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Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

Background

Active campaign
Exploratory committee
Midterm elections
Iowa caucuses
Super Tuesday
Republican convention
Bill Weld 2020 presidential campaignDonald Trump 2020 presidential campaign

National polling

Since November 2018

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jeb
Bush
Bob
Corker
Ted
Cruz
Jamie
Dimon
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Other Undecided
Emerson College Jun 21–24 407 ± 4.9% 83% 17%
McLaughlin & Associates Jun 18–24 417 79% 7% 13%
Suffolk University/USA Today Jun 11–15 326 90% 5% 5%
HarrisX May 23–25 785 ± 4.0% 73% 7% 5% 13%
Change Research May 18–21 1,248 ± 2.8% 2% 94% 4%
7% 87% 6%
3% 94% 3%
Emerson College May 10–13 384 ± 5.0% 86% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates May 7–11 330 1% 5% 77% 3% 14%
Zogby Analytics May 2–9 463 81% 4% 10% 6%
Quinnipiac University Apr 26–29 419 ± 5.6% 3% 84% 3% 1% 8%
HarrisX Apr 26–28 641 ± 4.0% 75% 7% 4% 11%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21 641 ± 4.0% 78% 7% 15%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 18–19 344 ± 5.9% 1% 1% 5% 4% 10% 60% 2% 16%
Apr 15 Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)
Emerson College Apr 11–14 324 ± 5.4% 85% 15%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 25–26 362 ± 5.9% 1% 0% 3% 5% 8% 63% 4% 16%
Morning Consult Mar 22–24 638 ± 4.0% 9% 73% 18%
13% 72% 16%
74% 8% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 20–24 418 5% 80% 1% 14%
Emerson College Mar 17–18 483 90% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 5–11 756 ± 4.1% 1% 0% 0% 3% 3% 9% 0% 69% 2% 13%
Monmouth University Mar 1–4 339 ± 5.3% 6% 75% 16%
74% 8% 18%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 26 – Mar 4 1,086 ± 3.4% 1% 0% 1% 5% 3% 9% 1% 66% 3% 13%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 19–25 1,138 ± 3.3% 0% 1% 1% 4% 4% 8% 1% 65% 3% 14%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 12–18 1,040 ± 3.5% 0% 1% 1% 3% 4% 8% 1% 69% 2% 12%
Emerson College Feb 14–16 366 ± 5.1% 85% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 6–10 413 6% 10% 72% 11%
Monmouth University Jan 25–27 335 ± 5.4% 21% 66% 9%
14% 73% 11%
Zogby Analytics Jan 18–20 307 ± 5.6% 2% 1% 6% 8% 9% 64% 4% 6%
HarrisX Jan 4–5 320 17% 70% 13%
2019
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 10–14 392 2% 5% 9% 72% 12%
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–28 819 3% 5% 2% 2% 6% 6% 5% 1% 44% 2% 16%
HarrisX Nov 16–17 320 17% 66% 17%
9% 70% 21%
13% 69% 18%
14% 67% 19%
19% 69% 12%
20% 65% 15%
8% 70% 21%

Before November 2018

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Ben
Sasse
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Harvard-Harris Jun 24–25 430 15% 85%
GQR Research Jan 6–11 374 4% 1% 4% 3% 11% 5% 5% 62% 0% 5%
2018
Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12 21% 64% 15%
16% 74% 10%
19% 70% 11%
22% 62% 15%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29 27% 57% 16%
14% 70% 16%
24% 66% 11%
28% 53% 19%
Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25 15% 68% 17%
18% 68% 13%
21% 59% 21%
Fabrizio Lee Aug 2017 1,500 ± 2.5% 1% 13% 10% 1% 54% 20%
Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21 22% 62% 17%
21% 68% 11%
24% 52% 23%
Opinion Savvy Aug 16–17 220 ± 6.6% 8% 17% 68% 7%
221 ± 6.6% 12% 15% 65% 8%
Marist College Aug 8–12 361 ± 5.2% 23% 64% 10%
33% 56% 8%

Against unnamed primary challenger

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Morning Consult Jun 29 – Jul 1 483 ± 4.0% 83% 15% 3%
Morning Consult Jun 29 – Jul 1 541 ± 4.0% 83% 15% 2%
Morning Consult Jun 21–24 698 ± 4.0% 87% 12% 1%
Morning Consult Jun 20–23 639 ± 4.0% 87% 10% 3%
Morning Consult Jun 14–16 693 ± 4.0% 86% 13% 2%
Morning Consult Jun 7–9 659 ± 4.0% 84% 13% 3%
Morning Consult May 31 – Jun 2 672 ± 4.0% 83% 14% 3%
Change Research May 18–21 1,248 ± 2.8% 95% 4%
Morning Consult May 10–12 695 ± 4.0% 84% 15% 3%
Morning Consult May 3–6 680 ± 4.0% 85% 13% 2%
Morning Consult Apr 28–29 692 ± 4.0% 84% 13% 2%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21 641 ± 4.0% 79% 18% 4%
Morning Consult Apr 12–14 367 83% 15% 2%
358 82% 15% 3%
Morning Consult Apr 1–7 11,986 ± 1.0% 76% 20%
Morning Consult Mar 25–31 11,549 ± 1.0% 78% 20%
Morning Consult Mar 18–24 12,090 ± 1.0% 77% 19%
Morning Consult Mar 11–17 11,542 ± 1.0% 78% 20%
Morning Consult Mar 4–10 13,682 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
Morning Consult Feb 25 – Mar 3 11,154 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
Morning Consult Feb 18–24 13,782 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
Morning Consult Feb 11–17 13,974 ± 1.0% 77% 21%
Morning Consult Feb 4–10 10,685 ± 1.0% 77% 20%
2019
Public Religion Research Institute Sep 17 – Oct 1 927 66% 33% 1%
Saint Leo University May 25–31 63% 24% 13%
USC Dornsife/LAT Dec 15 – Jan 15 1,530 ± 3.0% 75% 25%
Emerson College Jan 8–11 198 68% 18% 14%
2018
Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12 70% 24% 6%
Public Religion Research Institute Oct 18–30 846 59% 34% 7%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29 57% 36% 8%
Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25 61% 27% 12%
Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21 57% 29% 13%

Statewide polling

The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus.

