| NATO Summit Washington 2024 2024 Washington Summit | |
|---|---|
 | |
| Host country | United States |
| Date | 9–11 July 2024 |
| Venue(s) | Walter E. Washington Convention Center[1] |
| Cities | Washington, D.C. |
| Follows | 2023 Vilnius summit |
| Precedes | 2025 The Hague summit |
| Website | www |
The 2024 Washington summit is an upcoming meeting of the heads of state and heads of government of the thirty-two members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), their partner countries, and the European Union, which will be held in Washington, DC, United States, on 9–11 July 2024.[2] The summit will commemorate the landmark 75th anniversary of NATO, which was founded on 4 April 1949 with the signing of the North Atlantic Treaty in Washington, DC. The summit is the fourth NATO summit to be held in the United States following the 1978 Washington summit, 1999 Washington summit and 2012 Chicago summit and marks the first summit since Sweden acceded to NATO.
Background
The official title of the 2024 Washington summit is "Ukraine and transatlantic security",[3] thus highlighting the focus on NATO's response to escalating global threats to peace and democracies, with particular attention to Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine, including North Korea's exports of military equipment to Russia used in the war against Ukraine.[4] The summit will also focus on boosting defense production and reaffirming Allies' commitment to military readiness and the defense of all of NATO's territory.[5][6]
Pre-summit developments
2024 Ukrainian mobilization law
Despite the controversial mobilization law passed in Ukraine in 2024,[7] which lowered the mobilization age from 27 to 25, Ukraine still faces a severe manpower shortage.[8][9] With a population of 144 million people,[10] Russia significantly outnumbers Ukraine's 38 million in 2022.[11] This demographic advantage gives Russia greater manpower resources. However, Russian losses in the war are generally considered higher than Ukraine's. Both have lost significant amounts of personnel, though no precise numbers can be given until the invasion ends and all cases are investigated.[12][13]
International support for Ukraine
On 14 May 2024, United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived to Kyiv announced to reaffirm the support of his country, less than a month after Congress approved a $60 billion aid package.[14] With expedited delivery of military assistance, including artillery and air defense systems, the trip underscored the Biden administration's commitment to Ukraine's long-term security amidst escalating conflict.[15] Blinken stated, "We are with you today. And we will stay by your side until Ukraine's security, sovereignty, its ability to choose its own path is guaranteed."[16]
On the morning of 24 May, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said in a state radio broadcast that his government planned to redefine Hungary's NATO membership "without taking part in NATO operations outside NATO territory" due to his stance on foreign aid to Ukraine.[17][18] Orbán remains the only leader of a European Union member state and NATO member who, despite united efforts to support Ukraine economically, militarily, and politically,[19][20] has maintained close ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin.[21] Previously, in January 2024, the EU threatened to impose voting sanctions on Hungary and permanently shut off all EU funding if Orbán's government blocked €50 billion (approximately 54 billion US dollars) in aid to Ukraine once again.[22][23] This resulted in Hungary dropping its veto, and a successful EU agreement on $54 billion to Ukraine.[24][25]
Relations with Russia
On 24 May 2024, the State Department announced that Secretary of State Antony Blinken would visit Eastern Europe amidst escalating concerns over Russia's advances in Ukraine as it opened a new northern front with an attack on the Kharkiv region,[26][27] potential Russian interference in Moldova,[28] and Georgian protests against a proposed "foreign agent" bill similar to Russia's.[29][30] Blinken visited Chişinau on 29 May and Prague on 30 and 31 May. He met Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavský and other officials to deliberate on support for Ukraine, alongside the Georgian "foreign agent" bill.[31][32]
Weapon use policy changes
On 3 May, during a visit to Kyiv, UK Foreign Secretary David Cameron said that Ukraine had the decision as to how it would use British weapons and the right to strike with them inside Russia. This was a major policy change on the part of the United Kingdom, a nuclear state and key NATO member.[33] Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov and the spokeswoman for Ministry of Foreign Affairs Maria Zakharova condemned the decision.[34] On 29 May, representatives of Finland, Canada, and Poland issued separate statements saying that Ukraine can strike valid military targets inside Russia using their weapons.[35]
By the end of May, several leaders had also endorsed lifting the concurrent ban on Western-supplied weapons, including presidents Emmanuel Macron of France, Edgars Rinkēvičs of Latvia, and Alar Karis of Estonia; German Chancellor Olaf Scholz; and prime ministers Alexander De Croo of Belgium, Petr Fiala of the Czech Republic and Mette Frederiksen of Denmark, as well as the foreign ministers of Canada, Lithuania, Norway, the United Kingdom and Poland; and the defence ministers of Finland, the Netherlands and Sweden. Conversely, Belgium and Italy were against the use of Western-supplied weapons by Ukraine to strike targets within Russia.[36][37]
