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2016 United States presidential election in South Carolina

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States presidential election in South Carolina

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout67.86%[1] Decrease
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,155,389 855,373
Percentage 54.94% 40.67%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Out of 3.12 million registered voters, 2.10 million voted, a turnout of 67.86%.[1] Trump continued the Republican tradition in South Carolina, carrying the state with 54.9% of the vote. Clinton received 40.7% of the vote, underperforming Barack Obama's 2012 performance by about 4%.[2] Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Charleston County since Dwight Eisenhower in 1956.

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Transcription

Primary elections

On February 20 and 27, 2016, in the presidential primaries, South Carolina voters expressed their preferences for the Republican and Democratic parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party could only vote in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated could choose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

South Carolina Democratic primary, 2016

← 2012 February 27, 2016 (2016-02-27) 2020 →
 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 39 14
Popular vote 272,379 96,498
Percentage 73.44% 26.02%

South Carolina results by county
  Hillary Clinton

The 59 delegates for the Democratic National Convention from South Carolina are allocated in this way. There are 53 pledged delegates and 6 unpledged delegates. For the pledged delegates, each district gets 5 delegates that are allocated proportionally. There are then 18 at-large delegates awarded proportionally.[3]

South Carolina Democratic primary, February 27, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 272,379 73.44% 39 5 44
Bernie Sanders 96,498 26.02% 14 0 14
Willie Wilson 1,314 0.35%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 713 0.19%
Uncommitted 0 1 1
Total votes 370,904 100% 53 6 59
Sources: The Green Papers, South Carolina State Election Commission

Republican primary

South Carolina Republican primary, 2016

← 2012 February 20, 2016 (2016-02-20) 2020 →
 
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count 50 0 0
Popular vote 240,882 166,565 165,417
Percentage 32.51% 22.48% 22.33%

 
Candidate Jeb Bush John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Florida Ohio Virginia
Delegate count 0 0 0
Popular vote 58,056 56,410 53,551
Percentage 7.84% 7.61% 7.23%

South Carolina results by county
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

Delegates from South Carolina to the Republican National Convention are awarded in this way. 29 delegates are awarded to the candidate that wins the plurality of the vote in the South Carolina primary. The remaining 21 delegates are allocated by giving the winner of each of the seven congressional districts 3 delegates.[4]

South Carolina Republican primary, February 20, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 240,882 32.51% 50 0 50
Marco Rubio 166,565 22.48% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz 165,417 22.33% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush 58,056 7.84% 0 0 0
John Kasich 56,410 7.61% 0 0 0
Ben Carson 53,551 7.23% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 740,881 100.00% 50 0 50
Source: The Green Papers

Green state convention

On April 30, the Green Party of South Carolina held its state convention. The public was welcome, but only members and delegates were eligible to vote.[5]

On April 30, it was announced that William Kreml had won the primary.

South Carolina Green Party presidential convention, April 17, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
William Kreml - - 5
Jill Stein - - 3
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Total - 100.00% 8

General election

Voting History

South Carolina has generally been reckoned to be a solidly red state ever since it voted for Barry Goldwater in 1964. From 1964 on, the Republican ticket has carried South Carolina in every election apart from 1976, when the state voted for Jimmy Carter, from neighboring Georgia. The state even spurned Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in both his elections, in each of which he carried several other Southern states. The state has not had a Democratic Senator since Ernest Hollings retired in 2005, and it has had a Republican majority in its Congressional delegation since the so-called "Republican Revolution" of 1994. Four years prior to the 2016 election, in 2012, Republican Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by 10.5%.

