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Opinion polling for the 2019 Canadian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
2008
Opinion polls
2011
Opinion polls • By constituency
2015
Opinion polls • By constituency
2019
Opinion polls • By constituency
2021
Opinion polls • By constituency

This page provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2015 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2019 Canadian federal election, which was held on October 21. For riding-specific polls see 2019 constituency polls.

National polls

Campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the 2019 Canadian federal election campaign, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[1] 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
2019 election October 21, 2019 HTML 33.1 34.3 16.0 7.6 6.5 1.6 N/A 18,170,880 N/A 1.2
Nanos Research October 20, 2019 [1] 31.7 32.5 20.8 7.2 6.0 1.5 ±3.6 pp 800 telephone 0.8
Mainstreet Research October 20, 2019 [2] 31.6 32.2 18.3 7.9 6.1 2.8 ±2.17 pp 2,032 IVR 0.6
Research Co. October 20, 2019 [3] 32 31 19 7 8 2 ±3.1 pp 957 online 1
EKOS October 20, 2019 [4] 34.2 30.0 18.3 5.0 8.1 3.5 ±2.2 pp 1,994 telephone/IVR 4.2
Campaign Research October 20, 2019 [5] 31.4 31.3 17.8 6.6 9.1 2.7 ±1.4 pp 1,498 online (rolling) 0.1
Ipsos October 19, 2019 [6] 31 33 18 7 6 3 ±2 pp 3,108 online/telephone 2
Abacus Data October 19, 2019 [7] 34 32 16 8 8 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 2
Nanos Research October 19, 2019 [8] 31.0 31.5 18.8 7.0 9.5 1.8 ±2.4 pp 1,600 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.5
Campaign Research October 19, 2019 [9] 31.7 31.4 17.4 6.6 9.1 2.7 ±1.6 pp 1,554 online (rolling) 0.3
Forum Research October 18, 2019 [10] 31.7 29.9 17.5 9.0 8.3 3.0 ±3 pp 1,206 IVR 1.8
Leger October 18, 2019 [11] 33 33 18 8 6 2 ±2.13 pp 2,117 online 0
Mainstreet Research October 18, 2019 [12] 32.8 31.9 18.3 7.2 5.5 3.3 ±2.11 pp 2,134 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9
Nanos Research October 18, 2019 [13] 32.6 30.3 18.4 7.1 9.3 1.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Campaign Research October 18, 2019 [14] 31 31 18 7 9 3 ±2.2 pp 1,987 online 0
Innovative Research October 17, 2019 [15] 33 31 14 9 8 4 N/A 1,964 online 2
Innovative Research October 17, 2019 [16] 34 30 19 6 8 2 N/A 3,094 online 4
EKOS October 17, 2019 [17] 31.0 32.5 17.6 5.5 7.9 3.6 ±2.3 pp 1,881 telephone/IVR 1.5
Mainstreet Research October 17, 2019 [18] 32.1 31.9 18.8 7.6 5.8 3.0 ±2.11 pp 2,163 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2
Nanos Research October 17, 2019 [19] 31.5 31.6 19.0 6.2 9.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.1
DART/Maru October 16, 2019 [20] 29 33 21 8 7 2 ±2.9 pp 1,518 online 4
Forum Research October 16, 2019 [21] 30 29 20 7 8 4 ±3 pp 1,028 IVR 1
Mainstreet Research October 16, 2019 [22] 31.9 30.9 18.6 7.6 7.0 3.2 ±2.12 pp 2,128 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.0
Nanos Research October 16, 2019 [23] 31.5 32.5 18.9 6.0 9.2 1.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0
Mainstreet Research October 15, 2019 [24] 30.9 30.6 18.3 7.9 7.7 3.6 ±2.15 pp 2,070 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Nanos Research October 15, 2019 [25] 31.9 32.5 18.8 5.9 9.4 1.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.6
Angus Reid October 15, 2019 [26] 29 33 19 8 8 3 ±2.0 pp 2,100 online 4
EKOS October 15, 2019 [27] 31.2 31.8 18.4 6.4 6.8 3.4 ±2.3 pp 1,904 telephone/IVR 0.6
Mainstreet Research October 14, 2019 [28] 30.7 31.1 17.2 8.1 8.5 3.6 ±2.15 pp 2,076 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.4
Ipsos October 13, 2019 [29] 30 32 20 7 8 2 ±2.4 pp 2,204 online/telephone 2
Mainstreet Research October 13, 2019 [30] 30.7 32.3 16.6 7.8 8.3 3.4 ±2.11 pp 2,150 IVR (rolling) 1.6
Nanos Research October 13, 2019 [31] 32.3 32.1 19.2 5.9 9.3 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Nanos Research October 12, 2019 [32] 31.5 32.3 19.7 6.2 9.0 1.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8
Nanos Research October 11, 2019 [33] 33.2 32.1 18.1 5.9 8.9 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Abacus Data October 10, 2019 [34] 32 32 18 6 9 2 ±1.9 pp 3,000 online 0
Campaign Research October 10, 2019 [35] 29 31 19 7 10 3 ±1.54 pp 4,037 online 2
Mainstreet Research October 10, 2019 [36] 28.9 31.7 16.6 7.6 9.4 4.2 ±2 pp 2,274 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research October 10, 2019 [37] 35.4 33.2 15.3 5.3 8.8 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.2
Innovative Research October 10, 2019 [38] 35 31 15 6 10 3 N/A 2,394 online 4
Angus Reid October 10, 2019 [39] 29 34 17 7 9 3 ±1.8 pp 3,031 online 5
EKOS October 10, 2019 [40] 30.5 31.7 13.1 5.4 12.8 4.7 ±2.2 pp 1,947 telephone/IVR 1.2
DART/Maru October 9, 2019 [41] 28 33 20 9 7 2 ±3.1 pp 1,510 online 5
Mainstreet Research October 9, 2019 [42] 30.2 32.2 15.1 7.2 9.8 4.0 ±2.04 pp 2,309 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.0
Nanos Research October 9, 2019 [43] 36.9 33.2 14.1 5.1 8.2 1.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.7
Leger October 8, 2019 [44] 31 31 18 7 11 3 ±2.11 pp 2,150 online 0
Forum Research October 8, 2019 [45] 28 35 13 7 12 3 ±3 pp 1,013 IVR 7
Mainstreet Research October 8, 2019 [46] 31.7 32.0 14.3 6.1 10.3 4.2 ±2 pp 2,445 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Nanos Research October 8, 2019 [47] 35.6 34.8 13.4 5.2 9.1 1.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8
Mainstreet Research October 7, 2019 [48] 32.6 33.1 13.2 6.5 10.1 3.4 ±2.11 pp 2,108 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5
Nanos Research October 7, 2019 [49] 34.6 34.8 13.5 5.1 9.8 1.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Ipsos October 7, 2019 [50] 35 34 15 7 7 2 ±2.9 pp 1,502 online 1
Innovative Research October 7, 2019 [51] 35 33 13 5 10 4 N/A 2,835 online 2
Mainstreet Research October 6, 2019 [52] 33.1 33.3 13.3 6.3 9.7 2.9 ±2.13 pp 2,108 IVR (rolling) 0.2
Nanos Research October 6, 2019 [53] 34.3 33.4 15.0 5.1 9.6 1.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.9
Abacus Data October 5, 2019 [54] 35 33 16 5 8 1 ±2 pp 1,556 online 2
Nanos Research October 5, 2019 [55] 36.7 32.7 15.0 4.9 8.0 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.0
Nanos Research October 4, 2019 [56] 36.2 32.6 15.6 5.8 7.4 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.6
Mainstreet Research October 3, 2019 [57] 34.3 34.8 11.4 5.8 9.1 3.2 ±2.07 pp 2,207 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5
Nanos Research October 3, 2019 [58] 36.3 34.3 13.8 5.9 8.2 1.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Campaign Research October 2, 2019 [59] 32 34 14 5 11 3 ±1.4 pp 4,755 online 2
Mainstreet Research October 2, 2019 [60] 33.4 36.4 11.9 5.7 9.0 2.5 ±2.07 pp 2,234 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.0
Nanos Research October 2, 2019 [61] 32.9 35.2 14.9 5.5 9.9 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Forum Research October 1, 2019 [62] 34 31 12 6 12 4 ±3 pp 1,853 IVR 3
Mainstreet Research October 1, 2019 [63] 33.5 36.0 11.6 5.3 10.0 2.8 ±2.06 pp 2,259 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5
Nanos Research October 1, 2019 [64] 34.2 33.9 15.2 4.5 10.2 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Mainstreet Research September 30, 2019 [65] 33.3 36.1 11.6 5.3 10.0 2.9 ±2.1 pp 2,183 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research September 30, 2019 [66] 32.2 34.5 14.3 4.4 11.1 3.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Leger September 30, 2019 [67] 34 34 14 5 11 2 ±2.48 pp 1,558 online 0
Angus Reid September 30, 2019 [68] 30 37 14 7 8 3 ±3 pp 1,522 online 7
Ipsos September 30, 2019 [69] 34 37 15 5 7 2 ±2.9 pp 1,489 online 3
Mainstreet Research September 29, 2019 [70] 34.4 34.1 10.9 5.6 10.5 3.4 ±2.12 pp 2,140 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Nanos Research September 29, 2019 [71] 32.7 34.0 13.2 4.1 12.6 2.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.3
EKOS September 29, 2019 [72] 33.4 31.1 11.4 3.0 13.4 5.1 ±2.5 pp 1,492 telephone/IVR 2.3
Mainstreet Research September 28, 2019 [73] 34.0 33.7 11.7 5.8 10.1 3.7 ±2.06 pp 2,270 (2/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Nanos Research September 28, 2019 [74] 32.5 34.2 13.0 4.6 12.6 2.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research September 27, 2019 [75] 32.6 34.1 14.4 3.8 13.2 1.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5
Research Co. September 26, 2019 [76] 36 33 15 5 9 2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 3
Mainstreet Research September 26, 2019 [77] 33.4 35.6 10.7 5.6 9.7 3.7 ±1.98 pp 2,436 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.2
Nanos Research September 26, 2019 [78] 34.4 33.7 15.0 4.4 10.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Abacus Data September 26, 2019 [79] 35 33 15 5 10 2 ±2.3 pp 1,975 online 2
Mainstreet Research September 25, 2019 [80] 34.4 35.8 10.7 5.5 9.2 3.4 ±2.1 pp 2,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.4
Nanos Research September 25, 2019 [81] 35.5 33.6 14.5 4.7 9.5 2.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.9
Innovative Research September 25, 2019 [82] 35 31 14 5 10 5 N/A 2,302 online 4
Mainstreet Research September 24, 2019 [83] 35.2 35.5 10.8 5.2 9.3 2.9 ±2.1 pp 2,389 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Nanos Research September 24, 2019 [84] 35.3 35.4 12.7 5.5 8.8 2.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.1
Leger September 24, 2019 [85] 34 33 13 5 11 4 ±2.11 pp 2,153 online 1
Innovative Research September 24, 2019 [86] 35 34 12 5 10 4 N/A 2,496 online 1
Mainstreet Research September 23, 2019 [87] 34.4 35.9 11.2 4.8 9.6 ±2.03 pp 2,333 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.5
Nanos Research September 23, 2019 [88] 35.1 33.5 12.9 5.7 10.1 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.6
Angus Reid September 23, 2019 [89] 30 35 15 6 11 3 ±2.5 pp 1,523 online 5
Ipsos September 23, 2019 [90] 32 36 15 4 11 2 ±2.9 pp 1,500 online 4
Mainstreet Research September 22, 2019 [91] 33.7 35.8 ±2.1 pp 2,168 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.1
Nanos Research September 22, 2019 [92] 33.1 34.3 12.8 5.8 10.6 2.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.2
EKOS September 22, 2019 [93] 32.0 35.3 10.9 4.9 10.3 4.1 ±2.8 pp 1,272 IVR 3.3
Abacus Data September 22, 2019 [94] 32 34 15 4 10 3 ±2.3 pp 1,929 online 2
Mainstreet Research September 21, 2019 [95] 33.9 34.8 11.4 4.9 10.7 3.6 ±2.13 pp 2,124 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9
Forum Research September 21, 2019 [96] 33 33 11 6 11 5 ±3 pp 2,449 IVR 0
Nanos Research September 21, 2019 [97] 32.9 35.5 14.0 5.3 9.5 2.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.6
DART/Maru September 20, 2019 [98] 30 37 15 6 8 3 ±2.9 pp 1,520 online 7
Mainstreet Research September 20, 2019 [99] 35.9 34.2 10.9 4.8 10.4 3.1 ±2.14 pp 2,087 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research September 20, 2019 [100] 32.0 36.8 13.7 5.4 9.0 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.8
Mainstreet Research September 19, 2019 [101] 36.8 34.2 10.1 4.7 9.8 3.7 ±2.14 pp 2,087 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.6
Nanos Research September 19, 2019 [102] 34.2 37.4 12.8 3.5 9.3 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Mainstreet Research September 18, 2019 [103] 37.2 34.4 9.8 4.4 10.1 3.3 ±2.21 pp 1,935 (2/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research September 18, 2019 [104] 35.0 37.8 11.8 4.0 7.7 2.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research September 17, 2019 [105] 35.5 37.2 13.6 4.0 7.0 1.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.7
Leger September 17, 2019 [106] 34 33 12 5 11 4 ±2.45 pp 1,598 online 1
Mainstreet Research September 16, 2019 [107] 36.8 34.8 9.7 4.5 9.4 3.8 ±2.23 pp 1,935 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.0
Nanos Research September 16, 2019 [108] 34.9 35.9 15.4 4.7 6.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0
Angus Reid September 16, 2019 [109] 33 36 13 5 9 4 ±2.0 pp 2,154 online 3
Mainstreet Research September 15, 2019 [110][111] 36.5 35.0 9.6 4.3 9.9 3.5 ±2.23 pp 1,935 IVR (rolling) 1.5
Nanos Research September 15, 2019 [112] 34.0 34.4 16.4 4.4 7.8 2.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.4
Innovative Research September 15, 2019 [113] 35 32 14 4 11 4 N/A 1,622 online 3
Nanos Research September 14, 2019 [114] 35.2 32.3 16.6 3.8 9.6 2.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.9
Ipsos September 13, 2019 [115] 35 35 14 4 9 2 ±2.2 pp 2,562 online/telephone 0
Nanos Research September 13, 2019 [116] 35.4 32.8 15.7 3.6 9.5 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone (rolling) 2.6
DART/Maru September 11, 2019 [117] 32 35 15 6 8 2 ±2.9 pp 1,517 online 3
Forum Research September 11, 2019 [118] 32.4 36.3 8.6 4.1 11.6 4.9 ±3 pp 1,001 IVR 3.9