On 30 May, US President Joe Biden implicitly gave Ukraine permission to strike inside Russia, but only near the Kharkiv Oblast, with no exact borderlines defined.[38] The decision came after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other officials urged their allies to allow Ukraine to strike inside Russia with Western-supplied weapons in response to the daily bombings of Ukrainian cities by Russian forces from military bases located inside Russia.[37] Shortly after the US lifted these restrictions, the German government gave permission for Ukraine to use its weapons inside Russia.[39] This came with a "just over the border" striking policy limited to Kharkiv Oblast, where Russia launched an offensive and made tactical gains.[40][41]
Member state defense spending
On 17 June, while visiting President Biden in Washington, D.C. ahead of the summit, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced that a record 23 of 32 NATO member states were meeting their defense spending targets of 2% of their country's GDP.[42][43] According to NATO, defense spending for European member states and Canada was up 18%.[42][43]
Ukraine's question
Ukrainian public stance on NATO
The Orange Revolution in Ukraine in 2004, which nullified the election of pro-Russian presidential candidate Viktor Yanukovych, still did not reflect on public opinion with a significant vote of 60% against joining NATO.[44][45]
Following the Russian annexation of Crimea and pro-Russian unrest in 2014, Ukrainian support for NATO membership has been growing gradually. After the 2022 invasion, public stances on membership significantly changed from a relatively low 59.2% in favour and 28.1% against in 2021 to a resounding 89% in favour by May 2023.[46] Subsequently, the rate stabilized at 77% in favor and 5% against by 2024.[47]
NATO stance on Ukraine
At an Atlantic Council event, US permanent representative to NATO Julianne Smith indicated that NATO was not ready to extend a formal invitation to Ukraine for membership during the previous year's summit in Vilnius and is unlikely to do so at the upcoming Washington summit. Instead, she expects NATO allies to provide Ukraine with a "deliverable" that would bring the country closer to membership, focusing on institutionalizing the bilateral support that has grown over the past two years. While details on this deliverable remain unclear, Smith emphasized NATO's ongoing commitment to Ukraine through measures like the NATO-Ukraine Council, established at the 2023 NATO summit.[48]
NATO officially highlights support for Ukraine is unwavering, with the alliance determined to stand by Ukraine indefinitely. This stance is meant to send a strong message to Russia that NATO allies remain united and committed.[49][50]
Although some NATO members, particularly those in Eastern Europe, pushed for Ukrainian accession to the alliance, they considered it to not be possible before the invasion ends due to the implication that NATO could be considered to be directly involved in the war with Russia if Ukraine were already made a member.[51][52]
Summit
Participants
| Non-NATO member |
See also
References
- ^ "NATO Summit". www.nato.int. NATO.
- ^ "NATO summits". nato.int. NATO.
- ^ "The Washingtop NATO Summit: Ukraine and transatlantic security". www.atlanticcouncil.org. Atlantic Council.
- ^ Baker, Peter (13 October 2023). "North Korea Shipped Arms to Russia for Use in Ukraine, U.S. Says". The New York Times. Retrieved 13 October 2023.
- ^ "Readout of National Security Advisor Sullivan's Meeting with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg". whitehouse.gov. The White House. 29 January 2024. Retrieved 29 January 2024.
- ^ Jeglinskas, Giedrimas; Sergejeva, Zelma (6 November 2023). "How to keep NATO relevant into 2024 and beyond". atlanticcouncil.org. Atlantic Council. Retrieved 6 November 2023.
- ^ "Ukraine's mobilization law now in force, sparking fears more essential workers will be drafted". CBC News. 18 May 2024.
- ^ Verbianyi, Volodymyr (31 May 2024). "Ukraine Is Running Short of People". Bloomberg.
- ^ Sherman, Ella (7 May 2024). "Ukraine's manpower problem is likely going to 'get worse before it gets better,' war expert says". Business Insider.
- ^ "Population, total - Russian Federation". data.worldbank.org. The World Bank.
- ^ "Population, total - Ukraine". The World Bank.
- ^ Mittal, Vikram (5 March 2023). "Military Casualties In Russia-Ukraine War Are Likely Less Than Commonly Stated". Forbes.
- ^ Isabel van Brugen (30 May 2024). "Russia Rapidly Approaching Grim Losses Milestone: Kyiv". Newsweek.
- ^ Rimmer, Morgan; Barrett, Ted (30 April 2024). "Senate passes $95 billion package sending aid to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan after months of delay". CNN.
- ^ The Associated Press (14 May 2024). "Antony Blinken visits Ukraine to tout U.S. support for Kyiv's fight against Russia's advances". NBC News.
- ^ Lewis, Simon (14 May 2024). "Blinken, in Kyiv, vows unwavering US support as Russian attacks intensify". Reuters.
- ^ Spike, Justin (24 May 2024). "Hungary will seek to opt out of NATO efforts to support Ukraine, Orbán says". AP News.
- ^ Dunai, Marton; Foy, Henry (24 May 2024). "Hungary seeks to 'redefine' its Nato membership over Ukraine". Financial Times.
- ^ "EU Solidarity with Ukraine". eu-solidarity-ukraine.ec.europa.eu. European Union. 26 February 2022.
- ^ "NATO's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine". www.nato.int. NATO.
- ^ "Hungary to seek to opt out of NATO efforts to support Ukraine, Orban says". Voice of America. Associated Press. 24 May 2024.
