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2020 Saskatchewan general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 Saskatchewan general election

← 2016 October 26, 2020 Next →

61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout52.86% Decrease4.94%
  First party Second party
 
Scott-Moe-Crop.jpg
RyanMeili2013.jpg
Leader Scott Moe Ryan Meili
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 March 3, 2018
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Saskatoon Meewasin
Last election 51 seats, 62.53% 10 seats, 30.28%
Seats before 46 13
Seats won 48 13
Seat change Decrease 3 Increase 3
Popular vote 269,996 140,584
Percentage 60.67% 31.82%
Swing Decrease 1.86 pp Increase 1.54 pp

Premier before election

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

Premier after election

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

The 2020 Saskatchewan general election was held on October 26, 2020 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. This date is set by Saskatchewan's fixed election date law. The writ was dropped on September 29 just in time to hold the election on October 26.[1]

The previous election re-elected the Saskatchewan Party to its third consecutive majority government under the leadership of Brad Wall. On August 10, 2017, Wall announced his resignation as leader, pending the election of his successor.[2] On January 27, 2018, Scott Moe was elected leader of the Saskatchewan Party. He was appointed and sworn in as premier on February 2.

The Saskatchewan Party under Moe was re-elected to its fourth consecutive majority government.

Date

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[3][4][5] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 5, 2021.[5] Because the incumbent 43rd Canadian Parliament is a minority Parliament, such a federal election was possible, but it did not occur prior to the provincial election being called. The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Although Premier Moe hinted at the possibility of a snap election in the Spring of 2020, Moe announced on March 12 that he would not do so, citing the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in Saskatchewan.[6]

This is the third provincial election held in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada after New Brunswick and British Columbia.

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Saskatchewan Party

New Democratic Party

Election summary

Like the previous election, few seats changed hands, though there was a small swing to the NDP.

The Saskatchewan Party retained its sweep of the central and southern rural ridings, with no rural seats changing hands. Saskatoon saw a swing to the NDP, with the New Democrats gaining Saskatoon Eastview and Saskatoon University from the Sask. Party. The Saskatchewan Party won Saskatoon Riversdale for the first time ever, but failed to make any other gains. Regina also saw a swing towards the NDP, which gained Regina University from the Saskatchewan Party, but lost its 2018 by-election gain of Regina Northeast. The Saskatchewan Party also gained the seat of Prince Albert Northcote, leaving the NDP shut out outside of Saskatoon, Regina and Northern Saskatchewan. The newly formed Buffalo Party finished second in four rural ridings.

Summary of the 2020 Saskatchewan Legislature election
Final results[7]
Party Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2016 Dissol. 2020 +/- Votes % % change
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 61 51 46 48 -3 269,996 61.12 –1.41
New Democratic Ryan Meili 61 10 13 13 +3 140,584 31.82 +1.54
Buffalo Wade Sira (i) 17 0 0 0 ±0 11,298 2.56 New
Green Naomi Hunter 60 0 0 0 ±0 10,033 2.27 +0.43
Progressive Conservative Ken Grey 31 0 0 0 ±0 8,404 1.90 +0.62
Liberal Robert Rudachyk (i) 3 0 0 0 ±0 355 0.08 –3.51
  Independent 3 0 0 0 ±0 1,076 0.24 –0.15
  Vacant 2 N/A
Blank and invalid votes 3,265 0.73
Total 236 61 61 61 0 445,011 100.00 0
Eligible voters / turnout 841,807 52.86
Popular vote
Saskatchewan
61.12%
New Democratic
31.82%
Buffalo
2.56%
Green
2.27%
PC
1.90%
Others
0.32%
Seat summary
Saskatchewan
78.69%
New Democratic
21.31%

Candidates by riding

Candidates in bold represent cabinet members and the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. Party leaders are italicized. The symbol † indicates incumbent MLAs who are not running again. [8]

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Athabasca Kelly Kwan
1,112 (36.52%)
Buckley Belanger
1,730 (56.81%)
Leroy Laliberte
204 (6.70%)
  Buckley Belanger
Cut Knife-Turtleford Ryan Domotor
5,517 (76.91%)
Matt Fedler
943 (13.15%)
Patrick McNally
138 (1.97%)
Richard Nelson (Buff.)
562 (7.97%)
  Larry Doke
Lloydminster Colleen Young
3,846 (82.41%)
Colleen Morrell Henning
530 (11.36%)
Audra Kish
56 (1.20%)
Steve Gessner (Buff.)
235 (5.03%)
  Colleen Young
Meadow Lake Jeremy Harrison
4,540 (71.63%)
Harmonie King
1,627 (25.67%)
Carol Vandale
171 (2.70%)
  Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook Scott Moe
5,341 (79.54%)
Trina Miller
1,084 (16.14%)
Larry Neufeld
146 (2.17%)
Yvonne Choquette (PC)
144 (2.15%)
  Scott Moe
The Battlefords Jeremy Cockrill
4,477 (66.19%)
Amber Stewart
1,931 (28.55%)
Joey Reynolds
125 (1.85%)
Harry Zamonsky (PC)
231 (3.41%)
  Herb Cox

