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2016 Illinois Democratic primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Illinois Democratic primary, 2016

← 2008 March 15, 2016 (2016-03-15) 2020 →
 
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 79 77
Popular vote 1,039,555 999,494
Percentage 50.56% 48.61%

Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Illinois Democratic primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Illinois primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Primary results March 15, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50.6%
Bernie Sanders
48.6%
Others
0.8%
McKeon & Associates[1]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 428

March 12, 2016 Hillary Clinton
31%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Others / Undecided 39%
Public Policy Polling[2]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 627

March 11–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided 7%
CBS News/YouGov[3]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 756

March 9–11, 2016 Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
46%
Others / Undecided 6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 529

March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided 4%
We Ask America[5]

Margin of error: ± 3.11%
Sample size: 994

March 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton
62%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 13%
Chicago Tribune[6]

Margin of error: ±4.1%
Sample size: 600

March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton
67%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 8%
We Ask America[7]

Margin of error: ± 3.0
Sample size: 1,116

February 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided 15%
The Simon Poll/SIU[8]

Margin of error: ± 5.6
Sample size: 306

February 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided 17%
The Illinois Observer[9]

Margin of error: ± 4.23
Sample size: 560

February 11, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 18%
McKeon & Associates[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.9
Sample size: 846

February 3–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
36%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 39%
Public Policy Polling[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 409

July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Others / Undecided 17%

Results

Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Results – 2016
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 1,039,055 50.56% 79
Democratic Bernard Sanders 999,494 48.61% 77
Democratic Willie Wilson 6,565 0.32% 0
Democratic Martin Joseph O'Malley 6,197 0.30% 0
Democratic Lawrence Cohen 2,407 0.12% 0
Democratic Rocky De La Fuente 1,802 0.09% 0
Democratic Others 27 0.00% 0
Totals 2,056,047 100.00% 156
Voter turnout %

