Upcoming House elections for the 117th U.S. Congress
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in California was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 53 U.S. Representatives from the state of California , one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts . The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election , as well as other elections to the United States House of Representatives , elections to the United States Senate , and various state and local elections . This is the first general election since 1994 where a Republican has defeated an incumbent House Democrat in California. This year a record breaking number of Republicans defeated Democratic house incumbents. Young Kim defeated Gil Cisneros in District 39 , Michelle Park Steel defeated Harley Rouda is District 48, and David Valadao defeated TJ Cox in District 21 to reclaim his old seat.
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Congressional Elections: Crash Course Government and Politics #6
2020 General Election - Returning Completed Vote By Mail Ballot
2020 Election - California Provisional Ballot Facts
Hi, I'm Craig and this is Crash Course Government
and Politics, and today we're going to talk
about what is, if you ask the general public,
the most important part of politics: elections.
If you ask me, it's hair styles.
Look at Martin Van Buren's sideburns, how
could he not be elected?
Americans are kind of obsessed with elections,
I mean when this was being recorded in early
2015, television, news and the internet were
already talking about who would be Democrat
and Republican candidates for president in
2016. And many of the candidates have unofficially
been campaigning for years. I've been campaigning;
your grandma's been campaigning.
Presidential elections are exciting and you
can gamble on them. Is that legal, can you
gamble on them, Stan? Anyway, why we're so
obsessed with them is a topic for another day.
Right now I'm gonna tell you that the fixation
on the presidential elections is wrong, but
not because the president doesn't matter.
No, today we're gonna look at the elections
of the people that are supposed to matter the
most, Congress.
Constitutionally at least, Congress is the
most important branch of government because
it is the one that is supposed to be the most
responsive to the people.
One of the main reasons it's so responsive,
at least in theory, is the frequency of elections.
If a politician has to run for office often,
he or she, because unlike the president we
have women serving in Congress, kind of has
to pay attention to what the constituents
want, a little bit, maybe.
By now, I'm sure that most of you have memorized
the Constitution, so you recognize that despite
their importance in the way we discuss politics,
elections aren't really a big feature of the Constitution.
Except of course for the ridiculously complex
electoral college system for choosing the
president, which we don't even want to think
about for a few episodes. In fact, here's
what the Constitution says about Congressional
Elections in Article 1 Section 2:
"The House of Representatives shall be composed
of members chosen every second year by the
people of the several states, and the electors
in each state shall have the qualifications
requisite for electors of the most numerous
branch of the state legislature."
So the Constitution does establish that the
whole of the house is up for election every
2 years, and 1/3 of the senate is too, but
mainly it leaves the scheduling and rules
of elections up to the states. The actual
rules of elections, like when the polls are
open and where they actually are, as well
as the registration requirements, are pretty
much up to the states, subject to some federal
election law.
If you really want to know the rules in your
state, I'm sure that someone at the Board
of Elections, will be happy to explain them
to you. Really, you should give them a call;
they're very, very lonely.
In general though, here's what we can say
about American elections. First stating the
super obvious, in order to serve in congress,
you need to win an election.
In the House of Representatives, each election
district chooses a single representative,
which is why we call them single-member districts.
The number of districts is determined by the
Census, which happens every 10 years, and
which means that elections ending in zeros
are super important, for reasons that I'll
explain in greater detail in a future episode.
It's because of gerrymandering.
The Senate is much easier to figure out
because both of the state Senators are elected
by the entire state. It's as if the state
itself were a single district, which is true
for states like Wyoming, which are so unpopulated
as to have only 1 representative. Sometimes
these elections are called at large elections.
Before the election ever happens, you need
candidates. How candidates are chosen differs
from state to state, but usually it has something
to do with political parties, although it
doesn't have to. Why are things so complicated?!
What we can say is that candidates, or at
least good candidates, usually have certain
characteristics. Sorry America.
First off, if you are gonna run for office,
you should have an unblemished record, free
of, oh I don't know, felony convictions or
sex scandals, except maybe in Louisiana or
New York. This might lead to some pretty bland
candidates or people who are so calculating
that they have no skeletons in their closet,
but we Americans are a moral people and like
our candidates to reflect our ideals rather
than our reality.
The second characteristic that a candidate
must possess is the ability to raise money.
Now some candidates are billionaires and can
finance their own campaigns. But most billionaires
have better things to do: buying yachts, making
even more money, building money forts, buying
more yachts, so they don't have time to run
for office. But most candidates get their
money for their campaigns by asking for it.
The ability to raise money is key, especially
now, because running for office is expensive.
Can I get a how expensive is it? "How expensive
is it?!" Well, so expensive that the prices
of elections continually rises and in 2012
winners of House races spent nearly 2 million
each. Senate winners spent more than 10 million.
By the time this episode airs, I'm sure the
numbers will be much higher like a gajillion
billion million.
Money is important in winning an election,
but even more important, statistically, is
already being in Congress. Let's go to the
Thought Bubble.
The person holding an office who runs for
that office again is called the incumbent
and has a big advantage over any challenger.
This is according to political scientists
who, being almost as bad at naming things
as historians, refer to this as incumbency
advantage. There are a number of reasons why
incumbents tend to hold onto their seats in
congress, if they want to.
The first is that a sitting congressman has
a record to run on, which we hope includes
some legislative accomplishments, although
for the past few Congresses, these don't seem
to matter. The record might include case work,
which is providing direct services to constituents.
This is usually done by congressional staffers
and includes things like answering questions
about how to get certain government benefits
or writing recommendation letters to West
Point. Congressmen can also provide jobs to
constituents, which is usually a good way
to get them to vote for you. These are either
government jobs, kind of rare these days,
called patronage or indirect employment through
government contracts for programs within a
Congressman's district. These programs are
called earmarks or pork barrel programs, and
they are much less common now because Congress
has decided not to use them any more, sort of.
The second advantage that incumbents have
is that they have a record of winning elections,
which if you think about it, is pretty obvious.
Being a proven winner makes it easier for
a congressmen to raise money, which helps
them win, and long term incumbents tend to
be more powerful in Congress which makes it
even easier for them to raise money and win.
The Constitution give incumbents one structural
advantage too. Each elected congressman is
allowed $100,000 and free postage to send
out election materials. This is called the
franking privilege. It's not so clear how great an
advantage this is in the age of the internet, but
at least according to the book The Victory Lab, direct
mail from candidates can be surprisingly effective.
How real is this incumbency advantage? Well
if you look at the numbers, it seems pretty
darn real. Over the past 60 years, almost 90%
of members of The House of Representatives
got re-elected. The Senate has been even more
volatile, but even at the low point in 1980
more than 50% of sitting senators got to keep
their jobs.
Thanks, Thought Bubble. You're so great. So
those are some of the features of congressional
elections. Now, if you'll permit me to get
a little politically sciencey, I'd like to
try to explain why elections are so important to the
way that Congressmen and Senators do their jobs.
