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Opinion polling for the 2001 United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Opinion polling for UK general elections
1992 election
Opinion polls
1997 election
Opinion polls
2001 election
Opinion polls
2005 election
Opinion polls
2010 election
Opinion polls

In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.

The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority (recognised by Cecil Parkinson on Election Night 1997 when he stated on the BBC's broadcast that it "was a two term Labour government").

The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.

Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound as Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.

In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.

All polling data is from Ipsos MORI, UK polling Report and BBC News.[1][2][3]

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Transcription

Exit polls

Two exit polls conducted by MORI for ITV and NOP for BBC was published at the end of voting at 10 pm, predicting the number of seats for each party.[4][5]

Parties MORI for ITV NOP for BBC
Seats Change Seats Change
Labour Party 417 Decrease 2 408 Decrease 11
Conservative Party 154 Decrease 11 177 Increase 12
Liberal Democrats 58 Increase 12 44 Decrease 2
Others 30 Increase 1 30 Increase 1
Majority: 175 157

Graphical Summary

  Labour
  Conservatives
  Liberal Democrats

National poll results

2001

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
7 Jun 2001 general election[6] – 40.7% 31.7% 18.3% 9.3% 9%
6 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 2,399 47% 30% 18% ? 17%
5–6 Jun MORI The Times 1,906 45% 30% 18% ? 15%
2–4 Jun ICM The Guardian 1,009 43% 32% 19% 6% 11%
2–3 Jun ICM Evening Standard 1,381 47% 30% 18% ? 17%
3 Jun Rasmussen The Independent ? 44% 33% 16% ? 11%
31 May – 2 Jun MORI The Sunday Telegraph 1,070 50% 27% 17% ? 23%
31 May – 1 Jun ICM The Observer 1,005 46% 34% 15% ? 12%
31 May – 1 Jun NOP The Sunday Times 1,105 47% 30% 16% ? 17%
30 May – 1 Jun ICM Channel 4 1,007 43% 31% 19% ? 12%
29 May MORI The Times 1,013 48% 30% 16% ? 18%
28–29 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,462 47% 31% 16% ? 16%
26–28 May ICM The Guardian 1,000 47% 28% 17% 8% 19%
27 May Rasmussen The Independent ? 44% 32% 17% ? 12%
24–25 May NOP The Sunday Times ? 49% 30% 14% ? 19%
21–23 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,000 48% 32% 15% ? 16%
22 May MORI Times 1,066 52% 27% 16% ? 25%
22 May Rasmussen The Independent ? 44% 32% 16% ? 12%
19–21 May ICM The Guardian 1,000 45% 32% 17% 7% 13%
20 May Gallup BES ? 55% 25% 14% ? 30%
17–18 May NOP The Sunday Times 1,107 49% 30% 14% ? 19%
15 May MORI The Times 1,019 54% 28% 12% 6% 26%
14–15 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,004 48% 32% 13% 7% 16%
13–14 May ICM The Guardian 1,004 46% 31% 16% 7% 15%
14 May Gallup BES ? 53% 32% 11% ? 21%
10–14 May MORI The Economist 1,846 54% 26% 14% 6% 28%
14 May Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins[7]
11–13 May ICM Evening Standard 1,437 48% 32% 14% 6% 16%
13 May Rasmussen The Independent 1,004 46% 32% 13% 9% 14%
10–12 May MORI The Sunday Telegraph 1,030 51% 31% 13% 5% 20%
10–11 May ICM The Observer 1,011 48% 32% 15% 5% 16%
10–11 May NOP The Sunday Times 1,003 49% 32% 13% 6% 17%
2–8 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,000 49% 32% 13% 6% 17%
8 May MORI The Times 1,046 54% 30% 13% ? 24%
4–7 May NOP Daily Express 1,000 51% 31% 13% 6% 20%
1–6 May NOP Channel 4 1,600 49% 34% 11% ? 15%
26 Apr – 2 May NOP Channel 4 ~2000 51% 29% 13% 5% 22%
30 Apr – 1 May MORI The Sun 1,008 50% 32% 13% 5% 18%
19–24 Apr MORI The Times 1,935 50% 30% 13% 7% 20%
20–22 Apr ICM The Guardian 1,005 47% 33% 14% 6% 14%
10–12 Apr MORI Daily Mail 1,003 53% 29% 12% 6% 24%
4–10 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,009 53% 27% 15% 5% 26%
30 Mar – 4 Apr NOP Channel 4 1,575 52% 30% 12% 6% 22%
30–31 Mar MORI The Sunday Telegraph 1,034 48% 32% 15% 5% 16%
29–30 Mar ICM The Guardian 1,000 49% 34% 13% 4% 15%
22–27 Mar MORI The Times 1,945 50% 31% 14% 5% 19%
16–18 Mar ICM The Guardian 1,426 44% 35% 16% 6% 9%
15–16 Mar NOP The Sunday Times 1,426 51% 31% 13% 5% 20%
17 Feb – 13 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,016 55% 29% 12% 3% 26%
15–20 Feb MORI The Times 1,900 50% 30% 14% 5% 20%
16–18 Feb ICM The Guardian 1,000 47% 32% 15% 7% 15%
31 Jan – 7 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,001 50% 29% 17% 4% 21%
25–26 Jan MORI Mail on Sunday 1,007 49% 31% 14% 6% 18%
18–22 Jan MORI The Times 2,083 50% 31% 14% 5% 19%
19–21 Jan ICM The Guardian 1,004 44% 34% 16% 6% 10%
10–16 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,006 51% 31% 13% 6% 20%
11–13 Jan MORI The Sunday Telegraph 1,007 52% 31% 11% 6% 21%
11–12 Jan NOP The Sunday Times 1,232 48% 33% 14% 5% 15%
4–6 Jan MORI Mail on Sunday 1,005 46% 35% 14% 5% 11%

