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Seine River (electoral district)

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Seine River
Manitoba electoral district
Location in Winnipeg
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA
 
 
 
Billie Cross
New Democratic
District created1989
First contested1990
Last contested2023

Seine River (French: Rivière-Seine) is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It was created by redistribution in 1989, and has formally existed since the 1990 provincial election. The constituency is located in the southern section of the City of Winnipeg.

Seine River is bordered to the south and east by the rural riding of Dawson Trail, to the north by Southdale and Riel, and to the west by St. Norbert. The riding is mostly urban, although it also includes some rural space.

The riding's population in 1996 was 18,833. In 1999, the average family income was $63,800, and the unemployment rate was 4.20%. Seine River's francophone population is 9%, and there is also a significant German community (4%). Health and social services account for 14% of the riding's industry.

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Transcription

Most people have heard of the Electoral College during presidential election years. But what exactly is the Electoral College? Simply said, it is a group of people appointed by each state who formally elect the President and Vice President of the United States. To understand how this process began and how it continues today, we can look at the Constitution of the United States: article two, section one, clause two of the constitution. It specifies how many electors each state is entitled to have. Since 1964, there have been 538 electors in each presidential election. How do they decide on the number 538? Well, the number of electors is equal to the total voting membership of the United States Congress. 435 representatives, plus 100 senators, and 3 electors from the District of Columbia. Essentially, the Democratic candidate and Republican candidate are each trying to add up the electors in every state so that they surpass 270 electoral votes, or just over half the 538 votes, and win the presidency. So how do states even get electoral votes? Each state receives a particular number of electors based on population size. The census is conducted every 10 years, so every time the census happens, states might gain or lose a few electoral votes. Let's say you're a voter in California, a state with 55 electoral votes. If your candidate wins in California, they get all 55 of the state's electoral votes. If your candidate loses, they get none. This is why many presidential candidates want to win states like Texas, Florida, and New York. If you currently add up the electoral votes of those three states, you would have 96 electoral votes. Even if a candidate won North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Wyoming, Vermont, New Hampshire. Connecticut and West Virginia, they would only gain 31 electoral votes total from those eight states. Here is where it can get a little tricky. On a rare occasion, like in the year 2000, someone can win the popular vote but fail to gain 270 electoral votes. This means that the winner may have won and collected their electoral votes by small margins, winning just enough states with just enough electoral votes, but the losing candidate may have captured large voter margins in the remaining states. If this is the case, the very large margins secured by the losing candidate in the other states would add up to over 50% of the ballots cast nationally. Therefore, the losing candidate may have gained more than 50% of the ballots cast by voters, but failed to gain 270 of the electoral votes. Some critics of the electoral college argue the system gives an unfair advantage to states with large numbers of electoral votes. Think of it this way. It is possible for a candidate to not get a single person's vote -- not one vote -- in 39 states, or the District of Columbia, yet be elected president by winning the popular vote in just 11 of these 12 states: California, New York, Texas, Florida, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Georgia or Virginia. This is why both parties pay attention to these states. However, others argue that the electoral college protects small states such as Rhode Island, Vermont and New Hampshire, and even geographically large states with small populations like Alaska, Wyoming and the Dakotas. That's because a candidate can't completely ignore small states, because in a close election, every electoral vote counts. There are certain states that have a long history of voting for a particular party. These are known as "safe states." For the past four election cycles -- in 1996, 2000, 2004 and 2008 -- Democrats could count on states like Oregon, Maryland, Michigan and Massachusetts, whereas the Republicans could count on states like Mississippi, Alabama, Kansas and Idaho. States that are teetering between between parties are called "swing states." In the past four election cycles, Ohio and Florida have been swing states, twice providing electoral votes for a Democratic candidate, and twice providing electoral votes for a Republican candidate. Think about it. Do you live in a safe state? If so, is it a Democratic or Republican safe state? Do you live in a swing state? Are your neighboring states swing or safe? Is the population in your state increasing or decreasing? And do not forget, when you are watching the electoral returns on election night every four years and the big map of the United States is on the screen, know that the magic number is 270 and start adding.

List of provincial representatives

This riding has elected the following MLAs:

Parliament Years Member Party
Riding created from Niakwa and Riel
32nd 1990–1995     Louise Dacquay Progressive Conservative
33rd 1995–1999
34th 1999–2003
35th 2003–2007     Theresa Oswald New Democratic
36th 2007–2011
37th 2011–2016
38th 2016–2019     Janice Morley-Lecomte Progressive Conservative
39th 2019–2023
40th 2023–present     Billie Cross New Democratic