Pre-campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 2019 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[1] 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[5] Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Abacus Data September 10, 2019 [119] 33 35 15 4 10 3 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 2
Leger September 9, 2019 [120] 34 35 11 5 11 3 ±2.49 pp 1,546 online 1
Mainstreet Research September 8, 2019 [121] 37.5 34.0 8.4 3.6 10.8 4.6 ±2.26 pp 1,876 IVR 3.5
Nanos Research September 6, 2019 [122] 34.6 30.7 16.5 4.0 11.0 2.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.9
Campaign Research September 5, 2019 [123] 34 34 12 4 12 2 ±2.14 pp 2,094 online 0
Innovative Research September 5, 2019 [124] 33 34 13 5 11 5 N/A 3,236 online 1
Nanos Research August 30, 2019 [125] 35.4 31.3 15.7 4.4 10.3 1.6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.1
EKOS August 29, 2019 [126] 37.2 32.9 7.2 5.5 10.4 4.3 ±3.3 pp 902 IVR 4.3
Leger August 29, 2019 [127] 34 33 12 5 12 3 ±2.14 pp 2,102 online 1
Abacus Data August 29, 2019 [128] 33 34 17 4 9 3 ±1.5 pp 4,549 online 1
Angus Reid August 26, 2019 [129] 32 36 14 4 9 4 ±2.5 pp 1,534 online 4
Nanos Research August 23, 2019 [130] 33.66 33.65 14.87 4.17 9.41 2.09 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.01
EKOS August 22, 2019 [131] 33.1 34.1 10.4 5.1 11.2 3.7 ±2.9 pp 1,182 IVR 1.0
Leger August 19, 2019 [132] 33 33 11 4 13 4 ±2.5 pp 1,535 online 0
Ipsos August 19, 2019 [133] 33 35 18 3 9 1 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 2
Abacus Data August 19, 2019 [134] 32 32 17 4 10 3 ±2.2 pp 2,152 online 0
DART/Maru August 17, 2019 [135] 32 39 15 5 7 1 ±2.9 pp 1,512 online 7
Nanos Research August 16, 2019 [136] 34.61 31.41 14.58 4.16 10.00 1.68 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.20
Campaign Research August 13, 2019 [137] 32 33 13 4 12 3 ±2 pp 2,365 online 1
Nanos Research August 9, 2019 [138] 35.00 32.46 14.75 3.69 9.80 1.33 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.54
Abacus Data August 6, 2019 [139] 32 33 17 4 10 3 ±2.7 pp 1,422 online 1
Nanos Research August 2, 2019 [140] 36.7 30.8 16.1 3.7 9.3 1.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 5.9
Mainstreet Research July 31, 2019 [141] 34.5 34.1 11.1 4.4 11.1 3.3 ±1.97 pp 2,463 IVR 0.4
Innovative Research July 31, 2019 [142] 36 32 14 4 10 4 N/A 1,804 online 4
Forum Research July 28, 2019 [143] 31 34 12 5 12 5 ±3 pp 1,733 IVR 3
EKOS July 25, 2019 [144] 30.6 36.0 9.9 4.6 12.9 3.8 ±2.9 pp 1,115 IVR 5.4
Leger July 23, 2019 [145] 33 36 11 4 12 3 ±2.5 pp 1,536 online 3
EKOS July 18, 2019 [146] 33.6 31.3 12.5 3.1 12.5 4.8 ±2.9 pp 1,186 IVR 2.3
Nanos Research July 19, 2019 [147] 35.6 30.0 18.6 4.0 9.0 1.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.6
Research Co. July 17, 2019 [148] 34 31 17 4 10 3 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 3
Abacus Data July 17, 2019 [149] 32 32 16 4 11 3 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 0
Ipsos July 15, 2019 [150] 31 37 18 5 7 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 6
Campaign Research July 12, 2019 [151] 33 32 14 4 14 3 ±2.3 pp 1,896 online 1
Angus Reid July 12, 2019 [152] 30 38 14 4 10 2 ±2.0 pp 2,361 online 8
Nanos Research July 12, 2019 [153] 35.9 29.7 18.5 4.8 8.3 1.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.2
EKOS July 8, 2019 [154] 30.7 32.3 10.8 5.0 14.9 4.2 ±3.2 pp 948 IVR 1.6
Innovative Research July 8, 2019 [155] 35 32 12 4 11 5 N/A 2,515 online 3
Nanos Research July 5, 2019 [156] 34.6 30.4 17.9 4.9 8.8 1.6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.2
Abacus Data July 2, 2019 [157] 32 33 16 4 11 3 ±1.8 pp 3,092 online 1
Mainstreet Research July 2, 2019 [158] 35.0 33.2 10.4 4.5 10.3 4.6 ±1.9 pp 2,651 IVR 1.8
EKOS June 29, 2019 [159] 31.6 34.1 9.7 3.8 12.6 5.7 N/A 1,194 IVR 2.5
Nanos Research June 28, 2019 [160] 34.5 31.7 16.5 4.6 9.8 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
DART/Maru June 26, 2019 [161] 33 37 17 5 7 1 ±2.9 pp 1,512 online 4
Forum Research June 23, 2019 [162] 29 35 13 5 12 4 ±3 pp 1,539 IVR 6
Nanos Research June 21, 2019 [163] 32.5 32.8 16.9 4.9 10.2 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.3
EKOS June 17, 2019 [164] 30.1 34.2 12.0 4.3 13.2 3.6 ±2.0 pp 2,491 IVR 4.1
Nanos Research June 14, 2019 [165] 30.3 34.0 16.8 4.6 11.4 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.7
Leger June 10, 2019 [166] 29 38 13 4 11 3 ±2.5 pp 1,528 online 9
Ipsos June 7, 2019 [167] 31 37 18 5 6 ±3.5 pp 1,003 online 6
Nanos Research June 7, 2019 [168] 30.9 34.2 16.9 4.0 11.3 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Campaign Research June 6, 2019 [169] 32 35 14 4 12 2 ±1.9 pp 2,735 online 3
Angus Reid June 4, 2019 [170] 26 37 15 5 12 4 ±2 pp 4,698 online 11
Forum Research June 2, 2019 [171] 30 34 13 6 13 4 ±3 pp 1,633 IVR 4
Nanos Research May 31, 2019 [172] 29.5 34.3 16.4 4.4 11.5 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.8
Innovative Research May 30, 2019 [173] 33 33 12 5 13 N/A 1,691 online 0
Abacus Data May 30, 2019 [174] 33 32 16 3 12 3 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 1
Nanos Research May 24, 2019 [175] 29.2 34.8 15.6 4.7 11.5 1.6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.6
Nanos Research May 17, 2019 [176] 30.6 35.9 14.2 4.0 11.1 1.1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.3
Nanos Research May 10, 2019 [177] 29.7 35.4 15.0 4.4 11.3 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
Nanos Research May 3, 2019 [178] 31.8 34.5 15.9 4.6 9.7 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.7
Campaign Research May 1, 2019 [179] 31 35 17 3 10 2 ±2.6 pp 1,471 online 4
Angus Reid April 30, 2019 [180] 25 38 18 5 11 3 ±2.5 pp 1,525 online 13
Abacus Data April 30, 2019 [181] 31 34 17 4 9 3 ±1.5 pp 4,015 online 3
Nanos Research April 26, 2019 [182] 32.0 34.9 16.5 4.1 9.0 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.9
Ipsos April 25, 2019 [183] 32 36 19 5 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 4
Forum Research April 24, 2019 [184] 30 37 14 6 9 2 ±3 pp 1,595 IVR 7
Leger April 22, 2019 [185] 27 40 12 5 11 3 ±2.5 pp 1,522 online 13
Nanos Research April 18, 2019 [186] 33.0 35.5 15.2 4.7 8.4 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.5
Nanos Research April 12, 2019 [187] 34.1 35.0 14.9 4.5 8.8 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.9
Innovative Research April 10, 2019 [188] 36 32 13 4 10 N/A 2,527 online 4
Forum Research April 6, 2019 [189] 29 42 12 6 9 2 ±3 pp 1,634 IVR 13
Campaign Research April 6, 2019 [190] 32 34 15 5 10 3 ±2.2 pp 2,035 online 2
Nanos Research April 5, 2019 [191] 32.8 34.9 16.6 4.0 9.5 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Nanos Research March 29, 2019 [192] 34.6 35.1 16.6 4.4 8.1 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.5
Ipsos March 27, 2019 [193] 30 40 21 5 ±3.5 pp 1,002 online 10
Mainstreet Research March 25, 2019 [194] 35.0 37.4 11.6 3.1 7.9 3.8 ±1.06 pp 8,501 IVR 2.4
Angus Reid March 25, 2019 [195] 28 37 17 5 8 4 ±2 pp 5,807 online 9
Nanos Research March 22, 2019 [196] 32.5 34.6 19.4 3.9 8.3 0.6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Forum Research March 20, 2019 [197] 35 41 14 1 6 2 ±3 pp 1,490 IVR 6
Leger March 20, 2019 [198] 31 37 14 4 10 3 ±2.51 pp 1,513 online 6
Nanos Research March 15, 2019 [199] 32.6 35.5 19.9 3.2 7.7 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.9
Abacus Data March 10, 2019 [200] 32 34 16 4 11 ±3.3 pp 900 (1/3) online (rolling) 2
Campaign Research March 10, 2019 [201] 30 36 16 4 10 2 ±2.5 pp 1,893 online 6
Abacus Data March 9, 2019 [202] 31 35 16 4 11 ±3.3 pp 900 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Abacus Data March 8, 2019 [203] 31 36 15 5 10 ±3.3 pp 900 (1/3) online (rolling) 5
Nanos Research March 8, 2019 [204] 32.9 36.1 17.9 3.6 8.3 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Abacus Data March 7, 2019 [205] 33 34 16 4 10 ±3.3 pp 900 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Abacus Data March 6, 2019 [206] 32 34 18 4 9 ±3.3 pp 900 (1/3) online (rolling) 2
Abacus Data March 5, 2019 [207] 31 35 17 4 9 ±3.3 pp 900 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Innovative Research March 4, 2019 [208] 36 32 13 5 9 5 N/A 2,122 online 4
Ipsos March 4, 2019 [209] 31 40 20 4 4 0 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 9
Abacus Data March 4, 2019 [210] 30 36 17 5 9 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 6
Nanos Research March 1, 2019 [211] 34.2 34.7 15.5 3.6 9.1 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.5
Forum Research February 28, 2019 [212] 33 42 12 3 5 4 ±3 pp 1,301 IVR 9
Abacus Data February 26, 2019 [213] 32 33 17 4 9 ±2.1 pp 2,374 online 1
Angus Reid February 24, 2019 [214] 31 38 14 5 8 ±3.1 pp 1,009 online 7
