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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →

All 8 Wisconsin seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 3
Seats won 5 3
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 1,172,993 1,367,497
Percentage 45.61% 53.18%
Swing Decrease0.20% Increase3.42%

United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin, 2018 results by district.svg
Popular vote by congressional district. As this is a first-past-the-post election, seat totals are not determined by total popular vote in the state, but instead by results in each congressional district.

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. Representatives from the state of Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The Wisconsin Partisan Primary was held on August 14, 2018, with the governor, U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative, odd-numbered Wisconsin State Senate seats, and all Wisconsin Assembly seats on the ballot.[1]

Wisconsin was notable in 2018 for being the only state in which the party receiving the majority of votes held a minority of congressional seats.[2]

Results summary

Statewide

Party Candi-
dates
Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Democratic Party 8 1,367,492 53.18% 3 Steady 37.50%
Republican Party 7 1,172,964 45.61% 5 Steady 62.50%
Independent 3 21,592 0.84% 0 Steady 0.00%
Write-in 6 49 0.00% 0 Steady 0.00%
Scattering 9,558 0.37% 0 Steady 0.00%
Total 24 2,571,655 100.00% 8 Steady 100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
53.18%
Republican
45.61%
Other
1.21%
House seats
Republican
62.50%
Democratic
37.50%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin by district:[3]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 137,508 42.27% 177,492 54.56% 10,317 3.17% 325,317 100.00% Republican Hold
District 2 309,116 97.42% 0 0.00% 8,179 2.58% 317,295 100.00% Democratic Hold
District 3 187,888 59.65% 126,980 40.31% 121 0.04% 314,989 100.00% Democratic Hold
District 4 206,487 75.61% 59,091 21.64% 7,509 2.75% 273,087 100.00% Democratic Hold
District 5 138,385 37.99% 225,619 61.93% 284 0.08% 364,288 100.00% Republican Hold
District 6 144,536 44.46% 180,311 55.47% 218 0.07% 325,065 100.00% Republican Hold
District 7 124,307 38.50% 194,061 60.11% 4,472 1.39% 322,840 100.00% Republican Hold
District 8 119,265 36.28% 209,410 63.69% 99 0.03% 328,774 100.00% Republican Hold
Total 1,367,492 53.18% 1,172,964 45.61% 31,199 1.21% 2,571,655 100.00%

District 1

The 1st congressional district is located in southeastern Wisconsin, covering Kenosha County, Racine County and most of Walworth County, as well as portions of Rock County, Waukesha County and Milwaukee County. The district's Representative was Republican, Paul Ryan, then Speaker of the House of Representatives and Republican candidate for Vice President of the United States in the 2012 U.S. presidential election. The district's Partisan Voter Index is R+5, indicating a slight Republican lean.

Ryan could potentially have seen a close race; in hypothetical polling, his main Democratic challenger, Randy Bryce, was behind Ryan by only seven points. Ryan was also facing challenges in the Republican primary from Paul Nehlen, who also challenged Ryan in 2016, and from Nick Polce. Ryan announced on April 11, 2018, that he is not seeking re-election.[4][5][6] On April 22, Bryan Steil, member of the University of Wisconsin Board of Regents and former personal driver to Ryan, announced his bid for the seat, with news outlets reporting Steil as the Republican Party nominee front-runner.[7][8]

Two Democrats announced; ironworker Randy Bryce and Janesville school board member Cathy Myers.

Democratic primary

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Randy Bryce
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives from Wisconsin[14]
U.S. Representatives outside of Wisconsin
Wisconsin State Senators
  • Tim Carpenter, Senate District 3
  • Chris Larson, Senate District 7
  • Bob Wirch, Senate District 22
Wisconsin State Representatives
  • Mandela Barnes, (former) Assembly District 11
  • Jonathan Brostoff, Assembly District 19
  • David Crowley, Assembly District 17
  • Evan Goyke, Assembly District 18
  • Greta Neubauer, Assembly District 66
  • Tod Ohnstad, Assembly District 65
  • Daniel Riemer, Assembly District 7
  • Christine Sinicki, Assembly District 20
  • Robert Turner, (former) Assembly District 61
  • JoCasta Zamarripa, Assembly District 8
Unions
Other Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Randy
Bryce
Cathy
Myers
Undecided
Remington (R-CLF) July 8–9, 2018 1,020 ± 3.1% 33% 34% 33%

Primary results

Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Randy Bryce 36,397 59.6
Democratic Cathy Myers 24,690 40.4
Total votes 61,087 100.0

