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2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2012

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
 
Robert Menendez, official Senate photo (cropped).jpg
Joe Kyrillos (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bob Menendez Joe Kyrillos
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,987,680 1,329,534
Percentage 58.9% 39.4%

2012 NJ Senate Map.svg
County results
Menendez:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Kyrillos:      50–60%

U.S. Senator before election

Bob Menendez
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez won re-election to a second full term.

This was the first time since 1976 that a candidate for this seat received over 55% of the vote.

Background

Bob Menendez became the first Hispanic-American U.S. senator to represent New Jersey in January 2006 when former U.S. senator Jon Corzine appointed him to the seat after having resigned to become governor of New Jersey, following his election in November 2005.[1] In November 2006, after a tough and painful election, Menendez defeated Republican state senator Thomas Kean, Jr. with 53.3% of the vote.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Menendez
Someone
else
Unsure
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 5–11, 2012 404 ±5.0% 30% 37% 33%

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Menendez (incumbent) 235,321 100
Total votes 235,321 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Michael
Doherty
Kim
Guadagno
Woody
Johnson
Tom
Kean Jr.
Joseph
Kyrillos
Anna
Little
Tim
Smith
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 300 ±5.7% 7% 10% 9% 36% 3% 4% 2% 30%

Results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joseph Kyrillos 161,146 77.1
Republican David Brown 18,671 8.9
Republican Joseph Rullo 16,690 8.0
Republican Bader Qarmout 12,637 6.0
Total votes 209,144 100%

General election

Candidates

Debates

Three debates were scheduled. The first debate took place on October 4, 2012, at Montclair State University. Menendez and Kyrillos participated. The second took place on October 10 at NJ 101.5 studios, Trenton NJ[22] The third was to take place on October 17 at Mercer County Community College[23]

External links

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Bob Menendez (D) $10,243,864 $2,325,178 $10,345,365 $0
Joseph Kyrillos (R) $3,106,536 $1,132,232 $1,974,302 $50,236
Kenneth R. Kaplan (L) $800 $0 $800 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[24][25][26]

Top contributors

[27]

Bob Menendez Contribution Joseph Kyrillos Contribution
Lowenstein Sandler $116,160 McElroy, Deutsch, Mulvaney & Carpenter, LLP $133,098
Greenberg Traurig $78,250 Allied Management Inc $22,000
NORPAC $70,550 Connell Foley $18,250
Prudential Financial $66,800 Maser Consulting $17,250
DeCotiis, FitzPatrick & Cole $48,150 B&L Tire $15,000
Kindred Healthcare $48,000 Berkeley College $15,000
Verizon Communications $47,050 CJ Hesse $15,000
Medco Health Solutions $41,249 GlobalTel $15,000
DLA Piper $41,000 Langer Transport Corp $15,000
Dade Medical College $40,000 Fgi Finance $14,000

Top industries

[28]

Bob Menendez Contribution Joe Kyrillos Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $1,633,843 Lawyers/Law Firms $312,845
Real Estate $1,096,684 Retired $103,900
Lobbyists $578,182 Financial Institutions $98,200
Financial Institutions $532,651 Real Estate $98,150
Health Professionals $524,810 Health Professionals $62,100
Retired $411,525 Business Services $60,250
Construction Services $388,550 Construction Services $54,300
Pharmaceuticals/Health Products $353,250 Universities $51,250
Insurance $338,550 General Contractors $39,500
Leadership PACs $328,244 Misc Business $38,550

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Likely D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Likely D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[31] Safe D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[32] Likely D November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Joseph
Kyrillos (R)
Other Undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University January 3–9, 2011 802 ±3.5% 41% 29% 30%
Public Policy Polling July 15–18, 2011 480 ±4.5% 48% 29% 23%
Farleigh Dickinson University September 19–25, 2011 800 ±3.5% 49% 28% 22%
Farleigh Dickinson University January 2–8, 2012 800 ±3.5% 43% 31% 26%
Rutgers-Eagleton February 9–11, 2012 914 ±3.3% 44% 22% 1% 26%
Survey USA February 24–26, 2012 533 ±4.3% 46% 31% 23%
Quinnipiac February 21–27, 2012 1,396 ±2.6% 49% 34% 1% 14%
Farleigh Dickinson University March 5–11, 2012 396 ±2.6% 43% 33% 23%
Quinnipiac April 3–9, 2012 1,607 ±2.4% 44% 35% 1% 20%
Fairleigh Dickenson/PublicMind April 30 – May 6, 2012 400 ±5% 42% 33% 24%
Quinnipiac May 9–14, 2012 1,582 ±2.5% 45% 35% 2% 19%
Quinnipiac July 9–14, 2012 1,623 ±2.5% 47% 34% 1% 16%
Monmouth University July 18–22, 2012 535 LV ±2.5% 44% 35% 1% 19%
Monmouth University July 23–27, 2012 849 RV ±2.5% 45% 33% 1% 22%
Rutgers-Eagleton August 23–25, 2012 688 LV ±3.7% 47% 35% 8% 10%
Quinnipaic University August 27 – September 2, 2012 1,471 LV ±2.5% 50% 40% 10%
Quinnipaic University September 6–12, 2012 706 LV ±2.5% 50% 36% 16%
Philadelphia Inquirer September 9–12, 2012 600 LV ±2.5% 43% 32% 12%
Monmouth University September 19–23, 2012 613 LV ±2.5% 49% 34% 15%
Philadelphia Inquirer October 4–8, 2012 604 LV ±4% 49% 35% 15%
Quinnipiac October 10–14, 2012 1,319 LV ±2.7% 55% 37% 15%
Stockton October 12–18, 2012 811 LV ±3.5% 52% 30% 18%
SurveyUSA October 17–18, 2012 577 LV ±4.2% 53% 33% 5% 9%
Philadelphia Inquirer October 23–25, 2012 601 LV ±4% 50% 32% 18%

