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2018 United States Senate election in Virginia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in Virginia

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout59.14% Decrease
 
Nominee Tim Kaine Corey Stewart
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,910,370 1,374,313
Percentage 57.00% 41.01%

Kaine:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Stewart:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Kaine
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine, who had been his party's nominee for vice president two years earlier, was re-elected to a second term in office, winning this seat by the largest margin since 1988. This was the first election since 1994 that anyone had been re-elected to this seat.

The Republican Party of Virginia central committee voted to select the Republican nominee for Senate by a primary rather than a convention. Corey Stewart, chair of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors, won the Republican nomination on June 12, 2018, after defeating Delegate Nick Freitas and Christian minister E. W. Jackson.[1]

YouTube Encyclopedic

  • 1/1
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  • Primary Debate for U.S. Senate

Transcription

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify

Declined

Endorsements

Nick Freitas
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
State senators
State delegates
Local Officials
Notable Individuals
Party leadership
Organizations
News Publications
  • Arlington Sun Gazette[57]
  • The Reagan Battalion[58]
  • 71 Republic[59]
E. W. Jackson
Cabinet-level officials
U.S. governors
Statewide office holders
Local officials
  • Suzy Kelly, Chesapeake city councilwoman, chairman of the Virginia Chamber of Commerce, CEO of Jo-Kell
Notable individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nick
Freitas
E. W.
Jackson
Corey
Stewart
Other Undecided
Atlantic Media & Research (R-Stewart) May 14–18, 2018 355 ± 5.2% 9% 5% 32%
Christopher Newport University February 5–28, 2018 422 ± 2.5% 6% 7% 16% 5%[64] 66%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Dave
Brat
Corey
Stewart
Scott
Taylor
Other Undecided
University of Mary Washington September 5–12, 2017 562 LV ± 5.2% 11% 15% 20% 12% 38%
867 RV ± 4.1% 9% 12% 20% 9% 45%

Results

Results by county:
  Stewart—70–80%
  Stewart—60–70%
  Stewart—50–60%
  Stewart—40–50%
  Stewart—<40%
  Tie
  Freitas—<40%
  Freitas—40–50%
  Freitas—50–60%
  Freitas—60–70%
  Freitas—70–80%
Republican primary results[65]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Corey Stewart 136,610 44.87%
Republican Nick Freitas 131,321 43.14%
Republican Earl Jackson, Sr. 36,508 11.99%
Total votes 304,439 100.00%

Third party candidates

General election

The election featured a match-up of two Minnesota-born Virginians: Republican Corey Stewart was born in Duluth, Minnesota, and Democrat Tim Kaine was born in Saint Paul, Minnesota.[71] All polls leading up to the election showed Kaine defeating Stewart by a wide margin.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[73] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74] Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News[75] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[76] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[77] Safe D August 14, 2018

Debates/Townhalls

Host
network/sponsors
Date Link(s) Participants
Tim
Kaine (D)
Corey
Stewart (R)
Matt
Waters (L)
PBS NewsHour/Virginia Bar Association July 21, 2018 [1] Invited Invited
Hampton University/Liberty University September 20, 2018 [2] Invited Invited
WRC-TV September 26, 2018 [3] Invited Invited
Liberty University October 3, 2018 [4] Invited Invited

Endorsements

Corey Stewart (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Notable individuals
Tim Kaine (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Matt Waters (L)
Local Officials
  • Joe Walton, Libertarian nominee for VA-07 in 2018 and former chairman of the Powhatan County Board of Supervisors[109]
Party Leadership
Notable Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Corey
Stewart (R)
Matt
Waters (L)
Other Undecided
University of Mary Washington/SSRS September 4–9, 2018 512 LV ± 5.8% 52% 36% 5% 0% 4%
704 RV ± 5.0% 51% 33% 5% 1% 7%
801 A ± 4.6% 49% 30% 6% 1% 9%
Cygnal/POOLHOUSE (R) August 22–24, 2018 1,119 ± 2.8% 50% 46% 4%
Roanoke College August 12–19, 2018 512 ± 4.3% 51% 34% 4% 11%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 10–30, 2018 757 ± 3.6% 49% 26% 5% 20%
Quinnipiac University June 21–25, 2018 1,082 ± 3.7% 54% 36% 0% 9%
Roanoke College May 20–30, 2018 555 ± 4.2% 44% 33% 23%
Christopher Newport University February 5–28, 2018 1,562 ± 2.5% 56% 32% 1% 11%
University of Mary Washington/PSRAI September 5–12, 2017 562 LV ± 5.2% 53% 36% 7%
867 RV ± 4.1% 54% 39% 1% 4%
Hypothetical polling
with Nick Freitas
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Nick
Freitas (R)
Other Undecided
Roanoke College May 20–30, 2018 555 ± 4.2% 45% 30% 25%
Christopher Newport University February 5–28, 2018 1,562 ± 2.5% 56% 33% 1% 10%
with E. W. Jackson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
E. W.
Jackson (R)
Other Undecided
Roanoke College May 20–30, 2018 555 ± 4.2% 45% 30% 25%
Christopher Newport University February 5–28, 2018 1,562 ± 2.5% 56% 32% 1% 11%
with Dave Brat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Dave
Brat (R)
Undecided
University of Mary Washington September 5–12, 2017 562 LV ± 5.2% 54% 36% 7%
867 RV ± 4.1% 54% 41% 3%
with Barbara Comstock
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Barbara
Comstock (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing March 14–19, 2017 3,097 ± 1.6% 53% 41% 6%
with Carly Fiorina
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 57% 33% 7%
Gravis Marketing March 14–19, 2017 3,097 ± 1.6% 53% 41% 7%
Quinnipiac University February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 57% 36% 2% 5%
with Laura Ingraham
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Laura
Ingraham (R)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 56% 35% 7%
Quinnipiac University February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 56% 36% 2% 7%
with Scott Taylor
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Kaine (D)
Scott
Taylor (R)
Undecided
University of Mary Washington September 5–12, 2017 562 LV ± 5.2% 52% 37% 7%
867 RV ± 4.1% 53% 41% 4%