Republican primary

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Kevin Adam Steen, applications engineer[26]
Withdrew
  • Brad Boivin, psychologist[28] (endorsed Steil)[29]
  • Jeff Wamboldt, county supervisor and police officer[30][31]
Declined

Endorsements

Paul Nehlen
Individuals
  • David Duke, white nationalist, conspiracy theorist, former Ku Klux Klan Grand Wizard, and former Louisiana State Representative[36]
Bryan Steil
Individuals
Organizations
  • Wisconsin Right to Life[44]
  • Waukesha Young Republicans[45]
Newspapers

Primary results

Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bryan Steil 30,883 51.6
Republican Nick Polce 8,945 14.9
Republican Paul Nehlen 6,635 11.1
Republican Kevin Adam Steen 6,262 10.5
Republican Jeremy Ryan 6,221 10.4
Republican Brad Boivin 924 1.5
Total votes 59,870 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Lean R August 24, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Lean R August 23, 2018

Endorsements

Randy Bryce
Former Federal officials
Former 2018 U.S. Representative candidates, WI-01
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives from Wisconsin[51]
U.S. Representatives outside of Wisconsin
Wisconsin State Senators
  • Tim Carpenter, Senate District 3
  • Chris Larson, Senate District 7
  • Bob Wirch, Senate District 22
Wisconsin State Representatives
  • Mandela Barnes, (former) Assembly District 11
  • Jonathan Brostoff, Assembly District 19
  • David Crowley, Assembly District 17
  • Evan Goyke, Assembly District 18
  • Greta Neubauer, Assembly District 66
  • Tod Ohnstad, Assembly District 65
  • Daniel Riemer, Assembly District 7
  • Christine Sinicki, Assembly District 20
  • Robert Turner, (former) Assembly District 61
  • JoCasta Zamarripa, Assembly District 8
Local officials
Unions
Other Organizations
Bryan Steil
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bryan
Steil (R)
Randy
Bryce (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D-Bryce) October 19–21, 2018 551 44% 45%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 11–13, 2018 500 ± 4.7% 50% 44% 6%
Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce) September 4–8, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce) July 11–15, 2018 401 ± 4.9% 40% 41%

Results

Wisconsin's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bryan Steil 177,492 54.6
Democratic Randy Bryce 137,508 42.2
Independent Ken Yorgan 10,006 3.1
Independent Joseph Kexel (write-in) 7 0.0
n/a Write-ins 304 0.1
Total votes 325,317 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd congressional district covers Dane County, Iowa County, Lafayette County, Sauk County and Green County, as well as portions of Richland County and Rock County. The district includes Madison, the state's capital, its suburbs and some of the surrounding areas. The district is currently represented by Democrat Mark Pocan, who succeeded current Senator Tammy Baldwin in 2013. The PVI is D+18.

Democratic primary

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Pocan (incumbent) 115,246 100.0
Total votes 115,246 100.0

General election

Results

Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Pocan (incumbent) 309,116 97.4
Republican Joey Wayne Reed (write-in) 29 0.0
Independent Rick Cruz (write-in) 8 0.0
Democratic Bradley Jason Burt (write-in) 1 0.0
n/a Write-ins 8,141 2.6
Total votes 317,295 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

The 3rd congressional district covers much of the Driftless Area in southwestern and western Wisconsin; The district includes the cities of La Crosse and Eau Claire. It borders the states of Minnesota, Iowa, and Illinois. Democrat Ron Kind has represented the district since 1997. The PVI of the third district is EVEN, indicating an almost equal support of Democrats and Republicans. Kind is running for reelection. Steve Toft, a retired Army Colonel, is running for the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ron Kind (incumbent) 59,643 100.0
Total votes 59,643 100.0

Republican primary

Declared
  • Steve Toft, retired Army Colonel[69]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Toft 35,768 100.0
Total votes 35,768 100.0

General election

Results

Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ron Kind (incumbent) 187,888 59.7
Republican Steve Toft 126,980 40.3
n/a Write-ins 121 0.0
Total votes 314,989 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

The 4th congressional district encompasses a part of Milwaukee County and including all of the city of Milwaukee and its working-class suburbs of Cudahy, St. Francis, South Milwaukee, and West Milwaukee. Recent redistricting has added the Milwaukee County North Shore communities of Glendale, Shorewood, Whitefish Bay, Fox Point, Bayside, and Brown Deer to the district. It is currently represented by Gwen Moore, a Democrat. The PVI of the district is D+25.

