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35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent running Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent running Republican incumbent retiring No election Rectangular inset (Oklahoma): both seats up for election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 3 senators, who were last elected in 2016, will be up for election again in 2022.
All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class 3 currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans. Two special elections will also be held—in California to fill the final weeks of Kamala Harris's term[1] and in Oklahoma to serve the four remaining years of Jim Inhofe's term.
Six Republican senators, Richard Shelby (Alabama), Roy Blunt (Missouri), Richard Burr (North Carolina), Rob Portman (Ohio), Jim Inhofe (Oklahoma), Pat Toomey (Pennsylvania), as well as one Democratic senator, Patrick Leahy (Vermont), have announced that they are not seeking re-election; 15 Republicans and 13 Democrats are running for re-election.
Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 House elections, will also be held on this date. The winners of this election will serve beginning in the 118th United States Congress. Democrats have held a majority in the Senate since January 20, 2021, following the party's twin victories in the runoffs for Georgia's regularly-scheduled and special 2020 Senate elections, and the inauguration of Democrat Kamala Harris as vice president. There are 48 Democratic senators and two independent senators who caucus with them; with Harris's tie-breaking vote, the Democrats hold an effective 51-seat majority in the chamber.
This will be the first US Senate election in history in which multiple races are contested between two African-American nominees (Georgia and South Carolina).
Partisan composition
Parties | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic | Independent | Republican | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last election (2020) | 48 | 2 | 50 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Before these elections | 48 | 2 | 50 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not up | 34 | 2 | 30 | 66 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 1 (2018→2024) | 21 | 2 | 10 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 2 (2020→2026) | 13 | 0 | 20 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Up | 14 | 0 | 20 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Class 3 (2016→2022) | 14 | 0 | 20 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Special: Class 2 & 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
General election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent retiring (declared) | 1 | — | 6 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Incumbent running (declared) | 13 | — | 15 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Special elections | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Appointee running | 1 | — | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
In contrast to 2018, where Democrats were defending 10 seats in states that Donald Trump won in 2016, Democrats hold no seats in any state that was won by Trump in 2020. Meanwhile, the GOP is defending two seats (Wisconsin and Pennsylvania) in states President Joe Biden won in 2020, compared to just one seat (Nevada won by Hillary Clinton in 2016) that was up for grabs in 2018.
Change in composition
Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.
Before the elections
Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.
D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
D40 Hawaii Running |
D39 Ga. Running |
D38 Conn. Running |
D37 Colo. Running |
D36 Calif. Running |
D35 Ariz. Running |
D34 | D33 | D32 | D31 |
D41 Ill. Running |
D42 Md. Running |
D43 Nev. Running |
D44 N.H. Running |
D45 N.Y. Running |
D46 Ore. Running |
D47 Vt. Retiring |
D48 Wash. Running |
I1 | I2 |
Majority (with Independents and Vice President) ↑ | |||||||||
R41 N.C. Retiring |
R42 N.D. Running |
R43 Ohio Retiring |
R44 Okla. (reg) Running |
R45 Okla. (sp) Retiring |
R46 Pa. Retiring |
R47 S.C. Running |
R48 S.D. Running |
R49 Utah Running |
R50 Wisc. Running |
R40 Mo. Retiring |
R39 La. Running |
R38 Ky. Running |
R37 Kans. Running |
R36 Iowa Running |
R35 Ind. Running |
R34 Idaho Running |
R33 Fla. Running |
R32 Ark. Running |
R31 Alaska Running |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 Ala. Retiring |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
After the elections
D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 | D9 | D10 |
D20 | D19 | D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 |
D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 | D29 | D30 |
Ark. TBD |
Ariz. TBD |
Alaska TBD |