Nanos Research February 22, 2019 [215] 35.7 33.6 15.0 3.7 8.4 1.2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Leger February 19, 2019 [216] 34 36 12 5 8 4 ±2.51 pp 1,529 online 2
Ipsos February 18, 2019 [217] 34 36 17 6 ±3.5 pp 1,002 online 2
Nanos Research February 15, 2019 [218] 37.9 31.8 13.7 4.1 7.8 1.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.1
Abacus Data February 11, 2019 [219] 33 35 15 4 9 ±2.0 pp 2,500 online 2
Campaign Research February 11, 2019 [220] 32 37 14 5 7 3 ±2.5 pp 1,590 online 5
Nanos Research February 8, 2019 [221] 37.5 34.4 13.0 3.8 7.4 1.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.1
Abacus Data February 5, 2019 [222] 34 34 17 4 8 ±2.0 pp 2,500 online 0
Nanos Research February 1, 2019 [223] 37.6 35.9 13.2 3.1 7.9 1.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research January 25, 2019 [224] 37.6 36.6 12.8 3.0 8.1 1.2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.0
Innovative Research January 24, 2019 [225] 38 32 12 5 8 4 N/A 2,451 online 6
Mainstreet Research January 18, 2019 [226] 37.2 35.1 11.5 3.2 7.2 4.2 ±1.1 pp 7,941 IVR 2.1
Nanos Research January 18, 2019 [227] 37.2 36.1 14.2 3.2 7.4 1.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Yves-François Blanchet is acclaimed leader of the Bloc Québécois (January 17, 2019)
Nanos Research January 11, 2019 [228] 38.1 33.9 15.4 3.3 6.9 1.6 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.2
Innovative Research January 7, 2019 [229] 36 33 15 5 8 4 N/A 2,700 online 3
Nanos Research January 4, 2019 [230] 38.7 33.3 16.7 3.0 6.0 1.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.4
Nanos Research December 28, 2018 [231] 36.8 34.4 16.1 3.4 6.4 1.2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.4
Nanos Research December 21, 2018 [232] 35.2 34.1 16.0 3.8 7.0 1.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Abacus Data December 18, 2018 [233] 35 34 17 4 7 ±2.5 pp 2,000 online 1
Nanos Research December 14, 2018 [234] 36.0 33.9 16.6 3.4 6.6 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Campaign Research December 13, 2018 [235] 33 35 16 4 8 2 ±2.5 pp 1,494 online 2
Ipsos December 12, 2018 [236] 38 33 18 4 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online 5
Nanos Research December 7, 2018 [237] 34.1 34.8 15.8 3.1 8.2 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Nanos Research November 30, 2018 [238] 37.9 32.2 14.3 3.0 7.6 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
Forum Research November 29, 2018 [239] 34 43 11 4 6 ±3 pp 1,541 IVR 9
Nanos Research November 23, 2018 [240] 39.6 31.5 14.5 2.4 6.9 1.1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.1
Leger November 20, 2018 [241] 39 33 14 4 5 4 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 6
Nanos Research November 16, 2018 [242] 39.4 28.7 17.2 2.5 7.3 1.1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.7
Innovative Research November 15, 2018 [243] 38 32 14 4 8 3 N/A 2,490 online 6
Abacus Data November 13, 2018 [244] 38 31 16 4 9 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 7
Campaign Research November 9, 2018 [245] 35 35 17 4 7 ±2.5 pp 2,512 online 0
Nanos Research November 9, 2018 [246] 39.4 27.5 19.8 2.0 6.1 1.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Mainstreet Research November 7, 2018 [247] 39.3 34.6 10.8 3.4 6.8 3.8 ±1.09 pp 7,961 IVR 4.7
Nanos Research November 2, 2018 [248] 39.6 28.1 19.3 1.9 6.9 1.2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.5
Nanos Research October 26, 2018 [249] 39.4 28.2 19.3 2.8 6.5 1.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.2
Nanos Research October 19, 2018 [250] 39.5 29.4 16.9 3.6 7.0 1.4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.1
Nanos Research October 12, 2018 [251] 37.1 31.4 16.1 3.7 7.2 1.3 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
Forum Research October 10, 2018 [252] 32 41 15 4 7 ±3 pp 1,226 IVR 9
Ipsos October 9, 2018 [253] 36 35 20 4 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online 1
Nanos Research October 5, 2018 [254] 37.3 31.1 16.2 3.8 6.7 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.2
Innovative Research October 1, 2018 [255] 38 31 15 5 7 3 N/A 2,410 online 7
Nanos Research September 28, 2018 [256] 38.0 31.7 16.7 2.6 6.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.3
Nanos Research September 21, 2018 [257] 39.0 31.2 17.0 2.4 5.5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.8
Pollara September 20, 2018 [258] 40 34 12 3 7 2 ±3.1 pp 1,002 online 6
Abacus Data September 19, 2018 [259] 38 34 17 3 7 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 4
DART/Maru September 19, 2018 [260] 30 38 17 5 8 ±2.1 pp 5,769 online 8
Maxime Bernier forms the People's Party of Canada following his resignation from the Conservative Party caucus (September 14, 2018)
Campaign Research September 14, 2018 [261] 36 38 15 5 7 0 ±2.5 pp 1,486 online 2
Nanos Research September 14, 2018 [262] 41.1 31.4 14.9 2.0 5.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.7
Nanos Research September 7, 2018 [263] 39.9 32.8 14.9 2.5 6.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.1
Nanos Research August 31, 2018 [264] 39.9 32.4 15.8 3.4 6.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Abacus Data August 25, 2018 [265] 37 34 18 3 6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 3
Nanos Research August 24, 2018 [266] 38.8 34.4 16.5 2.9 6.3 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.4
Abacus Data August 20, 2018 [267] 37 33 18 3 8 0 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 4
Nanos Research August 17, 2018 [268] 37.5 33.9 19.0 3.2 5.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.6
Forum Research August 12, 2018 [269] 36 42 15 2 4 0 ±3 pp 1,777 IVR 6
Nanos Research August 10, 2018 [270] 35.8 35.1 20.1 3.2 4.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Nanos Research August 3, 2018 [271] 36.9 36.6 17.8 2.3 5.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Nanos Research July 27, 2018 [272] 35.8 35.2 19.1 2.2 6.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.6
EKOS July 26, 2018 [273] 34.9 32.1 17.3 4.0 9.3 0 ±2.7 pp 1,302 IVR 2.8
Abacus Data July 22, 2018 [274] 36 34 19 3 7 0 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 2
Nanos Research July 20, 2018 [275] 35.8 35.9 19.0 2.0 6.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.1
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 [276] 39.4 36.9 11.8 2.4 7.0 0 ±1.01 pp 9,384 IVR 2.5
Ipsos July 16, 2018 [277] 39 32 21 2 0 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 7
Nanos Research July 13, 2018 [278] 37.3 34.5 18.4 1.8 7.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research July 6, 2018 [279] 35.7 33.4 20.3 2.4 6.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Ipsos June 29, 2018 [280] 33 37 21 3 0 ±3.5 pp 1,002 online 4
Nanos Research June 29, 2018 [281] 36.5 33.1 20.8 2.7 5.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.4
Nanos Research June 22, 2018 [282] 36.7 32.0 20.6 3.6 5.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.7
Campaign Research June 18, 2018 [283] 34 36 18 3 8 0 ±2.5 pp 1,579 online 2
Ipsos June 15, 2018 [284] 32 36 20 5 0 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 4
Nanos Research June 15, 2018 [285] 36.9 32.5 19.9 4.1 5.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.4
Angus Reid June 14, 2018 [286] 36 32 16 4 9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,023 online 4
Mario Beaulieu is named interim leader of the Bloc Québécois (June 13, 2018)
Nanos Research June 8, 2018 [287] 35.3 33.0 22.0 4.1 4.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Nanos Research June 1, 2018 [288] 34.1 34.0 21.2 4.4 5.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.1
Forum Research May 31, 2018 [289] 31 44 17 2 5 0 ±3 pp 969 IVR 13
Nanos Research May 25, 2018 [290] 33.0 36.0 19.8 4.0 6.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.0
Nanos Research May 18, 2018 [291] 35.1 34.0 20.1 3.6 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Forum Research May 16, 2018 [292] 30 46 18 2 4 0 ±3 pp 1,484 IVR 16
Innovative Research May 14, 2018 [293] 35 38 15 4 7 0 N/A 2,327 online 3
Nanos Research May 11, 2018 [294] 36.1 34.4 18.5 3.7 6.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.7
Leger May 10, 2018 [295] 39 36 15 2 0 ±2.1 pp 2,103 online 3
Nanos Research May 4, 2018 [296] 38.0 33.2 17.6 4.2 5.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.8
Innovative Research May 2, 2018 [297] 35 38 16 4 6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone 3
Ipsos April 30, 2018 [298] 36 35 20 3 0 ±2.6 pp 1,907 online 1
Nanos Research April 27, 2018 [299] 39.2 30.6 18.2 4.4 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.6
Forum Research April 20, 2018 [300] 30 43 14 4 8 0 ±2 pp 1,585 IVR 13
Nanos Research April 20, 2018 [301] 38.2 31.6 17.9 3.7 7.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.6
