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2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout68% Increase
 
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 14 0
Popular vote 2,148,278 1,601,933
Percentage 55.45% 41.35%

New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county
Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 8, 2016 as part of the 2016 United States presidential election. Hillary Clinton won the state of New Jersey and its 14 electoral votes with 55.5% of the vote over Donald Trump's 41.35%.

Primary elections

New Jersey's presidential primaries were on June 7, 2016, with the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties participating.[1] Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any 1 primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[2]

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 566,247 63.32% 79 12 91
Bernie Sanders 328,058 36.68% 47 2 49
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 894,305 100% 126 16 142
Source: The Green Papers, New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State

Republican primary

3 candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[2]

New Jersey Republican primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 360,212 80.41% 51 0 51
John Kasich (withdrawn) 59,866 13.36% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 27,874 6.22% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 447,952 100.00% 51 0 51
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[3] Safe D November 6, 2016
CNN[4] Safe D November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[5] Safe D November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[6] Safe D November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe D November 7, 2016
Fox News[8] Safe D November 7, 2016

Candidate ballot access:[9]

Results

Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage: -Blue municipalities won by Clinton -Red municipalities won by Trump -Purple municipality, Clinton and Trump tied (Teterboro only)
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
-Blue municipalities won by Clinton
-Red municipalities won by Trump
-Purple municipality, Clinton and Trump tied (Teterboro only)
2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 2,148,278 55.45%
Republican Donald Trump 1,601,933 41.35%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 72,477 1.87%
Green Jill Stein 37,772 0.98%
Constitution Darrell Castle 6,161 0.16%
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy 2,156 0.06%
American Delta Party Rocky De La Fuente 1,838 0.05%
Workers World Monica Moorehead 1,749 0.05%
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva 1,682 0.04%
Majority 546,345 14.10%
Turnout 3,874,046

Results by county

County Clinton votes Clinton % Trump votes Trump % Other votes Other %
Atlantic 60,924 51.0% 52,690 44.1% 3,677 3.13%
Bergen 231,211 54.2% 175,529 41.1% 12,556 2.99%
Burlington 121,725 54.2% 89,272 39.7% 7,946 3.63%
Camden 146,717 63.4% 72,631 31.4% 7,244 3.20%
Cape May 18,750 37.5% 28,446 57.0% 1,526 3.13%
Cumberland 27,771 50.4% 24,453 44.4% 1,780 3.30%
Essex 240,837 76.2% 63,176 20.0% 6,921 2.23%
Gloucester 66,870 46.9% 67,544 47.4% 5,128 3.67%
Hudson 163,917 73.2% 49,043 21.9% 6,415 2.92%
Hunterdon 28,898 39.7% 38,712 53.2% 3,226 4.55%
Mercer 104,775 65.6% 46,193 28.9% 5,561 3.55%
Middlesex 193,044 58.0% 122,953 37.0% 10,105 3.10%
Monmouth 137,181 42.3% 166,723 51.5% 10,473 3.33%
Morris 115,249 44.9% 126,071 49.1% 9,096 3.63%
Ocean 87,150 31.1% 179,079 63.9% 8,133 2.96%
Passaic 116,759 58.8% 72,902 36.7% 5,141 2.64%
Salem 11,904 39.6% 16,381 54.4% 1,209 4.10%
Somerset 85,689 53.4% 65,505 40.8% 5,898 3.75%
Sussex 24,212 32.0% 46,658 61.8% 3,256 4.39%
Union 147,414 66.4% 68,114 30.7% 6,447 2.90%
Warren 17,281 34.3% 29,858 59.2% 2,097 4.26%

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

[11]

By congressional district

Clinton won 7 of 12 congressional districts.[12]

District Clinton Trump Representative
1st 61% 36% Donald Norcross
2nd 46% 51% Frank LoBiondo
3rd 45% 51% Tom MacArthur
4th 41% 56% Chris Smith
5th 48% 49% Scott Garrett
Josh Gottheimer
6th 56% 41% Frank Pallone, Jr.
7th 49% 48% Leonard Lance
8th 76% 22% Albio Sires
9th 64% 33% Bill Pascrell
10th 85% 13% Donald M. Payne Jr.
11th 48% 49% Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th 65% 32% Bonnie Watson Coleman

Analysis

Hillary Clinton's 55.5% of the vote was 2.9% less than Barack Obama's win in the state in 2012. This was the first time since 1976 that New Jersey did not vote for the same candidate as neighboring Pennsylvania. Donald Trump became the first Republican to win Gloucester County since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

Overall, the trend from 2012 to 2016 was that suburban areas of central and northern New Jersey voted more Democratic, while the shore and southern New Jersey voted more Republican.

Clinton's most notable improvements over Obama in 2012 were seen in Union, Somerset, and Morris County. In Morris, Clinton came within 5% of winning the county, which has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. Clinton's stronger performance in the suburban towns of north-central New Jersey, such as Summit, Westfield, and Bridgewater, helped her narrowly win the 7th congressional district.

On the other hand, southern New Jersey, especially Cumberland County and Salem County, voted significantly more Republican than they had in 2012. For example, even though Cumberland County voted Democratic in both 2012 and 2016, Clinton won it by just 6%, whereas Obama had won it by nearly 24% in 2012. Additionally, the four shore counties (Monmouth, Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May) all voted more Republican than they had in 2012. While Romney had won these four counties collectively by around 6% in 2012, Trump won them by 17% in 2016.

See also

References

  1. ^ Green papers for 2016 primaries (D) (R). Retrieved 2016-04-05.
  2. ^ a b "Official List / Candidates for President / For PRIMARY ELECTION 06/07/2016 Election" (PDF). NJ.gov. April 14, 2016. Retrieved 2017-11-04.
  3. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  4. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  5. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  6. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  7. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  8. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. ^ "Official List Candidates for President For GENERAL ELECTION 11/08/2016 Election" (PDF). New Jersey Secretary of State - Division of Elections. August 12, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  10. ^ "Official List Candidates for President For GENERAL ELECTION 11/08/2016 Election" (PDF). New Jersey Secretary of State - Division of Elections. December 6, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 7, 2017. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
  11. ^ Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  12. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project". www.swingstateproject.com. Retrieved 7 April 2018.
This page was last edited on 12 November 2020, at 20:05
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