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Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Background

The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 states or territories.[1]

Each subsequent debate raised the polling threshold for qualification. For the second debate, candidates needed to poll above 3% in August or September in two national polls; otherwise, one national poll plus two state polls in two separate early primary states also qualify. The donor threshold was also raised for the second debate to 50,000 individuals.[2] For the third and fourth debates, the threshold was raised to above 4% in one national poll and one early primary state poll, as well as 70,000 unique donors.[3]

Individuals who have been included in statewide Republican primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Greg Abbott, Tucker Carlson, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Chris Sununu, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, and Glenn Youngkin.

Primary and caucus calendar

2024 Republican Party primaries and caucuses
Date[4] Delegates Primaries/caucuses
January 15 40 Iowa caucus
January 23 22 New Hampshire primary
February 6 - Nevada primary[a]
February 8 35 26
9
Nevada caucus
Virgin Islands caucus
February 24 50 South Carolina primary
February 27 55 Michigan primary
March 2 86 32
54
Idaho caucus
Missouri caucus
March 3 19 District of Columbia primary
March 4 29 North Dakota caucus
March 5
(Super Tuesday)
874 49
28
9
40
169
37
20
40
39
75
43
58
162
40
17
48
Alabama primary
Alaska primary
American Samoa caucus
Arkansas primary
California primary
Colorado primary
Maine primary
Massachusetts primary
Minnesota primary
North Carolina primary
Oklahoma primary
Tennessee primary
Texas primary
Utah primary
Vermont primary
Virginia primary
March 9 9 Guam caucus
March 10 32 9
23
Northern Marianas caucus
Puerto Rico primary
March 12 160 59
19
39
43
Georgia primary
Hawaii caucus
Mississippi primary
Washington primary
March 19 349 43
125
64
39
78
Arizona primary
Florida primary
Illinois primary
Kansas primary
Ohio primary
March 23 46 Louisiana primary
April 2 195 28
16
91
19
41
Connecticut primary
Delaware primary
New York primary
Rhode Island primary
Wisconsin primary
April 18–20 29 Wyoming caucus
April 23 67 Pennsylvania primary
May 7 58 Indiana primary
May 14 104 37
36
31
Maryland primary
Nebraska primary
West Virginia primary
May 21 77 46
31
Kentucky caucus
Oregon primary
June 4 131 31
49
22
29
Montana primary
New Jersey primary
New Mexico primary
South Dakota primary

Aggregate polling summary

270toWin
States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[b]
Margin
Iowa January 11 – 15, 2024 January 15, 2024 15.7% 18.5% 52.5% 13.3%[c] Trump +34.0
Massachusetts February 7–8, 2024 February 15, 2024 29.3% 63.0% 7.7% Trump +33.7
New Hampshire January 22–23, 2024 January 23, 2024 7.3% 35.7% 56.5% 0.5% Trump +20.8
South Carolina February 16–20, 2024 February 21, 2024 34.6% 61.6% 3.8% Trump +27.0
Wisconsin February 7, 2024 February 15, 2024 22.5% 71.5% 6.0% Trump +49.0
FiveThirtyEight
States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[d]
Margin
Arizona through February 4, 2024 February 15, 2024 21.0% 76.9% 2.1% Trump +55.9
California through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 18.9% 76.7% 4.4% Trump +57.8
Florida through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 14.1% 84.2% 1.7% Trump +70.1
Georgia through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 18.1% 79.0% 2.9% Trump +60.9
Iowa through January 14, 2024 January 15, 2024 18.7% 52.7% 28.6%[e] Trump +34.0
Massachusetts through March 3, 2024 March 4, 2024 29.3% 66.6% 4.1% Trump +37.3
Michigan through February 24, 2024 February 25, 2024 21.8% 78.7% Trump +56.9
New Hampshire through January 22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.3% 53.9% 9.8% Trump +17.6
North Carolina through February 4, 2024 February 15, 2024 22.1% 74.7% 4.2% Trump +52.6
Ohio through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 16.9% 81.9% 1.2% Trump +56.4
Pennsylvania through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 17.8% 78.5% 3.7% Trump +51.3
South Carolina through February 23, 2024 February 23, 2024 34.0% 61.6% 4.4% Trump +27.6
Tennessee through March 3, 2024 March 5, 2024 15.3% 84.4% 0.3% Trump +69.1
Texas through March 3, 2024 March 4, 2024 14.9% 79.4% 5.7% Trump +64.5
Virginia through March 3, 2024 March 4, 2024 17.4% 66.2% 16.4% Trump +48.8
Wisconsin through February 4, 2024 February 15, 2024 21.1% 70.9% 8.0% Trump +49.8
RealClearPolitics
States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[f]
Margin
Iowa January 5 – 14, 2024 January 15, 2024 15.7% 18.8% 52.5% 13.0%[g] Trump +33.7
Nevada September 29, 2023–January 8, 2024 January 19, 2024 10.5% 69.0% 20.5%[h] Trump +58.5
New Hampshire January 16–22, 2024 January 23, 2024 8.0% 36.5% 55.8% Trump +19.3

South Carolina

January 23, 2024 – February 10, 2024 February 15, 2024 30.5% 64.0% 5.5% Trump +33.5


Iowa caucus

The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024.

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[i]
Margin
270toWin January 11–15, 2024 January 15, 2024 15.7% 18.5% 0.8% 6.8% 52.5% 5.7%[j] Trump +34.0
FiveThirtyEight Through January 14, 2024 January 15, 2024 15.8% 18.7% 0.7% 6.4% 52.7% 5.7% Trump +34.0
RealClearPolling January 5–14, 2024 January 15, 2024 15.7% 18.8% 0.8% 6.8% 52.5% 5.4% Trump +33.7
Average 15.7% 18.7% 0.7% 6.7% 52.6% 5.6% Trump +33.9
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group Jan 12–14, 2024 1,092 (LV) ± 2.9% 19.3% 18.5% 0.7% 6.5% 52.1% 2.9%
Selzer & Co.[A] Jan 7–12, 2024 705 (LV) ± 3.7% 16% 20% 1% 8% 48% 3%[l] 5%
Insider Advantage January 11, 2024 850 (LV) ± 4.3% 17% 17% 0% 7% 51% 8%
Suffolk University Jan 6–10, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 13% 20% 0% 6% 54%
Civiqs Jan 5–10, 2024 433 (LV) ± 6.4% 4% 14% 14% 0% 8% 55% 2% 3%
InsiderAdvantage Dec 18–19, 2023 850 (LV) ± 4.36% 4% 15% 17% 0% 8% 50% 6%
Fox Business Dec 14–18, 2023 804 (LV) ± 3.5% 3% 18% 16% 0% 7% 52% 1% 2%
Emerson College Dec 15–17, 2023 420 (LV) ± 4.7% 4% 15% 17% 0% 8% 50% 6%
Iowa State University/Civiqs Dec 8–13, 2023 438 (LV) ± 6.0% 4% 17% 15% 1% 7% 54% 0%[m] 2%
Selzer & Co.[A] Dec 2–7, 2023 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 4% 19% 16% 1% 5% 51% 2%[n] 3%
Trafalgar Group Dec 1–4, 2023 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 2% 4% 22% 19% 1% 5% 45% 1%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 324 (LV) 1% 2% 18% 11% 0% 13% 5% 50%
Iowa State University/Civiqs Nov 10–15, 2023 432 (LV) ± 4.3% 1% 3% 18% 12% 0% 6% 2% 54% 0% 4%
Arc Insights[B] Nov 9–14, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 1% 4% 17% 17% <1% 5% 44% 2%[o] 9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[C] Nov 9–12, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 1% 5% 19% - 16% 0% - 4% 5% 43% 0% 7%
2% 5% 20% - 18% 0% - 5% - 44% 0% 7%
Trafalgar Group (R) Nov 3–5, 2023 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 4% 5% 18% 15% 0% 5% 9% 44% 0%[p] 1%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 324 (LV) 1% 2% 15% 7% 0% 3% 9% 6% 57%
Public Opinion Strategies[D] Oct 24–26, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 2% 20% 12% 1% 1% 4% 5% 46%
Selzer & Co.[A] Oct 22–26, 2023 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 3% 4% 16% 16% 1% 2%[q] 4% 7% 43% 2%[r] 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[C] Oct 17–19, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 3% 21% 0% 14% 0% 2% 4% 5% 42% 2%[s] 6%
Iowa State University/Civiqs Oct 6–10, 2023 425 (LV) ± 6.1% 0% 2% 17% 0% 11% 0% 1% 5% 4% 55% 2%[t] 1%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 316 (LV) 1% 5% 13% 6% 7% 9% 7% 53%
CBS News/YouGov Sep 15–24, 2023 458 (LV) ± 6.1% 0% 1% 21% 0% 8% 1% 6% 5% 6% 51% 0%[u]
Public Opinion Strategies[E] Sep 19–21, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 2% 21% 9% 0% 2% 5% 6% 45% 9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[F] Sep 17–19, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 5% 15% 13% <1% 2% 5% 5% 45% <1%[v] 7%
Trafalgar Group (R) Sep 14–18, 2023 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 4% 2% 16% 0% 8% 0% 4% 7% 7% 49% 1%[w] 2%
Fox Business Sep 14–18, 2023 813 (LV) ± 3% 2% 3% 15% <0.5% 11% <0.5% 3% 7% 7% 46% 3%[x] 2%
Emerson College Sep 7–9, 2023 357 (V) ± 5.1% 3% 14% 7% 3% 7% 8% 49% 6%
Civiqs Sep 2–7, 2023 434 (LV) ± 5.8% 2% 3% 14% 10% 0% 1% 9% 6% 51% 1%[y]
Public Opinion Strategies Sep 5–6, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 3% 22% 6% 1% 2% 6% 5% 45%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 341 (LV) 1% 4% 15% 6% 0% 6% 8% 7% 52% 0%[z] 1%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Aug 25–28, 2023 500 (LV) 2% 3% 18% <1% 10% 1% 2% 7% 7% 44% <2%[aa] 5%
Public Opinion Strategies August 24, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 1% 21% 11% 1% 2% 7% 7% 41%
Public Opinion Strategies Aug 19–21, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 3% 3% 14% 3% <1% 2% 10% 3% 42%
HarrisX[G] Aug 17–21, 2023 1,120 (LV) [ab] 2% 3% 11% 0% 4% 0% 3% 9% 8% 45% 3%[ac] 12%
[ad] 2% 4% 21% 1% 6% 1% 8% 18% 15% 4%[ae] 19%
Echelon Insights[H] Aug 15–17, 2023 800 (LV) ± 4.2% 2% 4% 17% 2% <1% 3% 8% 3% 33% 3%[af] 14%
Selzer & Co.[A] Aug 13–17, 2023 406 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 5% 19% 6% 6% 4% 9% 42% 1%[ag] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 14–16, 2023 1,126 (LV) ± 2.9% 3% 4% 16% 1% 5% 1% 4% 6% 13% 42% 3%[ah] 3%
New York Times/Siena College Jul 28 – August 1, 2023 432 (LV) ± 5.9% 1% <1% 20% <1% 4% <1% 3% 5% 9% 44% <2%[ai] 12%
39% 55% 4%
Manhattan Institute Jul 2023 625 (LV) 3% 4% 17% 0% 5% 1% 4% 6% 10% 42% 1%[aj] 7%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 350 (LV) 1% 2% 19% 4% 0% 4% 8% 5% 55% 2%
National Research[I] Jul 23–24, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 4% 15% 3% 0% 2% 5% 9% 42% 13%
Fox Business Jul 15–19, 2023 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 3% 3% 16% <1% 5% 1% 4% 6% 11% 46% 1%[ak] 4%
co/efficient[J] Jul 15–17, 2023 2,238 (LV) ± 2.6% 3% 16% 3% 3% 5% 10% 46% 10%
National Research[I] Jul 5–6, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 21% 2% 1% 3% 3% 7% 44% 14%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 317 (LV) 0% 1% 18% 2% 1% 7% 3% 3% 64% 0%[al] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates[J] Jun 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 19% 6% 9% 51% 15%
33% 60% 7%
National Research[I] Jun 5–7, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 24% 4% 0% 4% 1% 5% 39% 21%
Victory Insights Jun 3–6, 2023 450 (LV) ± 4.9% 3% 21% 5% 5% 2% 6% 44% 3%[am] 12%
32% 49% 19%
WPA Intelligence[K] May 30 – June 1, 2023 655 (RV) 29% 6% <1% 4% 4% 7% 39% 11%
43% 45% 12%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 300 (LV) 17% 5% 0% 8% 5% 1% 60% 4%[an] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates May 23–25, 2023 400 (LV) 0% 1% 24% 1% 4% 1% 5% 2% 7% 50% 3%[ao] 4%
36% 54% 11%
Emerson College May 19–22, 2023 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 0% 20% 5% 1% 5% 2% 3% 62% 2%[ap]
National Research[I] May 9–11, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 26% 6% 1% 4% 3% 1% 44% 11%
33% 45% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates[J] Apr 27–30, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 20% 1% 5% 0% 7% 2% 1% 54% 5%[aq] 5%
22% 57%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 294 (LV) 20% 4% 0% 7% 4% 0% 60% 3%[ar] 2%
Victory Insights Apr 10–13, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.8% 24% 14% 4% 3% 54% 1%[as]
59% 24% 5% 8% 4%[at]
41% 59%
Cygnal Apr 3–4, 2023 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 30% 5% 1% 2% 2% 1% 37% 3%[au] 19%
J.L. Partners Mar 25 – April 4, 2023 628 (LV) ± 3.9% 26% 5% 3% 1% 41% 10%[av] 14%
39% 47% 15%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 329 (LV) 27% 5% 7% 0% 57% 2%[aw] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 281 (LV) 25% 6% 9% 0% 0% 52% 8%[ax] 0%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 367 (LV) 27% 5% 9% 1% 51% 5%[ay] 2%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 227 (LV) 35% 2% 11% 1% 44% 8%[az] 0%
WPA Intelligence[L] Nov 11–13, 2022 508 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 37% 16%
WPA Intelligence[L] Aug 7–10, 2022 508 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 52% 12%
Neighborhood Research and Media[M] Jun 22 – July 1, 2022 546 (LV) ± 4.2% 17% 2% 2% 38% 4%[ba]
Victory Insights Mar 5–8, 2021 630 (RV) 4% 6% 8% 61% 13%[bb]
20% 10% 19% 33%[bc]

