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Super Bowl curse

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Super Bowl curse or Super Bowl hangover is a phrase that refers to one of three phenomena that may occur in the National Football League (NFL). First, that host teams rarely qualify for the Super Bowl during the year their city will host. Second, that teams rarely win consecutive Super Bowls. These interpretations of the Super Bowl curse are not mutually exclusive.

The term has been used since at least 1992, when The Washington Post used the term in print.[1] Former NFL General Manager Charley Casserly attributed the curse to such factors as "a shorter offseason, contract problems, [and] more demand for your players' time".[2] Casserly also noted that "once the season starts, you become the biggest game on everybody's schedule," suggesting that pressure from fans and spectators may also affect a team's performance.[2]

The Home Field Advantage Curse

The home field curse affects the host team of the Super Bowl. So far no team has yet managed to reach the Super Bowl in their home stadium. Five teams with Super Bowls in their home venue have qualified for the divisional playoffs: the Dolphins twice in 1994 and 1998, the 2016 Houston Texans, and the 2017 Minnesota Vikings, the Vikings being the first to qualify for their conference's title game. From 1966–2011 (excluding the six Super Bowl games held in a stadium without a professional team), the Super Bowl host team has had 11 winning seasons, four split seasons, and 25 losing seasons. Mathematically, the probability of that many losing seasons or more occurring by chance (assuming a 50 percent chance of having a losing season (disregarding .500 seasons)) is 7.69 percent. The Super Bowl host stadium is selected several years before the game is played, without regard to the teams that qualify.

Only two NFL teams have reached the Super Bowl hosted in their home region: the San Francisco 49ers, who played Super Bowl XIX in Stanford Stadium, rather than Candlestick Park, and the Los Angeles Rams, who played Super Bowl XIV in the Rose Bowl, rather than the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Besides Stanford Stadium and the Rose Bowl, the only other Super Bowl venue that was not the home stadium to an NFL team at the time was Rice Stadium in Houston: the Houston Oilers had played there previously, but moved to the Astrodome several years prior to Super Bowl VIII. The Miami Orange Bowl was the only AFL stadium to host a Super Bowl and the only stadium to host consecutive Super Bowls, hosting Super Bowl II and III. MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, which hosted Super Bowl XLVIII, is the home stadium of two NFL teams: the New York Giants and the New York Jets.

This list of examples is not exhaustive; no team has ever qualified for the Super Bowl played in their home stadium.

