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2020 United States presidential election in New York

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States presidential election in New York

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout69.7% Increase 2.4%
 
Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 29 0
Popular vote 5,244,886 3,251,997
Percentage 60.87% 37.74%

New York Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris.[2] New York has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3] Trump announced that Florida would be his home state for this election, rather than New York as it had been previously.[4] This was the first presidential election in New York to allow no-excuse absentee voting.[5]

New York remained a blue state, with Biden winning with 60.87% of the vote, while Trump received 37.74% of the vote, a 23.13% Democratic victory margin. Both Biden and Trump improved from their 2016 counterparts, with Biden receiving a larger vote share and margin of victory than Hillary Clinton in 2016, while Trump won more individual counties, taking 41 counties statewide to Biden's 21. However, Trump earned a slightly lower percentage of the vote as well losing the state by a larger margin, as fewer voters chose third-party candidates.

Biden largely improved over Clinton's margins in the more competitive Upstate region, whereas Trump's improvements largely came from the New York City metropolitan area. Biden flipped Broome, Essex, Rensselaer and Saratoga counties from the previous election. Notably, an additional six counties (Cortland, Franklin, Ontario, Orange, Suffolk, and Warren) voted for Trump by a narrow margin of fewer than 500 votes each. Biden is the first Democrat since 1976 to win the presidency without Franklin and Cortland Counties, as well as the first since 1992 without Suffolk County. Biden won 5.2 million votes, the most received by a Democratic presidential candidate in the state's history. Despite this, the New York City boroughs of Brooklyn, Queens, and The Bronx each swung at least 7% to Trump, with The Bronx swinging 11.5%.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength came from a coalition of key Democratic constituencies, garnering 91% of blacks; 70% of Latinos, including 75% of Latinos of Puerto Rican heritage; 58% of Jewish voters; and 56% of union households.[6] Biden carried four of the five boroughs of New York City, only losing Staten Island.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[7]

Canceled Republican primary

On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump automatically gets to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention.[8][9]

Democratic primary

On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot.[10] However, on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23 after a suit made by former presidential primary candidate Andrew Yang.[11]

Among the other major candidates were entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However, on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the 4th Democratic debate.

Results
2020 New York Democratic presidential primary[12]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[13]
Joe Biden 1,136,679 64.62% 231
Bernie Sanders (suspended) 285,908 16.25% 43
Blank 135,486 7.70%
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 82,917 4.71%
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 39,433 2.24%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 22,927 1.30%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 22,686 1.29%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 11,028 0.63%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 9,083 0.52%
Void 4,621 0.26%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 3,040 0.17%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,932 0.17%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 2,299 0.13%
Total 1,759,039 100% 274

Conservative

The Conservative Party of New York State cross-endorsed the Republican ticket, nominating Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.[14]

Working Families

The Working Families Party cross-endorsed the Democratic ticket, nominating Joe Biden for president and Kamala Harris for vice president.[15] Several prominent Democrats, including Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer encouraged voting for Biden and Harris on the WFP line, in order for the party to keep ballot access.[16]

Green

The Green Party of New York nominated the national Green Party ticket; Howie Hawkins for president and Angela Nicole Walker for vice president.

Libertarian primary

2020 New York Libertarian presidential primary

April 28, 2020 2024 →
← CT
NE →
 
Jacob Hornberger by Gage Skidmore (cropped) (3).jpg
Candidate Jacob Hornberger
Home state Virginia
Delegate count 27
Popular vote Default winner

Future of Freedom Foundation Founder Jacob Hornberger was the sole candidate to qualify for the New York primary ballot. Therefore, in accordance with state law, he was declared the winner of the primary by default. As the winner of the primary, Libertarian Party of New York rules permitted Hornberger to choose 27 of the state's 48 unbound delegates to the 2020 Libertarian National Convention. The Libertarian Party of New York was the only Libertarian state affiliate to choose any of its delegates on the basis of its presidential primary or caucus.[17]

