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2016 United States Senate election in Colorado

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in Colorado

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
 
Michael Bennet Official Photo (cropped).jpg
3x4.svg
Nominee Michael Bennet Darryl Glenn
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,370,710 1,215,318
Percentage 50.0% 44.3%

Colorado Senate Election Results by County, 2016.svg
County results
Bennet:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Glenn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Senator before election

Michael Bennet
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Michael Bennet
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Colorado was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Major party candidates can qualify for the ballot through party assemblies or by petition.[1] To qualify by assembly, a candidate must receive at least 30 percent of the vote from the party's state assembly.[1] To qualify by petition, the candidate must file at least 1,500 signatures from each congressional district by April 4, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Michael Bennet won re-election to a second full term in office. Bennet's main challenger was Republican nominee Darryl Glenn, an El Paso County commissioner. Glenn won a crowded, five-way Republican primary in June. Three other candidates were on the ballot: former Eagle County Commissioner Arn Menconi was the Green Party nominee; Lily Tang Williams was the Libertarian Party nominee; and Unity Party of America Chairman Bill Hammons was the Unity Party nominee. Bennet's final vote total of 1,370,710 is a new record and makes him the largest vote-getter in the history of statewide elections in Colorado, topping Hillary Clinton's 1,338,870, concurrently in the presidential election.[2][3]

Background

Democratic U.S. Senator Ken Salazar resigned in January 2009 to become United States Secretary of the Interior and Governor Bill Ritter appointed Bennet, the Superintendent of Denver Public Schools, to replace him. Bennet was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Republican Ken Buck by 48.1% to 46.4%.

Democratic primary

Michael Bennet was unopposed for renomination.

Candidates

Declared

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 262,344 100.00%
Total votes 262,344 100.00%

Republican primary

The Colorado Republican Party State Assembly was held April 9, 2016.[6] Darryl Glenn won the convention with 70% of the vote.[7] Robert Blaha, Jack Graham, Jon Keyser, and Ryan Frazier sought to qualify for the ballot by petition instead of through the State Assembly.[8]

Glenn won the June primary with about 37.5% of the vote in the crowded, five-candidate Republican primary field.[9]

Candidate controversies

In early May, the Denver ABC affiliate uncovered over 10 forged voter signatures on the petition which placed Republican candidate Jon Keyser on the June Republican primary ballot. The circulator who forged the signatures was arrested for 34 felonies. A late May lawsuit claiming at least 60 forged signatures based on the analysis of a handwriting expert and challenging Keyser's placement on the primary ballot was dismissed because it didn't fall within the five-day window to challenge a ballot placement. [10] [11]

When asked on-camera about the forgeries, Keyser didn't address the issue and proceeded to inform the interviewer that Keyser's dog was larger than the interviewer. [12]

In early June, when asked by a fellow Republican candidate and a retired air force lieutenant colonel whether Keyser received his Bronze Star for work on a software program or for "kicking in doors" in combat as "represented to the community", Keyser refused to answer the question and claimed he had "no idea" what software program his rival was talking about. Yet, according to the article announcing Keyser's citation, Keyser "developed and implemented a unique and effective technique to provide critical force protection and situational-awareness data to ground counter-terrorism operations." [13] [14]

In August 2014, Republican candidate Jack Graham was fired as Colorado State University Athletic Director for reasons that were not specified, though he would continue to be paid through the November 2016 election. [15] [16]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Rejected at convention

Declined

Endorsements

Robert Blaha
Darryl Glenn
Governors
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
Jon Keyser
Individuals
Tim Neville
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Results by county:   Glenn—50–60%   Glenn—40–50%   Glenn—<40%   Graham—<40%
Results by county:
  Glenn—50–60%
  Glenn—40–50%
  Glenn—<40%
  Graham—<40%
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Darryl Glenn 131,125 37.74%
Republican Jack Graham 85,400 24.58%
Republican Robert Blaha 57,196 16.46%
Republican Jon Keyser 43,509 12.52%
Republican Ryan Frazier 30,241 8.70%
Total votes 347,471 100.00%

Darryl Glenn won the general primary on June 28 and went on to face the other candidates in the November election.[85]

Third party and independent candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Lily Tang Williams