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Batoche Delbert Kirsch
4,357 (65.28%)
Lon Borgerson
1,811 (27.14%)
Hamish Graham
156 (2.34%)
Carrie Harris
350 (5.24%)
  Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly Terry Dennis
4,343 (68.31%)
Stacey Strykowski
1,524 (23.97%)
Breton Gattinger
133 (2.09%)
Robert Hayes
358 (5.63%)
  Terry Dennis
Carrot River Valley Fred Bradshaw
4,833 (74.54%)
Rod McCorriston
1,282 (19.77%)
Liam Becker
90 (1.39%)
Glen Leson
279 (4.30%)
  Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland Darren Deschambeault
1,296 (30.15%)
Doyle Vermette
2,807 (65.31%)
Aaron Oochoo
116 (2.70%)
  Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena Hugh Nerlien
4,791 (69.57%)
Linda Patenaude
1,223 (17.76%)
Melissa Fletcher
172 (2.50%)
Wayne Mastrachuk
331 (4.80%)
Justin Chrobot
370 (5.37%)
  Hugh Nerlien
Melfort Todd Goudy
5,550 (77.58%)
Lorne Schroeder
1,132 (15.82%)
Matthew Diakuw
103 (1.44%)
Dave Waldner
369 (5.16%)
  Todd Goudy
Prince Albert Carlton Joe Hargrave
3,867 (57.68%)
Troy Parenteau
2,563 (38.32%)
Shirley Davis
99 (1.48%)
Renee Grasby
175 (2.61%)
  Joe Hargrave
Prince Albert Northcote Alana Ross
2,652 (48.25%)
Nicole Rancourt
2,457 (44.70%)
Sarah Kraynick
106 (1.92%)
Jaret Nikolaisen
215 (3.91%)
  Nicole Rancourt
Saskatchewan Rivers Nadine Wilson
4,401 (62.22%)
Lyle Whitefish
1,839 (26.00%)
Marcia Neault
117 (1.65%)
Shaun Harris
424 (6.00%)
Fred Lackie
292 (4.13%)
  Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Arm River Dana Skoropad
6,569 (76.98%)
Cam Goff
1,336 (15.66%)
Tiffany Giesbrecht
197 (2.31%)
Steve Forbes
431 (5.05%)
  Greg Brkich
Biggar-Sask Valley Randy Weekes
5,775 (73.52%)
Twyla Harris Naciri
1,193 (15.19%)
Darcy Robilliard
189 (2.41%)
Trevor Simpson
698 (8.88%)
  Randy Weekes
Humboldt-Watrous Donna Harpauer
5,713 (72.81%)
Wendy Sekulich
1,180 (15.04%)
Jim Ternier
181 (2.31%)
Rose Buscholl
243 (3.10%)
Constance Maffenbeier
529 (6.74%)
  Donna Harpauer
Kindersley Ken Francis
5,269 (74.40%)
Steven Allen
508 (7.17%)
Evangeline Godron
70 (0.99%)
Terry Sieben
194 (2.74%)
Jason Cooper
1,041 (14.70%)
  Ken Francis
Martensville-Warman Terry Jenson
7,137 (74.01%)
Carla Streeton
1,779 (18.45%)
Melvin Pylypchuk
161 (1.67%)
Wade Sira
566 (5.87%)
  Nancy Heppner
Rosetown-Elrose Jim Reiter
5,806 (77.70%)
Brenda Edel
1,191 (15.94%)
Justina Robinson
193 (2.58%)
Adrian Janssens
282 (3.78%)
  Jim Reiter

