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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →

All 14 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives
Turnout57.8%
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 5 9
Seats before 4 9
Seats won 7 7
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2
Popular vote 2,165,586 1,847,480
Percentage 52.33% 44.65%
Swing Increase 5.36% Decrease 3.38%

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018.[1] Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein.[2] This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.

Results summary

Statewide

Party Candi-
dates
Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Democratic Party 14 2,165,586 52.33% 7 Increase2 50.00%
Republican Party 13 1,847,480 44.65% 7 Decrease2 50.00%
Working Class Party 5 52,879 1.28% 0 Steady 0.00%
U.S. Taxpayers' Party 4 27,007 0.65% 0 Steady 0.00%
Independent 3 18,299 0.44% 0 Steady 0.00%
Green Party 3 14,805 0.36% 0 Steady 0.00%
Libertarian Party 2 12,095 0.29% 0 Steady 0.00%
Total 44 4,138,151 100.00% 14 Steady 100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
52.33%
Republican
44.65%
Working Class Party
1.28%
Other
1.74%
House seats
Republican
50.00%
Democratic
50.00%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:[3]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 145,246 43.68% 187,251 56.32% 0 0.00% 332,497 100.00% Republican hold
District 2 131,254 42.97% 168,970 55.32% 5,239 1.72% 305,463 100.00% Republican hold
District 3 134,185 43.18% 169,107 54.42% 7,448 2.40% 310,740 100.00% Republican hold
District 4 106,540 37.38% 178,510 62.62% 0 0.00% 285,050 100.00% Republican hold
District 5 164,502 59.51% 99,265 35.91% 12,646 4.58% 276,413 100.00% Democratic hold
District 6 134,082 45.69% 147,436 50.24% 11,920 4.06% 293,438 100.00% Republican hold
District 7 136,330 46.20% 158,730 53.80% 0 0.00% 295,060 100.00% Republican hold
District 8 172,880 50.61% 159,782 46.78% 8,931 2.61% 341,593 100.00% Democratic gain
District 9 181,734 59.67% 112,123 36.81% 10,706 3.52% 304,563 100.00% Democratic hold
District 10 106,061 35.00% 182,808 60.32% 14,195 4.68% 303,064 100.00% Republican hold
District 11 181,912 51.84% 158,463 45.16% 10,526 3.00% 350,901 100.00% Democratic gain
District 12 200,588 68.08% 85,115 28.89% 8,925 3.03% 294,628 100.00% Democratic hold
District 13 165,355 84.24% 0 0.00% 30,944 15.76% 196,299 100.00% Democratic hold
District 14 214,334 80.88% 45,899 17.32% 4,761 1.80% 264,994 100.00% Democratic hold
Total 2,175,003 52.35% 1,853,459 44.61% 126,241 3.04% 4,154,703 100.00%

District 1

2018 Michigan's 1st congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Jack Bergman Matthew Morgan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 187,251 145,246
Percentage 56.3% 43.7%

Bergman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Morgan      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Jack Bergman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jack Bergman
Republican

The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district has a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Bergman (incumbent) 83,272 100.0
Total votes 83,272 100.0

Democratic primary

Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary.[5] Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot.[6] According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot.[7]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matthew W. Morgan, retired US Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and Iraq War veteran[8]
Withdrawn
  • Dwight Brady, professor[8]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matthew W. Morgan (write-in) 29,293 100.0
Total votes 29,293 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Matt Morgan (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jack
Bergman (R)
Matt
Morgan (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D) October 27–29, 2018 574 54% 42%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Likely R November 5, 2018
538[18] Likely R November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Bergman (incumbent) 187,251 56.3
Democratic Matt Morgan 145,246 43.7
Total votes 332,497 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2018 Michigan's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Bill Huizenga Rob Davidson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 168,970 131,254
Percentage 55.3% 43.0%

County results
Huizenga:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Davidson      50-60%

Precinct results
Huizenga:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Davidson      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Huizenga
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Huizenga
Republican