In 1974, political scientist David Mayhew
published a book in which he described something
he called "The Electoral Connection." This was
the idea that Congressmen were primarily motivated
by the desire to get re-elected, which intuitively
makes a lot of sense, even though I'm not
sure what evidence he had for this conclusion.
Used to be able to get away with that kind
of thing I guess, clearly David may-not-hew
to the rules of evidence, pun [rim shot],
high five, no. Anyway Mayhew's research methodology
isn't as important as his idea itself because
The Electoral Connection provides a frame
work for understanding congressman's activities.
Mayhew divided representatives' behaviors
and activities into three categories.
The first is advertising; congressmen work
to develop their personal brand so that they
are recognizable to voters. Al D'Amato used
to be know in New York as Senator Pothole,
because he was able to bring home so much
pork that he could actually fix New York's
streets. Not by filling them with pork, money,
its money, remember pork barrel spending?
The second activity is credit claiming; Congressmen
get things done so that they can say they got them
done. A lot of case work and especially pork
barrel spending are done in the name of credit
claiming. Related to credit claiming, but
slightly different, is position taking. This
means making a public judgmental statement
on something likely to be of interest to voters.
Senators can do this through filibusters.
Representatives can't filibuster, but they
can hold hearings, publicly supporting a hearing
is a way of associating yourself with an idea
without having to actually try to pass legislation.
And of course they can go on the TV, especially
on Sunday talk shows. What's a TV, who even
watches TV?
Now the idea of The Electoral Connection doesn't
explain every action a member of Congress
takes; sometimes they actually make laws to
benefit the public good or maybe solve problems,
huh, what an idea! But Mayhew's idea gives
us a way of thinking about Congressional activity,
an analytical lens that connects what Congressmen
actually do with how most of us understand
Congressmen, through elections.
So the next time you see a Congressmen call
for a hearing on a supposed horrible scandal
or read about a Senator threatening to filibuster
a policy that may have significant popular
support, ask yourself, "Is this Representative
claiming credit or taking a position, and
how will this build their brand?" In other
words: what's the electoral connection and
how will whatever they're doing help them get
elected? This might feel a little cynical,
but the reality is Mayhew's thesis often seems
to fit with today's politics.
Thanks for watching, see you next week.
Vote for me; I'm on the TV.
I'm not -- I'm on the YouTube.
Crash Course: Government and Politics is produced
in association with PBS Digital Studios. Support
for Crash Course US Government comes from
Voqal. Voqal supports nonprofits that use
technology and media to advance social equity.
Learn more about their mission and initiatives
at Voqal.org. Crash Course is made by all
of these nice people. Thanks for watching.
That guy isn't nice.
Contents Overview
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2020
Party
Votes
Percentage
Candidates
Advancing to general
Seats contesting
Democratic
5,989,781
65.65
124
60
53
Republican
2,973,937
32.60
96
46
46
No party preference
99,842
1.09
22
0
0
Green
38,524
0.42
4
0
0
American Independent
11,271
0.12
3
0
0
Libertarian
7,985
0.09
2
0
0
Peace and Freedom
1,821
0.02
1
0
0
Totals
9,123,161
100.00
252
106
—
District 1
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
LaMalfa—80–90%
LaMalfa—70–80%
LaMalfa—60–70%
LaMalfa—50–60%
LaMalfa—40–50%
Denney—40–50%
The 1st district covers the northeastern part of the state bordering Nevada and Oregon . The incumbent is Republican Doug LaMalfa , who was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Gregory Edward Cheadle (no party preference), perennial candidate [4]
Joseph LeTourneau IV (no party preference), leadership developer[5]
Rob Lydon (Democratic), veterinarian[5] Endorsements
Audrey Denney (D)
US Senators Bernie Sanders , U.S. Senator (I-VT), 2016 and 2020 presidential candidateFederal officials Organizations Labor unions
Doug LaMalfa (R)
Organizations
Predictions Polling Primary election Results
California's 1st congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Doug LaMalfa (incumbent)128,613
54.6
Democratic
Audrey Denney
92,655
39.4
Democratic
Rob Lydon
8,745
3.7
No party preference
Joseph LeTourneau IV
2,769
1.2
No party preference
Gregory Edward Cheadle
2,596
1.1
Republican
Kenneth E. Swanson (write-in)
13
0.0
Total votes
235,391
100.0
General election
Republican
Doug LaMalfa (incumbent )202,907
56.9
Democratic
Audrey Denney
153,418
43.1
Total votes
356,325
100.0
Republican hold
District 2
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
Huffman—70–80%
Huffman—60–70%
Huffman—50–60%
Huffman—40–50%
Mensing—40–50%
The 2nd district encompasses the North Coast , stretching from the from the Golden Gate Bridge to the Oregon border, taking in San Rafael , Petaluma , Novato , Windsor , Healdsburg , Ukiah , Fort Bragg , Fortuna , Eureka , Arcata , McKinleyville , and Crescent City . The incumbent is Democrat Jared Huffman , who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Jared Huffman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[21] Dale K. Mensing (Republican), candidate for California's 2nd congressional district in 2014 , 2016 , and 2018 [22] Eliminated in primary Melissa Bradley (Green), businesswoman[21]
Charles "Wally" Coppock (American Independent)[21]
Rachel Moniz (Democratic), operations officer[21] Predictions Results
California's 2nd congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Jared Huffman (incumbent )
184,155
67.7
Republican
Dale K. Mensing
51,287
18.9
Democratic
Rachel Moniz
20,609
7.6
Green
Melissa Bradley
12,412
4.6
American Independent
Charles "Wally" Coppock
3,600
1.3
Total votes
272,063
100.0
General election
Democratic
Jared Huffman (incumbent )
246,818
77.8
Republican
Dale K. Mensing
70,296
22.2
Total votes
317,114
100.0
District 3
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
Garamendi—70–80%
Garamendi—50–60%
Garamendi—40–50%
Hamilton—40–50%
The 3rd district takes in areas north and west of Sacramento . It consists of Colusa , Sutter , and Yuba counties plus portions of Glenn , Lake , Sacramento , Solano , and Yolo counties. The incumbent is Democrat John Garamendi , who was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general John Garamendi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[23] Tamika Hamilton (Republican), U.S. Air Force veteran[24] Eliminated in primary Endorsements
John Garamendi (D)
Executive Branch officials U.S. Senators U.S. Representatives Statewide officials State legislators Newspapers Organizations Labor unions
Tamika Hamilton (R)
Organizations
Predictions Results District 4
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
McClintock—60–70%
McClintock—50–60%
Kennedy—60–70%
The 4th district encompasses the suburbs of Sacramento and the Sierra Nevada . The incumbent is Republican Tom McClintock , who was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Brynne S. Kennedy (Democratic), businesswoman[31]
Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[32] Eliminated in primary Julianne Benzel (Republican), history teacher[33]
Jamie Byers (Republican), state parole agent[5]
Robert Lawton (no party preference), businessman and Democratic candidate for California's 4th congressional district in 2018 [34]
Jacob Thomas (Republican), businessman[35] Withdrawn Sean Frame (Democratic), Placerville Union school board member[36] Declined
Brynne Kennedy (D)
Federal officials Organizations
Endorsements
Tom McClintock (R)
Organizations
Predictions Polling General election
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Opponent
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Tom
Generic
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D) [B] April 26 – May 4, 2020
2,196 (LV)
–
36%
36% [b] 28%
Results
California's 4th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Tom McClintock (incumbent)
141,244
50.7
Democratic
Brynne S. Kennedy
110,771
39.8
Republican
Julianne Benzel
12,138
4.4
No party preference
Robert Lawton
4,848
1.7
Republican
Jamie Byers
4,822
1.7
Republican
Jacob Thomas
4,527
1.6
Total votes
278,350
100.0
General election
Republican
Tom McClintock (incumbent)