However, in 2016 some commentators suggested that South Carolina might become a battleground state due to polling suggesting Republican dissatisfaction with Trump, as well as the growing effects of in-migration from other states (as in formerly solidly red Virginia and North Carolina).[6] A poll released on August 10 by Public Policy Polling had Trump leading Clinton by a margin of only 2 points,[6] and an internal poll commissioned for the South Carolina Democratic Party had the race tied.[7] This led Larry Sabato's political prediction website Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the rating of the South Carolina contest from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.[8] In the end, however, Trump carried the state by a comfortable 14.3% margin.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[9] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[10] Safe R November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[11] Likely R November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[12] Lean R November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[13] Safe R November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[15] Lean R November 8, 2016
NBC[16] Lean R November 7, 2016

^Highest rating given

Polling

Republican Donald Trump won every pre-election poll, but by varying margins. The last pre-election poll showed Donald Trump leading Clinton 47% to 36%. The average of all polls showed Trump leading 46.2% to 38%.[17]

Results

United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2016
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 1,155,389 54.94% 9
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 855,373 40.67% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Bill Weld 49,204 2.34% 0
Independence Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 21,016 1.00% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 13,034 0.62% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 5,765 0.27% 0
American (South Carolina)[18] Peter Skewes Michael Lacy 3,246 0.15% 0
Totals 2,103,027 100.00% 9

By congressional district

Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts.

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 53% 41% Mark Sanford
2nd 57% 38% Joe Wilson
3rd 67% 29% Jeff Duncan
4th 60% 34% Trey Gowdy
5th 57% 39% Mick Mulvaney
6th 30% 67% Jim Clyburn
7th 58% 39% Tom Rice

By county

County Donald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Abbeville 6,763 62.77% 3,741 34.72% 271 2.51% 3,022 28.05% 10,775
Aiken 46,025 61.49% 25,455 34.01% 3,371 4.50% 20,570 27.48% 74,851
Allendale 789 21.97% 2,735 76.14% 68 1.89% -1,946 -54.17% 3,592
Anderson 56,232 69.87% 21,097 26.21% 3,154 3.92% 35,135 43.66% 80,483
Bamberg 2,204 35.47% 3,898 62.73% 112 1.80% -1,694 -27.76% 6,214
Barnwell 4,889 51.54% 4,400 46.39% 196 2.07% 489 5.15% 9,485
Beaufort 42,922 54.66% 32,138 40.93% 3,464 4.41% 10,784 13.73% 78,524
Berkeley 44,587 56.07% 30,705 38.61% 4,225 5.32% 13,882 17.46% 79,517
Calhoun 3,787 50.17% 3,573 47.33% 189 2.50% 214 2.84% 7,549
Charleston 75,443 42.78% 89,299 50.64% 11,603 6.58% -13,856 -7.86% 176,345
Cherokee 15,167 69.70% 6,092 28.00% 500 2.30% 9,075 41.70% 21,759
Chester 7,265 51.19% 6,579 46.36% 348 2.45% 686 4.83% 14,192
Chesterfield 9,312 56.16% 6,858 41.36% 411 2.48% 2,454 14.80% 16,581
Clarendon 7,386 47.98% 7,732 50.22% 277 1.80% -346 -2.24% 15,395
Colleton 9,091 52.70% 7,627 44.21% 533 3.09% 1,464 8.49% 17,251
Darlington 14,989 50.51% 13,888 46.80% 797 2.69% 1,101 3.71% 29,674
Dillon 5,637 48.19% 5,834 49.87% 227 1.94% -197 -1.68% 11,698
Dorchester 34,987 55.92% 24,055 38.45% 3,525 5.63% 10,932 17.47% 62,567
Edgefield 6,842 58.76% 4,491 38.57% 311 2.67% 2,351 20.19% 11,644
Fairfield 4,027 35.74% 6,945 61.64% 295 2.62% -2,918 -25.90% 11,267
Florence 29,573 51.05% 26,710 46.11% 1,648 2.84% 2,863 4.94% 57,931
Georgetown 17,389 54.93% 13,310 42.04% 958 3.03% 4,079 12.89% 31,657
Greenville 127,832 59.41% 74,483 34.62% 12,850 5.97% 53,349 24.79% 215,165
Greenwood 16,961 58.97% 10,711 37.24% 1,091 3.69% 6,250 22.63% 28,763
Hampton 3,488 39.61% 5,170 58.71% 148 1.68% -1,682 -19.10% 8,806
Horry 89,288 67.17% 39,410 29.65% 4,222 3.18% 49,878 37.52% 132,920
Jasper 5,187 45.39% 5,956 52.12% 284 2.49% -769 -6.73% 11,427
Kershaw 17,542 60.50% 10,330 35.63% 1,123 3.87% 7,212 24.87% 28,995
Lancaster 23,719 60.91% 13,812 35.47% 1,407 3.62% 9,907 25.44% 38,938
Laurens 16,816 63.30% 8,889 33.46% 861 3.24% 7,927 29.84% 26,566
Lee 2,803 34.37% 5,199 63.74% 154 1.89% -2,396 -29.37% 8,156
Lexington 80,026 65.55% 35,230 28.86% 6,837 5.59% 44,796 36.69% 122,093
Marion 5,444 38.13% 8,569 60.02% 263 1.85% -3,125 -21.88% 14,276
Marlboro 4,267 41.07% 5,954 57.31% 168 1.62% -1,687 -16.24% 10,389
McCormick 2,652 50.84% 2,479 47.53% 85 1.63% 173 3.31% 5,216
Newberry 10,017 59.60% 6,217 36.99% 573 3.41% 3,800 22.61% 16,807
Oconee 24,178 71.88% 7,998 23.78% 1,459 4.34% 16,180 48.10% 33,635
Orangeburg 11,931 30.66% 26,318 67.64% 661 1.70% -14,387 -36.98% 38,910
Pickens 36,236 73.88% 10,354 21.11% 2,459 5.01% 25,882 52.77% 49,049
Richland 52,469 31.10% 108,000 64.01% 8,253 4.89% -55,531 -32.91% 168,722
Saluda 5,526 64.53% 2,813 32.85% 225 2.62% 2,713 31.68% 8,564
Spartanburg 76,277 62.99% 39,997 33.03% 4,816 3.98% 36,280 29.96% 121,090
Sumter 18,745 42.52% 24,047 54.55% 1,294 2.93% -5,302 -12.03% 44,086
Union 7,061 58.39% 4,729 39.11% 302 2.50% 2,332 19.28% 12,092
Williamsburg 4,864 32.31% 9,953 66.12% 237 1.57% -5,089 -33.81% 15,054
York 66,754 58.37% 41,593 36.37% 1,533 1.53% 25,161 22.00% 114,357
Totals 1,155,389 54.94% 855,373 40.67% 92,265 4.39% 300,016 14.27% 2,103,027
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Electors