Results

Kaine won the election by a wide margin.[117]

Results by House of Delegates


United States Senate election in Virginia, 2018[118]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tim Kaine (incumbent) 1,910,370 57.00% +4.17%
Republican Corey Stewart 1,374,313 41.01% -5.91%
Libertarian Matt Waters 61,565 1.84% N/A
Write-in 5,125 0.15% N/A
Total votes 3,351,373 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

  1. ^ Moomaw, Graham. "Divided Virginia GOP committee chooses primary to decide Kaine challenger for 2018 U.S. Senate race". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  2. ^ "Tim Kaine kicks off Senate re-election bid, says he plans to win 'the economic argument'". Richmond.com. April 2, 2018. Retrieved April 2, 2018.
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  4. ^ Portnoy, Jenna (December 9, 2017). "Del. Nick Freitas jumps into GOP field to challenge Sen. Tim Kaine in 2018". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
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  6. ^ Martin, Jeanine (February 14, 2018). "Fifth Republican files for Senate–Updated".
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  17. ^ "Shak Hill Announces Candidacy for VA 10th District Congressman". Fairfax Free Citizen. August 2, 2016. Archived from the original on August 10, 2017. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
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  19. ^ JohnFredericksShow (April 27, 2017). "Bob McDonnell, Former Governor of Virginia: I'm Not Running For U.S. Senate In '18" – via YouTube.
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  21. ^ Koma, Alex. "More Republicans to join Stewart in '18 Senate primary".
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  24. ^ "I'm excited to announce that Ron Paul has endorsed my run for U.S. Senate!". March 1, 2018 – via Facebook.
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  30. ^ Obenshain, Mark. "It's a real treat to have my friend and US Senate candidate @NickForVA in the Shenandoah Valley tonight. Nick Freitas will be a great Senator!". Twitter.
  31. ^ a b "A state lawmaker gives Corey Stewart competition for GOP Senate nomination". The Washington Post. March 9, 2018.
  32. ^ Habeeb, Greg. "Lots of folks asking me who they should vote for in the @VA_GOP Primary next Tuesday. Honestly, this is an absolute no-brainer. @NickForVA is one of the best young candidates we've had in years and would make an amazing Senator". Twitter.
  33. ^ Landes, Steve. "Vote Nick Freitas for U.S. Senate!". Twitter.
  34. ^ "Delegate Dave LaRock on Twitter".
  35. ^ "Delegate Mike Webert joins the Republican line-up supporting #Nick4Senate! #LibertyRising". Twitter.com. February 2, 2018.
  36. ^ "Delegate Jason Miyares joins the long list of Republicans, like Senator Rand Paul and Virginia Senator Bryce Reeves, endorsing my run for U.S. Senate". Facebook.com. February 26, 2018.
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  38. ^ "Our campaign is proud to announce an endorsement from Woodstock Mayor Jeremy D. McCleary. Thank you, Mayor! #Nick4Senate #LibertyRising". Twitter.com. January 16, 2018.
  39. ^ Meyer, Ron. "Excited to join @RandPaul on Saturday to rally @NickForVA to victory for US Senate! #LibertyRising". Twitter.
  40. ^ a b "Freitas announces U.S. Senate bid against Kaine". Culpeper Star-Exponent. December 11, 2017.
  41. ^ "Exclusive: Freitas Receives New Endorsement Out Of Fluvanna County". rwmartinez.com. December 11, 2017.
  42. ^ Thiel, Josh. "Proud to support @NickForVA for US Senate with Senator @RandPaul. #LibertyRising". Twitter.
  43. ^ Hewitt, Hugh. "Voted for @NickForVA today. 9/11 vets and special forces to boot. Young and ready to take on Senator Kaine. Uphill race but a vet worth a vote if you haven't already been to the polls". Twitter.
  44. ^ Kirk, Charlie. "He has my full support!". Twitter.
  45. ^ "Austin Petersen on Twitter".
  46. ^ Phillips, Cabot. "If you're looking for a candidate to get excited about, @NickForVA is the one. He's an experienced, principled leader who will defend our conservative values in the Senate. I'm excited to support him!". Twitter.
  47. ^ "Kyle Kashuv on Twitter". Twitter.
  48. ^ "Kelley Paul on Twitter".
  49. ^ "Endorsement: Nick Freitas For U.S. Senator From Virginia". ConservativeHQ.com. June 11, 2018.