Democratic primary

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gwen Moore (incumbent) 76,971 89.0
Democratic Gary George 9,466 11.0
Total votes 86,437 100.0

Republican primary

Declared
  • Cindy Werner, army veteran
  • Tim Rogers, deliveryman

Primary results

Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Rogers 8,912 55.6
Republican Cindy Werner 7,121 44.4
Total votes 16,033 100.0

Independent candidates

Declared
  • Robert Raymond

General election

Results

Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gwen Moore (incumbent) 206,487 75.6
Republican Tim Rogers 59,091 21.7
Independent Robert Raymond 7,170 2.6
n/a Write-ins 339 0.1
Total votes 273,087 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

The 5th congressional district covers all of Washington and Jefferson counties, some of Waukesha and Dodge counties, and portions of Milwaukee and Walworth counties. It is currently represented by Republican Jim Sensenbrenner, who has held the seat since 1978. The PVI is R+13. Sensenbrenner is running for reelection. Tom Palzewicz, a small business owner, is running for the Democratic nomination.

Democratic primary

Declared
  • Tom Palzewicz, small businessman[70]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Palzewicz 43,192 100.0
Total votes 43,192 100.0

Republican primary

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Sensenbrenner (incumbent) 73,397 81.2
Republican Jennifer Hoppe Vipond 17,010 18.8
Total votes 90,407 100.0

General election

Results

Wisconsin's 5th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Sensenbrenner (incumbent) 225,619 61.9
Democratic Tom Palzewicz 138,385 38.0
Democratic Ramon Garcia (write-in) 1 0.0
n/a Write-ins 283 0.1
Total votes 364,288 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

The 6th congressional district is located in eastern Wisconsin, including the outer suburbs of Milwaukee, Madison, and Green Bay, it includes all or portions of the following counties: Adams, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Jefferson, Manitowoc, Marquette, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, Waushara, and Winnebago. It also includes a small portion of far northern Milwaukee County around River Hills. The district is represented by Glenn Grothman (R-Campbellsport) who came to office in January 2015. The PVI is R+8. Grothman ran for reelection. Dan Kohl, an attorney and former executive for the Milwaukee Bucks, won the Democratic nomination.

Democratic primary

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Kohl 41,862 100.0
Total votes 41,862 100.0

Republican primary

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Grothman (incumbent) 60,485 100.0
Total votes 60,485 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Glenn
Grothman (R)
Dan
Kohl (D)
Undecided
JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns October 29 – November 3, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 61% 33% 6%
Change Research (D) October 27–29, 2018 525 50% 48%

Results

Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Grothman (incumbent) 180,311 55.4
Democratic Dan Kohl 144,536 44.5
n/a Write-ins 218 0.1
Total votes 325,065 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

The 7th congressional district is located in northern and western Wisconsin, and is the largest congressional district in the state geographically, covering 20 counties (in whole or part), for a total of 18,787 sq mi. The district contains the following counties: Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark (partial), Douglas, Iron, Langlade (partial), Lincoln, Marathon, Oneida, Polk, Portage, Price, Rusk, St. Croix, Sawyer, Taylor, Washburn and Wood. The district is currently represented by Sean Duffy, a Republican. The PVI of the district is R+8. Duffy is running for reelection.

Democratic primary

Declared[74]
  • Brian Ewert, Doctor
  • Margaret Ruth Engebretson, Polk County Attorney

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Margaret Ruth Engebretson 27,179 57.3
Democratic Brian Ewert 20,257 42.7
Total votes 47,436 100.0

Republican primary

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Duffy (incumbent) 60,708 100.0
Total votes 60,708 100.0

General election

Results

Wisconsin's 7th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Duffy (incumbent) 194,061 60.1
Democratic Margaret Engebretson 124,307 38.5
Independent Ken Driessen 4,416 1.4
Democratic Bob Look (write-in) 3 0.0
n/a Write-ins 53 0.0
Total votes 322,840 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

The 8th congressional district includes Green Bay and Appleton. It is currently represented by Mike Gallagher, a Republican. Gallagher won the open seat vacated by Reid Ribble. It is also one of two Congressional Districts to ever elect a Catholic Priest, Robert John Cornell. The PVI is R+7, and Gallagher won election to his first term with 62.65% of the vote. Gallagher is running for reelection. Beau Liegeois, a Brown County assistant district attorney, is running for the Democratic nomination.[76]

Democratic primary

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beau Liegeois 38,450 100.0
Total votes 38,450 100.0

Republican

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Gallagher (incumbent) 62,524 100.0
Total votes 62,524 100.0