Independence

The Independence Party of New York nominated independent candidates Brock Pierce for president and Karla Ballard for vice president.[18]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Safe D November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[20] Safe D November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe D November 3, 2020
Politico[22] Safe D November 3, 2020
RCP[23] Safe D November 3, 2020
Niskanen[24] Safe D November 3, 2020
CNN[25] Safe D November 3, 2020
The Economist[26] Safe D November 3, 2020
CBS News[27] Likely D November 3, 2020
270towin[28] Safe D November 3, 2020
ABC News[29] Safe D November 3, 2020
NPR[30] Likely D November 3, 2020
NBC News[31] Safe D November 3, 2020
538[32] Safe D November 3, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics April 30 – September 29, 2020 November 3, 2020 59.7% 31.0% 9.3% Biden +28.7
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 62.3% 32.9% 4.8% Biden +29.4
Average 61.0% 32.0% 7.1% Biden +29.1

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 6,548 (LV) ± 2% 35%[c] 63%
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 34% 64% - - 2%[d] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 10,220 (LV) 34% 63% - -
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 495 (LV) ± 5.8% 33% 65% 1% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 10,007 (LV) 34% 64% - - 2%
Siena College Sep 27–29, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 29% 61% 0% 1% 2%[e] 7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 9,969 (LV) 34% 64% - - 2%
Public Policy Polling Aug 20–22, 2020 1,029 (V) ± 3.1% 32% 63% - - 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 10,280 (LV) 34% 63% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 4,555 (LV) 33% 65% - - 2%
Siena College Jun 23–25, 2020 806 (RV) ± 3.9% 32% 57% - - 10%
Siena College May 17–21, 2020 767 (RV) ± 3.7% 32% 57% - - 11%
Quinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 915 (RV) ± 3.2% 32% 55% - - 5%[f] 8%
Siena College Apr 19–23, 2020 803 (RV) ± 3.7% 29% 65% - - 6%
Siena College Mar 22–26, 2020 566 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% - - 10%
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 55% - - 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% 9%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 56% 7%

with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bill
de Blasio (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 48% 13% 3%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 34% 58% 5% 3%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 53% 10%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 56% 7%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 53% 8%

Electoral slates

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[33]

Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Working Families Party
Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Conservative Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Howie Hawkins and
Angela Walker
Green Party
Brock Pierce and
Karla Ballard
Independence Party
June O'Neill
Xiao Wang
Katherine M. Sheehan
Thomas J. Garry
Lovely Warren
Gary S. LaBarbera
Stuart H. Applebaum
Mary Sullivan
George K. Gresham
Randi Weingarten
Mario F. Cilento
Alphonso David
Hazel Nell Dukes
Christine Quinn
Byron Brown
Corey Johnson
Scott Stringer
Andrea Stewart-Cousins
Carl Heastie
Jay Jacobs
Letitia James
Thomas DiNapoli
Kathy Hochul
Andrew Cuomo
Hillary Clinton
Bill Clinton
Rubén Díaz Jr.
Judith Hunter
Anastasia Somoza
Brendan Lantry
Jesus Garcia
Susan McNeil
Joseph Cairo
William Napier
Karl Simmeth
Christine Benedict
Joann Ariola
Carl Zeilman
Jennifer Saul Rich
Charlie Joyce
Adrian Anderson
Rob Ortt
Will Barclay
John Burnett
Chloe Sun
Elie Hirschfeld
Yechezkel Moskowitz
Shaun Marie Levine
Christopher Kendall
Francis Vella-Marrone
Andrea Catsimatidis
John Gereau
Rodney Strange
Todd Rouse
Trisha Turner
Robert Keis
Nick Langworthy
Tom Dadey
Daniel P. Donnelly
Duane J. Whitmer
Robert M. Arrigo
Mark N. Axinn
Erin M. Becker
Rachel E. Becker
Richard Bell
Kari R. Bittner
Mark S. Braiman
Jay A. Carr
Tucker C. Coburn
Anthony D'Orazio
Kevin A. Wilson
Milva E. Dordal
Pietro S. Geraci
Paul M. Grindle
Mark E. Glogowski
Shawn Hannon
Andrew M. Kolstee
Peyton D. Kunselman
Brandon G. Lyon
Leonard E. Morlock
Lora L. Newell
Gary Popkin
Thomas D. Quiter
Ilya Schwartzburg
Paul C. Sechrist
Larry Sharpe
William C. Anderson
Stephen Bloom
Peter A. Lavenia
Cassandra J. Lems
Paul W. Gilman
Darin Robbins
Barbara A. Kidney
Joseph R. Naham
Michael E. O'Neil
Eric M. Jones
Carol S. Przybylak
Tatianna M. Moragne
James R. Brown III
James McCabe
Candace Carponter
Michael D. Emperor
Jennifer R. White
Allan D. Hunter
Mary B. House
Serena L. Seals
David Sutliff-Atias
Craig A. Seeman
Daneilla Liebling
Adrienne R. Craig-Williams
Christopher J. Archer
Claudia Flanagan
Gil Obler
Debra A. Rosario
Gloria Mattera
David L. Giannascoli
Kenneth Bayne
Scott R. Major
Robert G. Pilnick
Barbara Pilnick
Gary P. Newman
Arthur Abbate
Joseph W. Fuller
Maryann H. Major
Andrew J. Bogardt
Anna C. Bogardt
Robert J. Bogardt
Trisha L. Sterling
Thomas Hatfield
Thomas A. Connolly
Atef S. Zeina
Lee Kolesnikoff
Joseph L. Baruth
Paul E. Caputo
Edward G. Miller
Thomas S. Connolly
Dennis R. Zack
Michael Amo
Richard S. Bellando
Maryellen Bellando
William Bogardt
Teresa Bogardt
Frank M. MacKay
Kristin A. MacKay
Carolyn P. Major