New Hampshire primary

The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024.

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[bd]
Margin
270 to Win January 22–23, 2024 January 23, 2024 35.7% 56.5% 7.8%[be] Trump +20.8
FiveThirtyEight Through January 22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.3% 53.9% 9.8% Trump +17.6
RealClearPolling January 16–22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.5% 55.8% 7.7% Trump +19.3
Average 36.2% 55.4% 8.4% Trump +19.2
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 21–22, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 60% 1% 1%
Insider Advantage January 21, 2024 850 (LV) ±4.32% 35% 62% 3%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 57% 2% 2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 19–20, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 36% 55% 0.6% 2.4%
American Research Group Jan 18–20, 2024 600 (LV) ±4.0% 6% 44% 46%
Emerson College/WHDH Jan 18–20, 2024 673 (RV) ±3.7% 8% 35% 50% 7%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 17–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 35% 52% 4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 16–17, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 36% 50% 1% 4%
Saint Anselm College January 16, 2024 1,398 (LV) ± 2.6% 6% 38% 52% 4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 15–16, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 34% 50% 11%
American Research Group Jan 12–15, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 40% 1% 4% 40% 2% 9%
Saint Anselm College Jan 8–9, 2024 1,194 (LV) ± 2.8% 9% 6% 31% 6% 45% 3%
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN Jan 4–8, 2024 919 (LV) ± 3.2% 12% 5% 32% 0% 8% 39% 0% 5%
American Research Group December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 5% 33% 1% 4% 37% 1% 9%
American Research Group Dec 14–20, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 6% 29% 1% 5% 33% 1% 12%
Saint Anselm College Dec 18–19, 2023 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 12% 6% 30% 0% 5% 44% 3%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov Dec 7–18, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.4% 6% 10% 22% 1% 4% 52% 0%[bf] 5%
CBS News/YouGov Dec 8–15, 2023 855 (LV) ± 4.1% 10% 11% 29% 1% 5% 44%
Trafalgar Group Dec 9–11, 2023 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% 14% 11% 18% 0% 10% 45% 1%
Americans for Prosperity Nov 19–21, 2023 800 (LV) 9% 25% 40% 26%
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN Nov 10–14, 2023 994 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 14% 9% 20% 0% 8% 42% 3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Nov 9–14, 2023 606 (LV) ± 4.5% 2% 11% 7% 18% 1% 8% 3% 46% 0% 4%
Emerson College/WHDH Nov 10–13, 2023 465 (RV) ± 3.3% 1.5% 8.8% 7.2% 17.6% 0.3% 4.6% 2.2% 48.5% 9.3%
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 1% 6% 10% 19% 1% 4% 4% 49%
CBS News/YouGov Sep 15–24, 2023 502 (LV) ± 5.4% 2% 8% 13% 11% 1% 2% 8% 5% 50% 0%[bg]
Saint Anselm College Sep 19–20, 2023 931 (LV) ± 3.2% 1% 10% 11% 15% 1% 1% 6% 3% 45% 0%[bh] 6%
Insider Advantage September 20, 2023 850 (LV) ± 3.36% 4% 10% 8% 14% 1% 1% 5% 5% 42% 1%[bi] 9%
University of New Hampshire Sep 14–18, 2023 1,006 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 11% 10% 12% 0% 2% 13% 6% 39% 1%[bj] 6%
NMB Research Aug 25–31, 2023 800 (LV) 1% 8% 10% 10% 1% 4% 8% 5% 47% <3%[bk] 4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Aug 25–28, 2023 500 (LV) 2% 5% 11% 9% <1% 1% 9% 5% 48% <3%[bl] 9%
Echelon Insights[N] Aug 15–17, 2023 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 14% 9% 3% 1% 3% 11% 7% 34% 3%[bm] 12%
Emerson College Aug 9–11, 2023 498 (RV) ± 4.9% 4% 9% 8% 4% 1% 3% 6% 49% 3%[bn] 13%
co/efficient Aug 5–7, 2023 862 (LV) ± 3.3% 4% 9% 9% 7% 1% 3% 5% 5% 43% 3%[bo] 13%
Manhattan Institute July 2023 603 (LV) 3% 11% 13% 7% 1% 4% 8% 7% 34% 3%[bp] 8%
National Research[O] Jul 25–26, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 8% 11% 3% 1% 2% 6% 8% 41% 15%
University of New Hampshire Jul 13–17, 2023 898 (LV) ± 3.3% 6% 6% 23% 5% 0% 1% 5% 8% 37% 1%[bq] 8%
National Research[O] Jul 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 7% 15% 5% 1% 1% 4% 6% 39% 17%
American Pulse Jul 5–11, 2023 895 ± 3.2% 3% 10% 11% 3% 5% 5% 7% 48% 8%[br]
Saint Anselm College Jun 21–23, 2023 494 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 6% 19% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 47% 0%[bs] 10%
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient Jun 14–16, 2023 904 (LV) ± 3.3% 9% 13% 3% 5% 3% 3% 47% 5% 10%
23% 49% 28%
National Research[O] Jun 12–14, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 12% 5% 2% 3% 3% 7% 44% 18%[bt]
National Research[O] May 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 18% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 39% 32%[bu]
University of New Hampshire Apr 13–17, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 22% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 42% 20%[bv] 4%
J.L Partners Apr 2–11, 2023 623 (LV) ± 3.9% 2% 18% 4% 2% 1% 1% 51% 19%[bw] 6%
33% 53% 13%
Saint Anselm College Mar 28–30, 2023 1,320 (RV) ± 4.0% 1% 29% 4% 1% 3% 1% 42% 19%[bx]
Emerson College Mar 3–5, 2023 384 (RV) ± 5.0% 17% 6% 4% 1% 58% 14%[by]
co/efficient Jan 25–26, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.35% 43% 42% 15%
26% 4% 3% 37% 13%[bz] 18%
University of New Hampshire Jan 19–23, 2023 349 (LV) ± 5.2% 42% 8% 1% 0% 30% 16%[ca] 3%
Neighborhood Research and Media Dec 5–13, 2022 434 (LV) ± 4.7% 33% 3% 32% 13% 19%
WPA Intelligence[L] Nov 11–13, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 37% 11%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Saint Anselm College Aug 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 3% 3% 1% 50% 4%[cb] 8%
WPA Intelligence[L] Aug 7–10, 2022 401 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Neighborhood Research and Media[P] Jul 5–8, 2022 475 (RV) ± 4.5% 22% 1% 1% 41% 3%[cc] 32%
University of New Hampshire Jun 16–20, 2022 318 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 6% 9% 0% 37% 6%[cd] 3%
University of New Hampshire Oct 14–18, 2021 441 (LV) ± 4.7% 18% 6% 4% 43% 14%[ce] 10%
University of New Hampshire Jul 15–19, 2021 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 19% 6% 5% 43% 13%[cf] 10%
Saint Anselm College[Q] May 7–10, 2021 635 (RV) ± 3.9% 20% 7% 4% 0% 52% 7%[cg] 10%
Victory Insights Mar 5–11, 2021 400 (RV) 5% 3% 6% 52% 14%[ch]
21% 7% 18% 29%[ci]
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Praecones Analytica Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 624 (RV) ± 4.0% 7% 6% 2% 57% 19%[cj] 10%
12% 25% 3% 46%[ck] 14%

Nevada primary and caucus

The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus was held on February 6 and February 8, 2024, respectively.