Electoral results

2023 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Billie Cross 5,381 52.08 +26.07 $31,559.04
Progressive Conservative Janice Morley-Lecomte 3,974 38.46 -6.58 $39,828.20
Liberal James Bloomfield 846 8.19 -13.97 $0.00
Independent Martin J. Stadler 131 1.27 $1,388.96
Total valid votes/Expense limit 10,332 99.64 $63,492.00
Total rejected and declined ballots 37 0.36
Turnout 10,369 63.64 +1.52
Eligible voters 16,293
New Democratic gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +16.32
2019 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Janice Morley-Lecomte 4,372 45.04 -8.24 $33,665.77
New Democratic Durdana Islam 2,525 26.01 +2.88 $12,437.08
Liberal James Bloomfield 2,151 22.16 -1.42 $12,202.10
Green Bryanne Lamoureux 659 6.79 New $0.00
Total valid votes 9,707 99.45
Total rejected ballots 54 0.55
Turnout 9,761 62.12
Eligible voters 15,712
2016 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Janice Morley-Lecomte 5,396 53.28 +9.35 $45,124.99
Liberal Peter Chura 2,388 23.58 +20.74 $9,466.12
New Democratic Lise Pinkos 2,343 23.13 -29.75 $21,504.71
Total valid votes/expense limit 10,127 100.0   $47,949.00
Total rejected ballots 177
Turnout 10,304 66.80
Eligible voters 15,424
Source: Elections Manitoba[4][5]
2011 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Theresa Oswald 5,500 52.88 −4.01 $26,190.15
Progressive Conservative Gord Steeves 4,569 43.93 +11.73 $30,207.87
Liberal Troy Osiname 295 2.84 −8.04 $1,577.80
Total valid votes 10,364
Rejected and declined ballots 36
Turnout 10,400 70.82
Electors on the lists 14,686
Source: Elections Manitoba[6]
2007 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Theresa Oswald 5,786 56.89 +5.83 $27,615.58
Progressive Conservative Steve Andjelic 3,275 32.20 -10.20 $31,015.94
Liberal Jennifer Lukovich 1,111 10.88 +4.33 $4,915.77
Total valid votes 10,172 100.00
Rejected and declined ballots 41
Turnout 10,213 63.35
Electors on the lists 16,147
Source: Elections Manitoba[7]
2003 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Theresa Oswald 4,314 51.06 +15.72 $25,157.95
  Progressive Conservative Louise Dacquay 3,582 42.40 -5.38 $16,327.06
Liberal Luciano Vacca 553 6.55 -8.68 $2,583.50
Total valid votes 8,489 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 20
Turnout 8,469 59.35 -14.77
Eligible voters 14,270
1999 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Louise Dacquay 4,684 47.78 -1.92 $27,151.56
New Democratic Leslie Fingler 3,464 35.34 +18.70 $6,241.00
Liberal Jake Pankratz 1,493 15.23 -18.43 $19,063.41
Manitoba Warren Goodwin 129 1.32 n/a $2,030.38
Total valid votes 9,770 99.66
Rejected and declined ballots 33
Turnout 9,803 74.12
Electors on the lists 13,225
Progressive Conservative hold Swing -10.31
Source: Elections Manitoba[8]
1995 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Louise Dacquay 6,462 49.70 +8.98
Liberal Bobbi Éthier 4,376 33.66 -6.64
New Democratic Wilson Ho 2,163 16.64 +0.30
Turnout 13,062 74.53
Electors on the lists 17,525
Progressive Conservative hold Swing +7.81
Source: Elections Manitoba[9]
1990 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Conservative Louise Dacquay 4,465 40.72
Liberal Herold Driedger 4,418 40.30
New Democratic Keith Kendall 1,792 16.34
Western Independence Lyle Cruickshank 289 2.64
Turnout 10,995 72.89
Electors on the lists 15,084
Source: Elections Manitoba[10]

Previous boundaries

The 1999-2011 boundaries for Seine River highlighted in red

References

  1. ^ "Summary of Votes Received" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Retrieved May 4, 2024.
  2. ^ "CANDIDATE ELECTION RETURNS GENERAL ELECTION 2023". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  3. ^ "2023 GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATE AND REGISTERED PARTY ELECTION EXPENSE LIMITS - FINAL EXPENSE LIMIT" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Retrieved May 4, 2024.
  4. ^ "Candidates: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. March 29, 2016. Retrieved March 31, 2016.
  5. ^ "41ST GENERAL ELECTION, APRIL 19, 2016 - OFFICIAL RESULTS". Elections Manitoba. April 19, 2016. Retrieved November 18, 2016.
  6. ^ "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved August 28, 2018.
  7. ^ {{cite web |url=http://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/en/Results/39_division_results/39_seine-river_summary_results.html - 2007 Results
  8. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on September 28, 2011. Retrieved August 10, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - 1999 Results
  9. ^ "Historical Summary" (PDF). Retrieved December 7, 2018.
  10. ^ "Historical Summary" (PDF). Retrieved December 7, 2018.

49°47′13″N 97°05′24″W / 49.787°N 97.090°W / 49.787; -97.090

This page was last edited on 7 May 2024, at 00:22
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