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2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

← 2015 May 16, 2019 Next →

All 40[1] seats in the 49th House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Turnout60.6%[2] (Increase 5.4 pp}
  First party Second party Third party
 
DwightBall (brightened, cropped).jpg
Ches Crosbie in 2019.jpg
Alison Coffin NDP.png
Leader Dwight Ball Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since November 17, 2013 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber - Gros Morne Windsor Lake St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
Last election 31 seats, 57.16% 7 seats, 30.08% 2 seats, 12.09%
Seats before 27 8 2
Seats won 20 15 3
Seat change Decrease 7 Increase 7 Increase 1
Popular vote 93,608 90,791 13,434
Percentage 43.9% 42.6% 6.3%
Swing Decrease13.3pp Increase12.5pp Decrease5.8pp

Newfoundland & Labrador general election 2019 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.

Premier before election

Dwight Ball
Liberal

Premier after election

Dwight Ball
Liberal

The 2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on May 16, 2019, to elect members of the 49th House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.[3]

Despite consistent Progressive Conservative leads in polling towards the end of the campaign, including a 9 point lead in the final poll released a day before the election,[4] the Liberal Party led by Dwight Ball won re-election, but nonetheless fell one seat short of retaining their majority after an unexpected loss to the New Democrats in Labrador West by 5 votes.[5] This resulted in the Liberals winning 20 seats, exactly half of the House of Assembly. A subsequent recount shortened the margin of victory in Labrador West to just 2 votes.[6]

Party standings

e • d Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2015 Dissol. 2019 Change # % % Change
Liberal Dwight Ball 40 31 27 20 Decrease7 93,608 43.9 Decrease13.3
Progressive Conservative Ches Crosbie 38 7 8 15 Increase7 90,791 42.6 Increase12.5
New Democratic Alison Coffin 14 2 2 3 Increase1 13,434 6.31 Decrease5.8
NL Alliance Graydon Pelley 9 - - 0 Steady 5,086 2.39 Steady
  Independents 10 - 3 2 Decrease1 9,926 4.66
Total 111 40 40 40 - 212,845 100%  


20 15 3 2
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Ind

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:

Independent

New Democratic Party

Progressive Conservative Party

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2015–2019)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Mount Pearl-Southlands May 19, 2016[9] Paul Lane  Liberal Removed from caucus[a 1]  Independent
Mount Pearl North October 11, 2017[10] Steve Kent  PC Resignation[a 2] November 21, 2017[11] Jim Lester  PC
Humber-Bay of Islands April 26, 2018[12] Eddie Joyce  Liberal Removed from caucus[a 3]  Independent
Mount Scio April 30, 2018[13] Dale Kirby  Liberal Removed from caucus[a 3]  Independent
Windsor Lake August 21, 2018[14] Cathy Bennett  Liberal Resignation September 20, 2018[15] Ches Crosbie  PC
Topsail-Paradise November 1, 2018[16] Paul Davis  PC Resignation January 24, 2019 Paul Dinn  PC
  1. ^ as a result of Lane's disapproval of deficit reduction levy
  2. ^ becoming Chief Administrative Officer for the City of Mount Pearl
  3. ^ a b amid allegations of harassment

2015

2016

  • May 19, 2016 - Liberal MHA Paul Lane is suspended from the Liberal caucus and sits as an independent MHA.[17]
  • October 11, 2016 - Former premier Paul Davis announces he'll resign as Tory leader once his successor is chosen.[18]

2017

  • July 31, 2017 - A cabinet shuffle takes place after Cathy Bennett resigns as Finance Minister. Dempster and Osborne enter cabinet.
  • September 19, 2017 - NDP Leader Earle McCurdy announced his resignation as Party Leader, effective September 30.[19]
  • September 28, 2017 - NDP MHA Lorraine Michael is named interim leader of the NDP replacing Earle McCurdy who announced his resignation earlier in the month.
  • October 11, 2017 - Mount Pearl North PC MHA Steve Kent resigns to become Chief Administrative Officer of Mount Pearl triggering a by-election.
  • November 21, 2017 - Jim Lester (PC) is elected as MHA for Mount Pearl North.

