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2022 California gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2022 California gubernatorial election

← 2021 (recall) November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Gavin Newsom by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Senator-dahle (cropped).jpg
Nominee Gavin Newsom Brian Dahle
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic



The 2022 California gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.[1] Incumbent Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom is running for re-election to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.

The elections will feature universal mail-in ballots and in-person voting on election day.[2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and will face Republican state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election.[3]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman[5]
  • Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)[7]
  • Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney[8]
  • Ron Jones, former police officer[5]
  • Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[5]
  • David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election[5]
  • Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for California's 25th congressional district in 2020[5]
  • Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive[5]
  • Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election[5]
  • Lonnie Sortor, business owner[5]
  • Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[9]
  • Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election[10]
  • Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[5]

Did not file

  • Laura S. Smith, activist[10]

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

  • Jeff Scott (write-in)[7]

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Brian Dahle (R)
James G. Hanink (NPP)
Political Parties
Individuals
Luis J. Rodriguez (G)
Newspapers and other media
  • People’s Tribune[37]
  • Tribuno del Pueblo[38]
Organizations
Michael Shellenberger (NPP)
Organizations
Individuals

Primary election

The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the Secretary of State.[46]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
(R) Ronald Anderson
(G) Heather Collins
(R) Shawn Collins
(R) Brian Dahle
(D) Anthony Fanara
(I) Serge Fiankan
(I) James Hanink
(R) Ron Jones
(R) Jenny Rae Le Roux
(R) David Lozano
(R) Daniel Mercuri
(R) Cristian Raul Morales
(R) Robert Newman II
(D) Gavin Newsom
(D) Armando Perez-Serrato
(G) Luis Javier Rodriguez
(I) Woodrow Sanders III
(I) Frederic Schultz
(I) Reinette Senum
(I) Michael Shellenberger
(R) Lonnie Sortor
(R) Anthony Trimino
(D) Joel Ventresca
(R) Major Williams
(R) Leo Zacky
(I) Bradley Zink
Undecided
Berkeley IGS May 24–31, 2022 3,438 (LV) ± 2.2% 1% 0% 3% 10% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 50% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% 16%
SurveyUSA May 13–15, 2022 709 (LV) ± 4.5% 7% 2% 5% 7% 5% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 40% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 18%

Results

Results by county  .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}  Newsom   20–30%  30–40%  40–50%  50–60%  60–70%  70–80%      Dahle   30–40%  40–50%  50–60%  60–70%
Results by county
  Newsom
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Dahle
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gavin Newsom (incumbent) 3,945,728 55.9
Republican Brian Dahle 1,252,800 17.7
No party preference Michael Shellenberger 290,286 4.1
Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux 246,665 3.5
Republican Anthony Trimino 246,322 3.5
Republican Shawn Collins 173,083 2.5
Green Luis J. Rodriguez 124,672 1.8
Republican Leo S. Zacky 94,521 1.3
Republican Major Williams 92,580 1.3
Republican Robert C. Newman II 82,849 1.2
Democratic Joel Ventresca 66,885 0.9
Republican David Lozano 66,542 0.9
Republican Ronald A. Anderson 53,554 0.8
No party preference Reinette Senum 53,015 0.8
Democratic Armando Perez-Serrato 45,474 0.6
Republican Ron Jones 38,337 0.5
Republican Daniel R. Mercuri 36,396 0.5
Green Heather Collins 29,690 0.4
Democratic Anthony Fanara 25,086 0.4
Republican Cristian Raul Morales 22,304 0.3
Republican Lonnie Sortor 21,044 0.3
No party preference Frederic C. Schultz 17,502 0.2
No party preference Woodrow Sanders III 16,204 0.2
No party preference James G. Hanink 10,110 0.1
No party preference Serge Fiankan 6,201 0.1
No party preference Bradley Zink 5,997 0.1
American Independent Jeff Scott (write-in) 13 0.0
Republican Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in) 8 0.0
Total votes 7,063,868 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[48] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[49] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[51] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[52] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[53] Solid D May 12, 2022
538[54] Solid D June 30, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Other Undecided
UC Berkeley September 22–27, 2022 6,939 (LV) ± 2.5% 53% 32% 2%[c] 13%
Public Policy Institute of California September 2–11, 2022 1,060 (LV) ± 5.4% 58% 31% 5%[d] 7%
UC Berkeley August 9–15, 2022 9,254 (RV) ± 2.0% 52% 25% 4% 19%
6,321 (LV) ± 2.4% 55% 31% 3% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Faulconer (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 49% 27% 24%
Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
John
Cox (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 51% 26% 23%
Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Larry
Elder (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 52% 30% 18%
Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom (D)
Kevin
Kiley (R)
Undecided
Berkeley IGS August 30 – September 6, 2021 9,809 (RV) ± 2.3% 50% 25% 25%