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[cl]
Margin
RealClearPolling September 29, 2023–January 8, 2024 January 21, 2024 69.0% 31.0%[cm] Trump +58.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates[R] Dec 11–13, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 5% 15% 2% 75% 0%[cn] 3%
SSRS/CNN Sep 29 – October 6, 2023 650 (LV) ± 5.3% 2% 13% 6% 3% 4% 2% 65% 4%[co] 2%
National Research[S] Jun 26–28, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 22% 3% 0% 2% 2% 2% 52% 14%[cp]
National Research[S] May 30 – June 1, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 21% 3% 0% 1% 2% 2% 53% 0%[cq] 17%
Vote TXT May 15–19, 2023 112 (RV) ± 4.8% 21% 5% 2% 3% 51% 7% 11%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Oct 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 34% 1% 7% 41% 7%[cr] 10%

South Carolina primary

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024.

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[cs]
Margin
270toWin February 16–20, 2024 February 21, 2024 34.6% 61.6% 3.8% Trump +27.0
FiveThirtyEight through February 23, 2024 February 24, 2024 34.0% 61.6% 4.4% Trump +27.6
RealClearPolling February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 February 23, 2024 37.5% 60.8% 1.7% Trump +23.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group Feb 21–23, 2024 1093 (LV) ± 2.9% 37.5% 58.9% 3.6%[ct]
Suffolk University/USA Today Feb 15–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 35% 63% 2%[cu]
Emerson College/The Hill Feb 15–17, 2024 1197 (LV) ± 2.8% 35.4% 57.9% 6.7%
Insider Advantage Feb 14–15, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 60% 1% 1%
Trafalgar Group Feb 13–15, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 2.9% 33.6% 63.3% 3%
The Citadel Feb 5–11, 2024 505 (LV) ± 5.7% 31% 64% 3% 2%
Winthrop University Feb 2–10, 2024 749 (LV) ± 3.6% 28.7% 64.9% 3.3% 2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Jan 26–30, 2024 815 (LV) ± 3.9% 32% 58% 2% 8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Jan 28–29, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 31% 66% 4%
The Tyson Group/The American Promise Jan 24–26, 2024 543 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 58% 11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Jan 17–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 68% 4%
Emerson College Jan 2–3, 2024 584 (LV) ± 4.0% 4.8% 6.6% 25.1% 0.2% 3.1% 54.4% 1.9%
Trafalgar Group Dec 6–8, 2023 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 5.8% 14.4% 22.8% 0.3% 6.1% 48.7% 1.9%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 856 (LV) 0% 2% 13% 19% 3% 7% 57%
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research Nov 4–12, 2023 780 (RV) ± 3.51% 0.3% 1.6% 12.5% 18.7% 0.4% 3.4% 10.6% 47.6% 2.1%[cv] 2.7%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 927 (LV) 0% 1% 11% 15% 0% 3% 6% 7% 58%
CNN/SSRS Oct 18–25, 2023 738 (LV) ± 4.8% 0% 2% 11% 22% 0%[cw] 2% 1% 6% 53% 0%[cx] 1%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 854 (LV) 1% 10% 13% 0% 3% 6% 7% 59% 0%[cy] 1%
Fox Business Sep 14–18, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 4% 10% 18% 1% 4% 5% 9% 46% 1%[cz] 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Sep 6–11, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.6% 0% 5% 9% 18% 2% 3% 3% 10% 46% 1%[da] 4%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 910 (LV) 1% 14% 11% 0% 4% 8% 7% 55% 0%[cy]
Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 17–19, 2023 1,054 (LV) ± 2.9% 0% 2% 14% 8% 0% 2% 6% 14% 48% 0%[db] 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 15% 12% 1% 3% 6% 7% 54% 0%[dc] 1%
Fox Business Jul 15–19, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 2% 13% 14% 1% 4% 3% 10% 48% [dd] 4%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 907 (LV) 0% 1% 20% 12% 0% 4% 3% 10% 48% 1%[de] 1%
National Public Affairs Jun 20–21, 2023 809 (LV) 1% 5% 18% 12% 2% 2% 2% 10% 41% 6%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 875 (LV) 19% 13% 0% 4% 3% 7% 52% 1%[df] 1%
National Research[T] May 24–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 18% 10% 1% 1% 1% 12% 43% 1%[dg] 13%
National Public Affairs May 15–17, 2023 590 (LV) ± 4.0% 23% 15% 3% 2% 2% 10% 38% 8%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 810 (LV) 17% 17% 0% 5% 1% 4% 52% 3%[dh] 1%
National Public Affairs Apr 11–14, 2023 588 (LV) ± 4.2% 21% 19% 1% 2% 1% 7% 43% 1%[di] 6%
Winthrop University Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 485 (RV) ± 4.6% 20% 18% 0% 5% 7% 41% 5%[dj] 4%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 806 (LV) 22% 15% 5% 0% 4% 49% 3%[dk] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 689 (LV) 24% 18% 5% 7% 43% 4%[dl]
Neighbourhood Research and Media[M] Feb 7–14, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.9% 22% 16% 2% 2% 35% 23%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 974 (LV) 31% 14% 2% 5% 45% 2%[dm] 1%
Trafalgar Group Jan 24–26, 2023 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 33% 6% 52% 9%[dn]
21% 3% 23% 48% 5%[do]
29% 22% 4% 43% 2%[dp]
28% 12% 2% 14% 43% 1%[dq]
Moore Information Jan 18–24, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.0% 31% 12% 4% 5% 41% 7%
29% 62% 9%
42% 49% 15%
Spry Strategies Jan 17–19, 2023 386 (LV) 52% 33% 15%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 530 (LV) 28% 13% 4% 5% 44% 6%[dr]
Winthrop University Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 1,298 (A) ± 2.8% 37% 45% 19%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.1% 33% 58% 9%
Trafalgar Group Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% 64% 11%[ds] 25%[dt]

Michigan primary and caucus

The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucus were held on February 27 and March 2, 2024, respectively.

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[du]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight through February 24, 2024 February 27, 2024 21.8% 78.7% - Trump +56.9
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Will
Hurd
Asa
Hutchinson
Perry
Johnson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Emerson College/The Hill Feb 20–24, 2024 486 (LV) ±3% 20.3% 69.2% 10.5%
Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS) Jan 4–10, 2024 600 (LV) ±4% 3% 8% 9% 19% 2% 53% 6%
CNN/SSRS Nov 30 – December 7, 2023 618 (LV) ± 3.4% 1% 6% 15% 13% 1% 4% 58% 1% 3%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 1,348 (LV) 0% 3% 13% 10% 0% 8% 1% 65%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 1,342 (LV) 1% 3% 10% 6% 0% 0% 7% 9% 1% 63%
Public Policy Polling (D) Oct 9–10, 2023 430 (LV) ± 4.7% 2% 3% 13% 6% 0% 2% 3% 0% 63% 8%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,238 (LV) 0% 4% 12% 6% 0% 0% 7% 10% 1% 58% 2%
Susquehanna University Sep 7–12, 2023 219 (LV) 0% 0% 18% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% 65%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 1,299 (LV) 0% 4% 15% 3% 0% 1% 8% 8% 2% 59% 0%[dv]
Emerson College Aug 1–2, 2023 498 (RV) ± 4.3% 1% 2% 13% 3% 0% 1% 0% 7% 4% 2% 61% 1% 6%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,350 (LV) 3% 18% 3% 0% 1% 10% 7% 2% 55% 1%
Mitchell Research[U] Jul 11–13, 2023 639 (LV) ± 4.0% 13% 1% 0% 3% 2% 69% 11%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,242 (LV) 1% 2% 25% 3% 0% 2% 9% 3% 3% 52% 1%[dw]
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,354 (LV) 25% 2% 1% 9% 5% 1% 53% 5%[dx] 1%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 1,356 (LV) 26% 3% 0% 10% 2% 1% 53% 5%[dy]
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 1,378 (LV) 30% 3% 10% 0% 1% 51% 5%[dz]
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 1,232 (LV) 32% 4% 10% 0% 1% 46% 6%[ea] 1%
Echelon Insights Feb 13–16, 2023 400 (V) ± 6.0% 47% 42% 11%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 1,709 (LV) 33% 1% 10% 0% 48% 5%[eb] 3%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 909 (LV) 32% 1% 10% 0% 50% 7%[ec]
Glengariff Group Jul 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 45% 13%

Missouri caucus

The 2024 Missouri Republican presidential caucuses were held on March 2, 2024.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Remington Research Feb 8–9, 2023 820 (LV) 35% 8% 38%
45% 38%
Remington Research Nov 15–16, 2022 940 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 15%
38% 36% 7%[ed] 19%
Remington Research Jul 27–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.4% 18% 42% 23%[ee] 17%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Remington Research Dec 2–3, 2020 840 (RV) ± 3.4% 32% 42%[ef] 26%

Alabama primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News Jan 29–30, 2024 515 (LV) ± 4.31% 16% 76% 8%
Public Opinion Strategies[V] Jan 15–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 50% 31% 19%
53% 35% 12%
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News Oct 27–29, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.94% 36% 1% 50% 5% 8%

Arkansas primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Donald
Trump
Undecided
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 184 (LV) ± 7.7% 29% 58% 13%