Ala. TBD |
I2 | I1 | D34 | D33 | D32 | D31 |
Calif. TBD |
Colo. TBD |
Conn. TBD |
Fla. TBD |
Ga. TBD |
Hawaii TBD |
Idaho TBD |
Ill. TBD |
Ind. TBD |
Iowa TBD |
Majority TBD → | |||||||||
Kans. TBD | |||||||||
N.D. TBD |
N.C. TBD |
N.Y. TBD |
N.H. TBD |
Nev. TBD |
Mo. TBD |
Md. TBD |
La. TBD |
Ky. TBD | |
Ohio TBD |
Okla. (sp) TBD |
Okla. (reg) TBD |
Ore. TBD |
Pa. TBD |
S.C. TBD |
S.D. TBD |
Utah TBD |
Vt. TBD |
Wash. TBD |
R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | Wisc. TBD |
R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
Key: |
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Predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election) and the other candidates and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:
- "tossup" / "battleground": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency | Incumbent | 2022 election ratings | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | PVI[2] | Senator | Last election[c] |
Cook March 4, 2022[3] |
IE July 1, 2022[4] |
Sabato June 15, 2022[5] |
Politico June 8, 2022[6] |
RCP June 14, 2022[7] |
Fox May 12, 2022[8] |
538[d][e] June 30, 2022[9] | ||||
Alabama | R+15 | Richard Shelby (retiring) |
64.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Alaska | R+9 | Lisa Murkowski | 44.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Arizona | R+3 | Mark Kelly | 51.2% D (2020 special)[f] |
Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | ||||
Arkansas | R+16 | John Boozman | 59.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
California[g] | D+14 | Alex Padilla | Appointed (2021)[h] |
Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Colorado | D+3 | Michael Bennet | 50.0% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | ||||
Connecticut | D+7 | Richard Blumenthal | 63.2% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Florida | R+3 | Marco Rubio | 52.0% R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | ||||
Georgia | R+3 | Raphael Warnock | 51.0% D (2020 special)[i] |
Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | ||||
Hawaii | D+15 | Brian Schatz | 73.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Idaho | R+19 | Mike Crapo | 66.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Illinois | D+7 | Tammy Duckworth | 54.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Indiana | R+11 | Todd Young | 52.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Iowa | R+6 | Chuck Grassley | 60.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Kansas | R+11 | Jerry Moran | 62.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Kentucky | R+16 | Rand Paul | 57.3% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Louisiana | R+12 | John Kennedy | 60.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Maryland | D+14 | Chris Van Hollen | 60.9% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Missouri | R+11 | Roy Blunt (retiring) |
49.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
Nevada | EVEN | Catherine Cortez Masto | 47.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | ||||
New Hampshire | EVEN | Maggie Hassan | 48.0% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | ||||
New York | D+10 | Chuck Schumer | 70.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
North Carolina | R+3 | Richard Burr (retiring) |
51.1% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | ||||
North Dakota | R+20 | John Hoeven | 78.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Ohio | R+6 | Rob Portman (retiring) |
58.0% R | Lean R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
Oklahoma | R+20 | James Lankford | 67.7% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Oklahoma (special) |
R+20 | Jim Inhofe (retiring) |
62.9% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Oregon | D+6 | Ron Wyden | 56.6% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Pennsylvania | R+2 | Pat Toomey (retiring) |
48.8% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | ||||
South Carolina | R+8 | Tim Scott | 60.6% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
South Dakota | R+16 | John Thune | 71.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Utah | R+13 | Mike Lee | 68.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | ||||
Vermont | D+15 | Patrick Leahy (retiring) |
61.3% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D | ||||
Washington | D+8 | Patty Murray | 58.8% D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
Wisconsin | R+2 | Ron Johnson | 50.2% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R | ||||
Overall[j] | D – 47 R – 48 5 tossups |
D – 47 R – 50 3 tossups |
D – 47 R – 49 4 tossups |
D – 47 R – 48 5 tossups |
D – 46 R – 47 7 tossups |
D – 46 R – 49 5 tossups |
D – 47 R – 49 4 tossups |
Retirements
Democrats
One Democrat has announced his retirement.