244,222
56.0
Democratic
Brynne S. Kennedy
192,202
44.0
Total votes
436,424
100.0
District 5
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
Thompson—60–70%
Thompson—50–60%
The 5th district encompasses much of California's wine country . It includes Cotati , Rohnert Park , Santa Rosa , Sonoma , Napa , American Canyon , Vallejo , Benicia , Hercules , and part of Martinez . The incumbent is Democrat Mike Thompson , who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Scott Giblin (Republican), information services technician[42]
Mike Thompson (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[42] Eliminated in primary Jason Kishineff (Democratic), activist[43]
Josh Wesley Tyler (Democratic), teacher[44] Endorsements
Mike Thompson (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions Results District 6
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
Matsui—70–80%
Matsui—60–70%
The 6th district takes in Sacramento , and its surrounding suburbs including, West Sacramento and North Highlands . The incumbent is Democrat Doris Matsui , who was re-elected with 80.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Chris Bish (Republican), realtor[5]
Doris Matsui (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Eliminated in primary Sherwood Ellsworth Haisty Jr. (Republican), minister[5]
Benjamin Emard (Democratic), attorney[5] Endorsements
Doris Matsui (D)
Labor unions Organizations
Predictions Results District 7
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
The 7th district is located in southern and eastern Sacramento County , including the cities of Elk Grove , Folsom , and Rancho Cordova . The incumbent is Democrat Ami Bera , who was re-elected with 55.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
| type = presidential
Candidates Advanced to general Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[46] Buzz Patterson (Republican), retired United States Air Force Lieutenant Colonel[47] Eliminated in primary Jeff Burdick (Democratic), public affairs specialist[46]
Jon Ivy (Republican), voting rights activist[48]
Chris Richardson (Green), engineer[5] Endorsements
Ami Bera (D)
Organizations
Buzz Patterson (R)
Organizations
Predictions Results
California's 7th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Ami Bera (incumbent)
106,124
50.3
Republican
Buzz Patterson
70,803
33.6
Democratic
Jeff Burdick
15,114
7.2
Republican
Jon Ivy
14,017
6.6
Green
Chris Richardson
4,837
2.3
Total votes
210,895
100.0
General election
Democratic
Ami Bera (incumbent)
201,912
56.8
Republican
Buzz Patterson
153,314
43.2
Total votes
355,226
100.0
District 8
← 2018
November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03 ) 2022 →
The 8th district includes most of the eastern desert regions of the state. It stretches from Mono Lake to Twentynine Palms and consists of Inyo and Mono counties plus most of San Bernardino County . The incumbent is Republican Paul Cook , who was re-elected with 60.0% of the vote in 2018.[1] [53]
Candidates Advanced to general Christine Bubser (Democratic), engineer and biotechnology advisor[54]
Jay Obernolte (Republican), state assemblyman[55] Eliminated in primary Declined Endorsements
Christine Bubser (D)
Federal politicians State politicians Organizations
Jeremy Staat (R)
Organizations
Predictions Polling General election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Jay
Christine
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) [C] August 1–5, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
48%
38%
13%
Results
2020 California's 8th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Obernolte—30–40%
Bubser—30–40%
Bubser—40–50%
California's 8th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Jay Obernolte
50,677
35.0
Democratic
Christine Bubser
41,595
28.7
Republican
Tim Donnelly
30,079
20.7
Democratic
Bob Conaway
9,053
6.2
No party preference
Jeff Esmus
4,042
2.8
Democratic
James Ellars
3,948
2.7
Republican
Jeremy Staat
2,288
1.6
Republican
Jerry Laws
2,010
1.4
Republican
Justin David Whitehead
1,305
0.9
No party preference
J. Green (write-in)
11
0.0
Total votes
145,008
100.0
General election
Republican
Jay Obernolte
158,392
56.1
Democratic
Christine Bubser
124,107
43.9
Total votes
282,499
100.0
District 9 The 9th district is centered around the San Joaquin Delta , taking in Stockton , Antioch , Galt , Oakley , Lathrop , and Lodi . The incumbent is Democrat Jerry McNerney , who was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary William Martinek (Republican), financial advisor[63] Predictions Results
2020 California's 9th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
McNerney—50–60%
Amador—40–50%
District 10
County resultsHarder: 50–60%
The 10th district covers San Joaquin Valley , including the cities of Oakdale , Manteca , Modesto , Tracy , and Turlock . The incumbent is Democrat Josh Harder , who flipped the district and was elected with 52.3% of the vote in the 2018 district election .[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Withdrawn Charles Dossett (Republican), U.S. Army veteran[68] Declined Endorsements
Bob Elliott (R)
Organizations Combat Veterans for Congress[70]
Josh Harder (D)
Former US Executive Branch officials Barack Obama , former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[71] Federal officials Labor unions Organizations
Predictions Results
2020 California's 10th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Harder—40–50%
Harder—30–40%
District 11 The 11th district encompasses parts of the East Bay , including Alamo , Antioch , Bay Point , Blackhawk , Clayton , Concord , Danville , Diablo , El Cerrito , El Sobrante , Kensington , Lafayette , Moraga , Orinda , Pittsburg , Pleasant Hill , San Pablo , Richmond and Walnut Creek . The incumbent is Democrat Mark DeSaulnier , who was re-elected with 74.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Michael Ernest Kerr (Green), social justice advocate[76] Predictions Results District 12 The 12th district is based entirely within San Francisco . The incumbent is the Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (Democratic), who was re-elected with 86.8% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Agatha Bacelar (Democratic), documentary filmmaker and engineer[78]
John Dennis (Republican), businessman and perennial candidate[5]
Deanna Lorraine (Republican), political commentator[79] Withdrawn Endorsements
Shahid Buttar (D)
Local officials Individuals Unions San Francisco Tenants Union[81] Organizations Publications
Nancy Pelosi (D)
Unions Organizations Individuals James L. Brooks , director, producer and writer[90] Gregg Henry , actor and musician[91] William Hurt , actor, director, producer and screenwriter[92] Kristen Johnston , actress and comedian[93] Wendie Malick , actress and activist[94] Alyssa Milano , actress and activist[95] Alexandra Neil , actress[96] James Sie , actor and voice actor[97] Alice Wetterlund , actress, comedian and podcast host[98]
Predictions Results District 13 The 13th district takes in northern Alameda County , encompassing Alameda , Albany , Berkeley , Emeryville , Oakland , Piedmont , and San Leandro . The incumbent is Democrat Barbara Lee , who was re-elected with 88.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Barbara Lee (Democratic), incumbent U.S Representative[99] Nikka Piterman (Republican), software engineer[100] Predictions Results District 14 The 14th district is located on the San Francisco Peninsula , taking in most of San Mateo County and a small part of southwestern San Francisco . The incumbent is Democrat Jackie Speier , who was re-elected with 79.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Ran Petel (Republican), financial executive[5]
Jackie Speier (Democratic), incumbent U.S Representative[5] Eliminated in primary Cristos Goodrow (Democratic), technology executive[5]
Eric Taylor (no party preference), research manager[5] Predictions Results
2020 California's 14th congressional district primary results by county
District 15 The 15th district encompasses eastern Alameda County , including Castro Valley , Dublin , Fremont , Hayward , Livermore , Pleasanton , Sunol , Union City , and parts of Contra Costa County , including San Ramon and part of Danville . The incumbent is Democrat Eric Swalwell , who was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2018,[1] ran in the 2020 presidential race .[101] [102] [103]
Candidates Advanced to general Alison Hayden (Republican), special education teacher[76]
