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2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout66.9% Increase
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 760,647 423,932
Percentage 62.40% 34.78%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas took place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Arkansas voters chose six electors[2] to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Republican President Donald Trump and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic challenger and former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, United States Senator Kamala Harris of California. Also on the ballot were the nominees for the Libertarian, Green, Constitution, American Solidarity, Life and Liberty, and Socialism and Liberation parties and Independent candidates. Write-in candidates are not allowed to participate in presidential elections.[3]

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations making predictions considered this a state Trump would win, or otherwise a safe red state. In 2016, Trump won Arkansas by a 26.92% margin,[4] the largest margin for a candidate of either party since Jimmy Carter's 30.01% margin in 1976. In 2020, Trump won 62.40% of the vote to Biden's 34.78%, a 27.62% margin,[5] the seventh consecutive election in which Republicans improved on their margin in Arkansas, the longest in the nation of any state for either party.[6] This made Arkansas one of only six states, along with the District of Columbia, in which Trump improved on his performance in 2016.[a] This margin makes it the largest loss by a Democrat in Arkansas since George McGovern's 38.1-point defeat in 1972. The last Democrat even to win over 40% of the vote was John Kerry in 2004.[6] After Barack Obama, Biden is the second ever Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Arkansas.

Trump won landslide margins across the state, including in many of the state's metropolitan areas and suburbs. Trump once again carried Woodruff County, formerly a Democratic stronghold, thus marking the first time since its founding that a Democrat was elected president without carrying the county.[7] Biden's strength was mostly isolated to Pulaski County, home to the state capital and largest city of Little Rock, and Jefferson County, home to Pine Bluff. He also won six rural, predominantly African-American counties on the eastern border along the Mississippi River. All but seven counties in the state swung heavily to the right, the exceptions being Pulaski County and one other county in the Little Rock metropolitan area; Sebastian County, home to Fort Smith; and three counties in the northwest encompassing and surrounding the college town of Fayetteville, where the University of Arkansas is located.[8] Notably, Biden lost Washington County, where Fayetteville is, by only 3.9 percentage points, the closest any Democrat has come to winning it since Clinton did so in 1996. Arkansas voted 32.07% more Republican than the national average in 2020.

YouTube Encyclopedic

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Transcription

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump, former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld, and perennial candidate Rocky De La Fuente were the declared Republicans candidates. Tom Cotton, the current junior senator from Arkansas, declined to run in 2017.[9][10][11] As incumbent presidents rarely face prominent challenges in primaries, Trump won all 40 delegates and 97.13% of the vote.

The following candidates are on the ballot.[12]

2020 Arkansas Republican presidential primary[13]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
Donald Trump
238,980 97.13% 40
Bill Weld 5,216 2.12% 0
Rocky De La Fuente 1,848 0.75% 0
Total 246,044 100% 40

Democratic primary

Eighteen candidates were on the Democratic primary ballot, of whom nine had already withdrew, three withdrew during the early voting period, and six were active candidates. Former Vice President Joe Biden won the primary with 40.59% of the vote and 17 delegates; he carried all but one county. Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont came in second place, with 22.44% of the vote and 9 delegates. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg won 16.72% of the vote and 5 delegates; no other candidates won over 15% of the vote or any delegates.[14] Biden's win was widely predicted in polling and forecasts,[15][16] similar to most other southern states; his best performance was along the eastern border along the Mississippi River and on the southern border, which have high concentrations of African American voters, who Biden consistently performed better among throughout the primary. He also won the Little Rock, Fort Smith, Jonesboro, and Pine Bluff metropolitan areas. Analogous with his performance in the 2016 primary, Sanders performed best in the northwest, traditionally the most Republican part of the state, holding Biden to less than 40 percent of the vote in many regions and winning Washington County, home to the University of Arkansas in Fayetteville. Biden's strong performance in the state is a vestige of the prominence of moderate, white, Democratic politicians in and from the state throughout the late 20th century and 2000s which has largely faded amid increased political polarization and Republican gains among white, non-college-educated voters.[17] Aided by several other centrist candidates withdrawing from the race just before Super Tuesday[18] and a growing Democratic voter base in the suburbs,[19] Arkansas was a relatively noncompetitive state throughout the primary.

Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Sanders—30–40%
2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary[20]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 93,012 40.59 17
Bernie Sanders 51,413 22.44 9
Michael Bloomberg 38,312 16.72 5
Elizabeth Warren 22,971 10.03
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[b] 7,649 3.34
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[b] 7,009 3.06
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[b] 2,053 0.90
Tulsi Gabbard 1,593 0.70
Kamala Harris (withdrawn) 715 0.31
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 715 0.31
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 574 0.25
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 572 0.25
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 501 0.22
Steve Bullock (withdrawn) 485 0.21
John Delaney (withdrawn) 443 0.19
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) 408 0.18
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 304 0.13
Other candidate 393 0.17
Total 229,122 100% 31

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Safe R November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[22] Safe R November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R November 3, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R November 3, 2020
RCP[25] Likely R November 3, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R November 3, 2020
CNN[27] Safe R November 3, 2020
The Economist[28] Safe R November 3, 2020
CBS News[29] Likely R November 3, 2020
270towin[30] Safe R November 3, 2020
ABC News[31] Safe R November 3, 2020
NPR[32] Likely R November 3, 2020
NBC News[33] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[34] Safe R November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[c]
Margin
270 to Win October 17–28, 2020 November 3, 2020 35.0% 60.3% 4.7% Trump +25.3
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 36.2% 58.9% 4.9% Trump +22.8
Average 35.6% 59.6% 4.8% Trump +24.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 1,309 (LV) ± 4% 61%[e] 38% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 2,239 (LV) 60% 38% - -
University of Arkansas Oct 9–21, 2020 591 (LV) ± 3.9% 65% 32% - - 3%
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics Oct 11–13, 2020 647 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 34% 2% 1% 2%[f] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 771 (LV) 62% 38% - - 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 689 (LV) 67% 32% - - 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 747 (LV) 66% 32% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 354 (LV) 59% 38% - - 2%
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics Jun 9–10, 2020 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 47% 45% - - 5%[g] 3%

Fundraising

According to the Federal Election Commission, in 2019 and 2020, Donald Trump and his interest groups raised $2,732,436.64,[35] Joe Biden and his interest groups raised $2,088,712.78,[36] and Jo Jorgensen and her interest groups raised $5,289.19[37] from Arkansas-based contributors.

Candidate ballot access

The candidates on the ballot were listed in the following order:[38]

Political party candidates were eligible via a primary election or party convention and had to have filed an affidavit of eligibility, political practices pledge, and party certificate with the Arkansas Secretary of State by March 1, 2020, as did independent candidates. Independents also had to file a petition with at least 1,000 signatures of eligible voters from up to 90 days before the petition filing deadline on August 3, 2020. Write-in candidates cannot run in presidential, municipal, or primary elections.[40][41]

Electoral slates

Technically the voters of Arkansas cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for president and vice president. Arkansas is allocated six electors because it has four congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of six electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all six electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. In the state of Arkansas, there are no laws regarding faithless electors, meaning their vote is counted and not penalized.[42]

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2020, to cast their votes for president and vice president. All six pledged electors cast their votes for incumbent President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The electoral vote was tabulated and certified by Congress in a joint session on January 6, 2021, per the Electoral Count Act.

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[43]

Donald Trump
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
Independent
Howie Hawkins
Angela Nicole Walker
Green
Phil Collins
Billy Joe Parker
Independent
Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
Independent
Don Blankenship
William Mohr
Constitution
Brian T. Carroll
Amar Patel
American Solidarity
Ed Bethune
Sharon Brooks
Iverson Jackson
J. D. McGehee
Rod Soubers
Doyle Webb
Connie Castleberry
Nicole Clowney
Frederick Freeman
Megan Godfrey
Philip Hood
Asad Khan
James Hood
Christopher Olson
Morgan Reynolds
Brian Shank
Jake Simpson
Joe Swafford
Addison Blakely
Audrey Buckner
Christopher Blakely
Christopher Donegan
Trista Nicole Donegan
Courtney Johnson
Ryan Giglio
Chad Jones
Lowel Lybarger
Marilyn Rumph
Robin Rumph
Andrew Waldron
None submitted Joni Bilhartz
Erin Krus
Jeremy Plumlee
Kelly Shadlow
Susan Shadow
Christopher Smiley
Jonathan Baker
Spencer Graham
Mitchell Ingram
Margie Mullins
Trently Mullins
Brian Webb
Angela Clark-Chandler
Everett DePangher
Ashley Evans
Gary Evans
Lee Evans
Adam Wheeless
C. L. Gammon
Phil Collins
Independent
John Richard Myers
Tiara Lusk
Life and Liberty
Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
Socialism and Liberation
Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
Independent
None submitted Jacob Faught
Brenda Hinesly
William Whitfield Hyman
Brian Leach
Zachary Caleb Mulson
Glen Schwarz
Taylor Adams
Karl Brown
Aaron Gibson
Jill Neimeier
Destin Reishus
Achal Thakore
Gevina Jackson
Orlando Jones
Phyllis McCullor
Elisha Patrick
Tiara Peters
Therma L. Propps Jr.