State | Senator | Ref |
---|---|---|
Vermont | Patrick Leahy | [10] |
Republicans
Six Republicans have announced their retirement.
State | Senator | Ref |
---|---|---|
Alabama | Richard Shelby | [11] |
Missouri | Roy Blunt | [12] |
North Carolina | Richard Burr | [13] |
Ohio | Rob Portman | [14] |
Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe | [15] |
Pennsylvania | Pat Toomey | [16] |
Race summary
Special elections during the preceding Congress
In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.
Elections are sorted by date then state.
State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Status | Candidates | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
California (Class 3) |
Alex Padilla | Democratic | 2021 (Appointed) | Interim appointee nominated |
|
Oklahoma (Class 2) |
Jim Inhofe | Republican | 1994 (special) 1996 2002 2008 2014 2020 |
Incumbent resigning January 3, 2023[15] |
|
Elections leading to the next Congress
In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2023.
State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Status | Major candidates[k][l] | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Senator | Party | Electoral history | |||
Alabama | Richard Shelby | Republican | 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[19] |
|
Alaska | Lisa Murkowski | Republican | 2002 (appointed) 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
Arizona | Mark Kelly | Democratic | 2020 (special) | Incumbent running |
|
Arkansas | John Boozman | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
California | Alex Padilla | Democratic | 2021 (appointed) | Interim appointee nominated |
|
Colorado | Michael Bennet | Democratic | 2009 (appointed) 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Connecticut | Richard Blumenthal | Democratic | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Florida | Marco Rubio | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
Georgia | Raphael Warnock | Democratic | 2021 (special) | Incumbent renominated |
|
Hawaii | Brian Schatz | Democratic | 2012 (appointed) 2014 (special) 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
Idaho | Mike Crapo | Republican | 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated | |
Illinois | Tammy Duckworth | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent renominated |
|
Indiana | Todd Young | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent renominated |
|
Iowa | Chuck Grassley | Republican | 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Kansas | Jerry Moran | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running | |
Kentucky | Rand Paul | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Louisiana | John Kennedy | Republican | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
Maryland | Chris Van Hollen | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
Missouri | Roy Blunt | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[41] |
|
Nevada | Catherine Cortez Masto | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent renominated |
|
New Hampshire | Maggie Hassan | Democratic | 2016 | Incumbent running |
|
New York | Chuck Schumer | Democratic | 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
North Carolina | Richard Burr | Republican | 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[47] | |
North Dakota | John Hoeven | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Ohio | Rob Portman | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[52] | |
Oklahoma | James Lankford | Republican | 2014 (special) 2016 |
Incumbent renominated | |
Oregon | Ron Wyden | Democratic | 1996 (special) 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Pennsylvania | Pat Toomey | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[57] |
|
South Carolina | Tim Scott | Republican | 2013 (appointed) 2014 (special) 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
South Dakota | John Thune | Republican | 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated |
|
Utah | Mike Lee | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent renominated | |
Vermont | Patrick Leahy | Democratic | 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent retiring[10] |
|
Washington | Patty Murray | Democratic | 1992 1998 2004 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
Wisconsin | Ron Johnson | Republican | 2010 2016 |
Incumbent running |
|
Alabama
Six-term Republican Richard Shelby was re-elected in 2016 with 64% of the vote. On February 8, 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term.[68]
Katie Britt, Shelby's former Chief of Staff,[69] defeated six-term representative Mo Brooks in the runoff Republican primary election. Britt and Brooks defeated businesswoman Karla DuPriest, former Army pilot and author Michael Durant and author Jake Schafer in the initial primary election.[70]
Perennial candidate Will Boyd[71] defeated former Brighton mayor Brandaun Dean[72] and Lanny Jackson[73][74] in the Democratic primary.