Eric Swalwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[104] Eliminated in primary Samantha Campbell (Democratic), college student[76]
Don J. Grundmann (no party preference), chiropractor (Constitution )[I] [76]
Austin E. Intal (Democratic), sales and real estate agent[76]
Peter Yuan Liu (Republican), candidate for Governor of California in 2018 [76]
Tuan Phan (Democratic), biochemist[76] Withdrawn Declined Predictions Results
2020 California's 15th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Swalwell—60–70%
Swalwell—50–60%
California's 15th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Eric Swalwell (incumbent)
103,826
59.0
Republican
Alison Hayden
29,864
17.0
Democratic
Samantha Campbell
17,286
9.8
Republican
Peter Liu
13,634
7.8
Democratic
Tuan Phan
6,509
3.7
Democratic
Austin E. Intal
2,548
1.4
No party preference
Don J. Grundmann
2,194
1.2
Total votes
175,861
100.0
General election
Democratic
Eric Swalwell (incumbent)
238,322
71.1
Republican
Alison Hayden
96,920
28.9
Total votes
335,242
100.0
District 16 The 16th district is located in central San Joaquin Valley , including the cities of Madera , Merced , and the western half of Fresno . The incumbent is Democrat Jim Costa , who was re-elected with 57.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Esmeralda Soria (Democratic), Fresno city councilwoman[111]
Kimberly Elizabeth Williams (Democratic), former U.S. diplomat and college professor[112] Endorsements
Kevin Cookingham (R)
Organizations
Jim Costa (D)
Federal politicians Organizations Unions
Esmeralda Soria (D)
State politicians Individuals Labor unions Organizations
Kimberly Williams (D)
Organizations
Predictions Results
2020 California's 16th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Costa—40–50%
Cookingham—40–50%
Cookingham—50–60%
District 17 The 17th district encompasses parts of the Silicon Valley , taking in Sunnyvale , Cupertino , Santa Clara , Milpitas , Newark , most of Fremont , and a small part of northern San Jose . The incumbent is Democrat Ro Khanna , who was re-elected with 75.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Ro Khanna (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[99] Ritesh Tandon (Republican), businessman[99] Eliminated in primary Joe Dehn (Libertarian), square dance caller[5]
Stephen Forbes (Democratic), business analyst and candidate for California's 17th congressional district in 2018 Endorsements
Ro Khanna (D)
U.S. Senators Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions Results
2020 California's 17th congressional district primary results by county
District 18 The 18th district encompasses the western San Francisco South Bay and includes the cities of Palo Alto , Redwood City , Menlo Park , Stanford , Los Altos , Mountain View , Campbell , Saratoga , and Los Gatos , as well as part of San Jose . The incumbent is Democrat Anna Eshoo , who was re-elected with 74.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Richard B. Fox (Republican), physician[5]
Bob Goodwyn (Libertarian), pilot[5]
Phil Reynolds (Republican), engineer[5] Predictions Results
2020 California's 18th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Eshoo—60–70%
Eshoo—50–60%
District 19 The 19th district is based in the eastern San Francisco South Bay centering on San Jose , as well as taking in Morgan Hill . The incumbent is Democrat Zoe Lofgren , who was re-elected with 73.8% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Justin Aguilera (Republican), businessman[5]
Zoe Lofgren (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Eliminated in primary Ignacio Cruz (Republican), economic development director[5]
Jason Mallory (no party preference)[5]
Ivan Torres (Democratic), healthcare worker[5] Predictions Results
California's 19th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Zoe Lofgren (incumbent)
104,456
62.7
Republican
Justin Aguilera
20,469
12.3
Republican
Ignacio Cruz
19,109
11.5
Democratic
Ivan Torres
18,916
11.4
No party preference
Jason Mallory
3,516
2.1
Total votes
166,466
100.0
General election
Democratic
Zoe Lofgren (incumbent)
212,908
71.8
Republican
Justin Aguilera
83,786
28.2
Total votes
296,694
100.0
District 20 The 20th district encompasses the Monterey Bay , including Santa Cruz , Salinas , and Gilroy . The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Panetta , who was re-elected with 81.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general Eliminated in primary Adam Bolaños Scow (Democratic), environmental activist[130] Predictions Results
2020 California's 20th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Panetta—60–70%
Panetta—50–60%
District 21 The 21st district covers San Joaquin Valley , including Coalinga , Delano , Hanford , and parts of Bakersfield , specifically East Bakersfield and Downtown Bakersfield . The incumbent is Democrat TJ Cox , who flipped the district and was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote.[1]
Candidates Declared Declined Endorsements
TJ Cox (D)
Former US Executive Branch officials Barack Obama , former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[71] Labor unions Organizations
David Valadao (R)
Organizations Publications
Predictions Polling General election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
TJ
David
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R) [D] September 8–10, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
38%
49%
9%
NRCC (R)
June 30 – July 2, 2019
400 (LV)
–
36%
52%
11%
Results
2020 California's 21st congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Valadao—60–70%
Valadao—50–60%
Cox—40–50%
District 22 The 22nd district covers San Joaquin Valley , including eastern Fresno , Clovis , Tulare , and Visalia . The incumbent is Republican Devin Nunes , who was re-elected with 52.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Declined Endorsements
Phil Arballo (D)
Organizations Labor unions
Devin Nunes (R)
Organizations
Dary Rezvani (D)
Organizations
Predictions Polling General election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Devin
Phil
Undecided
Strategies 360 (D) [E] September 29 – October 1, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
51%
46%
–
Strategies 360 (D) [E] June 23–29, 2020[c]
400 (LV)
–
51%
42%
–
Results
2020 California's 22nd congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Nunes—60–70%
Nunes—50–60%
California's 22nd congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Devin Nunes (incumbent)
94,686
56.1
Democratic
Phil Arballo
42,218
25.0
Democratic
Bobby Bliatout
22,078
13.1
Democratic
Dary Rezvani
5,273
3.1
No party preference
Eric Garcia
4,515
2.7
Total votes
168,770
100.0
General election
Republican
Devin Nunes (incumbent)
168,912
54.2
Democratic
Phil Arballo
142,569
45.8
Total votes
311,481
100.0
District 23 The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley , taking in parts of Bakersfield , Porterville , California City , Ridgecrest , western Lancaster , and Quartz Hill . The incumbent is House Minority Leader, Republican Kevin McCarthy , who was re-elected with 63.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Kim Mangone (Democratic), systems engineer and U.S. Air Force veteran[148]
Kevin McCarthy (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[149] Predictions Results
2020 California's 23rd congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
McCarthy—70–80%
McCarthy—60–70%
District 24 The 24th district is based in the Central Coast and includes San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. The incumbent is Democrat Salud Carbajal , who was re-elected with 58.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Andy Caldwell (Republican), nonprofit executive[150]
Salud Carbajal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[151] Kenneth Young (no party preference), civil engineer[5] Endorsements
Andy Caldwell (R)
State legislators
Salud Carbajal (D)
Labor unions Organizations
Predictions Results
2020 California's 24th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Carbajal—60–70%
Carbajal—50–60%
District 25 The 25th district is based in northern Los Angeles County and eastern Ventura County , and includes the cities of Santa Clarita , Simi Valley , Palmdale , and eastern Lancaster . The seat was vacant from November 3, 2019 to May 19, 2020. Democrat Katie Hill resigned after she was alleged to have had inappropriate relations with one of her congressional staffers.[155] [1] Mike Garcia won the special election, and was seated on May 19, 2020.