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Cypress Hills Doug Steele
4,685 (65.13%)
Kelly Genert
681 (9.47%)
Dianna Holigroski
110 (1.53%)
Crystal Tiringer (Buff.)
1,389 (19.31%)
John Goohsen (PC)
328 (4.56%)
  Doug Steele
Lumsden-Morse Lyle Stewart
6,243 (73.40%)
Nic Lewis
1,529 (17.98%)
Isaiah Hunter
225 (2.64%)
Les Guillemin (Buff.)
509 (5.98%)
  Lyle Stewart
Moose Jaw North Tim McLeod
4,733 (63.75%)
Kyle Lichtenwald
2,532 (34.11%)
North Hunter
159 (2.14%)
  Warren Michelson
Moose Jaw Wakamow Greg Lawrence
3,466 (53.40%)
Melissa Patterson
2,644 (40.73%)
Abby Firlotte
142 (2.19%)
Darcy Jensen (PC)
239 (3.68%)
  Greg Lawrence
Swift Current Everett Hindley
5,620 (78.44%)
Stefan Rumpel
1,421 (19.83%)
George Watson
124 (1.73%)
  Everett Hindley
Wood River Dave Marit
6,413 (82.79%)
Roger Morgan
1,085 (14.01%)
Kimberly Soo Goodtrack
248 (3.20%)
  Dave Marit

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Buffalo
         
Cannington Daryl Harrison
5,781 (73.77%)
Dianne Twietmeyer
680 (8.68%)
Jaina Forrest
136 (1.74%)
Wes Smith
1,239 (15.81%)
  Dan D'Autremont
Estevan Lori Carr
4,409 (62.43%)
Seth Lendrum
470 (6.66%)
Scott Meyers
116 (1.64%)
Linda Sopp
354 (5.01%)
Phil Zajac
1,713 (24.26%)
  Lori Carr
Indian Head-Milestone Don McMorris
5,626 (67.02%)
Jared Clarke
2,371 (28.24%)
Billy Patterson
147 (1.75%)
Elvin Mandziak
251 (2.99%)
  Don McMorris
Last Mountain-Touchwood Travis Keisig
4,461 (62.44%)
Thera Nordal
1,800 (25.19%)
Justin Stranack
146 (2.04%)
Victor Teece
327 (4.58%)
Gordon Bradford
411 (5.75%)
  Glen Hart
Melville-Saltcoats Warren Kaeding
5,394 (75.94%)
Bonnie Galenzoski
1,248 (17.57%)
Jack Powless
137 (1.93%)
Trever Ratti
324 (4.56%)
  Warren Kaeding
Moosomin Steven Bonk
5,467 (77.78%)
Ken Burton
1,143 (16.26%)
Marjorie Graham
171 (2.43%)
Frank Serfas
248 (3.53%)
  Steven Bonk
Weyburn-Big Muddy Dustin Duncan
5,972 (77.00%)
Regan Lanning
1,021 (13.17%)
Shane Caellaigh
89 ( 1.15%)
Collin Keith
673 (8.68%)
  Dustin Duncan
Yorkton Greg Ottenbreit
4,171 (74.01%)
Carter Antoine
1,301 (23.08%)
Judy Mergel
164 (2.91%)
  Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green Other
       
Saskatoon Centre Kim Groff
2,031 (38.59%)
Betty Nippi-Albright
3,080 (58.52%)
Raven Reid
152 (2.89%)
  David Forbes
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood Lisa Lambert
3,839 (49.55%)
Dave McGrane
3,580 (46.21%)
Gillian Walker
130 (1.68%)
John Lowe (PC)
198 (2.56%)
  Lisa Lambert
Saskatoon Eastview Chris Guérette
3,704 (46.29%)
Matt Love
4,063 (50.78%)
Jan Norris
234 (2.93%)
  Vacant
Saskatoon Fairview Manny Sadhra
2,768 (39.69%)
Vicki Mowat
3,759 (53.91%)
Tobi-Dawne Smith
131 (1.88%)
Tony Ollenberger (PC)
315 (4.52%)
  Vicki Mowat
Saskatoon Meewasin Rylund Hunter
3,333 (46.16%)
Ryan Meili
3,700 (51.24%)
Jacklin Andrews
188 (2.60%)
  Ryan Meili
Saskatoon Northwest Gordon Wyant
4,390 (62.17%)
Gillian Strange
2,519 (35.68%)
Maria Krznar
152 (2.15%)
  Gordon Wyant
Saskatoon Nutana Kyle Mazer
2,339 (31.89%)
Erika Ritchie
4,777 (65.12%)
Albert Chubak
219 (2.99%)
  Cathy Sproule
Saskatoon Riversdale Marv Friesen
2,984 (49.18%)
Ashlee Hicks
2,903 (47.85%)
Delanie Passer
170 (2.97%)
  Danielle Chartier
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland Paul Merriman
4,272 (59.07%)
Tajinder Grewal
2,737 (37.85%)
Jaime Fairley
223 (3.08%)
  Paul Merriman
Saskatoon Southeast Don Morgan
5,679 (63.58%)
Pamela Beaudin
3,080 (34.48%)
Cheryl Mazil
173 (1.94%)
  Don Morgan
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota Bronwyn Eyre
7,584 (67.17%)
Judicaël Moukoumi
3,083 (27.31%)
Lydia Martens
289 (2.56%)
Brett Gregg (Buff.)
334 (2.96%)
  Bronwyn Eyre
Saskatoon University Eric Olauson
2,730 (44.84%)
Jennifer Bowes
3,225 (52.97%)
Erickka Patmore
125 (2.19%)
  Eric Olauson
Saskatoon Westview David Buckingham
4,322 (54.29%)
Malik Draz
3,260 (40.96%)
Glenn Wright
229 (2.88%)
Robert Rudachyk (Lib.)
149 (1.87%)
  David Buckingham
Saskatoon Willowgrove Ken Cheveldayoff
7,509 (66.38%)
Kaitlyn Harvey
3,600 (31.82%)
David Greenfield
203 (1.80%)
  Ken Cheveldayoff

