%

Green primary

Massachusetts Green Party presidential primary, March 3, 2020 [21]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Dario Hunter 224 16.9 2
Howie Hawkins 217 16.4 1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry 141 10.6 1
Kent Mesplay 55 4.1 0
David Rolde 4 0.3 0
Write-In 369 27.8 0
No Preference 316 23.8 7
Total 1326 100.00% 11

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[23] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[25] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[26] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[27] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[28] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[29] Safe D September 2, 2020
270towin[30] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[31] Safe D July 31, 2020
NBC News[32] Safe D August 6, 2020
538[33] Safe D September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
270 to Win October 17 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 65.0% 28.7% 6.3% Biden +36.3
RealClearPolitics July 31 – August 27, 2020 September 15, 2020 64.0% 28.3% 7.7% Biden +35.7
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 64.6% 28.9% 6.5% Biden +35.8
Average 64.5% 28.6% 6.8% Biden +35.9
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
MassInc Oct 23–30, 2020 929 (LV) 28% 62% - - 8%[d] 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,848 (LV) 28% 70% - -
YouGov/UMass Amherst Oct 14–21, 2020 713 (LV) 29% 64% - - 3%[e] 3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,655 (LV) 32% 66% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,286 (LV) 29% 69% - - 2%
Emerson College/WHDH Aug 25–27, 2020 763 (LV) ± 3.5% 31% 69% - -
MassINC/WBUR Aug 6–9, 2020 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 27% 63% - - 5%[f] 4%
UMass/YouGov Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 500 (RV) ± 5.9% 28% 61% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,509 (LV) 26% 72% - - 2%
MassINC Jul 17–20, 2020 797 (RV) 23% 55% - - 10%[g] 12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,091 (LV) 27% 71% - - 2%
Emerson College/7 News May 4–5, 2020 740 (RV) ± 3.5% 33%[h] 67% - -
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 30% 58% - - 7%[i] 4%
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 761 (RV) ± 3.5% 31% 69% - -
Former candidates
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 761 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 64%
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 761 (RV) ± 3.5% 37% 63%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts[34]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,382,202 65.60% +4.62%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,167,202 32.14% -1.20%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
47,013 1.29% -2.93%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
18,658 0.51% -0.95%
Write-in 16,327 0.45%
Total votes 3,631,402 100.00% 1.49% Increase
Treemap of the 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts. Biden:       50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Treemap of the 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts.
Biden:
     50-60%      60-70%
     70-80%      80-90%

By county

County Joseph R. Biden

Democratic

Donald J. Trump

Republican

Jo Jorgensen

Libertarian

Howie Hawkins

Green

Total votes cast
# % # % # #
Barnstable 91,994 60.72% 55,311 36.50% 1,856 638 151,512
Berkshire 51,705 72.04% 18,064 25.17% 927 465 71,771
Bristol 153,377 54.51% 119,872 42.60% 3,667 1,427 281,364
Dukes 9,914 77.04% 2,631 20.44% 138 82 12,873
Essex 267,198 62.93% 144,837 34.11% 5,356 1,899 424,599
Franklin 30,030 69.83% 11,201 26.05% 692 380 43,003
Hampden 125,948 57.04% 87,318 39.54% 2,971 1,166 220,793
Hampshire 63,362 71.73% 22,281 25.22% 1,086 768 88,332
Middlesex 617,196 71.00% 226,956 26.11% 10,649 4,484 869,347
Nantucket 5,241 71.42% 1,914 26.08% 81 41 7,338
Norfolk 273,312 66.49% 125,294 30.48% 5,191 1,753 411,042
Plymouth 173,630 57.14% 121,227 39.89% 4,310 1,324 303,870
Suffolk 270,522 80.22% 58,613 17.38% 2,959 1,695 337,240
Worcester 248,773 57.20% 171,683 39.47% 7,130 2,536 434,921

By congressional district

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 37% 61% Richard Neal
2nd 36% 62% Jim McGovern
3rd 35% 63% Lori Trahan
4th 34% 65% Joe Kennedy III
Jake Auchincloss
5th 24% 75% Katherine Clark
6th 36% 63% Seth Moulton
7th 13% 85% Ayanna Pressley
8th 32% 66% Stephen Lynch
9th 40% 58% Bill Keating

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The other fifteen states were Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%; "Refused" with 3%; would not vote with no voters
  5. ^ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 0%
  6. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 3%
  7. ^ "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 3%
  8. ^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  9. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%

References

  1. ^ "MA SOC Voter Turnout Statistics".
  2. ^ "Massachusetts Election Results 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  3. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  5. ^ "Massachusetts Election Results 2020". Politico. November 21, 2020.
  6. ^ a b "Massachusetts Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  7. ^ "Map: See How Your Town Or City Voted In The 2020 Election". www.wbur.org. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  8. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  9. ^ Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander. "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020".
  10. ^ "2020 President Democratic Primary". Mass.gov. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  11. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Massachusetts Democrat". Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  12. ^ Markos, Mary (November 8, 2018). "Charlie Baker 'absolutely' staying put". Boston Herald. Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  13. ^ Burr, Thomas (February 16, 2018). "Mitt Romney: On school shootings, immigration and when he'll challenge Trump. A Q&A with Utah's new Senate candidate". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved February 18, 2018.
  14. ^ Heilbrunn, Jacob (January 2, 2018). "Donald Trump's Biggest Fear: A Romney 2020 Primary Challenge". The National Interest. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  15. ^ Keller, Jon (January 2, 2018). "Keller @ Large: Could Romney Be Trump's Worst Nightmare?". WBZ-TV. Retrieved January 2, 2018.
  16. ^ "2020 President Republican Primary". Mass.gov. Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Archived from the original on April 9, 2020. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  17. ^ Sullivan, Max (July 28, 2019). "Seabrook's Abramson seeks Libertarian presidential nomination". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  18. ^ Limitone, Julia (June 18, 2019). "Presidential candidate vows to abolish federal government on day 1, then resign". Fox Business. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  19. ^ Clark, Bob (November 12, 2019). "Libertarians Offer Voters Nothing New". Olean Times Herald. Retrieved December 22, 2019.
  20. ^ "Massachusetts Election Statistics: 2020 Libertarian Primary". Massachusetts Secretary of State. March 3, 2020.
  21. ^ https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/
  22. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  23. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  24. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  26. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  27. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  28. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  29. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  30. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  31. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  32. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  33. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  34. ^ "2020 President General Election". Massachusetts Secretary of State. Retrieved November 24, 2020.

Further reading

External links

This page was last edited on 4 March 2021, at 22:03
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