Candidates Declared Otis Lee Cooper (no party preference), legal defense investigator[5]
Robert Cooper III (Democratic), college professor[156]
Getro Franck Elize (Democratic), patient resource worker[156]
Mike Garcia (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[157] Kenneth Jenks (Republican), U.S. Marine Corps veteran and telecommunications executive[156]
Steve Knight (Republican), former U.S. Representative[158] David Lozano (Republican), attorney[156]
Daniel Mercuri (Republican), businessman[5]
George Papadopoulos (Republican), foreign policy adviser for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign [159] Christy Smith (Democratic), state assemblywoman[160] Cenk Uygur (Democratic), journalist and CEO and host of The Young Turks [161] Aníbal Valdéz-Ortega (Democratic), attorney and community organizer[5] Withdrawn Mark Cripe (Republican), Los Angeles County deputy sheriff[162]
Christopher C. Smith (Democratic), documentary filmmaker[5] [163]
Angela Underwood-Jacobs (Republican), Lancaster city councilwoman[162]
Suzette Valladares (Republican), businesswoman[164] Endorsements Predictions Polling Primary election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Mike
Steve
George
Christy
Cenk
Tulchin Research (D) [F] December 12–19, 2019
– (V)[d]
–[e]
13%
26%
3%
30%
5%
General election
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican v.s. Generic Democrat
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Generic
Generic
American Viewpoint (R) [I] July 26–28, 2020
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
38%
47%
Results
2020 California's 25th congressional district primary results by county
As of November 21, 2020, Garcia held a lead of about 400 votes over Smith, 169,060 (50.1%) to 168,660 (49.9%.).
[165]
California's 25th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Christy Smith
49,679
31.7
Republican
Mike Garcia
37,381
23.9
Republican
Steve Knight
29,645
18.9
Democratic
Cenk Uygur
9,246
5.9
Democratic
Getro Franck Elize
6,317
4.0
Republican
David Lozano
6,272
4.0
Democratic
Anibal Valdéz-Ortega
4,920
3.1
Democratic
Robert Cooper III
4,474
2.9
Republican
George Papadopoulos
2,749
1.8
No party preference
Otis Lee Cooper
2,183
1.4
Democratic
Christopher C. Smith (withdrawn)
2,089
1.3
Republican
Daniel Mercuri
913
0.6
Republican
Kenneth Jenks
682
0.4
Total votes
156,550
100.0
General election
Republican
Mike Garcia (incumbent)
169,060
50.1
Democratic
Christy Smith
168,660
49.9
Total votes
337,720
100.0
District 26 The 26th district is based in the southern Central Coast and is located entirely within Ventura County , taking in Camarillo , Oxnard , Ventura , Santa Paula , Thousand Oaks , Westlake Village , Moorpark , and parts of Simi Valley . The incumbent is Democrat Julia Brownley , who was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Endorsements
Julia Brownley (D)
Organizations
Predictions Results
2020 California's 26th congressional district primary results by county
District 27 The 27 district encompasses the San Gabriel Valley , including Alhambra , Altadena , Arcadia , Bradbury , Claremont , East Pasadena , Glendora , Monrovia , Monterey Park , Pasadena , Rosemead , San Antonio Heights , San Gabriel , San Marino , Sierra Madre , South Pasadena , South San Gabriel , Temple City , and Upland . The incumbent is Democrat Judy Chu , who was re-elected with 79.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Predictions Results
2020 California's 27th congressional district primary results by county
District 28 The 28th district is based in the San Fernando Valley and includes West Hollywood , Burbank , parts of Pasadena , Glendale , the Verdugo Hills communities of Sunland and Tujunga , as well as parts of central Los Angeles including Hollywood , the Hollywood Hills , Echo Park , Silver Lake , and Los Feliz . The incumbent is Democrat Adam Schiff , who was re-elected with 78.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Chad D. Anderson (Democratic), entrepreneur[5]
Jennifer Barbosa (no party preference), realtor and activist[170]
William Bodell (Republican), businessman[5]
Eric Early (Republican), attorney and candidate for Attorney General of California in 2018 [171]
Sal Genovese (Democratic), community services director[5]
Maebe A. Girl (Democratic), Silver Lake neighborhood councilwoman and drag queen[172] Ara Khachig Manoogian (Democratic), security systems integrator[5]
Adam Schiff (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[170] Endorsements
Adam Schiff (D)
Individuals Organizations
Maebe A. Girl (D)
Individuals Organizations
Predictions Results
California's 28th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Adam Schiff (incumbent)
110,251
59.6
Republican
Eric Early
23,243
12.6
Democratic
Maebe A. Girl
22,129
12.0
No party preference
Jennifer Barbosa
10,421
5.6
Republican
William Bodell
7,093
3.8
Democratic
Sal Genovese
6,294
3.4
Democratic
Ara Khachig Manoogian
3,290
1.9
Democratic
Chad D. Anderson
2,359
1.3
Total votes
185,080
100.0
General election
Democratic
Adam Schiff (incumbent)
242,410
72.7
Republican
Eric Early
90,980
27.2
Total votes
333,390
100.0
District 29 The 29th district is based in the eastern San Fernando Valley , taking in the city of San Fernando as well as the Los Angeles communities of Van Nuys , Pacoima , Arleta , Panorama City , Sylmar and parts of Sun Valley and North Hollywood . The incumbent is Democrat Tony Cárdenas , who was re-elected with 80.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced from Primary Eliminated in Primary Michael R. Guzik (Democratic), ride-share driver[5]
Brian Perras (Republican), U.S. Navy veteran[5] Endorsements
Tony Cárdenas (D)
Labor unions Organizations
Angélica Dueñas (D)
Notable individuals Labor unions Organizations
Predictions Results District 30 The 30th district is based in the western San Fernando Valley , including the Los Angeles neighborhoods of Canoga Park , Chatsworth , Encino , Granada Hills , Northridge , Porter Ranch , Reseda , Sherman Oaks , Studio City , Tarzana , Toluca Lake , West Hills , Winnetka , and Woodland Hills , as well as Calabasas , Bell Canyon , and Hidden Hills . The incumbent is Democrat Brad Sherman , who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Courtney "CJ" Berina (Democratic), marketing consultant[5]
Brian T. Carroll (Democratic)[5]
Raji Rab (Democratic), commercial pilot and candidate for California's 30th congressional district in 2018 [5]
Mark S. Reed (Republican), businessman and perennial candidate[5]
Brad Sherman (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Declined Aarika Rhodes, middle school teacher and candidate for California's 30th congressional district in 2022 Predictions Results
2020 California's 30th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Sherman—50–60%
Sherman—40–50%
California's 30th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Brad Sherman (incumbent)
99,282
58.1
Republican
Mark S. Reed
38,778
22.7
Democratic
Courtney "CJ" Berina
18,937
11.1
Democratic
Raji Rab
7,961
4.7
Democratic