California primary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[eg]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 19.0% 73.1% 7.9% Trump +54.1
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 2,347 (LV) 2% 10% 8% 0% 7% 71% 1%[eh]
Public Policy Institute of California Nov 9–16, 2023 276 (LV) 5% 12% 13% 0% 2% 2% 56% 1%[ei] 9%
Emerson College Nov 11–14, 2023 331 (LV) 4% 11% - 5% 2% 3% - 63% 1%[ej] 11%
UC Berkeley IGS Oct 24–30, 2023 1,234 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 12% 1% 9% 3% 1% 57% 5% 11%
Public Policy Institute of California Oct 3–19, 2023 316 (LV) 4% 12% 0% 9% 0% 6% 5% 3% 53% 5%[ek] 1%
Data Viewpoint October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 5.5% 17.5% 15.2% <1% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 49.8% 1.7%[el]
California's Choice Aug 27–29, 2023 750 (LV) 4.8% 21.6% 15.6% 0.5% 4.4% 9.6% 0.8% 43.4% 2.6%
UC Berkeley IGS Aug 24–29, 2023 1,175 (LV) ± 4.0% 3% 16% 1% 7% 3% 4% 2% 55% 9%
Public Policy Institute of California Jun 7–29, 2023 267 (LV) 3% 24% 3% 6% 1% 5% 50% 7%[em] 1%
Emerson College Jun 4–7, 2023 329 (LV) ± 2.9% 2% 19% 6% 10% 2% 4% 53% 7%[en]
Public Policy Institute of California May 17–24, 2023 295 (LV) ± 7% 1% 21% 3% 10% 1% 2% 50% 11%[eo] 2%
UC Berkeley IGS May 17–22, 2023 1,835 (RV) ± 3.5% 1% 26% 0% 3% 0% 4% 2% 1% 44% 6%[ep] 13%
UC Berkeley IGS Feb 14–20, 2023 1,755 (RV) ± 3.5% 37% 7% 3% 1% 29% 8%[eq] 10%
50% 33% 6%[er] 11%
UC Berkeley IGS Aug 9–15, 2022 9,254 (RV) ± 3.0% 0% 27% 3% 7% 0% 38% 10%[es] 14%
0% 53% 4% 9% 1% 15%[et] 17%

Maine caucus

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Liz
Cheney
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Chris
Sununu
Donald
Trump
Digital Research Inc. Mar 22 – April 22, 2023 192 (LV) 10% 27% 3% 5% 1% 1% 1% 59%
Hypothetical polling
Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Other Undecided
January 3, 2023 Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
SurveyUSA Jun 30 – July 6, 2020 604 (LV) ± 4.1% 12% 30% 36%[eu] 21%

Massachusetts primary

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[ev]
Margin

270ToWin

February 7–8, 2024 February 15, 2024 29.3% 63.0% 7.7% Trump +33.7
FiveThirtyEight through February 6, 2024 March 5, 2024 29.3% 66.6% 4.1% Trump +37.3
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ew]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
YouGov[W] Oct 13–20, 2023 107 (V) ± 5.1% 15% 12% 3% 6% 54% 10%[ex]
UMass-Amherst Mar 28 – Apr 5, 2023 154 (RV) 18% 4% 10% 1% 59% 8%[ey]
32% 68%
Opinion Diagnostics Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2023 475 (LV) ± 4.5% 21% 9% 3% 45% 3% 19%
32% 46% 22%
UMass-Amherst Jun 15–21, 2022 237 (RV) 24% 6% 6% 1% 51% 11%[ez]

North Carolina primary

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[fa]
Margin
270ToWin February 5–7, 2024 February 15, 2024 21.5% 74.5% 4.0% Trump +53.0
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024 February 15, 2024 22.1% 74.7% 4.2% Trump +52.6
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Capen Analytics Feb 21, 2024 12,580 (LV) ± 5.0% 36% 64%
Public Policy Polling (D) Jan 5–6, 2024 619 (LV) ± 3.9% 3% 9% 12% 0% 4% 66% 0%[fb] 5%
ECU Center for Survey Research Nov 29 – Dec 1, 2023 445 (LV) ± 5.4% 2% 10% 13% 1% 3% 63% 8%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 1,342 (LV) 4% 14% 9% 1% 5% 1% 67% 0%[fc]
Meredith College Nov 1–5, 2023 335 (LV) ± 3.5% 6% 14% 9% 0% - 8% 3% 51% 2%[fd] 6%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 1,337 (LV) 3% 14% 8% 0% 4% 6% 2% 61% 0%[fe] 2%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,366 (LV) 3% 15% 8% 0% 5% 7% 2% 58% 0%[ff] 2%
Meredith College Sep 16–19, 2023 350 (RV) ± 3.5% 3% 13% 6% 0% 5% 8% 3% 51% 6%[fg] 7%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 1,491 (LV) 3% 15% 6% 1% 5% 10% 2% 57% 0%[fh] 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,535 (LV) 3% 15% 5% 0% 6% 9% 3% 58% 0%[fi] 1%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,454 (LV) 2% 20% 5% 1% 7% 4% 3% 56% 1%[fj] 1%
Opinion Diagnostics Jun 5–7, 2023 408 (LV) ± 4.8% 2% 22% 7% 1% 6% 1% 4% 44% 2%[fk] 11%
34% 50% 15%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,453 (LV) 20% 6% 1% 6% 3% 2% 59% 3%[fl] 1%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 1,299 (LV) 23% 6% 0% 5% 1% 1% 58% 4%[fm] 2%
SurveyUSA[X] Apr 25–29, 2023 707 (LV) ± 4.4% 22% 5% 1% 8% 2% 1% 55% 0%[fn] 5%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 1,31 (LV) 27% 9% 8% 0% 1% 51% 2%[fo] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 1,185 (LV) 31% 7% 6% 1% 51% 3%[fp] 1%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 1,703 (LV) 30% 4% 7% 1% 52% 5%[fq] 1%
Differentiators Data Jan 9–12, 2023 213 (LV) ± 4.5% 47% 4% 2% 35% 3%[fr]
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 905 (LV) 31% 4% 7% 1% 50% 5%[fs] 2%
Differentiators Data Dec 8–11, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 56% 35%
John Bolton Super PAC Jul 22–24, 2022 149 (LV) 1% 27% 6% 37% 12%[ft] 16%
Atlantic Polling Strategies[Y] Apr 25–28, 2022 534 (LV) ± 4.9% 23% 5% 4% 4% 52% 2%[fu] 10%
Spry Strategies Apr 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 8% 6% 1% 45% 9%[fv] 12%
32% 8% 9% 2% 18%[fw] 31%
Cygnal (R) Apr 1–3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 26% 8% 6% 45% 2%[fx] 13%
Cygnal (R) Jan 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 19% 8% 5% 2% 47% 3%[fy] 16%
Jan 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 221 (RV) ± 7.0% 6% 76% 13%[fz] 6%
9% 48% 25%[ga] 18%

Oklahoma primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 637(LV) 3% 12% 6% 0% 7% 1% 69% 0%[gb] 2%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 625(LV) 5% 7% 4% 0% 7% 6% 1% 68% 0%[gc] 2%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 566(LV) 4% 8% 3% 0% 11% 7% 1% 63% 0%[gd] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 602(LV) 3% 11% 3% 0% 6% 10% 2% 63% 1%[ge] 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 629(LV) 2% 13% 2% 1% 7% 10% 2% 63% 0%[gf]
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 559(LV) 3% 14% 3% 0% 7% 4% 2% 66% 1%[gg]
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 627(LV) 16% 2% 1% 7% 5% 1% 64% 3%[gh] 1%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 560(LV) 14% 2% 8% 2% 2% 67% 4%[gi] 1%
C.H.S. & Associates Mar 27–31, 2023 300 (RV) ± 4.3% 29% 6% 6% 38% 9%[gj] 11%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 615(LV) 20% 3% 10% 1% 1% 58% 7%[gk]
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 473(LV) 24% 3% 8% 1% 0% 58% 7%[gl]
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 697(LV) 27% 1% 9% 0% 57% 5%[gm] 1%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 414 (LV) 29% 2% 8% 55% 7%[gn]
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 265 (LV) 30% 60% 10%
Amber Integrated Aug 11–15, 2022 684 (LV) 2% 22% 2% 6% 1% 50% 11%[go] 7%
2% 49% 5% 10% 1% 27%[gp] 9%

Tennessee primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Targoz Market Research[Z] Dec 14–28, 2023 522 (LV) ± 2.66% 1% 12% 7% 0% 2% 72% 1% 6%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 1,078 (LV) 0% 2% 17% 8% 1% 4% 1% 66% 1%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 1,061 (LV) 0% 1% 14% 6% 0% 6% 5% 2% 63% 3%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,032 (LV) 0% 2% 15% 5% 0% 5% 6% 2% 63% 0%[gq] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 1,109 (LV) 1% 2% 13% 2% 1% 8% 10% 3% 59% 0%[gr] 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,079 (LV) 0% 2% 17% 2% 0% 10% 9% 2% 57% 0%[gr] 1%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,072 (LV) 0% 1% 21% 3% 0% 9% 3% 3% 59% 1%[gs]
The Beacon Center Jun 14–22, 2023 502 (LV) 12% 8% 1% 1% 61% 9%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,147 (LV) 18% 3% 0% 7% 2% 1% 64% 3%[gt] 2%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 986 (LV) 22% 3% 0% 8% 1% 1% 61% 5%[gu]
Vanderbilt University Apr 19–23, 2023 1,003 (RV) ± 3.6% 25% 4% 2% 5% 3% 59%
38% 57%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 1,027 (LV) 25% 3% 8% 1% 59% 5%[gv]
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 980 (LV) 29% 3% 8% 0% 55% 5%[gw]
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 1,265 (LV) 35% 1% 10% 1% 47% 6%[gx] 1%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 698 (LV) 34% 0% 10% 1% 51% 3%[gy] 1%
Vanderbilt University Nov 8–28, 2022 474 (RV) ± 3.4% 54% 41% 5%