Alaska
Three-term Republican Lisa Murkowski was re-elected in 2016 with 44.4% of the vote. Alaska adopted a top-four jungle primary system in 2020, with the ultimate winner being decided via ranked-choice voting. Characterizations of the state as a "Safe" or "Solid" Republican stronghold may change if Murkowski decides to change her party affiliation to Independent as she suggested after the Capitol Attack. If she does so, she would most likely continue to caucus with Republicans in the Senate.[75] On March 30, former Alaska Department of Administration Commissioner Kelly Tshibaka announced that she was running against Murkowski following the state's GOP decision to censure her, with Tshibaka later receiving former President Donald Trump's endorsement.[76] Orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, and 2020 senate nominee Al Gross has expressed interest in running.[77]
Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has announced that he will not run, opting to run for re-election.[78]
Arizona
Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly took office on December 2, 2020, after winning a special election with 51.2% of the vote.
Six-term senator and 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain was re-elected to this seat in 2016. However, he died on August 25, 2018, and former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl was appointed to replace him. Kyl resigned at the end of 2018 and was succeeded by outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who lost the 2020 special election to complete the term.
Term-limited Republican governor Doug Ducey has announced that he will not challenge Kelly in 2022.[79] Republicans Blake Masters, the chairman of the Thiel foundation, Jim Lamon, chair of the solar power company Depcom,[80] and Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich have announced their candidacies against Kelly.[81]
Arkansas
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Two-term Republican John Boozman was re-elected in 2016 with 59.8% of the vote. Boozman has announced that he is running for a third term.[82]
Boozman defeated former NFL player and U.S. Army veteran Jake Bequette, gun range owner and 2018 gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan, and pastor Heath Loftis in the Republican primary.[83][84][85][86] A fourth challenger, corporate analyst Michael Deel withdrew prior to the primary election citing a lack of viability.[87]
Natalie James, a real estate broker from Little Rock,[88] defeated Dan Whitfield, who attempted to run as an independent for Arkansas' other U.S. Senate seat in 2020 but failed to meet the ballot access requirements,[89] and former Pine Bluff city alderman Jack Foster for the Democratic nomination.[90]
California
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Incumbent Democrat Alex Padilla took office on January 20, 2021. He was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom following the resignation of incumbent Democrat Kamala Harris on January 18, 2021 in advance of her swearing-in as Vice President of the United States.[91]
Due to a rule change, there will be two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to elect a Class 3 Senator to a full term beginning with the 118th United States Congress, sworn in on January 3, 2023, and a special election, to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 117th Congress. Padilla is running to fill the seat for the remainder of the current term, and for election to a full term.[1]
Colorado
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Two-term Democrat Michael Bennet took office on January 21, 2009, after being appointed by then governor Bill Ritter to replace outgoing Democrat Ken Salazar, who was nominated by President Barack Obama to serve as United States Secretary of the Interior. He has narrowly won reelection bids, in 2010 to his first full term, with 48.08% of the vote, and, in 2016 to his second, with 49.97% of the vote.
In the Republican primary, businessman Joe O'Dea defeated state representative Ron Hanks.[92][93]
Connecticut
Two-term Democrat Richard Blumenthal was re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote.
Former state House Minority Leader Themis Klarides is running for the Republican nomination.[94]
Florida
Two-term Republican Marco Rubio was re-elected in 2016 with 52% of the vote. He announced on November 9, 2020, via Facebook, that he is running for re-election.[95]
U.S. Representative Val Demings and former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson are running for the Democratic nomination.[96][97]
Former U.S. Representative David Jolly, who was previously a Republican but is now independent, is considering running.[98]
Ivanka Trump, daughter and former Senior Advisor to former President Donald Trump, was seen as a potential candidate to challenge Rubio for the Republican nomination.[99] However, on February 18, 2021, it was confirmed that she would not seek the nomination.[100]
Georgia
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Incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock won the 2020–2021 special election against incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the remainder of former Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. (Isakson had resigned at the end of 2019, and Loeffler was appointed by Governor Brian Kemp following Isakson's resignation.) No candidate in the open election on November 3 received the 50% required by Georgia law to avoid a run-off, a type of election colloquially known as a "jungle primary"[101]—Warnock received just 32.9% of the vote—and so, a run-off election between Warnock and Loeffler was held on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won with 51% of the vote.