Brian T. Carroll
5,984
3.5
Total votes
170,942
100.0
General election
Democratic
Brad Sherman (incumbent)
238,584
69.5
Republican
Mark S. Reed
104,454
30.5
Total votes
343,002
100.0
District 31 The 31st district encompasses parts of the Inland Empire , including San Bernardino , Rancho Cucamonga , Redlands , and parts of Rialto . The incumbent is Democrat Pete Aguilar , who was re-elected with 58.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Predictions Results District 32 The 32nd district takes in the eastern San Gabriel Valley , including Baldwin Park , El Monte , West Covina , San Dimas , Azusa , and southern Glendora . The incumbent is Democrat Grace Napolitano , who was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Emanuel Gonzales (Democratic), dialysis technician[5]
Meshal "Kash" Kashifalghita (Democratic), U.S. Army Reserve officer[5]
Raul Ali Madrigal (Democratic, write-in), USMC veteran[183]
Grace Napolitano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Joshua M. Scott (Republican), political strategist and candidate for California's 32nd congressional district in 2018 [5] Predictions Results District 33 The 33rd district spans the coastal region of Los Angeles County , including the Beach Cities , Westside Los Angeles , and the Palos Verdes Peninsula . The incumbent is Democrat Ted Lieu , who was re-elected with 70.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Liz Barris (Democratic), nonprofit director[5]
James P. Bradley (Republican), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 [184]
Albert Maxwell Goldberg (Democratic), candidate for California's 26th congressional district in 2012 [5]
Ted Lieu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[185] Sarah Sun Liew (Republican), businesswoman[5]
Kenneth W. Wright (no party preference), ophthalmology surgeon[5] Endorsements
Ted Lieu (D)
Organizations
Predictions Results
California's 33rd congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Ted Lieu (incumbent)
130,063
60.5
Republican
James P. Bradley
37,531
17.4
Democratic
Liz Barris
15,180
7.1
Republican
Sarah Sun Liew
13,601
6.3
No party preference
Kenneth W. Wright
9,673
4.5
Democratic
Albert Maxwell Goldberg
9,032
4.2
Total votes
215,080
100.0
General election
Democratic
Ted Lieu (incumbent)
255,385
67.6
Republican
James P. Bradley
122,242
32.4
Total votes
377,627
100.0
District 34 The 34th district is located entirely in the city of Los Angeles and includes the Central , East , and Northeast neighborhoods, such as Chinatown , Downtown , Eagle Rock , and Koreatown . The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Gomez , who was re-elected with 72.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Advanced to general election Jimmy Gomez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] David Kim (Democratic), MacArthur Park neighborhood council board-member[5] Eliminated in primary Frances Yasmeen Motiwalla (Democratic), activist[186] [187]
Keanakay Scott (Democratic), author[5]
Joanne L. Wright (Republican)[5] Endorsements
Jimmy Gomez (D)
Organizations Unions
David Kim (D)
Individuals Organizations
Predictions Results
2018 California's 34th congressional district primary results by county supervisorial district
Map legend
Gomez—50–60%
Gomez—40–50%
District 35 The 35th district takes in southwestern San Bernardino County , including Chino , Fontana , Montclair , Ontario , as well as Pomona . The incumbent is Democrat Norma Torres , who was re-elected with 69.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Mike Cargile (Republican), independent filmmaker[56]
Norma Torres (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[56] Predictions Results
2020 2020 California's 35th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Torres—70–80%
Torres—60–70%
District 36 The 36th district encompasses eastern Riverside County , including the desert communities of Palm Springs , Palm Desert , Indio , Coachella , Rancho Mirage , Desert Hot Springs , Indian Wells , and Cathedral City , as well as Calimesa , Banning , Beaumont , San Jacinto , and Hemet . The incumbent is Democrat Raul Ruiz , who was re-elected with 59.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Erin Cruz (Republican), author and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 [190]
Patrice Kimbler (Republican)[191]
Raul Ruiz (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[192] Milo Stevanovich (Republican), attorney[191] Withdrawn Raul Ruiz (Republican)[193] Predictions Results District 37 The 37th district encompasses west and southwest Los Angeles , as well as Culver City and Inglewood . The incumbent is Democrat Karen Bass , who was re-elected with 89.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Karen Bass (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Larry Thompson (no party preference), attorney[5]
Errol Webber (Republican), documentary film producer[194] Predictions Results District 38 The 38th district takes encompasses southeastern Los Angeles County , as well as a small sliver of Orange County , taking in La Palma . The incumbent is Democrat Linda Sánchez , who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Linda Sánchez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Michael Tolar (Democratic), retail store worker[5] Predictions Results
2020 California's 38th congressional district primary results by county
District 39
Kim—50–60%
Kim—40–50%
Cisneros—50–60%
The 39th district encompasses parts of the San Gabriel Valley , taking in La Habra Heights , Diamond Bar , Walnut , Hacienda Heights and Rowland Heights , as well as northern Orange County , including Fullerton , La Habra , Brea , Buena Park , Placentia , and Yorba Linda . The district also takes in a small portion of southwestern San Bernardino County , covering Chino Hills . The incumbent Representative, Democrat Gil Cisneros , who flipped the district and was elected in 2018 , lost reelection to Republican candidate Young Kim .[195]
Candidates Declared Endorsements
Gil Cisneros (D)
Former US Executive Branch officials Barack Obama , former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[71] Organizations
Predictions Polling General election
Hypothetical polling
with generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Gil
Generic
Undecided
TargetPoint (R) [K] June 30 – July 2, 2019
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
44%
46%
9%
Results District 40 The 40th district is centered around East Los Angeles and also includes Downey , Bellflower , and Commerce . The incumbent is Democrat Lucille Roybal-Allard , who was re-elected with 77.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Rodolfo Cortes Barragan (Green), scientist and candidate for California's 40th congressional district in 2018 [5]
C. Antonio Delgado (Republican), immigration attorney[5]
Anthony Felix Jr. (Democratic), homeless services analyst[5]
Michael Donnell Graham Jr. (American Independent)[5]