Results

Statewide results

Results by township
Map legend
  •   Biden—40–50%
  •   Biden—50–60%
  •   Biden—60–70%
  •   Biden—70–80%
  •   Biden—80–90%
  •   Biden—90–100%
  •   Trump—40–50%
  •   Trump—50–60%
  •   Trump—60–70%
  •   Trump—70–80%
  •   Trump—80–90%
  •   Trump—90–100%
2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
760,647 62.40% +1.83%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
423,932 34.78% +1.13%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
13,133 1.08% −1.56%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
4,099 0.34% n/a
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
2,980 0.24% −0.60%
Independent Phil Collins
Billy Joe Parker
2,812 0.23% n/a
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
2,141 0.18% n/a
Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr
2,108 0.17% −0.24%
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll
Amar Patel
1,713 0.14% n/a
Independent C. L. Gammon
Phil Collins[h]
1,475 0.12% n/a
Life and Liberty John Richard Myers
Tiara Lusk
1,372 0.11% n/a
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
1,336 0.11% n/a
Independent Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
1,321 0.11% n/a
Total votes 1,219,069 100% +2.83%

By county

County Donald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Arkansas 4,304 68.40% 1,818 28.89% 170 2.71% 2,486 39.51% 6,292
Ashley 5,548 70.00% 2,125 26.81% 253 3.19% 3,423 43.19% 7,926
Baxter 15,836 75.38% 4,635 22.06% 536 2.56% 11,201 53.32% 21,007
Benton 73,965 61.68% 42,249 35.23% 3,698 3.09% 31,716 26.45% 119,912
Boone 13,652 79.77% 3,064 17.90% 398 2.33% 10,588 61.87% 17,114
Bradley 2,335 63.90% 1,214 33.22% 105 2.88% 1,121 30.68% 3,654
Calhoun 1,636 74.98% 479 21.95% 67 3.07% 1,157 53.03% 2,182
Carroll 7,424 62.93% 4,023 34.10% 350 2.97% 3,401 28.83% 11,797
Chicot 1,752 42.70% 2,260 55.08% 91 2.22% -508 -12.38% 4,103
Clark 4,616 54.99% 3,438 40.95% 341 4.06% 1,178 14.04% 8,395
Clay 4,086 78.83% 962 18.56% 135 2.61% 3,124 60.27% 5,183
Cleburne 10,328 81.45% 1,988 15.68% 364 2.87% 8,340 65.77% 12,680
Cleveland 2,867 79.64% 651 18.08% 82 2.28% 2,216 61.56% 3,600
Columbia 5,500 63.83% 2,814 32.66% 302 3.51% 2,686 31.17% 8,616
Conway 5,694 65.56% 2,615 30.11% 376 4.33% 3,079 35.45% 8,685
Craighead 25,558 66.37% 11,921 30.95% 1,032 2.68% 13,637 35.42% 38,511
Crawford 18,607 77.24% 4,959 20.58% 525 2.18% 13,648 56.66% 24,091
Crittenden 7,333 44.80% 8,514 52.02% 520 3.18% -1,181 -7.22% 16,367
Cross 4,946 71.25% 1,772 25.53% 224 3.22% 3,174 45.72% 6,942
Dallas 1,573 59.38% 963 36.35% 113 4.27% 610 23.03% 2,649
Desha 1,921 46.13% 2,016 48.41% 227 5.46% -95 -2.28% 4,164
Drew 4,349 62.96% 2,426 35.12% 133 1.92% 1,923 27.84% 6,908
Faulkner 34,421 63.24% 18,347 33.71% 1,660 3.05% 16,074 29.53% 54,428
Franklin 5,677 79.63% 1,300 18.24% 152 2.13% 4,377 61.39% 7,129
Fulton 3,961 77.38% 1,035 20.22% 123 2.40% 2,926 57.16% 5,119
Garland 29,069 65.77% 14,045 31.78% 1,085 2.45% 15,024 33.99% 44,199
Grant 6,794 82.85% 1,268 15.46% 138 1.69% 5,526 67.39% 8,200
Greene 12,670 78.70% 3,058 18.99% 372 2.31% 9,612 59.71% 16,100
Hempstead 4,470 65.27% 2,138 31.22% 240 3.51% 2,332 34.05% 6,848