Former Republican senator David Perdue, who narrowly lost his race to Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff in 2021,[102] and Former U.S. Representative Doug Collins[103] both considered challenging Warnock, but each eventually announced he is not running.[104]
Former NFL player, Georgia native, and Heisman Trophy-winning University of Georgia running back Herschel Walker,[105] who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump,[106] defeated banking executive Latham Saddler[107] and others in the Republican primary.
Hawaii
One-term Democrat Brian Schatz was appointed to the Senate in 2012, following the death of incumbent Daniel Inouye. He won a special election to finish Inouye's term in 2014, and won his first full term in 2016 with 73.6% of the vote. Republican state representative Bob McDermott is challenging Schatz.[108]
Idaho
Four-term Republican Mike Crapo was re-elected in 2016 with 66.1% of the vote. He is running for re-election to a fifth term.[109] Democrat David Roth will face Crapo in the general election after defeating Ben Pursley in the primary.[110]
Illinois
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One-term Democrat Tammy Duckworth was elected in 2016 with 54.9% of the vote. She will face Republican nominee Kathy Salvi in the general election.[111]
Indiana
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One-term Republican Todd Young was elected in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote. He announced on March 2, 2021, that he is running for re-election.[112] Democratic Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott, Jr., has announced that he is running.[113] James Sceniak, behavior therapist, is the Libertarian candidate running.
Iowa
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Seven-term Republican Chuck Grassley was re-elected in 2016 with 60.1% of the vote. He is seeking re-election to an eighth term.[114]
State Senator Jim Carlin was defeated in the Republican primary by Grassley.[115]
Retired Admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, Michael T. Franken,[116] defeated former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer in the Democratic primary.[117]
Kansas
Two-term Republican Jerry Moran was re-elected in 2016 with 62.2% of the vote. He has announced that he will be seeking re-election.[118] Democratic United Methodist pastor and former Kansas City mayor Mark Holland is challenging Moran.[119]
Kentucky
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Two-term Republican Rand Paul was re-elected in 2016 with 57.3% of the vote. He is running for re-election to a third term.[120]
Former Democratic state representative and 2020 runner-up in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary Charles Booker won the Democratic primary.[121]
Louisiana
One-term Republican John Kennedy was elected in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote and has announced his intention to run for a second term.[38] Civil rights activist Gary Chambers and U.S. Navy veteran Luke Mixon are running as Democrats.[122][123]
Maryland
One-term Democrat Chris Van Hollen was elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, and is running for a second term.[124]
Despite previously indicating that he had no interest in pursuing the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate, incumbent Governor Larry Hogan, who is term-limited and will leave office in 2023, told conservative talk radio host Hugh Hewitt in October 2021 that he was considering challenging Van Hollen. Hogan ultimately decided not to challenge Van Hollen on February 8, 2022.[125][126][127]
Missouri
Two-term Republican Roy Blunt was re-elected in 2016 with 49.2% of the vote. He is not seeking re-election.[12]
Former Governor of Missouri Eric Greitens,[128] Attorney General Eric Schmitt, and US Representatives Vicky Hartzler[129] and Billy Long[130] are running for the Republican nomination to succeed Blunt.
Though subject to speculation, US Representative Ann Wagner will not be running for the open Senate seat, opting to run for re-election.[131]
Marine veteran Lucas Kunce[132] and Anheuser-Busch heir Trudy Busch Valentine[133] are running in the Democratic primary.