2018

  • April 8, 2018 - Gerry Rogers is elected as the leader of the New Democrats, succeeding Lorraine Michael.
  • April 25, 2018 - Municipal Affairs Minister Eddie Joyce is formally accused of inappropriate conduct by another Liberal MHA. He is subsequently removed from cabinet and caucus pending the outcome of an external investigation.[20]
  • April 28, 2018 - Ches Crosbie is elected as the new leader of the Progressive Conservatives, succeeding Paul Davis.[21]
  • April 30, 2018 - Minister of Education and Early Childhood Development Dale Kirby is removed from cabinet and caucus following allegations of harassment.[22]
  • May 13, 2018 - Paul Davis announces his resignation as Leader of the Opposition. Since PC leader Ches Crosbie does not have a seat in the House of Assembly MHA David Brazil was appointed Leader of the Opposition on May 14, 2018.[23]
  • June 16, 2018 - Delegates at the Liberal Party Annual General Meeting vote to endorse the leadership of Dwight Ball with 79% voting against the party holding a leadership convention.[24]
  • August 21, 2018 - Liberal MHA Cathy Bennett resigns her seat of Windsor Lake.[25]
  • August 27, 2018 - CBC releases a copy of a report by the Commissioner for Legislative Standards that clears Eddie Joyce and Dale Kirby of wrongdoing in all the allegations made by fellow Liberal MHA Colin Holloway.[26]
  • September 20, 2018 - Ches Crosbie (PC) is elected as MHA for Windsor Lake.[27]
  • October 18, 2018 - Paul Davis (PC) announces his intention to resign as MHA for Topsail-Paradise on November 2.
  • October 20, 2018 - MHA Dale Kirby leaks the results of the Commissioner for Legislative Standards report regarding MHA Pam Parsons’ complaint against him to the public. Kirby was cleared on all complaints, except making an inappropriate comment to Parsons at the 2016 Liberal Party AGM; the report recommended a sanction by the House of Assembly on that count.[28]
  • October 21, 2018 - The Joyce report is leaked to the public which found that Joyce had broken the code of conduct for elected officials when he lobbied Minister Gambin-Walsh to hire a friend of his for a government job; Joyce was cleared on all other allegations.[29][30]
  • October 30, 2018 - PC party president Graydon Pelley resigns and creates a new political party, the NL Alliance.[31][32]
  • November 8, 2018 - Cabinet shuffle takes place MHAs Davis, Haley, and Letto promoted to cabinet.[33]
  • November 16, 2018 - MHA Eddie Joyce confirms he has been denied re-entry into the Liberal caucus.

2019

Opinion polls

Three-day average of NL opinion polls from November 30, 2015, to the last possible date of the next election on October 8, 2019. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling Firm Last Day of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP NLA
Forum Research May 15, 2019 PDF 38 47 7
Mainstreet Research May 14, 2019 HTML 41 45 8 3
Abacus Data May 5, 2019 HTML 37 42 15
Forum Research May 4, 2019 PDF 40 42 13
MQO Research May 4, 2019 PDF 48 36 11 2
Corporate Research Associates Inc. February 24, 2019 PDF 45 38 16
MQO Research January 28, 2019 PDF 44 42 12
Mainstreet Research January 14, 2019 HTML 42 43.3 11.5
Corporate Research Associates Inc. November 24, 2018 PDF 46 35 17
Mainstreet Research November 1, 2018 HTML 44.6 39.1 12.8
MQO Research October 26, 2018 PDF 47 35 16
Corporate Research Associates Inc. August 30, 2018 PDF 43 35 19
MQO Research August 2, 2018 PDF 44 38 16
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 HTML 45.8 35.6 12.5
Abacus Data May 27, 2018 HTML 38 40 22
Corporate Research Associates Inc. May 17, 2018 PDF 36 42 22
MQO Research May 13, 2018 PDF 44 36 16
Mainstreet Research May 3, 2018 HTML 41.7 35.7 18.4
Corporate Research Associates Inc. February 28, 2018 PDF 41 33 24
MQO Research January 25, 2018 PDF 43 38 16
Corporate Research Associates Inc. November 30, 2017 PDF 44 33 19
MQO Research October 19, 2017 PDF 52 31 15
Corporate Research Associates Inc. September 13, 2017 PDF 40 33 24
MQO Research July 19, 2017 PDF 35 48 16
Corporate Research Associates Inc. June 1, 2017 PDF 34 40 24
MQO Research April 26, 2017 PDF 37 39 23
Corporate Research Associates Inc. February 28, 2017 PDF 33 39 26
MQO Research January 23, 2017 PDF 43 36 20
Corporate Research Associates Inc. December 1, 2016 PDF 42 34 23
Abacus Data October 29, 2016 PDF 36 29 34
MQO Research October 22, 2016 PDF 40 31 27
Corporate Research Associates Inc. August 31, 2016 PDF 34 33 32
MQO Research July 27, 2016 PDF 30 37 33
Corporate Research Associates Inc. May 30, 2016 PDF 27 34 38
MQO Research April 21, 2016 PDF 37 30 31
Corporate Research Associates Inc. March 9, 2016 PDF 66 23 11
Election 2015 November 30, 2015 57.2 30.1 12.1