Team Host Field Season Season Record Notes
New Orleans Saints Tulane Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana 1971 (Super Bowl VI) 4–8–2
Houston Oilers Rice Stadium, Houston, Texas 1973 (Super Bowl VIII) 1–13
New Orleans Saints Tulane Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana 1974 (Super Bowl IX) 5–9
New Orleans Saints Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana 1977 (Super Bowl XII) 3–11
New Orleans Saints Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana 1980 (Super Bowl XV) 1–15
Detroit Lions Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac, Michigan 1981 (Super Bowl XVI) 9–7
Miami Dolphins Joe Robbie Stadium, Miami, Florida 1994 (Super Bowl XXIX) 10–6 Lost 22–21 to the eventual AFC champion San Diego Chargers during divisional round, despite having a 21–6 lead at halftime.
New Orleans Saints Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana 1996 (Super Bowl XXXI) 3–13
San Diego Chargers Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California 1997 (Super Bowl XXXII) 4–12
Miami Dolphins Joe Robbie Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida 1998 (Super Bowl XXXIII) 10–6 Lost 38–3 to the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos during divisional round.
Atlanta Falcons Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia 1999 (Super Bowl XXXIV) 5–11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida 2000 (Super Bowl XXXV) 10–6 Last Super Bowl host to make the playoffs until the 2014 Arizona Cardinals
New Orleans Saints Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana 2001 (Super Bowl XXXVI) 7–9
San Diego Chargers Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California 2002 (Super Bowl XXXVII) 8–8
Houston Texans Reliant Stadium, Houston, Texas 2003 (Super Bowl XXXVIII) 5–11
Jacksonville Jaguars Alltel Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida 2004 (Super Bowl XXXIX) 9–7
Detroit Lions Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan 2005 (Super Bowl XL) 5–11
Miami Dolphins Dolphin Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida 2006 (Super Bowl XLI) 6–10
Arizona Cardinals University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona 2007 (Super Bowl XLII) 8–8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida 2008 (Super Bowl XLIII) 9–7
Miami Dolphins Sun Life Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida 2009 (Super Bowl XLIV) 7–9
Dallas Cowboys Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas 2010 (Super Bowl XLV) 6-10 Quarterback Tony Romo suffered a season-ending injury to his left clavicle.
Indianapolis Colts Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana 2011 (Super Bowl XLVI) 2–14 Quarterback Peyton Manning missed the season due to neck injury.
New Orleans Saints Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana 2012 (Super Bowl XLVII) 7–9 Head coach Sean Payton was suspended for the season due to Bountygate.
New York Jets MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey 2013 (Super Bowl XLVIII) 8–8
New York Giants MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey 2013 (Super Bowl XLVIII) 7–9
Arizona Cardinals University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona 2014 (Super Bowl XLIX) 11–5 Cardinals lost quarterbacks Carson Palmer and Drew Stanton to injury prior to playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California 2015 (Super Bowl 50) 5–11 49ers fired Jim Harbaugh due to a dispute with the team's front office.
Houston Texans NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas 2016 (Super Bowl LI) 9–7 Lost 34–16 to the eventual Super Bowl champion New England Patriots during divisional round.
Minnesota Vikings U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota 2017 (Super Bowl LII) 13–3 The Vikings' last-second 29–24 victory over the Saints would catapult them to the NFC Championship Game against the Eagles, and many expected the Vikings to win. Despite this, the eventual Super Bowl champions defeated the Vikings 38–7. This was the closest a home-field team ever came to hosting the Super Bowl.
Atlanta Falcons Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia 2018 (Super Bowl LIII) 7–9 The Falcons would lose several key starters to injury early in the season and were eliminated from playoff contention in Week 15.
Miami Dolphins Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida 2019 (Super Bowl LIV) 5–11 The Dolphins were criticized for intentionally losing games after trading Laremy Tunsil, Kenny Stills, and Minkah Fitzpatrick for multiple draft picks. The Dolphins were pounded in their first 4 games, losing by 3 TD or more. After they were 3–9, the Steelers beat the Browns 20–13, which mathematically eliminated the Dolphins from playoff contention in Week 13.

The Non-Repeat Curse

Since 1993, few winning teams have followed up their Super Bowl appearances with a second Super Bowl appearance, or even advanced to a conference title game in the subsequent season (the 1994 Dallas Cowboys qualified for their conference title but did not qualify for the Super Bowl). Only seven teams have won back-to-back Super Bowl championships, and only one of these seven have made more than two consecutive winning appearances in the Super Bowl. The only franchise to reach more than three straight title games was the Buffalo Bills who lost four Super Bowls in a row from 1990–93. The salary cap, draft, free agency and the schedule makes it more difficult to win repeat league championships in the NFL, compared to other major North American professional sports leagues (MLB, NBA, and NHL) where dynasties have been prevalent.[3]

Since 2005, no incumbent holder has managed to successfully defend their title. Between 2006 and 2013, every defending Super Bowl champion would conclude the following season either losing their opening playoff game or failing to qualify for the playoffs.

This list of examples includes every team that has ever had back-to-back appearances at the Super Bowl.

