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Next Nova Scotia general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

42nd Nova Scotia general election
← 2021 On or before 15 July 2025 Next →
55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
LIB
Leader Tim Houston Zach Churchill Claudia Chender
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since 27 October 2018 9 July 2022 25 June 2022
Leader's seat Pictou East Yarmouth Dartmouth South
Last election 31 seats, 38.44% 17 seats, 36.67% 6 seats, 20.93%
Current seats 32 15 6
Seats needed Steady Increase13 Increase22
Incumbent Premier

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative



The 42nd Nova Scotia general election will be held on or before 15 July 2025 to elect members to the 65th General Assembly of Nova Scotia. During the 2021 election, the Progressive Conservatives included a commitment in their platform to introduce fixed election dates in the province. Under amendments to the provincial Elections Act introduced and passed in October 2021, the first fixed election date following the 2021 Nova Scotia general election is set as 15 July 2025.[1] All subsequent elections will take place on the third Tuesday in July of the fourth calendar year following the previous election.

Timeline

See also: 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia
Changes in seats held (2021–Present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Preston April 1, 2023[9] Angela Simmonds █ Liberal Resignation August 8, 2023 Twila Grosse █ PC
Halifax Atlantic February 22, 2024[10] Brendan Maguire █ Liberal Joined Progressive Conservative caucus █ PC
Pictou West April 12, 2024[11] Karla MacFarlane █ PC Resignation

Current standings

Standings in the 64th General Assembly[12]
Affiliation House members
2021 election results Current standings
Progressive Conservative 31 32
Liberal 17 15
New Democratic 6 6
Independent 1 1
Vacant 0 1

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the next general election:

Progressive Conservative

Candidates by constituency

Legend
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in a nomination contest

Annapolis Valley

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Annapolis Anthony Edmonds[16] Carman Kerr
Clare Ronnie LeBlanc
Digby-Annapolis Jill Balser
Hants West Melissa Sheehy-Richard
Kings North John Lohr
Kings South Keith Irving
Kings West Chris Palmer

South Shore

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Argyle Colton LeBlanc
Chester-St. Margaret's Danielle Barkhouse
Lunenburg Susan Corkum-Greek
Lunenburg West Becky Druhan
Queens Kim Masland
Shelburne Nolan Young
Yarmouth Zach Churchill

Fundy-Northeast

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United Independent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Larry Harrison
Colchester North Tom Taggart
Cumberland North Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin[17] Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Liam MacDonald[17] Tory Rushton
Hants East John A. MacDonald
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Dave Ritcey

Central Halifax

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo
Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Jo-Ann Roberts[16] Ali Duale
Halifax Chebucto Gary Burrill
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Lisa Lachance
Halifax Needham Suzy Hansen

Suburban Halifax

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Bedford Basin Kelly Regan
Bedford South Braedon Clark
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Steve Craig†
Sackville-Uniacke Brad Johns
Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Brian Wong

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Cole Harbour Tony Ince
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll
Dartmouth East Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Barbara Adams
Eastern Shore Kent Smith
Preston Twila Grosse

Central Nova

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Antigonish Michelle Thompson
Guysborough-Tracadie Greg Morrow
Pictou Centre Pat Dunn†
Pictou East Tim Houston
Pictou West Vacant

Cape Breton

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Liberal NDP Green United
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton East Brian Comer
Glace Bay-Dominion John White
Inverness Allan MacMaster
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley
Richmond Trevor Boudreau
Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette
Victoria-The Lakes Keith Bain†

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2021 election

Polling firm Dates conducted Link PC Liberal NDP Green Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Narrative Research 6–17 Feb 2024 [p 1] 49 25 20 5 1 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 24
Narrative Research 1–21 Nov 2023 [p 2] 52 21 22 3 1 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 30
Narrative Research 1–14 Aug 2023 [p 3] 47 23 24 4 2 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 23
Narrative Research 3–16 May 2023 [p 4] 39 31 24 5 1 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 8
Narrative Research 8–23 Feb 2023 [p 5] 46 25 24 4 2 ±4.6% 450 Telephone 21
Narrative Research 2–28 Nov 2022 [p 6] 42 27 25 5 1 ±4.0% 605 Telephone 15
Narrative Research 4–23 Aug 2022 [p 7] 43 30 22 4 1 ±4.0% 585 Telephone 13
Angus Reid 7–13 Jun 2022 [p 8] 46 21 27 3 2 ±5.0% 330 Online 24
Narrative Research 3–22 May 2022 [p 9] 42 27 25 4 1 ±5.0% 380 Telephone 15
Abacus Data 14–21 Apr 2022 [p 10] 39 31 23 N/A 7 ±4.4% 500 Online 8
Angus Reid 10–15 Mar 2022 [p 11] 47 25 22 2 5 ±5.0% 366 Online 22
Narrative Research 8–23 Feb 2022 [p 12] 44 27 20 6 2 ±4.9% 396 Telephone 17
Angus Reid 7–12 Jan 2022 [p 13] 38 28 26 1 6 ±6.0% 320 Online 10
MQO Research 14–24 Nov 2021 [p 14] 41 23 27 5 3 ±4.9% 400 Telephone 14
Narrative Research 4–21 Nov 2021 [p 15] 42 26 24 5 3 ±4.2% 557 Telephone 16
Angus Reid 29 Sep – 3 Oct 2021 [p 16] 39 21 32 4 5 N/A 264 Online 7
2021 general election 17 Aug 2021 [p 17] 38.43 36.67 20.94 2.14 1.41 — 422,754 — 1.76
Polling firm Dates conducted Link Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
PC Liberal NDP Green