Texas primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
YouGov[AA] Dec 1–10, 2023 552 (RV) ± 4.17% 1% 2% 12% 9% 4% 65% 2%[gz] 6%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 3,064 (LV) 1% 2% 12% 7% 1% 7% 1% 69%
CWS Research[AB] Nov 20–22, 2023 458 (LV) ± 4.579% 0% 3% 11% 11% 2% 61% 11%
22% 63% 14%
20% 70% 10%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 3,187 (LV) 0% 2% 11% 6% 0% 5% 7% 2% 66% 0%[ha] 1%
YouGov[AA] Oct 5–17, 2023 568 (RV) ± 4.11% 0% 1% 13% 7% 1% 3% 3% 1% 62% 3%[hb] 5%
CWS Research[AB] October 5–9, 2023 418 (LV) ± 4.793% 0% 1% 9% 11% N/A 2% 5% 1% 58% 13%
24% 59% 17%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 3,099 (LV) 1% 1% 13% 4% 1% 5% 9% 2% 62% 0%[hc] 2%
CWS Research[AB] Sep 1–4, 2023 406 (LV) ± 4.864% 0% 2% 10% 5% 1% 5% 3% 1% 61% 2%[hd] 10%
24% 62% 14%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 3,070 (LV) 0% 2% 12% 3% 0% 7% 11% 3% 61% 1%[he]
CWS Research[AB] Jul 30–31, 2023 606 (LV) ± 3.981% 0% 4% 13% 3% 1% 4% 4% 5% 48% 3%[hf] 15%
29% 53% 19%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 3,156 (LV) 0% 1% 15% 3% 0% 8% 9% 4% 59% 0%[hg] 1%
CWS Research[AB] Jun 28–30, 2023 764 (LV) ± 3.546% 0% 3% 19% 4% 1% 5% 2% 3% 51% 3%[hh] 10%
32% 53% 15%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 2,929 (LV) 0% 1% 18% 3% 1% 7% 4% 3% 59% 2%[hi] 2%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 2,829 (LV) 19% 4% 0% 5% 3% 2% 58% 7%[hj] 2%
CWS Research[AB] May 26–30, 2023 1,024 (LV) ± 3.07% 23% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 47% 4%[hk] 13%
33% 51% 16%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 36% 57% 2%[hl] 5%
CWS Research Apr 29 – May 1, 2023 699 (LV) ± 3.7% 16% 5% 0% 3% 3% 1% 54% 4%[hm] 15%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 2,736 (LV) 20% 3% 0% 6% 2% 1% 57% 9%[hn] 2%
CWS Research[AB] Mar 30 – Apr 2, 2023 1,067 (LV) ± 3.0% 20% 4% 5% 2% 1% 52% 5%[ho] 12%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 2,629 (LV) 24% 4% 7% 0% 1% 53% 11%[hp]
CWS Research[AB] Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2023 879 (LV) ± 3.3% 27% 5% 4% 2% 1% 43% 5%[hq] 13%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 2,376 (LV) 27% 3% 6% 0% 1% 51% 12%[hr]
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 3,187 (LV) 28% 2% 9% 0% 48% 13%[hs]
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 1,871 (LV) 30% 2% 8% 0% 45% 15%[ht]
CWS Research[AB] Dec 19–21, 2022 1,051 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 4% 4% 1% 37% 7%[hu] 11%
CWS Research[AB] Nov 27–28, 2022 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 4% 5% 1% 37% 5%[hv] 13%
CWS Research[AC] Nov 12–13, 2022 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 4% 5% 1% 32% 1%[hw] 14%
CWS Research[AB] Oct 19–23, 2022 823 (RV) 29% 3% 4% 46% 7%[hx] 11%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 378 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 53% 10%
CWS Research[AB] Aug 9–11, 2022 1,581 (RV) ± 2.5% 21% 5% 6% 51% 7%[hy] 10%
CWS Research[AB] Jul 9–10, 2022 1,918 (RV) ± 2.2% 26% 5% 6% 45% 20%[hz] 9%
CWS Research[AB] Jun 7–8, 2022 665 (RV) ± 3.8% 26% 4% 5% 49% 8%[ia] 8%
CWS Research[AB] May 4–10, 2022 992 (LV) ± 3.1% 28% 7% 44% 13%[ib] 8%
CWS Research[AB] Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2022 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 20% 10% 46% 16%[ic] 8%
Polls without Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Other Undecided
CWS Research[AC] Nov 12–13, 2022 1,099 (LV) ± 3.0% 66% 5% 8% 3% 2%[id] 16%
CWS Research[AB] Oct 19–23, 2022 823 (RV) 8% 8% 64% 5% 4% 11%
CWS Research[AB] Aug 9–11, 2022 1,581 (RV) ± 2.5% 8% 10% 58% 7% 8% 9%
CWS Research[AB] Jul 9–10, 2022 1,918 (RV) ± 2.2% 4% 5% 56% 5% 8% 1%[ie] 10%
CWS Research[AB] Jun 7–8, 2022 665 (RV) ± 3.8% 7% 11% 57% 3% 8% 3%[if] 11%
CWS Research[AB] May 4–10, 2022 992 (LV) ± 3.1% 10% 14% 56% 9% 3%[ig] 8%
CWS Research[AB] Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2022 678 (LV) ± 3.8% 10% 19% 48% 13% 3%[ig] 7%
CWS Research Feb 5–7, 2022 715 (LV) 13% 46% 18% 23%

Utah caucus

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates Oct 12–23, 2023 509 (RV) 3% 14% 13% 5% 4% 1% 30% 20%
Dan Jones & Associates Sep 24–29, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.32% 4% 15% 11% 5% 5% 1% 33% 6% 22%
Dan Jones & Associates Aug 7–14, 2023 476 (RV) ± 4.49% 4% 19% 4% 9% 5% 2% 27% 18%[ih] 13%
Noble Perspective Insights Jul 7–18, 2023 301 (RV) ± 5.65% 2% 18% 3% 10% 6% 3% 48% 10%[ii]
Dan Jones & Associates Jun 26 – Jul 4, 2023 495 (RV) ± 4.4% 4% 24% 3% 6% 2% 2% 29% 13%[ij] 16%
Dan Jones & Associates May 22 – Jun 1, 2023 421 (RV) ± 4.8% 26% 5% 5% 4% 3% 27% 16%[ik] 16%
Dan Jones & Associates April 25–28, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 19% 8% 6% 21% 24%[il] 22%
WPA Intelligence[AD] April 18–20, 2023 504 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 35% 19%
OH Predictive Insights March 14–23, 2023 302 (RV) ± 5.6% 23% 5% 10% 0% 41% 5%[im]
Dan Jones & Associates March 14–22, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.5% 31% 5% 4% 23% 12%[in]
OH Predictive Insights Dec 27, 2022 – Jan 4, 2023 302 (RV) ± 5.6% 1% 29% 3% 11% 42% 12%[io] 2%
Dan Jones & Associates Nov 18–23, 2022 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 24% 4% 6% 15% 30%[ip] 21%
OH Predictive Insights Nov 5–15, 2021 333 (RV) ± 5.4% 1% 7% 4% 9% 43% 25%[iq] 10%
1% 18% 5% 13% 32%[ir] 20%

Virginia primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ew]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Glenn
Youngkin
Other Undecided
Roanoke College Feb 11–19, 2024 392 (LV) ± 4.6% 43% 51%
Morning Consult Jan 23 – February 4, 2024 436 (LV) 19% 78%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 942(LV) 0% 5% 14% 9% 7% 1% 63% 1%
Roanoke College Nov 12–20, 2023 686 (A) ± 4.3% 0% 2% 14% 10% 3% 1% 51% 10% 9%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 942 (LV) 0% 3% 10% 8% 0% 5% 8% 3% 63% 0%[is]
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 896 (LV) 0% 3% 14% 6% 0% 4% 9% 1% 61% 0%[it] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 947 (LV) 0% 4% 15% 3% 1% 5% 10% 2% 59% 0%[iu] 1%
Roanoke College Aug 6–15, 2023 702 (A) ± 4.2% 3% 13% 1% 2% 1% 7% 5% 6% 47% 9% 6%[iv] 2%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,044(LV) 0% 4% 20% 4% 0% 7% 7% 3% 55% 0%[iw]
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 919 (LV) 0% 2% 19% 5% 0% 7% 3% 3% 60% 0%[ix] 1%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 969 (LV) 21% 3% 0% 6% 3% 2% 59% 3% 3%[iy]
Roanoke College May 14–23, 2023 678 (A) ± 4.4% 28% 1% 7% 1% 7% 1% 48% 3%[iz] 4%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 870 (LV) 20% 3% 0% 6% 2% 1% 59% 6% 3%[ja] 1%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 921 (LV) 26% 3% 6% 1% 0% 50% 9% 3%[jb] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 721 (LV) 31% 4% 6% 1% 1% 47% 9% 1%[jc]
Differentiators Feb 21–24, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 37% 6% 3% 2% 34% 6% 7%[jd] 5%
54% 37% 9%
65% 27% 8%
52% 42% 6%
Roanoke College Feb 12–21, 2023 680 (A) ± 4.2% 28% 5% 3% 39% 6% 6%[je] 13%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 1,000 (LV) 32% 2% 10% 1% 43% 8% 2%[jf] 2%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 559 (LV) 30% 2% 11% 1% 45% 7% 5%[jg]
Roanoke College Nov 13–22, 2022 652 (A) ± 4.5% 52% 39% 7%
Roanoke College Aug 7–16, 2022 640 (A) ± 4.5% 62% 28% 9%