2000

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
21 Dec Falkirk West by-election[8]
13–15 Dec MORI News of the World 1,003 47% 32% 16% 5% 15%
6–13 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,011 47% 32% 14% 7% 15%
7–12 Dec MORI The Times 1,984 46% 34% 14% 6% 12%
1–3 Dec ICM The Guardian 1,003 44% 34% 16% 6% 10%
23–28 Nov MORI The Times 1,972 48% 33% 13% 6% 15%
24–25 Nov MORI Mail on Sunday 1,006 47% 34% 13% 6% 13%
23 Nov By-elections in Glasgow Anniesland, Preston and West Bromwich West[9][10][11]
1–7 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,010 45% 34% 14% 6% 11%
3–5 Nov ICM The Guardian 1,001 40% 34% 20% 7% 6%
2–3 Nov MORI Mail on Sunday 1,002 42% 34% 17% 7% 8%
19–23 Oct MORI The Times 2,010 45% 32% 17% 6% 13%
13–16 Oct ICM The Guardian 1,001 40% 35% 19% 6% 5%
11–13 Oct NOP The Sunday Times 1,171 42% 35% 17% 6% 7%
10 Oct MORI Carlton TV 1,014 40% 38% 19% 3% 2%
28–30 Sep ICM News of the World 1,025 38% 37% 20% 6% 1%
28–30 Sep MORI The Sun 1,006 43% 36% 16% 5% 7%
28–29 Sep NOP Sunday Express 1,002 43% 37% 13% 7% 6%
Sep NOP Labour Party 1,000 ? ? ? ? 11%
21–26 Sep MORI The Times 1,843 37% 35% 21% 7% 2%
21 Sep South Antrim by-election[12]
20–26 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,002 39% 36% 20% 5% 3%
21–23 Sep NOP Channel 4 1,002 32% 40% 22% 6% 8%
21–22 Sep MORI Mail on Sunday 1,014 35% 39% 21% 5% 4%
14–19 Sep MORI Schroder Salomon Smith Barney 1,864 36% 36% 21% 7% Tie
13–19 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,006 35% 40% 16% 9% 5%
15–17 Sep ICM The Guardian 1,055 34% 38% 22% 7% 4%
14–16 Sep NOP The Sunday Times 1,002 37% 37% 21% 5% Tie
14–15 Sep MORI News of the World 1,006 36% 38% 18% 8% 2%
6–12 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,006 45% 32% 16% 6% 13%
6–12 Sep MORI N/A 2,004 45% 30% 17% 8% 15%
7–14 Sep Protests over the rising cost of fuel occur across the United Kingdom[13]
31 Aug – 6 Sep MORI N/A 1,818 48% 32% 13% 5% 16%
17–21 Aug MORI The Times 1,916 51% 29% 15% 5% 22%
17–18 Aug MORI News of the World 1,004 51% 32% 12% 5% 19%
11–13 Aug ICM The Guardian 1,050 44% 34% 17% 8% 10%
2–7 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,005 47% 32% 14% 7% 15%
20–24 Jul MORI The Times 2,019 49% 33% 12% 6 16%
20–22 Jul MORI Mail on Sunday 1,011 51% 32% 11% 6% 19%
14–15 Jul ICM The Guardian 1,056 42% 35% 17% 6% 7%
12–14 Jul MORI Mail on Sunday 1,003 47% 32% 15% 6% 15%
5–11 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,016 45% 35% 14% 7% 10%
29–30 Jun MORI Mail on Sunday 1,004 46% 32% 17% 5% 14%
22–27 Jun MORI The Times 1,915 47% 33% 13% 7% 14%
22 Jun Tottenham by-election[14]
23–26 Jun ICM The Guardian 1,061 43% 32% 17% 8% 11%
22–23 Jun MORI News of the World 1,002 47% 34% 14% 5% 13%
8–9 Jun MORI Mail on Sunday 1,008 41% 38% 16% 5% 3%
31 May – 6 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,007 49% 30% 15% 6% 19%
18–23 May MORI The Times 1,891 48% 32% 15% 5% 16%
17–19 May MORI Daily Mail 1,003 46% 33% 14% 7% 13%
13–15 May ICM The Guardian 1,003 41% 34% 18% 7% 7%
3–9 May Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,009 47% 31% 14% 7% 16%
6–7 May ICM Conservative Party 1,000 43% 35% 15% 7% 8%
4 May Local elections in England and Romsey by-election[15][16]
13–18 Apr MORI The Times 1,860 51% 27% 15% 7% 24%
14–15 Apr ICM The Guardian 1,203 45% 32% 15% 8% 13%
5–11 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,007 50% 32% 12% 6% 18%
23–28 Mar MORI The Times 1,728 50% 29% 14% 7% 21%
17–19 Mar ICM The Guardian 1,207 44% 32% 16% 8% 12%
1–7 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,018 51% 31% 11% 6% 20%
17–22 Feb MORI The Times 1,938 50% 29% 15% 6% 21%
11–13 Feb ICM The Guardian 1,205 44% 29% 18% 9% 15%
2–6 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,024 49% 28% 15% 8% 21%
3 Feb Ceredigion by-election[17]
25–27 Jan MORI Daily Mail 1,007 49% 29% 15% 7% 20%
20–25 Jan MORI The Times 2,015 50% 30% 15% 5% 20%
14–17 Jan ICM The Guardian 1,155 47% 30% 17% 6% 17%
5–12 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,005 53% 30% 12% 5% 23%