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 [302] 40.4 37.1 11.9 2.6 5.9 0 ±1.01 pp 9,401 IVR 3.3
Nanos Research April 13, 2018 [303] 41.1 29.2 15.8 3.8 8.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Nanos Research April 6, 2018 [304] 38.2 32.9 17.2 3.0 7.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.3
Nanos Research March 29, 2018 [305] 39.1 33.7 16.4 2.4 6.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.4
Ipsos March 23, 2018 [306] 31 38 23 3 0 ±3.5 pp 1,003 online 7
Nanos Research March 23, 2018 [307] 38.1 34.7 16.8 3.1 5.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.4
Nanos Research March 16, 2018 [308] 35.9 34.8 18.5 3.5 6.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Angus Reid March 15, 2018 [309] 30 40 19 4 6 0 ±2 pp 5,423 online 10
Nanos Research March 9, 2018 [310] 35.8 33.1 19.3 4.5 6.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.7
Leger March 8, 2018 [311] 38 38 14 3 5 0 ±2.5 pp 1,536 online 0
Abacus Data March 4, 2018 [312] 36 33 18 3 8 0 ±2.2 pp 4,023 online 3
Nanos Research March 2, 2018 [313] 36.5 32.7 19.0 4.0 7.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.8
Ipsos March 1, 2018 [314] 33 38 21 3 0 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 5
Forum Research March 1, 2018 [315] 34 46 14 2 3 0 ±3 pp 941 IVR 12
Nanos Research February 23, 2018 [316] 37.7 31.5 19.2 3.8 6.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.2
Nanos Research February 16, 2018 [317] 36.6 30.8 20.3 3.3 8.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.8
Campaign Research February 10, 2018 [318] 39 32 16 4 7 0 ±2.1 pp 2,227 online 7
Nanos Research February 9, 2018 [319] 38.1 30.4 18.5 3.1 8.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.7
Nanos Research February 2, 2018 [320] 38.1 30.3 19.7 3.0 7.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.8
Abacus Data January 28, 2018 [321] 39 32 18 4 6 0 ±2.7 pp 1,411 online 7
Nanos Research January 26, 2018 [322] 37.8 30.6 19.9 3.5 7.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.2
Forum Research January 24, 2018 [323] 38 43 12 3 3 0 ±3 pp 1,408 IVR 5
Nanos Research January 19, 2018 [324] 37.9 34.4 17.3 3.7 6.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.5
Nanos Research January 12, 2018 [325] 37.0 33.8 20.0 3.8 4.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Campaign Research January 11, 2018 [326] 42 29 16 4 7 0 ±2.3 pp 1,887 online 13
Mainstreet Research January 6, 2018 [327] 40.3 34.5 13.1 4.4 7.7 0 ±0.99 pp 9,830 IVR 5.8
Nanos Research January 5, 2018 [328] 40.9 30.7 19.5 3.7 4.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.2
Nanos Research December 29, 2017 [329] 41.6 30.1 20.1 3.5 4.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.5
Nanos Research December 22, 2017 [330] 42.8 29.1 20.0 3.3 4.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.7
Nanos Research December 15, 2017 [331] 41.9 29.3 19.1 3.4 5.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.6
Forum Research December 14, 2017 [332] 38 39 12 5 5 0 ±3 pp 1,284 IVR 1
Ipsos December 14, 2017 [333] 38 31 20 5 0 ±2.4 pp 2,098 online 7
Nanos Research December 8, 2017 [334] 40.7 30.3 17.5 3.8 6.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.4
Nanos Research December 1, 2017 [335] 40.1 30.7 16.5 4.2 6.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.4
Leger November 30, 2017 [336] 40 34 13 4 8 0 ±2.4 pp 1,609 online 6
Nanos Research November 24, 2017 [337] 38.8 30.6 17.2 4.4 6.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.2
Nanos Research November 17, 2017 [338] 39.3 30.7 16.6 5.0 7.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.6
Abacus Data November 14, 2017 [339] 40 32 18 4 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 8
Nanos Research November 10, 2017 [340] 38.3 30.9 17.5 5.3 6.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.4
Campaign Research November 9, 2017 [341] 38 30 19 5 7 0 ±1.9 pp 2,616 online 8
Forum Research November 6, 2017 [342] 36 38 14 6 6 0 ±3 pp 1,281 IVR 2
Nanos Research November 3, 2017 [343] 36.6 29.6 19.0 5.9 6.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
Nanos Research October 27, 2017 [344] 36.1 29.6 18.5 6.1 6.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.5
Insights West October 26, 2017 [345] 35 33 20 4 7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,005 online 2
Ipsos October 25, 2017 [346] 38 30 23 4 0 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 8
Leger October 25, 2017 [347] 42 30 15 4 7 0 ±2.5 pp 1,534 online 12
Abacus Data October 23, 2017 [348] 39 35 15 5 5 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 4
Nanos Research October 20, 2017 [349] 35.0 30.8 17.7 6.3 6.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.2
Environics October 16, 2017 [350] 38 30 20 5 7 0 2,000 online 8
Nanos Research October 13, 2017 [351] 34.6 31.3 16.3 7.2 7.3 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Angus Reid October 12, 2017 [352] 35 35 18 4 6 0 ±2.5 pp 1,492 online 0
Campaign Research October 11, 2017 [353] 38 30 19 4 8 0 ±2.2 pp 2,002 online 8
Nanos Research October 6, 2017 [354] 36.9 32.0 15.4 6.6 5.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.9
Angus Reid October 4, 2017 [355] 37 36 14 4 8 0 ±2.5 pp 1,477 online 1
Jagmeet Singh is elected leader of the New Democratic Party (October 1, 2017)
EKOS October 1, 2017 [356] 34.4 33.3 14.5 4.5 8.9 0 ±1.4 pp 4,839 IVR 1.1
Nanos Research September 29, 2017 [357] 38.1 31.2 15.2 6.3 6.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.9
Ipsos September 27, 2017 [358] 39 32 20 5 0 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 7
Nanos Research September 22, 2017 [359] 38.5 32.5 14.6 6.1 5.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
Nanos Research September 15, 2017 [360] 40.9 30.0 15.5 6.0 5.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.9
Forum Research September 14, 2017 [361] 35 39 15 5 4 0 ±3 pp 1,350 IVR 4
Campaign Research September 11, 2017 [362] 42 30 16 5 6 0 ±2.3 pp 1,770 online 12
Nanos Research September 8, 2017 [363] 42.0 30.1 15.9 4.6 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Abacus Data September 3, 2017 [364] 43 31 17 3 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,512 online 12
Nanos Research September 1, 2017 [365] 41.2 32.0 15.7 4.9 4.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research August 31, 2017 [366] 43 32 15 4 5 0 ±2.19 pp 2,000 telephone 11
Nanos Research August 25, 2017 [367] 41.9 30.8 16.4 4.3 5.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Nanos Research August 18, 2017 [368] 39.4 31.0 18.2 5.1 4.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.4
Forum Research August 17, 2017 [369] 42 35 14 4 4 0 ±3 pp 1,150 IVR 7
Nanos Research August 11, 2017 [370] 37.8 31.1 19.2 5.2 5.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.7
Nanos Research August 4, 2017 [371] 37.5 29.3 20.2 6.4 5.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.2
Nanos Research July 28, 2017 [372] 36.7 29.1 20.0 5.8 6.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.6
Nanos Research July 21, 2017 [373] 39.0 30.3 18.4 4.2 6.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.7
Abacus Data July 18, 2017 [374] 43 31 16 3 5 0 ±2.2 pp 2,036 online 12
Nanos Research July 14, 2017 [375] 38.3 31.2 16.2 5.9 6.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.1
Campaign Research July 10, 2017 [376] 40 31 19 4 5 0 ±2 pp 1,540 online 9
Nanos Research July 7, 2017 [377] 39.8 33.0 13.6 5.3 6.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.8
Nanos Research June 30, 2017 [378] 38.9 31.6 14.0 6.3 7.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.3
Nanos Research June 23, 2017 [379] 38.3 31.1 15.7 6.8 6.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.2
EKOS June 19, 2017 [380] 35.3 33.0 15.2 3.7 8.5 0 ±1.3 pp 5,658 IVR 2.3
Nanos Research June 16, 2017 [381] 37.5 30.9 16.5 6.7 6.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.6
Campaign Research June 12, 2017 [382] 39 30 19 5 7 0 ±2 pp 2,767 online 9
Angus Reid June 12, 2017 [383] 37 34 17 4 6 0 ±2 pp 5,406 online 3
Nanos Research June 9, 2017 [384] 36.8 30.5 17.3 6.1 7.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.3
Forum Research June 8, 2017 [385] 42 34 12 5 6 0 ±3 pp 1,483 IVR 8
Nanos Research June 2, 2017 [386] 40.0 28.1 16.5 6.2 7.3 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Angus Reid May 31, 2017 [387] 40 33 16 4 6 0 ±2.2 pp 1,958 online 7
Mainstreet Research May 29, 2017 [388] 41 33 17 4 5 0 ±1.85 pp 2,800 IVR 8
Andrew Scheer is elected leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (May 27, 2017)
Nanos Research May 26, 2017 [389] 40.3 28.6 16.7 5.7 7.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.7