The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district has a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Huizenga (incumbent) 79,620 100.0
Total votes 79,620 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Failed to qualify
  • Nick Schiller, political newcomer[8]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rob Davidson 52,221 100.0
Total votes 52,221 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Rob Davidson (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Huizenga (R)
Rob
Davidson (D)
Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson) October 11–15, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 48% 42% 7%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[18] Likely R November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Huizenga (incumbent) 168,970 55.3
Democratic Rob Davidson 131,254 43.0
Constitution Ron Graeser 5,239 1.7
Total votes 305,463 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2018 Michigan's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Justin Amash Cathy Albro
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 169,107 134,185
Percentage 54.4% 43.2%

County results
Amash:      50-60%      60-70%

Precinct results
Amash:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Albro:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Justin Amash
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Justin Amash
Republican

The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district has a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. Representative[20]
Failed to qualify
  • Joe Farrington[8]
  • Matt Hall

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Justin Amash (incumbent) 69,817 99.9
Republican Joe Farrington (write-in) 52 0.1
Total votes 69,869 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Cathy Albro, educator
Eliminated in primary
  • Fred Wooden, pastor[20]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cathy Albro 42,619 68.2
Democratic Fred Wooden 19,903 31.8
Total votes 62,522 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Cathy Albro (D)
Labor unions

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[18] Safe R November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Justin Amash (incumbent) 169,107 54.4
Democratic Cathy Albro 134,185 43.2
Constitution Ted Gerrard 7,445 2.4
Independent Joe Farrington (write-in) 3 0.0
Total votes 310,740 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2018 Michigan's 4th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee John Moolenaar Jerry Hillard
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 178,510 106,540
Percentage 62.6% 37.4%

County results
Moolenaar:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%

Precinct results
Moolenaar:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hillard:      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

John Moolenaar
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Moolenaar
Republican

The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cites include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district has a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Moolenaar (incumbent) 80,290 100.0
Total votes 80,290 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jerry Hilliard
Eliminated in primary
  • Zigmond Kozicki[4]
Failed to qualify

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jerry Hilliard 32,263 66.5
Democratic Zigmond Kozicki 16,261 33.5
Total votes 48,524 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Jerry Hilliard (D)
Labor unions

Results

Michigan's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Moolenaar (incumbent) 178,510 62.6
Democratic Jerry Hilliard 106,540 37.4
Total votes 285,050 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2018 Michigan's 5th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Dan Kildee Travis Wines Kathy Goodwin
Party Democratic Republican Working Class
Popular vote 164,502 99,265 12,646
Percentage 59.5% 35.9% 4.6%

County results
Kildee:      50-60%      60-70%
Wines:      50-60%

Precinct results
Kildee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Wines:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Kildee
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Kildee
Democratic

The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district has a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead.[21]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Kildee (incumbent) 73,996 100.0
Total votes 73,996 100.0

Republican primary

Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[22] There is one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines who lives outside the district.[8]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Travis Wines

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Travis Wines 44,405 100.0
Total votes 44,405 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Dan Kildee (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

Michigan's 5th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Kildee (incumbent) 164,502 59.5
Republican Travis Wines 99,265 35.9
Working Class Kathy Goodwin 12,646 4.6
Total votes 276,413 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

2018 Michigan's 6th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Fred Upton Matt Longjohn
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 147,436 134,082
Percentage 50.2% 45.7%

County results
Upton:      50-60%      60-70%
Longjohn:      50-60%

Precinct results
Upton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Longjohn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Fred Upton
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Fred Upton
Republican

The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fred Upton (incumbent) 64,512 100.0
Total votes 64,512 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Matt Longjohn, physician and former National Health Officer for the YMCA[23]
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
  • Paul Clements, professor and nominee for this seat in 2014 and 2016[28][8]
  • Eponine Garrod, local activist and quality control chemist[24]
Declined

Endorsements

George Franklin
Statewide officials
Individuals

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Longjohn 22,412 37.0
Democratic George Franklin 17,493 28.9
Democratic David Benac 12,867 21.3
Democratic Rich Eichholz 7,719 12.8
Total votes 60,491 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Matt Longjohn (D)