Results

Results of the November election by municipality  Menendez   Kyrillos
Results of the November election by municipality
  Menendez
  Kyrillos
United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2012[33]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Bob Menendez (incumbent) 1,987,680 58.87% +5.50%
Republican Joseph Kyrillos 1,329,534 39.37% -4.97%
Libertarian Kenneth R. Kaplan 16,803 0.50% -0.15%
Green Ken Wolski 15,801 0.47% N/A
Independent Gwen Diakos 9,359 0.28% N/A
Independent J. David Dranikoff 3,834 0.11% N/A
Independent Inder "Andy" Soni 3,593 0.11% N/A
Independent Robert "Turk" Turkavage 3,532 0.10% N/A
Socialist Greg Pason 2,249 0.07% -0.04%
Independent Eugene M. LaVergne 2,198 0.07% N/A
Independent Daryl Brooks 2,066 0.06% -0.17%
Total votes 3,376,649 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

See also

References

  1. ^ Chen, David W. (December 8, 2005). "Corzine Is Said to Have Picked a Replacement". The New York Times. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
  2. ^ Menendez for Senate 2012
  3. ^ a b [1]
  4. ^ a b Symons, Michael (April 10, 2012). "Menendez unopposed in Senate primary after rival rejected". Asbury Park Press. Retrieved April 15, 2012.
  5. ^ Friedman, Matt (January 19, 2012). "N.J. Sen. Joseph Kyrillos to seek U.S. Senate seat". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved January 19, 2012.
  6. ^ Jennings, Rob (February 15, 2012). "Local man launches bid for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Herald. Retrieved February 17, 2012.
  7. ^ Portnoy, Jenna (February 16, 2012). "Gov. Christie makes campaign appearance for N.J. Sen. Joe Kyrillos' U.S. Senate bid". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved February 20, 2012.
  8. ^ Pizarro, Max (September 21, 2011). "Linker ends his conservative bid for the U.S. Senate". PolitickerNJ. Retrieved October 23, 2011.
  9. ^ "Winners and Losers: Conventions Edition". Politicker NJ. March 18, 2012. Retrieved March 19, 2012.
  10. ^ Sen. Diane Allen on lessons from the campaign trail | NJ.com
  11. ^ Greenbaum, Mark (November 30, 2010). "Opinion: Will Christie wage battle to defeat Menendez in 2012?". The Record. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
  12. ^ Margolin, Josh (November 3, 2010). "Gov. Christie, U.S. Sen. Menendez expected to clash in long-awaited N.J. political battle". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
  13. ^ "Crowley Won't Run For Senate - Hotline On Call". Archived from the original on July 2, 2011. Retrieved June 30, 2011.
  14. ^ Pizarro, Max (February 10, 2012). "Doherty formally backs Kyrillos for Senate". PolitickerNJ. Retrieved February 17, 2012.
  15. ^ "Field is clearing for Kyrillos run for U.S. Senate". The Star-Ledger. December 18, 2011. Retrieved December 19, 2011.
  16. ^ D'Aprile, Shane (December 12, 2010). "New Jersey GOP lacking a name to face a more vulnerable Menendez". The Hill. Retrieved December 29, 2010.
  17. ^ Friedman, Matt (January 5, 2011). "N.J. Assemblyman Jay Webber resigns as Republican state chairman". The Star-Ledger. Retrieved January 5, 2011.
  18. ^ "NJ Greens Pick Ken Wolski as Candidate for U.S. Senate". Atlantic Highlands Herald. March 13, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2012.
  19. ^ Isherwood, Darryl R. (October 6, 2011). "Tinton Falls resident to challenge Menendez in primary". PolitickerNJ. Retrieved October 23, 2011.
  20. ^ "Ken Kaplan for U.S. Senate".
  21. ^ "Socialist Party MOC Nominates Pat Noble for Red Bank Board of Education". Socialist Party of Monmouth and Ocean Counties. February 16, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2012.[permanent dead link]
  22. ^ "NJ 101.5 to Host US Senate Debate". September 17, 2012.
  23. ^ "NJ U.S. Senate Debate Planned". October 5, 2012.
  24. ^ Menendez Campaign Finances[permanent dead link]
  25. ^ Kyrillos Campaign Finances[permanent dead link]
  26. ^ R. Kaplan[permanent dead link]
  27. ^ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=NJS1 Center for Responsive Politics
  28. ^ Contributors by Industry (opensecrets.org)
  29. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  30. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  31. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  32. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  33. ^ "Official List Candidates for US Senate - For GENERAL ELECTION 11/06/2012" (PDF). New Jersey Secretary of State. December 6, 2012. Retrieved November 7, 2013.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)
This page was last edited on 12 September 2019, at 21:56
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