Nanos Research May 19, 2017 [390] 42.1 27.9 16.2 5.2 7.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.2
Leger May 18, 2017 [391] 46 25 16 5 6 0 ±2.5 pp 1,529 online 21
Mainstreet Research May 15, 2017 [392] 41 31 18 5 5 0 ±1.85 pp 2,800 IVR 10
Campaign Research May 13, 2017 [393] 43 27 19 3 7 0 ±2 pp 1,969 online 16
Abacus Data May 12, 2017 [394] 43 27 20 4 5 0 ±2.9 pp 1,182 online 16
Nanos Research May 12, 2017 [395] 42.8 28.1 15.9 6.0 5.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.7
Nanos Research May 5, 2017 [396] 41.8 29.0 18.8 5.1 4.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.8
Nanos Research April 28, 2017 [397] 43.0 29.6 18.5 4.4 3.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.4
Forum Research April 24, 2017 [398] 35 35 17 5 7 0 ±3 pp 1,479 IVR 0
Nanos Research April 21, 2017 [399] 42.0 30.4 19.0 4.0 2.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.6
Nanos Research April 14, 2017 [400] 41.4 32.4 18.7 3.4 3.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.0
Campaign Research April 11, 2017 [401] 38 29 19 6 6 0 ±2 pp 1,970 online 9
Nanos Research April 7, 2017 [402] 40.3 32.6 18.0 4.0 3.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.7
Nanos Research March 31, 2017 [403] 40.6 29.6 18.4 5.2 4.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.0
Ipsos March 30, 2017 [404] 39 32 20 5 0 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 7
Nanos Research March 24, 2017 [405] 42.5 29.2 16.1 4.8 5.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.3
Forum Research March 23, 2017 [406] 36 38 15 6 4 0 ±3 pp 1,029 IVR 2
Martine Ouellet is acclaimed leader of the Bloc Québécois (March 18, 2017)
Stratcom March 17, 2017 [407] 44 29 16 4 6 0 ±2.2 pp 2,029 online 15
Nanos Research March 17, 2017 [408] 41.9 28.5 17.1 4.7 5.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.4
Nanos Research March 10, 2017 [409] 41.4 28.1 17.0 4.9 6.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.3
Campaign Research March 7, 2017 [410] 43 27 16 6 5 0 ±3 pp 1,886 online/IVR 16
Nanos Research March 3, 2017 [411] 39.6 30.5 17.2 5.0 5.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.1
Forum Research February 26, 2017 [412] 39 35 15 7 4 0 ±3 pp 1,340 IVR 4
Nanos Research February 24, 2017 [413] 38.9 31.0 16.8 5.4 5.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.9
Abacus Data February 19, 2017 [414] 40 33 16 4 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 7
Nanos Research February 17, 2017 [415] 39.3 29.6 16.9 6.3 5.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.7
Nanos Research February 10, 2017 [416] 37.9 32.9 16.9 4.8 5.3 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.0
Campaign Research February 6, 2017 [417] 34 34 16 6 6 0 ±3 pp 1,457 IVR 0
Nanos Research February 3, 2017 [418] 38.0 32.5 16.4 4.9 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.5
Nanos Research January 27, 2017 [419] 39.1 32.1 16.3 5.1 5.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
Ipsos January 25, 2017 [420] 41 30 19 5 0 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 11
Forum Research January 21, 2017 [421] 42 36 12 4 5 0 ±3 pp 1,332 IVR 6
Nanos Research January 20, 2017 [422] 39.4 31.2 16.3 5.1 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.2
Nanos Research January 13, 2017 [423] 41.4 28.4 16.2 6.1 6.1 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.0
Nanos Research January 6, 2017 [424] 43.0 28.5 16.2 5.2 5.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.5
Nanos Research December 30, 2016 [425] 43.0 27.9 16.7 5.5 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.1
Nanos Research December 23, 2016 [426] 42.0 28.3 16.9 5.6 5.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.7
Nanos Research December 16, 2016 [427] 43.6 27.4 16.7 4.9 5.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.2
Abacus Data December 14, 2016 [428] 44 30 16 4 5 0 ±2.3 pp 1,848 online 14
Nanos Research December 9, 2016 [429] 43.2 26.7 16.5 5.4 6.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.5
Forum Research December 7, 2016 [430] 42 34 12 5 6 0 ±3 pp 1,304 IVR 8
Nanos Research December 2, 2016 [431] 42.9 26.0 17.4 4.8 6.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 16.9
Nanos Research November 25, 2016 [432] 44.7 25.1 17.9 4.4 6.4 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.6
EKOS November 22, 2016 [433] 41.2 31.2 13.0 2.4 8.2 0 ±2.2 pp 1,949 IVR 10.0
Nanos Research November 18, 2016 [434] 42.9 28.7 16.0 5.6 5.6 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.2
Abacus Data November 13, 2016 [435] 46 25 17 5 7 0 ±2.1 pp 2,200 online 21
Nanos Research November 11, 2016 [436] 46.3 26.2 15.4 4.3 6.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 20.1
Forum Research November 10, 2016 [437] 51 28 11 4 5 0 ±3 pp 1,474 IVR 23
Mainstreet Research November 6, 2016 [438] 49 29 13 4 5 0 ±1.38 pp 5,066 IVR 20
Nanos Research November 4, 2016 [439] 44.9 29.6 13.8 5.5 5.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.3
Nanos Research October 28, 2016 [440] 44.5 29.6 13.3 5.3 6.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.9
Nanos Research October 21, 2016 [441] 46.6 27.5 13.9 4.0 6.8 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 19.1
EKOS October 18, 2016 [442] 46.6 26.4 14.1 3.3 7.8 0 ±2.4 pp 1,622 online/telephone 20.2
Nanos Research October 14, 2016 [443] 46.3 26.2 15.4 4.3 6.2 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 20.1
Forum Research October 12, 2016 [444] 49 30 12 5 4 0 ±3 pp 1,437 IVR 19
Abacus Data October 12, 2016 [445] 45 28 14 5 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,498 online 17
Nanos Research October 7, 2016 [446] 45.9 25.9 16.2 4.3 5.7 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 20.0
Nanos Research September 30, 2016 [447] 45.8 26.2 16.7 4.5 5.0 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 19.6
Forum Research September 21, 2016 [448] 47 34 9 6 3 0 ±3 pp 1,326 IVR 13
Mainstreet Research September 8, 2016 [449] 51 29 12 4 4 0 ±1.35 pp 5,250 IVR 22
Forum Research September 7, 2016 [450] 48 30 11 5 4 0 ±3 pp 1,370 IVR 18
Leger September 1, 2016 [451] 53 25 12 4 5 0 ±2.5 pp 1,535 online 28
Abacus Data August 25, 2016 [452] 46 28 16 4 5 0 ±2.2 pp 2,010 online 18
Forum Research August 6, 2016 [453] 50 31 10 4 4 0 ±3 pp 1,345 IVR 19
EKOS July 14, 2016 [454] 45.6 28.5 15.5 2.8 5.9 0 ±3.1 pp 1,003 online/telephone 17.1
Forum Research July 5, 2016 [455] 52 28 11 5 3 0 ±3 pp 1,429 IVR 24
Abacus Data June 16, 2016 [456] 44 28 16 5 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 16
Forum Research June 7, 2016 [457] 49 32 10 4 4 0 ±2 pp 2,271 IVR 17
EKOS June 7, 2016 [458] 44.7 26.9 12.4 4.1 7.8 0 ±2.0 pp 2,371 IVR 17.8
Ipsos May 24, 2016 [459] 46 30 15 4 0 ±3.5 pp 1,002 online 16
Abacus Data May 20, 2016 [460] 46 27 15 4 7 0 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 19
Forum Research May 11, 2016 [461] 52 29 11 4 3 0 ±3 pp 1,517 IVR 23
Mainstreet Research April 27, 2016 [462] 49 30 14 3 4 0 ±1.39 pp 4,998 IVR 19
Nanos Research April 22, 2016 [463] 43.2 25.8 19.3 4.2 5.5 0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone 17.4
Mainstreet Research April 15, 2016 [464] 48 30 14 3 5 0 ±1.38 pp 5,012 IVR 18
EKOS April 15, 2016 [465] 44.1 28.5 12.0 4.4 6.7 0 ±2.9 pp 1,176 IVR 15.6
Abacus Data April 13, 2016 [466] 49 26 13 5 5 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 23
Forum Research April 5, 2016 [467] 51 28 12 6 3 0 ±3 pp 1,455 IVR 23
Innovative Research March 30, 2016 [468] 46 30 12 5 6 0 n/a 2,456 online 16
EKOS March 29, 2016 [469] 42.1 31.7 11.7 4.8 6.4 0 ±2.2 pp 2,019 IVR 10.4
Abacus Data March 23, 2016 [470] 47 28 14 4 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 19
Abacus Data March 18, 2016 [471] 44 29 16 4 6 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 15
Forum Research March 15, 2016 [472] 46 34 12 4 3 0 ±2 pp 1,567 IVR 12
Forum Research February 17, 2016 [473] 49 32 10 3 5 0 ±3 pp 1,406 IVR 17
Leger February 4, 2016 [474] 49 27 15 3 5 0 ±2.1 pp 1,524 online 22
EKOS January 18, 2016 [475] 46.7 25.3 15.9 3.9 7.0 0 ±1.9 pp 2,598 online/telephone 21.4
Mainstreet Research January 15, 2016 [476] 44 32 16 3 5 0 ±1.39 pp 4,937 IVR 12
Abacus Data January 12, 2016 [477] 45 28 17 5 5 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 17
EKOS December 10, 2015 [478] 46.3 27.2 15.3 3.4 6.7 0 ±2.2 pp 1,956 online/telephone 19.1
Forum Research December 8, 2015 [479] 46 32 13 4 4 0 ±3 pp 1,369 IVR 14
Abacus Data November 25, 2015 [480] 49 24 16 5 5 0 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 25
Forum Research November 17, 2015 [479] 45 37 10 4 3 0 ±3 pp 909 IVR 8
Forum Research November 7, 2015 [481] 55 25 12 4 3 0 ±3 pp 1,256 IVR 30
Rona Ambrose is named interim leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (November 5, 2015)
2015 election October 19, 2015 [482] 39.5 31.9 19.7 4.7 3.4 7.6