Nevada
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One-term Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected in 2016 with 47.1% of the vote. She is seeking re-election.[134]
Former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt is running against Cortez Masto for the seat once held by his maternal grandfather Paul Laxalt.[135]
New Hampshire
One-term Democrat Maggie Hassan was elected in 2016 with 48% of the vote. She is running for re-election.[45]
Republicans Don Bolduc, Chuck Morse, Kevin Smith and Tejasinha Sivalingam[45] have declared their candidacies.
Governor Chris Sununu, who was re-elected in 2020 with 65.2% of the vote, will not be running.[136]
New York
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Four-term Democrat and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer was re-elected in 2016 with 70.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[137] Schumer defeated human rights activist Khaled Salem in the primary.[138][139]
Newsmax TV host Joe Pinion is the Republican nominee.[140][139]
North Carolina
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Three-term Republican Richard Burr was re-elected in 2016 with 51.0% of the vote. Burr has pledged to retire in 2022.[13]
Veteran and senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, Mathew Hoh is running for senate with the Green Party.[48]
U.S. Representative Ted Budd, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump, defeated former North Carolina Governor Pat McCrory in the Republican primary.[141][142][143]
Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump and North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson considered running for U.S. Senate, but ultimately decided not to run.[144][145][143][146]
Former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[147] defeated Beaufort mayor Rett Newton[148] in the Democratic primary.[149]
North Dakota
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Two-term Republican John Hoeven was re-elected in 2016 with 78.5% of the vote. On February 4, 2021, Hoeven campaign spokesman Dan Larson has indicated Hoeven is running for re-election in 2022.[150][151] University of Jamestown engineering professor Katrina Christiansen defeated businessman Michael Steele in the Democratic primary election.[152] Former state representative Rick Becker challenged Hoeven in the Republican primary but withdrew after losing the convention.[153]
Hoeven and Christiansen won their respective primaries on June 14.[154]
Ohio
Two-term Republican Rob Portman was re-elected in 2016 with 58% of the vote. On January 25, 2021, he announced that he would not be running for re-election.[52]
Venture capitalist and author J. D. Vance was nominated in a crowded and competitive Republican primary, defeating USMCR veteran and former Ohio State Treasurer Josh Mandel, state senator Matt Dolan, investment banker Mike Gibbons, and former Ohio Republican Party chair Jane Timken, among others.[155] Vance was endorsed by former President Donald Trump in the primary.[156]
U.S. Representative and 2020 presidential candidate Tim Ryan is the Democratic nominee.
Oklahoma
There will be two elections in Oklahoma, due to the pending resignation of Jim Inhofe.
Oklahoma (regular)
One-term Republican James Lankford won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of former senator Tom Coburn's term.[157] Lankford won election to his first full term in 2016 with 67.7% of the vote. He announced that he would be running for re-election on April 6, 2021.[158][159]
Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church and former Oklahoma State Coordinator for the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, challenged Lankford in the Republican primary.[160]
Oklahoma (special)
Five-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe had been re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2020, and was not scheduled to be up for election again until 2026. However, Inhofe announced his intention to resign at the end of the 117th Congress. A special election to fill his seat will take place in November 2022, concurrent with the other Senate elections.[15] U.S. Representative Markwayne Mullin, and former Oklahoma House Speaker T. W. Shannon are competing in the runoff Republican primary election. Mullin and Shannon defeated Inhofe's chief of staff Luke Holland and others in the initial Republican primary election.[161][162][163] Additionally, former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn is the Democratic nominee, being her party's only candidate.[18][164]
Oregon
Four-term Democrat Ron Wyden was re-elected in 2016 with 56.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[56]
Republican Jo Rae Perkins, a perennial candidate and the 2020 nominee for U.S. Senate, won the Republican primary.[165]
Pennsylvania
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Two-term Republican Pat Toomey was re-elected in 2016 with 48.8% of the vote. On October 5, 2020, Toomey announced that he will retire at the end of his term.[16]
Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman[166] defeated state representative Malcolm Kenyatta and U.S. Representative Conor Lamb in the Democratic primary.[167]
Mehmet Oz, host of The Dr. Oz Show and cardiothoracic surgeon[168] defeated 2018 U.S. Senate candidate Jeff Bartos,[169] 2018 candidate for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district Sean Gale,[170] political commentator Kathy Barnette,[171] former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands,[172] and business executive David McCormick in the Republican primary.
