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2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout66.56% (Increase0.61pp)[1]
 
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,594,511 1,071,068
Percentage 56.38% 37.87%

Missouri Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county
Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump carried the state with 56.4% of the vote, while Clinton received 37.9%.[3] Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that of Mitt Romney's from 2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions: Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri; Jackson County, which includes most of Kansas City; St. Louis County; and St. Louis City. Clinton's vote share percentage was the lowest a Democratic presidential nominee obtained in the state since George McGovern's 37.7% in 1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party, and away from its long-held status as a bellwether state. Missouri was also one of the eleven states that voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

County results of the Missouri Democratic presidential primary, 2016.   Hillary Clinton   Bernie Sanders
County results of the Missouri Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[4]

Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 310,600 49.61% 36 11 47
Bernie Sanders 309,073 49.37% 35 0 35
Uncommitted 3,697 0.59% 0 2 2
Henry Hewes 651 0.10% 0 0 0
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 437 0.07% 0 0 0
Jon Adams 428 0.07% 0 0 0
Rocky De La Fuente 340 0.05% 0 0 0
Willie Wilson 305 0.05% 0 0 0
Keith Judd 284 0.05% 0 0 0
John Wolfe 245 0.04% 0 0 0
Total 626,060 100% 71 13 84
S\Insert paragraphource:The Green Papers

Republican primary

  Donald Trump   Ted Cruz
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[4]

Missouri Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 383,631 40.84% 37 0 37
Ted Cruz 381,666 40.63% 15 0 15
John Kasich 94,857 10.10% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio 57,244 6.09% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 8,233 0.88% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,361 0.36% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 3,225 0.34% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,148 0.23% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,777 0.19% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,681 0.18% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 732 0.08% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 615 0.07% 0 0 0
Jim Lynch (withdrawn) 100 0.01% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 939,270 100.00% 52 0 52
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian primary

The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, and Constitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital, Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but was fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities, Kansas City and St. Louis. Kerbel won three counties around Springfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties of Harrison, Holt, Mercer, and Worth.[5]

Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage
America Symbol.svg
Uncommitted
1,183 40.61%
Austin Petersen 854 29.32%
Steve Kerbel 401 13.77%
Marc Allan Feldman 242 8.31%
Cecil Ince 134 4.60%
Rhett Smith 99 3.40%
Total 2,913 100%

General election

Polling

Republican Donald Trump won every pre-election poll conducted here except one. Trump won most polls by high single digits or low double digits. The average of the last three polls had Donald Trump leading Democrat Hillary Clinton 50% to 39%. [6]

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[7] Likely R November 6, 2016
CNN[8] Safe R November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[9] Likely R November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[10] Safe R November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 7, 2016
Fox News[12] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

The statewide election results were as follows. The total vote count was 2,828,266.[13]

U.S. President and Vice President Party Votes % of Votes
Donald J. Trump, Michael R. Pence Republican 1,594,511 56.38%
Hillary Rodham Clinton, Timothy Michael Kaine Democratic 1,071,068 37.87%
Gary Johnson, Bill Weld Libertarian 97,359 3.44%
Jill Stein, Ajamu Baraka Green 25,419 0.90%
Other Write-ins 19,663 0.70%
Darrell L. Castle, Scott N. Bradley Constitution 13,092 0.46%
Evan McMullin, Nathan Johnson Write-in 7,071 0.25%
Tom Hoefling, Steve Schulin Write-in 48 <0.01%
Laurence Kotlikoff, Edward Leamer Write-in 28 <0.01%
"Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Michael Steinberg Write-in 6 <0.01%
Marshall Schoenke, James Creighton Mitchell Jr. Write-in 3 <0.01%
Matias Mollin, Andy Oliver Write-in 0 0.00%
Totals 2,828,266 100%

