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Opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Given the large number of potential candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll.

Background

Entry into the Democratic primary debates will be determined either by polling at 1% or higher in at least 3 national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls (conducted by unique organizations if within the same region; i.e., without double-counting) sponsored by designated organizations (using polls published after January 1, 2019 up until two weeks before the debate) or by or by a fundraising threshold (of at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states). The organizations approved for determination of debate eligibility are the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University.[1]

Active campaign
Exploratory committee
Withdrawn candidate
Midterm elections
Iowa caucuses
Super Tuesday
Democratic convention
Richard Ojeda 2020 presidential campaignAndrew Yang 2020 presidential campaignMarianne Williamson 2020 presidential campaignElizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaignBernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaignBeto O'Rourke 2020 presidential campaignWayne Messam 2020 presidential campaignAmy Klobuchar 2020 presidential campaignJay Inslee 2020 presidential campaignJohn Hickenlooper 2020 presidential campaignKamala Harris 2020 presidential campaignMike Gravel 2020 presidential campaignKirsten Gillibrand 2020 presidential campaignTulsi Gabbard 2020 presidential campaignJohn Delaney 2020 presidential campaignJulian Castro 2020 presidential campaignPete Buttigieg 2020 presidential campaignCory Booker 2020 presidential campaign

National polling

Since March 2019

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Harvard-Harris Mar 25–26 263 35% 4% 5% 2% 7% 17% 6% 11%[a] 13%
273 26% 3% 11% 1% 5% 18% 5% 16%[b] 12%
Quinnipiac University Mar 21–25 559 ± 5.1% 29% 2% 8% 2% 12% 19% 4% 7%[c] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 20–24 447 28% 3% 8% 1% 8% 17% 5% 15%[d] 16%
Morning Consult Mar 18–24 13,725 ± 1.0% 35% 4% 8% 2% 8% 25% 7% 10%[e]
Fox News Mar 17–20 403 ± 5.0% 31% 4% 8% 1% 8% 23% 4% 9%[f] 11%
Emerson College Mar 17–18 487 ± 4.4% 26% 3% 12% 1% 11% 26% 8% 14%[g]
CNN/SSRS Mar 14–17 456 ± 5.7% 28% 3% 12% 3% 11% 20% 6% 11%[h] 5%
Morning Consult Mar 11–17 13,551 ± 1.0% 35% 4% 8% 2% 8% 27% 7% 10%[i]
Mar 14 O'Rourke announces his candidacy
HarrisX Mar 9–10 370 ± 5.0% 29% 3% 5% 3% 4% 20% 4% 9%[j] 18%
Change Research Mar 8–10 1,919 36% 3% 9% 2% 7% 24% 9% 10%[k]
5% 17% 3% 14% 36% 13% 10%[l]
HarrisX Mar 8–10 740 ± 3.7% 27% 4% 8% 2% 6% 19% 4% 8%[m] 16%
Morning Consult Mar 4–10 15,226 ± 1.0% 31% 4% 10% 3% 7% 27% 7% 14%[n]
HarrisX Mar 8–9 370 ± 5.0% 24% 5% 10% 1% 8% 17% 5% 10%[o] 14%
Mar 5 Bloomberg announces that he will not run
Mar 4 Clinton announces that she will not run
Monmouth University Mar 1–4 310 ± 5.6% 28% 5% 10% 3% 6% 25% 8% 7%[p] 8%
6% 15% 3% 7% 32% 10% 9%[q] 15%
Morning Consult Feb 25 – Mar 3 12,560 ± 1.0% 31% 4% 11% 3% 6% 27% 7% 13%[r]

