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2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout53.38%
 
Robert Menendez official Senate portrait (cropped).jpg
Robert J. Hugin.gif
Nominee Bob Menendez Bob Hugin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,711,654 1,357,355
Percentage 54.0% 42.8%

2018 NJ Senate Map.svg
County results

Menendez:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Hugin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Senator before election

Bob Menendez
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez won reelection to a third term.

The candidate filing deadline was April 2, 2018 for Democratic and Republican candidates, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018.[1] The deadline for independent candidates was June 5, 2018.[2]

Despite being rated as a tossup by some political pundits, including The Cook Political Report,[3] Menendez won reelection by an 11.2% margin.

Democratic primary

While he never lost support from any major New Jersey officials, after a mistrial was declared in Senator Menendez's corruption trial, party figures across New Jersey lined up with public endorsements of his reelection bid, including the "full support" of Governor Phil Murphy.[4] He formally declared his intention to run for reelection on March 28, 2018, alongside Governor Murphy and Senator Cory Booker.[5]

Candidates

Declared

  • Lisa McCormick, activist and candidate for Union County Clerk in 2010[6][7]
  • Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator[8]

Withdrew

Declined

Democrats who declined to run

Results

Results by county:   Menendez—70–80%   Menendez—60–70%   Menendez—50–60%   McCormick—50–60%   McCormick—60–70%
Results by county:
  Menendez—70–80%
  Menendez—60–70%
  Menendez—50–60%
  McCormick—50–60%
  McCormick—60–70%
Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bob Menendez (incumbent) 262,477 62.28%
Democratic Lisa McCormick 158,998 37.72%
Total votes 421,475 100%

Republican primary

Bob Hugin launched his primary campaign on February 13 in Springfield.[15] He began advertising on television two weeks later, attacking Menendez on the airwaves,[16] and was soon considered the presumptive nominee.[17] His opponent, Brian Goldberg, attempted to connect himself to President Donald Trump and his supporters by inserting the President's abbreviated slogan, "MAGA", into his ballot slogans and aligning himself with other pro-Trump, anti-establishment candidates.[18] Goldberg also attacked Hugin's running mates, urging Republicans to write in the deceased Charlton Heston in primary races where a Republican congressional candidate was running unopposed.[19] Ultimately, Hugin won overwhelmingly with a majority of votes in each of the state's 21 counties.[20]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Republicans who declined to run

Endorsements

Bob Hugin
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Governors
Lieutenant Governors
U.S. Representatives
NJ State Legislators
Sheriffs
Mayors
Others
Organizations
  • Latino Leadership Alliance of New Jersey[62]
Newspapers

Results

Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Hugin 168,052 75.13%
Republican Brian Goldberg 55,624 24.87%
Total votes 223,676 100%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Murray Sabrin
U.S. Representatives

Green Party

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Tricia Flanagan (New Day NJ), consultant[68]
  • Kevin Kimple (Make it Simple), small business owner[68]
  • Natalie Rivera (For the People), social services coordinator[68]
  • Hank Schroeder (Economic Growth), perennial candidate[68]