Notes

1 Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
2 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
3 Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
4 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
5 The People's Party of Canada was officially created on September 14, 2018 and voting intentions for the party were therefore not polled prior to this date.

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level:

Atlantic Canada

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Narrative Research August 22, 2019 [483] 43 30 10 - 15 - 2 ±2.5 pp 1,500 Telephone 13
Narrative Research May 24, 2019 [484] 39 36 9 - 14 - 2 ±2.5 pp 1,500 Telephone 3

Newfoundland and Labrador

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
MQO Research July 31, 2019 [485] 46 38 11 - 2 2 1 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone 8
MQO Research May 4, 2019 [486] 49 37 11 - 3 0 ±4 pp 600 Telephone 12
MQO Research January 28, 2019 [487] 56 35 6 - 1 1 ±4 pp 600 Telephone 21

Prince Edward Island

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
MQO Research August 6, 2019 [488] 40 34 4 - 21 1 ±5.7 pp 400 Telephone 6
MQO Research April 16, 2019 [489] 40 32 8 - 18 1 ±4 pp 400 Telephone 8
MQO Research January 27, 2019 [1] 52 30 7 - 10 ±4 pp 400 Telephone 22

Nova Scotia

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
MQO Research August 27, 2019 [490] 44 31 13 - 9 1 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone 13
MQO Research May 13, 2019 [491] 42 35 11 - 10 0 ±4 pp 600 Telephone 7
MQO Research February 10, 2019 [492] 50 30 12 - 7 1 ±4 pp 600 Telephone 20

New Brunswick

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
MQO Research August 14, 2019 [493] 41 40 6 - 9 4 ±4.9 pp 400 Telephone 1
MQO Research May 6, 2019 [494] 36 39 7 - 16 1 ±4 pp 600 Telephone 3
MQO Research February 10, 2019 [495] 44 39 4 - 10 3 ±4 pp 600 Telephone 5

Central Canada

Quebec

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
2019 election October 21, 2019 [496] 34.2 16.0 10.7 32.5 4.4 1.5 0.5 — 4,284,338 — 1.7
Leger October 15, 2019 [497] 31 16 14 31 6 2 - ±1.79 3000 Online 0
Forum Research October 12, 2019 [498] 33 15 10 31 7 2 2 ±3 pp 1001 IVR 2
Leger October 10, 2019 [499] 31 16 13 29 7 3 1 - 1014 Online 2
Mainstreet Research October 6, 2019 [500] 35 17 11 27 7 3 - ±3.75 pp 685 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research September 30, 2019 [501] 37 18 10 22 9 3 - ±3.7 pp 694 IVR 15
Nanos Research September 30, 2019 [502] 35.3 17.0 13.3 22.0 10.1 1.8 0.6 ±3.6 pp 828 telephone 13.3
Leger September 17, 2019 [503] 36 21 7 22 10 3 1 ±3.9 pp 837 Online 14
Mainstreet Research September 13, 2019 [504] 33.0 24.8 7.9 18.6 9.5 - - unknown unknown IVR 8.2
Leger August 29, 2019 [505] 34 23 7 20 11 4 1 ±3.39 pp 837 Online 11
Forum Research August 28, 2019 [506] 37 21 8 18 9 4 ±3 pp 1219 IVR 16
Forum Research July 24, 2019 [507] 30 28 9 15 10 4 3 ±3 pp 977 IVR 2
Forum Research June 12, 2019 [508] 32 25 9 18 10 4 2 ±3 pp 1,471 IVR 7
Leger March 11, 2019 [509] 35 26 7 17 9 4 ±3.08 pp 1,014 Online 9
Leger January 28, 2019 [510] 39 21 8 21 5 6 ±3.09 pp 1,007 Online 18
CROP June 19, 2018 [511] 42 27 10 12 8 0 — 1,000 Online 15
Leger August 24, 2017 [512] 43 16 19 16 6 2 ±3 pp 1,002 Online 27
2015 election October 19, 2015 [513] 35.7 16.7 25.4 19.4 2.2 — 0.7 — 4,241,487 — 19

Ontario

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Campaign Research September 19, 2019 [514] 35 39 12 - 10 2 1 ±2.17 pp 2035 Online/Telephone 4
Angus Reid September 18, 2019 [515] 36 35 15 - 9 5 - - 722 online 1
EKOS September 5, 2019 [516] 40.8 29.9 10.9 - 11.9 4.8 1.8 ±2.0 pp 2393 IVR 10.9
EKOS August 28, 2019 [517] 46.7 29.2 7.6 - 9.4 5.7 1.3 ±4.97 pp 389 IVR 17.5
EKOS August 27, 2019 [518] 44 30 10 - 10 4 2 ±1.9 pp 2601 IVR 14
EKOS August 19, 2019 [519] 42.9 29.9 8.6 - 13.7 2.5 2.5 ±5.39 pp 301 IVR 13
Corbett Communications August 13, 2019 [520] 39 31 14 - 12 4 1 ±3 pp 1099 Online 8
EKOS August 9, 2019 [521] 40.3 28.9 11.9 - 12.2 5.2 1.5 ±4.90 pp 400 IVR 11.4
EKOS July 26, 2019 [522] 33.8 35.8 9.5 - 13.2 4.5 3.2 ±4.89 pp 402 IVR 2
Corbett Communications July 10, 2019 [523] 38 33 14 - 13 1 0 ±3 pp 481 Online 5
Innovative Research April 16, 2019 [524] 40 33 14 - 9 - 4 945 Online 7
Innovative Research April 10, 2019 [525] 41 34 13 - 9 - 4 773 Online 7
Innovative Research April 1, 2019 [526] 39 33 18 - 7 - 3 ±4 pp 605 Telephone 6
Toronto
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Forum Research September 26, 2019 [527] 50 26 10 - 10 3 1 ±3 pp 1,059 IVR 24
Forum Research July 6, 2019 [528] 46 26 12 - 10 4 2 ±3 pp 1,143 IVR 20

Western Canada

Manitoba

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Probe Research September 26, 2019 [529] 27 41 19 - 9 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone 14
Probe Research June 17, 2019 [530] 24 43 17 - 13 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone 19
Probe Research March 24, 2019 [531] 31 42 17 - 7 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone 11
Probe Research December 6, 2018 [532] 34 42 16 - 5 2 1 ±2.9 pp 1,105 telephone 8

Saskatchewan

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
U of Saskatchewan September 2019 [533] 5 41 11 - 8 1 - ±4.9 pp 400 telephone 30

Alberta

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Lethbridge College October 10, 2019 [534] 17.9 64.0 9.7 - 4.1 1.9 2.4 ±3.17 pp 953 telephone 46.1
Lethbridge College February 5, 2019 [535] 12.9 71.4 9.3 - 1.9 2.1 2.3 ±3.0 pp 1,055 telephone 58.5

British Columbia

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC[1] Other Margin
of error[2] 		Sample
size[3] 		Polling method[4] Lead
Insights West October 16, 2019 [536] 20 27 23 - 11 - 2 ±2.4 pp 1670 Online 4
Insights West September 23, 2019 [537] 19 29 14 - 14 - 3 ±3.3 pp 867 Online 10
Insights West September 10, 2019 [537] 17 29 14 - 13 - 4 ±3.4 pp 869 Online 12

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best prime minister:

February 2019–October 2019

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research September 6, 2019 [538] 33.6 22.7 7.4 1.4 8.1 2.4 24.4 ±3.1 pp 10.9
Nanos Research August 30, 2019 [539] 32.2 23.2 7.2 1.3 8.3 2.8 25.1 ±3.1 pp 9.0
Nanos Research August 23, 2019 [540] 30.9 25.1 6.7 1.4 8.7 2.6 24.6 ±3.1 pp 5.8
Nanos Research August 16, 2019 [541] 31.8 23.9 7.5 1.7 8.4 2.5 24.1 ±3.1 pp 7.9
Nanos Research August 9, 2019 [542] 31.4 25 7 1.8 8.5 1.9 24.3 ±3.1 pp 6.4
Nanos Research August 2, 2019 [543] 33.8 24.4 6.8 1.8 9.2 1.6 22.3 ±3.1 pp 9.4
Forum Research July 28, 2019 [544] 28 28 7 - 14 - 23 ±3 pp 0
Nanos Research July 26, 2019 [545] 32.5 24.1 7.7 2.5 9.1 1.6 22.4 ±3.1 pp 8.4
Leger July 23, 2019 [145] 23 24 7 9 4 20 ±2.5 pp 1
Nanos Research July 19, 2019 [546] 32.8 24.0 8.0 2.3 8.8 1.8 22.3 ±3.1 pp 8.8
Abacus Data July 17, 2019 [149] 36 31 13 14 6 ±2.6 pp 5
Ipsos July 15, 2019 [547] 32 36 13 2 17 ±3.5 pp 4
Campaign Research July 12, 2019 [151] 24 20 7 1 9 3 21 ±2.3 pp 4
Nanos Research July 12, 2019 [153] 32.9 23.1 8.9 1.8 7.9 2.2 23.2 ±3.1 pp 9.8
Nanos Research June 21, 2019 [163] 27.9 24.0 9.7 1.6 7.7 2.1 27.0 ±3.1 pp 2.9
Nanos Research June 14, 2019 [165] 27.0 24.9 9.9 1.5 9.4 1.8 25.6 ±2.3 pp 2.1
Campaign Research June 9, 2019 [548] 24 24 7 1 9 4 17 ±2.6 pp 0
Abacus Data June 1, 2019 [549] 33 30 12 19 6 ±2.6 pp 3
Nanos Research May 31, 2019 [550] 26.5 26.7 8.9 1.7 9.6 1.6 24.9 ±3.1 pp 0.2
Nanos Research May 17, 2019 [176] 27.9 28.6 6.8 1.5 10.0 1.8 23.3 ±3.1 pp 0.8
Abacus Data May 3, 2019 [551] 34 33 14 14 6 ±1.5 pp 1
Leger April 22, 2019 [185] 20 25 7 8 3 21 ±2.5 pp 5
Leger March 20, 2019 [198] 24 25 8 7 4 19 ±2.51 pp 1
Nanos Research March 15, 2019 [199] 30.3 27.3 8.9 1.7 7.2 2.8 21.8 ±3.1 pp 3.0
Abacus Data March 10, 2019 [552] 39 31 10 13 7 ±3.3 pp 8
Campaign Research March 10, 2019 [201] 23 24 7 1 8 19 ±2.5 pp 1
Abacus Data March 6, 2019 [553] 35 33 13 13 7 ±3.3 pp (final) 2
Nanos Research March 1, 2019 [211] 35.2 25.0 6.2 1.8 7.3 2.1 22.5 ±3.1 pp 10.2
Nanos Research February 15, 2019 [218] 35.7 23.4 5.3 1.6 7.7 2.7 22.1 ±3.1 pp 12.3
Campaign Research February 11, 2019 [220] 28 25 4 6 1 17 ±2.5 pp 3
Nanos Research February 8, 2019 [221] 35.5 24.9 5.9 1.4 6.4 3.8 22.1 ±3.1 pp 10.6