January through February 2019

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Hillary
Clinton
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Michelle
Obama
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Morning Consult Feb 18–24 15,642 ± 1.0% 29% 2% 4% 10% 3% 7% 27% 7% 11%[s]
D-CYFOR Feb 22–23 453 39% 2% 4% 8% 8% 2% 3% 14% 5% 3%[t] 11%
Harvard-Harris Feb 19–20 337 37% 3% 2% 10% 6% 22% 4% 5%[u] 10%
346 30% 2% 5% 10% 10% 4% 19% 4% 1%[v] 13%
Feb 19 Sanders announces his candidacy
HarrisX Feb 17–18 370 ± 5.0% 25% 5% 4% 12% 2% 25% 6% 11% 5% 5%[w]
Morning Consult Feb 11–17 15,383 ± 1.0% 30% 2% 5% 11% 4% 7% 21% 8% 11%[x]
Emerson College Feb 14–16 431 ± 4.7% 27% 2% 9% 15% 5% 4% 17% 9% 12%[y]
Bold Blue Campaigns Feb 9–11 500 ± 4.5% 12% <1% <1% 11% 1% 7% 9% 3% 9%[z] 48%
Feb 10 Klobuchar announces her candidacy
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 6–10 450 25% 2% 3% 7% 8% 1% 6% 16% 5% 14%[aa] 15%
Morning Consult Feb 4–10 11,627 ± 1.0% 29% 2% 5% 13% 3% 7% 22% 8% 11%[ab]
Morning Consult Jan 28 – Feb 3 14,494 ± 1.0% 30% 2% 4% 14% 2% 6% 21% 9% 9%[ac]
Morning Consult Feb 1–2 737 ± 4.0% 29% 2% 5% 14% 2% 5% 16% 6% 7%[ad] 13%
Feb 1 Booker announces his candidacy
Monmouth University Jan 25–27 313 ± 5.5% 29% 4% 4% 11% 2% 7% 16% 8% 8%[ae] 9%
Morning Consult Jan 25–27 685 ± 4.0% 33% 2% 3% 10% 1% 6% 15% 6% 10%[af] 15%
Morning Consult Jan 21–27 14,381 ± 1.0% 31% 3% 3% 11% 2% 7% 21% 9% 9%[ag]
Morning Consult Jan 18–22 694 ± 4.0% 26% 2% 4% 9% 2% 6% 16% 6% 11%[ah] 18%
Jan 21 Harris announces her candidacy
Emerson College Jan 20–21 355 ± 5.2% 45% 7% 8% 3% 1% 3% 5% 3% 25%[ai]
19% 43% 38%[aj]
Zogby Analytics Jan 18–20 410 ± 4.8% 27% 8% 1% 6% 6% 18% 9% 5%[ak] 21%
25% 5% 3% 5% 17% 4% 12% 5% 5%[al] 20%
Morning Consult Jan 14–20 14,250 ± 1.0% 30% 4% 3% 6% 2% 8% 23% 11% 9%[am]
Harvard-Harris Jan 15–16 479 23% 5% 3% 7% 8% 21% 4% 8%[an] 15%
488 24% 5% 2% 10% 4% 9% 13% 5% 6%[ao] 17%
Morning Consult Jan 11–14 674 ± 4.0% 32% 1% 2% 6% 1% 8% 15% 9% 9%[ap] 18%
Morning Consult Jan 7–13 4,749 ± 2.0% 31% 4% 3% 7% 2% 8% 23% 11% 8%[aq]
Morning Consult Jan 4–6 699 ± 4.0% 27% 1% 3% 12% 3% 2% 7% 16% 4% 7%[ar] 15%

October through December 2018

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Hillary
Clinton
Kamala
Harris
Michelle
Obama
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Dec 31 Warren announces her exploratory committee (candidacy on Feb 9, 2019)
Change Research Dec 13–17 2,968 21% 2% 4% 5% 8% 21% 16% 7% 18%[as]
Morning Consult Dec 14–16 706 ± 4.0% 25% 2% 3% 13% 3% 8% 15% 3% 13%[at] 15%
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 10–14 468 17% 2% 9% 3% 16% 11% 18% 4% 10%[au] 11%
CNN/SSRS Dec 6–9 463 ± 5.6% 30% 3% 5% 4% 9% 14% 3% 15%[av] 9%
Emerson College Dec 6–9 320 26% 9% 15% 22% 7% 22%[aw]
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–28 449 28% 4% 4% 3% 7% 21% 5% 4%[ax] 18%
459 25% 2% 3% 13% 2% 9% 15% 4% 5%[ay] 15%
Morning Consult Nov 7–9 733 ± 4.0% 26% 2% 3% 4% 8% 19% 5% 12%[az] 21%
HarrisX Nov 5–6 680 ± 3.8% 25% 4% 3% 12% 4% 18% 4% 30%
Change Research Oct 24–26 23% 5% 6% 10% 10% 18% 9% 8%[ba]
CNN/SSRS Oct 4–7 464 ± 5.5% 33% 4% 5% 9% 4% 13% 8% 16%[bb] 6%