Withdrew

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Bob Hugin (R) $30,289,561 $27,714,323 $2,575,238
Bob Menendez (D) $11,631,183 $11,225,693 $1,832,385
Source: Federal Election Commission[70]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[71] Tossup October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[72] Likely D October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[73] Likely D September 27, 2018
CNN[74] Lean D October 1, 2018
RealClearPolitics[75] Lean D October 3, 2018
Fox News[76] Lean D October 30, 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Bob
Hugin (R)
Murray
Sabrin (L)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 1,006 51% 41%
Quinnipiac University October 29 – November 4, 2018 1,115 ± 4.0% 55% 40% 1% 4%
Stockton University October 25–31, 2018 598 ± 4.0% 51% 39% 3% 4% 1%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–29, 2018 814 ± 3.4% 54% 46%
Emerson College October 24–26, 2018 659 ± 4.0% 47% 42% 4% 7%
Rutgers-Eagleton October 12–19, 2018 496 LV ± 5.1% 51% 46% 1% 2%
896 RV ± 3.8% 48% 45% 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2018 873 ± 4.3% 51% 44% 0% 5%
Monmouth University October 11–15, 2018 527 ± 4.3% 49% 40% 1% 2%[77] 8%
National Research Inc. (R-Hugin) October 6–9, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 42% 40%
YouGov October 2–5, 2018 845 49% 39% 4% 8%
Quinnipiac University September 25 – October 2, 2018 1,058 ± 4.1% 53% 42% 0% 5%
Vox Populi Polling September 29 – October 1, 2018 794 ± 3.5% 52% 48%
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 26–30, 2018 508 LV ± 4.3% 43% 37% 1% 19%
746 RV ± 3.9% 37% 32% 1% 29%
Stockton University September 19–27, 2018 531 ± 4.3% 45% 43% 3% 5% 2%
Quinnipiac University August 15–20, 2018 908 ± 4.6% 43% 37% 2% 16%
Gravis Marketing (L-Sabrin) August 14–15, 2018 753 ± 3.6% 40% 30% 7% 22%
Gravis Marketing July 6–10, 2018 563 ± 4.1% 43% 41% 16%
Fairleigh Dickinson University May 16–21, 2018 856 ± 3.5% 28% 24% 1% 46%
Monmouth University April 6–10, 2018 632 ± 3.9% 53% 32% 7% 7%
Quinnipiac University March 8–12, 2018 1,052 ± 4.2% 49% 32% 1% 15%

Results

United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018[78]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Bob Menendez (incumbent) 1,711,654 54.01% -4.86%
Republican Bob Hugin 1,357,355 42.83% +3.46%
Green Madelyn Hoffman 25,150 0.79% +0.32%
Libertarian Murray Sabrin 21,212 0.67% +0.17%
Independent Natalie Rivera 19,897 0.63% N/A
Independent Tricia Flanagan 16,101 0.51% N/A
Independent Kevin Kimple 9,087 0.29% N/A
Independent Hank Schroeder 8,854 0.28% N/A
Total votes 3,169,310 100% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage: •Blue municipalities won by Menendez •Red municipalities won by Hugin
Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
•Blue municipalities won by Menendez
•Red municipalities won by Hugin
County Menendez % Menendez votes Hugin % Hugin votes Other % Other votes
Atlantic 47.4% 44,617 48.8% 45,954 3.7% 3,502
Bergen 54.7% 188,235 42.5% 146,406 2.8% 9,542
Burlington 52.8% 98,749 44.0% 82,240 3.3% 6,111
Camden 61.8% 113,137 34.6% 63,279 3.6% 6,600
Cape May 35.8% 14,555 61.0% 24,823 3.2% 1,299
Cumberland 48.3% 19,386 47.9% 19,244 3.8% 1,517
Essex 76.5% 194,068 21.1% 53,537 2.4% 6,028
Gloucester 46.4% 52,303 49.8% 56,090 3.8% 4,309
Hudson 76.3% 132,180 20.8% 36,087 2.8% 4,863
Hunterdon 39.3% 24,823 57.2% 36,116 3.5% 2,195
Mercer 63.7% 80,773 32.5% 41,225 3.8% 4,785
Middlesex 58.2% 148,806 38.6% 98,764 3.1% 8,051
Monmouth 43.0% 112,383 53.8% 140,628 3.2% 8,408
Morris 43.6% 93,763 53.4% 114,783 3.0% 6,492
Ocean 33.7% 75,597 63.3% 141,902 3.0% 6,723
Passaic 57.8% 86,242 39.1% 58,382 3.1% 4,700
Salem 38.0% 9,060 57.5% 13,687 4.5% 1,068
Somerset 51.7% 70,359 45.1% 61,373 3.3% 4,450
Sussex 33.2% 20,229 62.0% 37,720 4.8% 2,926
Union 64.2% 117,937 33.1% 60,758 2.7% 4,938
Warren 35.6% 14,452 60.0% 24,357 4.4% 1,794

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 10 September 2019, at 10:31
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