Lucille Roybal-Allard (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] David John Sanchez (Democratic), teacher[5] Predictions Results District 41 The 41st district is located in the Inland Empire and takes in western Riverside County , including Jurupa Valley , Moreno Valley , Perris , and Riverside . The incumbent is Democrat Mark Takano , who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Aja Smith (Republican), U.S. Air Force veteran and candidate for California's 41st congressional district in 2018 [204]
Mark Takano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[205] Grace Williams (Democratic), former Perris city official[206] Endorsements
Mark Takano (D)
Organizations
Predictions Results District 42 The 42nd district is encompasses western and southwestern Riverside County , and includes Eastvale , Norco , Corona , Temescal Valley , Lake Elsinore , Canyon Lake , Wildomar , north Temecula , Murrieta and Menifee . The incumbent is Republican Ken Calvert , who was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Ken Calvert (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[191] Regina Marston (Democratic), businesswoman[191]
William "Liam" O'Mara (Democratic), historian and college professor[206] Withdrew Predictions Results District 43 The 43rd district is based in southern Los Angeles County and includes portions of Los Angeles and Torrance , as well as all of Hawthorne , Lawndale , Gardena , Inglewood and Lomita . The incumbent is Democrat Maxine Waters , who was re-elected with 77.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Endorsements
Joe Collins III
U.S. Executive Branch Officials U.S. Representatives State Representatives
Predictions Results District 44 The 44th district is based in southern Los Angeles County and includes Carson , Compton , Lynwood , North Long Beach , and San Pedro . The incumbent is Democrat Nanette Barragán , who was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Nanette Barragán (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[5] Billy Z. Earley (Republican), healthcare advocate[5]
Morris F. Griffin (Democratic), maintenance technician[5]
Analilia Joya (Democratic), teacher and disability advocate[5] Predictions Results District 45 The 45th district is based in central Orange County , encompassing Irvine , Tustin , North Tustin , Villa Park , Anaheim Hills , eastern Orange , Laguna Hills , Laguna Woods , Lake Forest , Rancho Santa Margarita , Coto de Caza and Mission Viejo . The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter , who flipped the district and was elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Withdrew Ray Gennawey (Republican), Orange County prosecutor[184]
Brenton Woolworth (Republican), businessman[213] Declined Endorsements
Katie Porter (D)
Former US Executive Branch officials Barack Obama , former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[71] Organizations
Greg Raths (R)
U.S. Representatives State level officials Travis Allen , former California State Assemblyman and candidate for Governor of California in 2018[222] County level officials Local level officials Brian Maryott, Mayor of San Juan Capistrano and candidate for California's 49th Congressional District[222] Retired military officers Others Kelly Ernby, Orange County Deputy District Attorney and candidate for California State Assembly[222]
Ray Gennawey, former candidate for California's 45th Congressional District in 2020 and Orange County Deputy District Attorney[224] Organizations Combat Veterans for Congress[225]
Greater Irvine Republicans[226]
SEALPAC[227]
Predictions Polling Primary election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Katie
Ray
Peggy
Greg
Don
Lisa
Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [L] August 15–18, 2019
300 (LV)
± 5.7%
46%
2%
2%
10%
3%
1%
38%
Results
2020 California's 45th congressional district primary results by county supervisorial district
Map legend
Porter—50–60%
Porter—40–50%
No votes
District 46 The 46th district is based in north-central Orange County , taking in Anaheim , Santa Ana , western Orange , and eastern Garden Grove . The incumbent is Democrat Lou Correa , who was reelected with 69.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Lou Correa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[228] Will Johnson (no party preference), caregiver[196]
Pablo Mendiolea (Democratic), businessman[228]
Ed Rushman (no party preference), IT project manager and candidate for California's 46th congressional district in 2018 (American Solidarity )[196]
James S. Waters (Republican), retired postman[228] Predictions Results
2020 California's 46th congressional district primary results by county supervisorial district
Map legend
Correa—60–70%
Correa—50–60%
District 47 The 47th district is centered in Long Beach and extends into northwestern Orange County , taking in parts of Garden Grove and Westminster , and taking all of Stanton , Los Alamitos , and Cypress . The incumbent is Democrat Alan Lowenthal , who was reelected with 64.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared John Briscoe (Republican), Ocean View School District trustee and candidate for California's 47th congressional district in 2018 [229]
Alan Lowenthal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[196] Peter Mathews (Democratic), Cypress College political science professor[229]
Jalen Dupree McLeod (Democratic), teaching assistant[196]
Sou Moua (Republican), planning commissioner[230]
Amy Phan West (Republican), candidate for Westminster city council in 2018 and former member of Orange County Parks Commission[231] Endorsements
Alan Lowenthal (D)
Labor unions Organizations
Peter Mathews (D)
Organizations
Predictions Results
2020 California's 47th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Lowenthal—40–50%
Lowenthal—30–40%
District 48
← 2018
November 3, 2020 2022 →
The 48th district encompasses coastal Orange County , taking in Seal Beach , Sunset Beach , Huntington Beach , Midway City , Fountain Valley , Costa Mesa , Newport Beach , Laguna Beach , Aliso Viejo , and Laguna Niguel , as well as parts of Westminster and Garden Grove . The incumbent is Democrat Harley Rouda , who flipped the district and was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Brian Burley (Republican), information technology entrepreneur[238]
Christopher Engels (Republican), businessman
James Brian Griffin (Republican), real estate broker[239]
Richard Mata (American Independent), retired teacher[239]
Harley Rouda (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[184] John Thomas Schuesler (Republican), mortgage consultant[239]
Michelle Steel (Republican), Orange County supervisor [240] Withdrew Declined Endorsements
Harley Rouda (D)
Former US Executive Branch officials Barack Obama , former President of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[71] Labor unions Organizations
Michelle Steel (R)
Politicians Organizations
Predictions Polling Primary election General election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Harley
Michelle
Undecided
TargetPoint (R) [I] September 4, 2019
336 (LV)
± 5.3%
42%
42%
16%
Hypothetical polling