Regina

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Green PC Other
         
Regina Coronation Park Mark Docherty
2,913 (48.87%)
Noor Burki
2,630 (44.12%)
Irene Browatzke
195 (3.20%)
David Coates
221 (3.81%)
  Mark Docherty
Regina Douglas Park Nadeem Naz
1,808 (30.67%)
Nicole Sarauer
3,545 (60.14%)
Victor Lau
211 (3.58%)
Sara Healey
331 (5.61%)
  Nicole Sarauer
Regina Elphinstone-Centre Caesar Khan
1,126 (27.76%)
Meara Conway
2,491 (61.41%)
Naomi Hunter
260 (6.41%)
Don Kirk
124 (3.06%)
Rolf Hartloff (Ind.)
55 (1.36%)
  Warren McCall
Regina Gardiner Park Gene Makowsky
4,342 (60.78%)
Faycal Haggui
2,542 (35.58%)
Helmi Scott Uguh
142 (1.99%)
David Teece
118 (1.65%)
  Gene Makowsky
Regina Lakeview Megan Patterson
2,194 (30.31%)
Carla Beck
4,739 (65.48%)
Michael Wright
202 (2.79%)
Bruno Sahut (Lib.)
103 (1.42%)
  Carla Beck
Regina Northeast Gary Grewal
3,709 (49.60%)
Yens Pedersen
3,259 (43.58%)
Anthony Majore
132 (1.80%)
Corie Rempel
265 (3.64%)
Jeff Walters (Lib.)
102 (1.38%)
  Yens Pedersen
Regina Pasqua Muhammad Fiaz
4,791 (47.24%)
Bhajan Brar
4,535 (44.71%)
Heather Lau
409 (4.03%)
Harry Frank
408 (4.02%)
  Muhammad Fiaz
Regina Rochdale Laura Ross
5,981 (56.18%)
Brett Estey
4,140 (38.88%)
Sarah Risk
209 (1.96%)
Murray Morhart
317 (2.98%)
  Laura Ross
Regina Rosemont Alex Nau
2,522 (35.58%)
Trent Wotherspoon
4,102 (57.86%)
James Park
170 (2.40%)
Christopher McCulloch
295 (4.16%)
  Trent Wotherspoon
Regina University Tina Beaudry-Mellor
3,136 (45.07%)
Aleana Young
3,478 (49.98%)
Tanner Wallace
180 (2.59%)
Debbie Knill
164 (2.36%)
  Tina Beaudry-Mellor
Regina Walsh Acres Derek Meyers
3,148 (46.62%)
Kelly Hardy
2,542 (37.65%)
Ken Grey
256 (3.93%)
Sandra Morin (Ind.)
776 (11.80%)
  Vacant
Regina Wascana Plains Christine Tell
7,209 (63.79%)
Mike Sinclair
3,619 (32.03%)
Sonja Doyle
248 (2.20%)
Nestor Mryglod (Ind.)
224 (1.98%)
  Christine Tell

List of MLAs who lost their seat

Party Name Constituency Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
Saskatchewan New Democratic Party Nicole Rancourt Prince Albert Northcote 2016 2016 Alana Ross Saskatchewan Party
Yens Pedersen Regina Northeast 2018 2018 Gary Grewal
Saskatchewan Party Eric Olauson Saskatoon University 2016 2016 Jennifer Bowes Saskatchewan New Democratic Party
Tina Beaudry-Mellor Regina University 2016 2016 Aleana Young