Before October 2018

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Cory
Booker
Hillary
Clinton
Andrew
Cuomo
Kirsten
Gillibrand
Kamala
Harris
Michelle
Obama
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Oprah
Winfrey
Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics Aug 6–8 576 ± 4.1% 27% 4% 3% 2% 5% 16% 7% 7%[bc] 31%
GQR Research Jul 19–26 443 30% 8% 5% 28% 13% 8%[bd] 9%
Harvard-Harris Jun 24–25 533 32% 6% 18% 1% 1% 2% 16% 10% 16%[be]
Zogby Analytics Jun 4–6 495 ± 4.4% 21% 4% 4% 1% 5% 19% 6% 10% 2%[bf] 29%
Saint Leo University May 25–31 19% 2% 4% 2% 4% 9% 4% 15% 15%[bg] 21%
Zogby Analytics May 10–12 533 ± 4.2% 26% 3% 2% 1% 4% 18% 8% 14% 5%[bh] 22%
Civis Analytics Jan 2018 29% 27% 17%
Harvard-Harris Jan 13–16 711 27% 4% 13% 2% 1% 4% 16% 10% 13% 10%
Morning Consult Jan 11–16 689 ± 4.0% 54% 31% 15%
23% 44% 34%
46% 37% 17%
35% 39% 26%
USC Dornsife/LAT Dec 15 – Jan 15 1,576 ± 3.0% 28% 3% 19% 2% 5% 22% 11% 5%[bi]
RABA Research Jan 10–11 345 ± 5.0% 26% 21% 18% 20% 15%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jan 10–11 22% 3% 4% 7% 17% 16% 16% 9%[bj]
Emerson College Jan 8–11 216 27% 3% 3% 2% 23% 9% 15%[bk] 19%
GQR Research Jan 6–11 442 26% 6% 29% 14% 8% 12%[bl] 6%
2018
Zogby Analytics Oct 19–25 682 ± 3.8% 19% 2% 1% 3% 22% 18% 8% 7%[bm] 20%
Zogby Analytics Sep 7–9 356 ± 5.2% 17% 3% 3% 6% 28% 12% 9%[bn] 23%
Gravis Marketing Jul 21–31 21% 4% 1% 2% 6% 8%[bo] 43%
2017
Public Policy Polling Dec 6–7 400 ± 4.9% 31% 4% 2% 3% 24% 16% 7%[bp] 14%
2016