Results

Waiting in line for early voting
Waiting in line for early voting

New York's inexperience processing a large number of mail ballots, having only legalized no-excuse absentee voting in 2019,[5][34] led to weekslong delays in counting them.[35] Over two million ballots and over 20% of the votes were cast by mail.[36] New York failed to meet its November 28 deadline to certify the election, with hundreds of thousands of votes still uncounted.[37] State Senator Michael Gianaris commented, "if we were a swing state in this presidential election, this would be a national scandal".[35] New York's voting tabulation was updated on March 15, 2021.

The delay in the counting of mail-in ballots wrongly made it seem at first that Biden had underperformed Hillary Clinton in 2016, a phenomenon referred to as a "red mirage."[38] However, when all the votes were counted, Biden outperformed Clinton's margin over Trump by about 0.6 percentage points. This was due to a major improvement across Upstate New York and on Long Island. Meanwhile, four of New York City's five boroughs shifted towards Trump (with the exception of Staten Island).

Donald Trump is the first Republican to receive 3 million or more raw votes in New York since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Biden flipped 4 counties that Trump won in 2016: Broome, Essex, Rensselaer, and Saratoga counties.[40][41] Biden also came very close to flipping an additional six counties, as he lost Cortland County by 419 votes, Franklin County by 415 votes, Ontario County by 33 votes, Orange County by 113 votes, Suffolk County by 232 votes, and Warren County by just 57 votes.[42] Trump's narrow victories in these counties meant that they were decided by a combined total of just 1,269 votes out of more than 1 million votes cast across all six counties. According to exit polls by CNN, Biden won 96% of Democrats, who were 41% of the electorate, 59% of Independents, who made up 32% of voters, and 21% of Republicans, who made up 27% of the vote.[43]
2020 United States presidential election in New York[39]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
4,858,273 56.38% -0.34%
Working Families Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
386,613 4.48% +2.65%
Total Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
5,244,886 60.86% +1.85%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
2,955,662 34.30% +1.57%
Conservative Donald Trump
Mike Pence
295,657 3.43% -0.35%
Total Donald Trump
Mike Pence
3,251,997 37.73% +1.21%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
60,383 0.70% -0.05%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
32,832 0.38% -1.02%
Independence Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
22,656 0.26% -1.29%
Write-in 4,107 0.04% -0.75%
Total votes 8,616,861 100.00% +11.60%