General election

Results

Wisconsin's 8th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Gallagher (incumbent) 209,410 63.7
Democratic Beau Liegeois 119,265 36.3
n/a Write-ins 99 0.0
Total votes 328,774 100.0
Republican hold

References

  1. ^ "2018 Partisan Primary | Wisconsin Elections Commission". jsonline.com. Retrieved 2019-03-28.
  2. ^ "New election data highlights the ongoing impact of 2011 GOP redistricting in Wisconsin". elections.wi.gov. Retrieved 2017-12-27.
  3. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  4. ^ a b Mattingly, Phil; Vazquez, Maegan. "House Speaker Paul Ryan won't seek re-election". CNN. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
  5. ^ a b Martin, Jonathan; Burns, Alexander (April 11, 2018). "Speaker Paul Ryan Will Not Seek Re-election in November". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
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  11. ^ "Cathy Myers on Twitter".
  12. ^ Torres, Ricardo (May 15, 2018). "State Rep. Peter Barca will not run for Congress". Racine Journal Times.
  13. ^ "Bernie Sanders endorses Randy Bryce in congressional bid against Paul Ryan".
  14. ^ "Endorsements".
  15. ^ https://justicedemocrats.com. "Justice Democrats -- Candidates". now.justicedemocrats.com. Archived from the original on 2018-06-27. Retrieved 2018-04-22.
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  22. ^ Guttman, Nathan (December 26, 2017). "Paul Nehlen, Paul Ryan's 'Alt-Right' Opponent, Goes On 'Shekel-For-Hire' Rant". The Forward. Archived from the original on December 27, 2017. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
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  29. ^ Schultz, Frank (July 2, 2018). "Boivin drops out, supports Steil in 1st District". GazetteXtra.
  30. ^ Smith, Deneen. "County supervisor, police officer Jeff Wamboldt to run for Ryan's seat". Kenosha News. Retrieved 22 April 2018.
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  33. ^ "Wisconsin state Sen. Dave Craig won't run for Ryan's seat". ABC News. Retrieved 22 April 2018.
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  37. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r "State Lawmakers Endorse Bryan Steil for Congress". Steil for Wisconsin. June 12, 2018.
  38. ^ Bice, Daniel (May 17, 2018). "Bice: Democratic candidate Randy Bryce's brother donates to opponent after considering his own run for same seat". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
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  41. ^ "Reince Priebus Endorses Bryan Steil for Congress". Steil for Wisconsin. June 14, 2018.
  42. ^ Spicuzza, Mary (June 18, 2018). "Speaker Paul Ryan endorses Bryan Steil in race for his seat". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
  43. ^ Tommy G. Thompson. "Proud to endorse @BryanSteilforWI". Twitter.
  44. ^ "WRTL PAC Announces Third Round of Endorsements". Wisconsin Right to Life. July 20, 2018.
  45. ^ Bryan Steil. "Thank you for your endorsement, @WaukeshaYR! I'm honored to have your trust and confidence for our Republican Primary on August 14. #TeamSteil keeps growing!". Twitter.
  46. ^ "Steil stands out as top GOP candidate for Congress". Kenosha News. August 4, 2018.
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  48. ^ "2018 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 23, 2018.
  49. ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote:". Twitter.
  50. ^ "Bernie Sanders endorses Randy Bryce in congressional bid against Paul Ryan".
  51. ^ "Endorsements".
  52. ^ Bill de Blasio. "Let's not talk about what's wrong with Donald Trump. Let's talk about what's right about @IronStache". Twitter.
  53. ^ https://justicedemocrats.com. "Justice Democrats -- Candidates". now.justicedemocrats.com. Archived from the original on 2018-06-27. Retrieved 2018-04-22.
  54. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Congratulations to Bryan Steil on a wonderful win last night. You will be replacing a great guy in Paul Ryan, and your win in November will make the entire State of Wisconsin very proud. You have my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  55. ^ Mike Pence. "Big night for Wisconsin! Congrats to my friend & one of the nation's greatest governors @ScottWalker on his primary victory. And congrats to @LeahVukmir & @BryanSteilForWI, two great future leaders of the GOP!". Twitter.
  56. ^ a b c d e f "All Six First District County Sheriffs Endorse Bryan Steil". Steil for Wisconsin. September 20, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  57. ^ Bice, Daniel (May 17, 2018). "Bice: Democratic candidate Randy Bryce's brother donates to opponent after considering his own run for same seat". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
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External links

Official campaign websites of first district candidates
Official campaign websites of second district candidates
Official campaign websites of third district candidates
Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates
Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates
Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates
Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates
Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates
This page was last edited on 15 November 2020, at 04:32
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