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  52. ^ "The National Association for Gun Rights PAC has endorsed my race for U.S. Senate because they know I'm the only candidate with a proven record of fighting back the gun-grabbing Left. #LibertyRising". Twitter.
  53. ^ "Stewart Snubbed: NRA endorses Nick Freitas in U.S. Senate primary race". InsideNoVA. May 10, 2018. Archived from the original on May 11, 2018. The National Rifle Association's Political Victory Fund has endorsed Del. Nick Freitas
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  63. ^ "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of E.W. Jackson to U.S. Congress". Family Research Council Action PAC. May 15, 2018.
  64. ^ Ivan Raiklin* 1%, Other 4%. *Failed to qualify.
  65. ^ "2018 June Republican Primary". Results.elections.virginia.gov. Retrieved June 23, 2018.
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  68. ^ "Waters for US Senate Turns in Over 14,000 Signatures" (Press release). Matt Waters Campaign.
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  78. ^ Trump, Donald. "Congratulations to Corey Stewart for his great victory for Senator from Virginia. Now he runs against a total stiff, Tim Kaine, who is weak on crime and borders, and wants to raise your taxes through the roof. Don't underestimate Corey, a major chance of winning!". Twitter.
  79. ^ "Former Congressman Virgil Goode is here in support of Corey Stewart". Twitter.
  80. ^ "With Corey Stewart atop the ticket, Virginia Republicans are in turmoil". The Washington Post.
  81. ^ "Bishop E W Jackson". facebook.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  82. ^ Stewart, Corey. "Pleased to announce @JerryFalwellJr's support. He was instrumental in electing @realDonaldTrump. Falwell's endorsement is proof positive conservative Republicans will take back Virginia in 2018". Twitter.com. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
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  84. ^ "Malik Obama on Twitter". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  85. ^ Wexton, Jennifer. "Look who surprised our volunteers in #VA10 this afternoon – thank you so much @BarackObama for inspiring our team with just one day to go!". Twitter.
  86. ^ "WI, FL & VA-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. October 30, 2017.
  87. ^ Jones, Doug. "Louise and I were honored to host my friend and colleague @timkaine at our home last night. Tim is a true public servant and a strong, steady leader we need to keep in the Senate!". Twitter.
  88. ^ "Former GOP Senator John Warner crosses party lines, endorses Kaine for Senate". Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  89. ^ Warner, Mark. ".@TimKaine is a uniter not a divider. He's a heck of a Senator, and I'm proud to call him my friend. Let's go out there and get him re-elected". Twitter.
  90. ^ Perriello, Tom. "Feeling ⁦@timkaine⁩ 2018 after that crushing debate yesterday! #TK4VA". Twitter.
  91. ^ McEachin, Donald. "I hope to see @Vangie4Congress, @ElaineLuriaVA, @LeslieCockburn, @JenniferForVA, @SpanbergerVA07, @flacc4congress, & @JenniferWexton join @timkaine, @markwarnerva, @ElectConnolly, @BobbyScott4VA3, @DonBeyerVA and me in Congress! #BlueWave". Twitter.
  92. ^ Beyer, Don. "We must reelect @timkaine". Twitter.
  93. ^ Connolly, Gerry. "Looking forward to another great campaign alongside my friend @timkaine". Twitter.
  94. ^ Northam, Ralph. "Virginians are looking for leaders with a moral compass—that's my friend @timkaine all the way. He speaks to the best in us, his opponent speaks to the worst. I'm ready to work hard to send him back to the Senate— are you ready to join us?". Twitter.
  95. ^ Fairfax, Justin. "#BlueWave2018! Virginia, let's re-elect @timkaine, @BobbyScott4VA3, @Donald_McEachin, & @ElectConnolly — & elect @Vangie4Congress, @ElaineLuriaVA, @LeslieCockburn, @JenniferForVA, @SpanbergerVA07, @flacc4congress, & @JenniferWexton. #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
  96. ^ McAuliffe, Terry. ".@timkaine is a great Senator and an even better man. @DSMcAuliffe and I will be with Tim and Anne every step of the way. Game on!". Twitter.
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External links

Official campaign websites
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