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2018 United States Senate election in Ohio

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018

← 2012 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2024 →
Turnout54.65%
 
Sherrod Brown official photo 2009 2.jpg
Jim Renacci, Official Portrait, 112th Congress (cropped 3).jpg
Nominee Sherrod Brown Jim Renacci
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,355,923 2,053,963
Percentage 53.4% 46.6%

Ohio Senate Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results

Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Renacci:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Senator before election

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio took place November 6, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was February 7, 2018, and the primary election was held May 8, 2018.[1] Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown – the only remaining elected Democratic statewide officeholder in Ohio at the time of the election,[2]—won his re-election bid for a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Jim Renacci in the general election.[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 613,373 100%
Total votes 613,373 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Melissa Ackison, businesswoman[7]
  • Don Elijah Eckhart, candidate for the Republican nomination in 2016[8]
  • Mike Gibbons, investment banker[9]
  • Dennis Jones[10]
  • Dan Kiley[11]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Gibbons
U.S. Senators
Notable Individuals
State Representatives
State Senators
County Commissioners
Organizations
County Parties
Josh Mandel (withdrawn)
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Labor unions
  • CPPA – Cleveland Police Patrolmen's Association[66]
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Melissa
Ackison
Don
Eckhart
Mike
Gibbons
Dan
Kiley
Jim
Renacci
Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University April 24 – May 2, 2018 323 4% 1% 11% 4% 25% 55%
Fallon Research April 4–7, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 3% 2% 7% 1% 21% 65%
OnMessage (R-Renacci) March 20, 2018 3% 3% 8% 3% 36% 47%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018 541 ± 5.7% 5% 5% 10% 1% 21% 58%

Results

Results by county:  Renacci   70–80%   60–70%   50–60%   40–50%   <40%    Gibbons   <40%   40–50%   50–60%    Ackison   <40%
Results by county:
Republican primary results[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Renacci 363,622 47.34%
Republican Mike Gibbons 243,426 31.69%
Republican Melissa Ackison 100,543 13.09%
Republican Dan Kiley 30,684 3.99%
Republican Don Eckhart 29,796 3.88%
Write-in 78 0.01%
Total votes 768,149 100%

General election

Candidates

  • Sherrod Brown (D)
  • Stephen Faris (write-in)[73]
  • Philena Irene Farley (G, write-in)[74]
  • Bruce Jaynes (L)
  • Jim Renacci (R)

Debates

Endorsements

Sherrod Brown (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Others
Labor unions
Organizations
Jim Renacci (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide Office Holders
State Representatives
  • Steve Hambley
U.S. Representatives
Mayors
Notable Individuals
County Parties
Organizations
State Parties
Newspapers

Note: These endorsements are only for the primary, not the general election.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[137] Likely D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[138] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[139] Likely D November 5, 2018
Fox News[140][a] Likely D November 5, 2018
CNN[141] Likely D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[142] Lean D November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sherrod
Brown (D)
Jim
Renacci (R)
Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 923 53% 43%
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 39% 8%
Cygnal (R) October 30–31, 2018 503 ± 4.4% 52% 42% 6%
Gravis Marketing October 29–30, 2018 789 ± 3.5% 46% 37% 17%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018 566 ± 4.3% 49% 43% 2%[143] 6%
Baldwin Wallace University October 19–27, 2018 1,051 ± 3.8% 51% 32% 17%
Suffolk University October 4–8, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 36% 0%[144] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University September 8 – October 8, 2018 1,017 ± 3.5% 50% 33% 18%
University of Akron September 10 – October 4, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 43% 31% 26%
Ipsos September 13–21, 2018 1,074 ± 3.0% 50% 39% 2% 9%
Triton Polling & Research (R) September 18–20, 2018 1,003 ± 3.1% 53% 42% 5%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 564 LV ± 5.0% 49% 35% 7%[145] 8%
52% 39% 1% 7%
796 RV ± 4.2% 49% 33% 10%[146] 9%
52% 39% 1% 8%
Baldwin Wallace University September 5–15, 2018 1,048 ± 3.6% 49% 32% 19%
Morning Consult September 2–11, 2018 1,592 ± 2.0% 47% 31% 22%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) August 31 – September 4, 2018 822 ± 3.0% 46% 42% 12%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) June 30 – July 10, 2018 1,485 ± 3.0% 45% 41% 14%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 951 ± 5.0% 52% 44% 4%
Marist College June 17–22, 2018 778 ± 4.4% 51% 38% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 2018 1,082 ± 3.7% 51% 34% 1% 12%
Suffolk University June 6–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 53% 37% 2% 8%
America First Action (R) May 29–31, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 45% 41% 10%
Fallon Research May 21–25, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 48% 34% 3%[147] 15%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First)[permanent dead link] April 2018 1,266 41% 40% 19%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018 1,408 ± 3.5% 52% 38% 11%
Baldwin Wallace University February 28 – March 9, 2018 1,011 ± 3.0% 41% 29% 30%
SurveyMonkey/Axios February 12 – March 5, 2018 1,995 ± 3.6% 50% 45% 5%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First)[permanent dead link] February 2018 43% 38% 19%

Results

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018[148]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Sherrod Brown (incumbent) 2,358,508 53.40% +2.70%
Republican Jim Renacci 2,057,559 46.58% +1.88%
Write-in 1,012 0.02% N/A
Total votes 4,410,898 100% N/A
Democratic hold