By county

County[44] Joe Biden Donald Trump Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Howie Hawkins
Green
Brock Pierce
Independence
Write–ins
Various parties
Margin Total votes
Democratic Working Families Total Republican Conservative Total
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Albany 91,260 59.42% 8,214 5.35% 99,474 64.77% 46,066 29.99% 5,015 3.27% 51,081 33.26% 1,523 0.99% 779 0.51% 595 0.39% 134 0.09% 48,393 31.51% 153,586
Allegany 5,754 27.78% 294 1.42% 6,048 29.19% 13,123 63.35% 1,012 4.89% 14,135 68.23% 338 1.63% 88 0.42% 92 0.44% 15 0.07% –8,087 –39.04% 20,716
Bronx 337,789 79.31% 17,585 4.13% 355,374 83.44% 62,178 14.60% 5,562 1.31% 67,740 15.91% 775 0.18% 1,420 0.33% 406 0.10% 168 0.04% 287,634 67.53% 425,883
Broome 43,966 47.38% 3,036 3.27% 47,002 50.66% 40,753 43.92% 3,038 3.27% 43,791 47.20% 1,103 1.18% 432 0.46% 371 0.39% 76 0.08% 3,211 3.46% 92,775
Cattaraugus 11,310 32.54% 569 1.64% 11,879 34.17% 20,291 58.37% 1,864 5.36% 22,155 63.74% 450 1.29% 113 0.33% 154 0.44% 9 0.03% –10,276 –29.57% 34,760
Cayuga 15,612 42.47% 747 2.03% 16,359 44.50% 17,688 48.12% 1,944 5.28% 19,632 53.41% 401 1.09% 185 0.50% 163 0.44% 14 0.03% –3,273 –8.90% 36,754
Chautauqua 21,934 37.05% 1,154 1.94% 23,088 39.00% 31,135 52.59% 3,718 6.28% 34,853 58.87% 756 1.27% 203 0.34% 272 0.45% 24 0.04% –11,765 –19.87% 59,196
Chemung 15,969 40.52% 667 1.69% 16,636 42.21% 20,373 51.70% 1,549 3.93% 21,922 55.63% 560 1.42% 117 0.30% 162 0.41% 13 0.03% –5,286 –13.42% 39,410
Chenango 7,910 35.49% 390 1.75% 8,300 37.24% 12,616 56.61% 880 3.94% 13,496 60.56% 316 1.41% 107 0.48% 80 0.35% 7 0.03% –5,196 –23.31% 22,282
Clinton 17,316 48.86% 1,048 2.96% 18,364 51.82% 15,313 43.21% 1,201 3.39% 16,514 46.60% 279 0.79% 121 0.34% 153 0.43% 6 0.02% 1,850 5.22% 35,437
Columbia 18,179 51.18% 2,207 6.21% 20,386 57.39% 13,065 36.78% 1,399 3.94% 14,464 40.72% 357 1.01% 185 0.52% 115 0.32% 15 0.04% 5,922 16.67% 35,522
Cortland 9,792 45.16% 578 2.66% 10,370 47.83% 10,001 46.13% 788 3.63% 10,789 49.76% 295 1.36% 113 0.52% 96 0.44% 16 0.07% –419 –1.93% 21,679
Delaware 8,567 37.29% 576 2.51% 9,143 39.80% 12,655 55.09% 732 3.19% 13,387 58.28% 268 1.17% 81 0.35% 79 0.34% 13 0.06% –4,244 –18.48% 22,971
Dutchess 75,907 50.35% 5,536 3.67% 81,443 54.03% 59,952 39.77% 6,920 4.59% 66,872 44.36% 1,247 0.83% 578 0.38% 513 0.34% 92 0.06% 14,571 9.67% 150,745
Erie 252,569 53.35% 14,701 3.10% 267,270 56.45% 172,352 36.40% 25,200 5.32% 197,552 41.72% 4,440 0.93% 1,987 0.41% 1,895 0.40% 178 0.03% 69,718 14.72% 473,418
Essex 9,330 48.39% 620 3.21% 9,950 51.60% 8,399 43.56% 583 3.02% 8,982 46.58% 173 0.89% 73 0.37% 90 0.46% 12 0.06% 968 5.02% 19,280
Franklin 8,767 45.50% 486 2.52% 9,253 48.02% 9,092 47.19% 576 2.99% 9,668 50.18% 173 0.90% 77 0.40% 93 0.48% 4 0.02% –415 –2.16% 19,268
Fulton 7,551 31.84% 380 1.60% 7,931 33.44% 14,145 59.64% 1,233 5.20% 15,378 64.84% 248 1.05% 73 0.31% 87 0.37% 1 0.00% –7,447 –31.40% 23,718
Genesee 9,107 31.17% 518 1.77% 9,625 32.94% 16,868 57.73% 2,008 6.87% 18,876 64.61% 456 1.56% 109 0.37% 138 0.47% 13 0.04% –9,251 –31.67% 29,217
Greene 9,363 37.25% 983 3.91% 10,346 41.16% 12,794 50.90% 1,477 5.88% 14,271 56.77% 305 1.21% 121 0.48% 91 0.36% 3 0.01% –3,925 –15.61% 25,137