Team First Super Bowl Appearance Score Second Super Bowl Appearance Score Third Super Bowl Appearance Score Fourth Super Bowl Appearance Score
Dallas Cowboys 1970 (Super Bowl V) 13–16 1971 (Super Bowl VI) 24–3
Miami Dolphins 1971 (Super Bowl VI) 3–24 1972 (Super Bowl VII) 14–7 1973 (Super Bowl VIII) 24–7
Pittsburgh Steelers 1974 (Super Bowl IX) 16–6 1975 (Super Bowl X) 21–17
Dallas Cowboys 1977 (Super Bowl XII) 27–10 1978 (Super Bowl XIII) 31–35
Pittsburgh Steelers 1978 (Super Bowl XIII) 35–31 1979 (Super Bowl XIV) 31–19
Washington Redskins 1982 (Super Bowl XVII) 27–17 1983 (Super Bowl XVIII) 9–38
San Francisco 49ers 1988 (Super Bowl XXIII) 20–16 1989 (Super Bowl XXIV) 55–10
Buffalo Bills 1990 (Super Bowl XXV) 19–20 1991 (Super Bowl XXVI) 24–37 1992 (Super Bowl XXVII) 17–52 1993 (Super Bowl XXVIII) 13–30
Dallas Cowboys 1992 (Super Bowl XXVII) 52–17 1993 (Super Bowl XXVIII) 30–13
Green Bay Packers 1996 (Super Bowl XXXI) 35–21 1997 (Super Bowl XXXII) 24–31
Denver Broncos 1997 (Super Bowl XXXII) 31–24 1998 (Super Bowl XXXIII) 34–19
New England Patriots 2003 (Super Bowl XXXVIII) 32–29 2004 (Super Bowl XXXIX) 24–21
Seattle Seahawks 2013 (Super Bowl XLVIII) 43–8 2014 (Super Bowl XLIX) 24–28
New England Patriots 2016 (Super Bowl LI) 34–28 (OT) 2017 (Super Bowl LII) 33–41 2018 (Super Bowl LIII) 13–3

The Losers' Curse

Although many teams experience this phenomenon, it is certainly not the rule. There are many speculations made about potential causal factors for this trend, including the team having a shorter offseason due to their extended postseason play, difficulty settling contracts[4], more pressure on the players, and an increase in visibility, which could contribute to nervous playing.[2][5] Only the 1971 Dallas Cowboys, 1972 Miami Dolphins, and 2018 New England Patriots have followed up a Super Bowl defeat with Super Bowl win the following season.

One piece of the Super Bowl curse asserts the team that loses the Super Bowl will go into losing seasons overall. The trend was especially evident during the early 2000s.[6]

This list of examples is not exhaustive.

Team Super Bowl Season Season Record Super Bowl Score Season Record
Cincinnati Bengals 1988 (Super Bowl XXIII) 12–4 16–20 1989 8–8
Denver Broncos 1989 (Super Bowl XXIV) 11–5 10–55 1990 5–11
Buffalo Bills 1993 (Super Bowl XXVIII) 12–4 13–30 1994 7–9
Atlanta Falcons 1998 (Super Bowl XXXIII) 14–2 19–34 1999 5–11
New York Giants 2000 (Super Bowl XXXV) 12–4 7–34 2001 7–9
St. Louis Rams 2001 (Super Bowl XXXVI) 14–2 17–20 2002 7–9
Oakland Raiders 2002 (Super Bowl XXXVII) 11–5 21–48 2003 4–12
Carolina Panthers 2003 (Super Bowl XXXVIII) 11–5 29–32 2004 7–9
Philadelphia Eagles 2004 (Super Bowl XXXIX) 13–3 21–24 2005 6–10
Chicago Bears 2006 (Super Bowl XLI) 13–3 17–29 2007 7–9
New England Patriots 2007 (Super Bowl XLII) 16–0 14–17 2008 11–5
Carolina Panthers 2015 (Super Bowl 50) 15–1 10–24 2016 6–10
Los Angeles Rams 2018 (Super Bowl LIII) 13–3 3–13 2019 9–7

Further reading

  • "Credit Belichick for beating Super Bowl curse". The Sacramento Bee. October 25, 2006. pp. C3.
  • Freeman, Mike (December 12, 1991). "Fans cry: Off with Giants' Head (Coach)!". The Washington Post.
  • Green Jr., Ron (November 5, 2004). "Lost-the-Super-Bowl blues afflict Panthers, Raiders". The Charlotte Observer. pp. 2C.
  • "Less and more than rumored Miami and the Super Bowl curse". Sarasota Herald Tribune. January 30, 1999.
  • Penner, Mike (August 27, 2006). "Curses are reality to fantasy leaguers". Los Angeles Times. pp. D.2.

References

External links

This page was last edited on 28 July 2020, at 23:34
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