By county

Hillary Rodham Clinton

Democratic

Donald John Trump

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

Total
County % # % # % # #
Adair 34.23% 3,500 58.97% 6,030 6.81% 696 10,226
Andrew 22.37% 2,045 72.92% 6,665 4.70% 430 9,140
Atchison 19.82% 541 75.46% 2,060 4.73% 129 2,730
Audrain 25.54% 2,570 69.39% 6,981 5.07% 510 10,061
Barry 18.56% 2,710 78.25% 11,428 3.20% 467 14,605
Barton 13.39% 795 83.50% 4,959 3.12% 185 5,939
Bates 20.15% 1,618 74.72% 6,001 5.13% 412 8,031
Benton 21.12% 2,025 75.21% 7,213 3.67% 352 9,590
Bollinger 12.42% 705 85.04% 4,827 2.54% 144 5,676
Boone 49.04% 41,125 43.16% 36,200 7.80% 6,543 83,868
Buchanan 33.69% 12,013 59.79% 21,320 6.52% 2,326 35,659
Butler 17.59% 3,036 79.09% 13,650 3.32% 573 17,259
Caldwell 19.43% 838 74.95% 3,232 5.61% 242 4,312
Callaway 25.99% 4,989 68.03% 13,057 5.98% 1,147 19,193
Camden 21.18% 4,768 75.26% 16,944 3.56% 802 22,514
Cape Girardeau 22.93% 8,492 72.94% 27,017 4.13% 1,529 37,038
Carroll 17.08% 745 79.80% 3,480 3.12% 136 4,361
Carter 15.30% 436 81.54% 2,324 3.16% 90 2,850
Cass 29.12% 14,846 64.91% 33,098 5.97% 3,046 50,990
Cedar 16.08% 1,011 79.85% 5,021 4.07% 256 6,288
Chariton 22.37% 888 74.33% 2,950 3.30% 131 3,969
Christian 20.49% 8,508 74.51% 30,946 5.00% 2,077 41,531
Clark 21.83% 724 74.13% 2,458 4.04% 134 3,316
Clay 41.12% 45,304 52.17% 57,476 6.71% 7,396 110,176
Clinton 25.20% 2,572 69.23% 7,067 5.57% 569 10,208
Cole 29.20% 10,913 65.86% 24,616 4.94% 1,845 37,374
Cooper 24.19% 1,932 70.42% 5,624 5.38% 430 7,986
Crawford 18.39% 1,824 77.86% 7,724 3.75% 372 9,920
Dade 16.12% 637 80.59% 3,184 3.29% 130 3,951
Dallas 17.07% 1,272 79.10% 5,895 3.84% 286 7,453
Daviess 19.53% 730 74.02% 2,767 6.45% 241 3,738
DeKalb 17.94% 824 77.06% 3,540 5.01% 230 4,594
Dent 14.40% 978 82.46% 5,600 3.14% 213 6,791
Douglas 14.76% 984 82.30% 5,486 2.94% 196 6,666
Dunklin 22.31% 2,360 75.87% 8,026 1.82% 192 10,578
Franklin 24.63% 12,341 70.70% 35,430 4.67% 2,342 50,113
Gasconade 20.40% 1,520 76.10% 5,670 3.50% 261 7,451
Gentry 19.88% 605 75.71% 2,304 4.40% 134 3,043
Greene 33.06% 42,728 60.38% 78,035 6.55% 8,468 129,231
Grundy 17.62% 780 78.18% 3,462 4.20% 186 4,428
Harrison 15.56% 574 80.37% 2,965 4.07% 150 3,689
Henry 23.89% 2,357 71.71% 7,075 4.40% 434 9,866
Hickory 21.51% 1,016 74.98% 3,542 3.51% 166 4,724
Holt 14.73% 347 81.78% 1,926 3.48% 82 2,355
Howard 26.36% 1,283 67.32% 3,277 6.33% 308 4,868
Howell 16.51% 2,881 79.59% 13,893 3.90% 681 17,455
Iron 21.86% 933 74.33% 3,173 3.82% 163 4,269
Jackson 55.70% 168,972 39.0% 116,211 6.05% 10,481 173,275
Jasper 21.88% 10,572 72.57% 35,070 5.55% 2,684 48,326
Jefferson 29.71% 31,568 64.98% 69,036 5.30% 5,634 106,238
Johnson 28.06% 5,930 64.92% 13,719 7.02% 1,483 21,132
Knox 20.27% 379 75.72% 1,416 4.01% 75 1,870
Laclede 15.91% 2,553 80.25% 12,881 3.84% 617 16,051
Lafayette 25.53% 4,053 69.21% 10,988 5.26% 835 15,876
Lawrence 17.36% 2,901 78.31% 13,089 4.34% 725 16,715
Lewis 20.96% 934 75.04% 3,344 3.99% 178 4,456
Lincoln 22.33% 5,575 72.75% 18,159 4.92% 1,228 24,962
Linn 22.19% 1,240 73.17% 4,088 4.64% 259 5,587
Livingston 19.70% 1,265 75.99% 4,879 4.31% 277 6,421
Macon 20.29% 1,548 75.98% 5,798 3.73% 285 7,631
Madison 18.89% 1,005 77.09% 4,102 4.02% 214 5,321
Maries 17.64% 794 79.13% 3,561 3.22% 145 4,500
Marion 23.14% 2,994 72.80% 9,419 4.06% 525 12,938
McDonald 16.12% 1,329 80.07% 6,599 3.81% 314 8,242
Mercer 12.38% 216 85.16% 1,486 2.46% 43 1,745
Miller 15.33% 1,750 81.33% 9,285 3.34% 381 11,416
Mississippi 28.21% 1,458 69.65% 3,600 2.15% 111 5,169
Moniteau 18.11% 1,237 78.29% 5,347 3.60% 246 6,830
Monroe 20.52% 853 76.01% 3,159 3.46% 144 4,156
Montgomery 20.61% 1,119 76.02% 4,127 3.37% 183 5,429
Morgan 20.04% 1,768 76.64% 6,760 3.32% 293 8,821
New Madrid 26.27% 1,933 71.63% 5,270 2.09% 154 7,357
Newton 18.76% 4,990 77.25% 20,553 4.00% 1,063 26,606