1999

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
10–14 Dec MORI The Times 1,967 54% 28% 13% 5% 26%
10–12 Dec ICM The Guardian 1,201 48% 29% 17% 6% 19%
25 Nov – 1 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,011 53% 27% 15% 5% 26%
Kensington & Chelsea by-election[18]
19–22 Nov MORI The Times 1,935 55% 25% 14% 6% 30%
12–14 Nov ICM The Guardian 1,119 44% 34% 15% 7% 10%
8–10 Nov MORI Daily Mail 1,003 50% 32% 12% 7% 18%
27 Oct – 2 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,002 52% 28% 14% 6% 24%
22–26 Oct ICM The Guardian 1,084 45% 32% 17% 6% 13%
22–25 Oct MORI The Times 1,965 56% 28% 11% 5% 28%
13–14 Oct MORI The Sun 1,003 52% 31% 13% 7% 21%
23–29 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,012 52% 29% 13% 7% 23%
24–27 Sep MORI The Times 1,823 52% 25% 17% 6% 27%
23 Sep By-elections in Hamilton South and Wigan[19][20]
17–19 Sep ICM The Guardian 1,202 45% 32% 16% 6% 13%
9–11 Sep MORI Mail on Sunday 1,002 49% 32% 13% 6% 17%
25 Aug – 1 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,000 52% 27% 13% 7% 25%
20–23 Aug MORI The Times 1,862 49% 27% 17% 7% 22%
13–15 Aug ICM The Guardian 1,204 48% 30% 16% 6% 18%
9 Aug Charles Kennedy is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[21]
28 Jul – 4 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,008 51% 30% 12% 7% 21%
23–26 Jul MORI The Times 2,13 51% 28% 14% 7% 23%
22 Jul Eddisbury by-election[22]
9–11 Jul ICM The Guardian 1,200 48% 31% 16% 5% 17%
18–21 Jun MORI The Times 2,028 51% 28% 13% 8% 23%
10 Jun European Parliament election and Leeds Central by-election[23][24]
4–5 Jun ICM The Guardian 1,205 46% 29% 19% 7% 17%
26 May – 1 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,000 52% 24% 16% 8% 28%
21–24 May MORI The Times 2,046 52% 28% 14% 6% 24%
7–8 May ICM The Guardian 1,205 51% 28% 16% 6% 23%
6 May Local Elections in England and Wales, Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly elections[25][26][27]
30 Apr – 1 May MORI Mail on Sunday 1,008 50% 30% 14% 6% 20%
21–28 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,006 52% 29% 13% 7% 23%
23–26 Apr MORI The Times 1,966 56% 25% 13% 6% 31%
16–17 Apr ICM The Guardian 1,205 52% 29% 16% 4% 23%
30 Mar – 7 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,014 54% 27% 13% 7% 27%
19–22 Mar MORI The Times 1,907 54% 27% 13% 6% 27%
5–7 Mar ICM The Guardian 1,217 52% 29% 16% 4% 23%
26 Feb – 4 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,002 52% 30% 11% 6% 22%
19–22 Feb MORI The Times 1,907 51% 30% 14% 6% 21%
5–7 Feb ICM The Guardian 1,211 49% 28% 16% 6% 21%
28 Jan – 3 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,069 53% 29% 13% 5% 24%
22–25 Jan MORI The Times 1,930 56% 24% 14% 6% 32%
6–12 Jan NOP Evening Standard 1,600 57% 25% 12% 6% 32%