Hamilton 1,131 32.69% 47 1.36% 1,178 34.05% 2,056 59.42% 169 4.88% 2,225 64.31% 41 1.18% 7 0.20% 8 0.23% 1 0.03% –1,047 –30.26% 3,460
Herkimer 9,464 32.27% 475 1.61% 9,939 33.89% 17,571 59.92% 1,300 4.43% 18,871 64.35% 298 1.01% 98 0.33% 111 0.37% 5 0.01% –8,932 –30.46% 29,322
Jefferson 16,679 38.03% 628 1.43% 17,307 39.46% 24,019 54.77% 1,610 3.67% 25,629 58.44% 537 1.22% 186 0.42% 189 0.43% 7 0.02% –8,322 –18.98% 43,855
Kings (Brooklyn) 608,794 66.63% 94,516 10.34% 703,310 76.97% 187,307 20.50% 15,465 1.69% 202,772 22.19% 2,504 0.27% 3,978 0.44% 682 0.07% 444 0.05% 500,538 54.78% 913,690
Lewis 3,677 28.41% 146 1.12% 3,823 29.54% 8,329 64.37% 561 4.33% 8,890 68.70% 126 0.97% 46 0.35% 47 0.36% 7 0.05% –5,067 –39.16% 12,939
Livingston 11,704 37.27% 773 2.46% 12,477 39.73% 16,195 51.57% 1,987 6.33% 18,182 57.90% 460 1.46% 128 0.41% 140 0.45% 14 0.04% –5,705 –18.17% 31,401
Madison 14,018 41.18% 787 2.31% 14,805 43.49% 16,811 49.39% 1,598 4.69% 18,408 54.08% 474 1.39% 185 0.54% 153 0.44% 9 0.02% –3,604 –10.58% 34,035
Monroe 213,606 56.23% 12,140 3.20% 225,746 59.43% 127,191 33.48% 18,470 4.86% 145,661 38.35% 4,865 1.28% 1,529 0.40% 1,785 0.47% 278 0.07% 80,085 21.08% 379,864
Montgomery 7,636 36.13% 341 1.61% 7,977 37.74% 11,570 54.75% 1,175 5.56% 12,745 60.31% 242 1.15% 87 0.41% 79 0.37% 4 0.02% –4,768 –22.57% 21,134
Nassau 380,907 52.11% 15,597 2.13% 396,504 54.24% 305,144 41.74% 21,572 2.95% 326,716 44.70% 3,594 0.49% 1,924 0.26% 1,901 0.26% 344 0.05% 69,788 9.54% 730,983
New York (Manhattan) 540,748 77.78% 62,292 8.96% 603,040 86.74% 79,032 11.37% 6,153 0.88% 85,185 12.25% 3,329 0.48% 2,694 0.39% 656 0.09% 359 0.05% 517,855 74.49% 695,263
Niagara 43,717 41.99% 2,312 2.22% 46,029 44.21% 49,287 47.34% 6,781 6.51% 56,068 53.85% 1,133 1.09% 371 0.36% 479 0.46% 43 0.04% –10,039 –9.64% 104,123
Oneida 39,657 38.93% 2,316 2.27% 41,973 41.20% 53,245 52.27% 4,615 4.53% 57,860 56.80% 1,197 1.17% 396 0.38% 401 0.39% 31 0.03% –15,887 –15.59% 101,858
Onondaga 132,723 56.22% 6,268 2.65% 138,991 58.87% 81,073 34.34% 10,642 4.50% 91,715 38.85% 2,556 1.08% 1,820 0.77% 851 0.36% 135 0.05% 47,276 20.02% 236,068
Ontario 27,389 45.89% 1,360 2.27% 28,749 48.17% 25,677 43.02% 3,105 5.20% 28,782 48.23% 984 1.64% 275 0.46% 316 0.52% 36 0.06% –33 –0.05% 59,674
Orange 80,764 46.80% 4,191 2.42% 84,955 49.23% 73,067 42.34% 12,001 6.95% 85,068 49.30% 1,389 0.80% 527 0.30% 507 0.29% 83 0.04% –113 –0.06% 172,539
Orleans 5,326 29.34% 261 1.44% 5,587 30.78% 10,972 60.44% 1,154 6.36% 12,126 66.80% 313 1.72% 50 0.28% 71 0.39% 7 0.04% –6,539 –36.02% 18,154
Oswego 20,017 36.73% 1,128 2.06% 21,145 38.80% 29,325 53.81% 2,817 5.16% 32,142 58.98% 698 1.28% 284 0.52% 207 0.37 22 0.04% –10,997 –20.18% 54,498
Otsego 12,307 43.94% 668 2.38% 12,975 46.32% 13,448 48.01% 934 3.33% 14,382 51.35% 409 1.46% 136 0.49% 96 0.34% 12 0.04% –1,407 –5.03% 28,010
Putnam 23,235 42.25% 1,720 3.12% 24,955 45.38% 26,465 48.12% 2,818 5.12% 29,283 53.25% 411 0.74% 162 0.29% 155 0.28% 25 0.04% –4,328 –7.87% 54,991
Queens 523,152 66.37% 45,886 5.82% 569,038 72.19% 197,599 25.07% 15,066 1.91% 212,665 26.98% 2,483 0.31% 2,969 0.38% 705 0.09% 402 0.05% 356,373 45.21% 788,262
Rensselaer 37,558 47.37% 3,411 4.30% 40,969 51.67% 32,143 40.54% 4,357 5.50% 36,500 46.04% 1,016 1.28% 374 0.47% 386 0.49% 41 0.05% 4,469 5.63% 79,286