Results

2022 California gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gavin Newsom (incumbent)
Republican Brian Dahle
Total votes N/A

Notes

  1. ^ Candidate for San Francisco Board of Supervisors in 1977, 1979, and 2002, candidate for Mayor of San Francisco in 1995, 1999, and 2019, and candidate in the 2021 recall election
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Other (write-in)" with 2%
  4. ^ "Would not vote" with 5%
  1. ^ Hanink was listed on the ballot as "no party preference" and listed in the official Voter Information Guide as "no qualified party preference" because the party with which Hanink was registered, the American Solidarity Party, did not have ballot access at the time the ballot was printed.[16][17][18][19]

See also

References

  1. ^ "Bill Text - SB-970 Primary election date".
  2. ^ "California Adopts Vote-by-Mail System for All Future Elections".
  3. ^ "California Governor Primary Election Live Results 2022 – NBC News". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  4. ^ White, Jeremy B. (January 21, 2022). "What 2022 election? California Republicans grim on beating Newsom". Politico. Retrieved February 17, 2022.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Primary Election - June 7, 2022". Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  6. ^ Garofoli, Joe (February 7, 2022). "Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle to announce challenge to Gavin Newsom". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
  7. ^ a b "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  8. ^ "FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — GOP GOVERNOR CHALLENGER". Politico. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
  9. ^ "Gubernatorial candidate Anthony Trimino sees himself as a problem solver, not a politician". KUSI. February 5, 2022.
  10. ^ a b Hearden, Tim (February 11, 2022). "GOP's Sen. Dahle upbeat about bid for governor". Western Farm Press.
  11. ^ White, Jeremy B. (January 4, 2022). "Larry Elder will not run against Newsom in 2022". Politico. Retrieved January 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Deborah Sullivan Brennan (March 10, 2022). "Kevin Faulconer steps out of governor's race". The San Diego Union-Tribune. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
  13. ^ Ross, Martha (February 27, 2021). "California may get Kimberly Guilfoyle back, running for public office". Mercury News. Retrieved August 17, 2021.,
  14. ^ Hansen, BJ (December 29, 2021). "Republican Assemblyman Kiley Running For Eastern Sierra Congressional Seat". My Mother Lode. Retrieved January 4, 2022.,
  15. ^ Rodriguez, Luis (February 2022). "Luis J. Rodriguez is running for California Governor". People's Tribune. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
  16. ^ Spielmann, Cristobal; Backer-Peral, Veronica (May 6, 2021). "Former LMU professor runs for governor in recall election". Los Angeles Loyolan. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
  17. ^ Winger, Richard (August 18, 2021). "California Secretary of State Makes a Tiny Concession to Unqualified Parties in the Official Voter Information Guide". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  18. ^ Black, SaVannah. "Political Body: American Solidarity Party" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2021.
  19. ^ Weber, Shirley. "California Gubernatorial Recall Election Official Voter Information Guide" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
  20. ^ Wyer, Stephen (August 26, 2021). "Reinette Senum takes steps toward running for governor in 2022". The Union.
  21. ^ Laurenzo, Nikki (March 10, 2022). "First on Inside California Politics: Author Michael Shellenberger to challenge Newsom for governor". Fox 40. Retrieved March 10, 2022.
  22. ^ Haber, Matt (October 31, 2019). "Meet the Gubernatorial Candidate Whose Campaign Has One Mission: Attacking Facebook's Fake Political Ads Problem". Inc.com. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
  23. ^ Hampton, Adriel [@adrielhampton] (September 1, 2021). "I declared for California Governor in the fall of 2019 in order to shame Facebook for its political ad practices. Today, I'm formally withdrawing from the 2022 race, and calling on Gavin Newsom to step down as Governor for the good of our state" (Tweet). Archived from the original on September 1, 2021. Retrieved September 4, 2021 – via Twitter.
