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2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 Missouri gubernatorial election

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
 
Mike Parson official photo (cropped).jpg
Nicole Galloway Photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Parson Nicole Galloway
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,720,202 1,225,771
Percentage 57.1% 40.7%

2020 Missouri gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Parson:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Galloway:      50-60%      80–90%

Governor before election

Mike Parson
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike Parson
Republican

The 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson ran for and was elected to a full term in office.[1] Parson was elected as lieutenant governor in 2016, but became governor on June 1, 2018 after incumbent Eric Greitens resigned under threat of impeachment by the state legislature. Parson declared his bid for a full term on September 8, 2019.[2]State Auditor Nicole Galloway, Missouri's only Democratic statewide officer and only female statewide officer, was the Democratic nominee and if elected, would have become Missouri's first female governor.

In October 2020, The Washington Post identified this state election as one of eight whose outcomes could affect partisan balance during post-census redistricting.[3]

Despite the race being rated as leaning Republican, Mike Parson went on to win election by a landslide of 16.4%, widely outperforming all election polling as well as justifying the former swing state's trend towards the Republicans. Galloway suffered the harshest margin of defeat for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Missouri since Betty Hearnes' whopping 29-point loss in 1988.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Neely
State officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson
Eric
Greitens
Other /
Undecided
March 31, 2020 Filing deadline, by which Greitens had not declared his candidacy
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout Jan 29–30, 2020 1,155 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 22% 26%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[A] Jan 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) 56% 30% 11%

Results

Results by county:  Parson .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  >90%   80–90%   70–80%   60–70%   50–60%   <40%
Results by county:
Parson
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Parson (incumbent) 511,566 74.93%
Republican Saundra McDowell 84,412 12.36%
Republican Jim Neely 59,514 8.72%
Republican Raleigh Ritter 27,264 3.99%
Total votes 682,756 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Eric Morrison, community leader and pastor[15]
  • Antoin Johnson[16]
  • Jimmie Matthews[16]
  • Robin Quaethem[16]

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Results by county:  Galloway   >90%   80–90%   70–80%   60–70%   50–60%
Results by county:
Galloway
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nicole Galloway 455,203 84.62%
Democratic Eric Morrison 32,403 6.02%
Democratic Jimmie Matthews 20,586 3.83%
Democratic Antoin Johnson 20,254 3.77%
Democratic Robin Quaethem 9,481 1.76%
Total votes 537,927 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee
Rik Combs, the Libertarian nominee

Nominee

  • Rik Combs, U.S. Air Force veteran[16]

Results

Libertarian primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Rik Combs 4,171 100.00%
Total votes 4,171 100.00%

Green Party

Nominee

Results

Green primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Jerome Bauer 862 100.00%
Total votes 862 100.00%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[26] Lean R September 15, 2020
Inside Elections[27] Lean R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] Lean R October 8, 2020
Politico[29] Lean R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[30] Likely R July 22, 2020
RCP[31] Lean R July 29, 2020
270towin[32] Lean R October 16, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson (R)
Nicole
Galloway (D)
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 28–29, 2020 1,010 (LV) ± 3% 50% 44% 5%[b]
Cygnal October 18–20, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 48% 42% 10%[c]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 14–15, 2020 1,010 (LV) ± 3% 51% 43% 6%[d]
YouGov September 24 – October 7, 2020 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 44% 7%[e]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[B] September 28 – October 2, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 48%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 30 – October 1, 2020 980 (LV) ± 3% 51% 44% 5%[f]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 16–17, 2020 1,046 (LV) ± 3% 52% 43% 5%[g]
We Ask America September 1–3, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 54% 41% 5%[h]
Trafalgar Group August 26–28, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 2.99% 51% 36% 13%[i]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout August 12–13, 2020 1,112 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 7%[j]
Saint Louis University June 23 – July 1, 2020 900 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 39% 20%[k]
Garin-Hart-Yang/Missouri Scout (D)[B] June 16–22, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 40%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout June 10–11, 2020 1,152 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 41% 9%
We Ask America May 26–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 39% 15%[l]
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 28–29, 2020 1,356 (LV) ± 2.6% 52% 39% 9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout March 11–12, 2020 1,241 (LV) 52% 39% 7%
American Viewpoint (R)[C] January 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) 54% 36% 7%
Human Agency/Missouri Scout December 20–24, 2019 415 (RV) ± 5% 51% 36% 13%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) November 17–20, 2019 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 51% 35% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] November 14–15, 2019 921 (LV) 45% 36% 19%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) October 18–20, 2019 550 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 34% 16%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) October 9–10, 2019 1,451 (LV) ± 2.5% 53% 41% 6%
Missouri Scout/Human Agency (D) September 16–18, 2019 825 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 36% 19%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) August 14–15, 2019 855 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 39% 11%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) June 26–27, 2019 960 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 37% 13%
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 40% 9%
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs Nicole Galloway
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Eric
Greitens (R)
Nicole
Galloway (D)
Other /
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R)[C] January 20–22, 2020 1,200 (LV) 44% 45% 7%
Mike Parson vs Jason Kander
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson (R)
Jason
Kander (D)
Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% 51% 36% 13%
Mike Parson vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Parson (R)
Scott
Sifton (D)
Other /
Undecided
Remington/Missouri Scout (R) February 27, 2019 893 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 32% 16%

Endorsements

Nicole Galloway (D)
Federal Politicians
Local Officials
Individuals
Unions
Organizations