Richmond (Staten Island) 85,197 39.39% 5,800 2.68% 90,997 42.07% 114,608 52.99% 8,712 4.03% 123,320 57.02% 909 0.42% 662 0.31% 265 0.12% 125 0.06% –32,323 –14.95% 216,278
Rockland 71,656 47.65% 4,146 2.76% 75,802 50.41% 64,510 42.90% 8,676 5.77% 73,186 48.67% 650 0.43% 323 0.21% 334 0.22% 74 0.05% 2,616 1.74% 150,369
St. Lawrence 18,477 41.24% 884 1.97% 19,361 43.22% 22,637 50.53% 1,971 4.40% 24,608 54.93% 437 0.98% 201 0.45% 172 0.38% 21 0.05% –5,247 –11.71% 44,800
Saratoga 64,454 48.59% 4,017 3.03% 68,471 51.62% 55,382 41.75% 5,923 4.46% 61,305 46.21% 1,737 1.31% 511 0.39% 580 0.44% 51 0.04% 7,166 5.41% 132,655
Schenectady 39,930 53.34% 2,535 3.39% 42,465 56.72% 26,737 35.72% 4,004 5.35% 30,741 41.06% 923 1.23% 352 0.47% 345 0.46% 36 0.05% 11,724 15.66% 74,862
Schoharie 4,998 31.86% 347 2.21% 5,345 34.08% 9,021 57.51% 882 5.62% 9,903 63.14% 282 1.80% 75 0.48% 77 0.49% 3 0.02% –4,558 –29.06% 15,685
Schuyler 3,622 37.19% 281 2.89% 3,903 40.07% 5,192 53.31% 429 4.40% 5,621 57.71% 130 1.33% 51 0.52% 33 0.34% 2 0.02% –1,718 –17.64% 9,740
Seneca 6,548 41.95% 366 2.34% 6,914 44.30% 7,602 48.71% 727 4.66% 8,329 53.36% 193 1.24% 73 0.47% 92 0.59% 7 0.04% –1,415 –9.06% 15,608
Steuben 15,009 32.50% 781 1.69% 15,790 34.19% 27,388 59.31% 2,086 4.52% 29,474 63.83% 570 1.23% 164 0.36% 167 0.36% 14 0.03% –13,684 –29.64% 46,179
Suffolk 364,091 47.17% 16,930 2.19% 381,021 49.37% 345,750 44.80% 35,503 4.60% 381,253 49.40% 4,593 0.59% 2,135 0.27% 2,539 0.32% 210 0.02% –232 –0.03% 771,751
Sullivan 14,424 41.63% 1,065 3.07% 15,489 44.71% 16,992 49.04% 1,673 4.83% 18,665 53.87% 247 0.71% 123 0.36% 112 0.32% 11 0.03% –3,176 –9.16% 34,647
Tioga 9,131 36.47% 503 2.01% 9,634 38.48% 13,870 55.40% 921 3.68% 14,791 59.08% 416 1.66% 92 0.37% 97 0.39% 6 0.02% –5,157 –20.60% 25,036
Tompkins 28,979 63.36% 4,640 10.15% 33,619 73.51% 10,240 22.39% 856 1.87% 11,096 24.26% 474 1.04% 365 0.80% 137 0.30% 44 0.10% 22,523 49.25% 45,735
Ulster 50,497 51.83% 7,473 7.67% 57,970 59.51% 33,891 34.79% 3,699 3.80% 37,590 38.59% 879 0.90% 618 0.63% 344 0.35% 19 0.02% 20,380 20.92% 97,420
Warren 16,606 45.94% 1,036 2.87% 17,642 48.80% 16,271 45.01% 1,428 3.95% 17,699 48.96% 424 1.17% 204 0.56% 162 0.45% 18 0.05% –57 –0.16% 36,149
Washington 10,882 38.72% 683 2.43% 11,565 41.16% 14,544 51.76% 1,397 4.97% 15,941 56.73% 340 1.21% 128 0.46% 119 0.42% 8 0.03% –4,376 –15.57% 28,101
Wayne 16,603 37.12% 853 1.91% 17,456 39.03% 23,065 51.57% 3,139 7.02% 26,204 58.59% 656 1.47% 184 0.41% 214 0.48% 13 0.03% –8,748 –19.56% 44,727
Westchester 296,193 64.06% 16,244 3.51% 312,437 67.57% 133,414 28.85% 11,316 2.44% 144,730 31.30% 2,569 0.55% 1,280 0.27% 1,145 0.24% 202 0.04% 167,707 36.27% 462,363
Wyoming 4,801 24.75% 272 1.40% 5,073 26.15% 12,552 64.70% 1,346 6.94% 13,898 71.64% 267 1.38% 63 0.32% 93 0.48% 5 0.03% –8,825 –45.49% 19,399
Yates 4,014 37.51% 205 1.92% 4,219 39.43% 5,611 52.43% 597 5.58% 6,208 58.01% 165 1.54% 40 0.37% 59 0.55% 10 0.09% –1,989 –18.58% 10,701
Total 4,858,273 56.38% 386,613 4.48% 5,244,886 60.86% 2,949,141 34.30% 295,657 3.43% 3,244,798 37.73% 60,383 0.70% 32,832 0.38% 22,656 0.26% 4,107 0.04% 1,992,889 23.13% 8,616,861
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Biden won 20 of 27 congressional districts.[45]

