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From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1296 in various calendars
Gregorian calendar1296
MCCXCVI
Ab urbe condita2049
Armenian calendar745
ԹՎ ՉԽԵ
Assyrian calendar6046
Balinese saka calendar1217–1218
Bengali calendar703
Berber calendar2246
English Regnal year24 Edw. 1 – 25 Edw. 1
Buddhist calendar1840
Burmese calendar658
Byzantine calendar6804–6805
Chinese calendar乙未(Wood Goat)
3992 or 3932
    — to —
丙申年 (Fire Monkey)
3993 or 3933
Coptic calendar1012–1013
Discordian calendar2462
Ethiopian calendar1288–1289
Hebrew calendar5056–5057
Hindu calendars
 - Vikram Samvat1352–1353
 - Shaka Samvat1217–1218
 - Kali Yuga4396–4397
Holocene calendar11296
Igbo calendar296–297
Iranian calendar674–675
Islamic calendar695–696
Japanese calendarEinin 4
(永仁4年)
Javanese calendar1207–1208
Julian calendar1296
MCCXCVI
Korean calendar3629
Minguo calendar616 before ROC
民前616年
Nanakshahi calendar−172
Thai solar calendar1838–1839
Tibetan calendar阴木羊年
(female Wood-Goat)
1422 or 1041 or 269
    — to —
阳火猴年
(male Fire-Monkey)
1423 or 1042 or 270

Year 1296 (MCCXCVI) was a leap year starting on Sunday (link will display the full calendar) of the Julian calendar.

YouTube Encyclopedic

  • 1/3
    Views:
    246 726
    22 309
    17 999
  • ✪ 1,296 and Yahtzee - Numberphile
  • ✪ Historia Na Szybko - Wacław II cz.3 (Historia Polski #50) (1296-1300)
  • ✪ #1296 Sera' que o que voce prega e' a Verdade?

Transcription

Hi there, everyone. Now I've got a video coming up, probably next week, in which I wanted a short clip of a Yahtzee being rolled. A Yahtzee is when you roll five dice and they all come up with the same number. So it could be five ones, five fours, five sixes. You get the idea. Now, I know there are lots of ways I could cheat, and I don't really have to film it, but I've got the idea in my head now. So I've set everything up here, and what I'm going to do is I'm going to keep rolling these dice until I roll a Yahtzee. I've actually got my old counting machine here, and I'm going to use that to count up the numbers. I've got a few cameras here, so hopefully when the golden moment arrives, I'll have some footage of it. So I'll get these cameras rolling. And let's see how many rolls it takes me. So there's one thing that's pretty obvious. And that's just the straight probability. Let's quickly talk about that. I'm rolling five dice. When the first one comes out, that can be a one, two, three, four, five, or six. It doesn't really matter. I've decided any combination is going to be fine. So the probability of that first one's irrelevant. But the second dice has to match. So it's a one in six. Then the next one has to match. The next one, and the next one. All one in six. Multiply them all together. And we've got a one in 1,296 chance of me rolling a Yahtzee. That's what I'm up against. Let's give it a go. [DICE ROLLING] [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] Do you know what's funny? Part of me was convinced that I'd get it really early. That it wouldn't take as long as it should really take. I guess that's why casinos make so much money. [DICE ROLLING] People always think they're going to beat the odds. [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] It's a funny thing because each time I roll, I know I am getting closer to the finish. Because I am getting closer to the point where it's going to happen. But I have the same chance each roll. It's not like the probability is getting better. The dice don't have memory. [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] So that's 50 rolls. Now I have spoken to some of the maths guys about all this and asked them about what my probabilities are. And I was told there's a 63% chance that I'll do it within that 1,296 rolls. That also means there's a 37% chance that I'll get to 1,296 and I still won't have rolled a Yahtzee. [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] There was another number I was given. And that is to have a 90% chance of rolling a Yahtzee, I would have to do 2,920 rolls. I'm on 160. [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] I know I'm supposed to be a numbers man, but it just seems counter-intuitive. This is so difficult. [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] We will be going into probability a lot more on Numberphile, I think, in the second half of the year. So don't treat this as some authoritative video about probability. It really is just me rolling dice because I want that one shot. [DICE ROLLING] Of course in the real game of Yahtzee you don't have to throw an exact Yahtzee. You get three throws. And you can keep dice you want to keep in the playing area. I think the probability of getting a Yahtzee that way drops to something like about 4%. Or should I say, increases to 4%. Not really sure what I should say. [DICE ROLLING] [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] That battery's gone. So it's time for a camera change. [DICE ROLLING] [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] If anyone wants to email me legitimate footage of them throwing a Yahtzee, I will also use that in my video and be quietly impressed. There's the email address. [DICE ROLLING] [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] So I've reached that point now where I no longer even think I'm going to roll one. That kind of hopefulness is gone. That optimism. Now I'm just facing the reality of probability. [DICE ROLLING] [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] [DICE ROLLING] I have done it. This tape's about to end, but I've done it. I have rolled a Yahtzee. There we go. Five threes, it was. And it took me 627 rolls, so I came in-- well, I came in a lot quicker than I probably should have. So maybe I am lucky after all. [CLASSICAL MUSIC PLAYING] Cheers.

Contents

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References

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