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Fred
Upton (R)
Matt
Longjohn (D)
Stephen
Young (T)
Undecided
Change Research (D) November 2–4, 2018 460 40% 42% 3% 14%
Change Research (D) October 27–29, 2018 466 46% 43%
DCCC (D) October 9–10, 2018 605 ± 4.2% 49% 46%
Public Policy Polling (D) September 4–5, 2018 750 45% 41%
Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn) August 24–29, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 47% 41% 3% 9%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Fred
Upton (R)
Democratic
opponent (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) November 8–9, 2017 681 ± 3.8% 42% 41% 17%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Lean R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Likely R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean R November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Lean R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Lean R November 5, 2018
538[18] Likely R November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 6th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Fred Upton (incumbent) 147,436 50.2
Democratic Matt Longjohn 134,082 45.7
Constitution Stephen Young 11,920 4.1
Total votes 293,438 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2018 Michigan's 7th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Tim Walberg Gretchen Driskell
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 158,730 136,330
Percentage 53.8% 46.2%

County results
Walberg:      50-60%      60-70%
Driskell:      50-60%

Precinct results
Walberg:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Driskell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Tim Walberg
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tim Walberg
Republican

The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district has a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Walberg (incumbent) 69,248 100.0
Total votes 69,248 100.0

Democratic primary

Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[32]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Steven Friday, social worker[20]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gretchen Driskell 52,430 85.2
Democratic Steven Friday 9,083 14.8
Total votes 61,513 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Gretchen Driskell (D)

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gretchen
Driskell (D)
Tim
Walberg (R)
Undecided
DCCC (D) February 19–21, 2018 400 37% 41%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Likely R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Likely R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Lean R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Likely R November 5, 2018
538[18] Tossup November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 7th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Walberg (incumbent) 158,730 53.8
Democratic Gretchen Driskell 136,330 46.2
Total votes 295,060 100.0
Republican hold

District 8

2018 Michigan's 8th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Elissa Slotkin Mike Bishop
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 172,880 159,782
Percentage 50.6% 46.8%

County results
Slotkin:      60-70%
Bishop:      50-60%

Precinct results
Slotkin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bishop:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Bishop
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Elissa Slotkin
Democratic

The 8th district was centered on the state capital, Lansing, and stretches into the northern outskirts of Metro Detroit including Rochester Hills. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Mike Bishop, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 56% of the vote in 2016. This race was considered competitive, with the Cook Political Report rating it as 'Tossup' in August 2018.[36][4] With $28 million spent, it drew the most campaign spending for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.[37] Elissa Slotkin defeated Bishop, flipping the district to the Democratic side.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mike Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Bishop (incumbent) 75,403 92.3
Republican Lokesh Kumar 6,254 7.7
Total votes 81,657 100.0

Democratic primary

Michigan's 8th district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[32]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
  • Darlene Domanik, attorney[20]

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elissa Slotkin 57,819 70.7
Democratic Christopher E. Smith 23,996 29.3
Total votes 81,815 100.0

Libertarian party

  • Brian Ellison
Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Brian Ellison 522 100.0
Total votes 522 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Elissa Slotkin (D)

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Bishop (R)
Elissa
Slotkin (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D) November 2–4, 2018 501 46% 47% 3%[41] 5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 31 – November 4, 2018 447 ± 5.0% 42% 49% 2% 6%
Target Insyght October 15–17, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 48% 45% 3%[42] 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 28 – October 3, 2018 501 ± 4.8% 47% 44% 10%
GQR Research (D-Slotkin) September 17–20, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 43% 47% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop) September 16–18, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 45% 43%
Public Policy Polling (D) April 16–17, 2018 668 ± 3.8% 46% 41% 13%
Target Insyght April 3–5, 2018 400 ± 5.0% 45% 39% 16%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Tossup November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Tilt D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Tossup November 5, 2018
538[18] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 8th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elissa Slotkin 172,880 50.6
Republican Mike Bishop (incumbent) 159,782 46.8
Libertarian Brian Ellison 6,302 1.8
Constitution David Lillis 2,629 0.8
Total votes 341,593 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 9

2018 Michigan's 9th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Andy Levin Candius Stearns
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 181,734 112,123
Percentage 59.7% 36.8%