September 2018–February 2019

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh Mario Beaulieu Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research February 1, 2019 [554] 34.1 24.9 6.8 1.2 6.7 5.2 21.2 ±3.1 pp 9.2
Nanos Research January 25, 2019 [224] 33.5 26.1 7.5 1.2 6.7 4.9 20.1 ±3.1 pp 7.4
Nanos Research January 18, 2019 [227] 34.6 24.8 7.5 1.1 6.7 4.4 20.9 ±3.1 pp 9.8
Nanos Research January 11, 2019 [228] 36.4 23.9 6.8 1.3 6.2 4.5 20.9 ±3.1 pp 12.5
Nanos Research January 4, 2019 [230] 39.3 23.5 6.5 1.2 5.4 3.9 20.1 ±3.1 pp 15.8
Nanos Research December 28, 2018 [231] 39.1 23.7 5.0 1.0 5.7 4.2 21.3 ±3.1 pp 15.4
Nanos Research December 21, 2018 [232] 38.3 24.8 5.0 0.9 5.8 4.1 21.1 ±3.1 pp 13.5
Abacus Data December 18, 2018 [233] 45 29 10 10 5 ±2.5 pp 16
Angus Reid December 18, 2018 [555] 27 33 6 7 26 ±2.5 pp 6
Nanos Research December 14, 2018 [234] 37.4 25.6 6.3 0.7 5.4 2.6 22.0 ±3.1 pp 11.8
Campaign Research December 13, 2018 [235] 32 22 5 1 7 17 ±2.5 pp 10
Nanos Research December 7, 2018 [556] 35.8 25.0 5.6 0.6 6.0 2.1 25.0 ±3.1 pp 10.8
Nanos Research November 30, 2018 [238] 37.5 23.4 5.7 0.6 5.5 2.5 24.9 ±3.1 pp 14.1
Forum Research November 29, 2018 [239] 33 32 6 8 22 ±3 pp 1
Nanos Research November 23, 2018 [240] 38.2 21.9 5.8 0.9 5.7 2.3 25.2 ±3.1 pp 16.3
Leger November 20, 2018 [557] 33 22 5 6 5 ±2.51 pp 11
Nanos Research November 16, 2018 [242] 39.5 20.2 7.7 0.7 5.5 2.2 24.3 ±3.1 pp 19.3
Campaign Research November 9, 2018 [245] 32 22 6 6 17 ±2.5 pp 10
Nanos Research November 9, 2018 [246] 41.7 20.0 8.6 1.0 5.5 2.6 20.6 ±3.1 pp 21.7
Nanos Research November 2, 2018 [558] 41.2 20.3 8.2 1.2 6.3 2.4 20.4 ±3.1 pp 20.9
Nanos Research October 26, 2018 [249] 40.8 21.3 8.0 1.6 5.5 2.7 20.0 ±3.1 pp 19.5
Nanos Research October 19, 2018 [250] 37.9 22.9 7.5 1.6 6.2 2.5 21.4 ±3.1 pp 15.0
Nanos Research October 12, 2018 [251] 39.1 23.4 7.1 1.0 5.5 3.1 20.9 ±3.1 pp 15.7
Innovative Research October 1, 2018 [559] 47 29 9 2 8 n/a 18
Pollara September 20, 2018 [258] 39 27 8 5 21 ±3.1 pp 12

August–September 2018

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh Mario Beaulieu Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research September 28, 2018 [256] 41.4 24.7 7.8 0.5 5.5 ±3.1 pp 16.7
Nanos Research September 21, 2018 [257] 43.1 25.0 7.5 0.8 5.6 ±3.1 pp 18.1
Pollara September 20, 2018 [258] 39 27 8 — 5 ±3.1 pp 12
Campaign Research September 14, 2018 [261] 32 22 5 5 ±2.5 pp 10
Nanos Research August 31, 2018 [264] 42.2 24.3 6.8 1.0 6.4 ±3.1 pp 17.9
Nanos Research August 24, 2018 [266] 40.1 25.4 7.7 1.3 5.2 ±3.1 pp 14.7
Nanos Research August 17, 2018 [268] 39.6 25.2 8.2 1.2 4.6 ±3.1 pp 14.4

October 2017–July 2018

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh Martine Ouellet Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research July 27, 2018 [272] 40.4 24.5 6.5 1.2 5.8 ±3.1 pp 15.9
Nanos Research July 20, 2018 [275] 40.5 25.2 6.3 1.3 5.9 ±3.1 pp 15.3
Nanos Research July 6, 2018 [279] 42.6 24.4 7.1 0.9 6.0 ±3.1 pp 18.2
Nanos Research June 22, 2018 [282] 41.3 24.8 8.2 1.1 4.9 ±3.1 pp 16.5
Nanos Research June 15, 2018 [285] 38.7 25.4 8.8 0.8 4.3 ±3.1 pp 13.3
Angus Reid June 14, 2018 [286] 35 22 7 – 6 ±3.1 pp 13
Nanos Research June 1, 2018 [288] 34.3 25.6 10.0 1.2 5.7 ±3.1 pp 8.7
Nanos Research May 25, 2018 [290] 36.0 25.2 9.3 1.3 6.4 ±3.1 pp 10.8
Nanos Research May 18, 2018 [291] 39.2 22.4 8.1 1.3 6.8 ±3.1 pp 16.8
Nanos Research May 11, 2018 [294] 39.6 20.9 8.1 0.9 7.7 ±3.1 pp 18.7
Forum Research April 20, 2018 [300] 24 25 8 3 12 ±2 pp 1
Nanos Research March 23, 2018 [560] 38.5 26.5 8.9 1.9 4.9 ±3.1 pp 12.0
Nanos Research March 16, 2018 [561] 37.5 25.9 9.0 2.4 5.7 ±3.1 pp 11.6
Angus Reid March 15, 2018 [309] 26 22 7 – – ±2 pp 4
Nanos Research March 9, 2018 [310] 39.2 23.2 9.4 2.6 5.9 ±3.1 pp 16.0
Nanos Research March 2, 2018 [313] 40.4 22.8 8.6 1.8 6.6 ±3.1 pp 17.6
Nanos Research February 23, 2018 [316] 40.4 22.1 9.5 1.9 5.6 ±3.1 pp 18.3
Nanos Research February 16, 2018 [317] 41.0 21.9 9.3 1.5 5.4 ±3.1 pp 20.1
Campaign Research February 10, 2018 [318] 35 15 7 2 5 ±2.1 pp 20
Nanos Research January 26, 2018 [322] 40.8 22.1 8.3 2.3 5.8 ±3.1 pp 18.7
Nanos Research January 12, 2018 [562] 42.7 22.3 8.1 1.8 5.2 ±3.1 pp 20.4
Nanos Research January 5, 2018 [563] 45.6 20.3 9.0 1.4 4.1 ±3.1 pp 25.3
Nanos Research December 29, 2017 [564] 46.9 21.5 9.1 1.0 3.9 ±3.1 pp 25.4
Nanos Research December 22, 2017 [565] 48.3 22.0 7.9 0.8 4.5 ±3.1 pp 26.3
Nanos Research December 15, 2017 [566] 46.8 21.9 8.2 1.0 5.9 ±3.1 pp 24.9
Forum Research December 14, 2017 [332] 30 21 9 5 10 ±3.1 pp 9
Nanos Research December 8, 2017 [567] 45.4 23.5 8.0 1.3 6.4 ±3.1 pp 21.9
Nanos Research December 1, 2017 [568] 45.6 22.8 6.6 2.0 6.1 ±3.1 pp 22.8
Nanos Research November 24, 2017 [569] 44.1 22.8 7.2 1.6 5.3 ±3.1 pp 21.3
Nanos Research November 17, 2017 [338] 44.8 22.4 7.7 1.6 4.8 ±3.1 pp 22.4
Nanos Research November 10, 2017 [340] 45.0 21.1 8.8 1.4 5.2 ±3.1 pp 23.9
Campaign Research November 9, 2017 [570] 35 15 7 5 5 ±2.2 pp 20
Nanos Research November 3, 2017 [571] 43.8 21.0 8.5 1.9 5.4 ±3.1 pp 22.8
Nanos Research October 27, 2017 [344] 44.3 20.8 9.2 2.3 5.5 ±3.1 pp 23.5
Campaign Research October 11, 2017 [572] 36 14 6 1 5 ±2.2 pp 22

October 2017

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh/
Thomas Mulcair 		Martine Ouellet Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research October 20, 2017 [349] 42.2 22.4 9.5 2.0 5.2 ±3.1 pp 19.8
Nanos Research October 13, 2017 [351] 41.9 22.5 8.7 1.6 5.3 ±3.1 pp 19.4
Nanos Research October 6, 2017 [354] 43.9 21.7 9.3 1.2 4.0 ±3.1 pp 22.2

June–September 2017

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Thomas Mulcair Martine Ouellet Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research September 29, 2017 [357] 43.9 20.3 9.7 1.3 4.0 ±3.1 pp 23.6
Nanos Research September 22, 2017 [359] 45.3 21.2 9.4 1.5 4.3 ±3.1 pp 24.1
Nanos Research September 15, 2017 [360] 46.3 19.7 10.1 1.5 4.1 ±3.1 pp 26.6
Forum Research September 14, 2017 [361] 34 20 12 4 5 ±3 pp 14
Campaign Research September 11, 2017 [362] 42 13 8 2 6 ±2.3 pp 29
Nanos Research September 8, 2017 [363] 47.8 19.7 9.7 1.3 3.7 ±3.1 pp 28.1
Nanos Research September 1, 2017 [365] 46.2 21.7 9.8 1.6 4.0 ±3.1 pp 24.5
Nanos Research August 25, 2017 [367] 48.0 20.4 9.0 1.3 4.3 ±3.1 pp 27.6
Nanos Research August 18, 2017 [368] 47.5 21.6 8.4 1.1 4.4 ±3.1 pp 25.9
Forum Research August 17, 2017 [573] 39 18 10 2 8 ±3 pp 21
Nanos Research August 11, 2017 [370] 47.1 21.3 9.2 1.4 4.9 ±3.1 pp 25.8
Nanos Research August 4, 2017 [371] 46.1 21.8 9.8 1.7 5.1 ±3.1 pp 24.3
Nanos Research July 28, 2017 [372] 44.0 21.5 9.7 1.6 6.0 ±3.1 pp 22.5
Nanos Research July 21, 2017 [373] 45.4 20.8 10.1 1.4 5.5 ±3.1 pp 24.6
Nanos Research July 14, 2017 [375] 43.9 21.9 9.8 1.4 5.5 ±3.1 pp 22.0
Campaign Research July 10, 2017 [376] 38 17 8 1 4 ±2 pp 21
Nanos Research July 7, 2017 [377] 45.6 21.4 8.1 0.7 5.4 ±3.1 pp 24.2
Nanos Research June 30, 2017 [378] 46.9 21.5 7.9 1.1 4.0 ±3.1 pp 25.4
Nanos Research June 23, 2017 [379] 46.3 21.2 8.4 1.0 4.5 ±3.1 pp 25.1
Angus Reid June 12, 2017 [574] 37 19 10 ±2 pp 18
Forum Research June 8, 2017 [385] 39 20 9 3 8 ±3 pp 19

June 2017

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Rona Ambrose/
Andrew Scheer 		Thomas Mulcair Martine Ouellet Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research June 16, 2017 [381] 45.8 19.8 8.5 1.2 5.3 ±3.1 pp 26.0
Nanos Research June 9, 2017 [384] 43.6 19.2 9.1 1.3 5.3 ±3.1 pp 24.4
Nanos Research June 2, 2017 [386] 45.9 18.5 8.9 1.5 5.1 ±3.1 pp 27.4

April–May 2017

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Rona Ambrose Thomas Mulcair Martine Ouellet Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research May 26, 2017 [389] 45.7 18.4 9.1 0.2 4.9 ±3.1 pp 27.3
Nanos Research May 19, 2017 [390] 46.3 18.4 9.2 1.9 5.2 ±3.1 pp 27.9
Nanos Research May 12, 2017 [395] 47.8 19.4 10.3 2.0 5.4 ±3.1 pp 28.4
Nanos Research May 5, 2017 [396] 46.9 18.7 10.7 2.0 5.4 ±3.1 pp 28.2
Nanos Research April 28, 2017 [397] 48.2 18.4 9.4 1.6 5.4 ±3.1 pp 29.8
Forum Research April 24, 2017 [398] 32 12 10 2 8 ±3 pp 20
Nanos Research April 21, 2017 [399] 47.8 18.6 9.2 0.2 5.1 ±3.1 pp 29.2
Nanos Research April 13, 2017 [575] 46.5 19.4 8.7 1.7 5.3 ±3.1 pp 27.1