Georgia primary

States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[jh]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024 March 5, 2024 16.3% 81.1% 2.6% Trump +64.8
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Nov 30 – Dec 7, 2023 522 (LV) ± 3.3% 4% 17% 17% 1% 3% 55% 2%[ji] 2%
37% 61% 2%
31% 69%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 1,477 (LV) 0% 2% 14% 10% 0% 6% 1% 66% 1%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 1,525 (LV) 0% 2% 15% 6% 0% 3% 8% 2% 63% 0%[jj] 1%
Zogby Analytics Oct 9–12, 2023 273 (LV) ± 3.9% 3% 10% 9% 5% 7% 5% 55% 6%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,452 (LV) 1% 15% 6% 1% 4% 10% 3% 61% 0%[jk]
20/20 Insights Sep 25–28, 2023 245 (LV) ± 6.3% 0% 4% 16% 7% 0% 4% 3% 2% 58% 6%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 1,599 (LV) 0% 1% 14% 4% 0% 5% 10% 3% 62% 0%[jl] 1%
University of Georgia Aug 16–23, 2023 807 (LV) ± 3.4% 0% 2% 15% 3% 0% 4% 3% 3% 57% 1%[jm] 14%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,633 (LV) 0% 1% 19% 3% 0% 6% 9% 3% 57% 1%[jn] 1%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,599 (LV) 0% 2% 22% 3% 1% 6% 3% 3% 58% 0%[jo] 2%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,470 (LV) 21% 3% 0% 6% 3% 2% 61% 1%[jp] 3%
Landmark Communications May 14, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 2% 32% 6% 2% 2% 2% 40% 7%[jq] 6%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 1,403 (LV) 22% 4% 0% 7% 3% 2% 58% 4%[jr] 2%
University of Georgia Apr 2–12, 2023 983 (LV) ± 3.1% 30% 4% 2% 1% 51% 3%[js] 7%
41% 51% -
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 1,426 (LV) 29% 4% 8% 1% 1% 53% 3%[jt] 1%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 1,280 (LV) 32% 5% 7% 0% 2% 50% 4%[ju] -
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 1,714 (LV) 33% 3% 8% 1% 50% 6%[jv] -
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 972 (LV) 35% 3% 8% 1% 47% 3%[jw] 3%
WPA Intelligence[L] Nov 11–13, 2022 843 (LV) ± 3.4% 55% 35% 10%
Nov 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Echelon Insights Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2022 219 (LV) ± 5.4% 52% 36% 12%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 337 (LV) ± 4.4% 37% 54% 9%
Phillips Academy Aug 3–7, 2022 371 (RV) ± 5.1% 29% 9% 54% 8%
John Bolton Super PAC Jul 22–24, 2022 163 (LV) 5% 36% 6% 29% 16%[jx] 19%
Spry Strategies Apr 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 20% 6% 5% 1% 43% 11%[jy] 15%
39% 6% 7% 2% 15%[jz] 31%
Trafalgar Group (R) Mar 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[ka] 70% 18%[kb] 12%
Jan 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
University of Nevada/BUSR Dec 30, 2020 – Jan 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 1% 3% 73% 12%[kc]
- 1% 8% 36% 31%[kd] 24%

Mississippi primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Mississippi Today/Siena College Aug 20–28, 2023 650 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 22% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 61% 2%
Mississippi Today/Siena College Jan 8–12, 2023 487 (RV) ± 5.9% 39% 46% 3%[ke] 11%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 211 (LV) ± 7.8% 31% 58% 11%

Arizona primary

States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[kf]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024 March 5, 2024 19.9% 77.3% 2.8% Trump +57.4
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 2023 348 (RV) ± 5.25% 2% 16% 8% 0% 3% 9% 1% 53% 7%[kg]
32% 68%
Emerson College August 2–4, 2023 663 (LV) ± 3.7% 6% 11% 3% 0% 3% 4% 3% 58% 11%[kh] 1%
Noble Predictive Insights July 13–17, 2023 346 (RV) ± 5.3% 2% 19% 4% 0% 5% 9% 2% 50% 7%[ki]
38% 62%
J.L. Partners Apr 10–12, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 24% 3% 0% 4% 2% 1% 47% 8%[kj] 11%
35% 52% 13%
Noble Predictive Insights Apr 4–11, 2023 371 (RV) ± 5.1% 21% 4% 7% 0% 49% 20%[kk]
41% 59%
Rasmussen Reports Mar 13–14, 2023 24% 52% 24%
OH Predictive Insights Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023 350 (RV) ± 5.2% 1% 26% 5% 8% 42% 11%[kl] 7%
Blueprint Polling Jan 5–8, 2023 303 (V) 34% 43% 23%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 337 (LV) ± 4.5% 36% 53% 11%
OH Predictive Insights Nov 1–8, 2021 252 (RV) ± 6.2% 1% 16% 6% 9% 48% 9%[km] 9%
0% 29% 8% 21% 25%[kn] 16%

Florida primary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[ko]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024 February 10, 2024 14.1% 84.2% 1.7% Trump +70.1
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Others Undecided
Victory Insights Dec 8–9, 2023 1,220 (LV) ± 2.9% 5.3% 18.8% 7.6% 1.3% 59.5% 2.7% 4.8%
25.8% 56.8% 17.4%
Florida Atlantic University
Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/
Mainstreet Research
Oct 27 – November 11, 2023 400 (RV) 1% 20% 9% 0% 61% 2%[kp] 6%
30% 63% 7%
University of North Florida Oct 23 – November 4, 2023 788 (LV) ± 3.77% 2% 21% 6% <1% 1% 1% <1% 60% <2%[kq] 8%
29% 59% 12%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Oct 1–2, 2023 500 (LV) 2% 22% 7% 1% 1% 1% 57% 0% 7%
Victory Insights Aug 21–23, 2023 590 (LV) ± 4.3% 4% 23% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 59% 1% 7%
30% 57% 13%
Florida Atlantic University Jun 27 – July 1, 2023 315 (RV) 2% 30% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 50% 7%
37% 54% 8%
Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media Jun 9–11, 2023 2% 41% 2% 0% 3% 2% 0% 41% 0%[kr] 8%
Victory Insights May 25–27, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 3% 3% 0% 3% 38% 4%[ks] 12%
40% 39% 21%
National Research[AE] May 8–9, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 34% 2% 0% 2% 2% 1% 42% 1%[kt] 16%
Florida Atlantic University Apr 13–14, 2023 1,081 (RV) ± 3.0% 31% 59%
Victory Insights Apr 6–8, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 35% 3% 1% 4% 43% 14%
32% 47% 22%
Emerson College Mar 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 2% 4% 1% 47% 3%[ku]
University of North Florida Feb 25 – March 7, 2023 550 (RV) ± 2.6% 59% 28% 13%
52% 4% 2% 0% 27% 4%[kv] 11%
Victory Insights Nov 16–17, 2022 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 37% 10%
WPA Intelligence[AF] Nov 11–13, 2022 1,044 (LV) 56% 30% 14%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Victory Insights Oct 30 – November 1, 2022 229 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 50%
Suffolk University Sep 15–18, 2022 174 (LV) 48% 40% 12%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 363 (LV) ± 4.3% 45% 47% 8%
University of North Florida Aug 8–12, 2022 671 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 45% 8%
WPA Intelligence[AF] Aug 7–10, 2022 1,000 (LV) 49% 42% 9%
Victory Insights Jul 13–14, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 61% 39% 0%
Blueprint Polling (D) Jul 7–10, 2022 656 (V) ± 3.8% 51% 39% 10%
Bendixen/Amandi International March 2022 32% 55% 13%
University of North Florida Feb 7–20, 2022 259 (RV) 44% 41% 15%
Suffolk University Jan 26–29, 2022 176 (LV) 40% 47% 13%
Victory Insights Sep 16–18, 2021 200 (LV) 30% 58% 12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) Aug 4–10, 2021 280 (RV) 1% 34% 3% 43% 10%[kw] 8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Feb 15–17, 2021 304 (LV) 64% 22% [kx] 14%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 16–18, 2019 280 (LV) 37% 44%[ky] 19%

Illinois primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[5]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Cor Strategies Aug 24–27, 2023 6% 10% 6% 5% 5% 2% 53% 2%[kz] 9%
6% 26% 10% 10% 16% 9% 8%[la] 16%
Public Policy Polling Jun 6–7, 2022 677 (LV) 2% 23% 3% 6% 2% 51% 5%[lb] 8%

Kansas caucus

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Remington Research Feb 15–16, 2023 1,010 (LV) 41% 33% 26%
17% 9% 9% 30% 9%[lc] 19%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 192 (LV) 37% 52% 11%

Ohio primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) Dec 12–14, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 6% 11% 15% 3% 61% 4%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 1,881 (LV) 3% 11% 8% 0% 6% 1% 69% 0%[ld] 2%
Emerson College/Nexstar, WJW (Cleveland) Nov 10–13, 2023 468 (LV) ±  4.5% 2% 8% 10% 1% 6% 1% 62% 1%[le] 10%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 1,893(LV) 2% 13% 7% 0% 5% 8% 2% 62% 0%[lf] 1%
Ohio Northern University Oct 16–19, 2023 269 (LV) ± 2.15% 1% 10% 5% 0%[cw] 4% 9% 64% 1%[lg] 6%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,621(LV) 3% 14% 5% 0% 5% 11% 2% 60% 0%[lh]
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 1,803(LV) 3% 12% 3% 0% 7% 10% 3% 61% 1%[li]
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,835(LV) 3% 16% 2% 0% 8% 9% 3% 58% 0%[lj] 1%
Ohio Northern University Jul 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 2% 9% 3% 1% 6% 12% 5% 64% 1% 3%
Suffolk University[dead link] Jul 9–12, 2023 190 (RV) 4% 23% 2% 2% 4% 2% 5% 48% 3%[lk] 8%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,711(LV) 2% 19% 3% 1% 7% 5% 3% 59% 1%[ll] 1%
East Carolina University Jun 21–24, 2023 405 (RV) ± 4.0% 4% 15% 2% 1% 5% 3% 59% 2% 10%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,792(LV) 20% 3% 0% 7% 5% 2% 60% 3%[lm]
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 1,754(LV) 21% 2% 0% 8% 2% 2% 61% 4%[ln]
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 1,827(LV) 27% 4% 7% 0% 1% 56% 3%[lo] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 1,573(LV) 30% 4% 9% 0% 1% 50% 4%[lp] 2%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 2,095(LV) 31% 2% 9% 1% 50% 5%[lq] 2%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 1,188 (LV) 33% 2% 8% 1% 48% 5%[lr] 3%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 377 (LV) ± 4.3% 30% 58% 12%
John Bolton Super PAC Jul 22–24, 2022 136 (LV) 2% 30% 9% 28% 16%[ls] 13%

Louisiana primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Emerson College Aug 13–14, 2023 1% 10% 2% 1% 1% 75% 0%[lt]
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 242 (LV) ± 6.5% 29% 65% 6%

New York primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Others Undecided
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 1,876 (LV) 4% 13% 8% 0% 5% 2% 66% 1%[lu] 1%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 2,014 (LV) 4% 12% 6% 0% 4% 7% 3% 64% 0%[lv]
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,924 (LV) 3% 14% 5% 1% 5% 8% 2% 62% 1%[lw]
Siena College Sep 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 64% 27% 8%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 2,006 (LV) 4% 14% 4% 0% 7% 10% 2% 57% 0%[lx] 2%
Siena College Aug 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 63% 32% 5%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 1,886 (LV) 4% 18% 2% 0% 6% 8% 2% 58% 1%[ly] 1%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 1,856(LV) 3% 17% 3% 1% 6% 4% 4% 60% 1%[lz] 1%
Siena College Jun 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 61% 34% 5%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 1,932(LV) 17% 3% 1% 6% 4% 4% 63% 3%[ma]
Siena College May 7–11, 2023 810 (RV) ± 4.1% 60% 32% 8%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 1,792(LV) 20% 3% 0% 6% 1% 3% 59% 7%[mb] 1%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 1,831(LV) 28% 4% 6% 0% 4% 51% 6%[mc] 1%
Siena College Mar 19–22, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.6% 27% 52% 18%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 1,410(LV) 28% 4% 8% 0% 2% 51% 6%[md] 1%
Echelon Insights Feb 21–23, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 44% 13%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 1,871(LV) 34% 3% 9% 1% 46% 9%[me]
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 1,074 (LV) 33% 3% 7% 3% 44% 9%[mf] 1%