  24. ^ Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
  25. ^ "American Solidarity Party of California". Facebook. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
  26. ^ Carroll, Brian. "Brian Carroll, Commentaries". Facebook. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  27. ^ Maturen, Mike. "Mike Maturen Hfi". Facebook. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
  28. ^ "Who did the L.A. Times endorse for 2022?". latimes.com. Retrieved May 13, 2022.
  29. ^ "2022 AFSCME California Primary Endorsements". AFSCME California.
  30. ^ "2022 Primary Endorsements" (PDF). cadem.org. California Democratic Party. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  31. ^ "Endorsements - California Faculty Association". CFA.
  32. ^ "Statewide Primary Election Endorsements". CFT.
  33. ^ "Elections 2022". California Teachers Association.
  34. ^ "Election Center". Equality California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  35. ^ "Endorsements". NARAL Pro-Choice California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  36. ^ "Endorsements". www.stonewalldems.org. Stonewall Democrats. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
  37. ^ "People's Tribune Endorses Campaign of Luis J. Rodriguez for CA Governor". People’s Tribune. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  38. ^ a b c "Endorsements & Testimonials". luis4governor.org. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  39. ^ "Endorsed 2022 Statewide Candidates". cagreens.org. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  40. ^ "California Primary Election 2022: The Peace & Freedom, Left Unity Candidates". peaceandfreedom.us. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  41. ^ "Labor Council for Latin American Advancement - Sacramento AFL- CIO (LCLAA)". facebook.com. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
  42. ^ @losangelespoetsociety (April 27, 2022). "We believe in the People, and the power they carry, especially when they come together.  Los Angeles Poet Society is proud to endorse, Luis J. Rodriguez, for Governor of California! He has shown us how the word can liberate, change, and heal people. Our voices make things happen.  We believe in the change that could help lots of Californians, and stand with Luis, our Los Angeles Poet Laureate, 2014-2016, a Writer, Poet, Activist, Change Agent. #luisjrodriguez4governor #luisjrodriguez #greenparty #peoplefirst #timeforchange #liberatecaliofornia #lapoetry #lapoets #chicanx #bipoc #indigenous #cagov2022 #luisjrodriguez4california". Retrieved April 30, 2022 – via Instagram.
  43. ^ "Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC Endorses Michael Shellenberger for Governor". Shellenberger for Governor. April 21, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
  44. ^ Pinker, Steven [@sapinker] (May 19, 2022). "As a temporary Californian, I endorse Michael Shellenberger @ShellenbergerMD for governor in the upcoming open primary - independent, evidence-driven, non-ideological policies to deal with climate, homelessness, energy, conservation, violent crime" (Tweet). Retrieved May 20, 2022 – via Twitter.
  45. ^ Douglas Murray [@DouglasKMurray] (June 4, 2022). "Great to meet you Michael ⁦@ShellenbergerMD⁩. And good luck with the race for Governor. Rooting for you!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  46. ^ "CERTIFIED LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR THE JUNE 7, 2022, PRIMARY ELECTION" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 31, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
  47. ^ "California June 7, 2022 Primary Statement of Vote" (PDF). Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  48. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  49. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  50. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  51. ^ "California Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  52. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  53. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  54. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 4 October 2022, at 16:48
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