References

  1. ^ Laroche, Jean (13 October 2021). "N.S. government sets third Tuesday in July as new fixed date for elections every 4 years". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 29 October 2021. Retrieved 29 October 2021.
  2. ^ Grant, Taryn (23 October 2021). "Anthony Edmonds elected leader of N.S. Green Party". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 21 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  3. ^ Burrill, Gary [@GaryBurrill] (9 November 2021). "One of the most important parts of leadership is knowing when the time has come for renewal, and knowing when to bring your own leadership to a conclusion. In my judgement, this is that time. (1/3)" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 November 2021 – via Twitter.
  4. ^ "New Registered Political Party In Nova Scotia". Elections Nova Scotia. 16 December 2021. Archived from the original on 17 December 2021. Retrieved 17 December 2021.
  5. ^ Gorman, Michael (5 January 2022). "Iain Rankin to step down as N.S. Liberal Party leader". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 5 January 2022. Retrieved 5 January 2022.
  6. ^ Gorman, Michael (25 June 2022). "Claudia Chender officially at helm of Nova Scotia NDP". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 28 June 2022. Retrieved 28 June 2022.
  7. ^ Laroche, Jean [@larochecbc] (9 July 2022). "Former Ed minister Zack Churchill is the new ⁦@LiberalPartyNS leader" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 July 2022 – via Twitter.
  8. ^ Rickard, Kelli (15 March 2024). "Atlantica Party ending". CJLS-FM. Acadia Broadcasting. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  9. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 28 January 2023. Retrieved 28 January 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  10. ^ Cuthbertson, Richard; Gorman, Michael (22 February 2024). "N.S. Liberal MLA Brendan Maguire joining PCs, named minister of community services". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 22 February 2024. Retrieved 22 February 2024.
  11. ^ Musick, Sueann (12 April 2024). "Province commits funding to Salem Wastewater Project". Pictou County. Retrieved 12 April 2024.
  12. ^ "Nova Scotia Legislature". Nova Scotia Legislature. Archived from the original on 20 August 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  13. ^ Gorman, Michael (9 March 2023). "Keith Bain to remain as Speaker during spring session of N.S. legislature". CBC News. Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  14. ^ Laroche, Jean (13 September 2023). "Cabinet ministers Pat Dunn and Steve Craig won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 15 September 2023. Retrieved 14 September 2023.
  15. ^ Laroche, Jean (13 September 2023). "Cabinet ministers Pat Dunn and Steve Craig won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 15 September 2023. Retrieved 14 September 2023.
  16. ^ a b "Candidates". Green Party of Nova Scotia. Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  17. ^ a b "Candidates and Official Agents". Elections Nova Scotia. Retrieved 11 April 2024.

Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "NS: The PCs maintain their lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 28 February 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  2. ^ "NS: The PCs increase their lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 5 December 2023. Retrieved 5 December 2023.
  3. ^ "A majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 August 2023. Retrieved 24 August 2023.
  4. ^ "While a majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance, the PCs have less of a lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 May 2023. Retrieved 24 May 2023.
  5. ^ "NS: Satisfaction with Houston government's performance has declined since last November, while voting intentions remain stable" (PDF). Narrative Research. 7 March 2023.
  6. ^ "Satisfaction with Houston government's performance remains high and stable in NS" (PDF). Narrative Research. 1 December 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 December 2022. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  7. ^ "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high and stable". Narrative Research. August 2022. Archived from the original on 31 August 2022. Retrieved 31 August 2022.
  8. ^ "Atlantic Spotlight: Soaring inflation, floundering health-care systems leave East Coasters critical of governments". Angus Reid. 13 July 2022. Archived from the original on 14 July 2022. Retrieved 19 July 2022.
  9. ^ "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high, albeit slightly declined relative to three months ago" (PDF). Narrative Research. May 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 25 May 2022. Retrieved 15 June 2022.
  10. ^ "State of the Province: How Do Nova Scotians Feel About the Provincial Government and Their Political Choices?". Abacus Data. April 2022. Archived from the original on 29 May 2022. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
  11. ^ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid. March 2022. Archived from the original on 31 March 2022. Retrieved 31 March 2022.
  12. ^ "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high" (PDF). Narrative Research. 2 March 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 March 2022. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
  13. ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. 20 January 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 20 January 2022. Retrieved 21 January 2022.
  14. ^ "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report Nova Scotia" (PDF). MQO Research. November 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 December 2021. Retrieved 12 December 2021.
  15. ^ "High satisfaction with the performance of the newly-elected provincial government of Nova Scotia" (PDF). Narrative Research. 29 November 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 November 2021.
  16. ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments" (PDF). Angus Reid. 27 October 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 October 2021. Retrieved 3 November 2021.
  17. ^ "NS 2011 Election Results". Archived from the original on 8 October 2021. Retrieved 3 September 2021.
This page was last edited on 13 April 2024, at 01:17
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