Open seats changing hands

Party Candidate Incumbent retiring from the House Constituency Defeated by Party
Saskatchewan Party Chris Guérette Corey Tochor Saskatoon Eastview Matt Love Saskatchewan New Democratic Party
Saskatchewan New Democratic Party Ashlee Hicks Danielle Chartier Saskatoon Riversdale Marv Friesen Saskatchewan Party

Opinion polls

Three-day average of Saskatchewan opinion polls from April 4, 2016, to the last possible date of the next election on October 26, 2020. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organization/client Sample size SK Party NDP Liberal Green PC Others Lead
25 October 2020 Forum Research 1011 56.2% 35.8% 1.4% 1.7% n/a 4.9% 20.4%
23–25 October 2020 Research Co. 500 56% 38% 1% 2% 2% 1% 18%
24 October 2020 Mainstreet Research 616 55.2% 37.3% n/a 2.4% n/a 4.9% 17.9%
8–13 October 2020 Angus Reid 759 60% 33% n/a n/a n/a 7% 27%
8–10 October 2020 Research Co. 500 58% 36% 1% 2% 2% 1% 22%
6–8 October 2020 Insightrix 801 54% 35% 2% 3% 4% 3% 19%
Sep 29, 2020 Premier Scott Moe announces a general election to be held on October 26, 2020.
28 Sep 2020 Naveed Anwar steps down as leader of the Saskatchewan Liberal Party.
16 September 2020 CHASR Research 400 53% 25% 8% 0.5% 12% 28%
10 July-26 August 2020 EKOS Research 1,638 60% 28% 12% 32%
16 June-9 July 2020 EKOS Research 1,240 57% 32% 12% 25%
19–24 May 2020 Angus Reid 459 57% 32% 3% 2% 6% 25%
6–10 May 2020 The Canadian Perspective 792 51.9% 35.0% 2.9% 5.0% 1.9% 3.3% 16.9%
1 Mar 2020 Naomi Hunter is elected leader of the Green Party of Saskatchewan.
20–22 March 2019 Mainstreet Research 695 55.0% 31.2% 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 23.8%
14–15 January 2019 Mainstreet Research 830 55.8% 32.6% 5.9% 2.4% 3.3% 23.2%
3 Nov 2018 Ken Grey is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Saskatchewan.
30 October-1 November 2018 Mainstreet Research 779 55.1% 30.3% 6.8% 4.2% 3.5% 24.8%
15–17 July 2018 Mainstreet Research 776 52.1% 35.1% 5.6% 4.0% 3.1% 17.0%
16–18 Apr 2018 Mainstreet Research 963 49.8% 38.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 11.1%
5 May 2018 Naveed Anwar is elected leader of the Saskatchewan Liberal Party.
3 Mar 2018 Ryan Meili is elected leader of the Saskatchewan NDP.
2 Feb 2018 Scott Moe becomes Premier of Saskatchewan.
4–6 Jan 2018 Mainstreet Research 764 50.9% 34.4% 8.8% 5.8% 16.5%
24–27 Aug 2017 The Canadian Perspective 273 42.9% 45.4% 6.2% 4% 1.5% 2.5%
5–12 Jun 2017 Angus Reid 1,053 48% 41% 6% 3% 2% 7%
15–16 May 2017 Mainstreet Research 2,000 40% 49% 6% 5% 9%
11–13 Apr 2017 Insightrix 803 44% 40% 5% 4% 7% 4%
30–31 Mar 2017 Mainstreet Research 1,704 47% 42% 6% 5% 5%
22–23 Aug 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,690 53% 37% 5% 5% 16%
13 Jun 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,400 59% 32% 4% 5% 27%
4 Apr 2016 General election results 433,030 62.4% 30.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 32.2%

References

  1. ^ Solomon, Michaela (29 September 2020). "Saskatchewan's 29th general election begins as writ drop announced". regina.ctvnews.ca. CTV News. Retrieved 6 October 2020.
  2. ^ Martell, Creeden. "Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall retiring from politics". cbc.ca. CBC News.
  3. ^ "Sask. gov't announces 2020 election date, tables election law changes". Global News. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  4. ^ "Saskatchewan adjusting 2020 provincial, municipal election dates". Regina Leader Post. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  5. ^ a b "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  6. ^ "No spring election: Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe". Global News. Retrieved 2020-03-12.
  7. ^ https://results.elections.sk.ca/
  8. ^ https://www.elections.sk.ca/candidates-political-parties/candidates/official-candidates/
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