County results
Levin:      50-60%      60-70%

Precinct results
Levin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Stearns:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Sander Levin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Levin
Democratic

The 9th district is located in Metro Detroit including Roseville, Royal Oak, and Warren. This district has a PVI of D+4. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected to an eighteenth term with 58% of the vote in 2016. In December 2017, Levin announced his retirement, and that he would not seek re-election in 2018.[43]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Andy Levin, former head of the Michigan Department of Energy, Labor and Economic Growth, Sander Levin's son[44]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Andy Levin
Federal officials
Current and former state officials
Ellen Lipton
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Martin
Brook
Andy
Levin
Ellen
Lipton
Undecided
EPIC-MRA July 25–26, 2018 730 ± 3.7% 4% 55% 31% 10%
Lake Research Partners (D-Levin) July 9–12, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 4% 51% 12% 30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Bieda
Andy
Levin
Ellen
Lipton
Undecided
GQR Research March 17–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 17% 42% 8% 33%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Levin 49,612 52.4
Democratic Ellen Lipton 40,174 42.5
Democratic Martin Brook 4,865 5.1
Total votes 94,651 100.0

Republican primary

Michigan's 9th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.[22]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Candius Stearns, businesswoman[20]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Candius Stearns 47,410 100.0
Total votes 47,410 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Andy Levin (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Michigan's 9th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Levin 181,734 59.7
Republican Candius Stearns 112,123 36.8
Working Class Andrea Kirby 6,797 2.2
Green John McDermott 3,909 1.3
Total votes 304,563 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

2018 Michigan's 10th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Paul Mitchell Kimberly Bizon
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 182,808 106,061
Percentage 60.8% 35.0%

County results
Mitchell:      50-60%      60-70%

Precinct results
Mitchell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bizon:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Paul Mitchell
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Mitchell
Republican

The 10th district is located in an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb and parts of the Metro Detroit area including Chesterfield, Macomb, and Port Huron. This is the most Republican friendly district with a PVI of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Candice Miller with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Mitchell (incumbent) 81,867 100.0
Total votes 81,867 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kimberly Bizon
Eliminated in primary
  • Frank Accavitti Jr.
  • Michael McCarthy

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kimberly Bizon 21,944 41.1
Democratic Frank Accavitti Jr. 17,047 32.0
Democratic Michael McCarthy 14,353 26.9
Total votes 53,344 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Kimberly Bizon (D)
Labor unions


Results

Michigan's 10th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Mitchell (incumbent) 182,808 60.8
Democratic Kimberly Bizon 106,061 35.0
Independent Jeremy Peruski 11,344 3.7
Green Harley Mikkelson 2,851 0.9
Total votes 303,064 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

2018 Michigan's 11th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Haley Stevens Lena Epstein
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 181,912 158,463
Percentage 51.8% 45.2%

County results
Stevens:      50-60%

Precinct results
Stevens:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Epstein:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Dave Trott
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Haley Stevens
Democratic

The 11th district is located in Metro Detroit including Livonia, Novi, and Troy. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Dave Trott, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. Trott was not running for re-election in 2018.[48][49] This race is considered to be competitive; the Cook Political Report rated this contest as a "toss up."[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lena Epstein, businesswoman and Michigan co-chair of the 2016 Donald Trump presidential campaign[50]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Failed to qualify
Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerry
Bentivolio
Lena
Epstein
Klint
Kesto
Mike
Kowall
Rocky
Raczkowski
Undecided
Mitchell Research (R) July 30, 2018 305 ± 5.7% 14% 27% 11% 10% 18% 20%
EPIC-MRA July 23–24, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 7% 26% 12% 8% 19% 28%

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lena Epstein 26,925 30.9
Republican Rocky Raczkowski 22,216 25.5
Republican Mike Kowall 16,011 18.4
Republican Klint Kesto 12,213 14.0
Republican Kerry Bentivolio 9,831 11.3
Total votes 87,196 100.0

Democratic primary

Michigan's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[32]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
  • Daniel Haberman, businessman and attorney[58]
Declined