Candidates by district

  • All candidate names are those on the official list of confirmed candidates; names in media or on party website may differ slightly.
  • Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
  • † represents that the incumbent is not running again.
  • § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.
  • ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination
  • ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.

St. John's

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Alliance
Mount Scio
Sarah Stoodley
1,981
41.7%
Lloyd Power
1,769
37.2%
Jason R. Mercer
597
12.6%
Graydon Pelley[38]
406
8.5%
Dale Kirby
St. John's Centre
Seamus O'Keefe
1,207
25.5%
Jonathan Galgay
1,301
27.5%
Jim Dinn
2,218
46.9%
Gerry Rogers
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
George Murphy
2,072
33.4%
David Porter
1,436
23.1%
Alison Coffin[39]
2,699
43.5%
Lorraine Michael
St. John's West
Siobhan Coady
2,393
45.7%
Shane Skinner[40]
2,211
42.2%
Brenda Walsh[41]
633
12.1%
Siobhan Coady
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis
2,761
44.2%
Beth Crosbie[42]
2,217
35.5%
Jenn Deon[43]
1,262
20.2%
Bernard Davis
Waterford Valley Tom Osborne
3,487
68.6%
Matthew Cooper
1,599
31.4%
Tom Osborne
Windsor Lake Bob Osborne
2,088
38.5%
Ches Crosbie
2,644
48.7%
Tomás Shea
696
12.8%
Ches Crosbie

St. John's suburbs

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP   Alliance Other
Cape St. Francis Michael Duffy
1,115
17.7%
Kevin Parsons
4,539
72.2%
Peter Beck
396
6.3%
Ryan Lane
233
3.7%
Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay East – Bell Island Cyril Hayden
1,551
26.2%
David Brazil[42]
4,365
73.8%
David Brazil
Conception Bay South Kevin Baker
1,256
22.8%
Barry Petten
3,447
62.5%
Warrick Butler
810
14.7%
Barry Petten
Mount Pearl North Nicole Kieley
2,196
37.2%
Jim Lester
2,907
49.2%
Carol Reade
358
6.1%
William Neville
443
7.5%
Jim Lester
Mount Pearl-Southlands Hasan Hai
1,826
28.3%
Gillian Pearson
1,590
24.6%
David Brake
214
3.3%
Paul Lane (Ind.)
2,823
43.7%
Paul Lane
Topsail-Paradise Patricia Hynes-Coates
1,650
28.9%
Paul Dinn
3,476
61.0%
Lori Best-Moore
574
10.1%
Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP Other
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde Steve Crocker
4,292
60.3%
Jason Oliver
2,422
34.0%
Kathleen Burt
353
5.0%
Edward Thomas Cole (Ind.)
53
0.7%
Steve Crocker
Ferryland Janice Ryan
2,350
34.9%
Loyola O'Driscoll
4,074
60.6%
Chris Molloy (Ind.)
300
4.5%
Keith Hutchings
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave Pam Parsons
3,758
52.4%
Glenn Littlejohn
3,408
47.6%
Pam Parsons
Harbour Main Betty Parsley
2,126
30.6%
Helen Conway-Ottenheimer
4,169
60.1%
Mike Cooze (NL Alliance)
643
9.3%
Betty Parsley
Placentia-St. Mary's Sherry Gambin-Walsh
2,764
47.4%
Hilda Whelan
2,245
38.5%
Steve Thorne (Ind.)
824
14.1%
Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   Alliance
Bonavista Neil King
2,566
49.6%
Craig Pardy[40]
2,611
50.4%
Neil King
Burin-Grand Bank Carol Anne Haley
2,822
51.6%
Bill Matthews
2,645
48.4%
Carol Anne Haley
Placentia West-Bellevue Mark Browne
2,615
43.6%
Jeff Dwyer
3,381
56.4%
Mark Browne
Terra Nova Colin Holloway
2,595
43.5%
Lloyd Parrott
2,876
48.2%
Barry Moores
499
8.4%
Colin Holloway