with Brian Burley with Generic Opponent
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Harley
Generic
Undecided
TargetPoint (R) [I] September 4, 2019
336 (LV)
± 5.3%
28%
42% [g] –
Results
2020 California's 48th congressional district primary results by county supervisorial district
Map legend
Rouda—50–60%
Rouda—40–50%
California's 48th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Harley Rouda (incumbent)
99,659
46.7
Republican
Michelle Steel
74,418
34.9
Republican
Brian Burley
25,884
12.1
American Independent
Richard Mata
5,704
2.7
Republican
John Thomas Schuesler
4,900
2.3
Republican
James Brian Griffin
2,714
1.3
Total votes
213,279
100.0
General election
Republican Michelle Steel 201,738
51.1
Democratic
Harley Rouda (incumbent)
193,362
48.9
Total votes
395,100
100.0
Republican gain from Democratic
District 49 The 49th district encompasses the northern coastal areas of San Diego County , including the cities of Oceanside , Vista , Carlsbad , and Encinitas , as well as a small part of southern Orange County , taking in Dana Point , Ladera Ranch , San Clemente , and San Juan Capistrano . The incumbent is Democrat Mike Levin , who flipped the district and was elected with 56.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Declined Predictions Polling General election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Mike
Brian
Undecided
SurveyUSA
October 8–12, 2020
514 (LV)
± 5.8%
56%
36%
7%
SurveyUSA
September 11–14, 2020
517 (LV)
± 5.8%
49%
37%
14%
Results
2020 California's 49th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Levin—50–60%
Maryott—50–60%
District 50 The 50th district covers inland San Diego County consisting of suburban and outlying areas of the county, including Fallbrook , San Marcos , Valley Center , Ramona , Escondido , Santee , Lakeside , parts of El Cajon and a slice of southwestern Riverside County , taking in parts of Temecula . The incumbent was Republican Duncan D. Hunter , who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2018.[1] [247]
Candidates Declared Withdrew Declined Endorsements
Ammar Campa-Najjar (Democratic)
Executive Branch officials Federal politicians Tony Cárdenas , U.S. Representative from CA-29 since 2013[261] Susan Davis , U.S. Representative from CA-49 2001–2003 and CA-53 since 2003[261] Katie Hill , former U.S. Representative from CA-25 2019–2019[261] Jared Huffman , U.S. Representative from CA-02 since 2013[261] Barbara Lee , U.S. Representative from CA-09 1998–2013 and CA-13 since 2013[261] Mike Levin , U.S. Representative from CA-49 since 2019[261] Scott Peters , U.S. Representative from CA-52 since 2013[261] Katie Porter , U.S. Representative from CA-45 since 2019[261] Adam Schiff , U.S. Representative from CA-27 2001–2003, CA-29 2003–2013, and CA-28 since 2013; Chair of the House Intelligence Committee since 2019[261] Eric Swalwell , U.S. Representative from CA-15 since 2013; candidate for President in 2020 [261] Juan Vargas , U.S. Representative from CA-51 since 2013[261] State politicians Local politicians Organizations
Darrell Issa (Republican)
Federal politicians Donald Trump , President of the United States [262] Tim Scott , United States Senator from South Carolina [263] Ken Calvert , U.S. Representative from CA-42 2013-present, CA-44 2003-2013, CA-43 1993-2003[264] Paul Cook , U.S. Representative from CA-8 [264] Newt Gingrich , former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives and U.S. Representative from GA-6 [265] Mike Huckabee , former Governor of Arkansas [265] Duncan Hunter , former U.S. Representative from CA-42 1981–1983, CA-45 1983–1993, and CA-52 1993–2009; candidate for President in 2008 ; father of incumbent Duncan D. Hunter [266] Doug LaMalfa , U.S. Representative from CA-1 [264] Kevin McCarthy , House Minority Leader , U.S. Representative from CA-23 2013-present, CA-22 2007-2013[264] Tom McClintock , U.S. Representative from CA-4 [264] Devin Nunes , U.S. Representative from CA-22 2013-present, CA-21 2003-2013[264] State and local politicians
Predictions Polling Primary election
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Ammar
Carl
Darrell
Brian
Other
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) [N] February 22–23, 2020
1,009 (LV)
± 3%
44%
22%
17%
13%
1%
3%
SurveyUSA
February 20–23, 2020
552 (LV)
± 5.2%
35%
15%
21%
7%
9%[h]
12%
SurveyUSA
January 9–12, 2020
512 (LV)
± 5.7%
26%
20%
21%
12%
5%[i]
15%
TP Research
September 26 – October 2, 2019
692 (LV)
± 4%
21%[j]
33%
31%
–
–
15%
24%[k]
29%
37%
–
–
9%
Tarrance Group (R) [N] June 24–26, 2019
302 (LV)
± 5.8%
37% [l] 34%
–
–
15%[m]
13%
40% [n] 41%
–
–
12%[o]
7%
37% [p] 28%
20%
–
4%[q]
11%
39% [r] 35%
13%
–
2%[s]
10%
Hypothetical polling
with Duncan Hunter
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Ammar
Carl
Duncan
Darrell
Brian
Other
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [O] November 18–20, 2019
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
31%
19%
9%
21%
–
–
12%
SurveyUSA/KGTV-TV
September 27 – October 2, 2019
592 (LV)
± 4.9%
31%
20%
11%
16%
4%
3%[t]
15%
Tarrance Group (R) [N] June 24–26, 2020
302 (LV)
± 5.8%
36% [u] 24%
27%
–
–
7%[v]
12%
39% [w] 36%
10%
–
–
6%[x]
9%
General election
Hypothetical polling
with DeMaio and Issa
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Carl
Darrell
Other
Undecided
TP Research
September 26 – October 2, 2019
692 (LV)
± 4%
29%[ad]
36%
–
35%
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source
Date(s)
Sample[a]
Margin
Generic
Generic
Public Opinion Strategies [O] November 18–20, 2019
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
47%
37%
Results
2020 California's 50th congressional district primary results by county
Map legend
Campa-Najjar—30–40%
Issa—30–40%
California's 50th congressional district [20]
Primary election
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Ammar Campa-Najjar
74,121
36.5
Republican
Darrell Issa
47,036
23.1
Republican
Carl DeMaio
40,347
19.9
Republican
Brian W. Jones
21,495
10.6
Democratic
Marisa Calderon
11,557
5.7
Republican
Nathan "Nate" Wilkins
4,276
2.1
Peace and Freedom
Jose Cortes
1,821
0.9
Independent
Helen L. Horvath
1,249
0.6
Independent
Henry Alan Ota
908
0.4
Independent
Lucinda KWH Jahn
410
0.2
Total votes
203,220
100.0
General election
Republican
Darrell Issa
195,239
54.0
Democratic
Ammar Campa-Najjar
166,649
46.0
Total votes
361,888
100.0
District 51 The 51st district runs along the border with Mexico and includes Imperial County and southern San Diego , including western Chula Vista , Imperial Beach , and National City . The incumbent is Democrat Juan Vargas , who was re-elected with 71.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Candidates Declared Juan Hidalgo Jr. (Republican), U.S. Marine Corps veteran and candidate for California's 51st congressional district in 2016 & 2018 [249]
Juan Vargas (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[269] Endorsements
Juan Hidalgo Jr. (R)
Organizations Combat Veterans for Congress[270]
Juan Vargas (D)
Organizations
Predictions Results 
3
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