Endorsements

Fayrouz Saad

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Greimel
Suneel
Gupta
Fayrouz
Saad
Nancy
Skinner
Haley
Stevens
Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA July 23–24, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 21% 14% 10% 4% 17% 34%
Target-Insyght July 16–18, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 14% 15% 7% 21% 4%[71] 39%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Haley Stevens 24,309 27.0
Democratic Tim Greimel 19,673 21.8
Democratic Suneel Gupta 19,250 21.4
Democratic Fayrouz Saad 17,499 19.4
Democratic Nancy Skinner 9,407 10.5
Total votes 90,138 100.0

Libertarian party

  • Leonard Schwartz, attorney
Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Leonard Schwartz 536 100.0
Total votes 536 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Lena Epstein (R)
Federal officials
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Newspapers
Haley Stevens (D)

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lena
Epstein (R)
Haley
Stevens (D)
Other Undecided
Target Insyght October 15–17, 2018 513 ± 4.3% 48% 48% 2% 3%
ALG Research (D-Stevens) October 10–14, 2018 513 ± 4.3% 34% 44% 4%[78] 16%
Harper Polling (R-Epstein) October 10–13, 2018 465 ± 5.0% 35% 36% 2%[79] 27%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 1–6, 2018 465 ± 5.0% 38% 45% 17%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) February 12–13, 2018 653 ± 3.8% 42% 45% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 5–8, 2017 709 ± 3.7% 42% 42% 16%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14] Tilt D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[16] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
538[18] Likely D (flip) November 7, 2018

Results

Michigan's 11th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Haley Stevens 181,912 51.8
Republican Lena Epstein 158,463 45.2
Libertarian Leonard Schwartz 5,799 1.7
Independent Cooper Nye 4,727 1.3
Total votes 350,901 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 12

2018 Michigan's 12th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Debbie Dingell Jeff Jones
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 200,588 85,115
Percentage 68.1% 28.9%

County results
Dingell:      50-60%      80-90%

Precinct results
Dingell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Jones:      40–50%      50–60%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Dingell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Debbie Dingell
Democratic

The 12th district is based in Ann Arbor and the surrounding cities including Ypsilanti, and the western suburbs of Detroit including Dearborn and Lincoln Park. This district has a PVI of D+14. The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Dingell (incumbent) 103,278 100.0
Total votes 103,278 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jeff Jones

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Jones 33,839 100.0
Total votes 33,839 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Debbie Dingell (D)
Labor unions
Newspapers

Results

Michigan's 12th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Dingell (incumbent) 200,588 68.1
Republican Jeff Jones 85,115 28.9
Working Class Gary Walkowicz 6,712 2.3
Independent Niles Niemuth 2,213 0.7
Total votes 294,628 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district election

 
Nominee Rashida Tlaib Sam Johnson
Party Democratic Working Class
Popular vote 165,355 22,186
Percentage 84.2% 11.3%

Precinct results
Tlaib:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Brenda Jones
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rashida Tlaib
Democratic

The 13th district is located entirely within Wayne County and is centered on the city of the Detroit and the immediate surrounding suburbs including Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Westland. This is the most Democratic-friendly district with a PVI of D+32. The seat was vacant for most of 2018, following the resignation of John Conyers in December 2017.[80] A special primary and special general election were held in August and November 2018, on dates coinciding with the already scheduled primary and general elections in a money-saving move by Michigan Governor Rick Snyder.[81]

Conyers represented the district from 2013 to 2017. He previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was Dean of the United States House of Representatives, and was re-elected to a twenty-seventh term with 77% of the vote in 2016.

Former state representative Rashida Tlaib, a member of Democratic Socialists of America, won the Democratic primary. Tlaib, however, lost the special primary to Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council. Jones served for just over eight weeks before Tlaib was sworn in.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Failed to qualify
Withdrew
  • Michael Gilmore, attorney and activist[8]
Declined

Endorsements

Brenda Jones
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
  • Communications Workers of America
  • Michigan AFL-CIO
  • United Automobile Workers
Individuals
  • Greg Mathis, judge and television personality
Rashida Tlaib
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Local officials
  • Ilona Varga, Wayne County Commissioner from District 4
Individuals
Coleman Young II
State legislators
  • State Rep. Ken Daniels
  • State Rep. Fred Durhal III
  • State Rep. Bettie Cook Scott