Iowa caucus

The Iowa Republican caucus will take place on Monday, February 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michael
Bloomberg
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 21–24, 2019 207 ± 6.9% 8% 93%
90% 10%
Emerson College Jan 30 – Feb 2, 2019 280 10% 90%

New Hampshire primary

The New Hampshire Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, February 11, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Cotton
Ted
Cruz
Jeff
Flake
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Other Undecided
Monmouth University May 2–7, 2019 427 ± 4.8% 72% 12% 1% 2%
Suffolk University Apr 25–28, 2019 394 ± 4.9% 0% 9% 70% 8% 12%
72% 17% 10%
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 208 ± 6.8% 1% 10% 76% 5% 8%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 218 ± 6.6% 17% 68% 3% 12%
Emerson College Feb 21–22, 2019 328 ± 5.4% 82% 18%
Praecones Analytica Jan 16–21, 2019 330 24% 70% 6%
Suffolk University Apr 26–30, 2018 315 ± 5.5% 15% 72% 13%
23% 68% 8%
28% 63% 9%
23% 66% 11%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 202 ± 6.8% 19% 67% 0% 14%
American Research Group Mar 21–27, 2018 420 ± 5.0% 4% 34% 51% 11%
33% 49% 18%
42% 48% 9%
5% 7% 11% 36% 41%
American Research Group Aug 4–6, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%
52% 27% 32%
Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire Apr 10–18, 2019 208 ± 6.8% 63% 14% 23%
University of New Hampshire Feb 18–26, 2019 218 ± 6.6% 56% 15% 29%
University of New Hampshire Aug 2–19, 2018 199 ± 6.9% 56% 20% 24%
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–22, 2018 202 ± 6.8% 55% 19% 27%
University of New Hampshire Jan 28 – Feb 10, 2018 157 ± 7.8% 60% 18% 23%
University of New Hampshire Oct 3–15, 2017 191 ± 7.1% 47% 23% 30%

Nevada caucus

The date of the Nevada Republican caucus has not yet been set.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 28–30, 2019 263 ± 6.1% 92% 8%

South Carolina primary

The date of the South Carolina Republican primary has not yet been set.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Corker
Jeff
Flake
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 380 ± 5.1% 90% 10%
Change Research Feb 15–18, 2019 720 2% 91% 8%
2% 93% 5%
21% 67% 11%
3% 91% 6%
90% 3% 7%
Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 1,183 ± 2.9% 95% 5%

California primary

The California Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Change Research May 25–28, 2019 989 ± 3.1% 5% 86% 8%
3% 90% 7%
91% 3% 6%
Change Research Apr 6–9, 2019 853 5% 83% 12%
4% 83% 14%
Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Change Research May 25–28, 2019 989 ± 3.1% 94% 7%
Change Research Apr 6–9, 2019 853 88% 12%

Colorado primary

The Colorado Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[1]

Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies Jan 30–31 and Feb 4, 2019 622 ± 3.9% 78% 17% 5%

Massachusetts primary

The Massachusetts Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Jeff
Flake
John
Kasich
Mike
Pence
Mitt
Romney
Paul
Ryan
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 4–7, 2019 183 ± 7.2% 82% 18%
YouGov/UMass Amherst Nov 7–14, 2018 227 30% 1% 3% 7% 2% 40% 16%
225 33% 1% 7% 26% 8% 2% 22%

North Carolina primary

The North Carolina Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 336 88% 12%

Texas primary

The Texas Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 344 ± 5.3% 87% 13%

Utah primary

The Utah Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 3, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Mitt
Romney
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights Mar 15–27, 2019 275 ± 5.9% 37% 55% 8%

Michigan primary

The Michigan Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 7–10, 2019 306 ± 5.6% 89% 11%

Ohio primary

The Ohio Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University Feb 28 – Mar 9, 2018 261 ± 6.0% 27% 62%

Florida primary

The Florida Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, March 17, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Marco
Rubio
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Florida Atlantic University May 16–19, 2019 394 ± 4.9% 0% 2% 85% 5% 1% 7%
Against unnamed primary challenger
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 68% 18% 13%

Wisconsin primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, April 7, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 15–17, 2019 293 89% 11%

Delaware primary

The Delaware Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Kasich
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gravis Marketing Jul 24–29, 2018 288 ± 5.8% 9% 67% 25%

Maryland primary

The Maryland Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Larry
Hogan
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Gonzales Research Apr 29 – May 4, 2019 203 ± 7.0% 24% 68% 8%

Pennsylvania primary

The Pennsylvania Republican primary will take place on Tuesday, April 28, 2020.[1]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Undecided
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 311 ± 5.5% 90% 10%

See also

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Putnam, Josh (January 18, 2019). "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved April 1, 2019.

External links

This page was last edited on 15 July 2019, at 13:34
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