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The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary election
Republican primary
The Washington Republican primary is scheduled to be held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Hawaii, Idaho, Mississippi, and Missouri.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 601,070 | 76.43% | 43 | 0 | 43 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 151,485 | 19.26% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 17,870 | 2.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 8,702 | 1.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 7,318 | 0.93% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 786,445 | 100.00% | 43 | 0 | 43 |
| Source: [3] | |||||
Democratic primary
The Washington Democratic primary took place on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Democrats Abroad, Northern Marianas, Mississippi, and Georgia.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 763,739 | 83.5% | 90 | ||
| Uncommitted delegates | 89,764 | 9.8% | 2 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 25,308 | 2.8% | 0 | ||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 25,190 | 2.8% | 0 | ||
| Write-in votes | 10,966 | 1.2% | 0 | ||
| Total: | 914,967 | 100.0% | 92 | 19 | 111 |
| Source: [4] | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[5] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[6] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[9] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[10] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
| The Independent Center | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[B] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | February 13–14, 2024 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Crosscut/Elway | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 29% | 31%[b] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
| Emerson College | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 41% | 6% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosscut/Elway | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 26%[c] |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 34% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 17% |
| The Independent Center | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Washington (state)
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "Washington Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ "March 12, 2024 Presidential Primary Results". Washington Secretary of State. March 23, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
This page was last edited on 28 May 2024, at 23:37