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ian
Conyers
Shanelle
Jackson
Brenda
Jones
Rashida
Tlaib
Bill
Wild
Coleman
Young
Undecided
EPIC-MRA July 25–26, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 7% 5% 26% 22% 20% 9% 11%
Target-Insyght July 16–18, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 8% 4% 21% 19% 20% 14% 14%

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rashida Tlaib 27,841 31.2
Democratic Brenda Jones 26,941 30.2
Democratic Bill Wild 12,613 14.1
Democratic Coleman Young II 11,172 12.5
Democratic Ian Conyers 5,866 6.6
Democratic Shanelle Jackson 4,853 5.4
Democratic Kimberly Hill Knott (write-in) 33 0.0
Democratic Royce Kinniebrew (write-in) 2 0.0
Total votes 89,321 100.0

Republican primary

David Dudenhoefer was the only Republican candidate to announce his run for the Republican nomination, but he failed to qualify. He did, however, run as a write-in candidate. As a result, Tlaib was opposed in the general election only by minor party candidates and write-in candidates.

Candidates

Failed to qualify
  • David A. Dudenhoefer, District GOP Chair[93]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Anthony Dudenhoefer (write-in) 420 14.9
Republican Other write-ins 2,391 85.1
Total votes 2,811 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Results

Michigan's 13th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rashida Tlaib 165,355 84.2
Working Class Sam Johnson 22,186 11.3
Green D. Etta Wilcoxon 7,980 4.1
Independent Brenda Jones (write-in) 633 0.3
n/a Other write-ins 145 0.1
Total votes 196,299 100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

2018 Michigan's 14th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
Nominee Brenda Lawrence Marc Herschfus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 214,334 45,899
Percentage 80.9% 17.3%

County results
Lawrence:      70-80%      80-90%

Precinct results
Lawrence:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Herschfus:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Brenda Lawrence
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Brenda Lawrence
Democratic

The 14th district stretches from the northern Detroit suburbs including Farmington Hills, Southfield, and West Bloomfield, to eastern part of Detroit. This district has a PVI of D+30. The incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 79% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brenda Lawrence (incumbent) 106,464 100.0
Total votes 106,464 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Marc Herschfus

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Marc Herschfus 18,546 100.0
Total votes 18,546 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Brenda Lawrence (D)
Labor unions
Newspapers

Results

Michigan's 14th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brenda Lawrence (incumbent) 214,334 80.9
Republican Marc Herschfus 45,899 17.3
Working Class Philip Kolodny 4,761 1.8
Total votes 264,994 100.0
Democratic hold