Central Newfoundland

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC Other
Baie Verte-Green Bay Brian Warr
2,809
49.7%
Neville Robinson
1,872
33.1%
Ben Callahan (NL Alliance)
968
17.1%
Brian Warr
Exploits Jerry Dean
1,924
33.1%
Pleaman Forsey
2,874
49.4%
Gloria Cooper (Ind.)
1,015
17.5%
Jerry Dean
Fogo Island-Cape Freels Derrick Bragg
2,811
54.3%
Sue Collins
2,365
45.7%
Derrick Bragg
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune Elvis Loveless
1,759
53.4%
Charlene Walsh
1,536
46.6%
Tracey Perry
Gander John Haggie
3,311
58.6%
Ryan Wagg
2,342
41.4%
John Haggie
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans Al Hawkins
2,586
46.8%
Chris Tibbs
2,935
53.2%
Al Hawkins
Lewisporte-Twillingate Derek Bennett
3,190
54.0%
Krista Freake
2,717
46.0%
Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP Other
Burgeo-La Poile Andrew Parsons
2,947
83.5%
Deborah Ann Turner
584
16.5%
Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne
2,436
48.8%
Tom Stewart
1,682
33.7%
Mary B. Feltham
733
14.7%
Wayne Bennett (Ind.)
136
2.7%
Gerry Byrne
Humber-Gros Morne Dwight Ball
4,247
69.9%
Greg Osmond
1,825
30.1%
Dwight Ball
Humber-Bay of Islands Brian Dicks
1,068
17.2%
Michael Patrick Holden
659
10.6%
Shawn A. Hodder
310
5.0%
Eddie Joyce (Ind.)
4,172
67.2%
Eddie Joyce
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows Chris Mitchelmore
3,474
60.8%
Sheila Fitzgerald
2,036
36.2%
Ford Mitchelmore (Ind.)
170
3.0%
Chris Mitchelmore
St. George's-Humber Scott Reid
2,691
50.2%
Tom O’Brien
2,163
40.3%
Shane Snook (NL Alliance)
510
9.5%
Scott Reid
Stephenville-Port au Port John Finn
2,481
49.7%
Tony Wakeham
2,512
50.3%
John Finn

Labrador

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  Liberal   PC   NDP Other
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair Lisa Dempster
1,132
67.2%
Michael Normore (Ind.)[44][a]
552
32.8%
Lisa Dempster
Labrador West Graham Letto
1,362
42.1%
Derick Sharron
509
15.7%
Jordan Brown
1,364
42.2%
Graham Letto
Lake Melville Perry Trimper
1,517
45.8%
Shannon Tobin
1,189
35.9%
Jim Learning (Ind.)
603
18.2%
Perry Trimper
Torngat Mountains Randy Edmunds
477
43.4%
Lela Evans
623
56.6%
Randy Edmunds

Results

The Liberals lost their parliamentary majority.

Incumbent MLAs who were defeated

Party Name Constituency Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Betty Parsley Harbour Main 2015 2015 Helen Conway-Ottenheimer Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Neil King Bonavista 2015 2015 Craig Pardy Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Mark Browne Placentia West-Bellevue 2015 2015 Jeff Dwyer Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Colin Holloway Terra Nova 2015 2015 Lloyd Parrott Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Jerry Dean Exploits 2015 2015 Pleaman Forsey Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Al Hawkins Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans 2015 2015 Chris Tibbs Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
John Finn Stephenville-Port au Port 2015 2015 Tony Wakeham Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Graham Letto Labrador West 2015 2015 Jordan Brown Newfoundland and Labrador New Democra
Randy Edmunds Torngat Mountains 2011 2011 Lela Evans Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador

Notes

  1. ^ Although Normore was expelled from the party due to his stance against gay marriage, he remained on the ballot as a Progressive Conservative candidate.