Hot Spring 9,202 73.28% 3,082 24.54% 273 2.18% 6,120 48.74% 12,557
Howard 3,367 69.65% 1,340 27.72% 127 2.63% 2,027 41.93% 4,834
Independence 11,250 77.52% 2,806 19.34% 456 3.14% 8,444 58.18% 14,512
Izard 4,631 79.71% 1,021 17.57% 158 2.72% 3,610 62.14% 5,810
Jackson 3,593 70.58% 1,365 26.81% 133 2.61% 2,228 43.77% 5,091
Jefferson 9,521 37.84% 14,981 59.55% 656 2.61% -5,460 -21.71% 25,158
Johnson 6,938 73.05% 2,283 24.04% 277 2.91% 4,655 49.01% 9,498
Lafayette 1,757 65.58% 839 31.32% 83 3.10% 918 34.26% 2,679
Lawrence 4,569 78.01% 1,080 18.44% 208 3.55% 3,489 59.57% 5,857
Lee 1,286 45.15% 1,423 49.96% 139 4.89% -137 -4.81% 2,848
Lincoln 2,729 70.43% 1,032 26.63% 114 2.94% 1,697 43.80% 3,875
Little River 3,715 71.76% 1,226 23.68% 236 4.56% 2,489 48.08% 5,177
Logan 6,441 78.31% 1,544 18.77% 240 2.92% 4,897 59.54% 8,225
Lonoke 22,884 74.63% 6,686 21.81% 1,092 3.56% 16,198 52.82% 30,662
Madison 5,658 76.97% 1,563 21.26% 130 1.77% 4,095 55.71% 7,351
Marion 5,783 77.08% 1,531 20.41% 189 2.51% 4,252 56.67% 7,503
Miller 11,920 72.12% 4,245 25.68% 364 2.20% 7,675 46.44% 16,529
Mississippi 7,296 59.12% 4,558 36.93% 488 3.95% 2,738 22.19% 12,342
Monroe 1,545 54.87% 1,147 40.73% 124 4.40% 398 14.14% 2,816
Montgomery 3,046 78.65% 731 18.87% 96 2.48% 2,315 59.78% 3,873
Nevada 2,133 63.52% 1,076 32.04% 149 4.44% 1,057 31.48% 3,358
Newton 3,192 79.84% 709 17.73% 97 2.43% 2,483 62.11% 3,998
Ouachita 5,294 54.98% 3,995 41.49% 340 3.53% 1,299 13.49% 9,629
Perry 3,479 75.19% 1,012 21.87% 136 2.94% 2,467 43.32% 4,627
Phillips 2,417 38.72% 3,623 58.04% 202 3.24% -1,206 -19.32% 6,242
Pike 3,519 82.88% 644 15.17% 83 1.95% 2,875 67.71% 4,246
Poinsett 5,918 78.69% 1,424 18.93% 179 2.38% 4,494 59.76% 7,521
Polk 7,035 82.86% 1,246 14.68% 209 2.46% 5,789 68.18% 8,490
Pope 18,081 74.01% 5,772 23.62% 579 2.37% 12,309 50.39% 24,432
Prairie 2,786 79.71% 654 18.71% 55 1.58% 2,132 61.00% 3,495
Pulaski 63,687 37.47% 101,947 59.98% 4,322 2.55% -38,260 -22.51% 169,956
Randolph 5,355 78.61% 1,215 17.84% 242 3.55% 4,140 60.77% 6,812
St. Francis 3,242 45.61% 3,604 50.70% 262 3.69% -362 -5.09% 7,108
Saline 39,556 69.45% 16,060 28.20% 1,343 2.35% 23,496 41.25% 56,959
Scott 2,962 83.41% 483 13.60% 106 2.99% 2,479 69.81% 3,551
Searcy 3,365 83.73% 588 14.63% 66 1.64% 2,777 69.10% 4,019
Sebastian 31,198 66.18% 14,487 30.73% 1,455 3.09% 16,711 35.45% 47,140
Sevier 3,884 74.66% 1,116 21.45% 202 3.89% 2,768 53.21% 5,202
Sharp 5,938 78.48% 1,398 18.48% 230 3.04% 4,540 60.00% 7,566
Stone 4,616 77.74% 1,180 19.87% 142 2.39% 3,436 57.87% 5,938
Union 10,478 63.09% 5,584 33.62% 545 3.29% 4,894 29.47% 16,607
Van Buren 6,034 77.29% 1,593 20.40% 180 2.31% 4,441 56.89% 7,807
Washington 47,504 50.39% 43,824 46.49% 2,938 3.12% 3,680 3.90% 94,266
White 24,182 78.30% 5,978 19.36% 725 2.34% 18,204 58.94% 30,885
Woodruff 1,543 62.32% 856 34.57% 77 3.11% 687 27.75% 2,476
Yell 5,226 77.53% 1,284 19.05% 231 3.42% 3,942 58.48% 6,741
Totals 760,647 62.40% 423,932 34.78% 34,490 2.82% 336,715 27.62% 1,219,069
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
  •   Republican — +10–12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5–15%
  •   Republican — +>15%

