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 County Results
Risch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Jordan: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Idaho |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Risch won reelection to a third term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Paulette Jordan, who, percentage wise, had the worst performance of a Democratic senatorial candidate for this seat since 2002. However, Risch also performed nearly three points worse than he did when he was reelected in 2014, and additionally, he slightly underperformed incumbent President Donald Trump's performance in the concurrent presidential election.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Risch (incumbent) | 200,184 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 200,184 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paulette Jordan, former state representative and nominee for Governor of Idaho in 2018[3]
Eliminated in primary
- James Vandermaas, former law enforcement officer and candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018[4]
Withdrawn
- Nancy Harris, businesswoman[5] (endorsed Paulette Jordan)[6]
- Travis Oler, farmer and U.S. Army veteran (running for state legislature)[7] (endorsed James Vandermaas)[8]
Declined
- A.J. Balukoff, Boise school district board member, nominee for Governor of Idaho in 2014, and candidate for Governor of Idaho in 2018[9] (endorsed James Vandermaas)
- Mark Nye, state senator[9]
- Michelle Stennett, minority leader of the Idaho Senate[9]
Endorsements
Paulette Jordan
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 72,778 | 85.70% | |
| Democratic | James Vandermaas | 12,145 | 14.30% | |
| Total votes | 84,923 | 100.00% | ||
Other candidates
Constitution Party
Nominee
- Ray Writz[12]
Independents
Declared
- Natalie Fleming[13]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[17] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico[18] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[19] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[20] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[22] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
Paulette Jordan (D)
- U.S Vice Presidents
- Individuals
- Aaron Paul, actor known for Breaking Bad[10]
- Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[24]
- DSCC[25]
- Emily’s List[26]
- National Education Association[27]
- National Women's Political Caucus[28]
- Publications
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Risch (R) |
Paulette Jordan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[A] | August 29 – September 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 28% | 8%[b] | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Risch (incumbent) | 538,446 | 62.62% | -2.71% | |
| Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 285,864 | 33.25% | -1.42% | |
| Independent | Natalie Fleming | 25,329 | 2.95% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Ray Writz | 10,188 | 1.18% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 859,827 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll conducted for the Women's Liberation Front.
References
- ^ Russell, Betsy (August 12, 2019). "Risch announces re-election bid for 3rd Senate term in 2020". Idaho Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
- ^ a b "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
- ^ Jennifer Bendery. "Idaho Democrat Paulette Jordan Is Running For Senate", HuffPost, February 7, 2020. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
- ^ "Third Dem announces bid for Risch's Senate seat in 2020". Idaho Press. October 7, 2019.
- ^ "Harris withdraws from Idaho Senate race". Kootenai Valley Times. February 13, 2020.
- ^ "Paulette Jordan on Instagram: "Nancy Harris has a strong voice and the best of intentions for Idaho. I'm very grateful for her support. Thank you, @nancyharrisforsenate…"". Instagram.
- ^ "Travis Oler Discontinues US Senate Campaign and Runs for Idaho State Legislature". Travis Oler for Idaho. Retrieved March 14, 2020.
- ^ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- ^ a b c Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
- ^ a b Miller, Kevin (February 14, 2020). "Aaron Paul endorses Jordan Paulette". Kido Talk Radio. Retrieved April 25, 2020.
- ^ "Statesman endorses Democrat primary candidate for U.S. Senate". Idaho Statesman. May 10, 2020.
- ^ "WRITZ, RAY - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- ^ "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate – Partisan Free Independent Candidate for United States Congress for Idaho".
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "Biden endorses Idaho's Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate". KHQ.
- ^ https://centeractionfund.org/2020-endorsements/#ID
- ^ "DSCC Endorses Paulette Jordan in Idaho Senate Race". DSCC. July 23, 2020.
- ^ https://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/paulette-jordan-20
- ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
- ^ "Endorsed candidates". NWPC. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
- ^ https://www.instagram.com/p/CF8BoAkHNgT/
- ^ "2020 General Election Results – Statewide". Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Idaho", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Idaho: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Idaho". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Idaho at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
- Natalie Fleming (I) for Senate
- Paulette Jordan (D) for Senate
- Jim Risch (R) for Senate
- Ray Writz (C) for Senate
This page was last edited on 13 March 2021, at 22:17