District Biden Trump Representative
1st 47.3% 51.5% Lee Zeldin
2nd 47.4% 51.4% Andrew Garbarino
3rd 54.7% 44.3% Thomas Suozzi
4th 55.6% 43.4% Kathleen Rice
5th 83.3% 16.2% Gregory W. Meeks
6th 61.8% 37.4% Grace Meng
7th 81.8% 17.3% Nydia Velázquez
8th 82.9% 16.5% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 81.4% 17.8% Yvette Clarke
10th 76.1% 22.9% Jerrold Nadler
11th 44.3% 54.8% Nicole Malliotakis
12th 84.1% 14.8% Carolyn Maloney
13th 88.1% 11.1% Adriano Espaillat
14th 73.3% 25.9% Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
15th 86.4% 13% Ritchie Torres
16th 75.3% 23.8% Jamaal Bowman
17th 59.6% 39.4% Mondaire Jones
18th 51.8% 46.8% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 49.8% 48.3% Antonio Delgado
20th 59.3% 38.7% Paul Tonko
21st 43.8% 54.2% Elise Stefanik
22nd 43.2% 54.7% Claudia Tenney
23rd 43.3% 54.5% Tom Reed
24th 53.4% 44.4% John Katko
25th 60.1% 37.8% Joe Morelle
26th 62.6% 35.6% Brian Higgins
27th 41.1% 56.8% Chris Jacobs

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  5. ^ Pierce (I) with 2%, "someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

References

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Further reading

External links

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