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  55. ^ a b Kadrich, Brad (September 12, 2017). "Heise eyes run for Trott's House seat". Plymouth Observer. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
  56. ^ "Form 1 for Kurt Heise for Congress".
  57. ^ "Heise ends campaign for Congress, endorses Kowall".
  58. ^ a b "Board: 7 U.S. House hopefuls tossed from primary ballot". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  59. ^ "Former candidate Kristine Bonds endorses Mike Kowall for Congress". Mike Kowall for Congress. July 16, 2018. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
  60. ^ Pathé, Simone (September 11, 2017). "Michigan's Dave Trott Won't Seek Re-Election in 2018". Roll Call. Retrieved September 11, 2017.
  61. ^ Spangler, Todd (February 22, 2018). "Patterson endorses state Sen. Mike Kowall for Trott's seat in Congress". Detroit Free Press.
  62. ^ a b Lena Epstein. "Thank you to @RepDaveTrott for endorsing my campaign to represent #MI11. Congressman Trott has been a strong, conservative representative for our district throughout his time in Washington, and I look forward to bringing the same passion and conservative ideals to Congress". Twitter.
  63. ^ "Detroit Free Press Endorses Mike Kowall in MI-11 Republican Primary". Mike Kowall for Congress. July 27, 2018. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
  64. ^ Oosting, Jonathan (April 27, 2017). "Michigan native comes home for run against Rep. Trott". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 27, 2017.
  65. ^ Todd Spangler (October 17, 2017). "State Rep. Tim Greimel joins crowded congressional field". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
  66. ^ Burke, Melissa (January 5, 2018). "Democrat Gupta raises $501K in bid to replace Trott". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 22, 2018.
  67. ^ Nann Burke, Melissa (July 13, 2017). "Former Duggan official plans run against Rep. Trott". The Detroit News. Retrieved July 13, 2017.
  68. ^ Kumar, Anil. "Kumar For US Congress". Facebook.
  69. ^ Gorchow, Zach (September 11, 2017). "On the Barb McQuade/#MI11 rumor, she says when I asked if she's looking at it, "No, not at all. I don't even live in the 11th District."". Twitter. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
  70. ^ "DFA backs four progressive women in primaries key to Democrats retaking U.S. House". democracyforamerica.com. January 25, 2018. Archived from the original on August 23, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2023.
  71. ^ Daniel Haberman (failed to make ballot) 4%
  72. ^ Mike Pence. "Great to be in Michigan tonight! Proud to support @LenaEpstein - an early supporter of President Trump. She'll be a fighter for the @RealDonaldTrump agenda in Congress & a strong advocate for the people of Michigan! #MI11". Twitter.
  73. ^ Lena Epstein. "Thank you @realDonaldTrump for supporting our campaign to represent #MI11!". Twitter.
  74. ^ "Maggie's List endorsement". Lena Epstein for Congress. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
  75. ^ "SBA List Endorses Lena Epstein in MI-11". Susan B. Anthony List. April 13, 2018.
  76. ^ "Lena Epstein". VIEW PAC.
  77. ^ "For Congress, from Metro Detroit". The Detroit News. July 12, 2018.
  78. ^ Leonard Schwartz (L) with 4%
  79. ^ Leonard Schwartz (L) with 1%, Cooper Nye (I) with 1%
  80. ^ Gray, Kathleen; Spangler, Todd (December 5, 2017). "John Conyers retires after 53 years in office amid sexual harassment claims". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved December 5, 2017.
  81. ^ "Snyder sets Aug. 7, Nov. 6 election dates to replace John Conyers in Congress". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  82. ^ Spangler, Todd (February 6, 2018). "Former Michigan state Rep. Rashida Tlaib to seek Conyers' seat in Congress". Detroit Free Press.
  83. ^ Bever, Lindsey (December 5, 2017). "John Conyers could be replaced by his son — who has his dad's name but not his political resume". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 6, 2017.
  84. ^ Oosting, Jonathan (December 7, 2017). "Conyers III denies allegations, unsure on Congress run". The Detroit News. Retrieved December 8, 2017.
  85. ^ Burke, Melissa Nann (February 5, 2018). "State lawmakers running for open seats in Congress". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 14, 2018.
  86. ^ Hicks, Mark (January 26, 2018). "Detroit City Council head seeks Conyers' Congress seat". The Detroit News. Retrieved January 29, 2018.
  87. ^ "Westland Mayor Bill Wild to run for John Conyers' vacated U.S. House seat".
  88. ^ Oosting, Jonathan (December 8, 2017). "Coleman Young II running for Congress". The Detroit News. Retrieved December 8, 2017.
  89. ^ Williams, Corey; Eggert, David (December 8, 2017). "Son of late Detroit Mayor Coleman Young to run for John Conyers' seat". The Press Democrat. Retrieved December 8, 2017.
  90. ^ Bartkowiak, Dave Jr. (December 5, 2017). "How Rep. John Conyers' House seat will be filled". Click On Detroit. Retrieved December 16, 2017.
  91. ^ Burke, Melissa Nann (February 5, 2018). "Another state lawmaker running for Conyers' seat". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 14, 2018.
  92. ^ "Kimberly Hill Knott for Congress". www.facebook.com. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  93. ^ "2018 Michigan Official Primary Candidate Listing". Retrieved July 9, 2018.

External links

Official campaign websites of first district candidates
Official campaign websites of second district candidates
Official campaign websites of third district candidates
Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates
Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates
Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates
Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates
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Official campaign websites of tenth district candidates
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Official campaign websites of fourteenth district candidates
This page was last edited on 14 January 2024, at 19:59
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