Results

Missouri gubernatorial election, 2020[42][43]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Parson (incumbent) 1,720,202 57.11% +5.97%
Democratic Nicole Galloway 1,225,771 40.69% -4.88%
Libertarian Rik Combs 49,067 1.63% +0.16%
Green Jerome Bauer 17,234 0.57% -0.18%
Write-in 13 0.00% ±0.00%
Total votes 3,012,287 100.0%
Turnout 3,026,028 70.07%
Registered electors 4,318,758
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  3. ^ Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  4. ^ Combs (L) with 2%; Bauer (G) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  5. ^ "Other" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  6. ^ Undecided with 5%
  7. ^ Undecided with 5%
  8. ^ Undecided with 5%
  9. ^ Combs (L) with 3%; Bauer (G) with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  10. ^ Undecided with 7%
  11. ^ Undecided with 17%; "Other" with 3%
  12. ^ Undecided with 15%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign.
  3. ^ a b Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association

References

  1. ^ Clare Foran (May 29, 2018). "Embattled Missouri Governor Eric Greitens resigns amid scandals". CNN. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  2. ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (September 8, 2019). "Missouri Gov. Mike Parson, a cattle-farming former sheriff, announces bid for 4-year term". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved September 8, 2019.
  3. ^ Phillips, Amber (October 2, 2020). "The state legislative battles to watch in 2020". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  4. ^ Parks, MaryAlice (May 30, 2018). "Missouri governor to be replaced by longtime traditional politician". ABC News. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
  5. ^ Gerber, Cameron (March 31, 2020). "Saundra McDowell files to run for governor, challenging Parson". The Missouri Times.
  6. ^ Erickson, Kurt (August 28, 2019). "State lawmaker announces plan to challenge Parson for GOP nomination for Missouri governor". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
  7. ^ Raleigh Ritter (R) for Governor
  8. ^ Star, Jason Hancock and Lindsay Wise Kansas City. "Parson faces unrest among Missouri conservatives as he heads into 2020". Columbia Daily Tribune. Retrieved 2019-04-02.
  9. ^ Suntrup, Kurt Erickson, Jack. "A Greitens comeback? Supporters of the ex-Missouri governor are hopeful". STLtoday.com. Retrieved Jan 9, 2021.
  10. ^ "Greitens 2020? Could former Gov. Greitens run for governor again?". KOMU.com.
  11. ^ Hancock, Jason [@J_Hancock] (April 8, 2019). ". @MonettiforMO went on @PeteMundo show this morning to announce he will not challenge @GovParsonMO in the GOP primary for governor in 2020. He'll dissolve his exploratory committee. #MoLeg #MoGOv" (Tweet). Retrieved April 8, 2019 – via Twitter.
  12. ^ a b "Jim Neely for Missouri Governor 2020". Jim Neely.
  13. ^ a b c d "State of Missouri - State of Missouri - Primary Election, August 04, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State.
  14. ^ Lieb, David A. (August 12, 2019). "Democrat Galloway launches Missouri gubernatorial campaign". Associated Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
  15. ^ "Eric Morrison for Missouri |". Retrieved Jan 9, 2021.
  16. ^ a b c d e "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov.
  17. ^ Rosenbaum, Jason. "New Missouri Democratic vice chair says the party can attract both urban and rural voters". ksmu.org. Retrieved 2018-12-11.
  18. ^ Salter, Jim; Stafford, Margaret (July 28, 2019). "Jason Kander is back after quietly working through PTSD". Associated Press. Retrieved August 6, 2019.
  19. ^ Raasch, Chuck (December 12, 2018). "McCaskill: I'll never run again, but I'll stay involved in politics". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved February 27, 2019.
  20. ^ a b c Suntrup, Jack. "Missouri lawmaker from Affton who considered run for governor backs Democratic auditor instead". stltoday.com. Retrieved 2019-07-02.
  21. ^ a b "Show-Me Senator Kamala Harris Sending Support To Missouri Lady Candidates". Retrieved Jan 9, 2021.
  22. ^ a b "State & Local". 3.14 Action. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  23. ^ a b Schriock, Stephanie (November 19, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  24. ^ a b Rodríguez, Yamelsie; Hill, Brandon (November 7, 2019). "Planned Parenthood Advocates and Votes Endorse Reproductive Health Champion Nicole Galloway for Missouri Governor". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Great Plains Votes; Advocates of Planned Parenthood of the St. Louis Region and Southwest Missouri.
  25. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  26. ^ "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  27. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
  28. ^ "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
  29. ^ "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  30. ^ "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  31. ^ "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  32. ^ "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  33. ^ "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  34. ^ "Biden endorses Nicole Galloway for Missouri governor. Here's why it matters". The Kansas City Star.
  35. ^ "Nicole Galloway Tops Week of Momentum with Endorsement From Sen. Elizabeth Warren". Democratic Governors Association. July 10, 2020.
  36. ^ "Nicole Galloway for Missouri". Nicole Galloway for Missouri. Retrieved 2020-10-17.
  37. ^ https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/election/article246394235.html
  38. ^ "Join Pete Buttigeig in supporting Nicole Galloway!". ActBlue.
  39. ^ "Nicole Galloway, CPA on Instagram: "You won't wanna miss this: Join me, @bravoandy, @karliekloss, and @derekblasberg on Monday for a virtual grassroots fundraiser for our…"". Instagram. Retrieved 2020-10-19.
  40. ^ "2020 Labor Endorsed Candidates". moaflcio.org. July 14, 2020.
  41. ^ Gerber, Cameron (July 23, 2020). "Galloway endorsed by national gun violence prevention group". themissouritimes.com. The Missouri Times.
  42. ^ "All Results State of Missouri - State of Missouri - General Election, November 03, 2020". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
  43. ^ "Statistiques" (PDF). www.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved 18 December 2020..

Further reading

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 3 February 2021, at 09:00
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