- ^ "EU threatens to silence Hungary, if it blocks Ukrainian funds". Politico.
- ^ Foy, Henry; Bounds, Andy; Dunai, Marton (28 January 2024). "Brussels threatens to hit Hungary's economy if Viktor Orbán vetoes Ukraine aid". Financial Times.
- ^ "European Union agrees on new $54bn aid package for Ukraine". Aljazeera. 1 February 2024.
- ^ "EU Leaders agree on €50 billion of reliable financial support for Ukraine until 2027". neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu. European Union.
- ^ Meheut, Constant (23 May 2024). "Advancing Russian Troops Threaten to Reverse Some of Ukraine's Hard-Won Gains". The New York Times.
- ^ McArthur, Tom (21 May 2024). "Thousands flee Russian offensive in Kharkiv region". BBC News.
- ^ Donald Jensen, PhD; James Rupert (1 May 2024). "In Russia's Hybrid War on Europe, Moldova's Critical Next 15 Months". www.usip.org. United States Institute of Peace.
- ^ Nechepurenko, Ivan (18 May 2024). "Georgia's President Vetoes Foreign Influence Law". The New York Times.
- ^ Demytrie, Rayhan (28 May 2024). "Georgia parliament overturns veto on foreign agents law". BBC News.
- ^ "Live Blog: 'Yes to Europe, No to Russian Law' – Rallies Against Foreign Agents Bill". Civil Georgia.
- ^ Lee, Matthew (24 May 2024). "Blinken will head to eastern Europe as concerns mount about Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia". ABC News.
- ^ Kirby, Paul (3 May 2024). "Kyiv can use British weapons inside Russia - Cameron". BBC News.
- ^ "Kremlin calls Cameron statement on UK arms for Ukraine a 'direct escalation'". Reuters. 3 May 2024.
- ^ Denisova, Kateryna (29 May 2024). "Finland, Canada, Poland don't prohibit Ukraine from striking targets in Russia with their weapons". The Kyiv Independent.
- ^ Hrudka, Orysia (31 May 2024). "Most allies now support Ukraine striking targets in Russia; Italy and Belgium oppose, US undecided". Euromaidan Press.
- ^ a b Denisova, Kateryna (29 May 2024). "Ukraine urges allies to lift Western arms ban on hitting targets inside Russia. Will they?". The Kyiv Independent.
- ^ Banco, Erin; Ward, Alexander; Seligman, Lara (30 May 2024). "Biden secretly gave Ukraine permission to strike inside Russia with US weapons". Politico.
- ^ Novikov, Illia; Lee, Matthew; Janicek, Karel (31 May 2024). "Germany says Ukraine can use its weapons against targets in Russia after the U.S. also eases its stance". PBS News Hour.
- ^ "Russian forces firm control of offensive line near Kharkiv, Russia-installed officials say". Reuters. 31 May 2024.
- ^ "Ukraine updates: Russia making 'tactical' gains in Kharkiv". Deutsche Welle. 13 May 2024.
- ^ a b "Secretary General in Washington: NATO makes America stronger". NATO.int. NATO. 17 June 2024. Retrieved 19 June 2024.
- ^ a b Knickmeyer, Ellen; Seung Min Kim (17 June 2024). "A record number of NATO allies are hitting their defense spending target during war in Ukraine". APNews.com. Associated Press. Retrieved 19 June 2024.
- ^ Interfax-Ukraine (10 January 2013). "Poll: Almost half of Ukrainians back Ukraine's accession to EU". Kyiv Post.
- ^ "Almost half of Ukrainians want to join the EU, slightly less want to join the Customs Union". Ukrainska Pravda. 10 January 2013.
- ^ "Attitude to the access of Ukraine to the EU and NATO, attitude to direct negotiations with v. putin, and perception of the military threat from Russia: results of the telephone survey conducted december 13-16, 2021". KIV INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE SOCIOLOGY.
- ^ "All UKRAINIAN Survey" (PDF). ratinggroup.ua. Center for insights in survey research.
- ^ "TExpect a new 'bridge' to NATO membership for Ukraine at the Washington summit, says Julianne Smith". www.atlanticcouncil.org. Atlantic Council. 29 April 2024.
- ^ Ching, Nike (29 November 2024). "Blinken: 'No Fatigue' in NATO Support of Ukraine". Voice of America.
- ^ "NATO's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine". www.nato.int. NATO. 21 March 2024.
- ^ Besch, Sophia; Ciaramella, Eric (24 October 2024). "Ukraine's Accession Poses a Unique Conundrum for the EU". carnegieendowment.org. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
- ^ Kostina, Ivanna; Pohorilov, Stanislav (5 April 2024). "Ukraine won't be invited to NATO at Washington summit in order not to bring NATO into war – NYT". Ukrainska Pravda.
- ^ news.bg (21 June 2024). "Both Glavchev and Radev are traveling to Washington for the NATO summit". News.bg (in Bulgarian). Retrieved 21 June 2024.
This page was last edited on 25 June 2024, at 17:56