General election

Debates

Dates Location Bennet Glenn Williams Link
September 10, 2016 Grand Junction, Colorado Participant Participant Participant Full debate - YouTube
October 11, 2016 Denver, Colorado Participant Participant Not invited Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[92] Likely D September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] Safe D September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[94] Safe D September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[95] Safe D September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[96] Lean D November 2, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Michael
Bennet (D)
Darryl
Glenn (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,777 ± 4.6% 52% 45% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 2,412 ± 4.6% 51% 45% 4%
Public Policy Polling November 3–4, 2016 704 ± 3.7% 50% 40% 5%[97] 6%
Keating Research November 2–3, 2016 605 ± 4.0% 49% 38% 5%[98] 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,927 ± 4.6% 51% 45% 4%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 2016 1,125 ± 2.9% 47% 44% 9%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,631 ± 4.6% 50% 46% 4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 28–November 1, 2016 972 ± 3.0% 49% 41% 10%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,402 ± 4.6% 49% 47% 4%
University of Denver October 29–31, 2016 550 ± 4.2% 48% 40% 3% 9%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2016 750 ± 3.5% 47% 42% 6% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,532 ± 4.6% 48% 46% 6%
CBS News/YouGov October 26–28, 2016 997 ± 4.1% 46% 41% 3% 10%
University of Colorado Boulder October 17–24, 2016 1,037 ± 3.6% 54% 40% 6% 0%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2016 685 ± 3.7% 56% 38% 6%
Magellan Strategies (R) October 12–13, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 47% 32% 9%[99] 12%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 956 ± 0.5% 52% 42% 6%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 12–13, 2016 1,226 ± 2.8% 48% 38% 13%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 3–4, 2016 1,246 ± 2.8% 47% 39% 15%
Monmouth University September 29–October 2, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 53% 35% 7%[100] 5%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 694 ± 3.7% 44% 34% 7%[101] 15%
50% 40% 10%
CNN/ORC September 20–25, 2016 784 LV ± 3.5% 53% 43% 1% 2%
896 RV 53% 41% 1% 2%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2016 799 ± 3.5% 43% 45% 12%
Quinnipiac University September 13–21, 2016 644 ± 3.9% 52% 43% 1% 4%
Colorado Mesa University/Rocky Mountain PBS September 14–18, 2016 350 LV ± 6.3% 42% 31% 4%[102] 22%
45% 32% 2% 20%
540 RV ± 5.1% 38% 26% 5%[103] 31%
44% 28% 3% 26%
Emerson College September 9–13, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 46% 39% 7% 8%
Magellan Strategies (R) August 29–31, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 48% 38% 7%[104] 7%
Quinnipiac University August 9–16, 2016 830 ± 3.4% 54% 38% 8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 4–10, 2016 899 ± 3.3% 53% 38% 2% 7%
FOX News July 9–12, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 51% 36% 1% 9%
Monmouth University July 9–12, 2016 404 ± 4.9% 48% 35% 5%[105] 12%
Harper Polling July 7–9, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 46% 40% 14%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–11, 2016 794 ± 3.5% 53% 38% 2% 7%
Senate Conservatives Fund July 1–6, 2016 500 47% 42% 11%

Results

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2016[106]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Michael Bennet (incumbent) 1,370,710 49.97% +1.92%
Republican Darryl Glenn 1,215,318 44.31% -2.11%
Libertarian Lily Tang Williams 99,277 3.62% +2.35%
Green Arn Menconi 36,805 1.34% -0.85%
Unity Bill Hammons 9,336 0.34% N/A
Independent Dan Chapin 8,361 0.30% N/A
Independent Paul Fiorino 3,216 0.12% N/A
Total votes 2,743,023 100.0%
Democratic hold

References

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  97. ^ Williams (L) with 3%, Menconi (G) with 1%, and "Other" with 1%
  98. ^ Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 2%
  99. ^ Williams (L) with 3%, Menconi (G) with 4%, and "Other" with 2%
  100. ^ Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 3%
  101. ^ Williams (L) with 4%, Menconi (G) with 2%, and "Other" with 1%
  102. ^ Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 1%
  103. ^ Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 1%
  104. ^ Williams (L) with 4% and Menconi (G) with 3%
  105. ^ Williams (L) with 3% and Menconi (G) with 2%
  106. ^ "Official Results November 8, 2016 General Election". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites
This page was last edited on 10 September 2019, at 07:30
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