South Carolina
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One-term Republican Tim Scott was appointed in 2013 and won election to his first full term in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote. He said that while he is running for re-election in 2022, it would be his last time.[173] In the Democratic primary, State Representative Krystle Matthews defeated author and activist Catherine Fleming Bruce in a runoff.[174] Angela Geter, chairwoman of the Spartanburg County Democratic Party, also ran in the primary.[175][176][177]
South Dakota
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Three-term Republican and Senate Minority Whip John Thune was re-elected in 2016 with 71.8% of the vote and is running for reelection to a fourth term.[178] Thune has been subject to some backlash from former President Trump and his supporters in the state of South Dakota, leading to speculation of a potential primary challenge.[179] He defeated Bruce Whalen, an Oglala Sioux tribal administrator and former chair of the Oglala Lakota County Republican Party in the Republican primary.[180]
The Democratic candidate is author and navy veteran Brian Bengs, who won the Democratic primary unopposed.[181]
Utah
Two-term Republican Mike Lee was re-elected in 2016 with 68.2% of the vote. He defeated former state representative Becky Edwards as well as businessman and political advisor Ally Isom in the Republican primary.[182]
The Utah Democratic Party has declined to field their own candidate against Lee, and has instead endorsed independent Evan McMullin, a political activist, former Republican, former CIA operations officer, and 2016 presidential candidate.[183]
Vermont
The most senior senator, eight-term Democrat and president pro tempore Patrick Leahy, was re-elected in 2016 with 61.3% of the vote. On November 15, 2021, Leahy announced that he is not seeking re-election to a ninth term.[10]
Vermont's at-large representative, Democrat Peter Welch, is running to succeed Leahy.[65]
Additionally, former United States Attorney for the District of Vermont Christina Nolan is running for the Republican nomination.[65]
Washington
Five-term Democrat Patty Murray was re-elected in 2016 with 58.8% of the vote. She is running for re-election to a sixth term.[184]
Republican nurse Tiffany Smiley is running.[185]
Wisconsin
Two-term Republican Ron Johnson was re-elected in 2016 with 50.2% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a third term.[186]
Former Governor Scott Walker has said that he will not run.[187]
Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson,[188] Senior Vice President of the Milwaukee Bucks Alex Lasry,[189] State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski,[190] and Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes[191] are running in the primary for the Democratic nomination.
Notes
- ^ a b The two independent senators, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate, thus increasing the size of the Democratic caucus in the 117th United States Congress to 50.
- ^ The Democrats lead the Senate, since Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to break ties.
- ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2016, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or passing of a sitting senator, as noted.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight has three separate models for their House and Senate ratings: Lite (polling data only), Classic (polls, fundraising, and past voting patterns), and Deluxe (Classic alongside experts' ratings). This table uses the Deluxe model.
- ^ Category ranges:
- Tossup: <60% both candidates
- Lean: ≥60%
- Likely: ≥75%
- Solid: ≥95%
- ^ Republican John McCain won with 53.7% of the vote in 2016 but died on August 25, 2018.
- ^ Both regular and special elections.
- ^ Democrat Kamala Harris won with 61.6% of the vote against another Democrat in 2016, but resigned on January 18, 2021, to become Vice President of the United States.
- ^ Republican Johnny Isakson won with 54.8% of the vote in 2016, but resigned on December 31, 2019.
- ^ Democratic total includes two independents who caucus with the Democrats
- ^ Major candidates include those who have previously held office and/or those who are the subject of media attention.
- ^ Those who have filed paperwork but have not declared their candidacy are not listed here.
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{{cite web}}
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