March–April 2017

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Rona Ambrose Thomas Mulcair Rhéal Fortin/
Martine Ouellet 		Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research April 7, 2017 [402] 47.0 19.3 10.5 1.3 4.6 ±3.1 pp 27.7
Nanos Research March 31, 2017 [403] 47.2 18.1 11.6 1.5 4.9 ±3.1 pp 29.1
Nanos Research March 24, 2017 [405] 48.7 18.1 10.7 0.9 5.0 ±3.1 pp 30.6

December 2015–March 2017

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Rona Ambrose Thomas Mulcair Rhéal Fortin Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research March 17, 2017 [408] 49.7 17.3 10.6 0.8 4.3 ±3.1 pp 32.4
Nanos Research March 10, 2017 [409] 48.7 17.0 10.8 0.8 4.9 ±3.1 pp 31.7
Nanos Research March 3, 2017 [411] 47.0 17.4 10.2 0.9 5.2 ±3.1 pp 29.6
Nanos Research February 24, 2017 [413] 46.3 18.3 9.9 0.9 4.9 ±3.1 pp 28.0
Nanos Research February 17, 2017 [415] 46.1 17.3 10.9 1.2 4.9 ±3.1 pp 28.8
Nanos Research February 10, 2017 [416] 46.4 19.1 9.6 1.0 4.9 ±3.1 pp 27.3
Campaign Research February 6, 2017 [576] 31 14 11 ±3 pp 17
Nanos Research February 3, 2017 [418] 45.4 20.0 10.2 1.2 5.5 ±3.1 pp 25.4
Nanos Research January 27, 2017 [419] 46.7 19.9 10.7 1.1 4.7 ±3.1 pp 26.8
Forum Research January 21, 2017 [421] 38 11 9 2 6 ±3 pp 27
Nanos Research January 20, 2017 [422] 46.6 20.3 10.2 0.9 5.1 ±3.1 pp 26.3
Nanos Research January 13, 2017 [423] 46.7 18.8 11.1 0.8 5.1 ±3.1 pp 27.9
Nanos Research January 6, 2017 [577] 49.3 18.1 10.0 0.5 4.0 ±3.1 pp 31.2
Nanos Research December 30, 2016 [578] 49.0 17.7 9.6 0.8 4.7 ±3.1 pp 31.3
Nanos Research December 23, 2016 [579] 50.6 17.1 8.8 0.9 4.6 ±3.1 pp 33.5
Nanos Research December 9, 2016 [580] 54.1 15.8 7.4 1.0 5.4 ±3.1 pp 38.3
Nanos Research December 2, 2016 [581] 54.0 15.5 8.5 1.1 5.3 ±3.1 pp 38.5
Forum Research December 7, 2016 [430] 40 14 12 2 6 ±3 pp 26
Nanos Research November 25, 2016 [582] 54.2 15.7 8.7 0.7 5.5 ±3.1 pp 38.5
Nanos Research November 18, 2016 [583] 52.2 17.1 8.3 0.5 5.3 ±3.1 pp 35.1
Nanos Research November 11, 2016 [584] 50.3 16.7 8.7 0.7 5.5 ±3.1 pp 33.6
Nanos Research November 4, 2016 [585] 49.5 16.2 8.3 0.5 5.6 ±3.1 pp 33.3
Nanos Research October 28, 2016 [586] 49.6 16.0 8.2 0.5 5.7 ±3.1 pp 33.6
Nanos Research October 21, 2016 [587] 50.4 14.6 8.4 0.6 6.1 ±3.1 pp 35.8
Nanos Research October 14, 2016 [588] 52.2 14.7 8.6 0.7 5.4 ±3.1 pp 37.6
Nanos Research October 7, 2016 [589] 55.9 14.5 7.7 0.6 4.5 ±3.1 pp 41.4
Nanos Research September 30, 2016 [590] 56.0 14.1 7.4 0.6 4.4 ±3.1 pp 41.9
Nanos Research September 23, 2016 [591] 55.9 15.0 7.9 1.1 3.8 ±3.1 pp 40.9
Forum Research September 21, 2016 [448] 44 13 8 2 7 ±3 pp 31
Nanos Research September 16, 2016 [592] 53.9 15.6 8.3 1.3 3.7 ±3.1 pp 38.3
Nanos Research September 9, 2016 [593] 53.7 16.7 8.0 1.5 3.8 ±3.1 pp 37.0
Forum Research September 7, 2016 [450] 46 13 8 1 7 ±3 pp 33
Nanos Research September 2, 2016 [594] 54.1 16.5 7.9 1.8 3.6 ±3.1 pp 37.6
Nanos Research August 26, 2016 [595] 54.4 16.7 9.3 1.5 3.6 ±3.1 pp 37.7
Nanos Research August 19, 2016 [596] 56.3 16.3 9.0 1.2 3.3 ±3.1 pp 40.0
Nanos Research August 12, 2016 [597] 55.6 14.5 9.2 1.3 4.3 ±3.1 pp 41.1
Forum Research August 6, 2016 [453] 50 12 8 1 7 ±3.0 pp 38
Nanos Research August 5, 2016 [598] 55.4 15.1 9.2 1.0 4.6 ±3.1 pp 40.3
Nanos Research July 29, 2016 [599] 54.1 14.9 9.2 0.6 4.9 ±3.1 pp 39.2
Nanos Research July 22, 2016 [600] 52.3 15.9 9.2 0.5 4.9 ±3.1 pp 36.4
Nanos Research July 15, 2016 [601] 52.7 17.0 9.0 0.2 4.4 ±3.1 pp 35.7
Nanos Research July 8, 2016 [602] 52.3 16.7 9.8 0.7 4.1 ±3.1 pp 35.6
Forum Research July 5, 2016 [455] 49 13 9 1 7 ±2 pp 36
Nanos Research June 30, 2016 [603] 52.5 17.6 8.5 1.3 4.9 ±3.1 pp 34.9
Nanos Research June 24, 2016 [604] 53.4 15.9 8.8 1.5 5.2 ±3.1 pp 37.5
Nanos Research June 17, 2016 [605] 53.6 15.1 8.3 1.4 5.0 ±3.1 pp 38.5
Nanos Research June 10, 2016 [606] 52.6 15.8 8.0 1.3 5.0 ±3.1 pp 36.8
Forum Research June 7, 2016 [457] 45 11 9 2 6 ±2 pp 34
Nanos Research June 3, 2016 [607] 53.5 14.5 8.6 1.0 4.3 ±3.1 pp 39
Nanos Research May 27, 2016 [608] 53.7 15.5 8.2 1.0 3.8 ±3.1 pp 38.2
Nanos Research May 20, 2016 [609] 53.8 15.6 9.0 1.2 3.6 ±3.1 pp 38.2
Nanos Research May 13, 2016 [610] 53.0 15.8 10.1 1.3 3.4 ±3.1 pp 37.2
Forum Research May 11, 2016 [461] 47 13 10 2 6 ±3 pp 34
Nanos Research May 6, 2016 [611] 51.9 15.3 10.3 1.2 5.3 ±3.1 pp 36.6
Nanos Research April 29, 2016 [612] 51.6 15.2 10.7 0.8 5.8 ±3.1 pp 36.4
Nanos Research April 22, 2016 [613] 50.4 16.7 10.6 0.7 5.8 ±3.1 pp 33.7
Nanos Research April 15, 2016 [614] 51.1 16.6 9.7 0.5 6.0 ±3.1 pp 34.5
Nanos Research April 8, 2016 [615] 52.3 16.9 10.6 0.5 4.2 ±3.1 pp 35.4
Forum Research April 5, 2016 [467] 47 11 10 1 7 ±3 pp 36
Nanos Research April 1, 2016 [616] 51.3 17.5 11.6 0.8 3.3 ±3.1 pp 33.8
Innovative Research March 30, 2016 [617] 60.0 21.0 12.0 1.0 6.0 n/a 39.0
Nanos Research March 24, 2016 [618] 51.4 17.0 11.6 1.1 3.9 ±3.1 pp 34.4
Nanos Research March 18, 2016 [619] 52.8 14.9 12.7 0.6 4.4 ±3.1 pp 37.9
Forum Research March 15, 2016 [472] 43 13 10 1 5 ±2 pp 30
Nanos Research March 11, 2016 [620] 52.7 14.6 12.8 0.7 4.7 ±3.1 pp 38.1
Nanos Research March 4, 2016 [621] 53.7 14.2 11.3 0.9 5.3 ±3.1 pp 39.5
Nanos Research February 26, 2016 [622] 53.5 13.9 10.9 0.9 5.0 ±3.1 pp 39.6
Nanos Research February 19, 2016 [623] 51.4 14.9 11.4 1.0 4.8 ±3.1 pp 36.5
Forum Research February 17, 2016 [473] 47 12 8 1 7 ±3 pp 35
Nanos Research February 12, 2016 [624] 51.4 15.1 10.7 1.0 4.4 ±3.1 pp 36.3
Leger February 9, 2016 [625] 40 9 10 4 ±2.1 pp 30
Nanos Research February 5, 2016 [626] 51.0 14.8 12.2 0.9 4.1 ±3.1 pp 36.2
Nanos Research January 29, 2016 [627] 50.0 14.9 13.0 0.7 4.4 ±3.1 pp 35.1
Nanos Research January 22, 2016 [628] 52.2 14.6 11.5 0.9 3.5 ±3.1 pp 37.6
Nanos Research January 15, 2016 [629] 53.5 13.7 10.6 1.0 4.5 ±3.1 pp 39.8
Nanos Research January 8, 2016 [630] 53.2 13.2 10.3 1.1 4.2 ±3.1 pp 40.0
Nanos Research January 2, 2016 [631] 52.6 12.1 11.6 1.2 4.8 ±3.1 pp 40.5
Nanos Research December 25, 2015 [632] 53.1 11.3 12.7 1.2 5.1 ±3.1 pp 40.4
Nanos Research December 18, 2015 [633] 50.2 12.9 13.0 1.3 5.1 ±3.1 pp 37.2
Nanos Research December 11, 2015 [634] 51.5 13.7 12.8 1.2 5.0 ±3.1 pp 37.8
Nanos Research December 4, 2015 [635] 53.7 13.7 12.0 1.4 4.2 ±3.1 pp 40.0

November 2015

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link Justin Trudeau Stephen Harper/
Rona Ambrose 		Thomas Mulcair Rhéal Fortin Elizabeth May Margin
of error[1] 		Lead
Nanos Research November 27, 2015 [636] 50.9 16.3 12.3 1.6 4.8 ±3.1 pp 34.6
Nanos Research November 20, 2015 [637] 53.3 17.2 11.6 1.2 4.6 ±3.1 pp 36.1
Nanos Research November 13, 2015 [638] 50.9 18.4 13.0 1.3 5.0 ±3.1 pp 32.5

See also

References

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