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2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout66.9%[1] Increase
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 317,323 18,586
Percentage 92.15% 5.40%

Biden
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The District of Columbia participated in the 2020 United States presidential election with the other 50 states on Tuesday, November 3.[2] District of Columbia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. The District of Columbia has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Prior to the election, Biden was considered to be all but certain to win D.C.

The nation's capital is overwhelmingly Democratic and has voted for the Democratic nominee by massive margins in every presidential election it has participated in, ever since it was first granted electors by the passage of the Twenty-third Amendment in 1961. Biden's 86.75-point margin of victory was virtually identical to that secured by Hillary Clinton in 2016.[4] Nevertheless, the District shifted very slightly to the right compared with the previous election, making Biden the first non-incumbent Democrat since 1988 to win D.C. by a smaller margin than in the previous cycle. Along with six states,[a] it was one of just eight jurisdictions where Trump improved on his 2016 margins.

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Transcription

Primary elections

The District of Columbia held primary elections on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of the district's 19 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

Democratic primary

Popular vote share by ward
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
Popular vote share by precinct
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Biden—80–90%
  Biden—>90%
2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7][8]
Joe Biden 84,093 75.97 19
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 14,228 12.85 1
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 11,116 10.04
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 442 0.40
Write-in votes 809 0.73
Total 110,688 100% 20

General election

Final predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid D
Inside Elections[10] Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D
Politico[12] Solid D
RCP[13] Solid D
Niskanen[14] Safe D
CNN[15] Solid D
The Economist[16] Safe D
CBS News[17] Likely D
270towin[18] Safe D
ABC News[19] Solid D
NPR[20] Likely D
NBC News[21] Solid D
538[22] Solid D

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[b]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 90.8% 5.8% 3.4% Biden +85.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 495 (LV) ± 6% 5%[d] 94%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 969 (LV) 9% 89%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 343 (LV) 12% 86% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 252 (LV) 16% 83% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 290 (LV) 8% 91% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 151 (LV) 11% 87% 3%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia[23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
317,323 92.15 +1.29
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
18,586 5.40 +1.31
Write-in 3,137 0.91 –1.19
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
2,036 0.59 –0.99
DC Statehood Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
1,726 0.50 –0.87
Independent Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
855 0.25 +0.25
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
693 0.20 +0.20
Total votes 344,356 100.00 +1.60

Results by ward

[24]

County Biden Biden
%
Trump Trump
%
Others Others
%
Total
Ward 1 39,041 93.7% 1,725 4.1% 298 0.7% 41,064
Ward 2 29,078 88.4% 2,918 8.9% 370 1.1% 32,366
Ward 3 39,397 89.1% 3,705 8.4% 491 1.1% 43,593
Ward 4 42,489 93.8% 1,913 4.2% 308 0.7% 44,710
Ward 5 43,320 94.0% 1,769 3.8% 323 0.7% 45,412
Ward 6 56,719 90.1% 4,337 6.9% 857 1.4% 61,913
Ward 7 36,382 94.8% 1,134 3.0% 270 0.7% 37,786
Ward 8 30,897 94.0% 1,085 3.3% 220 0.7% 32,202

Notes

  1. ^ Those states were Arkansas, California, Florida, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah, as well as Washington, D.C.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

See also

References

  1. ^ "General Election 2020 - Certified Results". D.C. Board of Elections.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on January 4, 2019. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  4. ^ "District of Columbia Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  5. ^ "District of Columbia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  6. ^ "DCBOE Election Results". electionresults.dcboe.org. DC Board of Elections. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  7. ^ "Live results: 2020 District of Columbia Democratic presidential primary". The Washington Post. June 17, 2020. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  8. ^ "District of Columbia Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. June 14, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  9. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  14. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  15. ^ Chalian, David; Burlij, Terence (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  16. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  17. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  18. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  19. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  21. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  23. ^ "General Election 2020 - Certified Results". D.C. Board of Elections.
  24. ^ "District of Columbia presidential election results 2020: Live results and polls". NBC News.

Further reading

External links

This page was last edited on 16 March 2024, at 17:36
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