Notes

Additional candidates
  1. ^ Pete Buttigieg and Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Michael Avenatti, Bloomberg, Julian Castro, Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, and Andrew Yang with 1%; others with 0%
  2. ^ Clinton with 11%; Buttigieg and Yang with 2%; Castro with 1%; Avenatti, Bloomberg, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 0%
  3. ^ Buttigieg with 4%; Castro and Hickenlooper with 1%; John Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Marianne Williamson, and Yang with 0%; others with 1%
  4. ^ Clinton with 8%; Buttigieg with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Castro, Andrew Cuomo, Bill de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee, Terry McAuliffe, and Yang with 0%
  5. ^ Buttigieg with 2%; Steve Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; McAuliffe with 0%; others with 3%
  6. ^ Gillibrand with 2%; Buttigieg, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Michael Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, McAuliffe, and Eric Swalwell with <1%; Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 1%
  7. ^ Buttigieg with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%; others with 5%
  8. ^ John Kerry with 4%; Buttigieg, Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and McAuliffe with <1%; Bullock with 0%; others with 2%
  9. ^ Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock and McAuliffe with 0%; others with 3%
  10. ^ Delaney with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Buttigieg and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
  11. ^ Buttigieg and Inslee with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, Seth Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
  12. ^ Castro, Inslee, and Yang with 2%; Buttigieg, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%
  13. ^ Delaney with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Buttigieg, Gabbard, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  14. ^ Bullock, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 3%
  15. ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Buttigieg, Gabbard, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
  16. ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Sherrod Brown, Castro, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Buttigieg, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Eric Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, and Williamson with <1%; Bullock and Delaney with 0%; others with <1%
  17. ^ Bloomberg and Brown with 2%; Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Buttigieg, Gabbard, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, and Williamson with <1%; Bullock and Delaney with 0%; others with <1%
  18. ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Buttigieg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Holder with 1%; Delaney, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 0%; others with 3%
  19. ^ Brown, Bullock, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and McAuliffe with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
  20. ^ Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Buttigieg, Castro, and Gillibrand with 0%; others with 1%
  21. ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard and Gillibrand with 1%; Avenatti with 0%; others with 1%
  22. ^ Avenatti, Castro, Gabbard, and Gillibrand with 0%; others with 1%
  23. ^ Brown with 1%; others with 4%
  24. ^ Brown, Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and McAuliffe with 1%; Buttigieg, Delaney, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
  25. ^ Brown with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Gillibrand with 1%; Buttigieg and Delaney with 0%; others with 6%
  26. ^ Stacey Abrams with 5%; Gillibrand with 3%; Brown with 1%; Castro with <1%
  27. ^ Winfrey with 5%; Brown, Castro, Cuomo, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Deval Patrick, and Mark Zuckerberg with 1%; Buttigieg, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Holder, Inslee, Tim Kaine, McAuliffe, and Yang with 0%
  28. ^ Brown with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Holder with 1%; Buttigieg, Delaney, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 0%; others with 3%
  29. ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and McAuliffe with 1%; Buttigieg, Delaney, and Inslee with 0%
  30. ^ Brown with 2%; Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Kerry with 1%; Bullock, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Eric Garcetti, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, and Gavin Newsom with 0%; others with 2%
  31. ^ Brown, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Inslee, and McAuliffe with <1%; Buttigieg with 0%; others with 1%
  32. ^ Brown, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and Kerry with 1%; Buttigieg, Delaney, Gabbard, Garcetti, Inslee, McAuliffe, and Howard Schultz with 0%; others with 3%
  33. ^ Castro and Gillibrand with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Hickenlooper, Holder, and McAuliffe with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%
  34. ^ Castro and Gillibrand with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Kerry with 1%; Delaney, Garcetti, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, and Schultz with 0%; others with 2%
  35. ^ Castro with 8%; Brown with 4%; Delaney and Gabbard with 2%; Gillibrand and Richard Ojeda with 1%; others with 6%
  36. ^ Castro with 12%; Gillibrand with 9%; Delaney with 8%; Ojeda with 7%; Gabbard with 3%
  37. ^ Brown and Gillibrand with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and McAuliffe with 0%
  38. ^ Brown with 2%; Castro, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Gabbard and McAuliffe with 0%
  39. ^ Castro and Gillibrand with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Hickenlooper, Holder, and McAuliffe with 1%; Delaney and Inslee with 0%
  40. ^ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro with 1%; Avenatti with 0%; others with 3%
  41. ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard and Gillibrand with 1%; Avenatti with 0%; others with 2%
  42. ^ Brown, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and Kerry with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Garcetti, Inslee, McAuliffe, and Schultz with 0%; others with 3%
  43. ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, and McAuliffe with 1%; Delaney and Inslee with 0%
  44. ^ Kerry with 2%; Brown, Gillibrand, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Garcetti, Hickenlooper, Holder, McAuliffe, and Schultz with 0%; others with 2%
  45. ^ Joe Kennedy III with 5%; Klobuchar with 3%; Brown and Castro with 2%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, Holder, Kerry, Tom Steyer, and Swalwell with 1%; Delaney, McAuliffe, and Schultz with 0%
  46. ^ Kerry with 2%; Brown, Castro, Cuomo, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Klobuchar, and Newsom with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Schultz with 0%; others with 3%
  47. ^ Winfrey with 3%; Brown with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Klobuchar, and Patrick with 1%; de Blasio, Kaine, Schultz, and Zuckerberg with 0%
  48. ^ Kerry with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%; Castro, Garcetti, and Hickenlooper with <1%; Delaney and Steyer with 0%; others with 2%
  49. ^ Brown with 7%; others with 15%
  50. ^ Avenatti with 2%; others with 2%
  51. ^ Avenatti with 1%; others with 4%
  52. ^ Brown, Bullock, Castro, Cuomo, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, Newsom, and Schultz with 1%; Avenatti, Delaney, Holder, and Patrick with 0%; others with 3%
  53. ^ Kennedy with 8%
  54. ^ Kerry with 5%; Holder with 3%; Garcetti with 2%; Avenatti, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Patrick with 1%; Bullock and Delaney with <1%; others with 2%
  55. ^ Brown and Holder with 2%; Delaney, McAuliffe, and Patrick with 1%
  56. ^ "A governor, like Terry McAuliffe of Virginia, Steve Bullock of Montana or John Hickenlooper of Colorado" and Schultz with 2%; Steyer and Mitch Landrieu with 1%; others with 2%
  57. ^ Bloomberg with 3%; others with 12%
  58. ^ Holder and McAuliffe with 1%; Brown and Patrick with 0%
  59. ^ Holder with 6%; Bullock and Landrieu with 3%; Brown and Chris Murphy with 1%; McAuliffe and Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
  60. ^ Brown, Holder, and Patrick with 1%; McAuliffe with 0%
  61. ^ Klobuchar with 1%; others with 4%
  62. ^ Steyer with 1%; others with 8%
  63. ^ Jason Kander with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; others with 9%
  64. ^ "A woman senator like Kamala Harris or Kirsten Gillibrand" with 5%; "Moderate Governors John Hickenlooper or Terry McAuliffe" and "A cultural figure like Tom Hanks or Dwayne 'the Rock' Johnson" with 2%; "A businessman like Tom Steyer or Howard Schultz", "A young lawmaker like Chris Murphy or Julian Castro", and "A mayor of a major city like Bill DeBlasio or Antonio Villaraigosa" with 1%; others with 0%
  65. ^ Zuckerberg with 4%; McAuliffe with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%
  66. ^ Zuckerberg with 7%; Klobuchar and McAuliffe with 1%
  67. ^ Mark Cuban with 7%; Klobuchar with 1%
  68. ^ Al Franken with 3%; Brown with 2%; Castro with 0%

References

  1. ^ "DNC Announces Details For The First Two Presidential Primary Debates". Democratic National Committee. February 14, 2019. Retrieved March 9, 2019.

See also

External links

This page was last edited on 29 March 2019, at 12:42
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