4–6 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,017 52% 29% 13% 5% 23%
30 Dec – 3 Jan ICM The Guardian 1,209 50% 30% 15% 5% 20%

1998

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
9–15 Dec NOP Evening Standard 1,600 55% 27% 12% 7% 28%
11–14 Dec MORI The Times 1,864 54% 27% 12% 6% 27%
4–7 Dec ICM The Guardian 1,123 49% 29% 16% 6% 20%
16 Nov – 2 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,021 55% 29% 11% 5% 26%
20–23 Nov MORI The Times 1,883 53% 29% 13% 5% 24%
4–6 Nov ICM The Guardian 1,210 51% 27% 17% 5% 24%
29 Oct – 4 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,036 54% 28% 14% 5% 26%
23–26 Oct MORI The Times 1,775 53% 26% 16% 5% 27%
1–4 Oct ICM The Guardian 1,120 51% 29% 15% 5% 22%
24–30 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,028 57% 23% 15% 5% 34%
18–21 Sep MORI The Times 1,789 56% 24% 15% 5% 32%
4–6 Sep ICM The Guardian 1,178 48% 29% 17% 6% 19%
26 Aug – 3 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,005 54% 28% 12% 6% 26%
21–24 Aug MORI The Times 1,886 52% 28% 14% 6% 24%
7–9 Aug ICM The Guardian 1,203 47% 31% 17% 4% 16%
30 Jul – 5 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,003 53% 28% 13% 5% 25%
17–21 Jul MORI The Times 1,796 53% 28% 14% 5% 25%
3–4 Jul ICM The Guardian 1,203 52% 27% 17% 4% 25%
25 Jun – 1 Jul Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,006 52% 28% 14% 6% 24%
25–30 Jun MORI The Times 1,760 56% 27% 13% 4% 29%
24–26 Jun MORI The Sun 1,000 51% 28% 15% 6% 23%
25 Jun Election to the Northern Ireland Assembly[28]
5–6 Jun ICM The Guardian 1,201 51% 29% 16% 4% 22%
28 May – 3 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,011 54% 28% 12% 6% 26%
21–24 May MORI The Times 1,832 55% 26% 14% 5% 29%
22 May Good Friday Agreement Referendum[29]
15–19 May ICM The Guardian 1,101 50% 29% 16% 5% 21%
7 May Local elections in England and the Greater London Authority referendum[30]
23–29 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,050 54% 25% 16% 4% 29%
24–27 Apr MORI The Times 1,926 55% 27% 14% 4% 28%
24–26 Apr MORI The Sun 804 54% 30% 13% 3% 24%
20–22 Apr ICM The Observer 1,000 52% 29% 16% 3% 23%
3–5 Apr ICM The Guardian 1,212 48% 31% 16% 6% 17%
26 Mar – 1 Apr Gallup The Daily Telegraph 985 54% 26% 16% 4% 28%
20–23 Mar MORI The Times 1,879 53% 28% 14% 5% 25%
6–8 Mar ICM The Guardian 1,200 46% 33% 17% 5% 13%
26 Feb – 4 Mar Gallup The Daily Telegraph 999 51% 29% 14% 6% 22%
20–23 Feb MORI The Times 1,792 52% 28% 15% 5% 24%
6–8 Feb ICM The Guardian 1,200 47% 31% 18% 4% 16%
28 Jan – 4 Feb Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,041 54% 29% 11% 5% 25%
23–26 Jan MORI The Times 1,870 54% 28% 14% 4% 26%
9–11 Jan ICM The Guardian 1,200 48% 30% 17% 5% 18%
5–7 Jan Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,014 56% 26% 12% 5% 30%