By congressional district

[44]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 69.1% 27.9% Rick Crawford
2nd 53.1% 44.3% French Hill
3rd 61.9% 35.2% Steve Womack
4th 67.7% 29.6% Bruce Westerman

Analysis

Arkansas is a majority-White, heavily-rural Southern state with a strong distaste for social liberalism, contained entirely within the Bible Belt. As a result, no Democrat has won Arkansas since native son and former governor Bill Clinton did so in 1996; since then, the Republican margin of victory has increased in every consecutive presidential election. The state thoroughly ceased to be competitive in 2008, when Democrat Barack Obama lost Arkansas by nearly 20 points despite decisively winning the national election. This marked a historic shift in the state; Obama became the first Democrat ever elected president without carrying Arkansas. The 2020 election is the seventh straight election where Arkansas has shifted to the right, the longest such streak in the nation for either party currently. Analysts at The New York Times speculated that the shift in 2020 occurred because Hillary Clinton, as the former First Lady of Arkansas, had a home state advantage in 2016.[45]

Continuing on this trend, Trump carried Arkansas again by a margin of 27.62%, a 0.7% increase from 26.92% four years earlier in 2016. Even as most of the nation swung slightly leftward, many counties in Arkansas still swung dramatically rightward. Trump improved his margin in the historically Democratic Delta county of Woodruff from 8.9% four years prior to 27.7% in 2020.

Biden's main bases of support were in Pulaski County (Little Rock), Jefferson County (Pine Bluff), and most of the counties along the Mississippi River. Despite his statewide loss, Biden shrank Trump's margin in Washington County—a northwest Arkansas county home to Fayetteville and in turn the University of Arkansas—from 9.9% to 3.9%.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Arkansas came from 86% with White, born again/evangelical Christians. Fifty-two percent of voters opposed changing the Arkansas state flag to remove the star that symbolizes the Confederacy, and these voters backed Trump by 88%–10%.[46]

In other elections, incumbent Republican Tom Cotton defeated Libertarian Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. in the senatorial election by 33 points, outperforming Trump. Harrington's performance is the best Libertarian senatorial performance in history in terms of voting percentage.[47] No Democrat filed in the senatorial race.

Notes

  1. ^ The other five states were California, Florida, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah.
  2. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew after early voting had started.
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
  8. ^ a b C. L. Gammon was the original presidential nominee of the Prohibition Party, with Phil Collins as his running mate. After Gammon withdrew, Collins was given the party's nomination for president, but appears on the ballot a second time as Gammon and Collins' original candidacy was never removed.[39]

See also

References

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Further reading

External links

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