Rhode Island primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Donald
Trump
Other
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 102 (LV) ± 6.1% 38% 54% 8%

Wisconsin primary

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[mg]
Margin
270ToWin February 7, 2024 February 15, 2024 22.5% 71.5% 6.0% Trump +49.0
FiveThirtyEight through February 4, 2024 February 15, 2024 21.1% 70.9% 8.0% Trump +49.8
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Doug
Burgum
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) Dec 11–12, 2023 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 16% 15% 4% 54% 6%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 720 (LV) 1% 2% 17% 13% 1% 6% 2% 56% 2%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023 402 (RV) ± 6.8% 1% 1% 18% 11% 0% 6% 3% 1% 38% 0%[mh] 24%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 713 (LV) 0% 3% 15% 12% 1% 4% 9% 3% 52% 1%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 665 (LV) 2% 16% 9% 1% 7% 11% 2% 50% 0%[mi] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 681 (LV) 3% 16% 6% 2% 8% 11% 5% 50% 0%[mj]
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 707 (LV) 0% 2% 25% 5% 1% 8% 8% 4% 46% 1%[mk]
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 666 (LV) 2% 24% 3% 0% 7% 6% 7% 51% 1%[ml]
Marquette Law School June 8–13, 2023 419 (RV) ± 6.5% 0% 1% 30% 3% 0% 6% 3% 5% 31% 0%[mm] 21%
Public Policy Polling June 5–6, 2023 507 (LV) ± 4.4% 25% 5% 8% 2% 5% 41% 14%
39% 43% 18%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 728 (LV) 24% 4% 0% 8% 5% 3% 52% 4%[mn]
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 771 (LV) 31% 4% 0% 9% 2% 2% 45% 5%[mo] 2%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 722 (LV) 35% 6% 9% 1% 2% 43% 4%[mp]
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 626 (LV) 34% 4% 9% 0% 1% 44% 7%[mq] 1%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 897 (LV) 32% 2% 11% 2% 42% 10%[mr] 1%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 558 (LV) 36% 4% 9% 1% 40% 8%[ms] 2%

Pennsylvania primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Jan 4–8, 2024 651 (RV) ± 3.8% 6% 10% 14% 4% 61% 2%[mt] 3%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 2,056 (LV) 4% 14% 9% 0% 6% 1% 63% 0%[mu] 3%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 2,009 (LV) 4% 15% 7% 0% 6% 7% 1% 59% 0%[mv] 1%
Franklin & Marshall College Oct 11–22, 2023 359 (RV) ± 6.4% 4% 14% 9% 0% 2% 5% 3% 55% 2%[mw] 7%
Quinnipiac University Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2023 711 (RV) ± 3.7% 4% 14% 8% 0% 4% 2% 1% 61% 3%[mx] 3%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 1,910 (LV) 3% 14% 6% 0% 8% 8% 1% 58% 0%[my] 2%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 1,979 (LV) 4% 15% 3% 0% 8% 8% 2% 58% 0%[mz] 2%
Franklin & Marshall College Aug 9–20, 2023 297 (RV) ± 7.0% 3% 21% 5% 1% 6% 9% 6% 39% 5%[na] 8%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 2,139 (LV) 4% 20% 3% 0% 7% 7% 3% 55% 1%[nb]
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 2,136 (LV) 3% 23% 3% 1% 9% 3% 3% 54% 1%[nc]
Quinnipiac University Jun 22–26, 2023 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 5% 25% 4% 5% 1% 4% 49% 6%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 2,062 (LV) 22% 4% 0% 7% 3% 2% 58% 4%[nd]
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 2,058 (LV) 25% 3% 0% 9% 2% 2% 53% 6%[ne]
Franklin & Marshall College Mar 27 – Apr 7, 2023 227 (RV) ± 4.9% 34% 4% 6% 0% 40% 6%[nf] 11%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 2,103 (LV) 30% 4% 8% 0% 1% 51% 4%[ng] 2%
Public Policy Polling Mar 9–10, 2023 616 (LV) 31% 5% 5% 49% 10%
40% 48% 13%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 1,769 (LV) 32% 4% 8% 0% 1% 46% 8%[nh] 1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Feb 19–26, 2023 320 (RV) ± 3.2% 37% 4% 2% 1% 32% 27%[ni]
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 2,470 (LV) 35% 2% 10% 1% 43% 9%[nj]
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 1,381 (LV) 34% 2% 10% 1% 44% 8%[nk] 1%
Communication Concepts Nov 19–21, 2022 639 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 40% 4% 12%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 353 (LV) 40% 48% 12%
John Bolton Super PAC Jul 22–24, 2022 129 (LV) 2% 29% 7% 40% 10%[nl]

Indiana primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Bellwether Research & Consulting Dec 11–17, 2022 457 (LV) 28% 3% 13% 39% 1%[nm] 15%

Maryland primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Larry
Hogan
Mike
Pence
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Gonzales Research May 30 – Jun 6, 2023 221 (LV) 37% - - - - 42% - 21%
co/efficient Feb 19–20, 2023 1,007 (LV) 27% 6% 18% 1% 1% 33% 2%[nn] 12%
32% 59% 10%
39% 35% 26%
OpinionWorks May 27 – Jun 2, 2022 428 (LV) 12% 5% 25% 6% 48%

West Virginia primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
ECU Center for Survey Research May 22–23, 2023 957 (RV) ± 3.7% 9% 3% 2% 5% 2% 4% 54% 20%

Kentucky caucus

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Emerson College May 10–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 2% 14% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 70% 3%[no]
Emerson College Apr 10–11, 2023 900 (LV) ± 3.0% 23% 4% 1% 4% 1% 62% 6%[np]