References

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  81. ^ "MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest". Daily Kos. February 27, 2018.
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  84. ^ Sherrod Brown. "Thank you to everyone who joined us at our canvass kick-off and rally in Columbus with @KamalaHarris, @JoyceBeatty, @RichCordray, @BettySutton, @Donnelly4Ohio, and @RobForOhio!". Twitter.
  85. ^ Sherrod Brown. "What a great day on the campaign trail with some very special guests!". Twitter.
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  87. ^ Martin O'Malley. "#WinBackYourState Stark County!". Twitter.
  88. ^ Justin Fairfax. "Proud to campaign for great Ohio Senator @SherrodBrown in Cincinnati!  Let's take back Congress in 2018!  #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
  89. ^ Amy Schumer. "News". Twitter.
  90. ^ John Legend. "Great to be back in my home state of Ohio supporting amazing Democrats running for office this year. If you live in Ohio, be sure to vote @SherrodBrown for Senate, @RichCordray for Gov, yes on Issue 1 and Dem up and down the ticket!". Twitter.
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  106. ^ Tobias, Andrew J. (June 28, 2018). "Sherrod Brown nabs endorsement from Ohio doctors group". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved July 12, 2018.
  107. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". 16 July 2012.
  108. ^ a b Harrison, Heath (August 21, 2018). "Ohio CPA group backs Brown, Renacci, Faber". Ironton Tribune.
  109. ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection.
  110. ^ ".@JimRenacci has worked so hard on Tax Reductions, Illegal Immigration, the Border and Crime. I need Jim very badly to help our agenda and to keep MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! He will be a fantastic Senator for the Great State of Ohio, and has my full endorsement!". Twitter. April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  111. ^ Mike Pence. "Congrats to my friend @JimRenacci on his #OHSen primary win tonight. I was for Jim Renacci before it was cool – back when we served together in the House. @RealDonaldTrump and I are with you & look forward to working with you in the US Senate. #MAGA". Twitter.
  112. ^ Rob Portman. ". @JimRenacci has a track record of success as a job creator and battle-tested conservative leader, and I am proud to endorse him in the race for U.S. Senate". Twitter.
  113. ^ Seth A. Richardson (January 29, 2018). "Rob Portman, Josh Mandel back Jim Renacci in Senate race". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved January 30, 2018.
  114. ^ Mary Taylor. "My friend @JimRenacci is best positioned to advance President @realDonaldTrump's economic agenda. It's time to send career politician Sherrod Brown home, so I'll be voting Renacci on Nov. 6. (even though he once dressed an actress who was supposed to be me up in a cat suit 😂)". Twitter.
  115. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Hancock, Laura (January 19, 2018). "All sitting GOP members of U.S. House from Ohio endorse Jim Renacci". The Plain Dealer. Retrieved January 19, 2018.
  116. ^ "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  117. ^ "Trump Jr. to campaign in Ohio for Renacci". ABC6OnYourSide.com. September 5, 2018.
  118. ^ Eric Trump. "Great being in OHIO in support of @JimRenacci and @Bob_Gibbs! Two great people who will #MakeAmericaGreatAgain". Twitter.
  119. ^ Jim Renacci. "Wave of conservative momentum behind our campaign for #OHsen continues. Honored to have earned the Brown County GOP's endorsement for US Senate tonight". Twitter.
  120. ^ Jim Renacci. "Honored to have earned the Cuyahoga County Republican Party's endorsement today for U.S. Senate. Momentum & support from conservatives across Ohio continues to grow behind our campaign to defeat @SherrodBrown. #OHsen". Twitter.
  121. ^ Jim Renacci. "Momentum keeps building for our campaign for Senate. Proud to have the support of Fulton County". Twitter.
  122. ^ "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  123. ^ Jim Renacci. "Thank you Preble County GOP for the overwhelming support! #OHSEN". Twitter.
  124. ^ "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  125. ^ "History". BIPAC Action Fund.
  126. ^ "Ohio Black Republican Association Endorses Renacci for Senate". Renacci for Senate. March 20, 2018. Archived from the original on March 27, 2018. Retrieved March 26, 2018.
  127. ^ Andrew J. Tobias (March 20, 2018). "Ohio Right to Life endorses Anthony Gonzalez in Ohio 16th District congressional race, Jim Renacci for Senate". The Plain Dealer.
  128. ^ "Jim Renacci on Twitter".
  129. ^ "NRA Endorses Jim Renacci for U.S. Senate". National Rifle Association. April 10, 2018.
  130. ^ Students for Trump. "Ohio has benefited tremendously under President Trump's policies, but liberal Sherrod Brown has obstructed every step of the way and voted against your big beautiful tax cut. Ohio must elect @JimRenacci in November!". Twitter.
  131. ^ Bergum, Tatiana (July 26, 2018). "Pro-Life Group Endorses Jim Renacci Over Pro-Abortion Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate Race". LifeNews.com.
  132. ^ "Small Business Endorses Congressman Jim Renacci for the U.S. Senate". NFIB. August 2, 2018.
  133. ^ Jim Renacci. "Proud to be endorsed by Ohioans for Concealed Carry. #OHSen". Twitter.
  134. ^ "Ohio GOP endorses Mike DeWine in governor's race". 9 February 2018.
  135. ^ "Jim Renacci in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate: endorsement editorial".
  136. ^ "Renacci has the advantage in GOP race for US Senate". The Vindicator. April 30, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
  137. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
  138. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  139. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 13, 2018.
  140. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  141. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  142. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  143. ^ Stephen Faris (write-in) with 2%
  144. ^ Stephen Faris (write-in) with 0%
  145. ^ Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 4%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 2%, other with 1%
  146. ^ Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 6%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 3%, other with 1%
  147. ^ Philena Farley (G, write-in) 3%
  148. ^ "United States Senate general election in Ohio, 2018".

External links

Official campaign websites
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