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2018 United States Senate election in Delaware

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Delaware

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout52.18%
 
Nominee Tom Carper Rob Arlett
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 217,385 137,127
Percentage 59.95% 37.81%

Carper:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Arlett:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. senator before election

Tom Carper
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Carper
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth, and ultimately final, term.

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Transcription

Background

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.

Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously faced a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.

The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran for Senate in seven other states.[2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide to win the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Tykiem Booker, activist[5]

Declined

Endorsements

Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State executive branch officials
  • Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Kerri Evelyn Harris
State legislators
County Councilpersons
City Councilpersons
Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Media
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate

Debates

Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018 for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts.[29][52] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper
Kerri Evelyn
Harris
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 354 ± 5.2% 51% 19% 30%

Results

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Carper—60–70%
Democratic primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 53,633 64.59%
Democratic Kerri Evelyn Harris 29,406 35.41%
Total votes 83,039 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Chuck Boyce, businessman[56][57] (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Declined

  • Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election)[58]
  • Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014 (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Endorsements

Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
Individuals
Gene Truono
State legislators
Republican Party officials
Political candidates
  • Lee Murphy, actor and Republican candidate for U.S. House of Representatives in Delaware
Individuals
  • Mitch Denham, Delaware Gun Rights
  • John Foltz, 11th District Chairman
  • David Gilefski, Western NCC Region Chairman
  • Shawn Michael Greener, radio host[67]
  • Dick Heller (District of Columbia v. Heller)
  • Mark Keith Robinson, NRA affiliate
  • Maj Toure, Black Guns Matter
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate

Debates

Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Rob
Arlett
Rocky
De La Fuente
Gene
Truono
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 288 ± 5.8% 19% 7% 15% 60%

Results

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Arlett—70–80%
  •   Arlett—60–70%
  •   Arlett—50–60%
Republican primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Arlett 25,284 66.77%
Republican Gene Truono 10,587 27.96%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 1,998 5.28%
Total votes 37,869 100.00%

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner[70]

Declined

Endorsements

Demitri Theodoropoulos
Individuals
Organizations

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which did not run a candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.

Candidates

Declared

  • Barry Eveland (write-in)[72]
  • Matthew Water Stout, write-in presidential candidate in 2016 (write-in)[72][73]
  • Todd Farina, ticket company owner (write-in)

General election

Endorsements

Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.

Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Other state executive branch officials
State legislators
Political candidates
Individuals
  • Matthew Albright, moderator of the Democratic primary debate[11]
  • Sandra Hall, 2016 Delaware Teacher of the Year
  • Douglas E. Krantz, rabbi[12]
  • Sonia Schorr Sloan, former Delaware President of the Board of Planned Parenthood
  • Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets[13]
  • Laura Thein, former Disabilities Caucus Chair of Young Democrats of America [79]
Organizations
Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
Individuals
Organizations
Demitri Theodoropoulos
Individuals
Organizations
Media
  • Hijacked Radio Podcast
  • The Politics of Courage[85]
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse Tom Carper
  • Tykiem Booker, former candidate
  • Kerri Evelyn Harris, former candidate
  • Justice Democrats
  • Coby Owens, social justice activist, CEO of Youth Caucus of America, and 2016 delegate for Bernie Sanders
Declined to endorse Rob Arlett

Debates

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt.[86] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.[87]

with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett

The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.

with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[88] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[89] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[90] Safe D November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[91] Safe D April 9, 2018
Fox News[92] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[93] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[94] Safe D June 2018
FiveThirtyEight[95] Safe D September 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper (D)
Rob
Arlett (R)
Nadine
Frost (L)
Demitri
Theodoropoulos (G)
Undecided
University of Delaware September 11–17, 2018 728 LV 61% 24% 3% 3% 9%
908 RV ± 3.7% 60% 22% 5% 2% 12%
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 47% 39% 14%
Hypothetical polling
with Tom Carper and Gene Truono
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper (D)
Gene
Truono (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 47% 38% 15%
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Rob Arlett
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerri Evelyn
Harris (D)
Rob
Arlett (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 42% 35% 23%
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerri Evelyn
Harris (D)
Gene
Truono (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 40% 37% 23%

Results

Results by Precinct:
Carper
  •      40-50%
  •      50-60%
  •      60-70%
  •      70-80%
  •      80-90%
  •      90-100%
Arlett
  •      40-50%
  •      50-60%
  •      60-70%
  •      70-80%
United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018[96]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 217,385 59.95% -6.47%
Republican Rob Arlett 137,127 37.81% +8.85%
Green Demitri Theodoropoulos 4,170 1.15% +0.35%
Libertarian Nadine Frost 3,910 1.09% N/A
Total votes 362,592 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 29 November 2023, at 17:41
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