Nodaway 26.74% 2,529 67.46% 6,380 5.80% 549 9,458
Oregon 18.53% 865 78.64% 3,671 2.83% 132 4,668
Osage 14.08% 998 82.60% 5,856 3.33% 236 7,090
Ozark 16.07% 724 80.78% 3,639 3.15% 142 4,505
Pemiscot 32.30% 1,947 65.77% 3,964 1.92% 116 6,027
Perry 17.39% 1,520 79.04% 6,908 3.57% 312 8,740
Pettis 23.87% 4,324 70.73% 12,810 5.39% 977 18,111
Phelps 25.69% 4,766 68.50% 12,709 5.81% 1,078 18,553
Pike 24.46% 1,806 71.44% 5,274 4.09% 302 7,382
Platte 40.85% 20,057 52.82% 25,933 6.33% 3,110 49,100
Polk 19.12% 2,631 75.84% 10,438 5.04% 694 13,763
Pulaski 21.66% 2,922 73.22% 9,876 5.12% 690 13,488
Putnam 15.05% 353 82.52% 1,936 2.43% 57 2,346
Ralls 21.61% 1,138 75.37% 3,969 3.02% 159 5,266
Randolph 22.15% 2,283 73.03% 7,529 4.82% 497 10,309
Ray 28.43% 3,090 65.36% 7,104 6.21% 675 10,869
Reynolds 17.77% 540 79.20% 2,406 3.03% 92 3,038
Ripley 15.03% 830 81.86% 4,522 3.11% 172 5,524
Saline 30.07% 2,789 64.45% 5,977 5.48% 508 9,274
Schuyler 18.29% 354 77.74% 1,505 3.98% 77 1,936
Scotland 18.55% 365 77.49% 1,525 3.96% 78 1,968
Scott 20.72% 3,575 76.31% 13,168 2.97% 513 17,256
Shannon 19.88% 776 75.97% 2,966 4.15% 162 3,904
Shelby 18.62% 606 77.54% 2,524 3.84% 125 3,255
St. Charles 34.14% 68,626 60.52% 121,650 5.34% 10,729 201,005
St. Clair 20.22% 936 75.62% 3,501 4.17% 193 4,630
St. Francois 25.27% 6,250 70.64% 17,468 4.08% 1,010 24,728
St. Louis 55.69% 286,704 39.32% 202,434 5.00% 25,720 514,858
Ste. Genevieve 30.02% 2,542 64.90% 5,496 5.09% 431 8,469
Stoddard 14.11% 1,876 83.36% 11,079 2.53% 336 13,291
Stone 17.43% 2,887 79.42% 13,158 3.15% 522 16,567
Sullivan 21.16% 526 75.78% 1,884 3.06% 76 2,486
Taney 18.60% 4,373 77.72% 18,276 3.68% 866 23,515
Texas 15.77% 1,728 81.01% 8,875 3.22% 353 10,956
Vernon 19.85% 1,707 75.97% 6,533 4.17% 359 8,599
Warren 24.80% 3,915 70.39% 11,111 4.80% 758 15,784
Washington 20.75% 1,926 75.93% 7,048 3.32% 308 9,282
Wayne 16.45% 948 80.84% 4,658 2.71% 156 5,762
Webster 18.98% 3,177 76.69% 12,840 4.34% 726 16,743
Worth 18.64% 195 77.25% 808 4.11% 43 1,046
Wright 14.41% 1,170 82.61% 6,707 2.98% 242 8,119
Kansas City 76.00% 97,735 19.17% 24,654 4.83% 6,212 128,601
St. Louis City 79.45% 104,235 15.88% 20,832 4.67% 6,124 131,191

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[14]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 19% 77% Lacy Clay
2nd 53% 42% Ann Wagner
3rd 67% 28% Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th 65% 29% Vicky Hartzler
5th 40% 55% Emanuel Cleaver
6th 63% 31% Sam Graves
7th 70% 25% Billy Long
8th 75% 21% Jason Smith

See also

References

  1. ^ "Voter Turnout Report - State of Missouri General Election - 2016 General Election" (PDF). Missouri's Secretary of State.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  3. ^ "Missouri Election Results 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved 2018-07-09.
  4. ^ a b http://www.memphisdemocrat.com/notice-of-primary-election/
  5. ^ a b "State of Missouri - Election Night Results". Missouri Secretary of State. Government of Missouri. 16 March 2016. Archived from the original on 18 March 2016. Retrieved 16 March 2016.
  6. ^ https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mo/missouri_trump_vs_clinton-5609.html#polls
  7. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  8. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  9. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  10. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  11. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  12. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  13. ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Missouri". uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2018-03-28.
  14. ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.

External links

This page was last edited on 25 January 2021, at 08:27
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