Montana primary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[k]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Oct 23–25, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 12% 7% 3% 3% 1% 64% 2%[nq] 6%
J.L. Partners Aug 12–17, 2023 418 (LV)  ? 3% 15% 3% 2% 6% 3% 52% 3%[nr] 12%
29% 56% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D) Jun 19–20, 2023 510 (LV) ± 4.3% 4% 23% 5% 5% 3% 2% 46% 12%
37% 49% 14%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 142 (LV) ± 6.6% 28% 56% 16%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The state-organized primary will be boycotted by the Nevada Republican Party and its results ignored in favor of the party-organized caucus two days later.
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ Vivek Ramaswamy 6.8%
    Chris Christie 3.0%
    Ryan Binkley 1.5%
    Asa Hutchinson 0.8%
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ Ron DeSantis 15.8%
    Vivek Ramaswamy 6.4%
    Asa Hutchinson 0.7%
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ Vivek Ramaswamy 6.8%
    Asa Hutchinson 0.8%
  8. ^ Vivek Ramaswamy 5.0%
    Chris Christie 3.0%
  9. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  10. ^ Chris Christie 3.0%
    Ryan Binkley 1.5%
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  12. ^ Ryan Binkley with 1%; "None of these" with 2%
  13. ^ Ryan Binkley and David Stuckenberg with 0%
  14. ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%; "None of these" with 2%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  16. ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  17. ^ The other percentages in this result were increased by redistributing Pence's supporters to their second-choice candidates in the poll
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 0%
  19. ^ Perry Johnson with 1%
  20. ^ Ryan Binkley with 2%; Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 0%
  21. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  22. ^ Perry Johnson & Will Hurd with <1%
  23. ^ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley with and Will Hurd with 0%
  24. ^ Ryan Binkley, Perry Johnson and "Other" with 1%; Asa Hutchinson and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  25. ^ Ryan Binkley with 1% and Will Hurd with 0%
  26. ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
  27. ^ Perry Johnson and Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  28. ^ Standard VI response
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
  30. ^ If Trump did not run in the caucuses
  31. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
  32. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%; Ryan Binkley and Francis Suarez with <1%
  33. ^ Will Hurd with 1%
  34. ^ Ryan Binkley and Perry Johnson with 1%; Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  35. ^ "Someone else" with <1%; Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  36. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  37. ^ Franciz Suarez at 1%; Will Hurd at less than 1%
  38. ^ Francis Saurez with 0%
  39. ^ Someone else with 3%
  40. ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%
  41. ^ Mitt Romney with 3%; Rick Perry, Chris Sununu, Perry Johnson, Francis Suarez with 0%
  42. ^ Someone else with 2%
  43. ^ Mitt Romney with 4%, Liz Cheney with 1%, Chris Sununu, John Bolton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  44. ^ Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo with 0%
  45. ^ Perry Johnson with 1%
  46. ^ Perry Johnson with 4%
  47. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  48. ^ Mike Pompeo with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 6%
  49. ^ Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  50. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  51. ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Liz Cheney with 0%
  52. ^ Kristi Noem with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  53. ^ Kim Reynolds, Kristi Noem, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio with 1%
  54. ^ Mitt Romney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
  55. ^ Ted Cruz with 16%; Mitt Romney with 5%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 6%
  56. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  57. ^ Ron DeSantis 7.3%
  58. ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
  59. ^ Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  60. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  61. ^ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  62. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
  63. ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
  64. ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  65. ^ Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  66. ^ Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
  67. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  68. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  69. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  70. ^ Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
  71. ^ Suarez with 0%
  72. ^ Undecided, Other & Refused
  73. ^ Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
  74. ^ Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  75. ^ Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  76. ^ Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
  77. ^ Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  78. ^ Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  79. ^ Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  80. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  81. ^ Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  82. ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  83. ^ Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  84. ^ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  85. ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
  86. ^ Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  87. ^ Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  88. ^ Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  89. ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
  90. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  91. ^ Ron DeSantis 10.5%
    Vivek Ramaswamy 5.0%
    Chris Christie 3.0%
  92. ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  93. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum & Larry Elder with 1%; Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  94. ^ Other, undecided, and refused
  95. ^ Chris Sununu with 0%
  96. ^ Ted Cruz with 5%; Mike Pompeo and Marco Rubio with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  97. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  98. ^ Listed as undecided and other
  99. ^ Listed as undecided/other
  100. ^ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
  101. ^ a b No voters
  102. ^ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
  103. ^ a b Will Hurd with 0%
  104. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
  105. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  106. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
  107. ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
  108. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  109. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  110. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  111. ^ Chris Sununu with 1%
  112. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  113. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  114. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  115. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  116. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
  117. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  118. ^ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  119. ^ Mike Pompeo with 5%
  120. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  121. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  122. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  123. ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  124. ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
  125. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  126. ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
  127. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  128. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin, Greg Abbott, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  129. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  130. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  131. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  132. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  133. ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  134. ^ Josh Hawley with 7%
  135. ^ Josh Hawley with 6%; "Someone else" with 17%
  136. ^ Josh Hawley with 29%; Ivanka Trump with 13%
  137. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  138. ^ Burgum at 1%
  139. ^ Kristi Noem at 1%; Perry Johnson at 0% and Glenn Youngkin at 0%
  140. ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
  141. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Kristi Noem & "Would not vote" with 0%
  142. ^ Doug Burgum with 1.7%; Glenn Youngkin with <1%
  143. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 2%
  144. ^ Doug Burgum and Chris Sununu with 1%
  145. ^ Liz Cheney with 7%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Chris Sununu with 1%
  146. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem, Chris Sununu with 1%; Perry Johnson and John Bolton with 0%
  147. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Chris Sununu and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  148. ^ Neither with 6%
  149. ^ Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio and Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  150. ^ Mike Pompeo with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  151. ^ Ted Cruz with 12%; Donald Trump Jr. with 11%; Ivanka Trump with 7%; Marco Rubio with 6%
  152. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  153. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  154. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Doug Burgum with 3%; Vivek Ramaswamy with 2%; Chris Christie with 1%
  155. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; "Someone else" with 5%
  156. ^ Mike Pompeo with 3%; "Someone else" with 8%
  157. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  158. ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  159. ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
  160. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Corey Stapleton with 0%
  161. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  162. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  163. ^ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & "Someone else" with 1%; Corey Stapleton with 0%
  164. ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  165. ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  166. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Kristi Noem, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  167. ^ "Someone Else" with 2%
  168. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  169. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  170. ^ Chris Sununu with 0%
  171. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  172. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  173. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  174. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  175. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  176. ^ Marco Rubio with 5%; Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  177. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%
  178. ^ Ted Cruz with 6%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  179. ^ Ted Cruz with 11%; Mike Pompeo with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  180. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%
  181. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  182. ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; "Someone else" with 5%
  183. ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 9%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Someone else" with 4%
  184. ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
  185. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  186. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  187. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum with 0%
  188. ^ Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
  189. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  190. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  191. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  192. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; "Someone else" with 3%
  193. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  194. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  195. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 0%
  196. ^ Greg Abbott with 3%; Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%
  197. ^ Mitt Romney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Marco Rubio, Mike Pompeo with 1%; "Other" with 3%
  198. ^ Ted Cruz with 7%; Donald Trump Jr. with 6%; Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; "Someone else" with 4%
  199. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  200. ^ a b Francis Suarez and Will Hurd with 0%
  201. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  202. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  203. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  204. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  205. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  206. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  207. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  208. ^ "Anyone/Any of them" & "No one/None of them" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  209. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  210. ^ Will Hurd, "Someone else" & "Anyone" with 1%; "No one" with 0%
  211. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  212. ^ Will Hurd with 2%
  213. ^ Will Hurd with 1%
  214. ^ Will Hurd with 3%
  215. ^ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  216. ^ Will Hurd with 3%
  217. ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  218. ^ Greg Abbott with 6%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  219. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%
  220. ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
  221. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%
  222. ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  223. ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  224. ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  225. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  226. ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  227. ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem & Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  228. ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem & Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  229. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  230. ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  231. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  232. ^ Greg Abbott with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%
  233. ^ Greg Abbott with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%
  234. ^ Ted Cruz with 12%; Greg Abbott with 8%; Glen Youngkin with 0%
  235. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Greg Abbott and Marco Rubio with 2%
  236. ^ Ted Cruz with 6%; Greg Abbott with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  237. ^ Ted Cruz with 8%; Greg Abbott with 6%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  238. ^ Tim Scott with 2%
  239. ^ Glen Youngkin with 1%
  240. ^ Marco Rubio with 3%
  241. ^ a b Kristi Noem with 3%
  242. ^ "Another candidate" with 11%; Liz Cheney with 5%; Asa Hutchinson with 2%
  243. ^ "None of these candidates" with 7%; "Someone else not listed" with 3%; Larry Elder and Francis Suarez with 0%
  244. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; "Another candidate" with 9%
  245. ^ Liz Cheney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Asa Hutchinson with 1%; and "Another candidate" with 5%
  246. ^ Liz Cheney with 11%; Ted Cruz with 4%; and "Another candidate" with 9%
  247. ^ Marco Rubio with 3%; Larry Hogan and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu and Asa Hutchinson with 0%
  248. ^ Liz Cheney with 9%; Ted Cruz with 3%
  249. ^ Liz Cheney with 6%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Glenn Youngkin at 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Kanye West at 0%
  250. ^ Liz Cheney with 16%; Ted Cruz with 6%; Other with 8%
  251. ^ Mitt Romney with 20%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney and Marco Rubio with 1%
  252. ^ Mitt Romney with 21%; Ted Cruz with 8%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%
  253. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  254. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  255. ^ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  256. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  257. ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
  258. ^ Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Greg Abbott with 0%
  259. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  260. ^ Chris Sununu with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  261. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  262. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  263. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  264. ^ Larry Hogan with 5%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  265. ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%
  266. ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  267. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%
  268. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  269. ^ "Other" with 1%
  270. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  271. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  272. ^ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  273. ^ Francis Suarez with 1%; Will Hurd and Larry Elder with 0%
  274. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  275. ^ Liz Cheney and Greg Abbott with 0%
  276. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Glenn Youngkin, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  277. ^ Brian Kemp with 7%
  278. ^ Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  279. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  280. ^ Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  281. ^ Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 0%
  282. ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 2%; and Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  283. ^ Ted Cruz, Liz Cheney, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  284. ^ Liz Cheney with 8%; Ted Cruz with 5%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  285. ^ Ted Cruz with 6%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
  286. ^ Ted Cruz with 9%; Mike Pompeo with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  287. ^ Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
  288. ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 14%; would not vote with 4%
  289. ^ Ted Cruz with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mitt Romney with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  290. ^ Ted Cruz with 15%; Mitt Romney with 6%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Other" with 7%
  291. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  292. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  293. ^ "Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0%
  294. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9%
  295. ^ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7%
  296. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  297. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%
  298. ^ Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  299. ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
  300. ^ Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
  301. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  302. ^ Other with 2%; Doug Burgum with <1%
  303. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Doug Burgum with <1%
  304. ^ Elder with 0%
  305. ^ Someone else with 4%
  306. ^ Chris Sununu with 1%
  307. ^ Someone else with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  308. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu with 0%
  309. ^ Mitt Romney with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%
  310. ^ Marco Rubio with 12%; Rick Scott with 10%
  311. ^ Marco Rubio with 26%; Rick Scott with 18%
  312. ^ Doug Burgum and Asa Hutchinson with 1%; "Another candidate" with 0%
  313. ^ Doug Burgum with 3%; Asa Hutchinson with 1%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  314. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Josh Hawley with 0%
  315. ^ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  316. ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
  317. ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
  318. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  319. ^ Some Other Candidate at 1%
  320. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  321. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum and Francis Saurez with 0%
  322. ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  323. ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
  324. ^ Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, Liz Cheney, Will Hurd, Kristi Noem, and Francis Saurez with 0%
  325. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  326. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  327. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  328. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  329. ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  330. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  331. ^ Ted Cruz with 7%; Liz Cheney with 6%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  332. ^ Doug Burgum and Nikki Haley with 0%
  333. ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
  334. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  335. ^ Doug Burgum with 1%; Will Hurd with 0%
  336. ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  337. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
  338. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  339. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  340. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%
  341. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  342. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  343. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  344. ^ Ted Cruz with 5%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  345. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  346. ^ Larry Elder with 0%
  347. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  348. ^ Will Hurd with 0%
  349. ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  350. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  351. ^ Larry Elder with <0.5%
  352. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  353. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  354. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  355. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz, Mike Pompeo, and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  356. ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  357. ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 0%
  358. ^ "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  359. ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
  360. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  361. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd & Francis Suarez with 0%
  362. ^ Doug Burgum, "Wouldn't vote" & "Refused" with 1%; Larry Elder, Will Hurd with 0%
  363. ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  364. ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  365. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Doug Burgum & Will Hurd with 0%
  366. ^ Francis Suarez with 1%; Doug Burgum, and Will Hurd with 0%
  367. ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  368. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  369. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  370. ^ Chris Sununu with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Someone else" with 4%
  371. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  372. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  373. ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Marco Rubio with 0%; "Someone else" with 24%
  374. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  375. ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  376. ^ Liz Cheney with 6%; Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Someone else" with 12%
  377. ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  378. ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  379. ^ Chris Sununu with 0%; "Someone else" with 3%
  380. ^ Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%
  381. ^ "Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  382. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register, NBC News & Mediacom Iowa
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Make America Great Again Inc. (Super Pac)
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by And To The Republic, a non-profit with ties to DeSantis
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens Awareness Project
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Make America Great Again Inc. super PAC, which supports Trump
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce
  8. ^ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  9. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  10. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Trump campaign
  11. ^ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis.
  12. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  13. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
  14. ^ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  15. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
  16. ^ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
  17. ^ Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC
  18. ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  19. ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  21. ^ Poll commissioned by MIRS
  22. ^ Poll sponsored by Alabama Families for Great Schools
  23. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
  24. ^ Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation
  25. ^ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Chamber of Commerce
  26. ^ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  27. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Texas Political Project at the University of Texas
  28. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Poll sponsored by Defend Texas Liberty PAC
  29. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Texas
  30. ^ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis
  31. ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  32. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action

References

  1. ^ "RNC Announces Criteria and Date for First Debate in Milwaukee". Republican National Committee. June 2, 2023. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  2. ^ Cohen, Ethan (August 1, 2023). "RNC to impose stricter criteria for candidates to make the second debate stage in September". CNN. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  3. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (September 21, 2023). "RNC raising the bar for candidates to make the stage at November's third debate". Fox News. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
  4. ^ The Green Papers (November 15, 2023). "The Green Papers – Presidential Primaries 2024 – Republican Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary". The Green Papers. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  5. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
This page was last edited on 27 March 2024, at 14:41
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