References

  1. ^ "2015 Newfoundland and Labrador Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission". nledbc.ca. Archived from the original on 2018-05-06. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  2. ^ "Unofficial 2019 General Election results". Elections NL. Archived from the original on 2019-05-18. Retrieved 2019-05-18.
  3. ^ Hutton, Fred (April 16, 2019). "May 15 set for Newfoundland and Labrador election, sources say". CBC News.
  4. ^ Grenier, Éric (May 18, 2019). "What didn't happen in the N.L. election — and why that matters". The Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved May 18, 2019.
  5. ^ Cooke, Ryan (May 16, 2019). "Liberals to hold minority government in N.L., PCs not conceding defeat". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  6. ^ a b Michael Connors [@MikeConnors] (21 June 2019). "NDP candidate Jordan Brown wins by two votes. #nlpoli" (Tweet). Retrieved 21 June 2019 – via Twitter.
  7. ^ "Gerry Rogers stepping down as NDP leader, not seeking re-election". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. February 12, 2019. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  8. ^ "NDP MHA Lorraine Michael steps aside, leader Alison Coffin to run in St. John's East-Quidi Vidi". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. March 14, 2019. Retrieved March 14, 2019.
  9. ^ Wall, Lukas (May 19, 2016). "Breakup by email: Paul Lane kicked out of Liberal caucus". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  10. ^ Cowan, Peter (October 11, 2017). "Steve Kent resigns as MHA day later than expected, overlaps with new job". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  11. ^ "PC's Jim Lester takes Mount Pearl North byelection". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. November 21, 2017. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  12. ^ "Eddie Joyce removed from Liberal caucus following complaints of harassment, bullying". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. April 26, 2018. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  13. ^ "Dale Kirby removed from cabinet and caucus after complaints". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. April 30, 2018. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  14. ^ "Cathy Bennett resigns from House of Assembly". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. August 6, 2018. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  15. ^ "PC Leader Ches Crosbie wins Windsor Lake byelection". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. September 20, 2018. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  16. ^ "'Legacies are about people,' says Paul Davis as he bids emotional farewell to politics". CBC Newfoundland and Labrador. November 1, 2018. Retrieved December 2, 2018.
  17. ^ "Paul Lane Kicked Out of Liberal Caucus via Email". VOCM. May 19, 2016. Archived from the original on December 20, 2017. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  18. ^ "Paul Davis to resign as PC leader, 'in best interests of party'". CBC News. October 11, 2016. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  19. ^ "McCurdy to Step Down as Provincial NDP Leader". VOCM. September 19, 2017. Archived from the original on September 19, 2017. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  20. ^ "Eddie Joyce removed from Liberal caucus following complaints of harassment, bullying". CBC News. April 26, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  21. ^ "The new leader of the Progressive Conservative party in N.L. has a familiar last name". CBC News. April 28, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  22. ^ "Dale Kirby removed from cabinet and caucus after complaints". CBC News. April 30, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  23. ^ "David Brazil to replace Paul Davis as Opposition leader". CBC News. May 14, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  24. ^ "Ball guarantees 2019 victory, maintains support at Liberal AGM". CBC NEWS.
  25. ^ "Cathy Bennett resigns from House of Assembly". CBC News.
  26. ^ Cooke, Ryan. "Kirby cleared of being Twitter troll, Joyce cleared of bullying MHA Colin Holloway". CBC News.
  27. ^ "Ches Crosbie victorious in Windsor Lake - The Telegram". www.thetelegram.com. Retrieved 28 April 2019.
  28. ^ "Dale Kirby glad harassment investigation over, but says complaints used as 'political weapon'". CBC News.
  29. ^ Tobin, Stephanie. "Eddie Joyce crossed line by lobbying to get friend a government job, report finds". CBC News.
  30. ^ "Fiery exchanges, pointed questions, but debate on harassment reports pushed to Wednesday". CBC News.
  31. ^ "Graydon Pelley walks away from PCs to start new political group". CBC News.
  32. ^ Crocker, Diane. "Graydon Pelley offering alternative to province's voters through NL Alliance". www.thewesternstar.com.
  33. ^ "Dwight Ball recruits new blood for cabinet to replace Kirby, Joyce". CBC News.
  34. ^ "PC candidate Paul Dinn takes Topsail-Paradise byelection". CBC News.
  35. ^ Feb 12, CBC News · Posted; February 12, 2019 11:08 AM NT | Last Updated. "Gerry Rogers stepping down as NDP leader, not seeking re-election | CBC News". CBC. Retrieved 2019-02-12.
  36. ^ "Coffin Acclaimed As NDP Leader". VOCM. 5 March 2019. Retrieved 5 March 2019.
  37. ^ "It's official: NL Alliance registered as 4th party heading into provincial election". CBC. 12 April 2019. Retrieved 12 April 2019.
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