Technically the voters of South Carolina cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. South Carolina is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 19, 2016, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged for Trump/Pence.

  • Glenn McCall
  • Matt Moore
  • Terry Hardesty
  • Jim Ulmer
  • Brenda Bedenbaugh
  • Bill Conley
  • Shery Smith
  • Moye Graham
  • Jerry Rovner[19]

References

  1. ^ a b "South Carolina Voter Registration Demographics". scvotes.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2016. Retrieved June 13, 2017.
  2. ^ "South Carolina Results". The New York Times. August 2017. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
  3. ^ "South Carolina Democratic Delegation 2016". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 22, 2017.
  4. ^ Carrejo, Cate. "Is The South Carolina Primary Winner Take All? There's A Lot At Stake In The Palmetto State". Retrieved February 22, 2017.
  5. ^ "2016 South Carolina Green Party state convention". South Carolina Green Party. March 10, 2016. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
  6. ^ a b "Clinton/Trump Race Tight in South Carolina". Public Policy Polling. Public Policy Polling. Archived from the original on August 15, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  7. ^ Master, Cyra (August 23, 2016). "Poll: Clinton tied with Trump in SC". The Hill. Capitol Hill Publishing Corp. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  8. ^ Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  9. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  10. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  11. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  12. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  13. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  14. ^ Sabato, Larry (November 7, 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  15. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  16. ^ Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  17. ^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - South Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton".
  18. ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  19. ^ "Press Release: SCGOP selects Electoral College Members". 23 August 2016. Archived from the original on 11 November 2016. Retrieved 13 September 2017.

External links

This page was last edited on 25 January 2024, at 08:29
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