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2020 United States presidential election in New York

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in New York

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout%
 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Joe Biden 2013.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Conservative Working Families
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The 2020 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] It has also been announced that New York will not be incumbent President Trump's home state for this election, now Florida.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]

Canceled Republican primary

On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump automatically gets to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention.[4][5]

Democratic primary

On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot.[6] However, on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23 after a suit made by former presidential primary candidate Andrew Yang.[7]

Among the other major candidates were entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However, on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the 4th Democratic debate.

Results
2020 New York Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[9]
Joe Biden 1,136,679 64.62% 231
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 285,908 16.25% 43
Blank 135,486 7.70%
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 82,917 4.71%
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 39,433 2.24%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 22,927 1.30%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 22,686 1.29%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 11,028 0.63%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 9,083 0.52%
Void 4,621 0.26%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 3,040 0.17%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,932 0.17%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 2,299 0.13%
Total 1,759,039 100% 274

Other parties with ballot access

Conservative

The Conservative Party of New York State cross-endorsed the Republican ticket, nominating Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President.[10]

Working Families

The Working Families Party cross-endorsed the Democratic ticket, nominating Joe Biden for President and Kamala Harris for Vice President.[11]

Green

The Green Party of New York nominated the national Green Party ticket; Howie Hawkins for President and Angela Nicole Walker for Vice President.

Libertarian

The Libertarian Party of New York nominated the national Libertarian Party ticket; Jo Jorgensen for President and Spike Cohen for Vice President.

Independence

The Independence Party of New York nominated independent candidates Brock Pierce for President and Karla Ballard for Vice President.[12]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[14] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[16] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[17] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[18] Safe D July 26, 2020
CNN[19] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[20] Safe D September 2, 2020
CBS News[21] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[22] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[23] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[24] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[25] Safe D August 6, 2020
538[26] Safe D September 9, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics April 30 – September 29, 2020 October 2, 2020 59.7% 31.0% 9.3% Biden +28.7
FiveThirtyEight until September 30, 2020 October 2, 2020 61.4% 32.2% 6.4% Biden +29.2
Average 60.6% 31.6% 7.8% Biden +29.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Sep 1–30, 2020 10,007 (LV) 34% 64% - - 2%
Siena College Sep 27–29, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 29% 61% 0% 1% 2%[c] 7%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Aug 1–31, 2020 9,969 (LV) 34% 64% - - 2%
PPP Aug 20–22, 2020 1,029 (V) ± 3.1% 32% 63% - - 5%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jul 1–31, 2020 10,280 (LV) 34% 63% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jun 8–30, 2020 4,555 (LV) 33% 65% - - 2%
Siena College Jun 23–25, 2020 806 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 57% - - 10%
Siena College May 17–21, 2020 767 (RV) ± 3.7% 32% 57% - - 11%
Quinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 915 (RV) ± 3.2% 32% 55% - - 5%[d] 8%
Siena College Apr 19–23, 2020 803 (RV) ± 3.7% 29% 65% - - 6%
Siena College Mar 22–26, 2020 566 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% - - 10%
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 55% - - 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% 9%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 56% 7%

with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bill
de Blasio (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 48% 13% 3%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 34% 58% 5% 3%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 53% 10%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 56% 7%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 53% 8%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New York[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
Conservative Donald Trump
Mike Pence
Total Donald Trump
Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Working Families Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Total Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
Independence Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
Write-in
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Pierce (I) with 2%, "someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

References

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "New York presidential primary postponed amid record numbers of coronavirus cases". ABC News. March 28, 2020.
  4. ^ "New York might cancel Republican presidential primary". Politico. February 28, 2020.
  5. ^ "New York cancels Republican presidential primary". Politico. March 3, 2020.
  6. ^ "New York cancels Democratic presidential primary". Politico. April 28, 2020.
  7. ^ "Judge rules New York Democratic presidential primary will take place as planned". CNN. May 6, 2020.
  8. ^ "Certified Results from the June 23, 2020 Presidential Primary Election" (PDF). New York State Board of Elections. 18 September 2020. Retrieved 20 September 2020.
  9. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New York Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved 3 July 2020.
  10. ^ Reisman, Nick (August 31, 2020). "NY Conservative Party Backs Trump's Re-Election". NY1. Retrieved September 10, 2020.
  11. ^ Nichols, John (August 14, 2020). "The Working Families Party Endorses Biden and Harris". The Nation. Retrieved September 10, 2020.
  12. ^ Independence Party of New York (August 24, 2020). "The Independence Party of New York Endorses Brock Pierce for President of the United States". PR Newswire. Retrieved September 10, 2020.
  13. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  14. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  15. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  16. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  17. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  18. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  19. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  20. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  23. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  25. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
  26. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 14 August 2020.
  27. ^ "New York 2020 General Election". Green Papers. Retrieved 2020-09-17.

Further reading

External links

This page was last edited on 23 October 2020, at 18:43
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