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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 0
Seats won 4 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 828,266 330,485
Percentage 70.23% 28.02%
Swing Increase 7.67% Decrease 7.17%

Arkansas Congressional Election Results 2020.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

District 1

The 1st district encompasses northeastern Arkansas, taking in Jonesboro and West Memphis. The incumbent is Republican Rick Crawford, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[6] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[7] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[8] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results

Arkansas' 1st congressional district, 2020[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Crawford (incumbent) 237,596 100.0
Total votes 237,596 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district takes in Central Arkansas, including Little Rock and the surrounding exurbs. The incumbent is Republican French Hill, who was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Tossup November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Tossup October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[6] Lean R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[7] Tossup November 2, 2020
RCP[8] Lean R November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
French
Hill (R)
Joyce
Elliott (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research October 29 – November 2, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% 4%[b] 1%
ALG Research (D)[A] October 16–21, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47%
Hendrix College October 11–13, 2020 644 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 46% 9%
ALG Research (D)[A] September 27–29, 2020 511 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48%
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[B] September 10–16, 2020 605 (LV) 46% 48%
ALG Research (D)[A] September 9–13, 2020 511 (LV)[c] 50% 46%
Hendrix College/TalkBusiness September 4–9, 2020 698 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 46% 7%
ALG Research (D)[A] June 18–24, 2020 511 (LV)[c] 50% 43%

Results

Arkansas' 2nd congressional district, 2020[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican French Hill (incumbent) 184,093 55.4
Democratic Joyce Elliott 148,410 44.6
Total votes 332,503 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

The 3rd district covers northwestern Arkansas, including Bentonville, Fayetteville, Springdale and Fort Smith. The incumbent is Republican Steve Womack, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Celeste Williams, nurse practitioner[25]

Other

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[6] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[7] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[8] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results

Arkansas' 3rd congressional district, 2020[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Womack (incumbent) 214,960 64.3
Democratic Celeste Williams 106,325 31.8
Libertarian Michael Kalagias 12,977 3.9
Total votes 334,262 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

The 4th district encompasses southwestern Arkansas, taking in Camden, Hope, Hot Springs, Magnolia, Pine Bluff, and Texarkana. The incumbent is Republican Bruce Westerman, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • William Hanson, former law professor[26]

Other

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[4] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[6] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[7] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[8] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results

Arkansas' 4th congressional district, 2020[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Westerman (incumbent) 191,617 69.7
Democratic William Hanson 75,750 27.5
Libertarian Frank Gilbert 7,668 2.8
Total votes 275,035 100.0
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Don't recall" with 3%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
  3. ^ a b Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Elliott's campaign.
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List.

References

  1. ^ a b c d Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  2. ^ a b c d e f "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org.
  3. ^ a b c d "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  4. ^ a b c d "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  5. ^ a b c d "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  6. ^ a b c d "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  7. ^ a b c d "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  8. ^ a b c d "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  9. ^ a b c d "2020 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  10. ^ "State Sen. Joyce Elliott to challenge Rep. French Hill in 2020 election". November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  11. ^ Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  12. ^ "Democratic nominee Joe Biden formally endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". KATV. September 18, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  13. ^ "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
  14. ^ "Red to Blue". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  15. ^ Schriock, Stephanie (June 16, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Joyce Elliott in Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  16. ^ "Allies for Equality". Equality PAC. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  17. ^ Acosta, Lucas (June 3, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign.
  18. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan (July 15, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  19. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 10, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 PACE Endorsements". NASW.
  21. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC.
  22. ^ "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action.
  23. ^ McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  24. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  25. ^ "Democrat Celeste Williams Announces Bid For Womack's US House Seat In Arkansas". 5News Web. August 14, 2019. Retrieved August 16, 2019.
  26. ^ "Democrat announces campaign for south Arkansas US congress seat held by Republican". September 6, 2019. Retrieved September 6, 2019.

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
This page was last edited on 9 April 2021, at 01:10
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