1997

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
12–15 Dec MORI The Times 2,122 55% 26% 15% 4% 29%
5–6 Dec ICM The Guardian 1,200 50% 29% 17% 4% 21%
27 Nov – 3 Dec Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,011 57% 21% 17% 5% 36%
21–24 Nov MORI The Times 1,879 56% 24% 16% 4% 32%
20 Nov By-elections in Beckenham and Winchester[31][32]
13–14 Nov MORI The Sun 603 56% 30% 11% 3% 26%
7–8 Nov ICM The Guardian 1,200 52% 30% 14% 4% 22%
6 Nov Paisley South by-election[33]
30 Oct – 4 Nov Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,021 63% 23% 11% 4% 40%
24–27 Oct MORI The Times 1,772 60% 24% 12% 4% 36%
6 Oct ICM The Guardian 1,211 59% 23% 13% 4% 36%
25 Sep – 1 Oct Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,014 60% 22% 14% 4% 38%
26–29 Sep MORI The Times 1,916 59% 25% 13% 3% 34%
18 Sep Welsh devolution referendum[34]
11 Sep Scottish devolution referendum[35][36]
4–8 Sep ICM The Guardian 1,206 60% 24% 10% 6% 36%
27 Aug – 3 Sep Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,023 58% 26% 12% 5% 32%
21–25 Aug MORI The Times 1,758 54% 28% 15% 3% 26%
31 Jul – 6 Aug Gallup The Daily Telegraph 1,203 58% 25% 12% 4% 33%
31 Jul Uxbridge by-election[37]
25–28 Jul MORI The Times 1,901 57% 23% 15% 5% 34%
27–28 Jun ICM The Guardian 1,200 61% 23% 12% 4% 38%
20–23 Jun MORI The Times 1,852 58% 24% 15% 3% 34%
19 Jun William Hague is elected leader of the Conservative Party[38]
29 May – 4 Jun Gallup The Daily Telegraph 996 59% 23% 13% 5% 36%
21 May Local elections in Northern Ireland[39]
1 May Local elections in England[40]
1 May 1997 general election[41] – 43.2% 30.7% 16.8% 9.3% 12.5%

Nations Polling

Northern Ireland

Data from BBC News[42]

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		UUP SDLP SF DUP Alliance Lead
7 Jun 2001 2001 general election[43] – 26.8% 21% 21.7% 22.5% 3.6% 4.3%
21 Sep 2000 South Antrim by-election[12]
10–15 Jun 2001 Ulster Marketing Survey Belfast Telegraph 1,031 25% 25% 16% 14% 5% Tie
25 Jun 1998 Election to the Northern Ireland Assembly[28]
22 May 1998 Good Friday Agreement Referendum[29]
21 May 1997 Local elections held[39]
1 May 1997 1997 general election[44] – 32.7% 24.1% 16.1% 13.6% 8% 8.6%

Scotland

Data from BBC News[45]