Results by county

County Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adams 50.78% 1,784 47.08% 1,654
Alexander 59.97% 770 33.80% 434
Bond 44.94% 719 53.44% 855
Boone 41.11% 1,958 58.30% 2,777
Brown 49.23% 160 48.00% 156
Bureau 44.44% 1,523 54.27% 1,860
Calhoun 44.92% 447 50.65% 504
Carroll 48.75% 625 50.08% 642
Cass 46.93% 504 50.19% 539
Champaign 33.24% 10,721 66.48% 21,440
Christian 46.86% 1,401 51.14% 1,529
Clark 44.75% 562 52.87 664
Clay 44.89% 378 52.14% 439
Clinton 41.14% 908 57.54% 1,270
Coles 39.96% 1,714 58.92% 2,527
Cook 53.66% 633,300 45.49% 536,805
Crawford 49.96% 609 47.99% 585
Cumberland 39.57% 364 56.30% 518
Dekalb 33.10% 4,146 66.50% 8,330
De Witt 45.32% 561 53.31% 660
Douglas 42.27% 484 56.16% 643
DuPage 47.32% 59,798 52.35% 66,163
Edgar 47.40% 446 49.73% 468
Edwards 48.15% 143 49.83% 148
Effingham 40.35% 868 58.02% 1,248
Fayette 47.90% 616 50.00% 643
Ford 39.08% 288 59.43% 438
Franklin 42.13% 2,179 53.79% 2,782
Fulton 45.15% 2,153 53.26% 2,540
Gallatin 40.35% 531 50.38% 663
Greene 46.90% 507 49.49% 535
Grundy 39.44% 2,053 59.67% 3,106
Hamilton 42.83% 418 49.69% 485
Hancock 56.39% 631 41.82% 468
Hardin 40.40% 162 55.36% 222
Henderson 52.07% 339 45.47% 296
Henry 50.65% 2,159 48.44% 2,065
Iroquois 37.47% 544 60.67% 881
Jackson 37.40% 2,842 62.03% 4,713
Jasper 40.54% 328 53.65% 434
Jefferson 47.15% 1,678 49.93% 1,777
Jersey 43.59% 857 54.48% 1,071
Jo Daviess 51.44% 1,320 47.78% 1,226
Johnson 45.13% 361 52.50% 420
Kane 43.41% 23,505 56.21% 30,234
Kankakee 45.67% 4,902 53.67% 5,761
Kendall 41.54% 5,611 58.04% 7,841
Knox 47.27% 2,957 51.50% 3,222
Lake 52.68% 50,271 46.97% 44,823
LaSalle 43.47% 5,279 55.55% 6,746
Lawrence 46.85% 417 48.43% 431
Lee 39.46% 1,295 59.75% 1,961
Livingston 43.47% 832 55.07% 1,054
Logan 42.79% 739 56.40% 974
McDonough 41.43% 1,054 57.82% 1,471
McHenry 38.82% 13,221 60.78% 20,702
McLean 37.11% 7,726 62.48% 13,008
Macon 53.86% 5,958 45.15% 4,995
Macoupin 43.10% 2,783 54.78% 3,537
Madison 44.04% 15,572 55.04% 19,463
Marion 47.65% 1,630 49.93% 1,708
Marshall 49.01% 569 50.47% 586
Mason 49.10% 680 48.88% 677
Massac 51.38% 549 46.81% 492
Menard 44.37% 398 54.74% 491
Mercer 51.27% 496 46.61% 860
Monroe 44.21% 1,438 54.66% 1,778
Montgomery 48.28% 1,250 49.32% 1,277
Morgan 41.54% 936 57.17% 1,288
Moultrie 44.27% 467 53.65% 566
Ogle 40.17% 2,642 59.20% 2,642
Peoria 52.14% 11,473 47.31% 10,409
Perry 46.82% 855 50.99% 931
Piatt 43.01% 788 55.51% 1,017
Pike 50.92% 497 46.21% 451
Pope 37.20% 109 60.07% 176
Pulaski 61.70% 385 34.78% 217
Putnam 46.71% 455 51.75% 504
Randolph 44.59% 1,314 52.77% 1,555
Richland 43.75% 448 53.81% 551
Rock Island 51.62% 10,240 47.11% 9,345
St. Clair 59.95% 24,218 39.21% 15,838
Saline 45.95% 1,054 50.48% 1,158
Sangamon 46.91% 9,295 52.57% 10,416
Schuyler 54.36% 368 43.43% 294
Scott 46.58% 150 50.00% 161
Shelby 44.09% 783 52.98% 941
Stark 47.13% 197 51.44% 215
Stephenson 49.00% 1,989 49.99% 2,029
Tazewell 44.71% 5,905 54.46% 7,192
Union 43.23% 921 54.23% 1,153
 Vermilion 51.23% 3,048 47.13% 2,803
Wabash 49.72% 356 48.18% 345
Warren 49.02% 726 50.03% 741
Washington 39.67% 409 57.71% 595
Wayne 41.27% 319 54.20% 419
White 48.96% 565 46.01% 531
Whiteside 47.95% 2,900 51.41% 3,109
Will 47.06% 42,799 52.42% 47,674
Williamson 42.23% 2,985 55.30% 3,909
Winnebago 47.11% 15,097 52.37% 16,784
Woodford 43.80% 1,279 55.48% 1,620
Total 50.56% 1,039,555 48.61% 999,494

Source:[12]

Analysis

Bernie Sanders was able to hold frontrunner Hillary Clinton to a narrow 2-point margin in her birth-state of Illinois, by winning with voters under the age of 45 (70%-30%) who made up 39% of the electorate and white voters (57-42) who made up 58% of the electorate. He also won men, 53-45. According to exit polls, Sanders narrowly won the Hispanic/Latino vote 50-49. However, Clinton won with African American voters (70-30), women (55-45), and older voters (63-36), especially senior citizens (70-29), thus narrowly carrying the state in which she was born.

According to exit polls, Clinton won among voters who made less than $50k a year, with Sanders winning more affluent voters.

As became a trend in the Democratic primary race, Hillary Clinton won Democrats (57-42) but Sanders won self-identified Independents (69-30).

Clinton performed well in Chicago where the electorate is more diverse (she won 54-46) and in the Cook Suburbs (she won 53-46). Sanders performed well in the Collar Counties (he won 52-47) in the north (he won 53-46) and in the central/south part of the state which is whiter and more rural (he won 54-45).[13]

References

  1. ^ "ANALYSIS: 2016 Illinois Democratic Primary" (PDF).
  2. ^ "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
  3. ^ "Poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida".
  4. ^ "Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio".
  5. ^ "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary March 8".
  6. ^ "Clinton holds commanding lead over Sanders in Illinois". Retrieved 2016-03-08.
  7. ^ "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary".
  8. ^ "Simon Poll: Clinton, Trump Lead in Illinois" (PDF).
  9. ^ "Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips".
  10. ^ "Poll: Bernie Sanders Gaining On Hillary Clinton In Illinois".
  11. ^ "Kirk Unpopular, Trails Duckworth" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 2015-07-29.
  12. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  13. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-09-25.
This page was last edited on 23 June 2019, at 16:41
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