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab SNP Con Lib Dem SSP Lead
7 Jun 2001 2001 general election[46] – 43.3% 20.1% 15.6% 16.3% 3.1% 23.2%
4–5 Jun 2001 ICM The Scotsman 1,013 43% 24% 14% 14% 4% 19%
24–28 May 2001 System Three The Herald 1,048 47% 26% 13% 11% 3% 21%
18–21 May 2001 System Three The Herald 3,019 50% 25% 12% 9% 3% 25%
12–13 May 2001 ICM The Scotsman 1,000 44% 25% 16% 12% – 19%
26 Apr – 2 May 2001 System Three The Herald 1,028 47% 27% 12% 9% – 20%
22–28 Mar 2001 System Three The Herald 1,009 52% 25% 12% 8% – 27%
8–9 Mar 2001 ICM News of the World 1,000 46% 22% 18% 11% – 24%
22 Feb – 4 Mar 2001 System Three The Herald 955 45% 29% 16% 9% – 16%
14–15 Feb 2001 ICM Scotland on Sunday 1,003 42% 22% 16% 10% – 20%
15–31 Jan 2001 System Three The Herald 1,014 46% 28% 13% 11% – 18%
4–9 Jan 2001 System Three The Herald 1,025 46% 28% 13% 9% – 18%
21 Dec 2000 Falkirk West by-election[8]
23–28 Nov 2000 System Three The Herald 1,022 48% 24% 16% 9% – 24%
23 Nov Glasgow Anniesland by-election[9]
22–31 Oct 2000 System Three The Herald 1,001 48% 27% 13% 10% – 21%
21 Oct 2000 Henry McLeish is elected leader of Scottish Labour and First Minister[47]
21–26 Sep 2000 System Three The Herald 1,020 33% 33% 15% 17% – Tie
21 Sep 2000 John Swinney is elected leader of the Scottish National Party[48]
18–20 Sep 2000 ICM The Scotsman 1,000 36% 27% 22% 13% – 9%
18–20 Sep 2000 System Three The Herald 1,027 45% 28% 15% 9% – 17%
27 Jul – 5 Aug 2000 System Three The Herald 951 46% 26% 15% 9% – 20%
22–28 Jun 2000 System Three The Herald 1,015 39% 31% 17% 11% – 8%
25–31 May 2000 System Three The Herald 968 48% 24% 14% 10% – 24%
27 Apr – 2 May 2000 System Three The Herald 999 44% 26% 17% 9% – 18%
23–28 Mar 2000 System Three The Herald 991 40% 29% 16% 11% – 11%
24–29 Feb 2000 System Three The Herald 1,030 45% 27% 15% 10% – 18%
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2000 System Three The Herald 1,008 49% 24% 14% 11% – 25%
6–13 Jan 2000 System Three The Herald 978 50% 27% 12% 9% – 23%
23 Sep 1999 Hamilton South by-election[19]
6 May 1999 Local elections held and Scottish Parliament election[49][26]
6 Nov 1997 Paisley South by-election[33]
11 Sep 1997 Scottish devolution referendum[35][36]
1 May 1997 1997 general election[50] – 45.6% 22.1% 17.5% 13% N/A 23.5%

Wales

Data from BBC News[51]

Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem PC Lead
7 Jun 2001 2001 general election[46] – 48.6% 21% 13.8% 14.3% 27.6%
Mar 2001 NOP Harlech Television 1,003 52% 22% 10% 14% 30%
26–31 Oct 2000 NOP Harlech Television 1,000 45% 25% 13% 15% 20%
29 Jun – 7 Jul 2000 NOP Harlech Television 1,000 51% 25% 9% 13% 26%
23–28 Feb 2000 Beaufort BBC Wales 1,000 50% 20% 12% 16% 30%
9 Feb 2000 Rhodri Morgan is elected leader of Welsh Labour and as First Secretary[52]
3 Feb 2000 Ceredigion by-election[17]
13–18 Jan 2000 NOP Harlech Television 1,002 56% 21% 8% 13% 35%
6 May 1999 Local elections held and Welsh Assembly election[53][27]
20 Feb 1999 Alun Michael is elected leader of Welsh Labour[54]
23–28 Feb 1999 Beaufort BBC Wales 1,015 54% 20% 9% 16% 34%
Feb 1999 NOP Harlech Television ? 58% 20% 9% 12% 38%
12–18 Feb 1999 Beaufort BBC Wales 1,002 62% 15% 8% 14% 47%
19 Sep 1998 Ron Davies is elected leader of Welsh Labour[55]
10–15 Sep 1998 NOP Harlech Television 1,500 58% 11% 8% 21% 37%
4–9 Jul 1998 Beaufort BBC Wales 1,000 62% 16% 8% 13% 46%
18 Sep 1997 Welsh devolution referendum[34]
1 May 1997 1997 general election[50] – 54.7% 19.6% 12.3% 9.9% 35.1%

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